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REFLECTIONS ON
A FOOD +
NUTRITION
PARADIGM FOR
THE 21 ST CENTURY

22nd Annual
Martin J. Forman
Memorial Lecture
December 4, 2012

JOSETTE SHEERAN
WE KNOW ABOUT ONE KIND OF CLIFF…..
THE FOOD CLIFF
Source: FAO
WHAT IS OUR TARGET?
“Food and nutrition security exists when all people at all times
 have physical, social and economic access to food, which is
consumed in sufficient quantity and quality to meet their
 dietary needs and food preferences, and is supported
 by an environment of adequate sanitation, health services
 and care, allowing for a living healthy and active life.”

*Committee on World Food Security
ARE WE
ON
TRACK?
There is more than enough food today

                                 The edible crop
                                 harvest in the
                                 world is more
                                 than 4600 kcal
                                 per every
                                 person per day.
                                 Even after loss,
                                 waste, and
                                                    YET:
                                 food use as
                                 fodder there is
                                 more than
                                 2700 kcal per
                                 day per person.
                    Penn State
Burden of Knowledge
Burden of Knowledge
                                    1000 Days
                   Brain scan – two 3-year old children




         Normal                                                        Malnourished

             © 2007 Dr Fernando Monckeberg Barros, Universitad Diego Portales
      The child is reported to have suffered from extreme neglect (abandono cronico) and the degree
       to which other factors such as social stimulation may have impacted this child are unknown.
Burden of Knowledge
 Burden of Knowledge
            Evidence of Effects of Malnutrition




      Brain neurons in                               Brain neurons in
      normal 3-yr old                              malnourished 3-yr old


            © 2007 Dr Fernando Monckeberg Barros, Universitad Diego Portales
Micronutrient status is inadequate in low-income countries




                                                             18
ECONOMIC IMPERATIVE


                                    Cost of malnutrition
    Nutrition                       average 6% of GDP
  interventions                     (US$260 billion)
US$10.3 billion
                     Total GDP
                  US$4.3 trillion




          36 COUNTRIES WITH HIGHEST BURDEN OF MALNUTRITION
GAME CHANGER 1:
PARTNERSHIPS to produce AND
expand access to affordable,
nutrient-dense and fortified foods.
NEEDED: SPECIAL NUTRIENT-DENSE FOOD FOR PREGNANT AND NURSING MOTHERS




                                     BREAST-FEEDING:
                                     PRACTICED BY
                                     LESS THAN 10%
                                     MOTHERS IN
                                     MANY NATIONS
                                      IS THE MOST
                                     IMPORTANT
                                     “SOLUTION”!
GAME CHANGER 2:

PARTNERSHIPS WHICH EMPOWER SMALL
HOLDER FARMERS, THE HUNGRY AND
RURAL WOMEN WITH A “HAND SHAKE”;
NOT ONLY A “HAND UP” OR A “HAND OUT”
The 1 percent tells the story of the 99 percent




         Purchasing for Progress – P4P
GAME CHANGER 3:
     TO SCALE SUSTAINABLE
‘CIRCULAR FOOD ECONOMY’
INNOVATIONS, COLLABORATION
New Alliance, New Vision for Agriculture and Grow Africa
Transformative solutions along the value chain
 Research & Development



 Input distribution and adoption


            Farming


     Trading and processing

         Manufacturing
          and retailing

         Distribution to
          Consumers
                                             34
Grow Africa: Overview of the global and local/regional companies submitting LOIs to date




                                                                                           3
                                                                                           5
Scaling Up Nutrition



                    Together, we can achieve
                   what no single effort could,
                 and make the world a healthier,
                     stronger place for us all.
Progress of the SUN Movement: December 4 2012
NEEDED: NEW COLLABORATION ON FOOD WASTE FROM FARM TO FORK




                                          SOURCE: NDRC
GAME CHANGER 4:
LEADERS CAN BE
INSPIRED TO ACT AND
CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
Global Commitment
1987 Ethiopia
Famine
HUNGER NUMBERS HAVE NOT SHIFTED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE 1969 : FAO
IS IT BECAUSE
      THE WARNING BELLS
                RING SO LOUDLY



