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URI
Jonathan PloudrĂŠ, MD
    unchart.com
   December, 2011
Seriously, URI?

• Um, Who cares?
• It’s self-limiting…
• This isn’t even important enough to score a
  chapter in my Pathology book
Primary Care
          disruption

• November 2011: Wal-Mart has plans to go
  into Primary Care. (npr.org)
• From 2007 to Now: 10x increase in retail
  clinic visits. (advisory.com)
#FMRevolution

             • FPs are just gatekeepers to proceduralists
             • FPs are wasting their talents
             • FPs will be replaced by mid-levels
             • Or: FPs are the center of a modern, high-
                  quality, efcient health-care system.


URI is a perfect example of ‘wasting talent’ or being replaceable, right?
Is Dr. PloudrĂŠ an
                        Expert on URI?
500



375



250



125



  0
         URI       Cough     Sinusitis Pharyngitis   ETD   Strep   Conjunctivitis Bronchitis   AOM

I’ve diagnosed these things a lot in the past 3 years…
OK-plateau?

• Joshua Foer: How many of you are faster at
  typing than you were a year ago?
• Autopilot or Deliberate Practice?
• I can diagnose and treat URI-related illness
  1000x in the past few years but unless I’m
  deliberately practicing, I may not be an expert.
Non Deliberate
        Medicine
• In Med school/Residency everyone had an
  ‘Allegra’ Pen or ‘Claritin’ notepad.
• Non-sedating antihistamines cost $100/
  month then.
• How did I get to be a 3rd year FP resident
  before I learned nasal corticosteroids were
  dramatically more effective than non-
  sedating antihistamines?
Deliberate EBM
              PICO
         • Patient / Population / Problem (among
              _____)
         • Intervention / Exposure (does _____)
         • Comparison (versus ______)
         • Outcome (affect _______)
Keep asking questions. Check things you think you know.
54yo Female presents with 5 day history of
illness. Initially started with a sore throat. On
the second day she developed a runny nose
and some nasal congestion. She’s just
developed a nonproductive cough.

Exam: Afebrile, Unremarkable.
URI
Among healthy adults with viral URI

does antibiotic treatment

vs watchful waiting

affect length of illness?
“Sure.” (55% of Patients)




                                                                                      J Gen Intern
                                                                                          Med
                                                                                         1999

“Oh, last time I got that 5 day prescription that works for 10 days. It was great.”
2 prescriptions for antibiotics
        (Respiratory/UTI) in primary care
        results in measurable increase in
        antibiotic resistance that can last as long
        as 12 months.




                                                                BMJ 2010


We know antibiotics are ineffective. And potentially harmful.
Antibiotics:
        Number Needed to Harm = ~16




                                                            Lancet, 2004


Not to mention population level issues like MRSA and VRE…
Overprescription
• OK, no antibiotics. Now what?
What works for URI
    Use This:          For This:
                   Fever, Sore Throat,
 Acetaminophen
                          Aches
                   Fever, Sore Throat,
    NSAIDs
                          Aches
dextromethorphan         cough

 pseudoephedrine      congestion

  antihistamines   sneezing, sedation
What works for
                       Peds URI?
                        Use This:                           For This:

                                                        Fever, Sore Throat,
                    Acetaminophen
                                                               Aches
                                                        Fever, Sore Throat,
                         NSAIDs
                                                               Aches

                     antihistamines                          sedation

FDA in 2007: Oops. Pseudoephedrine can overdose kids.
Among healthy adults with viral URI

does guaifenisen

vs watchful waiting

affect impact of cough?
What doesn’t work
Guaifenisen for cough (except Smokers/COPD)




        Antihistamines for rhinorrhea




         phenylephrine (Sudafed PE)
Zinc for shortening
       URI?                  Saline Gargle for
                               reducing URI
                                 frequency


       Probiotics for reducing URI frequency?


                 Echinacea for shortening URI
 Vitamin C for
shortening URI
Zinc for shortening
       URI?                  Saline Gargle for
                               reducing URI
                                 frequency


       Probiotics for reducing URI frequency?


                 Echinacea for shortening URI
 Vitamin C for
shortening URI
Among patients with URI

does prescribing antibiotics

vs explaining why not to prescribe

affect length of the visit?
Maybe 0-1 minute longer visit.




                                  Arch Pediatr
                                  Adolesc Med,
                                 2005. Clin Ther,
                                     2003;
Explaining Inaction
           “Viral”              “I think it isn’t right”

        “Resistance”               “Microbiome”

         “Natural”                  “Overused”

“Yeast Infection or Diarrhea”    “I’m the Doctor”

      “Doesn’t work”                      …
A tale of 2 doctors
27yo Male presents with 10 day history of
illness. Initially started with a sore throat,
then runny nose then cough. Started to
improve until 3 days ago when he started to
develop purulent nasal discharge and mild
chills.

