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Glucose lowering for the
prevention of CVD:
Positive, Negative or Neutral
Iris Thiele Isip Tan MD, FPCP, FPSEM
Clinical Associate Professor, University of the Philippines College of Medicine
Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes & Metabolism
Department of Medicine, Philippine General Hospital
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Who will benefit
                                           UKPDS
       from tight
glycemic control?

                      Objective
                      To determine whether
                      improved glucose control
                      would prevent complications

   Newly diagnosed
    type 2 diabetes
           (n=3867)
   Median age 54 y

                                  UKPDS Group, Lancet 1998;352: 837-53
Newly diagnosed diabetes
                                                                                            UKPDS
                                   Newly diagnosed diabetes


                            FastingFasting plasma glucose >6mmoll
                                    plasma glucose >6 mmol/L         –1




                                              ‘Prudentdiet’
                                                 ‘Prudent diet’
                                               for 3–4 months
                                                for
                                                    3-4 mos
                                                                                            Design
                                               >6 mmol/L
                                                   >6mmoll–1
               <6 mmol/L
                !6mmoll     –1




                                            >6 and <15 mmol/L
                                             >6 and !15mmoll–1              >15 mmol/L
                                                                                    –1
                                                                              >15mmoll
              Diet satisfactory
              Diet satisfactory



                                           Main Main
                                                randomization       Primary dietfailure
                                                                       Primary diet failure
                                                                         randomization
                                           randomization              randomization
                        If ifbecomes
                              becomes
                                      –1
                        >6 mmol/L
                           >6mmoll

                                                                                         Figure adapted from King et al.
               Conventional policy
                Conventional policy                Intensive policy
                                                         Intensive policy                Br J Clin Pharmacol, 48:643-48
               target<15mmoll
                 target <15 mmol/L                target <6 <6mmoll
                                                        target mmol/L
                                 –1                                   –1




                   Diet only
                    Diet only              Sulphonylurea
                                             Sulphonylurea         Insulin
                                                                     Insulin        Metformin
                                                                                      Metformin
                                                                                 (obese patients only)
                                                                                    (obese patients only)
Figure 3 Design of UKPDS.
UKPDS
                                Endpoints

any diabetes-related
endpoint
diabetes-related death
all-cause mortality




                       UKPDS Group, Lancet 1998;352: 837-53
UKPDS Results
                             0
                                   -12           -25            -33          -21          -16
% Relative Risk Reduction




                            -10

                                  p=0.03
                                                                                        p=0.052
                            -20

                                                                           p=0.02
                                                p<0.01
                            -30


                                                               p<0.01
                            -40                           10-year follow-up median HbA1c
                                                                Intensive 7.0% (6.2-8.2%)
                                                            Conventional 7.9% (6.9-8.8%)
                            -50
                                  Any DM endpoint                       Microvascular complications
                                  Microalbuminuria at 12 yrs            Retinopathy
                                  Myocardial Infarction
Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction                   Fatal and n
               10
Hazard ratio

                         P<0.0001                                                  P=0.035




                1
                                             14% decrease per 1%
                                               reduction in HbA1c
               0.5
                     5         6  7        8   9     10
                  Microvascular end points                                       Cataract ex
               10                Updated mean HbA1c (%)
azard ratio




                         P<0.0001                                                  P<0.0001
                                                        Stratton et al, BMJ 2000; 321:405-12
e-
ne                                                   80
      Adjusted incidence per 1000 person years (%)

 to                                                            Myocardial infarction
                                                              Myocardial infarction
he                                                            Microvascular end points
als
                                                               Microvascular end points                                    At near normal A1c
 of
he                                                   60
                                                                                                                           Risk of MI 2-3x
 nt                                                                                                                        that of micro-
ow
he                                                                                                                         vascular endpoint
est
  a
                                                     40
%.
 g-
an
 to
 %
                                                     20
 in                                                                                                                        Adjusted for age, sex and ethnic
 of                                                                                                                        group, expressed for white men
 ce                                                                                                                         aged 50-54 years at diagnosis
ng                                                                                                                               and with mean duration of
by                                                                                                                                     diabetes at 10 years
                                                     0
  a                                                       5     6          7             8       9         10         11
 as
                                                                          Updated mean haemoglobin A1c concentration (%)
 rd
on    Fig 2 Incidence rates and 95% confidence intervals for myocardial                                                          Stratton et al, BMJ 2000; 321:405-12
  a   infarction and microvascular complications by category of updated
Who will benefit
                            No benefit
       from tight          in UKPDS?
glycemic control?




         Underpowered to detect
         reduction in CVD
Who will benefit
                             No benefit
       from tight           in UKPDS?
glycemic control?




            Too late to reverse
            macrovascular complications
Vascular disease begins early ...
Insulin resistance precedes overt
hyperglycemia or diabetes




LaSalle JR. Hosp Physician 2005


Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic
Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310
Vascular disease begins early ...
Insulin resistance precedes overt
hyperglycemia or diabetes

                                           2-fold increased
                                           risk of CVD in IGT




LaSalle JR. Hosp Physician 2005


Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic
Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310
Vascular disease begins early ...
Insulin resistance precedes overt
hyperglycemia or diabetes

                                            2-fold increased
                                            risk of CVD in IGT




LaSalle JR. Hosp Physician 2005


Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic
                                           Newly-diagnosed diabetics have
Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310           vascular disease at presentation
Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction        Fatal and non-fatal stroke
     Hazard ratio   10
                           P<0.0001
                                                                             Macrovascular disease
                                                                            P=0.035
                                                                                  occurs at a lower
10
                                                                                glucose threshold;
%)
                                                                                     influenced by
                                                                             components of MetSyn
                     1
                                                  14% decrease per 1%                               12% decrease per 1%
                                                    reduction in HbA1c                                reduction in HbA1c
                    0.5
                          Microvascular end points                         Cataract extraction
                    10
     Hazard ratio




                           P<0.0001                                           Microvascular but not
                                                                            P<0.0001

                                                                             macrovascular disease
                                                                             clearly associated with
                                                                                      hyperglycemia
                     1
k                                                 37% decrease per 1%                               19% decrease per 1%
 ,                                                  reduction in HbA1c                                reduction in HbA1c
                    0.5
 ,                    5           6        7         8        9       10              Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic
                                                                                              Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310
n                         Amputation or death from
Who will benefit
                                No benefit
       from tight              in UKPDS?
glycemic control?




