The document summarizes population trends in Jerusalem from 1967 to 2006. Key points include: - The Jewish population grew at a slower rate than the Arab population, reducing the Jewish majority. - High birth rates among ultra-Orthodox Jews and Arabs contributed to population growth. - Internal migration patterns saw many non-religious Jews leaving for suburbs while ultra-Orthodox groups grew. - Population projections estimate Arabs will reach 40% of the total by 2020, challenging government policy to maintain a Jewish majority.

1. Populations of Jerusalem Processes of Change, 1967-2006 The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies Dr. Maya Choshen JIIS

17. The demographic balance in Jerusalem The Jewish majority is diminishing JIIS 2007 1967 34% 26% Arabs 66% 74% Jews

18. Population Growth 1967–2006 JIIS Total 156% 175% Arab 260% 268% Jewish 140% 143% Israel Jerusalem

19. Together with the growth in population, the city’s built-up area has also grown and expanded JIIS 2006

21. How did the city's population grow and reach its current state? JIIS

25. Birth rates in Jerusalem JIIS

26. Fertility Rate, 2006 (Number of children a woman is expected to bear in her lifetime) JIIS Entire Population All Jews .. .. 1.9 1.9 Haifa .. .. 1.9 2.0 Tel Aviv-Yafo 4.0 3.7 2.7 2.9 Israel 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 Jerusalem Muslim Arabs All Arabs

30. Mortality Rates in Jerusalem Decrease due to improvements in health conditions, health services, and preventative medicine JIIS

32. Age Structure in Jerusalem JIIS

34. Immigrants to Jerusalem (Jews) JIIS

38. Internal Migration to and from Jerusalem (Jewish) JIIS

42. Migration Balance by Districts JIIS

43. The Migration of the Arab Population Ramallah, A-Ram Bethlehem Security Fence East Jerusalem JIIS

44. “ General” Jewish Population Pisgat-Ze’ev Maale Adumim Bet-Shemesh Gilo Tel-Aviv area JIIS

45. Ultra-Orthodox Jewish Population Satellite Neigh. Ultra-Orthodox localities Ultra-Orthodox localities Center Satellite Neigh. JIIS

51. Population Projection Source: Sergio Della Pergola JIIS Total 267,000 (100%) 658,000 (100%) 947,000 (100%) Arabs 69,000 (26%) 209,000 (31%) 358,000 (38%) Jews 198,000 (74%) 449,000 (69%) 589,000 (62%) 1967 2000 2020

53. Population projection - trends JIIS Arabs Jews 31% 69% 2000 2035 2020 50% 40% 50% 60%

54. Population Projection by Group JIIS

64. Populations of Jerusalem Processes of Change, 1967-2006 The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies Dr. Maya Choshen Thank you JIIS