Exam: Afebrile, Unremarkable except facial
tenderness over the left maxilla.
Sinusitis
Among adults with classic sinusitis

does antibiotic treatment

vs watchful waiting

affect length of illness?
Yes. But NNT = 8. No symptom clearly
separates bacterial from viral sinusitis.
(Green discharge, ie, doesn’t matter.)

Without Purulent Discharge NNT = 15.
(Remember: NNH = 16.)

Prevalencee studies: ~97% of sinusitis is
not bacterial. No treatment in some
studies for up to 3 week unless febrile.

                                            Lancet, 2008
Sinus Rinse?
Effective for Chronic Sinusitis

Probably effective for URI, Allergic
Rhinitis, Irritant Rhinitis.

Ploudre Opinion: Whoa. That
seriously gets snot out of my nose. But
50% of patients dislike it.


                                          Am Fam Phys,
                                             2009
Among adults with hx of recurrent sinusitis

does adding nasal corticosteroids to abx

vs antibiotics alone

affect length of illness?
Yes 93% vs 73% clinical success rate.
        Median of 6 days vs 9 days.

        “If you take this nasal spray, you’ll
        probably get better about 3 days earlier.”




                                                             JAMA, 2001


I seriously just looked this up in PubMed in ~ 90 seconds.
43 yo Female presents with cough. Illness
started with a mild runny nose but cough
quickly became main issue. Now 16 days into
the illness with nonproductive cough. Cough
disrupts sleep now.

Exam: 98% pulse ox, afebrile. Otherwise
unremarkable.
Bronchitis
Among adults with bronchitis

does azithromycin

vs Vitamin C

affect length of illness?
No.




      Lancet, 2002
rld Ethical   Practice
 Wo
     ie re
Prem
              E=   E 3

      Ethical = Evidenced x
      Economic x Etiquette
Ethical Azithromycin?
              Well:
              It doesn’t really work
              It used to cost $75
              But patients love it’s tolerability and
              convenience.



Contrast: Bronchitis, Smokers with Bronchitis, Smoker with COPD exacerbation
Bronchitis Etiquette

“Bronchitis” vs “Chest Cold”
26% vs 13% of Patients disatised about
not getting antibiotics.




                                          J. Am Board Fam
                                            Practice, 2005
See One,
                                 Do One,
                                Teach One.

Just this week I learned why I always use Nystatin for newborn thrush.
Is URI a waste of time?
Yes: It might take a good programmer a
week to create a good statistical prediction
rule to outperform most doctors in
providing evidence-based care.
Yes: Another case of the US spending more
than anyone with little to show for it.
Is URI a waste of time?
No: URI visits are a chance to ‘calibrate
sensors’ for patients through education.
No: URI visits can be used to reduce our
dangerous habit of overprescription of
antibiotics.
No: URI is a source of rapport and a deeper
doctor-patient relationship.
?