           Cardiovascular disease in
           diabetes is multifactorial in origin
Dyslipidemia                                                Hypertension




                                                                   ACE Inhibitors
                                                           Angiotensin Receptor Blockers
       Statins
                                                                     !-Blockers
Fibric Acid Derivatives
                               ATHEROSCLEROSIS                Calcium Channel Blockers
 Thiazolidinediones?
                                                                     Diuretics




     Hyperglycemia                                             Platelet Activation
   Insulin Resistance                                          and Aggregation
                               Insulin
                              Metformin
                          Thiazolidinediones     Aspirin
                                               Clopidogrel
                            Sulfonylureas
                                                Ticlopidine
                           Nonsulfonylurea
                           Secretagogues


                                                            Beckman et al, JAMA 2002;287:2570-81
Steno-2
Multifactorial intervention
and cardiovascular disease

                       Objective
                       To compare the effect of a targeted,
                       intensified, multifactorial intervention
                       vs conventional treatment of
                       modifiable CV risk factors

Type 2 diabetes with
microalbuminuria
Mean age 55.1 y
Mean ff-up 7.8 y
(n=160)
                                            Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
Steno-2
                                 Endpoint

Composite of CV
death, nonfatal MI,
nonfatal stroke,
revascularization
and amputation



                      Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
Percentage of patients who reached intensive
      treatment goals at a mean of 7.8 years
               80
                                      P<0.001                                         P=0.21
               70

               60                                    P=0.19

               50
Patients (%)




                                                                    P=0.001

               40
                    Intensive
               30
                      Conventional
               20      P=0.06
               10

                0
                     Glycosylated    Cholesterol   Triglycerides    Systolic BP     Diastolic BP
                     Hemoglobin      <175 mg/dl    <150 mg/dl      <130 mm Hg       <80 mm Hg
                        <6.5%


                                                                     Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
A
                                               60
                                                        P=0.007



             Primary Composite End Point (%)
                                               50
                                                                             Conventional therapy
                                                                                   Conventional therapy

                                               40

                                               30

                                               20
                                                                                      Intensive therapy
                                                                                        Intensive therapy
                                               10
                                                                                Lower risk of CVD
                                                                          HR 0.47 (95%CI 0.24,0.73)
                                                0
                                                    0       12    24    36     48     60      72       84       96
                                                                       Months of Follow-up
    No. at Risk
    Conventional                                80          72    70    63     59     50       44       41       13
       therapy
    Intensive                                   80          78    74    71     66     63       61       59       19
       therapy
                                                                                      Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
Who will benefit
                                 No benefit
       from tight               in UKPDS?
glycemic control?




                    Treatment was adjusted to
                    FBG only (not PPBG)
Relative contribution of postprandial
and fasting glucose to HbA1c
                               WHO criteria FPG < 6.0 mmol/L

                                                   Postprandial glucose exposure
                                                   Fasting hyperglycaemia
                     100
                      90               p=0.004                 p<0.001
                      80                                                         69.8
    % contribution




                      70                                54.3
                      60   49.6 50.4             45.7
                      50
                      40                                                  30.2
                      30
                      20
                      10
                       0
                            < 7.0%
                            –                7.1%-9.0%                      > 9.0%




                                                                                                     E
                                            HbA1C groups




                                                                                              IN
                                                               Peter & Rees, Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2008;8:8-14
Who will benefit
                                          No benefit
 from tight
 glycemic control?
                                         in UKPDS?
                     Treatment was adjusted
                     to FBG only (not PPBG)




Kumamoto study (n=110)
Intensive insulin regimen vs conventional treatment x 8 years
Titration based on FBG, HbA1c and PPBG
Nonsignificant ~50% reduction in macrovascular complications
                                     Peter & Rees, Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2008;8:8-14
Who will benefit                              ACCORD
from tight
glycemic control?         Objective
                          To determine if 3 separate
                          strategies can reduce CV events
                           Intensive therapy to target normal
                           A1c levels (<6.0%) vs standard
                           therapy to target A1c 7.0-7.9%
                           Therapy to target SBP <120 mm Hg
Type 2 diabetes            vs <140 mm Hg
Mean age 62.2 y            Addition of fenofibrate vs placebo in
Median DM duration 10 y    patients on statin therapy with
35% had previous CVD
                           optimal LDL-C
35% already on insulin
(n=10,251)
                                        ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
ACCORD
                         Endpoint
  Composite of
   nonfatal MI,
nonfatal stroke or
 death from CV
     causes




                     ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
25
                         median HbA1c at 1 y
                         Standard 7.5%
                20                                           n = 371
                         Intensive 6.4%
                                                           Standard therapy
                15


                10       HR 0.90 (95%CI 0.78,1.04)
                         p=0.16                            Intensive therapy
                                                                 n = 352
                 5


                 0
                     0       1      2      3         4       5         6



Intensive therapy 5128      4843   4390   2839    1337      475       448
Standard therapy 5123       4827   4262   2702    1186      440       395

                                                 ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
Total                             10,251   723
Previous cardiovascular event                                                      0.04
  No                               6,643   330
  Yes                              3,608   393
Sex                                                                                0.74
  Female                           3,952   212
  Male                             6,299   511
Age at baseline                                                                    0.65
  <65 yr                           6,779   383
  ≥65 yr                           3,472   340
Glycated hemoglobin at baseline                                                    0.03
  ≤8.0%                            4,868   284
  >8.0%                            5,360   438
Race                                                                               0.29
  Nonwhite                         3,647   222
  White                            6,604   501
                                                 0.6        1.0            1.4




                                                       ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
25


                20


                15

                                                             n = 257
                10       HR 1.22 (95%CI 1.01,1.46)       Intensive therapy
                         p=0.04
                 5                                         Standard therapy
                                                              n = 203
                 0
                     0        1     2      3         4        5         6



Intensive therapy 5128      4972   4803   3250    1748      523       506
Standard therapy 5123       4971   4700   3180    1642      499       480

                                                 ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
Who will benefit
                                   No benefit
       from tight               in ACCORD?
glycemic control?
                    Amount of HbA1c reduction
                    achieved relative to baseline level
                    Rapidity with which HbA1c was
                    achieved or actual HbA1c itself
                    Treatments used or sequence of
                    treatments used
                    Presence of unrecognized
                    hypoglycemia


                            Cheng & Leiter, Current Diabetes Reports 2009;9: 65-72
Who will benefit                                    ADVANCE
from tight
glycemic control?       Intensive glucose            Standard glucose
                             control                      control
                        (Gliclazide MR-based)          Target A1c based
                           Target A1c <6.5%            on local guidelines

                              Perindopril-                  Perindopril-
                           Indapamide-based              Indapamide-based
                          Routine BP lowering           Routine BP lowering
                        Intensive glucose            Standard glucose
                             control                      control
Type 2 diabetes
                        (Gliclazide MR-based)          Target A1c based
Mean age 66 y
                           Target A1c <6.5%            on local guidelines
Mean DM duration 8 y
37% from Asia           Usual BP lowering therapy Usual BP lowering therapy
32% with history of
macrovascular disease
(n=11,140)                          ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
ADVANCE
                                              Endpoints
 Composites of major
 macrovascular and
 microvascular events
 jointly and separately




