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Current status and trends of sustainable
          construction in the U.S.



    The difficulty lies not in new ideas, but escaping
    from the old ones.

                              John Maynard Keynes




           Business Consulting & Training, Inc.
                    www.bctbiz.com
                                                         1
Sustainability defined

Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of
the present without compromising the ability of future generations to
meet their own needs.
                         United Nations, March 20, 1987




                          Sustainability requires the reconciliation
                          of environmental, social and economic
                          demands - the "three pillars" of
                          sustainability.


                                           2005 World Summit


                                                                       2
CO2




Driving force of sustainable construction.

Current level: ~ 380 ppm
Catastrophic level: 450 - 460 ppm coined SCENARIO 450
                     2° C rise in temperature

Prevention: reduction of CO2 emission by 60%-90% from 2006 level




                                                                   3
International Cooperation


Latest: The Copenhagen Accord at the 15th session of the Conference of
Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change on 18 December
2009.

The Accord itself is not legally binding. Countries pledged to reduce CO2
by 2020 (caveat – different baseline):

United States: 17% reduction, 2005
Japan: 25%, 1990
China: 40% - 45%, per unit of GDP!, 2005
Russian Federation: 15% - 25%, 1990
EU: 25%; 30% conditional on others, 1990
Brazil: 36.1% - 38.9%, over projected trend!

Regardless, the trend is downward for CO2 and global.




                                                                       4
Why sustainability in buildings?


U.S. Inventories ~ 115 million of housing units
                          ~ 70 billion m2 of commercial floor space


                 CO2 Emissions from Fossil Fuel Combustion, Tg CO2
                                                1990            2006      2008
   TOTAL US                                   4,735.70       5,652.80   5,572.80
   Residential                                  932.2        1,152.90   1,184.50
       Combustion                               339.1           322.1     342.7
       Electricity                                593           830.8     841.8
   Commercial                                   754.6        1,005.00   1,044.90
       Combustion                               216.7            206      219.5

       Electricity                                538            799      825.4
   TOTAL BLDGS                                 1686.8          2157.9    2229.4

          % TOTAL                               35.6%          38.2%    40.0%
   Source: U.S. EPA, author                                                   5
Execution of Sustainability: Codes

 Sustainable construction is achieved by:
•
  Mandatory statues:
                Codes
                Federal, State, and City legistlations

   Municipal codes based on Model Codes:
      ASHRAE Standard 90.1 for commercial design community
      International Code Council for commercial & residential
       International Green Construction Code – commercial
       (Rhode Island is the first state to adopt the Code in 2012)
   Federal: American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009

   The Act (has to be approved by Senate) calls for:
    National building code energy reduction targets of:
    • 30% below the baseline energy code (2006) in 2010,
    • 50% below the baseline energy code in 2014-2015, and
    • 5% additional reduction every three years to 2029-2030.

 Codes and mandates work best; incentives help.
                                                                     6
American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (H.R. 2454)


The Act (has to be approved by Senate) calls for:

National building code energy reduction targets of:
• 30% below the baseline energy code (2006) in 2010,
• 50% below the baseline energy code in 2014-2015, and
• 5% additional reduction every three years to 2029-2030.

It does not matter that this example is for the U.S. Trend is similar in all
developed economies.

Two themes to investors:
 trend that will continue for decades (early entrance)
 state policies (incentives, direction, relative certainty)

Business opportunity:
 more appealing homes
 new construction technologies and materials
 knowledge-based services
                                                                               7
Execution of Sustainability: Voluntary Certifications




   Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) – C&R
   Energy Star – C&R
   National Green Building Standard – Residential
   Passive Homes – C&R (mostly Residential)




It does not matter that those examples are for the U.S. Trend and
    approaches are similar in all developed economies.




                                                                    8
Think globally, act locally.



U.S. Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement

1044 cities signed the Agreement - as of 9/27/2010
     (52 from Illinois)

Under the Agreement, participating cities commit to:

Strive to meet or beat the Kyoto protocol targets in their own
communities, through actions ranging from anti-sprawl land-use
policies to urban forest restoration projects to public information
campaign.

Each city has its plan – many different approaches and initiatives

 Key: cities include in codes LEED, or equivalent, standards!

Boston, MA: over 50,000 sf must be LEED certifiable
Babylon, NY: over 4,000 sf for commercial & multifamily
                                                                      9
Woodstock, IL – Sustainability Plan


 Population: 25,500
 82 km northwest of Chicago; area quite wild
 Environmental Plan for 2020 per UN definition of sustainability

The concept of sustainability holds the promise of long-term economic
security, social equity and environmental integrity. It suggests that
through increased self-sufficiency and responsibility, the production and
consumption of goods and services can be maintained without harming
the natural environment.

The Plan included matters that citizens of Woodstock deemed suitable
for sustainability, such as:

   Be a community of law abiding citizens with no tolerance for crime.
   Be a community of choice for residents, visitors & investors.
   Weave ethnic backgrounds together to celebrate diversity, promote
    understanding, & support ―One Woodstock.‖


                                                                          10
11
Woodstock, IL




                12
Ecotourism




             13
LEED: Leadership for Energy & Environmental Design


In LEED 2009 there are 100 possible base points. Buildings can qualify for
four levels of certification:

Certified: 40 - 49 points
Silver: 50 - 59 points
Gold: 60 - 79 points
Platinum: 80 points and above

Huge range of certifications, for: schools, hospitals, commercial, interior,
new constructions, renovations, neighborhood development, and
operations & maintenance.

LEED has been continually evolving and modified, though the main
concept remains the same.




