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Kim Solez, MD
The technological singularity occurs as artificial
intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest
and most capable life forms on the Earth.
Technological development is taken over by the
machines, who can think, act and communicate so
quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend
what is going on. The machines enter into a "runaway
reaction" of self-improvement cycles, with each new
generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From
this point onwards, technological advancement is
explosive, under the control of the machines, and
thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term
"Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil
Course conceptualized in
 March 2011, tested with
          focus groups in
May for its suitability as a
           course for both
      undergraduate and
      graduate students.
   Ten minute introduction
   Fifty minute lecture
   Twenty minute discussion
   In the course we talk about
    machines replacing many of the
    functions of human beings. This
    picture was taken by a machine
    without human intervention, as
    were many of the best still
    images from the course. The
    video camera is constantly
    comparing the scene to
    algorithms and takes still
    pictures when the requirements
    of the interesting picture
    algorithm are satisfied.
First teaching session 2011           Recent teaching session 2012


Hot-linked tables of contents in YouTube video descriptions allow one
to jump right to content of interest.
Heather Graves, from Department
 of English and Film Studies, in
         Faculty of Arts.
   CCIS is on the other
    side of campus for
    many of us, but it is
    good exercise to go
    there and one often
    has excellent company
    making the trip!
   We endeavor to shoot broadcast quality video of
    each lecture and discussion.
   Previous lectures on YouTube.com at
    /user/KimSolez and /user/avoca99 . Students
    are asked to critique one past lecture, and
    suggest improvements in presentation and hot-
    linked table of contents (20% of grade).
   Students write one 3,000 word paper (40%) and
    give 20 min. presentation on same subject
    (30%). Also graded on class participation (10%).
   No required reading. Suggested reading list
    distributed by Email, is constantly updated.
   The technological Singularity.
   Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech.
   Ways to optimize a positive outcome for
    humanity in the co -evolution of humans and
    machines.
   The influence of these considerations on
    medicine of the future .
   Dean of Science and Dean of Arts speaking,
    many prominent people internationally. Most
    lectures not very “medical”. Easily understood.
   Balanced view provided by incorporating both
    technology skeptics and technology advocates .
Winter   Fall   Winter          Winter   Fall
                                                     Registered Students
                         Fall
’12             ‘13             ‘14


2        5      12       27     40       40
                                                40
                                                30
        Student numbers more than              20
         double every six months!               10
         Maximum is 40 .                         0
        This may be the last


                                                     Winter '12

                                                                  Fall '12

                                                                             Winter '13

                                                                                          Fall '13

                                                                                                     Winter '14

                                                                                                                  Fall '14
         semester when all students
         hear all presentations!
   Some already know what the technological
    Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out
    now.
   However, if the people and ideas I present are
    genuinely new and interesting I should be able to
    satisfy both groups.
   The most interesting aspects have to do with the
    impact on young people today.







Elenchus - Open Facebook Group

"Elenchus" is a form of inquiry and
debate between individuals with opposing
viewpoints based on utilizing Socratic
dialogue in asking and answering questions
to stimulate critical thinking and to illuminate ideas.


The only rule: Maintain Decorum :)
   How Inside Outside and Singularity impact young
    people, important concepts discussed in course.
   Nova program on PBS Television (100 million viewers)
   Big Bang Theory (the TV show; 16 million viewers)
   Singularity Summit (9,000 views per video)
   Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course
    LABMP 590 (900 views per video)
   .




However, Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of
human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much
more challenging. Also, Hutter has created a model general AI
which makes the challenge seem more immediate!
   .




However Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of
human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more
challenging. Also Hutter has created a sort of general AI which
makes the problem seem more immediate!
   While these targets are “just” recreational
      games, they do contain many prototypical
      elements of the real world, such as
      food, enemies, friends, space, obstacles, objects,
      and weapons
     Next could be a test in modern virtual worlds...
      that require intelligent agents, and finally some
      selected real-world problems
The same single AIXI approximation [“MC-AIXI-CTW”] has
learned to play TicTacToe, Kuhn Poker, and most
impressively, Pacman (Veness et al. 2011) from scratch
   Outside the Singularity looking in it will be white
    noise
   Inside the Singularity if everything speeds up at
    the same rate we may not notice anything; it may
    seem like normal life to us
   Even if initially our biological brains count for
    something in our mental processes, very soon the
    processing power of the machine implant will
    vastly outstrip our biological brains. Our biological
    brains become insignificant regardless of the
    friendliness or lack thereof of the AI
   Extreme risk taking because we can back
    ourselves up from backups if something bad
    happens
   Insignificance, lack of identity. Why wait to create
    backups when we have the processing power to
    run several lives at once. Can replicate ourselves
    endlessly in seconds! No more waiting 9 months!
   The world has little incentive to keep identities
    straight when biological brains contribute so little
    to mental processes. Bigger not better
   Aimlessness, lack of sense of purpose
   The challenge of producing a friendly AI becomes just a
    small part of the much larger challenge of creating a
    friendly world in which humans still have lives of
    significance, human history is retained and extended
   A positive outcome is possible; let’s make it likely
   We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive
    outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We
    need to get busy doing that!
   A simple approach is needed to engage the general
    public on these matters!
   This course is a beginning attempt at achieving that.
   The challenge of friendly AI becomes just a small part of
    a much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in
    which humans still have lives of significance, human
    history is retained and extended.
   We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive
    outcome for humanity. The future is ours
    to shape. We need to get busy doing that!
   Part of the imagined future could be
    one where all disease was eliminated
    but life was intolerable. Another where the only diseases
    are from bioterrorism.
   All natural disease may be eliminated, leaving
    only man-made diseases. But that may leave
    as much for physicians to do as there is today!
   Challenging responses to bioterrorism and
    stem cell technologies.
   Focus of medicine no longer disease but
    enhancement, which will extend beyond the
    physical to the moral.
   Social responsibility an important aspect of
    medicine and one of the focuses of the course.
   “It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even
    the most horrible situations by habituation. Physicians
    are the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social
    problems should largely be solved by them.”
    -Rudolf Virchow
   It became apparent that the best way to make this
    happen was for me to create a novel course of
    new design. Thus, this course.
   Presently, we know of no similar courses being
    presented elsewhere.
   Eventually it is our hope that hundreds of similar
    courses will begin appearing at Universities all
    over the world.
   Regulatory oversight that is completely focused
    on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and
    innovation.
   Health care doesn't have the same financial
    reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1
    billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging
    and informatics.
   Security always trumps information sharing, and
    so better, faster linkages are constrained
    because of security concerns, most of which are
    bogus.
HealthAppsNotUsed
AI and the Future of Medicine
AI and the Future of Medicine

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AI and the Future of Medicine