Macrovascular events
Death from CV causes, nonfatal MI or nonfatal stroke

                                ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
25
                 median HbA1c at 5 y
                 Standard 7.3%
        20
                 Intensive 6.5%
        15                                                      Standard
                                                                 control

        10
                 HR 0.94                                        Intensive
                 (95%CI 0.84,1.06)                               control
         5       P=0.32


         0
             0    6   12   18   24   30   36    42    48   54    60    66



Intensive 5570 5494 5428 5338 5256 5176 5097 5005 4927 4396 2071 486
Standard 5569 5486 5413 5330 5237 5163 5084 4995 4922 4385 2108 509

                                     ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
HR 0.93
(95%CI 0.83,1.06)




                    ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
No benefit
                             in ADVANCE?
                    Inadequate statistical power to
                    detect reduction in macrovascular
Who will benefit     events
from tight           Annual rate of 2.2% lower than
glycemic control?    anticipated rate of 3% (greater use
                     of statins, BP-lowering drugs and
                     anti-platelet agents)




                           ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
Who will benefit                                         VADT
from tight
glycemic control?
                          Objective
                          To determine effects of intensive
                          glycemic control (target HbA1c
                          <6%) vs standard control (HbA1c
                          8% to 9%) on CV outcomes
Type 2 diabetes
Mean age 60 y
Mean DM duration 11.5 y
Mean HbA1c 9.4%
40% had a CV event
(n=1,791)
                                        Duckworth et al NEJM 2009;360:129-39
VADT Primary
      Time from                           Endpoint
      randomization to
      first occurrence of
      major CV event*




* Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke,
death from CV causes, CHF, surgery for vascular
disease, inoperable coronary disease and
amputation for ischemic gangrene

                                                  Duckworth et al NEJM 2009;360:129-39
1.0                                   VADT Results
                                                            n = 235
               0.8                                          Intensive therapy

               0.6                                          Standard therapy
                                                               n = 264
               0.4
                         Intensive group                 median HbA1c
               0.2       HR 0.88 (95%CI 0.74-1.05)       Standard 8.4%
                         P=0.14                          Intensive 6.9%
               0.0
                     0             2            4               6                 8



Standard therapy 899        770   693   637    570    471      240      55        0
Intensive therapy 892       774   707   639    582    510      252      62        0


                                                     Duckworth et al NEJM 2009;360:129-39
Who will benefit
                                    No benefit
       from tight                    in VADT?
glycemic control?



                    Suggests that tight glycemic
                    control appears to be ineffective
                    at later stages
                     Animal model of atherosclerosis
                      Glucose plays an important role in
                      lesion initiation
                      Lipids play a more dominant role in
                      lesion progression
Who will benefit                           UKPDS
from tight                              Follow-up
glycemic control?
                           Objectives
                           To determine whether the
                           effects of improved glucose
                           control on microvascular
                           disease persisted 10 years
                           after study completion
UKPDS participants
(n=3277)                   Whether such therapy had a
Annual visits x 5 years    long-term effect on
Questionnaire x 5 more     macrovascular outcomes
years assessing outcomes
                                        Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
UKPDS Follow-up
                                                      Clinical Outcomes
     Any                 Diabetes-
                                                                         Myocardial
  diabetes-            related death               Death from
                       Sudden death or death
                                                                         infarction
   related              from MI, stroke, PVD,      any cause                  Fatal or
                       renal disease, hyper- or                              nonfatal MI
  endpoint *                hypoglycemia


                                                   Microvascular         Glycemic
     Stroke                   PVD                      disease        control at MD’s
                        Amputation of at                Vitreous         discretion
      Fatal or
                         least 1 digit or         hemorrhage, retinal
   nonfatal stroke
                        death from PVD
                                                                       Median ff-up
                                                  photocoagulation or
                                                      renal failure
                                                                      17 y (range 16-30 y)

* Sudden death, death from hyperglycemia or hypoglycemia, fatal or
nonfatal MI, angina, heart failure, amputation, vitreous hemorrhage, retinal
photocoagulation, blindness in one eye, or cataract extraction
                                                               Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
Post-trial risk
              1.4
                     P=0.052               reduction 15%             P=0.01
              1.2

              1.0

              0.8

              0.6

              0.4


Conventional therapy 186       212   239       271          296          319
Sulfonylurea–insulin 387       450   513       573          636          678


                                               Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
1.0
                                                 Legacy Effect
                                 P=0.01
                       0.8

                       0.6
                                                         Conventional
                       0.4                                 therapy

                       0.2
                                                  Sulfonylurea–insulin
                       0.0
                             0        5     10        15         20          25


Conventional therapy    1138        1013    857      578         221         20
Sulfonylurea–insulin    2729        2488   2097     1459         577         66

                                                  Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
Who will benefit
                              Meta-analysis
from tight
glycemic control?
                         Objective
                         To summarize clinical
                         benefits and harms of
                         intensive vs conventional
                         glucose control for adults
    n = 27,802           with type 2 diabetes

        UKPDS 33, 1998
        UKPDS 34, 1998
        ACCORD, 2008
        ADVANCE, 2008
        VADT, 2009
                                Kelly et al, Ann Intern Med Jul 2009;151: 394-403
Fatal stroke         39/11 591      52/11 591                                     0.75 (0.49 to 1.14) –1 (–3 to 1)
     PAD                  374/6463       406/6468                                      0.92 (0.81 to 1.06) –5 (–9 to –1)

    Intensive glucose control reduced                 0.5         1.0            2.0

    the risk for nonfatal MI                            Relative Risk (95% CI)

     C. All Trials

     Event                    Events/Total, n/n                                           Relative Risk      Risk Difference
                                                                                           (95% CI)             (95% CI)
                           Intensive   Conventional

     Nonfatal MI         611/14 662     598/13 140                                     0.84 (0.75 to 0.94) –9 (–16 to 3)
     Fatal MI            540/14 662     437/13 140                                     0.94 (0.75 to 1.18) –3 (–10 to 4)
     Nonfatal stroke     423/14 662     362/13 140                                     0.98 (0.82 to 1.17) –3 (–7 to 2)
     Fatal stroke         88/14 662      76/13 140                                     0.87 (0.63 to 1.20)    0 (–2 to 1)
     PAD                  409/9534       433/8017                                      0.91 (0.79 to 1.03) –3 (–5 to –1)

                                                     0.5          1.0             2.0
                                                        Relative Risk (95% CI)


infarction; PAD        peripheral artery disease.
    Intensive glucose control did not reduce the risk for CV
    death or all-cause mortality and increased the risk for
                                      15 September 2009 Annals of Internal Medicine Volume 1


    severe hypoglycemia
                                                                         Kelly et al, Ann Intern Med Jul 2009;151: 394-403
↓ 0.9% HbA1c
over 5 years from
 baseline 7.8%
     NNT 87

                         ↓ 1 mmol/L    ↓ 4 mm Hg
Benefit from glycemic     LDL prevents BP prevents
                         8.2 CV events 12.5 CV
control is modest                      events
compared to control of
lipids and blood
pressure
                                 Ray et al, Lancet 2009;373:1765-72
Who will benefit                                    Summary
       from tight
glycemic control?

