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Who will win in the cloud?
David or Goliath?
Krishna Subramanian
Sr Director
Sun Microsystems
krishnas@sun.com
408.209.9483




                             1
Computing shifting to the cloud
First Wave: Software-as-a-Service, Web 2.0


      Legacy                                                    New Leaders
                                                                    Infrastructure-as-a-service




                                       Market Drivers:
                                         -Efficiency
                                                                           SaaS, Web 2.0
                                        -Green Tech
                                       -Virtualization
                                       -Open-source
                       Storage
                                                                              Internet
  Servers




    Enterprise                                           – To:
                                                           Cloud-based, shared, general-purpose
 – Shift from existing:                                  – Creates new leaders
   In-house, dedicated, custom-built                       Google, eBay, Salesforce, Amazon...
   apps
                                                             – SaaS $11B in 2011, 20% CAGR
                                                             – 1/3 Enterprise spend by 2012 in SaaS
                                                             – Web2.0 from $24B in ’07 to $40B in ’08
                                                                                                  By: Krishna Subramanian
                                                                                                     krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                                                            2
Next wave: Cloud computing
By 2011, 40% of IT infrastructure will be bought as-a-service - Gartner

Merrill Lynch estimates $130B+ market opportunity in next 3-5 years

IDC estimates cloud services to grow to $42B in 2012, at 5 times the
growth of traditional IT, with a CAGR of 27%


                                                                          Infratructure-as-a-Service




Custom Datacenter     Custom Datacenter      Custom Datacenter




  Custom Datacenter      Custom Datacenter




                                                                                               By: Krishna Subramanian
                                                                                                  krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                                                         3
What is cloud computing?

• Virtualized - drives economies of scale


• Elastic - grows & shrinks with your needs


• Flexible - offers some pay-as-you-go model, again CapEx to OpEx


• Accessible via a network - does not require proximity


• Some level of sharing - lower costs either via multi-tenancy, or sharing across
  departments within a company, etc.


‣ Cloud computing is a paradigm shift, both in technology and business model


                                                                     By: Krishna Subramanian
                                                                        krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                               4
Forecast: Many Clouds...

                                               Private/
              Public
                                              Specialized
              Clouds
                                                Clouds


 – Elastic datacenters:                   – Government clouds
     – e.g. Amazon AWS, Mosso,                – e.g. DoD’s cloud
       Joyent, Flexiscale, etc.
                                          – Enterprise clouds
 – Hosting 2.0
                                              – e.g. Morgan Stanley’s cloud
 – Geo-specific clouds
                                          – Private ecosystem clouds
 – Platform-as-a-Service
     – e.g. Force.com, Intuit Quickbase
 – Application-specific/vertical clouds


                                                                              By: Krishna Subramnian
                                                                                 krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                                       5
Cloud Opportunities


 Software-as-a-                      Provide apps as a service
     Service              Examples: SalesForce, SuccessFactors, Zoho, etc

 Platform-as-a-    Provide development and runtime environments for cloud apps.
     Service                 Examples: Google AppEngine, Force.com


                    Provide key hardware/infrastructure elements on demand (e.g.
 Infrastructure-                  storage, compute, database, etc)
  as-a-Service                    Examples: Amazon, Sun, GoGrid

                   Provide technology to enterprises/cloud service providers to help
    Supplier                   them build out one of the above stacks
                                   Examples: VMWare, Sun, IBM


                                                                      By: Krishna Subramnian
                                                                         krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                               6
So, who will win? David or Goliath?

• Paradigm shifts level the playing field


   • New architecture requires a redesign for players big and small


   • New business models require realignment on sales strategies


   • New markets (e.g. SMB’s, Emerging countries) growing faster than
     traditional large customer segments


• This creates opportunities for new startups


   • Especially in areas that require specialized expertise/IP, and do not require
     massive infrastructure buildout

                                                                      By: Krishna Subramnian
                                                                         krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                               7
IT-as-a-service Stack
                                                                                                      Twine
                                                                                           Oco
                                     Marketo                                                          Ning           Bidz         Atlassian        SpringCM
             aprimo      NetSuite                 Taleo      Google        Odyssey
Software                                                                                              Igloo
           SugarCRM                                         thinkFree      Google        Cognos                      eBay
-aaS                                               HR                                            Social                          Enterprise        Content
             CRM          ERP        Mktng        ERM        Office        Mobile       Analytics Ntwk.              e-com.          2.0             aaS
            NetSuite     Kenexa        Eloqua    Success     MS Live                                                Amazon         Amazon           Xythos            VMWare
           SalesForce               RightNow     Factors      Intuit                                 Facebook
                         Intaact
                                                                                                                                                                        Sun