                                                                           14
LEED: Points – Sustainable Sites
Sustainable Sites                                                 26 Possible Points
•   Prerequisite 1 Construction Activity Pollution Prevention Required
•   Credit 1 Site Selection                                                     1
•   Credit 2 Development Density and Community Connectivity                     5
•   Credit 3 Brownfield Redevelopment                                           1
•   Credit 4.1 Alternative Transportation—Public Transportation Access          6
•   Credit 4.2 Alternative Transp.—Bicycle Storage and Changing Rooms           1
•   Credit 4.3 Alternative Transp.—Low-Emitting and Fuel-Efficient Vehicles     3
•   Credit 4.4 Alternative Transportation—Parking Capacity                      2
•   Credit 5.1 Site Development—Protect or Restore Habitat                      1
•   Credit 5.2 Site Development—Maximize Open Space                             1
•   Credit 6.1 Stormwater Design—Quantity Control                               1
•   Credit 6.2 Stormwater Design—Quality Control                                1
•   Credit 7.1 Heat Effect—Nonroof                                              1
•   Credit 7.2 Heat Island Effect—Roof                                          1
•   Credit 8 Light Pollution Reduction                                          1



                                                                                       15
LEED: Points – Water & Energy

Water Efficiency                                            10 Possible Points
•   Prerequisite 1 Water Use Reduction Required
•   Credit 1 Water Efficient Landscaping                                    2-4
•   Credit 2 Innovative Wastewater Technologies                             2
•   Credit 3 Water Use Reduction                                            2-4


Energy and Atmosphere                                         35 Possible Points
•   Prerequisite 1 Fundamental Commissioning of Building Energy Systems Required
•   Prerequisite 2 Minimum Energy Performance Required
•   Prerequisite 3 Fundamental Refrigerant Management Required
•   Credit 1 Optimize Energy Performance                                     1–19
•   Credit 2 On-site Renewable Energy                                        1–7
•   Credit 3 Enhanced Commissioning                                          2
•   Credit 4 Enhanced Refrigerant Management                                 2
•   Credit 5 Measurement and Verification                                    3
•   Credit 6 Green Power                                                     2



                                                                                    16
LEED: Points – Material & Resources

Materials and Resources                                          14 Possible Points

•   Prerequisite 1 Storage and Collection of Recyclables Required
•   Credit 1.1 Building Reuse—Maintain Existing Walls, Floors and Roof            1-3
•   Credit 1.2 Building Reuse—Maintain Existing Interior Nonstructural Elements   1
•   Credit 2 Construction Waste Management                                        1-2
•   Credit 3 Materials Reuse                                                      1-2
•   Credit 4 Recycled Content                                                     1-2
•   Credit 5 Regional Materials                                                   1-2
•   Credit 6 Rapidly Renewable Materials                                          1
•   Credit 7 Certified Wood                                                       1




                                                                                        17
LEED: Points – Indoor Environmental Quality

Indoor Environmental Quality                                  15 Possible Points
• Prerequisite 1 Minimum Indoor Air Quality Performance Required
• Prerequisite 2 Environmental Tobacco Smoke (ETS) Control Required
• Credit 1 Outdoor Air Delivery Monitoring                                  1
• Credit 2 Increased Ventilation                                            1
• Credit 3.1 Construction IAQ Management Plan—During Construction           1
• Credit 3.2 Construction IAQ Management Plan—Before Occupancy              1
• Credit 4.1 Low-Emitting Materials—Adhesives and Sealants                  1
• Credit 4.2 Low-Emitting Materials—Paints and Coatings                     1
• Credit 4.3 Low-Emitting Materials—Flooring Systems                        1
• Credit 4.4 Low-Emitting Materials—Composite Wood & Agrifiber Products     1
• Credit 5 Indoor Chemical and Pollutant Source Control                     1
• Credit 6.1 Controllability of Systems—Lighting                            1
• Credit 6.2 Controllability of Systems—Thermal Comfort                     1
• Credit 7.1 Thermal Comfort—Design                                         1
• Credit 7.2 Thermal Comfort—Verification                                   1
• Credit 8.1 Daylight and Views—Daylight                                    1
• Credit 8.2 Daylight and Views—Views                                       1
                                                                                   18
LEED: Additional 10 Points

Innovation in Design                                    6 Possible Points
•   Credit 1 Innovation in Design                                1-5
•   Credit 2 LEED Accredited Professional                        1



Regional Priority                                       4 Possible Points
•   Credit 1 Regional Priority                                   1-4



LEED certification covers almost all types of commercial & industrial development:

•   New Construction & Major Renovation
•   Existing Buildings: Operation & Maintenance
•   Commercial Interiors
•   Core and Shell Development
•   Schools New Construction and Major Renovation
•   Neighborhood Development

                                                                                19
LEED: Pros & Cons

Pros:
 LEED is a growing knowledge-based business:
   - Sustainability Consultant
 Requirements create opportunity in supplies:
   - cleaning products
 Mostly applicable to occupancy-based buildings: offices, schools
 Owners can differentiate properties
 It’s healthier and more pleasant to stay in LEED bldg.

Cons:
 Certification cost
 You are married for life to it >> maintenance & operation
 Cumbersome for residential homes

Bottom line: LEED will grow in the U.S. because of federal and state
             mandates, and acceptance in commercial real estate.
                                                                       20
Passive House

Certified if:
     Airtight building shell ≤ 0.6 ACH @ 50 Pa pressure
     Annual heat requirement ≤ 15 kWh/m2/year (4.75 kBtu/sf/yr)
     Primary Energy ≤ 120 kWh/m2/year (38.1 kBtu/sf/yr)


In addition, the following are recommendations, varying with climate:
     Window U-value ≤ 0.8 W/m2/K
     Ventilation system with heat recovery with ≥ 75% efficiency with low
      electric consumption @ 0.45 Wh/m3
     Thermal Bridge Free Construction ≤ 0.01 W/mK



Key principle: super-insulation and air-tightness




                                                                        21
Passive House


   There are over 20,000 passive homes (max 25,000) worldwide
   About 20,000 are in Germany, Austria, Scandinavia
   About 50 in U.S.
   Passive House favors cold climates – but applicable to all climates
   Success in Germany is attributed to incentives and policy




                                                                          22
Energy Star

 Originated in early 1990 by the US Environmental Protection Agency
 Designed primarily to promote energy efficiency.
 Appliances are assigned Energy Star labels.

Example.        Low-slope (2:12) roof materials:
                Initial Solar Reflectance > 0.65
                Reflectance after 3 years > 0.50

Overall a useful standard and certification. But….

2008 audits of the Inspector General found:
 Claims regarding GHG reduction were inaccurate and based on faulty
  data
 Energy savings were unreliable or unverifiable




                                                                       23
What Big Guys are doing?


 Leading Builders of America – coalition of 16 largest homebuilders

 Sold 99,000 homes in 2009, or 27% of total for U.S.




