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Spotlight on GCC
Insurance
Industry with
specific reference
to UAE



          Jabran Noor
          This is a summary of the Takaful scene in Middle East
          with specific reference to UAE
Jabran Noor



              Spotlight on GCC Insurance Industry
                 with specific reference to UAE

Contents
1. Macro-Level Analysis of GCC ……………………………………………………………….. Page 2

2. Economic and Insurance Indicators ……………………………………………………... Page 2

3. Country-wise Analysis ………………………………………………………………………… Page 3

4. Regulatory setup ………………………………………………………………………………… Page 5

5. Islamic Models of Insurance ………………………………………………………………… Page 7

6. UAE Non-Life Insurance Market …………………………………………………………... Page 9

7. Leading Companies in UAE ………………………………………………………………….. Page 11




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1.       Macro-Level Analysis of GCC

The six countries of the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC – Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi
Arabia and UAE) have some of the fastest growing economies of the world. Following is a summary
of the economies.

                                          2001     2002      2003     2004      2005     2006      2007
Real Sector
Real GDP growth (percent)                  5.7      2.1      9.1       6.8      6.8       6.2      5.3
Real Non-oil growth (percent)              5.0      5.9      6.9       7.2      7.3       7.9      7.8
Nominal GDP ($bn)                          333      350      405       483      612       719      804
Nominal GDP growth (percent)              (2.7)    5.1%    15.7%     19.3%    26.7%     17.5%    11.8%
Crude oil production (million b/d)        13.9     13.1     14.9      15.4     16.0      16.0     15.4
Gas production (boe)                       2.6      2.8      3.0       3.3      3.5       3.8      4.0

Financial Indictors
Fiscal balance (pecentage GDP)             -         3.5      5.3      12.6     20.3      22.8     19.8
Consumer Price Inflation (ave)              1.0      2.0      3.0       4.0      5.0       6.0      7.0
Domestic debt, gross (percent GDP)           59     59.8     50.6      40.6     26.6      19.7     14.5
Domestic debt, net (percent GDP)           67.8     68.2     60.6      45.8     23.3      12.7      1.8
Current account balance ($bn)              31.5       25     52.2      89.4    166.7     196.7    188.3
Current account balance (percent GDP)       9.5      7.1     12.9      18.5     27.2      27.4     23.4
Foreign assets ($bn)                     1,077    1,102    1,154     1,243    1,410     1,607    1,795



In 2007, the combined nominal GDP of GCC countries was around US$ 800 billion. This is about
70% of the Indian economy and about 80% of the South Korean economy.

The GCC economies are growing at a very rapid rate. The Real GDP, which is in the region of 5-6%
has tended to fluctuate with oil output. The contribution of the non-oil sector has been more
vigorous. The non-oil growth has been more than 1.2% p.a. higher than the overall compound GDP
growth in the period 2004-2007.

Financial indicators are also impressive. The average fiscal surplus is around 20% of the GDP in
2007 while the aggregate current account surplus is around 23% of the GDP. Net foreign assets
have also increased rapidly to about US$ 1.8 trillion in 2007.

Inflation data is weak in many economies of the region and often understated by the inclusion of
basket of items subject to regulation or control. The CPI is now running well above 10 percent in
most of the countries. Inflation is going to be a major challenge for the economies to tackle in the
future.

2.       Economic and Insurance Indicators

The insurance industry of the GCC countries is considerably under-developed. This is in contrast to
considerably high economic prosperity of the region as indicated by the GDP per capita. Following
is a summary of the key indictors of the countries. Figures for Malaysia have also been included in
order to benchmark the figures against an Islamic country with developed insurance industry. UK
and US market figures are also included.




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       Saudi Arabia                          Kuwait                                  Bahrain
       GWP 07                  US$2,269m     GWP 07                     US$734m      GWP 07                    US$355m
       Life vs Non-Life               3:97   Life vs Non-Life               18:82    Life vs Non-Life              29:71
       Penetration - Overall         0.6%    Penetration - Overall          0.6%     Penetration - Overall         1.8%
          Life                       0.0%       Life                        0.6%        Life                       0.5%
          Non-Life                   0.6%       Non-Life                    0.5%        Non-Life                   1.3%
       Density - Overall            US$92    Density - Overall            US$257     Density - Overall           US$444
          Life                       US$3       Life                       US$46        Life                     US$129
          Non-Life                  US$89       Non-Life                  US$211        Non-Life                 US$315
       GDP Per Capita           US$15,223    GDP Per Capita            US$40,345     GDP Per Capita           US$24,625




       Qatar                                 UAE                                     Oman
       GWP 07                   US$538m      GWP 07                    US$3,555m     GWP 07                    US$414m
       Life vs Non-Life              5:95    Life vs Non-Life                17:83   Life vs Non-Life              18:82
       Penetration - Overall        0.9%     Penetration - Overall           1.9%    Penetration - Overall         1.1%
          Life                      0.0%        Life                         0.3%       Life                       0.2%
          Non-Life                  0.9%        Non-Life                     1.5%       Non-Life                   0.9%
       Density - Overall          US$640     Density - Overall             US$812    Density - Overall           US$160
          Life                     US$34        Life                       US$141       Life                      US$29
          Non-Life                US$606        Non-Life                   US$671       Non-Life                 US$131
       GDP Per Capita          US$73,750     GDP Per Capita             US$43,182    GDP Per Capita           US$15,000




       Malaysia                              UK                                      USA
       GWP 07                  US$8,824m     GWP 07                  US$463,686m     GWP 07                US$1,229,668m
       Life vs Non-Life              67:33   Life vs Non-Life                75:25   Life vs Non-Life                47:53
       Penetration - Overall         4.6%    Penetration - Overall          15.7%    Penetration - Overall           8.9%
          Life                       3.1%       Life                        12.6%       Life                         4.2%
          Non-Life                   1.5%       Non-Life                     3.0%       Non-Life                     4.7%
       Density - Overall           US$332    Density - Overall            US$7114    Density - Overall            US$4087
          Life                     US$222       Life                      US$5731       Life                      US$1922
          Non-Life                 US$111       Non-Life                  US$1383       Non-Life                  US$2164
       GDP Per Capita           US$7,218     GDP Per Capita            US$45,459     GDP Per Capita            US$46,009




The economic prosperity of individual GCC countries in terms of GDP per capita is about 2 – 10
times that of Malaysia. However, the insurance premium for Malaysia is higher than the combined
insurance premiums for the GCC countries.

