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David Wanetick
Managing Director
IncreMental Advantage
The contents of this presentation are the property
  of IncreMental Advantage. Reproduction of this
  presentation in whole or in part is prohibited
  except with the express written consent of
  IncreMental Advantage.
You can get much further
 with a kind word and a gun
 than you can with a kind
 word alone.
      - AL CAPONE
Election of 1912
 Lessons to be learned
   Importance of anchoring the negotiations
   Understand what the other side wants
   The answer is not always compromise
   You don’t have to show all of your cards
   You can’t lie, but you don’t have to tell the complete truth
   Use time to pressure the other side
   You don’t always have to meet with the other side
Costs of Negotiation
 Time
 Information leakage
 Lack of focus at your business
 Concern among employees
 You may be used to enable the other side to gain
 leverage
 Delay
 Competitors may use delay to damage your business
 Risk being seduced
Background
Job function
Experience
Personality
Time availability
Detect hidden agendas
Confidence
Team size – manage with caucuses
Map your way to the decision makers
   Internal champions

Sequencing with multiple negotiating parties

Create a scoring system

Set demands as a condition for beginning the negotiations

Have an audience

Due diligence – align your proposal with their objectives

It is better to leak than divulge information

Other side must feel your pain – The Ultimate Game
Stake-   Pain   Prefer-   Power   Role in
holder          ence              Decision
Realize that negotiations take place anytime your try to
influence your target

   Publish, promote, spread rumors before you begin to negotiate

     Soon after USAir’s revelation that it was for sale, Robert
     Crandall, CEO of American Airlines, wrote an open letter to
     American’s 118,000 employees which stated:

     …the best way for American to increase its size and reach is
     by internal growth…not consolidation…So we will not be the
     first to make a bid for USAir…

     American was signaling to United not start a bidding war over
     USAir
Don’t look for a fair fight, you must have a compelling
advantage
  Trump Tower

Paint a vision of value
  Fred Smith of Federal Express
  Ronald Reagan
  Let counterparty make independent discovery

Start your negotiations with a preplanned exit strategy
  Otherwise there will be irrational escalation
Due Diligence
 Know your opponent’s interests
   Give your opponents dilemmas not problems
   Make multiple, similar offers
 Decision rights
 Know your opponent’s negotiating style
 Opponent’s tactics and ploys; time and effort
 Opponent’s bargaining strength
 Importance of a favorable outcome to your opponent
 Opponent’s status
 Opponent’s financial situation
 Type and size of your opponent’s competitors
Due Diligence – Questions to Ask

   What do you need to achieve?

   What does your opponent need to achieve?

   What are the key issues for your opponent?
    Their demands provide insight

   What kind of long-term relationship does your opponent want?

  What are the barriers to reaching a mutually beneficial
  agreement?
Pressure you will be put under is a function of:

  How long opponent has been with his company?
  How much experience they have?
  How successful they have been over the course of
  their employment?
  How familiar they are with your area?
  Never underestimate your competitors
The agenda should comprise the following:
    Who will attend
    The duration of the meeting
    Who will initiate the proceedings
    Issues to be discussed
    Order in which topics will be discussed ?
    Time allowed for each topic
    Issues that should not be part of the negotiation

  Bring agreements that you create
  Keep track of the issues and how they get resolved
Pros
  Tactical flexibility
  Stalking horse – obtaining information / conveying information
  More ideas for reconciliation / impasses
  Expertise
  Detachment

Cons
  Expense
       Retaining
       Compensating
  Communication
  Loyalties

Use
  Draft a sympathetic figure to negotiate on your behalf
       Someone who tries to stop a train by tying himself to the railroad tracks may
       get less sympathy than someone else who has been tied there against his will.
Opening offer
  High statistical correlation between opening offer and closing
  price
  Don’t negotiate against yourself
  Might get what you ask for
  Must appear to be reasonable
  Allows other side to save face
  End objectives – signature vs. relationship