                                                                       24
What Big Guys are doing?

                                 2009       2008       2007

Beazer Homes USA                 4,330      6,697     10,160   eSmart

D.R. Horton                     17,034     21,251     33,687


Hovnanian Enterprises            5,659     11,281     14,928

KB Home                          8,488     12,438     23,743   Energy Star

Lennar Corporation              11,478     15,735     33,283


M.D.C. Holdings                   570        409       1,350

Meritage Homes                   4,039      5,627      7,687   Energy Star + super eff

NVR, Inc.                        9,042     10,741     13,513

Pulte Group                     15,013     21,022     27,540   Energy Star & LEED

Ryland Group                     5,129      7,352     10,319   HouseWorks

Standard Pacific                 3,581      5,025      8,051
Toll Brothers                    2,965      4,743      6,687
M/I Homes                        2,409      2,025      3,173

            TOTAL              89,737    124,346    194,121
Source: 10K reports, author                                                              25
What Big Guys are doing?



 LBA estimates that additional costs for ―typical‖ new home are:
• $5,000 for 30% energy reduction
• $15,000 for 50% energy reduction

 LBA worries that increased up front costs will eliminate many potential
  buyers. Proposes to include Energy in mortgage (PITI + E).




                                                                        26
Benefits of certification

 All certifications for a private sector are voluntary - be it LEED,
  BREEAM, or passive homes.

   Residential:
         Energy & water savings: payback in minimum circa 10 years
         Greater likelihood of selling a house
         Usually incentives provided by government


   Commercial:
         Positive differentiation against competitors
         Assured better indoor air quality and healthy environment
         Increased productivity
         Energy & water savings
         Lower vacancies
         Greater rents
         Incentives from government


 Why certify? To prove the claim.
                                                                        27
Why certify?

Certification makes sense when there is a transactional benefit between



                     SELLER                   BUYER

        or

                OWNER                           TENANT




When you plan to build a property for you own benefit and do not plan to
   sell it or rent to others, certification brings limited benefits.
                                   but….
IT DOES NOT IMPLY THAT THE STRUCTURE SHOULD NOT ADHERE TO
   SUSTAINABILITY STANDARDS!!! IT IS JUST NOT CERTIFIED BY
   THIRD PARTY.
Why certify: developers & investors

If you are a developer or an investor, a transaction always takes place –
be it an office building, residential home, or industrial property.


                         tenants & renters

A transaction always takes place in the form of a lease.


                           homeowners

(a) NO TRANSACTION - If you do not plan to sell a home for, say,
    minimum 15 years and do not plan to rent it.
(b) TRANSACTION – otherwise

                        industrial company

It depends on a type of a property. But if you want to be perceived as a
good citizen, pursue certification.
Why certify: public property

Certification of public properties such as schools, universities, city halls,
and hospitals gives warranty per expected performance, provides
leadership in sustainable development , and creates healthier
environment.


 In summary - real estate is mostly transactional. After all, that’s why we
 have a thriving business of real estate agents.
Certification: Statistics

In God we trust, all others bring data.
                                                     Dr. W.E. Deming


          Number of certified properties/units in U.S.
                Energy Star (1999)        LEED (2000)     Passive House (2000)
                                           ~12,720
Commercial              11,787              (Worldwide)

Residential         1,111,856               7,882                 ~50

For LEED residential:      594 has Certified designation
                           3,628 Silver
                           2,056 Gold
                           1,604 Platinum

                                                                                 31
How to market ecological homes?




Passive House – Kansas City, KS, May 2010
              1,700 square foot
      $190,000 (worth at least double)
          Still waiting for a buyer!
                                            32
How to market ecological homes?




  Passive House – Urbana, IL, 2007
          1,450 square foot
$120,000 sold ($25k City + donations)

                                        33
How to market ecological homes?


      1. Be a resident of Champaign County, and

      2. Be at 80% or below the median family income (see the chart)




Energy efficiency alone is not enough to differentiate
yourself in the marketplace!!!
Culture clash
EU



Europe leading the world - an Action Plan for Energy
Efficiency: Realising the Potential.
             European Parliament resolution of 2008 January 31st


…calls on the Commission to propose a binding
requirement that all new buildings needing to be
heated and/or cooled be constructed to passive house
or equivalent non-residential standards from 2011
onwards, and a requirement to use passive heating
and cooling solutions from 2008.
Life-Cycle Cost Analysis
 BUDMA 2011: Sustainable Construction - Investment in the Future
LCCA is most comprehensive. Includes all costs over life time.
                LCC = I + Repl — Res + E + W + OM&R + O

LCC = Total LCC in present-value (PV) dollars of a given alternative
I = PV investment costs
Repl = PV capital replacement costs
Res = PV residual value (resale value, salvage value) less disposal costs
E = PV of energy costs
W = PV of water costs
OM&R = PV of non-fuel operating, maintenance and repair costs
O = PV of other costs (e.g., contract costs)
Problems:
 It’s expensive and time consuming.
 Assumptions about future (e.g., prices) are subject to huge variance.
Life-Cycle Cost Analysis


                                The most misquoted example of LCCA!
                                Personnel Salaries refers to salaries of
                                persons working in the occupied space.
                                Excellent book, and in 1994.


                              Lean & clean management, Joseph Ramm




Example is given to emphasize that a lot of savings could come from
improved productivity of employees.
Indeed, studies show that designing of buildings per LEED certification
increases productivity.
Zero energy building (ZEB)


In U.S., zero energy building refers usually to net zero site energy use: the
amount of energy provided by on-site renewable energy sources is equal
to the amount of energy used by the building.



   Passive House + Clean Energy = Killer Application




                                                                           40
Clean energy: geothermal, solar, wind.

                                        Renewable Portfolio Standards. Selected States.

                                                     State       Amount         Year
Policy and incentives are primary
drivers for clean energy.                 Arizona                  15%            2025
                                          California               33%            2020
But incentives are often in under-        Colorado                 30%            2020
developed localities.
                                          Connecticut              27%            2020
                                          Delaware                 20%            2019
Technology choice comes
afterwards.                               Hawaii                   40%            2030
                                          Illinois                 25%            2025
Utilities will opt for large projects
(e.g., wind farms) to satisfy reqt’s.     Oregon                   25%            2025
                                          Pennsylvania             18%            2020
Utilities are to make profits for
                                          Rhode Island             15%            2020
shareholders.
                                          Utah                     20%            2025
Costs will be passed to
                                          Virginia                 12%            2022
customers.
                                          Washington               15%            2020
                                          West Virginia            25%            2025

                                                                                       41
Geothermal (Ground Source) Heat Pumps

 Proven technology, stable, can work 24/7, and be installed ~ anywhere
 Over 600,000 units installed in the U.S. But EU grows faster.