Malaysian insurance industry contributes 4.6% to the GDP of the country. In contrast, the GCC
insurance industry contribute only 0.5% - 2% to the GDP of their respective countries. The
contribution of insurance in USA and UK is around 9% and 16% respectively.

The insurance industry of GCC countries is pre-dominantly non-life. The share of non-life insurance
ranges from 3% - 30% of the total industry. Malaysia, in contrast has a life industry almost twice
the size of it non-life industry.

3.     Country-wise Analysis

The following graph shows the gross written premium of the GCC countries.




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                 Gross Written Premium
   4.0                                                US$ bn
   3.5
   3.0
   2.5
   2.0
   1.5
   1.0
   0.5
   -
         UAE    Saudi    Kuw ait      Qatar    Oman   Bahrain
                Arabia

                           Non-Life     Life



UAE and Saudi Arabia combined compromise 75% of the insurance industry of GCC, split as 50%
and 25% between the two countries. Other countries have similar market share of around 5% each.

Non-Life market forms the dominant portion of the insurance business within the GCC countries.
Only UAE has a reasonable quantum of life insurance business. However, this forms only 15% of the
total insurance premium of the country.

The following charts give the progression of GDP and Gross Written Premiums for each of the
countries over a period of 2003-2007, again benchmarked against Malaysia.




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     Progression of GDP and GWP
                                                                Saudi Arabia                                                                                                                   Kuwait
                                   450                                                               2,500                                                         140                                                           800
                                   400                                                                                                                                                                                           700




                                                                                                                    GWP (Million USD)
                                                                                                                                                                   120




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           GWP (Million USD)
              GDP (Billion USD)




                                                                                                                                            GDP (Billion USD)
                                   350                                                               2,000
                                                                                                                                                                   100                                                           600
                                   300
                                                                                                     1,500                                                                                                                       500
                                   250                                                                                                                                 80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 400
                                   200                                                                                                                                 60
                                                                                                     1,000
                                   150                                                                                                                                                                                           300
                                                                                        0.59%                                                                          40     0.77%    0.74%      0.63%    0.60%     0.63%
                                   100          0.46%     0.40%      0.44%     0.52%                 500                                                                                                                         200
                                    50                                                                                                                                 20                                                        100
                                      -                                                              -                                                             -                                                             -
                                              2003       2004        2005       2006      2007                                                                              2003      2004       2005      2006       2007
                                                                     Year                        GWP as % of GDP                                                                                 Year                      GWP as % of GDP



                                                                  Bahrain                                                                                                                       Qatar
                                      25                                                                 400                                                           70                                                        600
                                                                                                         350




                                                                                                                 GWP (Million USD)
                                                                                                                                                                       60




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             GWP (Million USD)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 500
           GDP (Billion USD)




                                                                                                                                             GDP (Billion USD)
                                      20
                                                                                                         300
                                                                                                                                                                       50
                                                                                                         250                                                                                                                     400
                                      15
                                                2.17%    2.14%                                                                                                         40
                                                                                1.75%    1.80%           200                                                                                                                     300
                                      10
                                                                     1.56%                                                                                             30
                                                                                                         150
                                                                                                                                                                            1.02%     1.00%      0.99%             0.91%         200
                                                                                                         100                                                           20                                 0.81%
                                          5
                                                                                                         50                                                            10                                                        100
                                  -                                                                      -                                                         -                                                             -
                                              2003       2004        2005        2006      2007                                                                             2003      2004       2005      2006       2007
                                                                     Year                                                                                                                        Year
                                                                                                 GWP as % of GDP                                                                                                           GWP as % of GDP



                                                                                                                                                                                                  Oman
                                  200                               UAE                              4,000                                                             45                                                            450
                                  180                                                                3,500                                                             40                                                            400
                                                                                                                GWP (Million USD)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                GWP (Million USD)
       GDP (Billion USD)




                                                                                                                                               GDP (Billion USD)




                                  160                                                                                                                                  35                                                            350
                                                                                                     3,000
                                  140
                                                                                                                                                                       30                                                            300
                                  120                                                                2,500
                                                                                                                                                                       25                                                            250
                                  100                                                                2,000
                                                                                                                                                                       20                                                            200
                                    80                                                               1,500
                                    60          1.02%    1.00%       0.99%     0.81%    0.91%                                                                          15     1.22%    1.08%     0.98%    1.05%    1.06%             150
                                                                                                     1,000                                                             10                                                            100
                                    40
                                    20                                                               500                                                                5                                                            50
                                  -                                                                  -                                                             -                                                                 -
                                              2003      2004         2005       2006      2007                                                                              2003      2004        2005     2006       2007
                                                                    Year                                                                                                                          Year
                                                                                                 GWP as % of GDP                                                                                                             GWP as % of GDP



                                                                  Malaysia
                                  200                                                               10,000
                                  180                                                               9,000
                                                                                                               GWP (Million USD)
     GDP (Billion USD)




                                  160                                                               8,000
                                  140                                                               7,000
                                  120                                                               6,000
                                  100          4.72%     4.22%      4.19%               4.88%       5,000
                                                                               3.82%
                                    80                                                              4,000
                                    60                                                              3,000
                                    40                                                              2,000
                                    20                                                              1,000
                                  -                                                                 -
                                              2003      2004        2005       2006      2007                                               Sources:
                                                                    Year                                                                    - Gross Written Premium : AXCO Reports, Sw iss Re Sigma Report, Industry Figures
                                                                                                GWP as % of GDP
                                                                                                                                            - GDP : World Bank




The Gross Written Premium as % of GDP for all GCC countries has declined over the years 2003-
2007. Saudi Arabia is the only exception to this. However, Saudi Arabia has the lowest penetration
rate within the GCC countries at only about 0.6% of the GDP. In contrast, the contribution of
insurance to the GDP has increased in Malaysia.