When you know more about the industry, similar deals,
you should make the opening offer and visa versa
  The Beatles’ A Hard Days Night (7.5% v. 25%)
  Thomas Edison and his ticker tape machine
Begin the negotiations with common interests, not
sources of contention
Responding to opening offer
Responding to absurd offers
Non-Offer Offers
Develop and strengthen your walk-away points
Sequencing of contentious issues
Concessions management
  Monetary vs. non-monetary
  Reactive devaluation - Don’t give unless asked
  Must be a corresponding concession from the other site
  Diminishing concessions
  The Machiavelli Principle
  Use the word “because” when seeking a negotiation

Crunch strategy
Agree to whole package
Nibble near the close
  Check against sloppiness – Tiger Woods, dopamine
  Real money is at stake
  Increases satisfaction of the other side
  Sets tone for renegotiation
GENTLE CRUNCHES                MODERATE CRUNCHES
We need your help on this.     There’s no way we can accept
That doesn’t work for us.      that.
What can we do on this?        I don’t think you understand.
I was looking for a better     I just couldn’t bring that back
number.                        to my boss.
I’d like you to rethink your   I don’t think we’re
numbers and get back to us.    communicating.
That really isn’t what I       Perhaps we have a
expected.                      misunderstanding here.
You know our situation.        I just can’t get there..
Let’s put our heads together   Help me out, here.
on this.                       We can’t live with that.
There must be something we     What kind of a deal can you
can do.                        give me on this?
AGGRESSIVE CRUNCHES             AGGRESSIVE CRUNCHES
 Yeah. Right.                    Are you sure about your
 Do you want my business, or     math?
 what?                           Are we talking about the same
 How can you say that with a     thing?
 straight face?                  The decimal point must be in
 We’re not a charitable          the wrong place.
                                 At that price, we can’t even
 organization.
                                 talk.
 Charity begins at home, and     You can’t be serious.
 I’m at work.                    All kidding aside…
 Friendship only goes so far.    That’s way out of my budget.
 I thought you came here to      Be serious.
 negotiate.                      Be realistic.
 You’re not even close.          Does your calculator need a
                                 new battery?
INFLAMMATORY CRUNCHES           NONVERBAL CRUNCHES
 Come back when you’re
 serious.                        Feigned heart attack or pulling
 Try again.                      knife out of chest
 You’re insulting my             Silence
 intelligence.                   Not responding to their letter
 You need a rendezvous with      A long caucus
 reality.                        Laughter
 You call that an offer?         Shaking head
 What part of “no” don’t you
 understand?
 Would you send in the next
 salesperson?
 If I gave you my whole firm,
 how much would I still owe
 you?
ENSUING CRUNCHES                      RESPONSES TO CRUNCHES
That’s a step in the right             Make me an offer.
direction.                             What are you looking for?
We’re making progress.                 If you were in my shoes, what
We appreciate that. What more          would you do?
can we do?                             Where do we need to be?
You’re getting warmer.                 Give me some guidance here.
That’s still not real attractive to    What do you need?
us.                                    Do you have a figure in mind?
That’s a start.                        What would it take?
                                       What could you live with?
                                       What were you thing about?
                                       What is it worth to you?
Good cop / bad cop

Exploding offers

Limited authority

Power of precedent

Disproportionate power

Threats

Bullying
Make them smaller and weaker
 Laws, regulations, policies, codes of conduct, organizational
 charters or constitutions. Other important standards involve
 established practices, precedents, expert opinions, market
 values, principles, policy papers or logic.
   Reagan v. Gorbachev – Trust but Verify
 Remove valuable players from their team
   Conflict out
   Run out the clock
 Compare your proposition with their top executives compensation

 Giant’s allies can be coercers – Malta, Britain, NATO

 Enemies of Giants – Information Compulsion
Consideration of outcomes
  Probability of successful integration
    Include the other side in drafting proposals or contracts

Focus on common issues

Ranges versus fixed points

Issues planning versus sequence planning

Frequency of counterproposals

Defense / attack spirals
  Attack the problem not the person
Labeling behavior

Testing understanding and summarizing

Ask questions

Feelings commentary

Avoid argument dilution

Post negotiation review

Make the other side dependent on you by educating them

Use surprise
Don’t assume that the other side represents one unified
voice
  Try to fractionalize the other side
    How are advisors compensated, what do each of the other
    employees really want

“If you can’t convince, confuse.”
    - President Harry S. Truman

Try to delegitimize the other side or the entire issue
  US - German Reparations Tribunal after WWI
Plant seeds of greed in your opponents mind