Per research from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL/TM-2008/232),
   key barriers to growth of GHP are (in order of importance):
1. High first cost of GHP systems to consumers
2. Lack of consumer knowledge and/or trust or confidence in GHP system
    benefits
3. Lack of policymaker and regulator knowledge of and/or trust or
    confidence in GHP system benefits
4. Limitations of GHP design and business planning infrastructure
5. Limitations of GHP installation infrastructure
6. Lack of new technologies and techniques to improve GHP system cost
    and performance.



                                                                      42
Solar

 Implementation totally driven by incentives.
   Germany, Italy: feed-in tariff system
    U.S.: market-driven rebates
 Poland: no incentives for PV >> no implementation
 PV not at parity with grid yet
 Market in U.S.: mostly affluent households and industrial applications




                                                                      43
Wind

 Limited potential for small turbines in a city because of obstructions
  from other dwellings disturbs wind patterns
 Wind farms: very feasible and profitable endeavor




                                                                           44
Moce wytwórcze energii elektrycznej brutto [MW]
                  KRAJOWY PLAN DZIAŁANIA W ZAKRESIE ENERGII ZE ŹRÓDEŁ ODNAWIALNYCH
                                       Ministerstwo Gospodarstwa



Paliwo/technologia               2006         2010         2015         2020         2025         2030
W.Brunatny-PC/Fluidalne         8,819            9,177        9,024        8,184       10,344       10,884
W.Kamienny-PC/Fluidalne           15,878        15,796       15,673       15,012       11,360       10,703
W.Kamienny-CHP                     4,845         4,950        5,394        5,658        5,835        5,807
Gaz ziemny-CHP                          704          710          810          873          964      1,090
Gaz ziemny-GTCC                           -            -          400          600      1,010        2,240
Duze wodne                              853          853          853          853          853          853
Wodne pompowe                      1,406         1,406        1,406        1,406        1,406        1,406
Jadrowe                                   -            -            -      1,600        3,200        4,800
Przemyslowe Wegiel-CHP             1,516         1,411        1,416        1,447        1,514        1,555
Przemyslowe Gaz-CHP                     51           50           63           79           85           92
Przemyslowe Inne-CHP                    671          730          834          882          896          910
Lokalne Gaz                               -            -          22           72           167          278
Male wodne                              69           107          192          282          298          298
Wiatrowe                                173          976      3,396        6,089        7,564        7,867
Biomasa stala-CHP                       25           40           196          623          958      1,218
BiogazCHP                               33           74           328          802      1,293        1,379
Fotowoltaika                              -            -            -           2           16           32
               RAZEM              35,043        36,280       40,007       44,464       47,763       51,412

                                                                                                         45
Cost of Energy Production



1 QBtu (1015) of Delivered Energy
                                             1 Btu = 1055.06 J

 COAL Plant: $256.0 Billion
 NUCLEAR Plant: $222.0 Billion
 BUILDING EFFICIENCY: $42.1 Billion

Reduction of GHG via building efficiency is much less
expensive than building power plants.




                                                                 46
Sustainability in construction

 Sustainability is being adopted by all forms of construction –
  not only in buildings.
 City of Chicago renovates neighborhood employing principles of
  sustainability in a formal way.

 In practice it means: preserving environment & saving energy

 O’Hare airport (~$20 bil project) is renovated employing sustainability

 Transportation: manuals are being developed for building roads

Implication:

 To get a contract for municipal work, one has to know sustainability or
  be certified as LEED (or equivalent) contractor.

 Proposing a development (any) that does not have sustainability
  features is not welcome, especially for downtowns.

                                                                        47
Sustainability: Municipalities




                                 48
Sustainability: Transportation




                                 49
Sustainability: Airports




                           50
Sustainability permeates through all fabrics of U.S. society

   Seattle's Office of Sustainability and Environment
   Portland Office of Sustainability
   City of Cleveland: Office of Sustainability
   Office of Sustainability for the City of Indianapolis
   Maryland Office of Sustainability
   City of New Haven Office of Sustainability
   City of Palm Springs Office of Sustainability (California)
   Lee County’s Office of Sustainability (Southwest Florida)
   The Office of Sustainability, Columbia, MO
   The Office of Sustainability, Evanston, IL
   Sustainability at Texas A&M University
   Yale Office of Sustainability
   Office of Sustainability, The University of Chicago
   Office of Campus Sustainability Michigan State University
   Office of Sustainability University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
   Office of Sustainability of the University of South Florida
   Princeton University Office of Sustainability                         51
CO2 reduction by compact development




Transit-oriented development: key preference for municipalities,
                especially in affordable housing

                                                                   52
Conclusions

 Whether you like ―green building‖ or not; or if you agree or disagree
  with the concept of sustainability, it does not matter much.

  You will be sucked into it by the global trend. The sooner you embrace
  it, the sooner you may rip off benefits, or at the minimum enhance your
  professional credentials.
 Sustainability is business: first entrant advantage
 Sustainability trend will permeate through all fabrics of construction
 Technology follows policy.
 Certification - be it LEED, Energy Star – provides a tool for systematic
  analysis, and implementation, of sustainable solutions.
 Technology follows policy.
 Government should play a big role:
         provide incentives
         promote best practices
                                                                           53
         incourage innovating and reward those who do better
Conclusions



 Government should play a big role:
        provide incentives
        promote best practices
        incourage innovating and reward those who do better
        actively implement sustainable solutions




                                                               54
Construction
     Standards        INNOVATIONS
                   PROGRESSIVE POLICY
                       EDUCATION




                            1. Standards will merge.
 LEED                       2. Why not utilize LEED now.




Current
Codes
          2011                                         2030?
Innovations

Chinese workers build 15-story hotel in just six days




                                                        56
Conclusions


                                                                        .
Jako odpowiedzialny deweloper, rozumiemy znaczenie zrównoważonego
budownictwa. Dlatego decyzja, aby zgodnie z jego zasadami realizować
inwestycje Skanska Property Poland, jest spełnieniem naszych
zobowiązań wobec pracowników, przyszłych i obecnych najemców, a
także lokalnych społeczności.