                             Coghead        Heroku              Provisioning               Boomi       Appirio                Zuora     Billing                         HP
                                                           Ping           Bitkoo                                                  OpSource (LeCayla*)
                                                                                                                            eVapt                                       IBM
                                   Platform-aaS                    Identity                      Integration                      SaaS- Aria
       Development
       & Runtime            SalesForce Gigaspaces
                                                                   -aaS                          -aaS                             Utilities
       -aaS                  Google BungeeLabs                       Conformity            Skema             Mule                 -aaS                               Cloud
                            LongJump
                             Rollbase
                                           10gen              Compliance                  CastIron
                                                                                                      Inter-cloud                      BlueStripe                   Service
                                                            Securact                                  Integration       Hyperic      Analytics
                                                                                                                                                                    Provider
                                                Kaavo                      Ylastic               PoolParty
                            OpSource                    CohesiveFT                    Cloud App Management              Rightscale       WeoCeo                     DynamicOps
                                                                         Scalr

                             Enki                Enomaly                3Tera              Q-Layer                     Elastra       DynamicOps                       VMOps
                                                   Provisioning            Virtual Datacenter Automation
                            Sun                                   Cloudscale
                                                                                                                                                                     Eucalyptus
                       Infrastructure                                                   Non-relational
                                                                                                                     IBM(Aresenal Digital*)
                       as-a-                            Mosso
                                                                                  Microsoft DB       Amazon
                                                                                                                          Backup       EMC(Mozy*)
                       Service                                                     (SSD)           (Simple DB)
                                                                                                                     Carbonite                                         Elastra
                                                     Compute                              Data-aaS                             Storage- Zetta                         Enomaly
                           Joyent                     -aaS                                                                          aaS
                          Flexiscale                                            EnterpriseDB            Elastra      Parascale                 Box.net                Parascale
                                                                                          Relational-
                        Amazon (AWS)              Amazon (EC2)
                                                                                             DB       StrikeIron      Amazon (S3)             Nirvanix
                            Rackspace


                                                                                                                                                              By: Krishna Subramanian
                                                                                  Virtualization                                                                 krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                                                                                                                        8
Cloud: big market, multiple opportunities
• Huge market provides opportunities for both large players and emerging
  startups


• Ecosystems currently forming across suppliers to address customer needs


• Standards are beginning to emerge, these will play an important role in clouds
  going mainstream




                                                                     By: Krishna Subramanian
                                                                        krishnas@sun.com

                                                                                               9
Who will win in the cloud?
David or Goliath?
Krishna Subramanian
Sr Director
Sun Microsystems
krishnas@sun.com
408.209.9483




                             10

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Cloud Slam Presentation April2009

