1. Jerusalem as a Key to National Security Indicators for Jerusalem Israel Kimhi Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies

4. Strong Jerusalem National Security Basic Assumption: JIIS

5. Findings from our recent survey: 95% of Israeli Jewish Population believes that A large Jewish majority in Jerusalem is most important 77% of Israel population believes that An economically strong Jerusalem with a Jewish majority contributes to the national strength of Israel The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS

8. Indicators for Jerusalem: Demography The demographic balance in Jerusalem The Jewish majority is Diminishing The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS 2004 1967 34% 26% Arabs 66% 74% Jews

9. Population Distribution The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS Jews Palestinians

10. Indicators for Jerusalem: Demography Population projection - trends The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS Arabs Jews 31% 69% 2000 2035 2020 50% 39% 50% 61%

11. Indicators for Jerusalem: Demography Migration balance – population leaving The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS

12. Indicators for Jerusalem: economy & society Low participation in labor force* (2003) * Rate of the employees and work seekers aged 15 and over The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS Israel Jerusalem Jerusalem - Jews Tel aviv

13. Indicators for Jerusalem: Economy & Society The employment structure (2004): The rate of employees in business & finances is low; high in public service The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS Rate of employees in public service Rate of employees in business & finances

14. Indicators for Jerusalem: Economy & Society income per capita - low The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS 3,101 Be’er-sheva 3,485 Haifa 4,458 Tel aviv 1,962 Jerusalem

15. Indicators for Jerusalem: Economy & Society Poverty rate* (2003) – The poorest large city in Israel * Persons under the poverty line The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS Tel aviv Jerusalem - Jews Jerusalem Israel

16. Indicators for Jerusalem: Economy & Society Poverty rate* (2003) – The Arab population is the poorest * Persons under the poverty line The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS Jerusalem - Arabs Jerusalem - Jews

18. Indicators for Jerusalem: Security Terror casualties – Terror stricken city Frightened to live in Jerusalem: 9% of Jerusalem citizens 27% of the rest of Israel The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS 767 837 Tel aviv (15%) (17%) 1,524 1,390 Jerusalem (30%) (29%) 5,081 4,847 Israel Total 2000-2003 1967-1999 Area 239 (5%) 89 (2%) Haifa

19. Indicators for Jerusalem: Economy & Society Tourist overnight stays – The beginning of a recovery The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 Overnight stays (thousands) JIIS 1,341 2004 639 2002 Overnight stays (thousands) Year 2,923 2000

20. Indicators for Jerusalem: Economy & Society Hotel revenues in Jerusalem East Jerusalem – small share The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 East Jerusalem West Jerusalem Thousands NIS per quarter year JIIS

22. 74% of Israeli population visited west Jerusalem in the last 2 years 68% visited the wailing wall ( not including Jerusalem citizens ) The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS

23. 63% of Israeli population willing to hand over the hold on the Arab neighborhoods in east Jerusalem for real peace 92% are not willing to hand over the hold on the Jewish Quarter in the old city The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS

24. Willingness for concessions in Jerusalem The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 JIIS 63% Willing to concede for real peace: 100% Total 37% Not willing for any concession 55% The Arab neighborhoods 5% The Jewish quarter 3% The Jewish quarter & the wailing wall

25. The city borderline is anachronistic and needs to be redefined JIIS

26. Changing the municipal structure of Jerusalem Decentralization JIIS

27. The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 Decentralization of authority to municipal boroughs Possible layout JIIS

28. Jerusalem metropolitan Area The metropolitan area " The green line " Jerusalem – Municipal area Ramalla A-Ram Bet Shemesh Abu Dis Mevaseret Zion Abu Gosh The Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies, 2006 Maale Adumim JIIS

29. The Security Fence, Crossing Points JIIS

30. Demographic Alternative JIIS Palestinian population Jewish population Checkpoint Fortified road Proposed road Alternative route Jerusalem jurisdiction

32. The Old city % aged 15+ with primary or lesser education % of households lacking shower or bath JIIS

33. The Old city % of households living in a density of over 2.5 persons per room Combined faults index JIIS

34. A Strategic master plan is essential A new Vision for the City JIIS

37. Jerusalem as a Key to National Strength Indicators for Jerusalem Israel Kimhi Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies JIIS Thank you