         Nicklas Lindberg, dyrektor generalny Skanska Property Poland.


That statement epitomizes attitudes of corporate America.




                                                                   57
GREENBUILD 2011

  IN TORONTO




                  58
Impact of PITI + E

P - servicing of principal
I - interest
T - property taxes
I - insurance                     Affordability = f(PITI)

In the current Energy Efficiency Mortgage, interest rate is the same as for
regular applicable mortgage. Only greater amount can be loaned.

To qualify for Energy Efficiency Mortgage, the property must have Home
Energy Rating System (HERS) report.

Pending S. 1379, the Energy Efficiency in Housing Act of 2009, would
likely lower interest rates on mortgage. Lenders are reluctant – more work

Implications: passive houses, and net-zero energy homes could flourish

Very bad for existing stock of homes if E permanently in PIPI. Buyer of a
home with low HERS will pay higher interest rates >> pressure on prices
>> but increased activity in renovation to meet current standards.
                                                                          59

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BUDMA 2011

  • 1. Current status and trends of sustainable construction in the U.S. The difficulty lies not in new ideas, but escaping from the old ones. John Maynard Keynes Business Consulting & Training, Inc. www.bctbiz.com 1
  • 2. Sustainability defined Sustainable development is development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. United Nations, March 20, 1987 Sustainability requires the reconciliation of environmental, social and economic demands - the "three pillars" of sustainability. 2005 World Summit 2
  • 3. CO2 Driving force of sustainable construction. Current level: ~ 380 ppm Catastrophic level: 450 - 460 ppm coined SCENARIO 450 2° C rise in temperature Prevention: reduction of CO2 emission by 60%-90% from 2006 level 3
  • 4. International Cooperation Latest: The Copenhagen Accord at the 15th session of the Conference of Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change on 18 December 2009. The Accord itself is not legally binding. Countries pledged to reduce CO2 by 2020 (caveat – different baseline): United States: 17% reduction, 2005 Japan: 25%, 1990 China: 40% - 45%, per unit of GDP!, 2005 Russian Federation: 15% - 25%, 1990 EU: 25%; 30% conditional on others, 1990 Brazil: 36.1% - 38.9%, over projected trend! Regardless, the trend is downward for CO2 and global. 4
  • 5. Why sustainability in buildings? U.S. Inventories ~ 115 million of housing units ~ 70 billion m2 of commercial floor space CO2 Emissions from Fossil Fuel Combustion, Tg CO2 1990 2006 2008 TOTAL US 4,735.70 5,652.80 5,572.80 Residential 932.2 1,152.90 1,184.50 Combustion 339.1 322.1 342.7 Electricity 593 830.8 841.8 Commercial 754.6 1,005.00 1,044.90 Combustion 216.7 206 219.5 Electricity 538 799 825.4 TOTAL BLDGS 1686.8 2157.9 2229.4 % TOTAL 35.6% 38.2% 40.0% Source: U.S. EPA, author 5
  • 6. Execution of Sustainability: Codes  Sustainable construction is achieved by: • Mandatory statues:  Codes  Federal, State, and City legistlations Municipal codes based on Model Codes:  ASHRAE Standard 90.1 for commercial design community  International Code Council for commercial & residential International Green Construction Code – commercial (Rhode Island is the first state to adopt the Code in 2012) Federal: American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 The Act (has to be approved by Senate) calls for: National building code energy reduction targets of: • 30% below the baseline energy code (2006) in 2010, • 50% below the baseline energy code in 2014-2015, and • 5% additional reduction every three years to 2029-2030.  Codes and mandates work best; incentives help. 6
  • 7. American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (H.R. 2454) The Act (has to be approved by Senate) calls for: National building code energy reduction targets of: • 30% below the baseline energy code (2006) in 2010, • 50% below the baseline energy code in 2014-2015, and • 5% additional reduction every three years to 2029-2030. It does not matter that this example is for the U.S. Trend is similar in all developed economies. Two themes to investors:  trend that will continue for decades (early entrance)  state policies (incentives, direction, relative certainty) Business opportunity:  more appealing homes  new construction technologies and materials  knowledge-based services 7
  • 8. Execution of Sustainability: Voluntary Certifications  Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) – C&R  Energy Star – C&R  National Green Building Standard – Residential  Passive Homes – C&R (mostly Residential) It does not matter that those examples are for the U.S. Trend and approaches are similar in all developed economies. 8
  • 9. Think globally, act locally. U.S. Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement 1044 cities signed the Agreement - as of 9/27/2010 (52 from Illinois) Under the Agreement, participating cities commit to: Strive to meet or beat the Kyoto protocol targets in their own communities, through actions ranging from anti-sprawl land-use policies to urban forest restoration projects to public information campaign. Each city has its plan – many different approaches and initiatives  Key: cities include in codes LEED, or equivalent, standards! Boston, MA: over 50,000 sf must be LEED certifiable Babylon, NY: over 4,000 sf for commercial & multifamily 9
  • 10. Woodstock, IL – Sustainability Plan  Population: 25,500  82 km northwest of Chicago; area quite wild  Environmental Plan for 2020 per UN definition of sustainability The concept of sustainability holds the promise of long-term economic security, social equity and environmental integrity. It suggests that through increased self-sufficiency and responsibility, the production and consumption of goods and services can be maintained without harming the natural environment. The Plan included matters that citizens of Woodstock deemed suitable for sustainability, such as:  Be a community of law abiding citizens with no tolerance for crime.  Be a community of choice for residents, visitors & investors.  Weave ethnic backgrounds together to celebrate diversity, promote understanding, & support ―One Woodstock.‖ 10
