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- strictly confidential -

Draft

Is Your Phone Smart Enough?
Stas Khirman, Chief Technical Officer,
Deutsche Telekom Hosted Business Services
October, 2013
Cloud Activities in DTAG v2.ppt
About myself







Kiev U graduate
Almost 30 years in HighTech / IT industry
20 – in Telecom + Internet
Designed first H.323 VideoPhone
Co-Found 3 Silicon Valley startups







Narus acquired by Boeing
ChooChee acquired by Deutsche Telekom

CTO at Deutsche Telekom HBS
Contact:



stas.khirman@deutschetelekomhbs.com
stas@khirman.com

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

2
What is a Technological Revolution ?
A relatively short period of history when replacement of one
technology by another results in massive changes in social
structure, human behavior and/or culture.

Change the way
people are doing things

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

3
Technology Adoption & Hype

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

4
SmartPhone – Is It Smart Enough ?

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

5
Telephone History

τῆλε (tēle, “afar”)
+ φωνή (phōnē, “voice, sound”)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

6
- strictly confidential -

Draft
1876 – First Public Telephone Demonstration

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

8
1877 – Switchboard/ Telephone Exchange

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

9
1891 – Automatic Telephone Exchange

Almon Brown
Strowger
DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

10
1898 – Spanish-American War & Telecom Tax

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

11
Plain
Old
Telephone
System
DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

12
POTS Main Functions
 Battery

supply to subscriber line
 Overvoltage protection
 Ringing current supply
 Supervision of subscriber terminal
 Coder and decoder
 Hybrid, 2 wire to 4 wire conversion
 Testing

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

13
1990s – VoIP




1995 – VocalTec – first H.323 phone commercially available
1996 – VDO.net – first H.323 video phone available
1999 – SIP (Session Invitation Protocol) published

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

14
1990s – 2G/2.5G Digital cellular , GSM/CDMA

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

15
Ericsson GS 88 – first “Smart Phone” (1997)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

16
Nokia 9000 Communicator (1996)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

17
2000s – 3G Mobile broadband data

Apple IPhone 1G (2007)

HTC Dream/Android (2008)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

18
2010s – 4G Native IP network (WiMAX & LTE)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

19
Smartphone Outpace Dumb Phones in Sales

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

20
Market Share Fight

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

21
Most Popular Cameras in the Flickr Community

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

22
Collapse of the Point-and-Shoot Camera

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

23
Applications Snowball

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

24
Smartphone Screen Sizes Keep On Growing

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

25
But How Smart is Your Phone ?

=
DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

26
But How Smart is Your Phone ?

Still POTS ?
(Plain Old Telephone System)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

27
Tipping Point 1: Voice Quality


VoIP Voice Compression – G.711





Adopted by industry in 1972
Maximum (theoretical) voice quality - 4.35 (out of 5)

GSM Voice Compression – AMR



Adopted by industry in 1990s
Maximum (theoretical) voice quality - 4.1 (out of 5)

“HD Voice” is coming now !
(Kyivstar – August 2013)

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

28
Tipping Point 2: Video





VDO.net/MS NetMeeting – 1997
Skype - about 40% of calls
Apple FaceTime – no one using..
Tango.me

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

29
Tipping Point 3: Presence, Urgency & Routing

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

31
Smart Phone Time Is Now !

DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES

32

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IDCEE 2013: Is your phone smart enough? - Stas Khirman (CTO @ Deutsche Telekom Hosted Business Services & Managing Partner @ TEC Ventures)