Other side must feel your pain – Ultimate Game

Partisan perceptions become self-fulfilling prophesies

Must make the other side understand that they can
cherry-pick the best features from the other side
Benefits of using e-mail include:
  Convenience when parties are at a distance
  Time to consider one’s next move
     E-mail gives the slower party a chance to think of and
     articulate more skillful responses between messages.
  A clear record of the proposals
  Ease in conveying large amounts of data to back up proposals
  Eliminate the chance that our side would get away with some
  clever bargaining move in the context of a face-to-face meeting
  or telephone conversation
  Leveling of the playing field between negotiators with different
  levels of seniority and experience
  The power to quickly mobilize large coalitions of like-minded
  people using group e-mail lists
The most productive arguments use the future tense

Anticipate your audience’s objections and address them
before your opponent does

Oversympathizing makes someone’s mood seem
ridiculous without actually ridiculing it

It is good to portray the enemy as belittling your cause
By giving advance warning of an emotion, you inoculate
your audience from it

To shift people’s point of view, start from their position,
not yours

Start from a specific point to a generalization, not the
reverse

The last speakers have the persuasive advantage
If the facts work in your favor, use them. If they don’t (or
you don’t know them), then…

Redefine the terms instead. If that won’t work, accept
your opponent’s facts and terms but …

Argue that your opponent’s argument is less important
than it seems. And even if that isn’t to your advantage…

Claim the discussion is irrelevant.
Research the people you will meet – e.g. pictures on
their websites

93% of interpersonal communication is non-verbal

Congruity of body language is important

Behavior mirroring

Eye-contact

Glasses / watches / pens

Factor in norming and outside conditions
Can’t expect that everyone will be perfectly honest in
negotiations

You shouldn’t lie, but you don’t have to tell the complete
truth

You can “lie” by telling the truth
  Soccer players announcing their intentions
  Appointing Pauli to convey messages

There will be more lies through omission
  Ask “What else should I know?” “What other questions should I
  ask”
Look prepared

Signal your ability to obtain information

Ask less threatening, indirect questions

Gather information from multiple sources

Set a trap

Triangulate the truth
Verbal Cues

 Infrequent use of “I”, “me”, “mine”
 Greater use of contractions
 Use of shorter statements
 Greater use of extraneous information
 Try to buy time through repetition, ask questioner to
 repeat the question
 Use of self-interruption and other attempts to change
 direction of the discussion
Other Cues

 Place objects between themselves and audience,
 disconnect between emotions and expressions
 Higher blink rate
 Less eye contact, less wrinkles around the eyes, take
 up less physical space
 Change subject to gauge reaction
Use contingency contracts

  Concerns with contingency contracts:

    Contingency contracts are dangerous if the other party is more
    knowledgeable than you

    A rule of thumb: if you’re going to argue about who won the
    bet, it’s not worth betting in the first place

    Make sure your contingency contracts are incentive
    compatible. That is, the clause you negotiate should provide
    incentives for the other party to behave in ways that are
    compatible with the spirit of the your agreement
Compliance

 Get other side involved in creating the agreement – rather than
 imposing the agreement on to them

 Get influences involved – they also help with compliance

 Memorialize the agreement with plaques, trophies, etc.
Post-settlement settlements

Postdeal renegotiations

Intradeal renegotiations

Extradeal renegotiations
Advantages
  Good for bridging value gaps
  Good incentive tool
  Tax deferment on compensation

Problems with financial incentives – other milestones –
customer satisfaction, technology development, website
visitors, customer acquisition – refer to negotiations
book

Sometimes acquirers are willing to pay high prices but
earn-outs allow them to reduce expectations among
other potential acquires
Payments disbursed under earn-outs are not treated as
compensation expense, which is subtracted from
earnings. Instead, these payments appear as contingent
payments on the cash-flow statement and intangible
assets on the balance sheet, neither of which drive
investor sentiment as much as the earnings numbers on
the income statement.
Concerns
 Difficult to negotiate

 Calculation is very difficult – no one knows how to make the
 calculations

 Litigation often results
    Potential litigation is a bargaining tool for not doing earnouts

 The seller could take short-term measures to artificially stimulate
 sales. For example, the founder may sell a product that provides for
 free maintenance service for five years. This may stimulate sales but
 would mean a loss of revenues over the years from zero
 maintenance revenues.

