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Technology Trends
                    2013



Assoc. Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda
          Executive Director
             IMC Institute
            20 March 2013
Trends


         2
Growth Markets & Global Trends




Source: Winning in a Digital World; Mark Mueller-Eberstein   3
Radical Transformation




                         4
The power of your hand
                          in 10 years




                                                             Look like this today
Source: Winning in a Digital World; Mark Mueller-Eberstein                          5
Law of Disruption




                    6
Gartner Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends
           2012                             2013
Media tablets and beyond             Mobile Device Battles
Mobile-centric applications and      Mobile Applications and HTML5
interfaces                           Personal Cloud
Social &contextual user experience   Enterprise App Stores
Application stores and marketplace   The Internet of Things
The Internet of everything           Hybrid IT and Cloud Computing
Next-generation analytics            Strategic Big Data
Big data                             Actionable Analytics
In-memory computing                  In Memory Computing
Extreme low-energy servers           Integrated Ecosystems
Cloud computing
                                                                     7
Gartner Top 10 Strategic Technologies




                                        8
Gartner 2012 Hype Cycle for
  Emerging Technologies




                              9
Gartner Technology Trends 2013




                                 10
Media Device Battles
By 2013 mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most
common Web access device worldwide
By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach around 50
percent of laptop shipments and Windows 8 will likely
be in third place behind Google’s Android and Apple
iOS operating systems.
The era of PC dominance with Windows as the single
platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where
Windows is one of a variety of environments IT


                                                        11
Mobile Applications and HTML5
There will be a long term shift away from native
apps to Web apps as HTML5 becomes more
capable. Nevertheless, native apps won't
disappear, and will always offer the best user
experiences and most sophisticated features..




                                                   12
Personal Cloud
Personal cloud will gradually replace the PC as
the location where individuals keep their personal
content, access their services and personal
preferences and center their digital lives.
The unique collection of services, Web
destinations and connectivity that will become the
home of their computing and communication
activities.


                                                     13
The Internet of Things
The Internet will expand as physical items such
as consumer devices and physical assets are
connected to the Internet.
They communicate via NFC, Bluetooth, LE and
Wi-Fi to a wide range of devices and peripherals,
such as wristwatch displays, healthcare sensors,
smart posters, and home entertainment systems.




                                                    14
Hybrid IT and Cloud Computing
Cloud will increasingly be hybrid, managed, and
brokered.
Taking private clouds and building a management
platform for them, and then using that to manage
both internal and external services.




                                                   15
Strategic Big Data
Big Data is moving from a focus on individual
projects to an influence on enterprises’ strategic
information architecture.
Moving towards multiple systems, including
content management, data warehouses, data
marts and specialized file systems tied together
with data services and metadata, which will
become the "logical" enterprise data warehouse.


                                                     16
Actionable Analytics
 In the next year, a big focus will be on
developing real-time operational intelligence,
perhaps delivered to mobile devices out in the
field.
The mobile client linked to cloud-based analytic
engines and big data repositories potentially
enables use of optimization and simulation
everywhere and every time


                                                   17
Mainstream In-Memory Computing
IMC can also provide transformational
opportunities.
The execution of certain-types of hours-long
batch processes can be squeezed into minutes or
even seconds allowing these processes to be
provided in the form of real-time or near real-time
services




                                                      18
Integrated Ecosystems
The market is undergoing a shift to more
integrated systems and ecosystems and away
from loosely coupled heterogeneous approaches.
Appliances combine hardware and software and
software and services are packaged.
Cloud-based marketplaces and brokerages
facilitate purchase like Salesforce.com's
AppExchange and Microsoft's marketplace.
End-to-end ecosystems, such as Apple's control
of apps and the App Store
                                                 19
Enterprise App Stores
By 2014, many organizations will deliver mobile
applications to workers through private
application stores
the role of IT shifts from that of a centralized
planner to a market manager providing
governance and brokerage services to users and
potentially an ecosystem to support
apptrepreneurs.


                                                   20
Mega Trends


              21
Cloud Computing       Mobile Computing




Social Technologies       Information    22
Bring Your Own Devices (BYOD)




                                23
Public Cloud




               24
“Social computing is moving from
being just on the outside of the organization
to being at the core of business operations.”


Peter Sondergaard, senior vice president at Gartner, 2012




                                                            25
“Big data currently has the most significant impact
 in social network analysis and content analytics
      with 45% of new spending each year.”


