3. Traffic Source for Graph
• Source: VDOT Traffic
Modeling and Analysis
Memorandum
• May 18 Revised
• 366 pages
• Page 15 Analysis is easy
to understand
• The proposal for this
road is based on
percentages, should be
based on actual
numbers and capacity
5. This road helps Gum Spring Road
Personal Testimony:
I drove up Gum Spring
Road during PM rush
hour last week and
there was no traffic.
Recently, Gum Spring
Road has been
widened to four lanes.
There is no need to
relieve congestion on
Gum Spring Road
anymore.
I question whether
these traffic numbers
take the new lanes on
Gum Spring Road into
consideration.
6. • Notice Gum
Spring Road is
Purple going
south
• Arrows point
to true
congestion
• Source: Mr.
Kilpatrick’s
VDOT Hylton
Presentation,
July 3rd, 2013
?
2040 PM Traffic No Build
Road color indicates capacity
7. 2040 PM Build Scenario
• Notice Gum
Spring Road is
now pink
going south
• All other areas
stay the same
for rush hour
traffic
?
8. Land Bought by Developers
• Source:
Piedmont
Environmental
Council
12. What about the
economic benefit?
Employment
Growth Per Square
Mile
Economic
Growth is east
and north of
PWC
Source: Corridor
Master Plan
13. • I thought it was interesting that Mr. Connaughton’s
presentation showed economic growth in the
Gainesville area, but that doesn’t seem to be reflected
in the maps in the Corridor Master Plan
14. • Leesburg City
Council is against
the Bi-County
Parkway
• Political threats
• Source:
Leesburgtoday,
• July 20, 2013
15. Why Leesburg City Council is against
this Road
“I attended almost all of the meeting VDOT held including in
Prince William and other locations and I found it interesting that
every meeting I went to the message was different. In Prince
William they talked about air cargo and in the next meeting it
wasn't going to have anything to do with airport cargo,” Burk
said. “So every one of the meetings I went to I got more
frustrated because I felt there was a different emphasis on each
meeting. It is obvious economic development has twice as
much value with the project. I don't necessarily agree with
that, but what struck me is the economic development is all
east of the actual road.” Burke
http://www.loudountimes.com/news/article/leesburg_town_council_stands_firm_opposes_vdot_north_south
_corridor_stud312
16. % of Pages Dedicated to Economic
Data to Support Bi-County Parkway in
the Corridor Master Plan
2 of 173 pages
included data
to indicate
there would be
an increase in
cargo at Dulles
17. Growth at Dulles
• This is the only
evidence of cargo
growth in the
Corridor Master
Plan
• Found on page 50
• Notice the source
for the freight
data is Boeing and
MWAA
18. Facts about Dulles Cargo Growth
• Dulles
Cargo down
11% this
past year
• Tied to
Europe’s
economy
• Source:
Wash Biz
Journal, 4/1
1/13
19. Facts about Dulles
• Dulles
ridership
down 8% this
past year
• Meanwhile, R
aegan and
BWI are
growing
• Source:
Washington
Post, July 19
2013
20. Question the Generalizations
“This road will bring economic benefit to Prince
William County.”
• Growth will be north and east of PWC
• Dulles is currently on the decline
• Corridor Master Plan doesn’t seem to have a lot
of objective data to support their economic
claims
21. Question the Generalizations
• “…all should be able to agree that traffic in western
Prince William and eastern Loudoun County is bad
and going to be getting worse unless we build the
transportation facilities necessary to address it.” Mr.
Connaughton, letter to the editor, June 20, 2013
• This road does not address the traffic issues
in Western Prince William, it is designed to
help Gum Spring Road – and that road is
already clear because of the widening to 4
lanes. It will also help Rt. 15 10% - 16%.
22. Question the Generalizations
• “Anyone regularly traveling in this area knows
going north and south already can be a
miserable slog. Current traffic counts and
projected forecasts show that roads like
Routes 15, 234, Gum Spring Road and other
north-south routes already are overwhelmed
and face pandemic congestion by 2040 if the
Bi-County Parkway is not built.” Mr.
Connaughton, June 20, 2013, Letter to the
Editor Ashburn Patch
23. “Pandemic” Congestion is Still East-
West in 2040
?• Notice
traffic on
Balls Ford
Road gets
worse
with the
build
scenario
24. Question the Generalizations
• I would like to request the Board of County
Supervisors look for data to support the claims
25. Suggestions
• Focus on public transportation
– Gas prices are going to go up as we run out of
“easy oil”
– Advocate to build bus, VRE, and metro
infrastructure now to prevent an uncomfortable
transition to alternative transportation later
• Build VRE to Gainesville
• Increase buses to/from DC, including the commuter lot
at 234 bypass and during off-peak hours
• Advocate for Metro to Fairfax County Parkway
• Add a bus from Gainesville to Woodbridge
26. What about the connection b/t PWC
and Loudoun?
• Build the Battlefield Bypass first before closing
234, as was intended in the 1988 resolution
• Is there a way to make a little two lane
connection from 234 Bypass to Pageland Lane
that doesn’t utilize park land?
27. What about the traffic in the park?
• Put up “No
Trucks” signs
• Lower the roads
within the park
- or -
• Build pedestrian
tunnels under
the road
• Example:
JMU pedestrian
tunnel to the
arts facility. It’s
beautiful!