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The Restless Earth
Why are some locations
vulnerable?
Continental Drift
 Alfred Wegener
1880 - 1930


   Meteorologist


    1915 “The Origin of Continents and Oceans”

Pangaea
Earth’s interior
Earth’s interior
Plate tectonics
Evidence:

Mesosaurus fossils

Glossopteris ferns

“puzzle pieces”

Glacial debris
Mesosaurus & Glossopteris
Gemstones
Jigsaw Puzzle pieces
Sea Floor magnetization
Plate tectonics
Tectonic Plate Motion
Plate boundaries
    Divergent




    Convergent




    Lateral Transform

Divergent plates
    Mid-Atlantic Ridge

Convergent boundary
   Nazca/S. American
    plates


   Himalayas




   Orogeny
Lateral Transform
    San Andreas

Fault Rupture
    1906



    Bolinas

Seismic Waves
    P waves

       faster
       move
       through
       land &
       water


    S waves

    do not pass through liquids
Seismic waves
Seismograph
Triangulation
    3 locations



    Measure arrival times

    of P and S waves

    P: 6 - 6.7 km/s

    S: 3 - 4 km/s
Triangulating epicenters
Epicenter
Richter scale
    1935 Charles Richter

       (Cal Tech)
Richter Scale
    Logarithmic

    scale

  7.2 quake has

  amplitude
  10x greater than
  6.2
30x energy released
Richter values
Mercalli scale
Tsunamis
    Not tidal waves



    High velocity



    silent

December 26, 2004
    9.2 earthquake




    250,000 deaths

December 26, 2004
Predicting Earthquakes
    May 12, 2008

Ancient Earthquakes
    Jericho





    Red Sea

Decade of Earthquakes
    London



    Feb 8, 1750

    March 6, 1750
Lisbon
    Nov 1 1755



    All Saints Day



    tsunami

Rev. Charles Davy


    “Every parish church, convent, nunnery,

    palace, and public edifice, with an infinite
    number of private houses, were either
    thrown down or so miserably shattered that
    it was rendered dangerous to pass by
    them.
    The whole number of persons that
    perished, including those who were burnt
    or afterwards crushed to death whilst
    digging in the ruins, is supposed, on the
    lowest calculation, to amount to more than
    sixty thousand;”
New Madrid, MO 1811
San Francisco 1906
SF Earthquake 1906
   April 18, 1906
    5:12 am

   7.8 - 8.2

   42 seconds
    of shaking
Bay Area quakes
   1836 7.0

   1838 7.0

   1858 6.4

   1861 6.1

   1865 6.6

   1868 6.9
San Francisco 1905
    Dennis Sullivan



    1851 “Great Fire”



    1900 City Hall

April 18, 1906
    Caruso @ Palace Hotel

Fire
   Ruptured gas lines

   74 hours

   490 blocks
    damaged

   $500 million
Aftermath
    40,000+

    Homeless

    Chinatown



    500 - 3000 deaths

1906 - 1989
Loma Prieta 1989
   Oct 17, 1989
    5:04 pm



   7.2


   15 - 20 seconds
1989
    Battle of the Bay



    Game 3

Bay Bridge
Cypress Street Viaduct
SF Marina
Liquefaction
Santa Cruz




    Garden Mall

Loma Prieta 1989
    67 deaths,

    3800 injured

    12,000 homeless



    $6 Billion

Benefits?
    Stopped Hayward

    creep

    Raised mountains




    retrofitting

The Next Quake
    70% probability

    in the next 20-30
    years
Northridge 1994
    Jan 17, 1994

    4:30 am

    61 deaths,

    9,000 injured

    $20 Billion

Palm Desert
    Oct 16, 1999




    6.9 magnitude

Seattle 2001
    Feb 28, 2001





    6.8 magnitude

Pacific Northwest
    Potential?




    tsunami

Plate tectonics
Vulcanism
Hot spots
Hawaiian Islands
Ring of Fire
Magma Pressure
Volcanic Gases




    VOG

    (volcanic smog)
Benefits?
    Fertile soil





    Land creation

Geothermal Energy
Extinct vs. Dormant vs. Active
    Extinct

    (Devil’s Tower)

    Dormant

    (Mt. Fuji)

    Active

    (Kilauea)
Iceland
Historic Eruptions
    Toba 74,000 yrs ago

Caldera
    MT. Mazama



Aka Crater Lake
Santorini
    1628 BC




    Atlantis?