                         Glycemic control does play a role
                         in reducing CV complications ...

                         Start early in the disease course


 Individuals in the ACCORD,
 ADVANCE and VADT have had
 diabetes 8 to 11 years at start of trial


                                    Cheng & Leiter, Current Diabetes Reports 2009;9: 65-72
Who will benefit                                   Summary
       from tight
glycemic control?

                        Glycemic control does play a role
                        in reducing CV complications ...

                        Benefit becomes evident only after
                        a long period of time

Follow-up periods in the ACCORD, ADVANCE
and VADT were between 3.5 to 5 years
Follow-up time required to demonstrate
macrovascular benefit in UKPDS was median
of 17.8 years
                                   Cheng & Leiter, Current Diabetes Reports 2009;9: 65-72
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Primary Prevention of CVD in
                    People with Diabetes Mellitus
               A Scientific Statement from AHA & ADA


                       A1c goal for patients in
                       general is <7%
                       A1c goal for the individual
                       patients is an A1c as close to
What should be         normal (<6%) as possible
the target HbA1c?      without causing hypoglycemia




                                       Buse, Circulation 2007;115:114-26
HbA1c <7% OR <6.5%?

                    Not enough basis for <7%
                     Kumamoto study is the only
                     long-term study with clinical
                     events as primary outcomes
                     HbA1c data from UKPDS,
What should be       ACCORD, ADVANCE and VADT
the target HbA1c?    considered observational
                      Participants randomized to A1c
                      target not to the level achieved


                                Lund & Vaag, Diabetes Care Jul 2009;32(7):e90
HbA1c <7% OR <6.5%?


                    Hypoglycemia
                      increases


What should be
the target HbA1c?
                    as HbA1c target
                       decreases
HbA1c <7% OR <6.5%?
                    A1c target <6.5% might not
                    increase hypoglycemia per se
                     ADVANCE intensive group had
                     2-3% higher hypoglycemia risk
                     than conventional group
                      Lower than hypoglycemia risk in
What should be        ACCORD/VADT intensive group
the target HbA1c?     (~15-20%)
                      Lower than hypoglycemia risk in
                      ACCORD/VADT conventional group
                      (~5-10%)

                                Lund & Vaag, Diabetes Care Jul 2009;32(7):e90
Mortality
Analyses in         Hypoglycemia not significantly
                    related to excess mortality in
ACCORD              intensive group
                    Intensive control increased
                    mortality irrespective of pre-
                    existing CVD
                    In patients with preexisting CVD,
What should be      intensive control had no effect on
the target HbA1c?   CVD (i.e. no harm)
                     Hypoglycemia did not explain the
                     increased mortality


                                Lund & Vaag, Diabetes Care Jul 2009;32(7):e90
Mortality Analyses
                                   in ACCORD
                    In both arms, patients with
                    severe hypoglycemia had higher
                    mortality than those without
                    Higher mortality in standard arm
                    among participants with at least
                    one episode of severe
What should be      hypoglycemia
the target HbA1c?
                    Higher mortality in intensive arm
                    among participants with no
                    history of severe hypoglycemia

                               Skyler et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:298-304
Intensive Glycemic Control and the Prevention of
Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the ACCORD,
ADVANCE and VA Diabetes Trials
A Position Statement of the ADA and a Scientific Statement of the ACC & AHA



                              Lower A1c goal if can be achieved
                              without significant hypoglycemia
                                Short duration of diabetes
                                Long life expectancy
                                No significant CVD


What should be
the target HbA1c?
General A1c goal <7%
                                                 Skyler et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:298-304
Intensive Glycemic Control and the Prevention of
Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the ACCORD,
ADVANCE and VA Diabetes Trials
A Position Statement of the ADA and a Scientific Statement of the ACC & AHA


                               Less stringent A1c goal
                                  History of severe hypoglycemia
                                  Limited life expectancy
                                  Advanced micro- or macrovascular
                                  complications or extensive comorbid
                                  conditions
                                  Long-standing diabetes which is
                                  difficult to control
What should be
the target HbA1c?
General A1c goal <7%
                                                  Skyler et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:298-304
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
UKPDS
                     Overweight patients on Metformin
                     ↓ MI by 39% (p=0.01)
                     ↓ all-cause mortality by 36% (p=0.01)


How do current
therapies for diabetes
compare?




                                        Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
Legacy Effect
                  1.0
                            P=0.005
                  0.8

                  0.6                              Conventional
                                                     therapy
                  0.4

                  0.2
                                                   Metformin
                  0.0
                        0        5    10      15         20         25


Conventional therapy 411        360   311    213         95          4
Metformin            342        317   274    214        106         16

                                             Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
1.0
                                                 Legacy Effect
                                 P=0.01
                       0.8

                       0.6
                                                         Conventional
                       0.4                                 therapy

                       0.2
                                                  Sulfonylurea–insulin
                       0.0
                             0        5     10        15         20          25


Conventional therapy    1138        1013    857      578         221         20
Sulfonylurea–insulin    2729        2488   2097     1459         577         66

                                                  Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
PROACTIVE
                              PROspective PioglitAzone Clinical
                                 Trial In macroVascular Events
How do current
therapies for
                               Objective
diabetes compare?
                               To determine if treatment
                               with pioglitazone will
                               decrease CV events in high-
                               risk patients with type 2
                               diabetes
Type 2 diabetes
Evidence of CVD
Continued on current treatment
Randomized to pioglitazone or placebo
                                  Singaram & Pratley, Diabetes Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:237-40
PROACTIVE
                                         Endpoints
   Composite of all-cause
   mortality, non-fatal MI,
        stroke, ACS,
    endovascular/surgical
       intervention in
   coronary/leg arteries or
    amputation above the
            ankle


Secondary endpoint: composite of all-
cause mortality, non-fatal MI and stroke
                           Singaram & Pratley, Diabetes Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:237-40
PROACTIVE Primary Endpoint




             Dormandy et al, Lancet 2005;366:1279-89
PROACTIVE Secondary Endpoint
How do current                                  Pioglitazone
therapies for                                    PROACTIVE
diabetes compare?