  • 11. 11
  • 14. LEED: Leadership for Energy & Environmental Design In LEED 2009 there are 100 possible base points. Buildings can qualify for four levels of certification: Certified: 40 - 49 points Silver: 50 - 59 points Gold: 60 - 79 points Platinum: 80 points and above Huge range of certifications, for: schools, hospitals, commercial, interior, new constructions, renovations, neighborhood development, and operations & maintenance. LEED has been continually evolving and modified, though the main concept remains the same. 14
  • 15. LEED: Points – Sustainable Sites Sustainable Sites 26 Possible Points • Prerequisite 1 Construction Activity Pollution Prevention Required • Credit 1 Site Selection 1 • Credit 2 Development Density and Community Connectivity 5 • Credit 3 Brownfield Redevelopment 1 • Credit 4.1 Alternative Transportation—Public Transportation Access 6 • Credit 4.2 Alternative Transp.—Bicycle Storage and Changing Rooms 1 • Credit 4.3 Alternative Transp.—Low-Emitting and Fuel-Efficient Vehicles 3 • Credit 4.4 Alternative Transportation—Parking Capacity 2 • Credit 5.1 Site Development—Protect or Restore Habitat 1 • Credit 5.2 Site Development—Maximize Open Space 1 • Credit 6.1 Stormwater Design—Quantity Control 1 • Credit 6.2 Stormwater Design—Quality Control 1 • Credit 7.1 Heat Effect—Nonroof 1 • Credit 7.2 Heat Island Effect—Roof 1 • Credit 8 Light Pollution Reduction 1 15
  • 16. LEED: Points – Water & Energy Water Efficiency 10 Possible Points • Prerequisite 1 Water Use Reduction Required • Credit 1 Water Efficient Landscaping 2-4 • Credit 2 Innovative Wastewater Technologies 2 • Credit 3 Water Use Reduction 2-4 Energy and Atmosphere 35 Possible Points • Prerequisite 1 Fundamental Commissioning of Building Energy Systems Required • Prerequisite 2 Minimum Energy Performance Required • Prerequisite 3 Fundamental Refrigerant Management Required • Credit 1 Optimize Energy Performance 1–19 • Credit 2 On-site Renewable Energy 1–7 • Credit 3 Enhanced Commissioning 2 • Credit 4 Enhanced Refrigerant Management 2 • Credit 5 Measurement and Verification 3 • Credit 6 Green Power 2 16
  • 17. LEED: Points – Material & Resources Materials and Resources 14 Possible Points • Prerequisite 1 Storage and Collection of Recyclables Required • Credit 1.1 Building Reuse—Maintain Existing Walls, Floors and Roof 1-3 • Credit 1.2 Building Reuse—Maintain Existing Interior Nonstructural Elements 1 • Credit 2 Construction Waste Management 1-2 • Credit 3 Materials Reuse 1-2 • Credit 4 Recycled Content 1-2 • Credit 5 Regional Materials 1-2 • Credit 6 Rapidly Renewable Materials 1 • Credit 7 Certified Wood 1 17
  • 18. LEED: Points – Indoor Environmental Quality Indoor Environmental Quality 15 Possible Points • Prerequisite 1 Minimum Indoor Air Quality Performance Required • Prerequisite 2 Environmental Tobacco Smoke (ETS) Control Required • Credit 1 Outdoor Air Delivery Monitoring 1 • Credit 2 Increased Ventilation 1 • Credit 3.1 Construction IAQ Management Plan—During Construction 1 • Credit 3.2 Construction IAQ Management Plan—Before Occupancy 1 • Credit 4.1 Low-Emitting Materials—Adhesives and Sealants 1 • Credit 4.2 Low-Emitting Materials—Paints and Coatings 1 • Credit 4.3 Low-Emitting Materials—Flooring Systems 1 • Credit 4.4 Low-Emitting Materials—Composite Wood & Agrifiber Products 1 • Credit 5 Indoor Chemical and Pollutant Source Control 1 • Credit 6.1 Controllability of Systems—Lighting 1 • Credit 6.2 Controllability of Systems—Thermal Comfort 1 • Credit 7.1 Thermal Comfort—Design 1 • Credit 7.2 Thermal Comfort—Verification 1 • Credit 8.1 Daylight and Views—Daylight 1 • Credit 8.2 Daylight and Views—Views 1 18
  • 19. LEED: Additional 10 Points Innovation in Design 6 Possible Points • Credit 1 Innovation in Design 1-5 • Credit 2 LEED Accredited Professional 1 Regional Priority 4 Possible Points • Credit 1 Regional Priority 1-4 LEED certification covers almost all types of commercial & industrial development: • New Construction & Major Renovation • Existing Buildings: Operation & Maintenance • Commercial Interiors • Core and Shell Development • Schools New Construction and Major Renovation • Neighborhood Development 19
  • 20. LEED: Pros & Cons Pros:  LEED is a growing knowledge-based business: - Sustainability Consultant  Requirements create opportunity in supplies: - cleaning products  Mostly applicable to occupancy-based buildings: offices, schools  Owners can differentiate properties  It’s healthier and more pleasant to stay in LEED bldg. Cons:  Certification cost  You are married for life to it >> maintenance & operation  Cumbersome for residential homes Bottom line: LEED will grow in the U.S. because of federal and state mandates, and acceptance in commercial real estate. 20
  • 21. Passive House Certified if:  Airtight building shell ≤ 0.6 ACH @ 50 Pa pressure  Annual heat requirement ≤ 15 kWh/m2/year (4.75 kBtu/sf/yr)  Primary Energy ≤ 120 kWh/m2/year (38.1 kBtu/sf/yr) In addition, the following are recommendations, varying with climate:  Window U-value ≤ 0.8 W/m2/K  Ventilation system with heat recovery with ≥ 75% efficiency with low electric consumption @ 0.45 Wh/m3  Thermal Bridge Free Construction ≤ 0.01 W/mK Key principle: super-insulation and air-tightness 21
  • 22. Passive House  There are over 20,000 passive homes (max 25,000) worldwide  About 20,000 are in Germany, Austria, Scandinavia  About 50 in U.S.  Passive House favors cold climates – but applicable to all climates  Success in Germany is attributed to incentives and policy 22
  • 23. Energy Star  Originated in early 1990 by the US Environmental Protection Agency  Designed primarily to promote energy efficiency.  Appliances are assigned Energy Star labels. Example. Low-slope (2:12) roof materials: Initial Solar Reflectance > 0.65 Reflectance after 3 years > 0.50 Overall a useful standard and certification. But…. 2008 audits of the Inspector General found:  Claims regarding GHG reduction were inaccurate and based on faulty data  Energy savings were unreliable or unverifiable 23
  • 24. What Big Guys are doing?  Leading Builders of America – coalition of 16 largest homebuilders  Sold 99,000 homes in 2009, or 27% of total for U.S. 24