4.                                 Regulatory setup

Following is a summary of the regulatory setup within the GCC countries and Malaysia




                                                                                                                                        6
Jabran Noor



 Country         Regulatory Body                        Market Summary                 Capital Requirements                                            Regulatory Overview                                                                    Shariah Compliance
Saudi                                                                                                                   - In 2003 a law was passed requiring all insurance companies to operate under Sharia'a
Arabia     Saudi Arabian M onetary Agency        - SAM A processing licenses of 35    - SR 100m (US$ 27m) for           compliant Takaful insurance model; Exit plan for non-compliant companies in place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       - Saudi Arabian law system is based on Shariah
           (Insurance Supervision Directorate)   companies.                           insurers                          - Significant improvement in regulations since SAM A took over regulations in 2004
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       - Fiqh Academy in 1985, allowd cooperative insurance. This led to
                                                 - 14 have got license to operate.                                      - New licenses require around 25%-40% of the compnay to be listed on local market
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       establishment of NCCI in 1986
           Also "Council of Cooperative Health - NCCI, established in 1986 was        - Solvency requirements are       - Foreign insurers can have maximum ownership of 49% with requirment to list also
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       - Saudi Arabia does not explicity require use of takaful models
           Insurance" for health insurance     partly privitized in 2004              prescribed                        applying



Kuwait                                           - 25 companies present
                                                  - 15 national companies (10
                                                    composite; 5 non-life only)                                         - Insurance law was enacted in 1961, however in 2004 FSAP commented on weekness of
           Ministry of Commerce and Industry      - 8 Arab companies (6 composite;                                      existing law and recommended as a priority to enact a new law
           (Insurance Department)                   2 non-life only)                                                    - Existing supervisory processess are mostly focused on administrative work in addition to
                                                  - 3 branches of foreign companies                                     ensuring insurers' compliance with regulations
                                                   (1 composite; 2 non-life only)
                                                 - no state insurer

Bahrain                                          - 27 companies present
                                                                                      BD 5m (US$ 13m) for insurers
                                                  -18 locally incorporated companies
                                                  - 9 branches of foreign companies and BD 10m (US$ 27m) for            - Well astablished an applied legal framewor, considered the most advanced in the region
                                                 - 56 exempt insurance and            reinsurers                        - Bahrain issued Insurance Rulebook in April 2005. The rulebook sets out elaborate
           Central Bank of Bahrain
                                                 reinsurance companies licensed in                                      licensing and operational regulations for both conventional and Takaful insurance
                                                 Bahrain but purely operating         - Solvency requirements are       - No limits on foreign ownership in Bahrain Joint Stock Company
                                                 outside country                      prescribed for foreign insurers
                                                 - no state insurer

Qatar
           Dual Regulatory Regime                - 12 licensed companies                                                -The insurance law was enacted in 1966 and lacked adequate legislation
            - Ministry of Economy                 - 5 national companies
                                                                                                                        - Currently insurance companies can get a license to operated form Qatar Financial Center
            - Qatar Financial Center (QFC)        - 7 foreign companies
                                                                                                                        ("QFC") which has world class regulations



UAE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       - Under Federal Law 6 of 2007, establishmed of conventional and takaful
           Dual Regulatory Regime                                                                                       - In mid 80s the country had put restrictions on issuance of new licenses to foreign
                                                 - 48 licensed companies              - M inimum paid-up capital in                                                                                                    companies is allowed, but no further requirements for operations of
            - Ministry of Economy; Insurance                                                                            companies, however in 2004 the coutnry started issuing licenses again
                                                   - 24 national companies            place                                                                                                                            takaful companies have been decided.
              Commission setup in 2007                                                                                  - Currently the capabilities of regulatory body and regulatory framework are
                                                   - 24 foreign companies                                                                                                                                              - DIFC encourages develolpment of takaful; Takaful companies are
            - Dubai International Financial                                                                             underdeveloped
                                                 - no state insurer                   - No solvency requirements                                                                                                       subject to same regulations as conventional insurers, but must also fulfil
             Financial Center (DIFC)                                                                                    - Abu Dhabi launched compulsory health insurance scheme in 2006
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       requirements set forth in Islamic Financial Services Handbook


Oman                                             - 19 licensed companies                                                - Insurance companies are governed by insurance law issued in 1979, which was last
                                                  - 10 national companies (3        - OR 0.3m (US$0.8m) for             updated in 2002
                                                    composite companies; 5 non-life insurers                            - The reulations have been significantly updated following the collapse of a local insurance
           Capital Market Economy                   only; 2 life only)
                                                                                                                        company in 2001 and now cover coperate governance, code of conduct and reinsurance
                                                  - 7 foreign companies (3
                                                                                      - minimum solvency                management strategies
                                                   composite companies;
                                                                                      requirements in place             - Foreign companies are required to reinsure upto 25% of the premiums in the country
                                                   3 non-life only; 1 life only)
                                                 - no state insurer                                                     with one or more of the national insurance companies