                    Unclear whether the effect of
                    pioglitazone on macrovascular
                    endpoints is a unique property of the
                    drug
                    Slight improvements in SBP, TG and
                    HDL-C unlikely to get individual
                    patients to goal
                    40% higher risk of CHF unsurprising



                           Singaram & Pratley, Diabetes Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:237-40
Meta-analysis
How do current
therapies for
diabetes compare?
                            Objective
                            To systematically examine
                            the peer-reviewed literature
                            on the CV risk associated
                            with oral agents

40 controlled trials that
reported CV events
(primarily MI and stroke)


                                    Selvin et al, Arch Intern Med 2008;168(19):2070-80
Meta-analysis
How do current
therapies for
diabetes compare?           Results
                            Metformin ↓ risk of CV mortality
                            (OR 0.74; 95%CI 0.62-0.89)
                            Rosiglitazone ↑ risk of CV morbidity
                            or mortality but not statistically
                            significant (OR 1.68; 95%CI 0.92-3.06)
                            No other significant associations for
                            other oral agents
40 controlled trials that
reported CV events
(primarily MI and stroke)


                                      Selvin et al, Arch Intern Med 2008;168(19):2070-80
How do current
 therapies for diabetes                              BARI 2D
 compare?
                          Prompt coronary
                                                   Medical Therapy
                          revascularization      Insulin sensitization
                       Insulin sensitization
                                                        therapy
                              therapy
                                                   (Metformin/RSG)
                         (Metformin/RSG)
                          Prompt coronary
                                                   Medical Therapy
                          revascularization         Insulin provision
                          Insulin provision
                                                         therapy
                               therapy
                                                       (SU/Insulin)
                             (SU/Insulin)

Type 2 diabetes and heart disease
(n=2,368)
Randomization stratified according
to choice of PCI or CABG                 BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
BARI 2D
                           Endpoints
    Death rate
Composite of death,
   MI or stroke




                      BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
100                               Insulin sensitization
90                                                 88.2

80                                                 87.9
                                      Insulin provision
70
60
50
40        P=0.89
30
20
 10
 0
      0        1     2       3           4           5



  2368       2296   2247   2197        1892        1196

                           BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
100
90                                 Insulin sensitization
80                                                  77.7

70                                                 75.4
                                       Insulin provision
60
           P=0.13
50
40
30
          Insulin sensitization strategy
20
          Fewer severe hypoglycemia, less
 10       weight gain and higher HDL-C
 0
      0         1     2      3           4           5



  2368        2094   1984   1807       1459        823

                             BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
Who will benefit
       from tight
glycemic control?




        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Who will benefit
       from tight
glycemic control?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Who will benefit                    How do current
       from tight                      therapies for
glycemic control?                diabetes compare?




                    What should be
                         the target
                           HbA1c?

        Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
Thank You
http://www.endocrine-witch.info

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Tight Glycemic Control in the Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

