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Recommended Portfolios For 2013

     Author : Dr. Renu Pothen

     Our recommended portfolios were launched for the first time on February 26, 2010. Since then
     our portfolios have undergone changes depending upon the modifications that we have brought
     about in our recommended funds list. As far as our asset allocation stance goes, we became
     neutral on India since November 10, 2010. At that time we felt that the Indian market was
     overvalued on an absolute and relative basis which forced us to change our stance from over-
     weight on equities to neutral. We continue to maintain this stance although valuations look
     attractive because we still have concerns on the macro-economic front.
     The biggest saving grace for India, from our point, is the government’s willingness to take
     responsibility to bring the economy back onto the growth trajectory. We started seeing this ray
     of hope since the latter half of 2012 when there was a change of guard at the Finance Ministry.
     We are of the view that if the government led by a vibrant Chidambaram and his team of
     economic advisors are able to actually walk the talk then the Indian market will be on a winning
     streak like last year.



     ASSET ALLOCATION IN THE PORTFOLIOS




     Table 1: Current Allocations in the Portfolios

                                                       Current Portfolio
                                                                                                Moderately
                                         Moderately                   Moderately                             Aggressive
                     Conservative                      Balanced                    Aggressive   Aggressive
                                        Conservative                  Aggressive                              (Global)
                                                                                                 (Global)
   Bonds                  90%               70%          50%               30%        10%          30%          10%
   Equity                 10%               30%          50%               70%        90%          45%          60%
Global Equity              0%                0%          0%                0%          0%          25%          30%
Table 2: Portfolio Fund Allocation Changes

                                                            Target Asset Allocation with effect from 1 Feb 2013
                                                                                                                                        Moderately
                                                                             Moderately                       Moderately                             Aggressive
Asset Allocation       Fund Name                            Conservative                      Balanced                     Aggressive   Aggressive
                                                                             Conservative                     Aggressive                             (Global)
                                                                                                                                        (Global)
                                                                               DEBT
Ultra Short Term       Templeton India Ultra-Short Bond
                                                                 20                15              10             5             -           5             -
      Funds                          Fund
   Short Term            PineBridge India Short Term
                                                                 40                25              20             5            5            5            5
      Funds                          Fund
                         Canara Robeco Income Fund               15                15              10              -            -            -            -
 Income Funds           Templeton India Income Builder
                                                                  -                 -               -             20           5            20           5
                                   Account
 Dynamic Bond            Birla Sun Life Dynamic Bond
                                                                 15                15              10              -            -            -            -
    Funds                            Fund
                                                                              EQUITY
                          ICICI Prudential Focused
                                                                  5                10              15              -            -            -            -
                            Bluechip Equity Fund
Large Cap funds
                       DSP BlackRock Top 100 Equity
                                                                  -                 -               -             10           15           10           10
                                    Fund
                       Mirae Asset India Opportunities
                                                                  -                 -               -             10           15           5            10
 Multicap Funds                     Fund
                           UTI Opportunities Fund                 -                10              15              -            -            -            -
                         SBI Magnum Sector Funds
Midcap & Small
                       Umbrella-Emerging Businesses               -                 -               -             15           20           10           15
  cap Funds
                                    Fund
 Dividend Yield
                       Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus         5                10              10              -            -            -            -
     Funds
 Contra / Value        ICICI Prudentail Discovery Fund            -                 -              10             15           20           10           15
 Infrastructure          PineBridge Infrastructure &
                                                                  -                 -               -             10           10           5            5
     Funds                 Economic Reform Fund
   Banking &
                            Reliance Banking Fund                 -                                 -             10           10           5            5
Financial Funds                                                                     -
                          Franklin Asian Equity Fund              -                 -               -              -            -           10           15
  Global Funds           JPMorgan JF Greater China
                                                                  -                 -               -              -            -           15           15
                            Equity Off-shore Fund


           CHANGES IN CATEGORY ALLOCATION

                      Fixed Income

           For our fixed income investors, we have been advising that 2013 is the year to look out for
           duration funds. Similar to the views floating in the market, we also feel that the central bank will
           follow a monetary easing path this year but the pace might be slow as there are still some threats
           to inflation which has been the biggest cause of concern for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
           Hence investors with a time horizon of 12 months to 18 months can consider some of our
           dynamic bond funds /income funds. We are also of the opinion that there is still some steam left
           on the shorter end of the curve and investors who want to take an exposure into fixed income
           funds for a period of 3-6 months should consider our short-term funds.

