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Data Trends for Program Planning

                   Prepared for
              Authority Board Meeting
                   June 1, 2012




                   Presented by
         Mark Myrent, ICJIA Research Director
Reducing Violent Crime:
 Problem Assessment
Total violent offense rates by Illinois region
                                                   2000-2009
                           1200


                           1000
Rate per 100,000 persons




                           800


                           600


                           400


                           200


                              0
                                   2000   2001         2002         2003            2004       2005       2006          2007   2008   2009
                                                                                     Calendar year


                                             Central          Northern minus Cook          South      State      Cook
Reported domestic offense rates in Illinois
                                                 2000-2009
                           1800.0

                           1600.0

                           1400.0
Rate per 100,000 persons




                           1200.0

                           1000.0

                            800.0

                            600.0

                            400.0

                            200.0

                              0.0
                                     2000   2001        2002         2003        2004          2005      2006      2007   2008   2009
                                                                                     Calendar year

                                              Central          Northern minus Cook        South       State     Cook
Comparison of funding and crime rates

  Violent Crimes by Region, 2008                                      Current VOCA Funding by Region


                                                                                Central       Central & Southern      Collar
                                                                                4.63%               2.07%             3.56%
                      Central   Central & Southern
                       5%               6%                                                                            Collar & Cook
                                                                                                                          2.21%
                                         Collar
                                          3%                                                                       Collar & Northern -
Statewide
  34%                                                                                                               Non-Cook, Non-
                                                                                                                          Collar
                                                                                                                         2.18%
                                          Collar & Cook
                                               23%        Statewide
                                                           52.87%                                                   Cook
                                                                                                                   25.45%
     Southern
       3%
                                Collar & Northern -                                                     Northern - Non-Cook,
 Northern - Non-
                   Cook                                                                                      Non-Collar
Cook, Non-Collar                 Non-Cook, Non-
                   20%                                                                                         3.20%
       2%                              Collar                                             Southern
                                        4%                                                 3.83%




                                Illinois Criminal Justice Information                                    5
Reducing Prison Crowding:
 Identifying Program Sites
Felony sentences to IDOC
                                                by Illinois region, 2000-2010
                            400


                            350
Rates per 100,000 persons




                            300


                            250


                            200


                            150


                            100
                                  2000   2001   2002     2003       2004       2005         2006           2007          2008   2009   2010
                                                                           Calendar year

                                                 State    Central     Northern minus Cook          South          Cook
IDOC admissions by type, SFY 2000- 2010
                             30000


                             25000
Total number of admissions




                             20000


                             15000


                             10000


                              5000


                                 0
                                     2000   2001         2002        2003   2004         2005       2006          2007           2008   2009   2010
                                                                                      Fiscal year


                                                   New court admissions     New offense violators          Technical violators
Illinois Criminal Justice Information   9
Illinois Criminal Justice Information   10
Illinois Criminal Justice Information   11
Illinois Criminal Justice Information   12
Illinois Criminal Justice Information   13
Admissions into IDOC

IDOC Admissions by
Type                      2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009

Drug Admissions into
IDOC                         7     16      9      9     27     31     37     23     30     31

Violent admissions into
IDOC                         8      8      3      7      6     13     11     11     12     14

Total admissions into
IDOC                        21     34     16     19     46     56     64     51     62     60




                           Illinois Criminal Justice Information             14
I-UCR Arrests


I-UCR arrests by Type     2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005      2006    2007      2008



Drug arrests               139    125    129    176    163       141    103         97    105



Total arrests              198    165    178    215    227       215    168        149    153




                         Illinois Criminal Justice Information                15
MEGs and Drug Task Forces:
Assessing Program Performance
Total drug arrest rates by Illinois region
                                               from 2000-2009
                           1600


                           1400
Rate per 100,000 persons




                           1200


                           1000


                            800


                            600


                            400
                                  2000   2001        2002      2003         2004        2005     2006     2007   2008   2009
                                                                              Calendar year



                                                Central     Northern minus Cook       South    State    Cook
Percent of arrests by drug offense type
    Drug task force   Other law enforcement
Percent task force, other law enforcement arrests
  for possession, delivery controlled substances
Percent task force, other law enforcement controlled
              substance arrests by class
Enhanced Program Proposals