            SEEMS TO HEAR THEM?
                     Paul Polman, CEO, UNILEVER
                      Financial Times, November 21, 2012
THE 10 IMPERATIVES OF HUNGER
1. PRIORITIZE URGENT NUTRITION AID TO PREGNANT WOMEN AND YOUNG CHILDREN
2. VIEW HUNGER AS AN OPPORTUNITY, NOT A PROBLEM: CREATE WIN-WIN OPPORTUNITIES FROM
   FARM TO FORK
3. REVISE SUBSIDY AND POLICY MODELS DESIGNED FOR POST-WORLD WARII + POST-
   INDEPENDENCE
4. URGENTLY ADDRESS MASSIVE POLICY GAPS IN DEVELOPING WORLD ON LAND + INVESTMENT
5. SCALE UP WHAT WORKS: PUT $ BEHIND PROVEN MODELS THAT BUILD RESILIENCY
6. PROMOTE DIVERSE SOLUTIONS: END THE WAR BETWEEN LARGE SCALE AND SMALL SCALE
   AGRICULTURE
7. RADICALLY REDUCE WASTE FROM FARM TO FORK
8. DEPLOY INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES: CLOSE THE WATER, YIELD, STORAGE, PROCESSING GAPS
9. LEADERSHIP: THE G-8, G-20 MUST INCLUDE FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY
REMEMBER: THIS BATTLE IS ‘WINNABLE’




