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Positioning Nutrition in the
     Post-2015 Debate
      Some Background

           Lawrence Haddad
   Institute of Development Studies
                   IDS
              Brighton, UK
           February 20, 2013
Outline
1. What have the MDGs accomplished?
2. What have the MDGs done for nutrition?
3. Which principles are guiding post 2015 discussions?
4. What can nutrition do for the next set of goals?
5. What are the emerging candidates for new goals?
6. How do we want the new goals to help reduce
   malnutrition?
7. What are the options for nutrition and how to
   prioritise?
8. Final Reflections

                                                         2
1. What have the MDGs accomplished?
• Rallying call for international development
• Linked public support for development with
  measurable progress
• Probably led to increased ODA flows
• Probably directed more to Sub-Saharan Africa
• May have increased ODA allocation to
  HIV/AIDS, malaria and TB
• If they had not accomplished anything, we
  wouldn’t be talking about them so much
                                                 3
2. What have the MDGs done for
                nutrition?
• Underweight: one (sub-optimal) indicator in
  one sub-goal of one MDG
• Nevertheless, probably important in allowing
  development agencies justify an increased
  investment in nutrition over the past
• Location in the MDG1 probably particularly
  helpful in supporting World Bank leadership


                                                 4
3. Which principles are guiding post 2015
                discussion?
• Make goals global
• Get a better balance of outcomes, outputs and
  inputs
• Greater focus on environment
• Greater focus on equity
• More on transparency and accountability
• More on peace and security
• Keep number of goals small, achieve greater
  public recognition
• Put in place an M&E plan!
                                                  5
4. What can nutrition do for the next
            set of goals?
• Generate individual level poverty outcomes;
  help with equity
• Help give the MDGs a longer term perspective
• Help bridge the development and
  humanitarian space (e.g. individual resilience)
• Make links/highlight tradeoffs between goals



                                                    6
5. Emerging candidates for new goals

Contribution from CIGI                                         Karver, Kenny and Sumner 2012
                                                                               2010-2030

                                                        1. Poverty: $2/day, malnutri on
                                                        2. Health: Life expectancy, child mortality
                                                        3. Educa on: Literacy, secondary educa on
                                                        4. Gender: Popula on disparity under the age of five
                                                        5. Sustainable Development: Forest area; alterna ve
                                                            energy as a percentage of total, GHG emissions,
                                                            species ex nc on
                           Post-2015 Goals,
                         Targets, and Indicators
                                                        6. Peace: Military expenditure as % GDP
                           Background Paper             7. Infrastructure: Access to mobile signal, access to
                         Paris, April 9-11, 2012            improved energy sources
                         Barry Carin and Nicole
                          Bates-Eamer. CIGI.
                                                        8. Development: Duty Free Access, Aid 0.7%

                                                   MDGs 2.0: What Goals, Targets and Timeframe?
                                                   Jonathan Karver, Charles Kenny, and Andy Sumner
                                                   July 2012 . IDS Working paper. 398




                                                                                                                7
Suggestions for Sustainable Development Goals




Rio 2012 Issues Briefs                    25 CSOs (10 N, 15 S),
Produced by the UNCSD Secretariat No. 6   supported by 1400 CSOs
                                                                   8
Contribution from
    Oxfam:
“The Doughnut”




Source: Oxfam. The
11 dimensions of the
social foundation are
illustrative and are
based on
governments’ priorities
for Rio+20. The nine
dimensions of the
environmental ceiling
are based on the
planetary boundaries
set out by Rockström
et al (2009b)

                      9
What will the new goals look like? My
                   view.
• There will be goals!
• They will balance human appeal, resource use,
  political feasibility and be more faithful to the
  Millennium Declaration
   o “One world”, with differentiated responsibilities
   o Inequality will be taken more seriously
   o Resource intensity and emissions issues built into
     people centred goals, not the other way around
   o Governance—rights, responsibilities, accountability,
     capacity, transparency—will figure more strongly

                                                            10
6. What do we want the new goals
            to do for nutrition?
• Stimulate progress on reducing malnutrition
  priorities
   – Increasing pace of stunting reduction
   – Increasing pace of wasting reduction
   – Improving nutrition status of girls and women of
     reproductive age
   – Slow down and reverse increases in overweight and
     diet related risk factors
• Help identify the nutrition sensitive opportunities
• Make nutrition efforts more visible and
  accountable

                                                         11
7. Options for nutrition in post 2015 space

• Recent initiatives from UN and elsewhere
• Views of 26 email respondents (half nutrition,
  half development with a strong interest in
  nutrition)
• 3 sets of options
• Criteria for prioritising