  • 1. Who will win in the cloud? David or Goliath? Krishna Subramanian Sr Director Sun Microsystems krishnas@sun.com 408.209.9483 1
  • 2. Computing shifting to the cloud First Wave: Software-as-a-Service, Web 2.0 Legacy New Leaders Infrastructure-as-a-service Market Drivers: -Efficiency SaaS, Web 2.0 -Green Tech -Virtualization -Open-source Storage Internet Servers Enterprise – To: Cloud-based, shared, general-purpose – Shift from existing: – Creates new leaders In-house, dedicated, custom-built Google, eBay, Salesforce, Amazon... apps – SaaS $11B in 2011, 20% CAGR – 1/3 Enterprise spend by 2012 in SaaS – Web2.0 from $24B in ’07 to $40B in ’08 By: Krishna Subramanian krishnas@sun.com 2
  • 3. Next wave: Cloud computing By 2011, 40% of IT infrastructure will be bought as-a-service - Gartner Merrill Lynch estimates $130B+ market opportunity in next 3-5 years IDC estimates cloud services to grow to $42B in 2012, at 5 times the growth of traditional IT, with a CAGR of 27% Infratructure-as-a-Service Custom Datacenter Custom Datacenter Custom Datacenter Custom Datacenter Custom Datacenter By: Krishna Subramanian krishnas@sun.com 3
  • 4. What is cloud computing? • Virtualized - drives economies of scale • Elastic - grows & shrinks with your needs • Flexible - offers some pay-as-you-go model, again CapEx to OpEx • Accessible via a network - does not require proximity • Some level of sharing - lower costs either via multi-tenancy, or sharing across departments within a company, etc. ‣ Cloud computing is a paradigm shift, both in technology and business model By: Krishna Subramanian krishnas@sun.com 4
  • 5. Forecast: Many Clouds... Private/ Public Specialized Clouds Clouds – Elastic datacenters: – Government clouds – e.g. Amazon AWS, Mosso, – e.g. DoD’s cloud Joyent, Flexiscale, etc. – Enterprise clouds – Hosting 2.0 – e.g. Morgan Stanley’s cloud – Geo-specific clouds – Private ecosystem clouds – Platform-as-a-Service – e.g. Force.com, Intuit Quickbase – Application-specific/vertical clouds By: Krishna Subramnian krishnas@sun.com 5
  • 6. Cloud Opportunities Software-as-a- Provide apps as a service Service Examples: SalesForce, SuccessFactors, Zoho, etc Platform-as-a- Provide development and runtime environments for cloud apps. Service Examples: Google AppEngine, Force.com Provide key hardware/infrastructure elements on demand (e.g. Infrastructure- storage, compute, database, etc) as-a-Service Examples: Amazon, Sun, GoGrid Provide technology to enterprises/cloud service providers to help Supplier them build out one of the above stacks Examples: VMWare, Sun, IBM By: Krishna Subramnian krishnas@sun.com 6
  • 7. So, who will win? David or Goliath? • Paradigm shifts level the playing field • New architecture requires a redesign for players big and small • New business models require realignment on sales strategies • New markets (e.g. SMB’s, Emerging countries) growing faster than traditional large customer segments • This creates opportunities for new startups • Especially in areas that require specialized expertise/IP, and do not require massive infrastructure buildout By: Krishna Subramnian krishnas@sun.com 7
  • 8. IT-as-a-service Stack Twine Oco Marketo Ning Bidz Atlassian SpringCM aprimo NetSuite Taleo Google Odyssey Software Igloo SugarCRM thinkFree Google Cognos eBay -aaS HR Social Enterprise Content CRM ERP Mktng ERM Office Mobile Analytics Ntwk. e-com. 2.0 aaS NetSuite Kenexa Eloqua Success MS Live Amazon Amazon Xythos VMWare SalesForce RightNow Factors Intuit Facebook Intaact Sun Coghead Heroku Provisioning Boomi Appirio Zuora Billing HP Ping Bitkoo OpSource (LeCayla*) eVapt IBM Platform-aaS Identity Integration SaaS- Aria Development & Runtime SalesForce Gigaspaces -aaS -aaS Utilities -aaS Google BungeeLabs Conformity Skema Mule -aaS Cloud LongJump Rollbase 10gen Compliance CastIron Inter-cloud BlueStripe Service Securact Integration Hyperic Analytics Provider Kaavo Ylastic PoolParty OpSource CohesiveFT Cloud App Management Rightscale WeoCeo DynamicOps Scalr Enki Enomaly 3Tera Q-Layer Elastra DynamicOps VMOps Provisioning Virtual Datacenter Automation Sun Cloudscale Eucalyptus Infrastructure Non-relational IBM(Aresenal Digital*) as-a- Mosso Microsoft DB Amazon Backup EMC(Mozy*) Service (SSD) (Simple DB) Carbonite Elastra Compute Data-aaS Storage- Zetta Enomaly Joyent -aaS aaS Flexiscale EnterpriseDB Elastra Parascale Box.net Parascale Relational- Amazon (AWS) Amazon (EC2) DB StrikeIron Amazon (S3) Nirvanix Rackspace By: Krishna Subramanian Virtualization krishnas@sun.com 8
  • 9. Cloud: big market, multiple opportunities • Huge market provides opportunities for both large players and emerging startups • Ecosystems currently forming across suppliers to address customer needs • Standards are beginning to emerge, these will play an important role in clouds going mainstream By: Krishna Subramanian krishnas@sun.com 9
  • 10. Who will win in the cloud? David or Goliath? Krishna Subramanian Sr Director Sun Microsystems krishnas@sun.com 408.209.9483 10