Yellowstone
Krakatoa
    August 27, 1883

Krakatoa
    Localized tsunami Sumatra/Java

Mt. Pelee
    Martinique, May 1902

    nuee ardente
    (pyroclastic flow)
Mt St Helens
    May 1980




    $3 Billion damage

Mt St Helens
    Lahar





    Infrastructure

    damage
Cascade Volcanoes
Predicting Eruptions
    Earthquakes



    Ground temperatures



    Chouet

Silent Killers 1986
    Lake Nyos

    Cameroon
El Chichon 1982
Mt. Pinatubo 1991
Mt Pinatubo
Mt. Tambora 1815
“The Year without a Summer”
   1816

    “Darkness” (Lord Byron)


    “I had a dream, which was not all a
    dream.
    The bright sun was extinguish'd, and the
    stars
    Did wander darkling in the eternal space,
    Rayless, and pathless, and the icy earth
    Swung blind and blackening in the
    moonless air;
    Morn came and went--and came, and
    brought no day”
Franklin 1783-4
    Laki, Iceland


    Asama, Japan
1816

     Jefferson’s Journal
 
Volcanoes and Climate
    Volume of debris




    Height of Column




    Gases emitted

Volumes of Eruption Debris
    Volcanic Explosivity Index

    (VEI)
Eruption     Year   VEI   Casualties
Nevado del   1985   3     25,000
Ruiz
Mt. Pelee    1902   4     30,000
Krakatau     1883   6     36,000
Tambora      1815   7     92,000
Unzen        1792   3     15,000
Laki         1783   4     9,000
Kelut        1586   4     10,000
Climate effects
Earth’s climate
    Habitable zone



    Sufficient Gravity



    Water

Early Earth

 3 Billion years ago
     initially H2& He

 Nitrogen (N2),
  Carbon dioxide(CO2)
  from volcanoes
Photosynthesis
 CO2 + H2O -----> O2 + Glucose
Earth’s atmosphere
 N2 78%


 O2 20.9%


 Ar 0.93 %


 CO2 0.038%
Carbon Dioxide levels
Global Temperatures
Historic Climate Eras
Medieval Warm Period
   Population Boom

   Viking Travel

   England exported
    wine

   Steppe Drought
The Little Ice Age
   Grain production

   Ergot Blight

   Plague

   Patagonian
    icefields
Climate Cycles




   Ice Ages and Interglacials
Ice Age - Glacial Maximum
Tree Rings - Dendrochronology
Assessing Historic Climates
    Glacial Ice Cores

Glacial Ice Cores

   Air composition

   Volcanic ash
    pollen

   Oxygen isotope
    distribution
Oxygen Isotopes -16O, 18O
Isotope data
Causes of Climate Cycles
    Orbital variation




    Tilt change




    Solar flux

Orbital Variation
 100,000 year cycle
Obliquity of the Earth’s Axis
    Tilt = 23.5o

Changes in the Earth’s Tilt
    41,000 year cycle




    Greater tilt: Interglacial




    Less tilt: Glaciation

Precession
    26,000 year cycle

Solar Forcing
    Changes in Flux

Sunspots
Maunder Minimum
Comparison
Cosmic Rays
Cloud Cover
Greenhouse gases
Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse Gases
Venus

  800 K temp

  90x atmosphere

  96% CO2
Global Warming
   Glacial Melting

   Permafrost thaw

   Increased evaporation

   Coral reef bleaching

   Seasonal change
Glacial Melting
Polar Ice Caps
Greenland
Antarctic Ice
Sea Level Rising
Coastlines Affected
One to Five meter rise
Since the last Glacial Maximum
Consequences
San Francisco
Increased Evaporation Rates

Severe Storms


Coastal Erosion


Fires
Tropical Storm Formation
2005
    Katrina

    Rita
    Wilma
Coastal Erosion
2005 Coastal Erosion

Hurricane Rita
Saltwater Intrusion
Ocean Heat Penetration
El Niño
El Niño 1998
El Niño Frequency
Permafrost Thaw
Coral Reef Bleaching
Wildlife Habitats
Already Extinct
Expanded Pest Ranges
Expanded Pest Populations
Ocean Conveyor Belt
Salinity Decrease
Day After Tomorrow?
    Abrupt Climate

    change
Climate Flip Flop
    Positive

    feedback
Abrupt Climate Change
Younger Dryas
   12,800 - 11,400 yo

   Thermohaline
    reversal?


   Agriculture?
The New Ice Age
The New Interglacial
The New Interglacial Climate
Locations Affected
What is affected?
   Agriculture

   Transportation

   Population distribution

   Energy needs
Oceanic Overturning
Carbon Content
Carbon Capture & Storage
Marine Sequestration
Photosynthesis
 CO2 + H2O -----> O2 + Glucose
Reforestation
Chemical Conversion
   Carbon dioxide
    ---->
    formic acid

   Preservative
   Perfume
   Scale removal
   Fuel cells
CO2 to Fuel
    Using

    gallium
    phosphide
CO2 absorption
    Peridotite

    (Oman)
CO2 Consumption by Algae
    GreenFuel Technologies

Lower Emissions
Carbon - Free?
Hydrogen Fuel Cells
Fuel Cell Hybrids

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ERMslides3