                    Gartner, 2012




                                                      26
Thailand Smartphone/Tablet
      Shipment 2013
            In 2013; 1.5 million desktops, 2.5
            million notebooks and 3.5 million
              Tablets expected to be shipped
                          [IDC]

              Smartphone shipment in 2013
                     is estimated at
                7.3 million units [IDC]          27
28
Trends in End User Devices




Source JSC: January 2012              29
Sales of Client Devices




Source Morgan Stanley Research: Feb 2011   30
Sales of Tablets




Source Gartner: September 2011             31
Sales of Smartphones




Source Gartner: April 2011               32
Trends in End User Devices




Source JSC                           33
BYOD is not the Question

   It’s already here.
   “How do we secure personal devices?”
   “How do we secure the data?”
     – The policies go with the data and the risk, not
       the device




Source Mobile Security & BYOD Policy, Sarkis Daglian and Isaac Straley   34
The Future of Virtualization




                               35
Server Virtualization Changes
A consolidation of physical server machines
Leveraging service-oriented approach
    – Adjust demand changes via service
       encapsulation and dynamic (de) coupling of
       related Virtual Machines
Cloud Computing
    – Server virtualization in combine with cloud
       computing will create a dynamically scalable,
       virtual computing cloud which provides IT
       services on demand.
                                                       36
Top 5 Cloud & Virtualization Trends 2013

      IaaS will be more widely accepted as the natural evolution of
      “traditional” IT outsourcing.
      IaaS cloud will continue to evolve at an accelerated pace
      with 2013 marking the year of the “Software Defined
      Datacenter”
      Solid State storage will reach an inflection point in terms of
      availability, reliability, and cost.
      Adjacent “as-a-Service” offerings such as Desktop-as-a-
      Service, Database-as-a-Service, and Backup-as-a-Service
       IT human resources will be compelled to adapt to a rapidly
      changing world.
                                                                                           37
Source : http://blog.navisite.com/articles/top-five-cloud-and-virtualization-trends-2013
Seven Top Security Trends 2013

      Mainstream Cloud and Mobile Adoption Seeks Security.
      Businesses Begin Sandboxing Smartphone Apps
      Cloud Offers Unprecedented attack Strength
      Post-Flashback, Cross-Platform Attacks Increase
      Destructive Malware Targets Critical Infrastructure
      Hackers Target QR Codes, TecTiles
      Digital Wallets Become
      Cybercrime Targets


                                                             38
Source http://www.informationweek.com/
www.facebook.com/imcinstitute




                                39
Thank you

thanachart@imcinstitute.com
www.imcinstitute.com
www.facebook.com/imcinstitute
www.slideshare.net/imcinstitute
                                  40
Media Device Battles
By 2013 mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most
common Web access device worldwide
By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach around 50
percent of laptop shipments and Windows 8 will likely
be in third place behind Google’s Android and Apple
iOS operating systems.
The era of PC dominance with Windows as the single
platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where
Windows is one of a variety of environments IT


