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Performance Based Analysis  in support of  “practical design” solutions   Transportation Education Series April 15, 2010 John M. Mason, PhD, PE Brian L. Ray, PE
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is “practical design”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Resources: Derived from  MODOT, ITD, PENNDOT, ODOT
What “practical design” IS NOT! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Who is doing “practical design”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are key elements of “practical design”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are key examples of “practical design”? ,[object Object],15 miles of roadway and shoulder improvement versus traditional typical section for fewer miles.
What are key examples of “practical design”? ,[object Object],Reduced fatalities by focusing on high risk areas versus “chasing” crashes around the state
What are key examples of “practical design”? ,[object Object],Consider lower cost but high value projects even if they are not the “ultimate fix”
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are “standards”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are “standards”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are the origins of our “standards”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Title Year Policy on Criteria for Marking, Signing No-Passing-Zones on Two- and Three-Lane Roads 1940 A Policy on Sight Distance for Highways 1940 A Policy on Highway Types (Geometric) 1940 A Policy on Highway Classifications 1938
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Design Standards: Interstate System, Primary System, and Secondary and Feeder Roads 1945 A Policy on Grade Separations for Intersecting Highways 1944 A Policy on Rotary Intersections 1941 A Policy on Intersections at Grade 1940 Title Year
What are the origins of our “standards”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies A Policy on Design of Urban Highways and Arterial Streets 1973 A Policy on Arterial Highways in Urban Areas 1957 A Policy on Geometric Design of Rural Highways 1954 1965 Policies on Geometric Highway Design 1950 Title Year
What are the origins of our “standards”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies A Policy on Design Standards – Interstate System 1991 2005 Guidelines for the Geometric Design of Very Low Volume Local Roads (ADT≤400) 2001 A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets 1984 1990 1994 2001 2004 Title Year
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Highway Capacity Manual, Special Report 209 (TRB) 2000 Prediction of the Expected Safety Performance of Rural Two-Lane Highways. Report No. FHWA-RD-99-207 2000 Speed Prediction for Two-lane Rural Highways.  Report No. FHWA-RD-99-171, Federal Highway Administration 1999 NCHRP Report 279:  Intersection Channelization Design Guide 1985 Title Year
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Neighborhood Street Design Guidelines: An ITE Proposed Recommended Practice (ITE) 2003 Transportation and Land Development (ITE) 2002 Geometric Design Criteria for Highway-Rail Intersections (Grade Crossings) [ITE] 2001 Roundabouts:  An Informational Guide (FHWA) 2000 Title Year
AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Geometric Design Handbook:  Freeway and Interchange Design (ITE) 2005 Context Sensitive Solutions in Designing Major Urban Thoroughfares for Walkable Communities:  An ITE Proposed Recommended Practice (ITE) 2005 Signalized Intersections:  Informational Guide (FHWA) 2004 Access Management Manual, Transportation Research Board 2003 Title Year
What if we can’t meet “standards”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Missouri DOT Practical Design Implementation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Performance based applications aren’t new… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Operational Performance Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Performance Based Concepts Operation uniformity to test design consistency 4.10 ft/sec 6.56 ft/sec ∆ V85 > 12 mph Poor 2.92 to 4.10 ft/sec 4.85 to 6.56 ft/sec 12mph ≥ ∆V85 ≥ 6 mph Fair 1.77 to 2.92 ft/sec 3.28 to 4.85 ft/sec ∆ V85 ≤ 6mph Good Acceleration Rate Deceleration Rate Speed Change Rating
Performance Based Applications FHWA,  Exhibit 6-2, p. 131 Roundabouts employ an iterative design  process to optimize safety and operations Typical “linear” process
Performance Based Applications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Performance Based Tools IHSDM: Design Consistency Module Output
Performance Based Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The evolution of safety tools:
IHSDM  Crash Prediction Module Output
Performance  Based  Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],HSM Content
Performance Based Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],NCHRP Project 15-34: Performance-Based Analysis of Geometric Design of Highways & Streets
Performance based applications for Practical Design Solutions: ,[object Object],[object Object]
Airport Way Improvements Reconnaissance Study “ Practical solutions for an evolving corridor” Fairbanks, Alaska
A changing system context
Arterial Corridor with Frontage Roads
Vision Concepts:  Freeways to Unlimited Access Balance between Mobility & Access
Evaluating and screening solution concepts
Selecting recommended alternatives
Vision Concepts, Concepts, Alternatives Initial   Concepts Most-Promising Alternatives Refined   Concepts Applying the same evaluation criteria consistently with increasingly detailed evaluations on fewer solutions
OR 34 at Seven Mile Lane Intersection Design Study “ Considering solutions within available project funding” Linn County, Oregon
Project Location ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Linn County   ODOT
Roundabout Concept
Comparing the two alternatives Less impact to traffic More impact to traffic Construction $650,000 to $800,000 $1,500,000 to $1,800,000 Cost Acceptable Not Acceptable 2030 Traffic Conditions Acceptable Acceptable 2008 Traffic Conditions Considerations
Comparing safety qualitatively Minor and major crashes Minor crashes More severe crashes Less severe crashes High, variable speeds Lower, consistent speeds Multiple decision points Simplified decision making 32 vehicle conflict points 8 vehicle conflict points
Outcomes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Performance Based Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],HSM Content
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],HSM Content
Part C Predictive Method:
Predicting Safety for Alternative Cross Sections ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Condition 2:  Alternative Cross Section Photo Courtesy of Yolanda Takesian
Performance Based Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Using predictive safety Performance to evaluate design alternatives
Crash Prediction Calculations
Performance Based Predictive Safety Results Future No Build Condition Future Alternative Condition N rs  = 41 crashes/year N rs  = 36 crashes/year Photo Courtesy of Yolanda Takesian
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Highway Safety Manual
Performance Based Predictive Safety Results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Horizontal Alignment AMFs:  Modify Horizontal Curve Radius and Length, and Provide Spiral Transitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Horizontal Alignment AMFs:  Install Combination Horizontal alignment/ Advisory Speed Signs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Design Variances and Documentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Practical Design and Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],How did/does MODOT approach practical design?