           One of the biggest changes that we have made this year in all our portfolios, with the exception
           of the aggressive portfolio, is to give some allocation to ultra short-term funds. This step has
           been taken as a sort of liquidity measure and in addition to this we also feel that a cushion like
           this will enable an investor to use this surplus to increase his equity exposure whenever there
           are opportunities in the market.
In this context, we would like to inform our investors that Templeton India Ultra-Short Bond
Fund has replaced BNP Paribas Money Plus Fund in our portfolios. We have also made a change
in our short-term fund with PineBridge India Short Term Fund replacing Templeton India
Short-Term Income Plan in all our 7 portfolios. A relatively small fund which saw its corpus
grow from INR 83 crore in February 2012 to INR 649 crore in December 2012, the fund has
been able to put good numbers on the table despite the conservative stance that it adopts.

As far as duration funds go, we have not taken any exposure to gilt funds since we believe that
these funds are a tactical allocation which requires active management. In this scenario,
investors who want to take an exposure into gilt funds should do so after having consulted their
financial advisors.

On the other hand, in the case of income funds, our top pick of last year - ICICI Prudential
Income Plan, has been replaced with Canara Robeco Income Fund in our conservative,
moderately conservative and balanced portfolios while Templeton India Income Builder
Account finds a place in our moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios.

Finally, Birla Dynamic Bond Fund, which was a part of all our portfolios last year, currently gets
an allocation only in the conservative, moderately conservative and balanced portfolios.

      Equity

Large-cap funds
We have considered ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund as the best bet for our
conservative, moderately conservative and balanced investors. We are of the view that a fund
with a concentrated portfolio should be able to maintain the consistency in performance for
those investors who are risk averse. On the other hand, DSP BlackRock Top 100 Equity Fund
has made an entry into our moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios. The active
management being followed in this fund is the reason behind this decision. On the other hand,
UTI Dividend Yield Fund, which we have been recommending to our conservative, moderately
conservative and balanced investors, has been replaced with Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus.
This is on account of the review that has happened in our recommended funds for 2013.

Multi-cap funds
We took a stand this year that UTI Opportunities Fund is more suitable for investors falling in
the moderately conservative and balanced categories as it has more than 80% of its assets
concentrated in large-cap stocks. On the other hand, Mirae Asset India Opportunities Fund has
been included in moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios. The tactical allocation of 10%-
15% that the fund manager uses to generate the extra alpha makes it a good bet in these
portfolios.

Mid-cap funds
Our investors would be surprised to see our top mid-cap funds like HDFC Mid-cap
Opportunities and IDFC Sterling Equity Fund not finding a place in our portfolios this year.
Although these funds continue to be in our recommended list, we thought of presenting a set of
new funds in the mid-cap segment. In this case, SBI Magnum Sector Funds Umbrella -
Emerging Businesses Fund, the best performing fund on our platform gets an allocation in our
moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios.
This fund managed by R Srinivasan takes an aggressive stance in its mid-cap stocks while we
feel that the increased allocations being made into the large caps will definitely help it to tide
over any volatility that the fund might face in the coming months.
Another addition made this year is ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund, a value fund with a mid-
cap tilt. We are of the view that if our investors have the patience to wait for 3 years till the
stocks in the portfolio unlock their value then this is the best bet that we can consider in this
space.