Malaysia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       - Aiming to become International Islamic financial hub as laid out in 2001
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       master plan.
                                                                                      - RM 100m (US$ 0.3m) for                                                                                                         - Shariah Advisory Council of Bank Negar M alaysia is responsible for
                                                 - 49 licensed companies              insurers and takaful companies                                                                                                   advising on matters related to takaful and other areas of islamic finance
                                                  - 8 composite companies                                               - Conventional Insurance governed by M alaysian Insurance Act, 1996                            - Director General of Takaful has to be satisfied that company is Shariah
                                                  - 25 non-life companies
           Bank Negara Malaysia                                                       - minimum solvency                - Takaful governed by M alaysian Takaful Act, 1984                                             Compliant
                                                  - 8 life only
                                                                                      requirments in place; Risk Based - Advanced regulatory regime in place for insurance and takaful companies                       - Regulatory does not require the use of specific takaful model
                                                  - 8 takaful operaters
                                                                                      Capital requirements introduced                                                                                                  - One of the two countries in the world with separate insurance
                                                 - no state insurer
                                                                                      on trial basis in 2007                                                                                                           regulations for Takaful companies (other being Pakistan)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       - Original model was M udarbah model but losing ground to Wakala. Only
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       two of original operators are still using M udarbah




                                                                                                                                            7
Jabran Noor




The regulatory regime of GCC countries is not very sophisticated. Not all countries have stringent
licensing, paid-up capital requirements and solvency regulations.

Bahrain and Saudi Arabia are in the process of implementing regulations modeled on the basis of
sophisticated insurance markets like UK and EU. This involves having proper licensing
requirements, paid-up capital, risk based solvency regulations, actuarial valuations and regular
statutory reporting. Qatar has an off-shore financial center and insurance regulations are in place
for operations from within the Qatar Financial Center (QFC). UAE, Kuwait and Oman have outdated
insurance regulations which are an impediment to growth of insurance within these countries.
Oman has recently tied up with QFC to develop regulations. UAE has taken steps in improving the
insurance regulations but this is based on Jordanian insurance model and not that of sophisticated
insurance markets.

The Shariah compliance for insurance companies in GCC countries is also not well established.
There are sporadic directives in place in some of the countries but nothing definitive in terms of
regulations.

In contrast, Malaysia has a very developed insurance regulatory environment. It has separate
regulations for conventional and Takaful companies. The regulator is also very pro-active in
implementing licensing and solvency regulations.

5.        Islamic Models of Insurance

Following chart gives the composition of insurance for the year 2007.

Composition of Insurance (2007)
                                                                                                              Takaful


                                                                                                       Cooperative Model



                                                                                                       Conventional within
                                                                                                        Islamic Financial
                                                                                                             System




 World Wide Insurance                                                                                                           (Billion US$)

                                             Insurance in
                         Insurance In Non-
              4,061 Muslim Countries            Muslim
                                               Countries

                                                            Conventional     Islamic
                                   4,016               45    Insurance     Insurance
                                                                                             Conventional
                                                                                                                Cooperative
                               99%               1%                  39              5.8     Within Islamic
                                                                                                                  Model
                                                                                                                                  Takaful
                                                                                           Financial System

                                                               87%             13%                     3.5               0.48           1.66

                                                                                                60%                 8%             28%

Source: Swiss Re Sigma




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Jabran Noor




Insurance is not a well-entrenched concept within the Islamic countries. It forms only 1% of the
world insurance in terms of premiums. About 87% of the insurance within the Islamic countries is
in form of conventional insurance and only about 13% is within the Islamic framework. A bulk of
this Islamic framework insurance (70%) is non-Takaful. This is predominantly the insurance
system of Iran and Saudi Arabia which is essentially the conventional insurance operating within an
overall Islamic financial system.

Takaful is based on a concept different from insurance as it involves sharing of risk within
participants instead of risk transfer to the insurance company. Takaful market is projected to
increase at a rapid pace (around 25-35% per annum) and international players within the
insurance markets are embracing the concepts on conceptual and market potential grounds.

Following chart gives the composition of the Takaful market.


Takaful                            (billion US$)




         Malaysia           0.53             32%




       Saudi Arabia         0.43             26%




  Other Muslim Countries    0.24             15%




         Sudan              0.23             14%



        Indonesia           0.10              6%

          UAE               0.08              5%
         Bahrain            0.04              2%




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Jabran Noor



Sudan is the pioneer in Takaful. However, over the years, Malaysia has truly embraced the concept
of Takaful and worked towards promoting it side-by-side with conventional insurance. Takaful
companies are regulated through 'Malaysian Takaful Act, 1984'.

Malaysia has a market share of 32% of the Takaful market followed by Saudi Arabia at 26%. The
market share of Takaful in UAE is only 5%. There are only a few Takaful operators in UAE.
However, the trend for newly licensed insurance companies in UAE is to operate on a Takaful
model.

6.     UAE Non-Life Insurance Market

The following chart gives a snapshot of the UAE Non-Life insurance market.




                                               10
Jabran Noor




UAE Non-Life Insurance Market
                     Gross Written Premium - Non-Life                                                            Composition of Gross Written Premium
                                                                             AED bn
  12                                                                                              100%

  10                                                                                                 80%
                                                                    29%
   8                                                                                                 60%
                                                  23%
   6                            30%
                                                                                                     40%
                     20%
   4                                                                                                 20%

   2                                                                                                  0%

   -                                                                                                      2003                 2004               2005              2006                  2007
              2003           2004             2005               2006        2007
                                                                                                           Marine & Aviation    Fire     Non Motor General Accidents   Motor     Others



                                Retention Ratio                                                                         Gross Loss Ratio - All Lines

   100%
                                                                                                100%
       80%
                                                                                                 80%
       60%
                                                                                                 60%
       40%
                                                                                                 40%
       20%

       0%                                                                                        20%

                 2003          2004            2005              2006        2007                 0%
                                                                                                                 2003            2004             2005            2006                2007
                                       Retained      Reinsured