                                                   12
Recent initiatives
• SUN: new nutrition goals need to support SUN!
• WHA global targets on nutrition
   1.   stunting 171m in 2010 to 100m in 2022
   2.   reduction of anaemia in women of reproductive age
   3.   50% reduction of low birth weight
   4.   No increase in childhood overweight
   5.   Increase exclusive breastfeeding rates in the first six months of life
        to at least 50%
• Zero Hunger Initiative/Zero Hunger Challenge
   1.   100 percent access to adequate food all year round
   2.   zero stunted children
   3.   make all food systems sustainable
   4.   increase smallholder productivity and income by 100 percent.
   5.   zero loss or waste of food
• Universal Health coverage
• Save the Children: 12 nutrition related indicators embedded
  within 5 goals (out of total of 10 goals)
                                                                                 13
Views of 26 experts
• Undernutrition
   – Stunting: inclusion a minimum non negotiable (under 2s
     and under 5s)
   – Wasting: should be included for under 5s
   – Female BMI should feature strongly
• Include overweight and obesity
   – growing shared agenda around healthy diets
• Include all countries
   – global food system, double burden of malnutrition
• Goal?
   – Nutrition community: Separate goal
   – Broader development community: Strategic integration
     with other goals more realistic
   – All: Minimalist--replace underweight with stunting       14
Option                       Advantages                            Risks
1. Separate        • Nutrition harder to ignore by   • High risk given the lack of
  nutrition goal     those who care about MDGs         political momentum & home
                   • Supports SUN directly             for a nutrition goal
                   • “Reducing malnutrition” is easy • Nutrition easier to ignore by
                     to communicate                    other sectors and other goals
2. Incorporate • More feasible                    • Nutrition remains invisible –no
  nutrition      • New goal “buckets”, especially   single champion
  indicators and (1) separation of poverty and • Fractures reporting on
  targets into     hunger and (2) clustering of     nutrition progress
  other goals      health, may favour nutrition   • Divides nutrition community
                 • Potential leveraging of larger
                   resource flows & energy of
                   other goals
3. Minimalist—     • Improvement on status quo       • Too unambitious—too weak a
  only replace     • Feasible                          negotiating position
  underweight                                        • No reason to think stunting will
  with stunting                                        be more visible than
                                                       underweight               15
Criteria for prioritising options?
• Most likely to have a big impact on nutrition if
  adopted
   – Galvanise energy
       • nutrition community
       • wider development community
       • wider public
   – Guide action
       • nutrition specific
       • nutrition sensitive
• Likelihood of adoption
   – Political feasibility
       • among rich countries
       • among emerging/high burden countries
   – Ease of technical reporting
                                                     16
Final reflections
• Positioning nutrition smartly in the Post 2015
  settlement is vital to lock in current momentum
• This is about politics (domestic, international,
  interagency, inter-INGO). Technical considerations
  are important but one level down
• Need to unify nutrition community around one option
  and then rally potential allies in other goal buckets to
  support it
• Wise to have a strong plan B
• There is time, but it is rapidly running out. MDG high
  level panel reports in May/June; open question on
  how much movement post-Sept 2013 UNGASS               17

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Post2015 Nutrition Consultation - Session 1 - Lawrence Haddad