Practical Design and Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Practical Design and Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Practical Design and Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is a design variance or “exception”? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Design Exception Issues Right of Way Construction Costs Environmental Impacts Historic/Scenic Preservation Safety  Traffic Operations
13 FHWA Controlling Criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],But does meeting criteria values make a project safe? Or…. Are these criteria “surrogates” for safety?
Most Common Design Deviations/Variances Source:  NCHRP Synthesis 316 Design Exception Practices
FHWA Controlling Criteria and the HSM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Of these criteria in the HSM, what information do we really know about them?
13 FHWA Controlling Criteria:  AMFs and Trends by Facility Types
Applying the HSM to support the  OR 213 Design Exception request Oregon City, Oregon
Objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Constrained bridge cross section
Reduce dimensions and add a NB lane
Assessing Safety ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
HSM applications for predicted crashes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Considering potential mitigation strategies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Analysis Summary 2.00 1.60 1.70 1.40 0.92 0.72 0.10 0.82 Single-veh run-off-road, all severities Install Continuous Rolled Rumble Strips on Shoulder 2.00 1.70 1.70 1.40 0.90 0.76 0.07 0.83 All types, nighttime, non-injury Install Illumination  1.70 1.50 1.50 1.30 0.78 0.66 0.06 0.72 All types, nighttime, nonfatal, injury 2.20 1.90 1.11 0.95 0.08 1.03 All types, all severities Maintain Existing ROW, Add Lanes by Narrowing Existing Lanes and Shoulders 2.00 n/a n/a n/a All types, all severities Maintain Existing Cross Section OR 213 Annual Crash Frequency AMF Range Std Dev AMF Accident Type/Severity Treatment Description
Conclusions supporting design decisions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Closing thoughts—Integrating Safety and Operations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Closing thoughts-- Performance Based Evaluations Supporting Practical Design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions and Discussion?

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Performance Based Analysis & Practical Design

  • 1. Performance Based Analysis in support of “practical design” solutions Transportation Education Series April 15, 2010 John M. Mason, PhD, PE Brian L. Ray, PE
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Title Year Policy on Criteria for Marking, Signing No-Passing-Zones on Two- and Three-Lane Roads 1940 A Policy on Sight Distance for Highways 1940 A Policy on Highway Types (Geometric) 1940 A Policy on Highway Classifications 1938
  • 15. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Design Standards: Interstate System, Primary System, and Secondary and Feeder Roads 1945 A Policy on Grade Separations for Intersecting Highways 1944 A Policy on Rotary Intersections 1941 A Policy on Intersections at Grade 1940 Title Year
  • 16.
  • 17. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies A Policy on Design of Urban Highways and Arterial Streets 1973 A Policy on Arterial Highways in Urban Areas 1957 A Policy on Geometric Design of Rural Highways 1954 1965 Policies on Geometric Highway Design 1950 Title Year
  • 18.