             Gross Loss Ratio - Marine & Aviation                                Gross Loss Ratio - Fire                                              Gross Loss Ratio - Marine & Aviation
                                                                                                                                       100%
 100%                                                             100%                                                                  90%
                                                                                                                                        80%
  80%                                                              80%                                                                  70%
                                                                                                                                        60%
  60%                                                              60%
                                                                                                                                        50%
                                                                   40%                                                                  40%
  40%
                                                                                                                                        30%
  20%                                                              20%                                                                  20%
                                                                                                                                        10%
   0%                                                               0%                                                                   0%
             2003     2004    2005     2006       2007                    2003       2004     2005        2006      2007                       2003       2004    2005     2006         2007



    Gross Loss Ratio - Non Motor General Accidents                               Gross Loss Ratio - Motor                                             Gross Loss Ratio - Others
 100%                                                             100%                                                                 100%
  90%                                                              90%                                                                  90%
  80%                                                              80%                                                                  80%
  70%                                                              70%                                                                  70%
  60%                                                              60%                                                                  60%
  50%                                                              50%                                                                  50%
  40%                                                              40%                                                                  40%
  30%                                                              30%                                                                  30%
  20%                                                              20%                                                                  20%
  10%                                                              10%                                                                  10%
   0%                                                               0%                                                                   0%
        2003    2004      2005    2006     2007                           2003      2004      2005        2006      2007                       2003       2004     2005        2006       2007



                                                                                                            Non-Life Premium as % of Total Gross Written Premium
                     Net Loss Ratio & Expense Ratio

 100%                                                                                           100%

  80%                                                                                            80%

  60%
                                                                                                 60%
  40%
                                                                                                 40%
  20%
                                                                                                 20%
   0%
              2003           2004             2005           2006            2007                    0%
                                                                                                                 2003            2004              2005           2006                2007
                                 Net Loss Ratio   Expense Ratio




                                                                                       11
Jabran Noor



The non-life gross written premium has increase at an average rate of around 25% over the period
2003-2007.

The composition according to class of business has been largely stable. Motor and Non-Motor
General Accidents form the two largest classes of business with a composition of about 35% and
28% respectively. Marine and Fire comprise about 15% each with other lines of business being 5%.

The retention ratios has increase slightly over the years. Around 50% of the premiums are being
retained by the insurance companies with the balance being reinsured.

The gross loss ratio for the overall portfolio is considerably stable at around 60%. By class of
business, motor and marine and aviation have relatively stable loss ratios. Greatest volatility was
experienced in case of fire insurance.

The Net Loss Ratio and Expense Ratios have declined slightly over the years. The overall ratio is
around 95% in 2007, down from nearly 100% in 2004.

7.     Leading Companies in UAE

Following is a summary of the financials for companies in UAE
                                                                                                (AED mn)
     2007




Most of the companies are operating in all three lines of business – non-life, life and health
insurance.

Oman Insurance, Abu Dhabi National Insurance Company, Islamic Arab Insurance Company are the
top three insurance companies, having a combined market share of around 45%. The second-tier of
companies are Arab Orient Insurance, Al Ain Ahlia Insurance, Emirates Insurance Company and Al
Buhairah National Insurance Company, with a combined market share of 30%.

Most of the insurance companies in the list posted double-digit ROE in 2007.




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Insurance Report Gcc Jabran Noor