  • 25. What Big Guys are doing? 2009 2008 2007 Beazer Homes USA 4,330 6,697 10,160 eSmart D.R. Horton 17,034 21,251 33,687 Hovnanian Enterprises 5,659 11,281 14,928 KB Home 8,488 12,438 23,743 Energy Star Lennar Corporation 11,478 15,735 33,283 M.D.C. Holdings 570 409 1,350 Meritage Homes 4,039 5,627 7,687 Energy Star + super eff NVR, Inc. 9,042 10,741 13,513 Pulte Group 15,013 21,022 27,540 Energy Star & LEED Ryland Group 5,129 7,352 10,319 HouseWorks Standard Pacific 3,581 5,025 8,051 Toll Brothers 2,965 4,743 6,687 M/I Homes 2,409 2,025 3,173 TOTAL 89,737 124,346 194,121 Source: 10K reports, author 25
  • 26. What Big Guys are doing?  LBA estimates that additional costs for ―typical‖ new home are: • $5,000 for 30% energy reduction • $15,000 for 50% energy reduction  LBA worries that increased up front costs will eliminate many potential buyers. Proposes to include Energy in mortgage (PITI + E). 26
  • 27. Benefits of certification  All certifications for a private sector are voluntary - be it LEED, BREEAM, or passive homes. Residential:  Energy & water savings: payback in minimum circa 10 years  Greater likelihood of selling a house  Usually incentives provided by government Commercial:  Positive differentiation against competitors  Assured better indoor air quality and healthy environment  Increased productivity  Energy & water savings  Lower vacancies  Greater rents  Incentives from government  Why certify? To prove the claim. 27
  • 28. Why certify? Certification makes sense when there is a transactional benefit between SELLER BUYER or OWNER TENANT When you plan to build a property for you own benefit and do not plan to sell it or rent to others, certification brings limited benefits. but…. IT DOES NOT IMPLY THAT THE STRUCTURE SHOULD NOT ADHERE TO SUSTAINABILITY STANDARDS!!! IT IS JUST NOT CERTIFIED BY THIRD PARTY.
  • 29. Why certify: developers & investors If you are a developer or an investor, a transaction always takes place – be it an office building, residential home, or industrial property. tenants & renters A transaction always takes place in the form of a lease. homeowners (a) NO TRANSACTION - If you do not plan to sell a home for, say, minimum 15 years and do not plan to rent it. (b) TRANSACTION – otherwise industrial company It depends on a type of a property. But if you want to be perceived as a good citizen, pursue certification.
  • 30. Why certify: public property Certification of public properties such as schools, universities, city halls, and hospitals gives warranty per expected performance, provides leadership in sustainable development , and creates healthier environment. In summary - real estate is mostly transactional. After all, that’s why we have a thriving business of real estate agents.
  • 31. Certification: Statistics In God we trust, all others bring data. Dr. W.E. Deming Number of certified properties/units in U.S. Energy Star (1999) LEED (2000) Passive House (2000) ~12,720 Commercial 11,787 (Worldwide) Residential 1,111,856 7,882 ~50 For LEED residential: 594 has Certified designation 3,628 Silver 2,056 Gold 1,604 Platinum 31
  • 32. How to market ecological homes? Passive House – Kansas City, KS, May 2010 1,700 square foot $190,000 (worth at least double) Still waiting for a buyer! 32
  • 33. How to market ecological homes? Passive House – Urbana, IL, 2007 1,450 square foot $120,000 sold ($25k City + donations) 33
  • 34. How to market ecological homes? 1. Be a resident of Champaign County, and 2. Be at 80% or below the median family income (see the chart) Energy efficiency alone is not enough to differentiate yourself in the marketplace!!!
  • 36.
  • 37. EU Europe leading the world - an Action Plan for Energy Efficiency: Realising the Potential. European Parliament resolution of 2008 January 31st …calls on the Commission to propose a binding requirement that all new buildings needing to be heated and/or cooled be constructed to passive house or equivalent non-residential standards from 2011 onwards, and a requirement to use passive heating and cooling solutions from 2008.
  • 38. Life-Cycle Cost Analysis  BUDMA 2011: Sustainable Construction - Investment in the Future LCCA is most comprehensive. Includes all costs over life time. LCC = I + Repl — Res + E + W + OM&R + O LCC = Total LCC in present-value (PV) dollars of a given alternative I = PV investment costs Repl = PV capital replacement costs Res = PV residual value (resale value, salvage value) less disposal costs E = PV of energy costs W = PV of water costs OM&R = PV of non-fuel operating, maintenance and repair costs O = PV of other costs (e.g., contract costs) Problems:  It’s expensive and time consuming.  Assumptions about future (e.g., prices) are subject to huge variance.
  • 39. Life-Cycle Cost Analysis The most misquoted example of LCCA! Personnel Salaries refers to salaries of persons working in the occupied space. Excellent book, and in 1994. Lean & clean management, Joseph Ramm Example is given to emphasize that a lot of savings could come from improved productivity of employees. Indeed, studies show that designing of buildings per LEED certification increases productivity.
  • 40. Zero energy building (ZEB) In U.S., zero energy building refers usually to net zero site energy use: the amount of energy provided by on-site renewable energy sources is equal to the amount of energy used by the building. Passive House + Clean Energy = Killer Application 40
  • 41. Clean energy: geothermal, solar, wind. Renewable Portfolio Standards. Selected States. State Amount Year Policy and incentives are primary drivers for clean energy. Arizona 15% 2025 California 33% 2020 But incentives are often in under- Colorado 30% 2020 developed localities. Connecticut 27% 2020 Delaware 20% 2019 Technology choice comes afterwards. Hawaii 40% 2030 Illinois 25% 2025 Utilities will opt for large projects (e.g., wind farms) to satisfy reqt’s. Oregon 25% 2025 Pennsylvania 18% 2020 Utilities are to make profits for Rhode Island 15% 2020 shareholders. Utah 20% 2025 Costs will be passed to Virginia 12% 2022 customers. Washington 15% 2020 West Virginia 25% 2025 41