  • 19. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies A Policy on Design Standards – Interstate System 1991 2005 Guidelines for the Geometric Design of Very Low Volume Local Roads (ADT≤400) 2001 A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets 1984 1990 1994 2001 2004 Title Year
  • 20. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Highway Capacity Manual, Special Report 209 (TRB) 2000 Prediction of the Expected Safety Performance of Rural Two-Lane Highways. Report No. FHWA-RD-99-207 2000 Speed Prediction for Two-lane Rural Highways. Report No. FHWA-RD-99-171, Federal Highway Administration 1999 NCHRP Report 279: Intersection Channelization Design Guide 1985 Title Year
  • 21. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Neighborhood Street Design Guidelines: An ITE Proposed Recommended Practice (ITE) 2003 Transportation and Land Development (ITE) 2002 Geometric Design Criteria for Highway-Rail Intersections (Grade Crossings) [ITE] 2001 Roundabouts: An Informational Guide (FHWA) 2000 Title Year
  • 22. AASHTO (AASHO) Geometric Design Policies Geometric Design Handbook: Freeway and Interchange Design (ITE) 2005 Context Sensitive Solutions in Designing Major Urban Thoroughfares for Walkable Communities: An ITE Proposed Recommended Practice (ITE) 2005 Signalized Intersections: Informational Guide (FHWA) 2004 Access Management Manual, Transportation Research Board 2003 Title Year
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Performance Based Concepts Operation uniformity to test design consistency 4.10 ft/sec 6.56 ft/sec ∆ V85 > 12 mph Poor 2.92 to 4.10 ft/sec 4.85 to 6.56 ft/sec 12mph ≥ ∆V85 ≥ 6 mph Fair 1.77 to 2.92 ft/sec 3.28 to 4.85 ft/sec ∆ V85 ≤ 6mph Good Acceleration Rate Deceleration Rate Speed Change Rating
  • 29. Performance Based Applications FHWA, Exhibit 6-2, p. 131 Roundabouts employ an iterative design process to optimize safety and operations Typical “linear” process
  • 30.
  • 31. Performance Based Tools IHSDM: Design Consistency Module Output
  • 32.
  • 33. IHSDM Crash Prediction Module Output
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. Airport Way Improvements Reconnaissance Study “ Practical solutions for an evolving corridor” Fairbanks, Alaska
  • 39. A changing system context
  • 40. Arterial Corridor with Frontage Roads
  • 41. Vision Concepts: Freeways to Unlimited Access Balance between Mobility & Access
  • 42. Evaluating and screening solution concepts
  • 44. Vision Concepts, Concepts, Alternatives Initial Concepts Most-Promising Alternatives Refined Concepts Applying the same evaluation criteria consistently with increasingly detailed evaluations on fewer solutions
  • 45. OR 34 at Seven Mile Lane Intersection Design Study “ Considering solutions within available project funding” Linn County, Oregon
  • 46.
  • 48. Comparing the two alternatives Less impact to traffic More impact to traffic Construction $650,000 to $800,000 $1,500,000 to $1,800,000 Cost Acceptable Not Acceptable 2030 Traffic Conditions Acceptable Acceptable 2008 Traffic Conditions Considerations
  • 49. Comparing safety qualitatively Minor and major crashes Minor crashes More severe crashes Less severe crashes High, variable speeds Lower, consistent speeds Multiple decision points Simplified decision making 32 vehicle conflict points 8 vehicle conflict points
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Part C Predictive Method:
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 58. Performance Based Predictive Safety Results Future No Build Condition Future Alternative Condition N rs = 41 crashes/year N rs = 36 crashes/year Photo Courtesy of Yolanda Takesian
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70. Design Exception Issues Right of Way Construction Costs Environmental Impacts Historic/Scenic Preservation Safety Traffic Operations
  • 71.
  • 72. Most Common Design Deviations/Variances Source: NCHRP Synthesis 316 Design Exception Practices
  • 73.
  • 74. 13 FHWA Controlling Criteria: AMFs and Trends by Facility Types
  • 75. Applying the HSM to support the OR 213 Design Exception request Oregon City, Oregon
  • 76.
  • 78. Reduce dimensions and add a NB lane
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82. Analysis Summary 2.00 1.60 1.70 1.40 0.92 0.72 0.10 0.82 Single-veh run-off-road, all severities Install Continuous Rolled Rumble Strips on Shoulder 2.00 1.70 1.70 1.40 0.90 0.76 0.07 0.83 All types, nighttime, non-injury Install Illumination 1.70 1.50 1.50 1.30 0.78 0.66 0.06 0.72 All types, nighttime, nonfatal, injury 2.20 1.90 1.11 0.95 0.08 1.03 All types, all severities Maintain Existing ROW, Add Lanes by Narrowing Existing Lanes and Shoulders 2.00 n/a n/a n/a All types, all severities Maintain Existing Cross Section OR 213 Annual Crash Frequency AMF Range Std Dev AMF Accident Type/Severity Treatment Description
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 86.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. AMF – Lane width, shoulder width, horizontal alignment, grade, superelevation, horizontal clearance Trend – design speed, lane width, horizontal alignment, horizontal clearance