  • 1. Spotlight on GCC Insurance Industry with specific reference to UAE Jabran Noor This is a summary of the Takaful scene in Middle East with specific reference to UAE
  • 2. Jabran Noor Spotlight on GCC Insurance Industry with specific reference to UAE Contents 1. Macro-Level Analysis of GCC ……………………………………………………………….. Page 2 2. Economic and Insurance Indicators ……………………………………………………... Page 2 3. Country-wise Analysis ………………………………………………………………………… Page 3 4. Regulatory setup ………………………………………………………………………………… Page 5 5. Islamic Models of Insurance ………………………………………………………………… Page 7 6. UAE Non-Life Insurance Market …………………………………………………………... Page 9 7. Leading Companies in UAE ………………………………………………………………….. Page 11 2
  • 3. Jabran Noor 1. Macro-Level Analysis of GCC The six countries of the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC – Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE) have some of the fastest growing economies of the world. Following is a summary of the economies. 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Real Sector Real GDP growth (percent) 5.7 2.1 9.1 6.8 6.8 6.2 5.3 Real Non-oil growth (percent) 5.0 5.9 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.9 7.8 Nominal GDP ($bn) 333 350 405 483 612 719 804 Nominal GDP growth (percent) (2.7) 5.1% 15.7% 19.3% 26.7% 17.5% 11.8% Crude oil production (million b/d) 13.9 13.1 14.9 15.4 16.0 16.0 15.4 Gas production (boe) 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.0 Financial Indictors Fiscal balance (pecentage GDP) - 3.5 5.3 12.6 20.3 22.8 19.8 Consumer Price Inflation (ave) 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Domestic debt, gross (percent GDP) 59 59.8 50.6 40.6 26.6 19.7 14.5 Domestic debt, net (percent GDP) 67.8 68.2 60.6 45.8 23.3 12.7 1.8 Current account balance ($bn) 31.5 25 52.2 89.4 166.7 196.7 188.3 Current account balance (percent GDP) 9.5 7.1 12.9 18.5 27.2 27.4 23.4 Foreign assets ($bn) 1,077 1,102 1,154 1,243 1,410 1,607 1,795 In 2007, the combined nominal GDP of GCC countries was around US$ 800 billion. This is about 70% of the Indian economy and about 80% of the South Korean economy. The GCC economies are growing at a very rapid rate. The Real GDP, which is in the region of 5-6% has tended to fluctuate with oil output. The contribution of the non-oil sector has been more vigorous. The non-oil growth has been more than 1.2% p.a. higher than the overall compound GDP growth in the period 2004-2007. Financial indicators are also impressive. The average fiscal surplus is around 20% of the GDP in 2007 while the aggregate current account surplus is around 23% of the GDP. Net foreign assets have also increased rapidly to about US$ 1.8 trillion in 2007. Inflation data is weak in many economies of the region and often understated by the inclusion of basket of items subject to regulation or control. The CPI is now running well above 10 percent in most of the countries. Inflation is going to be a major challenge for the economies to tackle in the future. 2. Economic and Insurance Indicators The insurance industry of the GCC countries is considerably under-developed. This is in contrast to considerably high economic prosperity of the region as indicated by the GDP per capita. Following is a summary of the key indictors of the countries. Figures for Malaysia have also been included in order to benchmark the figures against an Islamic country with developed insurance industry. UK and US market figures are also included. 3
  • 4. Jabran Noor Saudi Arabia Kuwait Bahrain GWP 07 US$2,269m GWP 07 US$734m GWP 07 US$355m Life vs Non-Life 3:97 Life vs Non-Life 18:82 Life vs Non-Life 29:71 Penetration - Overall 0.6% Penetration - Overall 0.6% Penetration - Overall 1.8% Life 0.0% Life 0.6% Life 0.5% Non-Life 0.6% Non-Life 0.5% Non-Life 1.3% Density - Overall US$92 Density - Overall US$257 Density - Overall US$444 Life US$3 Life US$46 Life US$129 Non-Life US$89 Non-Life US$211 Non-Life US$315 GDP Per Capita US$15,223 GDP Per Capita US$40,345 GDP Per Capita US$24,625 Qatar UAE Oman GWP 07 US$538m GWP 07 US$3,555m GWP 07 US$414m Life vs Non-Life 5:95 Life vs Non-Life 17:83 Life vs Non-Life 18:82 Penetration - Overall 0.9% Penetration - Overall 1.9% Penetration - Overall 1.1% Life 0.0% Life 0.3% Life 0.2% Non-Life 0.9% Non-Life 1.5% Non-Life 0.9% Density - Overall US$640 Density - Overall US$812 Density - Overall US$160 Life US$34 Life US$141 Life US$29 Non-Life US$606 Non-Life US$671 Non-Life US$131 GDP Per Capita US$73,750 GDP Per Capita US$43,182 GDP Per Capita US$15,000 Malaysia UK USA GWP 07 US$8,824m GWP 07 US$463,686m GWP 07 US$1,229,668m Life vs Non-Life 67:33 Life vs Non-Life 75:25 Life vs Non-Life 47:53 Penetration - Overall 4.6% Penetration - Overall 15.7% Penetration - Overall 8.9% Life 3.1% Life 12.6% Life 4.2% Non-Life 1.5% Non-Life 3.0% Non-Life 4.7% Density - Overall US$332 Density - Overall US$7114 Density - Overall US$4087 Life US$222 Life US$5731 Life US$1922 Non-Life US$111 Non-Life US$1383 Non-Life US$2164 GDP Per Capita US$7,218 GDP Per Capita US$45,459 GDP Per Capita US$46,009 The economic prosperity of individual GCC countries in terms of GDP per capita is about 2 – 10 times that of Malaysia. However, the insurance premium for Malaysia is higher than the combined insurance premiums for the GCC countries. Malaysian insurance industry contributes 4.6% to the GDP of the country. In contrast, the GCC insurance industry contribute only 0.5% - 2% to the GDP of their respective countries. The contribution of insurance in USA and UK is around 9% and 16% respectively. The insurance industry of GCC countries is pre-dominantly non-life. The share of non-life insurance ranges from 3% - 30% of the total industry. Malaysia, in contrast has a life industry almost twice the size of it non-life industry. 3. Country-wise Analysis The following graph shows the gross written premium of the GCC countries. 4
  • 5. Jabran Noor Gross Written Premium 4.0 US$ bn 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 - UAE Saudi Kuw ait Qatar Oman Bahrain Arabia Non-Life Life UAE and Saudi Arabia combined compromise 75% of the insurance industry of GCC, split as 50% and 25% between the two countries. Other countries have similar market share of around 5% each. Non-Life market forms the dominant portion of the insurance business within the GCC countries. Only UAE has a reasonable quantum of life insurance business. However, this forms only 15% of the total insurance premium of the country. The following charts give the progression of GDP and Gross Written Premiums for each of the countries over a period of 2003-2007, again benchmarked against Malaysia. 5