Sector funds
As for our sectoral allocation, we continue to be positive on the banking and infrastructure
space. In the former, our preferred fund remains Reliance Banking Fund. In the case of the
latter, PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund has replaced ICICI Infrastructure
Fund. Since we already have a pure banking fund in our moderately aggressive and aggressive
portfolios, it would be better to take an exposure into a fund whose entire portfolio allocation is
into infrastructure stocks and this will, in turn, aid diversification that is required in our
portfolios.

Global funds
Mirae Asset China Advantage Fund has been replaced by JP Morgan JF Greater China Equity
Off-shore Fund on account of the changes that have been made in the recommended funds for
this year.


CHANGES IN FUNDS INCLUDED IN THE PORTFOLIOS

Table 3: New fund additions and old fund deletions


                                            Changes in scheme
       Category                         Old                                           New
Ultra Short Term Fund     BNP Paribas Money Plus Fund               Templeton India Ultra-Short Bond Fund
  Short Term Funds    Templeton India Short-Term Income Plan          PineBridge India Short Term Fund
    Income Funds           ICICI Prudentail Income Plan                  Canara Robeco Income Fund
                                                                    Templeton India Income Builder Account
      Gilt Funds      ICICI Prudential Gilt Fund Investment Plan                        -
   Large cap Funds           Franklin India Bluechip Fund                DSPBR Top 100 Equity Fund
    Multi cap Funds               L&T Equity Fund                    Mirae Asset India Opportunities Fund
                                                                 SBI Magnum Sector Funds Umbrella-Emerging
Mid & Small cap Funds         IDFC Sterling Equity Fund
                                                                               Businesses Fund
                         HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund                                -
 Contra / Value Funds                       -                          ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund
 Dividend Yield Funds          UTI Dividend Yield Fund                 Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus
                                                                 PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic Reform
 Infrastructure Funds    ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund
                                                                                      Fund
                                                                  JPMorgan JF Greater China Equity Off-shore
     Global Funds        Mirae Asset China Advantage Fund
                                                                                      Fund
CONCLUSION

Our portfolios were revamped on February 1, 2013 and our factsheets from next month will take
into consideration these changes.

Please feel free to get back to us on research.ind@ifastfinancial.com if you require any
clarifications in our model portfolios.



Dr. Renu Pothen is Research Head with iFAST Financial India Pvt Ltd.


DISCLAIMER

iFAST and/or its content and research team’s licensed representatives may own or have positions in the mutual funds of any of the
Asset Management Company mentioned or referred to in the article, and may from time to time add or dispose of, or be materially
interested in any such. Any advice herein is made on a general basis and does not take into account the specific investment
objectives of the specific person or group of persons. Past performance and any forecast is not necessarily indicative of the future or
likely performance of the mutual fund. The value of mutual funds and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Opinions
expressed herein are subject to change without notice.

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Recommended portfolios for 2013 ifast