 Can instill a have and have not mentality in the company – other
 executives may need to be compensated
Company must be in a growth mode, not appropriate for
asset or turnaround plays

Unknown events – what happens if the acquirer gets
purchased

Difficult to have earn-outs when there is leverage – the
lenders will want their money out first, so too will the
executives with earn-outs
David Wanetick
         Managing Director
       IncreMental Advantage

dwanetick@incrementaladvantage.com

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negotiating issues_Negotiating transactions [compatibility mode]

  • 2. The contents of this presentation are the property of IncreMental Advantage. Reproduction of this presentation in whole or in part is prohibited except with the express written consent of IncreMental Advantage.
  • 3. You can get much further with a kind word and a gun than you can with a kind word alone. - AL CAPONE
  • 4. Election of 1912 Lessons to be learned Importance of anchoring the negotiations Understand what the other side wants The answer is not always compromise You don’t have to show all of your cards You can’t lie, but you don’t have to tell the complete truth Use time to pressure the other side You don’t always have to meet with the other side
  • 5. Costs of Negotiation Time Information leakage Lack of focus at your business Concern among employees You may be used to enable the other side to gain leverage Delay Competitors may use delay to damage your business Risk being seduced
  • 6. Background Job function Experience Personality Time availability Detect hidden agendas Confidence Team size – manage with caucuses
  • 7. Map your way to the decision makers Internal champions Sequencing with multiple negotiating parties Create a scoring system Set demands as a condition for beginning the negotiations Have an audience Due diligence – align your proposal with their objectives It is better to leak than divulge information Other side must feel your pain – The Ultimate Game
  • 8. Stake- Pain Prefer- Power Role in holder ence Decision
  • 9. Realize that negotiations take place anytime your try to influence your target Publish, promote, spread rumors before you begin to negotiate Soon after USAir’s revelation that it was for sale, Robert Crandall, CEO of American Airlines, wrote an open letter to American’s 118,000 employees which stated: …the best way for American to increase its size and reach is by internal growth…not consolidation…So we will not be the first to make a bid for USAir… American was signaling to United not start a bidding war over USAir
  • 10. Don’t look for a fair fight, you must have a compelling advantage Trump Tower Paint a vision of value Fred Smith of Federal Express Ronald Reagan Let counterparty make independent discovery Start your negotiations with a preplanned exit strategy Otherwise there will be irrational escalation
  • 11. Due Diligence Know your opponent’s interests Give your opponents dilemmas not problems Make multiple, similar offers Decision rights Know your opponent’s negotiating style Opponent’s tactics and ploys; time and effort Opponent’s bargaining strength Importance of a favorable outcome to your opponent Opponent’s status Opponent’s financial situation Type and size of your opponent’s competitors
  • 12. Due Diligence – Questions to Ask What do you need to achieve? What does your opponent need to achieve? What are the key issues for your opponent? Their demands provide insight What kind of long-term relationship does your opponent want? What are the barriers to reaching a mutually beneficial agreement?
  • 13. Pressure you will be put under is a function of: How long opponent has been with his company? How much experience they have? How successful they have been over the course of their employment? How familiar they are with your area? Never underestimate your competitors
  • 14. The agenda should comprise the following: Who will attend The duration of the meeting Who will initiate the proceedings Issues to be discussed Order in which topics will be discussed ? Time allowed for each topic Issues that should not be part of the negotiation Bring agreements that you create Keep track of the issues and how they get resolved
  • 15. Pros Tactical flexibility Stalking horse – obtaining information / conveying information More ideas for reconciliation / impasses Expertise Detachment Cons Expense Retaining Compensating Communication Loyalties Use Draft a sympathetic figure to negotiate on your behalf Someone who tries to stop a train by tying himself to the railroad tracks may get less sympathy than someone else who has been tied there against his will.
  • 16. Opening offer High statistical correlation between opening offer and closing price Don’t negotiate against yourself Might get what you ask for Must appear to be reasonable Allows other side to save face End objectives – signature vs. relationship When you know more about the industry, similar deals, you should make the opening offer and visa versa The Beatles’ A Hard Days Night (7.5% v. 25%) Thomas Edison and his ticker tape machine