  • 6. Jabran Noor Progression of GDP and GWP Saudi Arabia Kuwait 450 2,500 140 800 400 700 GWP (Million USD) 120 GWP (Million USD) GDP (Billion USD) GDP (Billion USD) 350 2,000 100 600 300 1,500 500 250 80 400 200 60 1,000 150 300 0.59% 40 0.77% 0.74% 0.63% 0.60% 0.63% 100 0.46% 0.40% 0.44% 0.52% 500 200 50 20 100 - - - - 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year GWP as % of GDP Year GWP as % of GDP Bahrain Qatar 25 400 70 600 350 GWP (Million USD) 60 GWP (Million USD) 500 GDP (Billion USD) GDP (Billion USD) 20 300 50 250 400 15 2.17% 2.14% 40 1.75% 1.80% 200 300 10 1.56% 30 150 1.02% 1.00% 0.99% 0.91% 200 100 20 0.81% 5 50 10 100 - - - - 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Year GWP as % of GDP GWP as % of GDP Oman 200 UAE 4,000 45 450 180 3,500 40 400 GWP (Million USD) GWP (Million USD) GDP (Billion USD) GDP (Billion USD) 160 35 350 3,000 140 30 300 120 2,500 25 250 100 2,000 20 200 80 1,500 60 1.02% 1.00% 0.99% 0.81% 0.91% 15 1.22% 1.08% 0.98% 1.05% 1.06% 150 1,000 10 100 40 20 500 5 50 - - - - 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Year GWP as % of GDP GWP as % of GDP Malaysia 200 10,000 180 9,000 GWP (Million USD) GDP (Billion USD) 160 8,000 140 7,000 120 6,000 100 4.72% 4.22% 4.19% 4.88% 5,000 3.82% 80 4,000 60 3,000 40 2,000 20 1,000 - - 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Sources: Year - Gross Written Premium : AXCO Reports, Sw iss Re Sigma Report, Industry Figures GWP as % of GDP - GDP : World Bank The Gross Written Premium as % of GDP for all GCC countries has declined over the years 2003- 2007. Saudi Arabia is the only exception to this. However, Saudi Arabia has the lowest penetration rate within the GCC countries at only about 0.6% of the GDP. In contrast, the contribution of insurance to the GDP has increased in Malaysia. 4. Regulatory setup Following is a summary of the regulatory setup within the GCC countries and Malaysia 6
  • 7. Jabran Noor Country Regulatory Body Market Summary Capital Requirements Regulatory Overview Shariah Compliance Saudi - In 2003 a law was passed requiring all insurance companies to operate under Sharia'a Arabia Saudi Arabian M onetary Agency - SAM A processing licenses of 35 - SR 100m (US$ 27m) for compliant Takaful insurance model; Exit plan for non-compliant companies in place - Saudi Arabian law system is based on Shariah (Insurance Supervision Directorate) companies. insurers - Significant improvement in regulations since SAM A took over regulations in 2004 - Fiqh Academy in 1985, allowd cooperative insurance. This led to - 14 have got license to operate. - New licenses require around 25%-40% of the compnay to be listed on local market establishment of NCCI in 1986 Also "Council of Cooperative Health - NCCI, established in 1986 was - Solvency requirements are - Foreign insurers can have maximum ownership of 49% with requirment to list also - Saudi Arabia does not explicity require use of takaful models Insurance" for health insurance partly privitized in 2004 prescribed applying Kuwait - 25 companies present - 15 national companies (10 composite; 5 non-life only) - Insurance law was enacted in 1961, however in 2004 FSAP commented on weekness of Ministry of Commerce and Industry - 8 Arab companies (6 composite; existing law and recommended as a priority to enact a new law (Insurance Department) 2 non-life only) - Existing supervisory processess are mostly focused on administrative work in addition to - 3 branches of foreign companies ensuring insurers' compliance with regulations (1 composite; 2 non-life only) - no state insurer Bahrain - 27 companies present BD 5m (US$ 13m) for insurers -18 locally incorporated companies - 9 branches of foreign companies and BD 10m (US$ 27m) for - Well astablished an applied legal framewor, considered the most advanced in the region - 56 exempt insurance and reinsurers - Bahrain issued Insurance Rulebook in April 2005. The rulebook sets out elaborate Central Bank of Bahrain reinsurance companies licensed in licensing and operational regulations for both conventional and Takaful insurance Bahrain but purely operating - Solvency requirements are - No limits on foreign ownership in Bahrain Joint Stock Company outside country prescribed for foreign insurers - no state insurer Qatar Dual Regulatory Regime - 12 licensed companies -The insurance law was enacted in 1966 and lacked adequate legislation - Ministry of Economy - 5 national companies - Currently insurance companies can get a license to operated form Qatar Financial Center - Qatar Financial Center (QFC) - 7 foreign companies ("QFC") which has world class regulations UAE - Under Federal Law 6 of 2007, establishmed of conventional and takaful Dual Regulatory Regime - In mid 80s the country had put restrictions on issuance of new licenses to foreign - 48 licensed companies - M inimum paid-up capital in companies is allowed, but no further requirements for operations of - Ministry of Economy; Insurance companies, however in 2004 the coutnry started issuing licenses again - 24 national companies place takaful companies have been decided. Commission setup in 2007 - Currently the capabilities of regulatory body and regulatory framework are - 24 foreign companies - DIFC encourages develolpment of takaful; Takaful companies are - Dubai International Financial underdeveloped - no state insurer - No solvency requirements subject to same regulations as conventional insurers, but must also fulfil Financial Center (DIFC) - Abu Dhabi launched compulsory health insurance scheme in 2006 requirements set forth in Islamic Financial Services Handbook Oman - 19 licensed companies - Insurance companies are governed by insurance law issued in 1979, which was last - 10 national companies (3 - OR 0.3m (US$0.8m) for updated in 2002 composite companies; 5 non-life insurers - The reulations have been significantly updated following the collapse of a local insurance Capital Market Economy only; 2 life only) company in 2001 and now cover coperate governance, code of conduct and reinsurance - 7 foreign companies (3 - minimum solvency management strategies composite companies; requirements in place - Foreign companies are required to reinsure upto 25% of the premiums in the country 3 non-life only; 1 life only) - no state insurer with one or more of the national insurance companies Malaysia - Aiming to become International Islamic financial hub as laid out in 2001 master plan. - RM 100m (US$ 0.3m) for - Shariah Advisory Council of Bank Negar M alaysia is responsible for - 49 licensed companies insurers and takaful companies advising on matters related to takaful and other areas of islamic finance - 8 composite companies - Conventional Insurance governed by M alaysian Insurance Act, 1996 - Director General of Takaful has to be satisfied that company is Shariah - 25 non-life companies Bank Negara Malaysia - minimum solvency - Takaful governed by M alaysian Takaful Act, 1984 Compliant - 8 life only requirments in place; Risk Based - Advanced regulatory regime in place for insurance and takaful companies - Regulatory does not require the use of specific takaful model - 8 takaful operaters Capital requirements introduced - One of the two countries in the world with separate insurance - no state insurer on trial basis in 2007 regulations for Takaful companies (other being Pakistan) - Original model was M udarbah model but losing ground to Wakala. Only two of original operators are still using M udarbah 7