                                                        41

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Technology Trends 2013

  • 1. Technology Trends 2013 Assoc. Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda Executive Director IMC Institute 20 March 2013
  • 2. Trends 2
  • 3. Growth Markets & Global Trends Source: Winning in a Digital World; Mark Mueller-Eberstein 3
  • 5. The power of your hand in 10 years Look like this today Source: Winning in a Digital World; Mark Mueller-Eberstein 5
  • 7. Gartner Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends 2012 2013 Media tablets and beyond Mobile Device Battles Mobile-centric applications and Mobile Applications and HTML5 interfaces Personal Cloud Social &contextual user experience Enterprise App Stores Application stores and marketplace The Internet of Things The Internet of everything Hybrid IT and Cloud Computing Next-generation analytics Strategic Big Data Big data Actionable Analytics In-memory computing In Memory Computing Extreme low-energy servers Integrated Ecosystems Cloud computing 7
  • 8. Gartner Top 10 Strategic Technologies 8
  • 9. Gartner 2012 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies 9
  • 11. Media Device Battles By 2013 mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common Web access device worldwide By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach around 50 percent of laptop shipments and Windows 8 will likely be in third place behind Google’s Android and Apple iOS operating systems. The era of PC dominance with Windows as the single platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where Windows is one of a variety of environments IT 11
  • 12. Mobile Applications and HTML5 There will be a long term shift away from native apps to Web apps as HTML5 becomes more capable. Nevertheless, native apps won't disappear, and will always offer the best user experiences and most sophisticated features.. 12
  • 13. Personal Cloud Personal cloud will gradually replace the PC as the location where individuals keep their personal content, access their services and personal preferences and center their digital lives. The unique collection of services, Web destinations and connectivity that will become the home of their computing and communication activities. 13
  • 14. The Internet of Things The Internet will expand as physical items such as consumer devices and physical assets are connected to the Internet. They communicate via NFC, Bluetooth, LE and Wi-Fi to a wide range of devices and peripherals, such as wristwatch displays, healthcare sensors, smart posters, and home entertainment systems. 14
  • 15. Hybrid IT and Cloud Computing Cloud will increasingly be hybrid, managed, and brokered. Taking private clouds and building a management platform for them, and then using that to manage both internal and external services. 15
  • 16. Strategic Big Data Big Data is moving from a focus on individual projects to an influence on enterprises’ strategic information architecture. Moving towards multiple systems, including content management, data warehouses, data marts and specialized file systems tied together with data services and metadata, which will become the "logical" enterprise data warehouse. 16
  • 17. Actionable Analytics In the next year, a big focus will be on developing real-time operational intelligence, perhaps delivered to mobile devices out in the field. The mobile client linked to cloud-based analytic engines and big data repositories potentially enables use of optimization and simulation everywhere and every time 17
  • 18. Mainstream In-Memory Computing IMC can also provide transformational opportunities. The execution of certain-types of hours-long batch processes can be squeezed into minutes or even seconds allowing these processes to be provided in the form of real-time or near real-time services 18
  • 19. Integrated Ecosystems The market is undergoing a shift to more integrated systems and ecosystems and away from loosely coupled heterogeneous approaches. Appliances combine hardware and software and software and services are packaged. Cloud-based marketplaces and brokerages facilitate purchase like Salesforce.com's AppExchange and Microsoft's marketplace. End-to-end ecosystems, such as Apple's control of apps and the App Store 19
  • 20. Enterprise App Stores By 2014, many organizations will deliver mobile applications to workers through private application stores the role of IT shifts from that of a centralized planner to a market manager providing governance and brokerage services to users and potentially an ecosystem to support apptrepreneurs. 20
  • 22. Cloud Computing Mobile Computing Social Technologies Information 22
  • 23. Bring Your Own Devices (BYOD) 23
  • 25. “Social computing is moving from being just on the outside of the organization to being at the core of business operations.” Peter Sondergaard, senior vice president at Gartner, 2012 25
  • 26. “Big data currently has the most significant impact in social network analysis and content analytics with 45% of new spending each year.” Gartner, 2012 26
  • 27. Thailand Smartphone/Tablet Shipment 2013 In 2013; 1.5 million desktops, 2.5 million notebooks and 3.5 million Tablets expected to be shipped [IDC] Smartphone shipment in 2013 is estimated at 7.3 million units [IDC] 27
  • 28. 28
  • 29. Trends in End User Devices Source JSC: January 2012 29
  • 30. Sales of Client Devices Source Morgan Stanley Research: Feb 2011 30
  • 31. Sales of Tablets Source Gartner: September 2011 31
  • 32. Sales of Smartphones Source Gartner: April 2011 32
  • 33. Trends in End User Devices Source JSC 33
  • 34. BYOD is not the Question It’s already here. “How do we secure personal devices?” “How do we secure the data?” – The policies go with the data and the risk, not the device Source Mobile Security & BYOD Policy, Sarkis Daglian and Isaac Straley 34
  • 35. The Future of Virtualization 35
  • 36. Server Virtualization Changes A consolidation of physical server machines Leveraging service-oriented approach – Adjust demand changes via service encapsulation and dynamic (de) coupling of related Virtual Machines Cloud Computing – Server virtualization in combine with cloud computing will create a dynamically scalable, virtual computing cloud which provides IT services on demand. 36
  • 37. Top 5 Cloud & Virtualization Trends 2013 IaaS will be more widely accepted as the natural evolution of “traditional” IT outsourcing. IaaS cloud will continue to evolve at an accelerated pace with 2013 marking the year of the “Software Defined Datacenter” Solid State storage will reach an inflection point in terms of availability, reliability, and cost. Adjacent “as-a-Service” offerings such as Desktop-as-a- Service, Database-as-a-Service, and Backup-as-a-Service IT human resources will be compelled to adapt to a rapidly changing world. 37 Source : http://blog.navisite.com/articles/top-five-cloud-and-virtualization-trends-2013
  • 38. Seven Top Security Trends 2013 Mainstream Cloud and Mobile Adoption Seeks Security. Businesses Begin Sandboxing Smartphone Apps Cloud Offers Unprecedented attack Strength Post-Flashback, Cross-Platform Attacks Increase Destructive Malware Targets Critical Infrastructure Hackers Target QR Codes, TecTiles Digital Wallets Become Cybercrime Targets 38 Source http://www.informationweek.com/
  • 41. Media Device Battles By 2013 mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common Web access device worldwide By 2015 media tablet shipments will reach around 50 percent of laptop shipments and Windows 8 will likely be in third place behind Google’s Android and Apple iOS operating systems. The era of PC dominance with Windows as the single platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where Windows is one of a variety of environments IT 41