More effective program implementation
• More detailed program documentation for funding
  consideration
• Program activities logically linked to goals &
  objectives
• EBP core components in place
• Early stage feedback to program managers
Enhanced Program Proposals

    Relevant and Useful Program Data
• Program performance feedback to grant monitors
• Assessments of program implementation, impact,
  and cost-effectiveness
• Performance feedback to program managers;
  documentation to support post-grant funding
• Range of evaluation products/findings to Budget
  Committee
Continuum of Program Assessment Products


              Implementation Assessment
   Program                                  Impact
    Profile                               Evaluation
                Cost-Benefit Analysis

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Data Trends for Program Planning

  • 1. Data Trends for Program Planning Prepared for Authority Board Meeting June 1, 2012 Presented by Mark Myrent, ICJIA Research Director
  • 2. Reducing Violent Crime: Problem Assessment
  • 3. Total violent offense rates by Illinois region 2000-2009 1200 1000 Rate per 100,000 persons 800 600 400 200 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Calendar year Central Northern minus Cook South State Cook
  • 4. Reported domestic offense rates in Illinois 2000-2009 1800.0 1600.0 1400.0 Rate per 100,000 persons 1200.0 1000.0 800.0 600.0 400.0 200.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Calendar year Central Northern minus Cook South State Cook
  • 5. Comparison of funding and crime rates Violent Crimes by Region, 2008 Current VOCA Funding by Region Central Central & Southern Collar 4.63% 2.07% 3.56% Central Central & Southern 5% 6% Collar & Cook 2.21% Collar 3% Collar & Northern - Statewide 34% Non-Cook, Non- Collar 2.18% Collar & Cook 23% Statewide 52.87% Cook 25.45% Southern 3% Collar & Northern - Northern - Non-Cook, Northern - Non- Cook Non-Collar Cook, Non-Collar Non-Cook, Non- 20% 3.20% 2% Collar Southern 4% 3.83% Illinois Criminal Justice Information 5
  • 6. Reducing Prison Crowding: Identifying Program Sites
  • 7. Felony sentences to IDOC by Illinois region, 2000-2010 400 350 Rates per 100,000 persons 300 250 200 150 100 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Calendar year State Central Northern minus Cook South Cook
  • 8. IDOC admissions by type, SFY 2000- 2010 30000 25000 Total number of admissions 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Fiscal year New court admissions New offense violators Technical violators
  • 10. Illinois Criminal Justice Information 10
  • 11. Illinois Criminal Justice Information 11
  • 12. Illinois Criminal Justice Information 12
  • 13. Illinois Criminal Justice Information 13
  • 14. Admissions into IDOC IDOC Admissions by Type 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Drug Admissions into IDOC 7 16 9 9 27 31 37 23 30 31 Violent admissions into IDOC 8 8 3 7 6 13 11 11 12 14 Total admissions into IDOC 21 34 16 19 46 56 64 51 62 60 Illinois Criminal Justice Information 14
  • 15. I-UCR Arrests I-UCR arrests by Type 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Drug arrests 139 125 129 176 163 141 103 97 105 Total arrests 198 165 178 215 227 215 168 149 153 Illinois Criminal Justice Information 15
  • 16. MEGs and Drug Task Forces: Assessing Program Performance
  • 17. Total drug arrest rates by Illinois region from 2000-2009 1600 1400 Rate per 100,000 persons 1200 1000 800 600 400 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Calendar year Central Northern minus Cook South State Cook
  • 18. Percent of arrests by drug offense type Drug task force Other law enforcement
  • 19. Percent task force, other law enforcement arrests for possession, delivery controlled substances
  • 20. Percent task force, other law enforcement controlled substance arrests by class
  • 21. Enhanced Program Proposals More effective program implementation • More detailed program documentation for funding consideration • Program activities logically linked to goals & objectives • EBP core components in place • Early stage feedback to program managers
  • 22. Enhanced Program Proposals Relevant and Useful Program Data • Program performance feedback to grant monitors • Assessments of program implementation, impact, and cost-effectiveness • Performance feedback to program managers; documentation to support post-grant funding • Range of evaluation products/findings to Budget Committee
  • 23. Continuum of Program Assessment Products Implementation Assessment Program Impact Profile Evaluation Cost-Benefit Analysis

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. 2011
  2. 2011
  3. 2011
  4. 2011