  • 17. Begin the negotiations with common interests, not sources of contention Responding to opening offer Responding to absurd offers Non-Offer Offers Develop and strengthen your walk-away points Sequencing of contentious issues
  • 18. Concessions management Monetary vs. non-monetary Reactive devaluation - Don’t give unless asked Must be a corresponding concession from the other site Diminishing concessions The Machiavelli Principle Use the word “because” when seeking a negotiation Crunch strategy Agree to whole package Nibble near the close Check against sloppiness – Tiger Woods, dopamine Real money is at stake Increases satisfaction of the other side Sets tone for renegotiation
  • 19. GENTLE CRUNCHES MODERATE CRUNCHES We need your help on this. There’s no way we can accept That doesn’t work for us. that. What can we do on this? I don’t think you understand. I was looking for a better I just couldn’t bring that back number. to my boss. I’d like you to rethink your I don’t think we’re numbers and get back to us. communicating. That really isn’t what I Perhaps we have a expected. misunderstanding here. You know our situation. I just can’t get there.. Let’s put our heads together Help me out, here. on this. We can’t live with that. There must be something we What kind of a deal can you can do. give me on this?
  • 20. AGGRESSIVE CRUNCHES AGGRESSIVE CRUNCHES Yeah. Right. Are you sure about your Do you want my business, or math? what? Are we talking about the same How can you say that with a thing? straight face? The decimal point must be in We’re not a charitable the wrong place. At that price, we can’t even organization. talk. Charity begins at home, and You can’t be serious. I’m at work. All kidding aside… Friendship only goes so far. That’s way out of my budget. I thought you came here to Be serious. negotiate. Be realistic. You’re not even close. Does your calculator need a new battery?
  • 21. INFLAMMATORY CRUNCHES NONVERBAL CRUNCHES Come back when you’re serious. Feigned heart attack or pulling Try again. knife out of chest You’re insulting my Silence intelligence. Not responding to their letter You need a rendezvous with A long caucus reality. Laughter You call that an offer? Shaking head What part of “no” don’t you understand? Would you send in the next salesperson? If I gave you my whole firm, how much would I still owe you?
  • 22. ENSUING CRUNCHES RESPONSES TO CRUNCHES That’s a step in the right Make me an offer. direction. What are you looking for? We’re making progress. If you were in my shoes, what We appreciate that. What more would you do? can we do? Where do we need to be? You’re getting warmer. Give me some guidance here. That’s still not real attractive to What do you need? us. Do you have a figure in mind? That’s a start. What would it take? What could you live with? What were you thing about? What is it worth to you?
  • 23. Good cop / bad cop Exploding offers Limited authority Power of precedent Disproportionate power Threats Bullying
  • 24. Make them smaller and weaker Laws, regulations, policies, codes of conduct, organizational charters or constitutions. Other important standards involve established practices, precedents, expert opinions, market values, principles, policy papers or logic. Reagan v. Gorbachev – Trust but Verify Remove valuable players from their team Conflict out Run out the clock Compare your proposition with their top executives compensation Giant’s allies can be coercers – Malta, Britain, NATO Enemies of Giants – Information Compulsion
  • 25. Consideration of outcomes Probability of successful integration Include the other side in drafting proposals or contracts Focus on common issues Ranges versus fixed points Issues planning versus sequence planning Frequency of counterproposals Defense / attack spirals Attack the problem not the person
  • 26. Labeling behavior Testing understanding and summarizing Ask questions Feelings commentary Avoid argument dilution Post negotiation review Make the other side dependent on you by educating them Use surprise
  • 27. Don’t assume that the other side represents one unified voice Try to fractionalize the other side How are advisors compensated, what do each of the other employees really want “If you can’t convince, confuse.” - President Harry S. Truman Try to delegitimize the other side or the entire issue US - German Reparations Tribunal after WWI
  • 28. Plant seeds of greed in your opponents mind Other side must feel your pain – Ultimate Game Partisan perceptions become self-fulfilling prophesies Must make the other side understand that they can cherry-pick the best features from the other side
  • 29. Benefits of using e-mail include: Convenience when parties are at a distance Time to consider one’s next move E-mail gives the slower party a chance to think of and articulate more skillful responses between messages. A clear record of the proposals Ease in conveying large amounts of data to back up proposals Eliminate the chance that our side would get away with some clever bargaining move in the context of a face-to-face meeting or telephone conversation Leveling of the playing field between negotiators with different levels of seniority and experience The power to quickly mobilize large coalitions of like-minded people using group e-mail lists
