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Stuart Hale
Abingdon VA
Ecosystem services are “the benefits people
obtain from ecosystems” (MEA 2005).

    Examples include:
       Fiber
       Recreation
       Air Quality
       Carbon Sequestration
       Water Quality
       Biodiversity
   The term “ecosystem services” was first introduced in the
    report, Study of Critical Environmental Problems in 1970.
Human relationships with ecosystems:
•      Plato (c.400 BC)
           First noted human impacts on the
           environment
•      George Marsh
          Man and Nature, in 1864, argued that natural
          resources are finite
•      Progressive Era conservationists
          Pinchot and Leopold - Humans are part of ecosystems and must act
          as proper stewards to ensure their health

•      Current Academy
         Daily’s Nature’s Services (1997); Constanza et al. (1997); Salzman
         and others-
     Increasing awareness of humans’ dependence on nature and accounting
    for the services provided
The UN Millennium Ecosystem Assessment was initiated in
  2001 as a global assessment of ecosystem health and
  human impacts comprised of 1,360 experts worldwide.
General Categories of Ecosystem Services :
  • Provisioning Services:
      food, water, fuel, fiber, and other goods
  • Regulating Services:
      climate, water quality, disease regulation,
      pollination
  • Supporting Services:
      soil genesis, nutrient cycling
  • Cultural Services:
      educational, aesthetic, heritage, recreation
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment found:
•   Human actions are depleting the Earth’s natural capital
    straining the planet’s ecosystems ability to sustain future
    generations.
•   It is possible to reverse the ecosystem degradation over the
    next 50 years but will require substantial changes in policy and
    practice, not currently underway.

 Major gaps in knowledge were found at the local and national
  levels on the status of ecosystems and their economic values.
“…at the local scale there is typically insufficient information on
  the full economic costs and benefits of alternate uses of
  ecosystems to fully inform decisions.” (MEA 2001)
   Demands and stresses on ecosystems are changing due
    to:
   Increasing scarcity
    •   Population growth
    •   Suburban encroachment
    •   Land-use conversion
    •   Forest fragmentation
    •   Habitat degradation
    •   Pests and pathogens
    •   Invasive species

   Market conditions- social values
         Product preferences
         Available information
         Bio-accumulation
Source: Southern Forests for the Future
Ecosystem services :
• Non-exclusive
• Externalities
• Dependent on private
landowners


  This rise of TIMOs and REITs
places approximately 12-14% of
private forestlands with
organizations in the business of
managing natural capital.
Increasing demand for benefits of ecosystem
services have generated ecosystem markets.

•   Public policy and regulatory
    shifts
•   Potential economic benefits to
    landowners and communities
•   Dynamic land-use and
    ownership patterns – TIMOs and
    REITs
 Emerging ecosystem services markets
 are driven primarily by:

  Consumer demand
   • Voluntary markets
   • Eco-labeling

  Government regulation
   • Mitigation markets
    Clean Water Act
    Safe Water Drinking Act
    Endangered Species Act
   New York City watershed protection in 1990s
     • $6-8 billion facility improvements versus 1.5 billion upstream
       conservation

   Denver Water
     • Split bill of $33 million with USFS to manage watersheds in
       response to a current $40 million clean-up of one reservoir

   Wal-Mart - “Acres for America”
     • In US, protecting 1 acres of land for every 1 acres disturbed
       through 2015
     • Approximately 687,000 acres so far

    Grey versus green
Existing primary markets:

  •   Forest products
  •   Recreation
  •   Carbon sequestration
  •   Watershed services
  •   Biodiversity
Source: Ecosystem Marketplace, Bloomberg New Energy Finance
Source: Virginia Tech Urban Forest Assessment 2011
Compensatory mitigation
     “No   Net Loss”

   Options:
    •   Permittee-responsible
    •   In-Lieu Fee
    •   Mitigation banks
 These prices represent credit prices and not payments to landowners.
Credit prices consists of many variables including construction costs,
administrative costs, land acquisition costs, and others.
Thunderstruck
 Conservation Bank

   Approximately 600 acre but
    part of a larger 2000 acre
    management area

    • Cheat Mountain
      Salamander
    • Northern Flying squirrel
    • High potential of Indiana
      and Virginia big-eared
      bats
•   Markets are emerging
•   Potential benefits to landowners
•   May offer opportunities to generate
    income off otherwise non-
    productive areas
•   Diversify natural capital portfolio to
    mitigate market fluctuations