  • 1. Glucose lowering for the prevention of CVD: Positive, Negative or Neutral Iris Thiele Isip Tan MD, FPCP, FPSEM Clinical Associate Professor, University of the Philippines College of Medicine Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes & Metabolism Department of Medicine, Philippine General Hospital
  • 2. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 3. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 4. Who will benefit UKPDS from tight glycemic control? Objective To determine whether improved glucose control would prevent complications Newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (n=3867) Median age 54 y UKPDS Group, Lancet 1998;352: 837-53
  • 5. Newly diagnosed diabetes UKPDS Newly diagnosed diabetes FastingFasting plasma glucose >6mmoll plasma glucose >6 mmol/L –1 ‘Prudentdiet’ ‘Prudent diet’ for 3–4 months for 3-4 mos Design >6 mmol/L >6mmoll–1 <6 mmol/L !6mmoll –1 >6 and <15 mmol/L >6 and !15mmoll–1 >15 mmol/L –1 >15mmoll Diet satisfactory Diet satisfactory Main Main randomization Primary dietfailure Primary diet failure randomization randomization randomization If ifbecomes becomes –1 >6 mmol/L >6mmoll Figure adapted from King et al. Conventional policy Conventional policy Intensive policy Intensive policy Br J Clin Pharmacol, 48:643-48 target<15mmoll target <15 mmol/L target <6 <6mmoll target mmol/L –1 –1 Diet only Diet only Sulphonylurea Sulphonylurea Insulin Insulin Metformin Metformin (obese patients only) (obese patients only) Figure 3 Design of UKPDS.
  • 6. UKPDS Endpoints any diabetes-related endpoint diabetes-related death all-cause mortality UKPDS Group, Lancet 1998;352: 837-53
  • 7. UKPDS Results 0 -12 -25 -33 -21 -16 % Relative Risk Reduction -10 p=0.03 p=0.052 -20 p=0.02 p<0.01 -30 p<0.01 -40 10-year follow-up median HbA1c Intensive 7.0% (6.2-8.2%) Conventional 7.9% (6.9-8.8%) -50 Any DM endpoint Microvascular complications Microalbuminuria at 12 yrs Retinopathy Myocardial Infarction
  • 8. Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction Fatal and n 10 Hazard ratio P<0.0001 P=0.035 1 14% decrease per 1% reduction in HbA1c 0.5 5 6 7 8 9 10 Microvascular end points Cataract ex 10 Updated mean HbA1c (%) azard ratio P<0.0001 P<0.0001 Stratton et al, BMJ 2000; 321:405-12
  • 9. e- ne 80 Adjusted incidence per 1000 person years (%) to Myocardial infarction Myocardial infarction he Microvascular end points als Microvascular end points At near normal A1c of he 60 Risk of MI 2-3x nt that of micro- ow he vascular endpoint est a 40 %. g- an to % 20 in Adjusted for age, sex and ethnic of group, expressed for white men ce aged 50-54 years at diagnosis ng and with mean duration of by diabetes at 10 years 0 a 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 as Updated mean haemoglobin A1c concentration (%) rd on Fig 2 Incidence rates and 95% confidence intervals for myocardial Stratton et al, BMJ 2000; 321:405-12 a infarction and microvascular complications by category of updated
  • 10. Who will benefit No benefit from tight in UKPDS? glycemic control? Underpowered to detect reduction in CVD
  • 11. Who will benefit No benefit from tight in UKPDS? glycemic control? Too late to reverse macrovascular complications
  • 12. Vascular disease begins early ... Insulin resistance precedes overt hyperglycemia or diabetes LaSalle JR. Hosp Physician 2005 Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310
  • 13. Vascular disease begins early ... Insulin resistance precedes overt hyperglycemia or diabetes 2-fold increased risk of CVD in IGT LaSalle JR. Hosp Physician 2005 Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310
  • 14. Vascular disease begins early ... Insulin resistance precedes overt hyperglycemia or diabetes 2-fold increased risk of CVD in IGT LaSalle JR. Hosp Physician 2005 Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic Newly-diagnosed diabetics have Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310 vascular disease at presentation
  • 15. Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction Fatal and non-fatal stroke Hazard ratio 10 P<0.0001 Macrovascular disease P=0.035 occurs at a lower 10 glucose threshold; %) influenced by components of MetSyn 1 14% decrease per 1% 12% decrease per 1% reduction in HbA1c reduction in HbA1c 0.5 Microvascular end points Cataract extraction 10 Hazard ratio P<0.0001 Microvascular but not P<0.0001 macrovascular disease clearly associated with hyperglycemia 1 k 37% decrease per 1% 19% decrease per 1% , reduction in HbA1c reduction in HbA1c 0.5 , 5 6 7 8 9 10 Plante & Nadler, Seminars Cardiothoracic Vascular Anes 2003; 7(3):295-310 n Amputation or death from
  • 16. Who will benefit No benefit from tight in UKPDS? glycemic control? Cardiovascular disease in diabetes is multifactorial in origin
  • 17. Dyslipidemia Hypertension ACE Inhibitors Angiotensin Receptor Blockers Statins !-Blockers Fibric Acid Derivatives ATHEROSCLEROSIS Calcium Channel Blockers Thiazolidinediones? Diuretics Hyperglycemia Platelet Activation Insulin Resistance and Aggregation Insulin Metformin Thiazolidinediones Aspirin Clopidogrel Sulfonylureas Ticlopidine Nonsulfonylurea Secretagogues Beckman et al, JAMA 2002;287:2570-81
  • 18. Steno-2 Multifactorial intervention and cardiovascular disease Objective To compare the effect of a targeted, intensified, multifactorial intervention vs conventional treatment of modifiable CV risk factors Type 2 diabetes with microalbuminuria Mean age 55.1 y Mean ff-up 7.8 y (n=160) Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
  • 19. Steno-2 Endpoint Composite of CV death, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, revascularization and amputation Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
  • 20. Percentage of patients who reached intensive treatment goals at a mean of 7.8 years 80 P<0.001 P=0.21 70 60 P=0.19 50 Patients (%) P=0.001 40 Intensive 30 Conventional 20 P=0.06 10 0 Glycosylated Cholesterol Triglycerides Systolic BP Diastolic BP Hemoglobin <175 mg/dl <150 mg/dl <130 mm Hg <80 mm Hg <6.5% Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
  • 21. A 60 P=0.007 Primary Composite End Point (%) 50 Conventional therapy Conventional therapy 40 30 20 Intensive therapy Intensive therapy 10 Lower risk of CVD HR 0.47 (95%CI 0.24,0.73) 0 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 Months of Follow-up No. at Risk Conventional 80 72 70 63 59 50 44 41 13 therapy Intensive 80 78 74 71 66 63 61 59 19 therapy Gaede et al, NEJM 2003;348:383-93
  • 22. Who will benefit No benefit from tight in UKPDS? glycemic control? Treatment was adjusted to FBG only (not PPBG)
  • 23. Relative contribution of postprandial and fasting glucose to HbA1c WHO criteria FPG < 6.0 mmol/L Postprandial glucose exposure Fasting hyperglycaemia 100 90 p=0.004 p<0.001 80 69.8 % contribution 70 54.3 60 49.6 50.4 45.7 50 40 30.2 30 20 10 0 < 7.0% – 7.1%-9.0% > 9.0% E HbA1C groups IN Peter & Rees, Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2008;8:8-14
  • 24. Who will benefit No benefit from tight glycemic control? in UKPDS? Treatment was adjusted to FBG only (not PPBG) Kumamoto study (n=110) Intensive insulin regimen vs conventional treatment x 8 years Titration based on FBG, HbA1c and PPBG Nonsignificant ~50% reduction in macrovascular complications Peter & Rees, Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2008;8:8-14
  • 25. Who will benefit ACCORD from tight glycemic control? Objective To determine if 3 separate strategies can reduce CV events Intensive therapy to target normal A1c levels (<6.0%) vs standard therapy to target A1c 7.0-7.9% Therapy to target SBP <120 mm Hg Type 2 diabetes vs <140 mm Hg Mean age 62.2 y Addition of fenofibrate vs placebo in Median DM duration 10 y patients on statin therapy with 35% had previous CVD optimal LDL-C 35% already on insulin (n=10,251) ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