  • 8. Jabran Noor The regulatory regime of GCC countries is not very sophisticated. Not all countries have stringent licensing, paid-up capital requirements and solvency regulations. Bahrain and Saudi Arabia are in the process of implementing regulations modeled on the basis of sophisticated insurance markets like UK and EU. This involves having proper licensing requirements, paid-up capital, risk based solvency regulations, actuarial valuations and regular statutory reporting. Qatar has an off-shore financial center and insurance regulations are in place for operations from within the Qatar Financial Center (QFC). UAE, Kuwait and Oman have outdated insurance regulations which are an impediment to growth of insurance within these countries. Oman has recently tied up with QFC to develop regulations. UAE has taken steps in improving the insurance regulations but this is based on Jordanian insurance model and not that of sophisticated insurance markets. The Shariah compliance for insurance companies in GCC countries is also not well established. There are sporadic directives in place in some of the countries but nothing definitive in terms of regulations. In contrast, Malaysia has a very developed insurance regulatory environment. It has separate regulations for conventional and Takaful companies. The regulator is also very pro-active in implementing licensing and solvency regulations. 5. Islamic Models of Insurance Following chart gives the composition of insurance for the year 2007. Composition of Insurance (2007) Takaful Cooperative Model Conventional within Islamic Financial System World Wide Insurance (Billion US$) Insurance in Insurance In Non- 4,061 Muslim Countries Muslim Countries Conventional Islamic 4,016 45 Insurance Insurance Conventional Cooperative 99% 1% 39 5.8 Within Islamic Model Takaful Financial System 87% 13% 3.5 0.48 1.66 60% 8% 28% Source: Swiss Re Sigma 8
  • 9. Jabran Noor Insurance is not a well-entrenched concept within the Islamic countries. It forms only 1% of the world insurance in terms of premiums. About 87% of the insurance within the Islamic countries is in form of conventional insurance and only about 13% is within the Islamic framework. A bulk of this Islamic framework insurance (70%) is non-Takaful. This is predominantly the insurance system of Iran and Saudi Arabia which is essentially the conventional insurance operating within an overall Islamic financial system. Takaful is based on a concept different from insurance as it involves sharing of risk within participants instead of risk transfer to the insurance company. Takaful market is projected to increase at a rapid pace (around 25-35% per annum) and international players within the insurance markets are embracing the concepts on conceptual and market potential grounds. Following chart gives the composition of the Takaful market. Takaful (billion US$) Malaysia 0.53 32% Saudi Arabia 0.43 26% Other Muslim Countries 0.24 15% Sudan 0.23 14% Indonesia 0.10 6% UAE 0.08 5% Bahrain 0.04 2% 9
  • 10. Jabran Noor Sudan is the pioneer in Takaful. However, over the years, Malaysia has truly embraced the concept of Takaful and worked towards promoting it side-by-side with conventional insurance. Takaful companies are regulated through 'Malaysian Takaful Act, 1984'. Malaysia has a market share of 32% of the Takaful market followed by Saudi Arabia at 26%. The market share of Takaful in UAE is only 5%. There are only a few Takaful operators in UAE. However, the trend for newly licensed insurance companies in UAE is to operate on a Takaful model. 6. UAE Non-Life Insurance Market The following chart gives a snapshot of the UAE Non-Life insurance market. 10
  • 11. Jabran Noor UAE Non-Life Insurance Market Gross Written Premium - Non-Life Composition of Gross Written Premium AED bn 12 100% 10 80% 29% 8 60% 23% 6 30% 40% 20% 4 20% 2 0% - 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Marine & Aviation Fire Non Motor General Accidents Motor Others Retention Ratio Gross Loss Ratio - All Lines 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 0% 20% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Retained Reinsured Gross Loss Ratio - Marine & Aviation Gross Loss Ratio - Fire Gross Loss Ratio - Marine & Aviation 100% 100% 100% 90% 80% 80% 80% 70% 60% 60% 60% 50% 40% 40% 40% 30% 20% 20% 20% 10% 0% 0% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Gross Loss Ratio - Non Motor General Accidents Gross Loss Ratio - Motor Gross Loss Ratio - Others 100% 100% 100% 90% 90% 90% 80% 80% 80% 70% 70% 70% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 50% 40% 40% 40% 30% 30% 30% 20% 20% 20% 10% 10% 10% 0% 0% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Non-Life Premium as % of Total Gross Written Premium Net Loss Ratio & Expense Ratio 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Net Loss Ratio Expense Ratio 11
  • 12. Jabran Noor The non-life gross written premium has increase at an average rate of around 25% over the period 2003-2007. The composition according to class of business has been largely stable. Motor and Non-Motor General Accidents form the two largest classes of business with a composition of about 35% and 28% respectively. Marine and Fire comprise about 15% each with other lines of business being 5%. The retention ratios has increase slightly over the years. Around 50% of the premiums are being retained by the insurance companies with the balance being reinsured. The gross loss ratio for the overall portfolio is considerably stable at around 60%. By class of business, motor and marine and aviation have relatively stable loss ratios. Greatest volatility was experienced in case of fire insurance. The Net Loss Ratio and Expense Ratios have declined slightly over the years. The overall ratio is around 95% in 2007, down from nearly 100% in 2004. 7. Leading Companies in UAE Following is a summary of the financials for companies in UAE (AED mn) 2007 Most of the companies are operating in all three lines of business – non-life, life and health insurance. Oman Insurance, Abu Dhabi National Insurance Company, Islamic Arab Insurance Company are the top three insurance companies, having a combined market share of around 45%. The second-tier of companies are Arab Orient Insurance, Al Ain Ahlia Insurance, Emirates Insurance Company and Al Buhairah National Insurance Company, with a combined market share of 30%. Most of the insurance companies in the list posted double-digit ROE in 2007. 12