  • 42. Geothermal (Ground Source) Heat Pumps  Proven technology, stable, can work 24/7, and be installed ~ anywhere  Over 600,000 units installed in the U.S. But EU grows faster. Per research from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL/TM-2008/232), key barriers to growth of GHP are (in order of importance): 1. High first cost of GHP systems to consumers 2. Lack of consumer knowledge and/or trust or confidence in GHP system benefits 3. Lack of policymaker and regulator knowledge of and/or trust or confidence in GHP system benefits 4. Limitations of GHP design and business planning infrastructure 5. Limitations of GHP installation infrastructure 6. Lack of new technologies and techniques to improve GHP system cost and performance. 42
  • 43. Solar  Implementation totally driven by incentives. Germany, Italy: feed-in tariff system U.S.: market-driven rebates  Poland: no incentives for PV >> no implementation  PV not at parity with grid yet  Market in U.S.: mostly affluent households and industrial applications 43
  • 44. Wind  Limited potential for small turbines in a city because of obstructions from other dwellings disturbs wind patterns  Wind farms: very feasible and profitable endeavor 44
  • 45. Moce wytwórcze energii elektrycznej brutto [MW] KRAJOWY PLAN DZIAŁANIA W ZAKRESIE ENERGII ZE ŹRÓDEŁ ODNAWIALNYCH Ministerstwo Gospodarstwa Paliwo/technologia 2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 W.Brunatny-PC/Fluidalne 8,819 9,177 9,024 8,184 10,344 10,884 W.Kamienny-PC/Fluidalne 15,878 15,796 15,673 15,012 11,360 10,703 W.Kamienny-CHP 4,845 4,950 5,394 5,658 5,835 5,807 Gaz ziemny-CHP 704 710 810 873 964 1,090 Gaz ziemny-GTCC - - 400 600 1,010 2,240 Duze wodne 853 853 853 853 853 853 Wodne pompowe 1,406 1,406 1,406 1,406 1,406 1,406 Jadrowe - - - 1,600 3,200 4,800 Przemyslowe Wegiel-CHP 1,516 1,411 1,416 1,447 1,514 1,555 Przemyslowe Gaz-CHP 51 50 63 79 85 92 Przemyslowe Inne-CHP 671 730 834 882 896 910 Lokalne Gaz - - 22 72 167 278 Male wodne 69 107 192 282 298 298 Wiatrowe 173 976 3,396 6,089 7,564 7,867 Biomasa stala-CHP 25 40 196 623 958 1,218 BiogazCHP 33 74 328 802 1,293 1,379 Fotowoltaika - - - 2 16 32 RAZEM 35,043 36,280 40,007 44,464 47,763 51,412 45
  • 46. Cost of Energy Production 1 QBtu (1015) of Delivered Energy 1 Btu = 1055.06 J  COAL Plant: $256.0 Billion  NUCLEAR Plant: $222.0 Billion  BUILDING EFFICIENCY: $42.1 Billion Reduction of GHG via building efficiency is much less expensive than building power plants. 46
  • 47. Sustainability in construction  Sustainability is being adopted by all forms of construction – not only in buildings.  City of Chicago renovates neighborhood employing principles of sustainability in a formal way.  In practice it means: preserving environment & saving energy  O’Hare airport (~$20 bil project) is renovated employing sustainability  Transportation: manuals are being developed for building roads Implication:  To get a contract for municipal work, one has to know sustainability or be certified as LEED (or equivalent) contractor.  Proposing a development (any) that does not have sustainability features is not welcome, especially for downtowns. 47
  • 51. Sustainability permeates through all fabrics of U.S. society  Seattle's Office of Sustainability and Environment  Portland Office of Sustainability  City of Cleveland: Office of Sustainability  Office of Sustainability for the City of Indianapolis  Maryland Office of Sustainability  City of New Haven Office of Sustainability  City of Palm Springs Office of Sustainability (California)  Lee County’s Office of Sustainability (Southwest Florida)  The Office of Sustainability, Columbia, MO  The Office of Sustainability, Evanston, IL  Sustainability at Texas A&M University  Yale Office of Sustainability  Office of Sustainability, The University of Chicago  Office of Campus Sustainability Michigan State University  Office of Sustainability University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign  Office of Sustainability of the University of South Florida  Princeton University Office of Sustainability 51
  • 52. CO2 reduction by compact development Transit-oriented development: key preference for municipalities, especially in affordable housing 52
  • 53. Conclusions  Whether you like ―green building‖ or not; or if you agree or disagree with the concept of sustainability, it does not matter much. You will be sucked into it by the global trend. The sooner you embrace it, the sooner you may rip off benefits, or at the minimum enhance your professional credentials.  Sustainability is business: first entrant advantage  Sustainability trend will permeate through all fabrics of construction  Technology follows policy.  Certification - be it LEED, Energy Star – provides a tool for systematic analysis, and implementation, of sustainable solutions.  Technology follows policy.  Government should play a big role:  provide incentives  promote best practices 53  incourage innovating and reward those who do better
  • 54. Conclusions  Government should play a big role:  provide incentives  promote best practices  incourage innovating and reward those who do better  actively implement sustainable solutions 54
  • 55. Construction Standards INNOVATIONS PROGRESSIVE POLICY EDUCATION 1. Standards will merge. LEED 2. Why not utilize LEED now. Current Codes 2011 2030?
  • 56. Innovations Chinese workers build 15-story hotel in just six days 56
  • 57. Conclusions . Jako odpowiedzialny deweloper, rozumiemy znaczenie zrównoważonego budownictwa. Dlatego decyzja, aby zgodnie z jego zasadami realizować inwestycje Skanska Property Poland, jest spełnieniem naszych zobowiązań wobec pracowników, przyszłych i obecnych najemców, a także lokalnych społeczności. Nicklas Lindberg, dyrektor generalny Skanska Property Poland. That statement epitomizes attitudes of corporate America. 57
  • 58. GREENBUILD 2011 IN TORONTO 58
  • 59. Impact of PITI + E P - servicing of principal I - interest T - property taxes I - insurance Affordability = f(PITI) In the current Energy Efficiency Mortgage, interest rate is the same as for regular applicable mortgage. Only greater amount can be loaned. To qualify for Energy Efficiency Mortgage, the property must have Home Energy Rating System (HERS) report. Pending S. 1379, the Energy Efficiency in Housing Act of 2009, would likely lower interest rates on mortgage. Lenders are reluctant – more work Implications: passive houses, and net-zero energy homes could flourish Very bad for existing stock of homes if E permanently in PIPI. Buyer of a home with low HERS will pay higher interest rates >> pressure on prices >> but increased activity in renovation to meet current standards. 59