  • 1. - strictly confidential - Draft Is Your Phone Smart Enough? Stas Khirman, Chief Technical Officer, Deutsche Telekom Hosted Business Services October, 2013 Cloud Activities in DTAG v2.ppt
  • 2. About myself      Kiev U graduate Almost 30 years in HighTech / IT industry 20 – in Telecom + Internet Designed first H.323 VideoPhone Co-Found 3 Silicon Valley startups     Narus acquired by Boeing ChooChee acquired by Deutsche Telekom CTO at Deutsche Telekom HBS Contact:   stas.khirman@deutschetelekomhbs.com stas@khirman.com DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 2
  • 3. What is a Technological Revolution ? A relatively short period of history when replacement of one technology by another results in massive changes in social structure, human behavior and/or culture. Change the way people are doing things DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 3
  • 4. Technology Adoption & Hype DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 4
  • 5. SmartPhone – Is It Smart Enough ? DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 5
  • 6. Telephone History τῆλε (tēle, “afar”) + φωνή (phōnē, “voice, sound”) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 6
  • 8. 1876 – First Public Telephone Demonstration DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 8
  • 9. 1877 – Switchboard/ Telephone Exchange DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 9
  • 10. 1891 – Automatic Telephone Exchange Almon Brown Strowger DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 10
  • 11. 1898 – Spanish-American War & Telecom Tax DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 11
  • 13. POTS Main Functions  Battery supply to subscriber line  Overvoltage protection  Ringing current supply  Supervision of subscriber terminal  Coder and decoder  Hybrid, 2 wire to 4 wire conversion  Testing DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 13
  • 14. 1990s – VoIP    1995 – VocalTec – first H.323 phone commercially available 1996 – VDO.net – first H.323 video phone available 1999 – SIP (Session Invitation Protocol) published DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 14
  • 15. 1990s – 2G/2.5G Digital cellular , GSM/CDMA DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 15
  • 16. Ericsson GS 88 – first “Smart Phone” (1997) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 16
  • 17. Nokia 9000 Communicator (1996) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 17
  • 18. 2000s – 3G Mobile broadband data Apple IPhone 1G (2007) HTC Dream/Android (2008) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 18
  • 19. 2010s – 4G Native IP network (WiMAX & LTE) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 19
  • 20. Smartphone Outpace Dumb Phones in Sales DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 20
  • 21. Market Share Fight DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 21
  • 22. Most Popular Cameras in the Flickr Community DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 22
  • 23. Collapse of the Point-and-Shoot Camera DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 23
  • 24. Applications Snowball DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 24
  • 25. Smartphone Screen Sizes Keep On Growing DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 25
  • 26. But How Smart is Your Phone ? = DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 26
  • 27. But How Smart is Your Phone ? Still POTS ? (Plain Old Telephone System) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 27
  • 28. Tipping Point 1: Voice Quality  VoIP Voice Compression – G.711    Adopted by industry in 1972 Maximum (theoretical) voice quality - 4.35 (out of 5) GSM Voice Compression – AMR   Adopted by industry in 1990s Maximum (theoretical) voice quality - 4.1 (out of 5) “HD Voice” is coming now ! (Kyivstar – August 2013) DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 28
  • 29. Tipping Point 2: Video     VDO.net/MS NetMeeting – 1997 Skype - about 40% of calls Apple FaceTime – no one using.. Tango.me DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 29
  • 30. Tipping Point 3: Presence, Urgency & Routing DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 31
  • 31. Smart Phone Time Is Now ! DEUTSCHE TELECOM HOSTED BUSINESS SERVICES 32

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Everyone has one….IT IS SMART MOBILE DEVICE, NOT A SMART PHONE
  2. It took USPTO Only 3 weeks to approve patent application .
  3. telephone exchange was Hungarian TivadarPuskás in 1877 while he was working for Thomas EdisonGeorge W. Coy designed and built the first commercial telephone exchange which opened in New Haven, Connecticut in January, 1878
  4. Strowger's undertaking business was losing clients to a competitor whose telephone-operator wife was intercepting and redirecting everyone who called Strowger - he first conceived his invention in 1888, and patented the automatic telephone exchange in 1891.On March 10, 1891, Almon Brown Strowger, an undertaker in Kansas City, Missouri, patented the stepping switch, a device which led to the automation of telephone circuit switching.
  5. It was short war, but US government was in need to fill up budged holes and looked in new opportunity to collect..They introduced telecom tax – targeting about 200,000 VERY WELTHY users ….War ended quickly, but this tax still in books until today…. Like a phone system…
  6. Yes, even today , major landline phone system are build accordingly to the same principles as 100 years ago….In mid 70, someone with clear hope of soon to be innovation in phone system, invented a term Plain Old Telephone System to describe major phone architecture…But it still a core of TODAY phone services , despite introduction of VoIP, mobile and so on…And nessesityto be backward compatible with POTS , keep all industry from rapid innovation…
  7. Digital voice – scalable affordable for general public2.5G – mobile DATA !!!CALL PLACE - CALL PERSON
  8. Circuit switch voicePacket switch data200kBit/sec minimum
  9. Up to 100mBit for fast mobility source Up to 1Gbit for low mobility source
  10. http://www.telecomcircle.com/2013/09/analysis-of-mobile-phone-sales-in-2q13/
  11. http://www.wired.com/gadgetlab/2013/04/why-big-smartphone-screens/
  12. Someday you’ll be a star…