BUT: AVOIDING THE ‘FOOD CLIFF’ REQUIRES A PARADIGM SHIFT

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REFLECTIONS ON A FOOD + NUTRITION PARADIGM FOR THE 21ST CENTURY

  • 1. REFLECTIONS ON A FOOD + NUTRITION PARADIGM FOR THE 21 ST CENTURY 22nd Annual Martin J. Forman Memorial Lecture December 4, 2012 JOSETTE SHEERAN
  • 2. WE KNOW ABOUT ONE KIND OF CLIFF…..
  • 5. WHAT IS OUR TARGET? “Food and nutrition security exists when all people at all times have physical, social and economic access to food, which is consumed in sufficient quantity and quality to meet their dietary needs and food preferences, and is supported by an environment of adequate sanitation, health services and care, allowing for a living healthy and active life.” *Committee on World Food Security
  • 7. There is more than enough food today The edible crop harvest in the world is more than 4600 kcal per every person per day. Even after loss, waste, and YET: food use as fodder there is more than 2700 kcal per day per person. Penn State
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  • 16. Burden of Knowledge Burden of Knowledge 1000 Days Brain scan – two 3-year old children Normal Malnourished © 2007 Dr Fernando Monckeberg Barros, Universitad Diego Portales The child is reported to have suffered from extreme neglect (abandono cronico) and the degree to which other factors such as social stimulation may have impacted this child are unknown.
  • 17. Burden of Knowledge Burden of Knowledge Evidence of Effects of Malnutrition Brain neurons in Brain neurons in normal 3-yr old malnourished 3-yr old © 2007 Dr Fernando Monckeberg Barros, Universitad Diego Portales
  • 18. Micronutrient status is inadequate in low-income countries 18
  • 19. ECONOMIC IMPERATIVE Cost of malnutrition Nutrition average 6% of GDP interventions (US$260 billion) US$10.3 billion Total GDP US$4.3 trillion 36 COUNTRIES WITH HIGHEST BURDEN OF MALNUTRITION
  • 20. GAME CHANGER 1: PARTNERSHIPS to produce AND expand access to affordable, nutrient-dense and fortified foods.
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  • 25. NEEDED: SPECIAL NUTRIENT-DENSE FOOD FOR PREGNANT AND NURSING MOTHERS BREAST-FEEDING: PRACTICED BY LESS THAN 10% MOTHERS IN MANY NATIONS IS THE MOST IMPORTANT “SOLUTION”!
  • 26. GAME CHANGER 2: PARTNERSHIPS WHICH EMPOWER SMALL HOLDER FARMERS, THE HUNGRY AND RURAL WOMEN WITH A “HAND SHAKE”; NOT ONLY A “HAND UP” OR A “HAND OUT”
  • 27. The 1 percent tells the story of the 99 percent Purchasing for Progress – P4P
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  • 31. GAME CHANGER 3: TO SCALE SUSTAINABLE ‘CIRCULAR FOOD ECONOMY’ INNOVATIONS, COLLABORATION
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  • 33. New Alliance, New Vision for Agriculture and Grow Africa
  • 34. Transformative solutions along the value chain Research & Development Input distribution and adoption Farming Trading and processing Manufacturing and retailing Distribution to Consumers 34
  • 35. Grow Africa: Overview of the global and local/regional companies submitting LOIs to date 3 5
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  • 37. Scaling Up Nutrition Together, we can achieve what no single effort could, and make the world a healthier, stronger place for us all. Progress of the SUN Movement: December 4 2012
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  • 39. NEEDED: NEW COLLABORATION ON FOOD WASTE FROM FARM TO FORK SOURCE: NDRC
  • 40. GAME CHANGER 4: LEADERS CAN BE INSPIRED TO ACT AND CAN MAKE A DIFFERENCE
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  • 46. HUNGER NUMBERS HAVE NOT SHIFTED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE 1969 : FAO
  • 47. IS IT BECAUSE THE WARNING BELLS RING SO LOUDLY SEEMS TO HEAR THEM? Paul Polman, CEO, UNILEVER Financial Times, November 21, 2012
  • 48. THE 10 IMPERATIVES OF HUNGER 1. PRIORITIZE URGENT NUTRITION AID TO PREGNANT WOMEN AND YOUNG CHILDREN 2. VIEW HUNGER AS AN OPPORTUNITY, NOT A PROBLEM: CREATE WIN-WIN OPPORTUNITIES FROM FARM TO FORK 3. REVISE SUBSIDY AND POLICY MODELS DESIGNED FOR POST-WORLD WARII + POST- INDEPENDENCE 4. URGENTLY ADDRESS MASSIVE POLICY GAPS IN DEVELOPING WORLD ON LAND + INVESTMENT 5. SCALE UP WHAT WORKS: PUT $ BEHIND PROVEN MODELS THAT BUILD RESILIENCY 6. PROMOTE DIVERSE SOLUTIONS: END THE WAR BETWEEN LARGE SCALE AND SMALL SCALE AGRICULTURE 7. RADICALLY REDUCE WASTE FROM FARM TO FORK 8. DEPLOY INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES: CLOSE THE WATER, YIELD, STORAGE, PROCESSING GAPS 9. LEADERSHIP: THE G-8, G-20 MUST INCLUDE FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY
  • 49. REMEMBER: THIS BATTLE IS ‘WINNABLE’ BUT: AVOIDING THE ‘FOOD CLIFF’ REQUIRES A PARADIGM SHIFT