  • 1. Recommended Portfolios For 2013 Author : Dr. Renu Pothen Our recommended portfolios were launched for the first time on February 26, 2010. Since then our portfolios have undergone changes depending upon the modifications that we have brought about in our recommended funds list. As far as our asset allocation stance goes, we became neutral on India since November 10, 2010. At that time we felt that the Indian market was overvalued on an absolute and relative basis which forced us to change our stance from over- weight on equities to neutral. We continue to maintain this stance although valuations look attractive because we still have concerns on the macro-economic front. The biggest saving grace for India, from our point, is the government’s willingness to take responsibility to bring the economy back onto the growth trajectory. We started seeing this ray of hope since the latter half of 2012 when there was a change of guard at the Finance Ministry. We are of the view that if the government led by a vibrant Chidambaram and his team of economic advisors are able to actually walk the talk then the Indian market will be on a winning streak like last year. ASSET ALLOCATION IN THE PORTFOLIOS Table 1: Current Allocations in the Portfolios Current Portfolio Moderately Moderately Moderately Aggressive Conservative Balanced Aggressive Aggressive Conservative Aggressive (Global) (Global) Bonds 90% 70% 50% 30% 10% 30% 10% Equity 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 45% 60% Global Equity 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 25% 30%
  • 2. Table 2: Portfolio Fund Allocation Changes Target Asset Allocation with effect from 1 Feb 2013 Moderately Moderately Moderately Aggressive Asset Allocation Fund Name Conservative Balanced Aggressive Aggressive Conservative Aggressive (Global) (Global) DEBT Ultra Short Term Templeton India Ultra-Short Bond 20 15 10 5 - 5 - Funds Fund Short Term PineBridge India Short Term 40 25 20 5 5 5 5 Funds Fund Canara Robeco Income Fund 15 15 10 - - - - Income Funds Templeton India Income Builder - - - 20 5 20 5 Account Dynamic Bond Birla Sun Life Dynamic Bond 15 15 10 - - - - Funds Fund EQUITY ICICI Prudential Focused 5 10 15 - - - - Bluechip Equity Fund Large Cap funds DSP BlackRock Top 100 Equity - - - 10 15 10 10 Fund Mirae Asset India Opportunities - - - 10 15 5 10 Multicap Funds Fund UTI Opportunities Fund - 10 15 - - - - SBI Magnum Sector Funds Midcap & Small Umbrella-Emerging Businesses - - - 15 20 10 15 cap Funds Fund Dividend Yield Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus 5 10 10 - - - - Funds Contra / Value ICICI Prudentail Discovery Fund - - 10 15 20 10 15 Infrastructure PineBridge Infrastructure & - - - 10 10 5 5 Funds Economic Reform Fund Banking & Reliance Banking Fund - - 10 10 5 5 Financial Funds - Franklin Asian Equity Fund - - - - - 10 15 Global Funds JPMorgan JF Greater China - - - - - 15 15 Equity Off-shore Fund CHANGES IN CATEGORY ALLOCATION  Fixed Income For our fixed income investors, we have been advising that 2013 is the year to look out for duration funds. Similar to the views floating in the market, we also feel that the central bank will follow a monetary easing path this year but the pace might be slow as there are still some threats to inflation which has been the biggest cause of concern for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Hence investors with a time horizon of 12 months to 18 months can consider some of our dynamic bond funds /income funds. We are also of the opinion that there is still some steam left on the shorter end of the curve and investors who want to take an exposure into fixed income funds for a period of 3-6 months should consider our short-term funds. One of the biggest changes that we have made this year in all our portfolios, with the exception of the aggressive portfolio, is to give some allocation to ultra short-term funds. This step has been taken as a sort of liquidity measure and in addition to this we also feel that a cushion like this will enable an investor to use this surplus to increase his equity exposure whenever there are opportunities in the market.
  • 3. In this context, we would like to inform our investors that Templeton India Ultra-Short Bond Fund has replaced BNP Paribas Money Plus Fund in our portfolios. We have also made a change in our short-term fund with PineBridge India Short Term Fund replacing Templeton India Short-Term Income Plan in all our 7 portfolios. A relatively small fund which saw its corpus grow from INR 83 crore in February 2012 to INR 649 crore in December 2012, the fund has been able to put good numbers on the table despite the conservative stance that it adopts. As far as duration funds go, we have not taken any exposure to gilt funds since we believe that these funds are a tactical allocation which requires active management. In this scenario, investors who want to take an exposure into gilt funds should do so after having consulted their financial advisors. On the other hand, in the case of income funds, our top pick of last year - ICICI Prudential Income Plan, has been replaced with Canara Robeco Income Fund in our conservative, moderately conservative and balanced portfolios while Templeton India Income Builder Account finds a place in our moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios. Finally, Birla Dynamic Bond Fund, which was a part of all our portfolios last year, currently gets an allocation only in the conservative, moderately conservative and balanced portfolios.  