  • 1. Positioning Nutrition in the Post-2015 Debate Some Background Lawrence Haddad Institute of Development Studies IDS Brighton, UK February 20, 2013
  • 2. Outline 1. What have the MDGs accomplished? 2. What have the MDGs done for nutrition? 3. Which principles are guiding post 2015 discussions? 4. What can nutrition do for the next set of goals? 5. What are the emerging candidates for new goals? 6. How do we want the new goals to help reduce malnutrition? 7. What are the options for nutrition and how to prioritise? 8. Final Reflections 2
  • 3. 1. What have the MDGs accomplished? • Rallying call for international development • Linked public support for development with measurable progress • Probably led to increased ODA flows • Probably directed more to Sub-Saharan Africa • May have increased ODA allocation to HIV/AIDS, malaria and TB • If they had not accomplished anything, we wouldn’t be talking about them so much 3
  • 4. 2. What have the MDGs done for nutrition? • Underweight: one (sub-optimal) indicator in one sub-goal of one MDG • Nevertheless, probably important in allowing development agencies justify an increased investment in nutrition over the past • Location in the MDG1 probably particularly helpful in supporting World Bank leadership 4
  • 5. 3. Which principles are guiding post 2015 discussion? • Make goals global • Get a better balance of outcomes, outputs and inputs • Greater focus on environment • Greater focus on equity • More on transparency and accountability • More on peace and security • Keep number of goals small, achieve greater public recognition • Put in place an M&E plan! 5
  • 6. 4. What can nutrition do for the next set of goals? • Generate individual level poverty outcomes; help with equity • Help give the MDGs a longer term perspective • Help bridge the development and humanitarian space (e.g. individual resilience) • Make links/highlight tradeoffs between goals 6
  • 7. 5. Emerging candidates for new goals Contribution from CIGI Karver, Kenny and Sumner 2012 2010-2030 1. Poverty: $2/day, malnutri on 2. Health: Life expectancy, child mortality 3. Educa on: Literacy, secondary educa on 4. Gender: Popula on disparity under the age of five 5. Sustainable Development: Forest area; alterna ve energy as a percentage of total, GHG emissions, species ex nc on Post-2015 Goals, Targets, and Indicators 6. Peace: Military expenditure as % GDP Background Paper 7. Infrastructure: Access to mobile signal, access to Paris, April 9-11, 2012 improved energy sources Barry Carin and Nicole Bates-Eamer. CIGI. 8. Development: Duty Free Access, Aid 0.7% MDGs 2.0: What Goals, Targets and Timeframe? Jonathan Karver, Charles Kenny, and Andy Sumner July 2012 . IDS Working paper. 398 7
  • 8. Suggestions for Sustainable Development Goals Rio 2012 Issues Briefs 25 CSOs (10 N, 15 S), Produced by the UNCSD Secretariat No. 6 supported by 1400 CSOs 8
  • 9. Contribution from Oxfam: “The Doughnut” Source: Oxfam. The 11 dimensions of the social foundation are illustrative and are based on governments’ priorities for Rio+20. The nine dimensions of the environmental ceiling are based on the planetary boundaries set out by Rockström et al (2009b) 9
  • 10. What will the new goals look like? My view. • There will be goals! • They will balance human appeal, resource use, political feasibility and be more faithful to the Millennium Declaration o “One world”, with differentiated responsibilities o Inequality will be taken more seriously o Resource intensity and emissions issues built into people centred goals, not the other way around o Governance—rights, responsibilities, accountability, capacity, transparency—will figure more strongly 10
  • 11. 6. What do we want the new goals to do for nutrition? • Stimulate progress on reducing malnutrition priorities – Increasing pace of stunting reduction – Increasing pace of wasting reduction – Improving nutrition status of girls and women of reproductive age – Slow down and reverse increases in overweight and diet related risk factors • Help identify the nutrition sensitive opportunities • Make nutrition efforts more visible and accountable 11
  • 12. 7. Options for nutrition in post 2015 space • Recent initiatives from UN and elsewhere • Views of 26 email respondents (half nutrition, half development with a strong interest in nutrition) • 3 sets of options • Criteria for prioritising 12
  • 13. Recent initiatives • SUN: new nutrition goals need to support SUN! • WHA global targets on nutrition 1. stunting 171m in 2010 to 100m in 2022 2. reduction of anaemia in women of reproductive age 3. 50% reduction of low birth weight 4. No increase in childhood overweight 5. Increase exclusive breastfeeding rates in the first six months of life to at least 50% • Zero Hunger Initiative/Zero Hunger Challenge 1. 100 percent access to adequate food all year round 2. zero stunted children 3. make all food systems sustainable 4. increase smallholder productivity and income by 100 percent. 5. zero loss or waste of food • Universal Health coverage • Save the Children: 12 nutrition related indicators embedded within 5 goals (out of total of 10 goals) 13
  • 14. Views of 26 experts • Undernutrition – Stunting: inclusion a minimum non negotiable (under 2s and under 5s) – Wasting: should be included for under 5s – Female BMI should feature strongly • Include overweight and obesity – growing shared agenda around healthy diets • Include all countries – global food system, double burden of malnutrition • Goal? – Nutrition community: Separate goal – Broader development community: Strategic integration with other goals more realistic – All: Minimalist--replace underweight with stunting 14
  • 15. Option Advantages Risks 1. Separate • Nutrition harder to ignore by • High risk given the lack of nutrition goal those who care about MDGs political momentum & home • Supports SUN directly for a nutrition goal • “Reducing malnutrition” is easy • Nutrition easier to ignore by to communicate other sectors and other goals 2. Incorporate • More feasible • Nutrition remains invisible –no nutrition • New goal “buckets”, especially single champion indicators and (1) separation of poverty and • Fractures reporting on targets into hunger and (2) clustering of nutrition progress other goals health, may favour nutrition • Divides nutrition community • Potential leveraging of larger resource flows & energy of other goals 3. Minimalist— • Improvement on status quo • Too unambitious—too weak a only replace • Feasible negotiating position underweight • No reason to think stunting will with stunting be more visible than underweight 15
  • 16. Criteria for prioritising options? • Most likely to have a big impact on nutrition if adopted – Galvanise energy • nutrition community • wider development community • wider public – Guide action • nutrition specific • nutrition sensitive • Likelihood of adoption – Political feasibility • among rich countries • among emerging/high burden countries – Ease of technical reporting 16
  • 17. Final reflections • Positioning nutrition smartly in the Post 2015 settlement is vital to lock in current momentum • This is about politics (domestic, international, interagency, inter-INGO). Technical considerations are important but one level down • Need to unify nutrition community around one option and then rally potential allies in other goal buckets to support it • Wise to have a strong plan B • There is time, but it is rapidly running out. MDG high level panel reports in May/June; open question on how much movement post-Sept 2013 UNGASS 17