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Outlook for the U.S. Economy and Financial Crisis Causes
- 1. A Precarious Balance: Outlook for the U.S. Economy Dr. John Caldwell Director of Economics Edison Electric Institute
- 2. What Constitutes a Recession? Source: Federal Reserve Board Interruptions in Long-Run Growth
- 3. The Business Cycle Since WWII Note: Average annual real GDP growth during this period has been 3.4%.
- 5. The Economic Crisis: Timeline 2000 2005 1995 1990âs U.S. Stock Market Boom Asian Financial Crisis Start of Housing Bubble â Dot-Comâ Recession; Collapse of Stock Bubble Energy/Commodity Prices Soar Start of Current Recession Housing Prices Peak
- 8. Americaâs Growing Reliance Upon Debt Source: Federal Reserve Board
- 9. Recent Trends Indicate A Rise in Both Poverty and Debt
- 10. State of the Economy Some Disturbing âVital Signsâ
- 11. How Serious is This One? Comparison with Past Recessions 1929 = 42 months 1929 = 25% 1929 = 27% 1929 = 89%
- 14. National Debt Will Continue to Grow Source: Congressional Budget Office Will reach 85% of GDP in 2010
- 15. â Follow the Moneyâ Why Government Spending Is Not a Long-Term Solution Private Sector Investment Government Spending Private Savings Taxes Foreign Investment (from Trade Deficit) $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
- 18. Thank You!