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James Matson – Matson Consulting
Joan Walker – Matson consulting

Case Study for a Small Farm Cidery

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM

October 16, 2013
The Family Farm Dilemma


Family farms face a common problem.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Background


Case study for the feasibility of a small farm
cider in Nelson County, Virginia.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Hard Cider Case Study

$12.17
Average Wholesale Price of
a Bushel of Apples

$55.00
Value of 5 bottles of hard
cider sold at $11.00 per bottle.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
History of Hard Cider






Safe and abundant substitute for water during colonial
times.
Growth in beer popularity coupled with prohibition lead to
market decline.
A recent resurgence has occurred.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Market Growth
U.S. Production of Hard Cider

Gallons

17,322,156
18,000,000
16,000,000
14,000,000
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
-

6,401,562

2008

9,420,955
7,612,897
6,927,690

2009

2010

2011

2012

Year
803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Cidery Description


Small Farm Cidery
•



On-Going Snapshot
•



Producing between 4,500
and 8,400 gallons

Focusing on the break
even point

Combination of industry
elements
803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Product Information
Item

Retail

Wholesale

Premium 750 ml bottles

$17.00

$10.20

Everyman 750 ml bottle

$11.00

$6.60

Everyman Cider in
kegs (price/gal)

$19.00

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Expense Breakdown
Unforseen Costs
8%
General/Administrative
Costs
21%

Variable Costs
46%

Marketing Costs
10%
Facility Costs
12%

Equipment Costs
3%
803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Apple Expense




Blend of cull, juicing and heirloom apples
Average cost per bushel


$12.17

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Variable Expense Breakdown
Taxes, Lab
and Other
Costs, 4.1%
Utilities and
Gasoline
, 1.3%

Apple
Purchase
Fee, 15.4%

Variable
Labor, 15.5%
Bottling
Materials, 11.
3%
803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Break Even


Break even sales of 4,800 gallons per year.
 This

requires around 1,600 bushels of apples.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Net Income

Net Income ($)

$46,204
$50,000
$45,000
$40,000
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0

$14,113

$1,414

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Variations in Apple Prices
Earnings (Loss) EBITDA ($)
Bushel Price

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Baseline

$12.17

$20,000

$33,000

$71,000

50% Increase In
Apple Prices

$19.05

$7,500

$18,000

$47,000

75% Increase In
Apple Prices

$21.30

$1,000

$11,000

$36,000

EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes,
Depreciation and Amortization.
803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC |
MATSONCONSULT.COM
Variations in Apple Prices Cont.
Bushel Price
100%
Increase In
Apple Prices

$24.34

Earnings (Loss) EBITDA ($)
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3

($5,000)

$3,000

$24,000

With an 100% increase in apple prices,
the sales level required to breakeven
increases by 400 gallons.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Viable Business Option


Positive study results




Results follow industry
norms.
Steady increase in profits.



Apple prices are a small
percentage of overall
costs.



Lower barriers to entry.
803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Expansion


U.S. hard cider sales are increasing 



A receptive consumer marketplace exists.

Rural development opportunities –


Growth of youth participating in agricultural practices.

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
Additional Information
For more information on hard cider
download our “Feasibility Study for a
Small Farm Cidery in Nelson
County, Virginia”
Visit:
http://matsonconsult.com/publications.html

803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM

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Case Study for a Small Farm Cidery

  • 1. James Matson – Matson Consulting Joan Walker – Matson consulting Case Study for a Small Farm Cidery 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM October 16, 2013
  • 2. The Family Farm Dilemma  Family farms face a common problem. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 3. Background  Case study for the feasibility of a small farm cider in Nelson County, Virginia. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 4. Hard Cider Case Study $12.17 Average Wholesale Price of a Bushel of Apples $55.00 Value of 5 bottles of hard cider sold at $11.00 per bottle. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 5. History of Hard Cider    Safe and abundant substitute for water during colonial times. Growth in beer popularity coupled with prohibition lead to market decline. A recent resurgence has occurred. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 6. Market Growth U.S. Production of Hard Cider Gallons 17,322,156 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 - 6,401,562 2008 9,420,955 7,612,897 6,927,690 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 7. Cidery Description  Small Farm Cidery •  On-Going Snapshot •  Producing between 4,500 and 8,400 gallons Focusing on the break even point Combination of industry elements 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 8. Product Information Item Retail Wholesale Premium 750 ml bottles $17.00 $10.20 Everyman 750 ml bottle $11.00 $6.60 Everyman Cider in kegs (price/gal) $19.00 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 9. Expense Breakdown Unforseen Costs 8% General/Administrative Costs 21% Variable Costs 46% Marketing Costs 10% Facility Costs 12% Equipment Costs 3% 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 10. Apple Expense   Blend of cull, juicing and heirloom apples Average cost per bushel  $12.17 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 11. Variable Expense Breakdown Taxes, Lab and Other Costs, 4.1% Utilities and Gasoline , 1.3% Apple Purchase Fee, 15.4% Variable Labor, 15.5% Bottling Materials, 11. 3% 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 12. Break Even  Break even sales of 4,800 gallons per year.  This requires around 1,600 bushels of apples. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 13. Net Income Net Income ($) $46,204 $50,000 $45,000 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 $14,113 $1,414 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 14. Variations in Apple Prices Earnings (Loss) EBITDA ($) Bushel Price Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Baseline $12.17 $20,000 $33,000 $71,000 50% Increase In Apple Prices $19.05 $7,500 $18,000 $47,000 75% Increase In Apple Prices $21.30 $1,000 $11,000 $36,000 EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 15. Variations in Apple Prices Cont. Bushel Price 100% Increase In Apple Prices $24.34 Earnings (Loss) EBITDA ($) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 ($5,000) $3,000 $24,000 With an 100% increase in apple prices, the sales level required to breakeven increases by 400 gallons. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 16. Viable Business Option  Positive study results   Results follow industry norms. Steady increase in profits.  Apple prices are a small percentage of overall costs.  Lower barriers to entry. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 17. Expansion  U.S. hard cider sales are increasing   A receptive consumer marketplace exists. Rural development opportunities –  Growth of youth participating in agricultural practices. 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM
  • 18. Additional Information For more information on hard cider download our “Feasibility Study for a Small Farm Cidery in Nelson County, Virginia” Visit: http://matsonconsult.com/publications.html 803.233.7134 | AIKEN, SC | MATSONCONSULT.COM

Editor's Notes

  1. Production growth of 39% during 2010 and 42% in 2011.
  2. $46,000, or that of an average annual salary. $300,000 of expenses, low fermenatati