  • 2. The technological singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest and most capable life forms on the Earth. Technological development is taken over by the machines, who can think, act and communicate so quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend what is going on. The machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement cycles, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this point onwards, technological advancement is explosive, under the control of the machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil
  • 3.
  • 4. Course conceptualized in March 2011, tested with focus groups in May for its suitability as a course for both undergraduate and graduate students.
  • 5. Ten minute introduction  Fifty minute lecture  Twenty minute discussion  In the course we talk about machines replacing many of the functions of human beings. This picture was taken by a machine without human intervention, as were many of the best still images from the course. The video camera is constantly comparing the scene to algorithms and takes still pictures when the requirements of the interesting picture algorithm are satisfied.
  • 6. First teaching session 2011 Recent teaching session 2012 Hot-linked tables of contents in YouTube video descriptions allow one to jump right to content of interest.
  • 7. Heather Graves, from Department of English and Film Studies, in Faculty of Arts.
  • 8.
  • 9. CCIS is on the other side of campus for many of us, but it is good exercise to go there and one often has excellent company making the trip!
  • 10. We endeavor to shoot broadcast quality video of each lecture and discussion.  Previous lectures on YouTube.com at /user/KimSolez and /user/avoca99 . Students are asked to critique one past lecture, and suggest improvements in presentation and hot- linked table of contents (20% of grade).  Students write one 3,000 word paper (40%) and give 20 min. presentation on same subject (30%). Also graded on class participation (10%).  No required reading. Suggested reading list distributed by Email, is constantly updated.
  • 11. The technological Singularity.  Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech.  Ways to optimize a positive outcome for humanity in the co -evolution of humans and machines.  The influence of these considerations on medicine of the future .  Dean of Science and Dean of Arts speaking, many prominent people internationally. Most lectures not very “medical”. Easily understood.  Balanced view provided by incorporating both technology skeptics and technology advocates .
  • 12.
  • 13. Winter Fall Winter Winter Fall Registered Students Fall ’12 ‘13 ‘14 2 5 12 27 40 40 40 30  Student numbers more than 20 double every six months! 10 Maximum is 40 . 0  This may be the last Winter '12 Fall '12 Winter '13 Fall '13 Winter '14 Fall '14 semester when all students hear all presentations!
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Some already know what the technological Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out now.  However, if the people and ideas I present are genuinely new and interesting I should be able to satisfy both groups.  The most interesting aspects have to do with the impact on young people today.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.  Elenchus - Open Facebook Group "Elenchus" is a form of inquiry and debate between individuals with opposing viewpoints based on utilizing Socratic dialogue in asking and answering questions to stimulate critical thinking and to illuminate ideas.
 The only rule: Maintain Decorum :)
  • 20. How Inside Outside and Singularity impact young people, important concepts discussed in course.  Nova program on PBS Television (100 million viewers)  Big Bang Theory (the TV show; 16 million viewers)  Singularity Summit (9,000 views per video)  Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course LABMP 590 (900 views per video)
  • 21. . However, Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more challenging. Also, Hutter has created a model general AI which makes the challenge seem more immediate!
  • 22. . However Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more challenging. Also Hutter has created a sort of general AI which makes the problem seem more immediate!
  • 23. While these targets are “just” recreational games, they do contain many prototypical elements of the real world, such as food, enemies, friends, space, obstacles, objects, and weapons  Next could be a test in modern virtual worlds... that require intelligent agents, and finally some selected real-world problems The same single AIXI approximation [“MC-AIXI-CTW”] has learned to play TicTacToe, Kuhn Poker, and most impressively, Pacman (Veness et al. 2011) from scratch
  • 24.
  • 25. Outside the Singularity looking in it will be white noise  Inside the Singularity if everything speeds up at the same rate we may not notice anything; it may seem like normal life to us  Even if initially our biological brains count for something in our mental processes, very soon the processing power of the machine implant will vastly outstrip our biological brains. Our biological brains become insignificant regardless of the friendliness or lack thereof of the AI
  • 26. Extreme risk taking because we can back ourselves up from backups if something bad happens  Insignificance, lack of identity. Why wait to create backups when we have the processing power to run several lives at once. Can replicate ourselves endlessly in seconds! No more waiting 9 months!  The world has little incentive to keep identities straight when biological brains contribute so little to mental processes. Bigger not better  Aimlessness, lack of sense of purpose
  • 27. The challenge of producing a friendly AI becomes just a small part of the much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended  A positive outcome is possible; let’s make it likely  We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!  A simple approach is needed to engage the general public on these matters!  This course is a beginning attempt at achieving that.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. The challenge of friendly AI becomes just a small part of a much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended.  We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!  Part of the imagined future could be one where all disease was eliminated but life was intolerable. Another where the only diseases are from bioterrorism.
  • 31. All natural disease may be eliminated, leaving only man-made diseases. But that may leave as much for physicians to do as there is today!  Challenging responses to bioterrorism and stem cell technologies.  Focus of medicine no longer disease but enhancement, which will extend beyond the physical to the moral.  Social responsibility an important aspect of medicine and one of the focuses of the course.
  • 32. “It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even the most horrible situations by habituation. Physicians are the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social problems should largely be solved by them.” -Rudolf Virchow
  • 33.
  • 34. It became apparent that the best way to make this happen was for me to create a novel course of new design. Thus, this course.  Presently, we know of no similar courses being presented elsewhere.  Eventually it is our hope that hundreds of similar courses will begin appearing at Universities all over the world.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Regulatory oversight that is completely focused on compliance. Discourages risk-taking and innovation.  Health care doesn't have the same financial reward system. Facebook isn't about to pay $1 billion for the latest hot-ticket item in imaging and informatics.  Security always trumps information sharing, and so better, faster linkages are constrained because of security concerns, most of which are bogus.