Equity Large-cap funds We have considered ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund as the best bet for our conservative, moderately conservative and balanced investors. We are of the view that a fund with a concentrated portfolio should be able to maintain the consistency in performance for those investors who are risk averse. On the other hand, DSP BlackRock Top 100 Equity Fund has made an entry into our moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios. The active management being followed in this fund is the reason behind this decision. On the other hand, UTI Dividend Yield Fund, which we have been recommending to our conservative, moderately conservative and balanced investors, has been replaced with Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus. This is on account of the review that has happened in our recommended funds for 2013. Multi-cap funds We took a stand this year that UTI Opportunities Fund is more suitable for investors falling in the moderately conservative and balanced categories as it has more than 80% of its assets concentrated in large-cap stocks. On the other hand, Mirae Asset India Opportunities Fund has been included in moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios. The tactical allocation of 10%- 15% that the fund manager uses to generate the extra alpha makes it a good bet in these portfolios. Mid-cap funds Our investors would be surprised to see our top mid-cap funds like HDFC Mid-cap Opportunities and IDFC Sterling Equity Fund not finding a place in our portfolios this year. Although these funds continue to be in our recommended list, we thought of presenting a set of new funds in the mid-cap segment. In this case, SBI Magnum Sector Funds Umbrella - Emerging Businesses Fund, the best performing fund on our platform gets an allocation in our moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios.
  • 4. This fund managed by R Srinivasan takes an aggressive stance in its mid-cap stocks while we feel that the increased allocations being made into the large caps will definitely help it to tide over any volatility that the fund might face in the coming months. Another addition made this year is ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund, a value fund with a mid- cap tilt. We are of the view that if our investors have the patience to wait for 3 years till the stocks in the portfolio unlock their value then this is the best bet that we can consider in this space. Sector funds As for our sectoral allocation, we continue to be positive on the banking and infrastructure space. In the former, our preferred fund remains Reliance Banking Fund. In the case of the latter, PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic Reform Fund has replaced ICICI Infrastructure Fund. Since we already have a pure banking fund in our moderately aggressive and aggressive portfolios, it would be better to take an exposure into a fund whose entire portfolio allocation is into infrastructure stocks and this will, in turn, aid diversification that is required in our portfolios. Global funds Mirae Asset China Advantage Fund has been replaced by JP Morgan JF Greater China Equity Off-shore Fund on account of the changes that have been made in the recommended funds for this year. CHANGES IN FUNDS INCLUDED IN THE PORTFOLIOS Table 3: New fund additions and old fund deletions Changes in scheme Category Old New Ultra Short Term Fund BNP Paribas Money Plus Fund Templeton India Ultra-Short Bond Fund Short Term Funds Templeton India Short-Term Income Plan PineBridge India Short Term Fund Income Funds ICICI Prudentail Income Plan Canara Robeco Income Fund Templeton India Income Builder Account Gilt Funds ICICI Prudential Gilt Fund Investment Plan - Large cap Funds Franklin India Bluechip Fund DSPBR Top 100 Equity Fund Multi cap Funds L&T Equity Fund Mirae Asset India Opportunities Fund SBI Magnum Sector Funds Umbrella-Emerging Mid & Small cap Funds IDFC Sterling Equity Fund Businesses Fund HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund - Contra / Value Funds - ICICI Prudential Discovery Fund Dividend Yield Funds UTI Dividend Yield Fund Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Plus PineBridge Infrastructure & Economic Reform Infrastructure Funds ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund Fund JPMorgan JF Greater China Equity Off-shore Global Funds Mirae Asset China Advantage Fund Fund
  • 5. CONCLUSION Our portfolios were revamped on February 1, 2013 and our factsheets from next month will take into consideration these changes. Please feel free to get back to us on research.ind@ifastfinancial.com if you require any clarifications in our model portfolios. Dr. Renu Pothen is Research Head with iFAST Financial India Pvt Ltd. DISCLAIMER iFAST and/or its content and research team’s licensed representatives may own or have positions in the mutual funds of any of the Asset Management Company mentioned or referred to in the article, and may from time to time add or dispose of, or be materially interested in any such. Any advice herein is made on a general basis and does not take into account the specific investment objectives of the specific person or group of persons. Past performance and any forecast is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the mutual fund. The value of mutual funds and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.