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URI

  • 1. URI Jonathan PloudrĂŠ, MD unchart.com December, 2011
  • 2. Seriously, URI? • Um, Who cares? • It’s self-limiting… • This isn’t even important enough to score a chapter in my Pathology book
  • 3. Primary Care disruption • November 2011: Wal-Mart has plans to go into Primary Care. (npr.org) • From 2007 to Now: 10x increase in retail clinic visits. (advisory.com)
  • 4. #FMRevolution • FPs are just gatekeepers to proceduralists • FPs are wasting their talents • FPs will be replaced by mid-levels • Or: FPs are the center of a modern, high- quality, efcient health-care system. URI is a perfect example of ‘wasting talent’ or being replaceable, right?
  • 5. Is Dr. PloudrĂŠ an Expert on URI? 500 375 250 125 0 URI Cough Sinusitis Pharyngitis ETD Strep Conjunctivitis Bronchitis AOM I’ve diagnosed these things a lot in the past 3 years…
  • 6. OK-plateau? • Joshua Foer: How many of you are faster at typing than you were a year ago? • Autopilot or Deliberate Practice? • I can diagnose and treat URI-related illness 1000x in the past few years but unless I’m deliberately practicing, I may not be an expert.
  • 7. Non Deliberate Medicine • In Med school/Residency everyone had an ‘Allegra’ Pen or ‘Claritin’ notepad. • Non-sedating antihistamines cost $100/ month then. • How did I get to be a 3rd year FP resident before I learned nasal corticosteroids were dramatically more effective than non- sedating antihistamines?
  • 8. Deliberate EBM PICO • Patient / Population / Problem (among _____) • Intervention / Exposure (does _____) • Comparison (versus ______) • Outcome (affect _______) Keep asking questions. Check things you think you know.
  • 9. 54yo Female presents with 5 day history of illness. Initially started with a sore throat. On the second day she developed a runny nose and some nasal congestion. She’s just developed a nonproductive cough. Exam: Afebrile, Unremarkable.
  • 10. URI
  • 11. Among healthy adults with viral URI does antibiotic treatment vs watchful waiting affect length of illness?
  • 12. “Sure.” (55% of Patients) J Gen Intern Med 1999 “Oh, last time I got that 5 day prescription that works for 10 days. It was great.”
  • 13. 2 prescriptions for antibiotics (Respiratory/UTI) in primary care results in measurable increase in antibiotic resistance that can last as long as 12 months. BMJ 2010 We know antibiotics are ineffective. And potentially harmful.
  • 14. Antibiotics: Number Needed to Harm = ~16 Lancet, 2004 Not to mention population level issues like MRSA and VRE…
  • 16. • OK, no antibiotics. Now what?
  • 17. What works for URI Use This: For This: Fever, Sore Throat, Acetaminophen Aches Fever, Sore Throat, NSAIDs Aches dextromethorphan cough pseudoephedrine congestion antihistamines sneezing, sedation
  • 18. What works for Peds URI? Use This: For This: Fever, Sore Throat, Acetaminophen Aches Fever, Sore Throat, NSAIDs Aches antihistamines sedation FDA in 2007: Oops. Pseudoephedrine can overdose kids.
  • 19. Among healthy adults with viral URI does guaifenisen vs watchful waiting affect impact of cough?
  • 20. What doesn’t work Guaifenisen for cough (except Smokers/COPD) Antihistamines for rhinorrhea phenylephrine (Sudafed PE)
  • 21. Zinc for shortening URI? Saline Gargle for reducing URI frequency Probiotics for reducing URI frequency? Echinacea for shortening URI Vitamin C for shortening URI
  • 22. Zinc for shortening URI? Saline Gargle for reducing URI frequency Probiotics for reducing URI frequency? Echinacea for shortening URI Vitamin C for shortening URI
  • 23. Among patients with URI does prescribing antibiotics vs explaining why not to prescribe affect length of the visit?
  • 24. Maybe 0-1 minute longer visit. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med, 2005. Clin Ther, 2003;
  • 25. Explaining Inaction “Viral” “I think it isn’t right” “Resistance” “Microbiome” “Natural” “Overused” “Yeast Infection or Diarrhea” “I’m the Doctor” “Doesn’t work” …
  • 26. A tale of 2 doctors
  • 27. 27yo Male presents with 10 day history of illness. Initially started with a sore throat, then runny nose then cough. Started to improve until 3 days ago when he started to develop purulent nasal discharge and mild chills. Exam: Afebrile, Unremarkable except facial tenderness over the left maxilla.
  • 29. Among adults with classic sinusitis does antibiotic treatment vs watchful waiting affect length of illness?
  • 30. Yes. But NNT = 8. No symptom clearly separates bacterial from viral sinusitis. (Green discharge, ie, doesn’t matter.) Without Purulent Discharge NNT = 15. (Remember: NNH = 16.) Prevalencee studies: ~97% of sinusitis is not bacterial. No treatment in some studies for up to 3 week unless febrile. Lancet, 2008
  • 32. Effective for Chronic Sinusitis Probably effective for URI, Allergic Rhinitis, Irritant Rhinitis. Ploudre Opinion: Whoa. That seriously gets snot out of my nose. But 50% of patients dislike it. Am Fam Phys, 2009
  • 33. Among adults with hx of recurrent sinusitis does adding nasal corticosteroids to abx vs antibiotics alone affect length of illness?
  • 34. Yes 93% vs 73% clinical success rate. Median of 6 days vs 9 days. “If you take this nasal spray, you’ll probably get better about 3 days earlier.” JAMA, 2001 I seriously just looked this up in PubMed in ~ 90 seconds.
  • 35. 43 yo Female presents with cough. Illness started with a mild runny nose but cough quickly became main issue. Now 16 days into the illness with nonproductive cough. Cough disrupts sleep now. Exam: 98% pulse ox, afebrile. Otherwise unremarkable.
  • 37. Among adults with bronchitis does azithromycin vs Vitamin C affect length of illness?
  • 38. No. Lancet, 2002
  • 39. rld Ethical Practice Wo ie re Prem E= E 3 Ethical = Evidenced x Economic x Etiquette
  • 40. Ethical Azithromycin? Well: It doesn’t really work It used to cost $75 But patients love it’s tolerability and convenience. Contrast: Bronchitis, Smokers with Bronchitis, Smoker with COPD exacerbation
  • 41. Bronchitis Etiquette “Bronchitis” vs “Chest Cold” 26% vs 13% of Patients disatised about not getting antibiotics. J. Am Board Fam Practice, 2005
  • 42. See One, Do One, Teach One. Just this week I learned why I always use Nystatin for newborn thrush.
  • 43. Is URI a waste of time? Yes: It might take a good programmer a week to create a good statistical prediction rule to outperform most doctors in providing evidence-based care. Yes: Another case of the US spending more than anyone with little to show for it.
  • 44. Is URI a waste of time? No: URI visits are a chance to ‘calibrate sensors’ for patients through education. No: URI visits can be used to reduce our dangerous habit of overprescription of antibiotics. No: URI is a source of rapport and a deeper doctor-patient relationship.
  • 45. ?

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