  • 26. ACCORD Endpoint Composite of nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke or death from CV causes ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
  • 27. 25 median HbA1c at 1 y Standard 7.5% 20 n = 371 Intensive 6.4% Standard therapy 15 10 HR 0.90 (95%CI 0.78,1.04) p=0.16 Intensive therapy n = 352 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Intensive therapy 5128 4843 4390 2839 1337 475 448 Standard therapy 5123 4827 4262 2702 1186 440 395 ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
  • 28. Total 10,251 723 Previous cardiovascular event 0.04 No 6,643 330 Yes 3,608 393 Sex 0.74 Female 3,952 212 Male 6,299 511 Age at baseline 0.65 <65 yr 6,779 383 ≥65 yr 3,472 340 Glycated hemoglobin at baseline 0.03 ≤8.0% 4,868 284 >8.0% 5,360 438 Race 0.29 Nonwhite 3,647 222 White 6,604 501 0.6 1.0 1.4 ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
  • 29. 25 20 15 n = 257 10 HR 1.22 (95%CI 1.01,1.46) Intensive therapy p=0.04 5 Standard therapy n = 203 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Intensive therapy 5128 4972 4803 3250 1748 523 506 Standard therapy 5123 4971 4700 3180 1642 499 480 ACCORD Group, NEJM 2008;358: 2545-59
  • 30. Who will benefit No benefit from tight in ACCORD? glycemic control? Amount of HbA1c reduction achieved relative to baseline level Rapidity with which HbA1c was achieved or actual HbA1c itself Treatments used or sequence of treatments used Presence of unrecognized hypoglycemia Cheng & Leiter, Current Diabetes Reports 2009;9: 65-72
  • 31. Who will benefit ADVANCE from tight glycemic control? Intensive glucose Standard glucose control control (Gliclazide MR-based) Target A1c based Target A1c <6.5% on local guidelines Perindopril- Perindopril- Indapamide-based Indapamide-based Routine BP lowering Routine BP lowering Intensive glucose Standard glucose control control Type 2 diabetes (Gliclazide MR-based) Target A1c based Mean age 66 y Target A1c <6.5% on local guidelines Mean DM duration 8 y 37% from Asia Usual BP lowering therapy Usual BP lowering therapy 32% with history of macrovascular disease (n=11,140) ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
  • 32. ADVANCE Endpoints Composites of major macrovascular and microvascular events jointly and separately Macrovascular events Death from CV causes, nonfatal MI or nonfatal stroke ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
  • 33. 25 median HbA1c at 5 y Standard 7.3% 20 Intensive 6.5% 15 Standard control 10 HR 0.94 Intensive (95%CI 0.84,1.06) control 5 P=0.32 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 Intensive 5570 5494 5428 5338 5256 5176 5097 5005 4927 4396 2071 486 Standard 5569 5486 5413 5330 5237 5163 5084 4995 4922 4385 2108 509 ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
  • 34. HR 0.93 (95%CI 0.83,1.06) ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
  • 35. No benefit in ADVANCE? Inadequate statistical power to detect reduction in macrovascular Who will benefit events from tight Annual rate of 2.2% lower than glycemic control? anticipated rate of 3% (greater use of statins, BP-lowering drugs and anti-platelet agents) ADVANCE Collaborative Group, NEJM 2008;358:2560-72
  • 36. Who will benefit VADT from tight glycemic control? Objective To determine effects of intensive glycemic control (target HbA1c <6%) vs standard control (HbA1c 8% to 9%) on CV outcomes Type 2 diabetes Mean age 60 y Mean DM duration 11.5 y Mean HbA1c 9.4% 40% had a CV event (n=1,791) Duckworth et al NEJM 2009;360:129-39
  • 37. VADT Primary Time from Endpoint randomization to first occurrence of major CV event* * Composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, death from CV causes, CHF, surgery for vascular disease, inoperable coronary disease and amputation for ischemic gangrene Duckworth et al NEJM 2009;360:129-39
  • 38. 1.0 VADT Results n = 235 0.8 Intensive therapy 0.6 Standard therapy n = 264 0.4 Intensive group median HbA1c 0.2 HR 0.88 (95%CI 0.74-1.05) Standard 8.4% P=0.14 Intensive 6.9% 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 Standard therapy 899 770 693 637 570 471 240 55 0 Intensive therapy 892 774 707 639 582 510 252 62 0 Duckworth et al NEJM 2009;360:129-39
  • 39. Who will benefit No benefit from tight in VADT? glycemic control? Suggests that tight glycemic control appears to be ineffective at later stages Animal model of atherosclerosis Glucose plays an important role in lesion initiation Lipids play a more dominant role in lesion progression
  • 40. Who will benefit UKPDS from tight Follow-up glycemic control? Objectives To determine whether the effects of improved glucose control on microvascular disease persisted 10 years after study completion UKPDS participants (n=3277) Whether such therapy had a Annual visits x 5 years long-term effect on Questionnaire x 5 more macrovascular outcomes years assessing outcomes Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 41. UKPDS Follow-up Clinical Outcomes Any Diabetes- Myocardial diabetes- related death Death from Sudden death or death infarction related from MI, stroke, PVD, any cause Fatal or renal disease, hyper- or nonfatal MI endpoint * hypoglycemia Microvascular Glycemic Stroke PVD disease control at MD’s Amputation of at Vitreous discretion Fatal or least 1 digit or hemorrhage, retinal nonfatal stroke death from PVD Median ff-up photocoagulation or renal failure 17 y (range 16-30 y) * Sudden death, death from hyperglycemia or hypoglycemia, fatal or nonfatal MI, angina, heart failure, amputation, vitreous hemorrhage, retinal photocoagulation, blindness in one eye, or cataract extraction Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 42. Post-trial risk 1.4 P=0.052 reduction 15% P=0.01 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 Conventional therapy 186 212 239 271 296 319 Sulfonylurea–insulin 387 450 513 573 636 678 Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 43. 1.0 Legacy Effect P=0.01 0.8 0.6 Conventional 0.4 therapy 0.2 Sulfonylurea–insulin 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Conventional therapy 1138 1013 857 578 221 20 Sulfonylurea–insulin 2729 2488 2097 1459 577 66 Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 44. Who will benefit Meta-analysis from tight glycemic control? Objective To summarize clinical benefits and harms of intensive vs conventional glucose control for adults n = 27,802 with type 2 diabetes UKPDS 33, 1998 UKPDS 34, 1998 ACCORD, 2008 ADVANCE, 2008 VADT, 2009 Kelly et al, Ann Intern Med Jul 2009;151: 394-403
  • 45. Fatal stroke 39/11 591 52/11 591 0.75 (0.49 to 1.14) –1 (–3 to 1) PAD 374/6463 406/6468 0.92 (0.81 to 1.06) –5 (–9 to –1) Intensive glucose control reduced 0.5 1.0 2.0 the risk for nonfatal MI Relative Risk (95% CI) C. All Trials Event Events/Total, n/n Relative Risk Risk Difference (95% CI) (95% CI) Intensive Conventional Nonfatal MI 611/14 662 598/13 140 0.84 (0.75 to 0.94) –9 (–16 to 3) Fatal MI 540/14 662 437/13 140 0.94 (0.75 to 1.18) –3 (–10 to 4) Nonfatal stroke 423/14 662 362/13 140 0.98 (0.82 to 1.17) –3 (–7 to 2) Fatal stroke 88/14 662 76/13 140 0.87 (0.63 to 1.20) 0 (–2 to 1) PAD 409/9534 433/8017 0.91 (0.79 to 1.03) –3 (–5 to –1) 0.5 1.0 2.0 Relative Risk (95% CI) infarction; PAD peripheral artery disease. Intensive glucose control did not reduce the risk for CV death or all-cause mortality and increased the risk for 15 September 2009 Annals of Internal Medicine Volume 1 severe hypoglycemia Kelly et al, Ann Intern Med Jul 2009;151: 394-403
  • 46. ↓ 0.9% HbA1c over 5 years from baseline 7.8% NNT 87 ↓ 1 mmol/L ↓ 4 mm Hg Benefit from glycemic LDL prevents BP prevents 8.2 CV events 12.5 CV control is modest events compared to control of lipids and blood pressure Ray et al, Lancet 2009;373:1765-72
  • 47. Who will benefit Summary from tight glycemic control? Glycemic control does play a role in reducing CV complications ... Start early in the disease course Individuals in the ACCORD, ADVANCE and VADT have had diabetes 8 to 11 years at start of trial Cheng & Leiter, Current Diabetes Reports 2009;9: 65-72