  • 30. The most productive arguments use the future tense Anticipate your audience’s objections and address them before your opponent does Oversympathizing makes someone’s mood seem ridiculous without actually ridiculing it It is good to portray the enemy as belittling your cause
  • 31. By giving advance warning of an emotion, you inoculate your audience from it To shift people’s point of view, start from their position, not yours Start from a specific point to a generalization, not the reverse The last speakers have the persuasive advantage
  • 32. If the facts work in your favor, use them. If they don’t (or you don’t know them), then… Redefine the terms instead. If that won’t work, accept your opponent’s facts and terms but … Argue that your opponent’s argument is less important than it seems. And even if that isn’t to your advantage… Claim the discussion is irrelevant.
  • 33. Research the people you will meet – e.g. pictures on their websites 93% of interpersonal communication is non-verbal Congruity of body language is important Behavior mirroring Eye-contact Glasses / watches / pens Factor in norming and outside conditions
  • 34. Can’t expect that everyone will be perfectly honest in negotiations You shouldn’t lie, but you don’t have to tell the complete truth You can “lie” by telling the truth Soccer players announcing their intentions Appointing Pauli to convey messages There will be more lies through omission Ask “What else should I know?” “What other questions should I ask”
  • 35. Look prepared Signal your ability to obtain information Ask less threatening, indirect questions Gather information from multiple sources Set a trap Triangulate the truth
  • 36. Verbal Cues Infrequent use of “I”, “me”, “mine” Greater use of contractions Use of shorter statements Greater use of extraneous information Try to buy time through repetition, ask questioner to repeat the question Use of self-interruption and other attempts to change direction of the discussion
  • 37. Other Cues Place objects between themselves and audience, disconnect between emotions and expressions Higher blink rate Less eye contact, less wrinkles around the eyes, take up less physical space Change subject to gauge reaction
  • 38. Use contingency contracts Concerns with contingency contracts: Contingency contracts are dangerous if the other party is more knowledgeable than you A rule of thumb: if you’re going to argue about who won the bet, it’s not worth betting in the first place Make sure your contingency contracts are incentive compatible. That is, the clause you negotiate should provide incentives for the other party to behave in ways that are compatible with the spirit of the your agreement
  • 39. Compliance Get other side involved in creating the agreement – rather than imposing the agreement on to them Get influences involved – they also help with compliance Memorialize the agreement with plaques, trophies, etc.
  • 40. Post-settlement settlements Postdeal renegotiations Intradeal renegotiations Extradeal renegotiations
  • 41. Advantages Good for bridging value gaps Good incentive tool Tax deferment on compensation Problems with financial incentives – other milestones – customer satisfaction, technology development, website visitors, customer acquisition – refer to negotiations book Sometimes acquirers are willing to pay high prices but earn-outs allow them to reduce expectations among other potential acquires
  • 42. Payments disbursed under earn-outs are not treated as compensation expense, which is subtracted from earnings. Instead, these payments appear as contingent payments on the cash-flow statement and intangible assets on the balance sheet, neither of which drive investor sentiment as much as the earnings numbers on the income statement.
  • 43. Concerns Difficult to negotiate Calculation is very difficult – no one knows how to make the calculations Litigation often results Potential litigation is a bargaining tool for not doing earnouts The seller could take short-term measures to artificially stimulate sales. For example, the founder may sell a product that provides for free maintenance service for five years. This may stimulate sales but would mean a loss of revenues over the years from zero maintenance revenues. Can instill a have and have not mentality in the company – other executives may need to be compensated
  • 44. Company must be in a growth mode, not appropriate for asset or turnaround plays Unknown events – what happens if the acquirer gets purchased Difficult to have earn-outs when there is leverage – the lenders will want their money out first, so too will the executives with earn-outs
  • 45. David Wanetick Managing Director IncreMental Advantage dwanetick@incrementaladvantage.com