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. To the almost 1 billion undernourished we must add the fact that, each year, our planet’s population increases by about 74 million people. From 7 billion in 2011, population will reach 8.3 billion in 2030 and, by 2050, the number will be 9,1 billion, according to the UN Population Division.
  2. There is enough food todayAdding up the numbers of today’s global food production tells a positive story – that there is more than enough food produced to provide every person on the planet with an adequate diet. The edible crop harvest in the world is more than 4600 kcal per every person per day.8 However a lot of the food gets lost after harvesting, in use as fodder and in waste (see box). Available food per person increased almost 18.6 percent be- tween the mid-1960s and 2007, to 2796 kcal9 per day per person (latest figures avail- able as of October 2011), which meets the needs of an average adult man.
  3. Now is the time for actionBy Paul PolmanIs it because the warning bells ring so loudly that no one seems to hear them? What with elections and the euro crisis, there are plenty of distractions.2013: THE NEXT FOOD CRISIS? NO SURPLUS: IN 6 OF PAST 11 YEARS FOOD CONSUMPTION HAS EXCEDED PRODUCTION FOOD RESERVES ARE “DANGEROUSLY LOW” WHEAT & MAIZE PRICES CLOSE TO HEIGHTS OF 2008 WHEN FOOD RIOTS HIT 25+ NATIONSBut there will be 200,000 more mouths to feed around the world tomorrow – literally. There has been a 20 per cent drop in wheat yields in the US this year. The EU harvest is down by 6m tonnes – in Russia and Ukraine it will be reduced by more than 35m. The FAO predicts global wheat supply in 2012-13 will fall to 661m tons. Consumption stands at 688m tons.The world is entering an era of permanent food crisis, likely accompanied by political unrest, and will require radical reform of the international food system…prices of staples such as maize could rise by as much as 180% by 2030, with half due to the impacts of climate change.
  4. Every day, 16,000 children die of malnutrition and hunger-related diseases. FAO
  5. Check year
  6. The Copenhagen Consensus concluded that an investment in fighting malnutrition would benefit people more than any other type of investment – with a return of $30 for every $1 invested. And the World Bank found that an investment in nutrition can translate to a 2-3 per cent increase in a nation’s GDP each year, breaking the cycle of poverty that traps families and nations. Polman FT
  7. . Governments and businesses need to direct investment towards strengthening whole value chains and improving support for smallholder farmers, particularly women. In the developing world, they make up 43 per cent of farmers – rising to 50 per cent in eastern Asia and 80 per cent in sub-Saharan Africa – but they have less access to the land, water rights, finance and education that could increase productivity. Aiding smallholder farmers is one of the most efficient ways of alleviating poverty, which makes it even more critical.
  8. Mars Cacao Genome Project
  9. A 'circular economy' (CE) is an approach that would transform the function of resources in the economy. Waste from factories would become a valuable input to another process - and products could be repaired, reused or upgraded instead of thrown away. Today, the recycling of many materials does not occur because it is uneconomical relative to the production of virgin material. With incentives that encourage careful planning all the way from the product design stage to the consumer, the economics of recovery and reuse could be transformed.
  10. Pressure on the world’s resources is intensifying. Increased competition for these resources has been compounded by the effects of severe weather conditions. Since 2000, food prices have more than doubled because of soaring demand, with desertification, floods and drought adding significant volatility to the trend of food price inflation. To make matters worse, it is countries with already high rates of malnutrition that tend to be worst hit. People in Chad, Ethiopia and Angola spend up to 60 per cent of their weekly budget on food – much of it imported. The most vulnerable are hit the hardest by price rises.
  11. Fast acceleration on record – doubled between June 2007 and January 2008Why same effect world wide? Addis Ababa grain markets – on computerNow volatility
  12. This will need collective international leadership. Future G8 and G20 presidencies must keep agriculture centre stage. The UN High Level Panel on the Post-2015 Development Goals – of which I am a member – also gives us a unique opportunity to cement meaningful international targets to support agricultural development
  13. In recent years the world has come to understand the impact of undernutrition. The UN Secretary-General is leading the way. And has be joined by leaders from countries, civil society, donors and business. It is now understood that under-nutrition affects all of us:The impact of under-nutrition is not just felt by the individual: it affects families and communities, impacting on a whole nation’s future, decreasing its GDP by up to 3%.It’s effects are intergenerational - the cause of poverty – as well as the resultIt affects our future and the future of our children.Addressing under-nutrition is everybody’s businessUnder-nutrition is linked directly to more than one third of child deaths each yearThe number of children who suffer from under-nutrition in the form of stunting stands at 165 million or 26% of the global under-five population.- These children will not grow to meet their full height potential- They will not be able to concentrate in school and will perform less well - They will earn less as adults – up to 17% reduction in their lifetime earningsOther forms of under-nutrition also affect large numbers of people- 52 million children under-five years are wasted – too thin as a result of acute malnutrition- 2 billion people are deficient in key vitamins and minerals, particularly vitamin A, iodine, iron, and zinc.- 43 million children under five years are overweight and the number is rising. Overweight can result from poverty when families are unable to afford a balanced, nutritious diet.- The vast majority of under-nourished children live in Africa and Asia.Nutrition is a human right and everyone has a right to good nutrition