  • 48. Who will benefit Summary from tight glycemic control? Glycemic control does play a role in reducing CV complications ... Benefit becomes evident only after a long period of time Follow-up periods in the ACCORD, ADVANCE and VADT were between 3.5 to 5 years Follow-up time required to demonstrate macrovascular benefit in UKPDS was median of 17.8 years Cheng & Leiter, Current Diabetes Reports 2009;9: 65-72
  • 49. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 50. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 51. Primary Prevention of CVD in People with Diabetes Mellitus A Scientific Statement from AHA & ADA A1c goal for patients in general is <7% A1c goal for the individual patients is an A1c as close to What should be normal (<6%) as possible the target HbA1c? without causing hypoglycemia Buse, Circulation 2007;115:114-26
  • 52. HbA1c <7% OR <6.5%? Not enough basis for <7% Kumamoto study is the only long-term study with clinical events as primary outcomes HbA1c data from UKPDS, What should be ACCORD, ADVANCE and VADT the target HbA1c? considered observational Participants randomized to A1c target not to the level achieved Lund & Vaag, Diabetes Care Jul 2009;32(7):e90
  • 53. HbA1c <7% OR <6.5%? Hypoglycemia increases What should be the target HbA1c? as HbA1c target decreases
  • 54. HbA1c <7% OR <6.5%? A1c target <6.5% might not increase hypoglycemia per se ADVANCE intensive group had 2-3% higher hypoglycemia risk than conventional group Lower than hypoglycemia risk in What should be ACCORD/VADT intensive group the target HbA1c? (~15-20%) Lower than hypoglycemia risk in ACCORD/VADT conventional group (~5-10%) Lund & Vaag, Diabetes Care Jul 2009;32(7):e90
  • 55. Mortality Analyses in Hypoglycemia not significantly related to excess mortality in ACCORD intensive group Intensive control increased mortality irrespective of pre- existing CVD In patients with preexisting CVD, What should be intensive control had no effect on the target HbA1c? CVD (i.e. no harm) Hypoglycemia did not explain the increased mortality Lund & Vaag, Diabetes Care Jul 2009;32(7):e90
  • 56. Mortality Analyses in ACCORD In both arms, patients with severe hypoglycemia had higher mortality than those without Higher mortality in standard arm among participants with at least one episode of severe What should be hypoglycemia the target HbA1c? Higher mortality in intensive arm among participants with no history of severe hypoglycemia Skyler et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:298-304
  • 57. Intensive Glycemic Control and the Prevention of Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the ACCORD, ADVANCE and VA Diabetes Trials A Position Statement of the ADA and a Scientific Statement of the ACC & AHA Lower A1c goal if can be achieved without significant hypoglycemia Short duration of diabetes Long life expectancy No significant CVD What should be the target HbA1c? General A1c goal <7% Skyler et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:298-304
  • 58. Intensive Glycemic Control and the Prevention of Cardiovascular Events: Implications of the ACCORD, ADVANCE and VA Diabetes Trials A Position Statement of the ADA and a Scientific Statement of the ACC & AHA Less stringent A1c goal History of severe hypoglycemia Limited life expectancy Advanced micro- or macrovascular complications or extensive comorbid conditions Long-standing diabetes which is difficult to control What should be the target HbA1c? General A1c goal <7% Skyler et al, J Am Coll Cardiol 2009;53:298-304
  • 59. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 60. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 61. UKPDS Overweight patients on Metformin ↓ MI by 39% (p=0.01) ↓ all-cause mortality by 36% (p=0.01) How do current therapies for diabetes compare? Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 62. Legacy Effect 1.0 P=0.005 0.8 0.6 Conventional therapy 0.4 0.2 Metformin 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Conventional therapy 411 360 311 213 95 4 Metformin 342 317 274 214 106 16 Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 63. 1.0 Legacy Effect P=0.01 0.8 0.6 Conventional 0.4 therapy 0.2 Sulfonylurea–insulin 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Conventional therapy 1138 1013 857 578 221 20 Sulfonylurea–insulin 2729 2488 2097 1459 577 66 Holman et al, NEJM 2008;359: 1577-89
  • 64. PROACTIVE PROspective PioglitAzone Clinical Trial In macroVascular Events How do current therapies for Objective diabetes compare? To determine if treatment with pioglitazone will decrease CV events in high- risk patients with type 2 diabetes Type 2 diabetes Evidence of CVD Continued on current treatment Randomized to pioglitazone or placebo Singaram & Pratley, Diabetes Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:237-40
  • 65. PROACTIVE Endpoints Composite of all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI, stroke, ACS, endovascular/surgical intervention in coronary/leg arteries or amputation above the ankle Secondary endpoint: composite of all- cause mortality, non-fatal MI and stroke Singaram & Pratley, Diabetes Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:237-40
  • 66. PROACTIVE Primary Endpoint Dormandy et al, Lancet 2005;366:1279-89
  • 68. How do current Pioglitazone therapies for PROACTIVE diabetes compare? Unclear whether the effect of pioglitazone on macrovascular endpoints is a unique property of the drug Slight improvements in SBP, TG and HDL-C unlikely to get individual patients to goal 40% higher risk of CHF unsurprising Singaram & Pratley, Diabetes Vasc Dis Res 2007; 4:237-40
  • 69. Meta-analysis How do current therapies for diabetes compare? Objective To systematically examine the peer-reviewed literature on the CV risk associated with oral agents 40 controlled trials that reported CV events (primarily MI and stroke) Selvin et al, Arch Intern Med 2008;168(19):2070-80
  • 70. Meta-analysis How do current therapies for diabetes compare? Results Metformin ↓ risk of CV mortality (OR 0.74; 95%CI 0.62-0.89) Rosiglitazone ↑ risk of CV morbidity or mortality but not statistically significant (OR 1.68; 95%CI 0.92-3.06) No other significant associations for other oral agents 40 controlled trials that reported CV events (primarily MI and stroke) Selvin et al, Arch Intern Med 2008;168(19):2070-80
  • 71. How do current therapies for diabetes BARI 2D compare? Prompt coronary Medical Therapy revascularization Insulin sensitization Insulin sensitization therapy therapy (Metformin/RSG) (Metformin/RSG) Prompt coronary Medical Therapy revascularization Insulin provision Insulin provision therapy therapy (SU/Insulin) (SU/Insulin) Type 2 diabetes and heart disease (n=2,368) Randomization stratified according to choice of PCI or CABG BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
  • 72. BARI 2D Endpoints Death rate Composite of death, MI or stroke BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
  • 73. 100 Insulin sensitization 90 88.2 80 87.9 Insulin provision 70 60 50 40 P=0.89 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 2368 2296 2247 2197 1892 1196 BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
  • 74. 100 90 Insulin sensitization 80 77.7 70 75.4 Insulin provision 60 P=0.13 50 40 30 Insulin sensitization strategy 20 Fewer severe hypoglycemia, less 10 weight gain and higher HDL-C 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 2368 2094 1984 1807 1459 823 BARI 2D Study Group, NEJM 2009;360:2503-15
  • 75. Who will benefit from tight glycemic control? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 76. Who will benefit from tight glycemic control? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
  • 77. Who will benefit How do current from tight therapies for glycemic control? diabetes compare? What should be the target HbA1c? Cardiovascular Disease Prevention