    Could ecosystem services marketing fit into current
    management without substantial opportunity costs?
•   Determine validity of ecosystem services management as part
    of a comprehensive resource management strategy and
    compare to traditional management
•   Provide a demonstrative example of an ecosystem services
    management scheme and actual land-base as a case study
•   Estimate direct market present value of ecosystem services
•   Use open-source information as available
•Proposed Project Area is
approximately 3,976 acres

•Dumps Creek watershed in
southwest Virginia

•Mixed mesophytic forest eco-
region of predominately upland
hardwoods with some cove
hardwood forest types

•Current and past land uses
included timber, coal, and natural
gas extraction, human habitation,
and agriculture
   Identify traditional and ecosystem services markets

    Examples:
     • Local fiber markets
     • Local recreational hunt leasing
     • Ecosystem Marketplace
     • The Bay Bank
     • Mitigation banks/ ILF programs
     • “Over the Counter” (OTC)



 Find comparable prices from
reported transactions or estimates
Traditional management
scheme:
1. Fiber
2. Recreation leases


Ecosystem management
scheme:
1.   Fiber
2.   Recreation leases
3.   Watershed services
4.   Carbon sequestration
5.   Biodiversity
Traditional Management Scheme
    Service               Area (ac)
Fiber             2,873        410           3,283
                 (80% BA     (50% BA
                 harvest)    harvest)
Recreation                 3,883            NA*
Non-timber                  693             693
                                   TOTALS: 3,976
   *The area of recreation is considered co-use,
   in that it provides multiple services, and
   therefore will only be counted once in total
   area.
Traditional Management Scheme Service Prices
  Service    Units         Price per unit      Sources          Assumptions
Fiber        MBF     •$100 – pessimistic    •Local prices   •3000 BF/ac
                     •$125 – most likely    •Timber Mart-   •Harvest 80% for
                     •$150 – optimistic     South           suitable areas
                                            2nd Quarter     •Harvest 50% for
                                            2010            SMZ buffers
                                                            •Annual harvest rate
                                                            of total area/15-year
                                                            ownership period


Recreation   acre    •$2.00 – pessimistic   •Local prices   •All areas suitable are
                     •$2.07 – most likely   •VA DOF         leased annually
                     •$3.00 – optimistic                    based on current
                                                            conditions
Landscape features with potential to offer
 marketable ecosystem services:
1.    Areas suitable for fiber harvests
2.    Culturally significant sites
3.    Retention areas of recent timber harvest
4.    Areas unlikely for timber harvest
5.    Perennial streams
6.    Critical habitats
7.    Non-forest areas
8.    Wetlands
9.    High Conservation Value Forests
10.   Critical viewsheds
11.   Areas with public safety concerns
Ecosystem Services Management Scheme
   Service        Area (ac)   Linear feet
Fiber               2,264         NA
                   (80% BA
                   harvest)
Recreation          3,883*        NA
Carbon               685          NA
Watershed            397        94,212
Services         (No harvest
                SMZ Buffers)
Biodiversity         630          NA
                (Non-timber)
      TOTALS:       3,976
 *The area of recreation is considered co-use, in
 that it provides multiple services, and therefore
 will only be counted once in total area.
Ecosystem Management Scheme Service Prices
  Service    Unit       Price per unit          Sources              Assumptions
Fiber        MBF    •$100 – pessimistic    •Local prices      •3000 BF/ac
                    •$125 – most likely    •Timber Mart-      •Harvest 80% for suitable
                    •$150 – optimistic     South              areas
                                           2nd Quarter 2010   •Harvest 50% for SMZ
                                                              buffers
                                                              •Annual harvest rate of
                                                              total area/15-year
                                                              ownership period
Recreation   acre   •$2.00 – pessimistic   •Local prices      All areas suitable are
                    •$2.07 – most likely   •VA DOF            leased annually based on
                    •$3.00 – optimistic                       current conditions

Carbon       ton    •$0.10 – pessimistic   •Ecosystem         •127 tons/ac
                    •$1.00 – most likely   Marketplace        •Annual enrollment rate of
                    •$4.00 - optimistic    •Appalachian       total area/15-year
                                           Carbon             ownership period
                                           Partnership        •Additional area from fiber
                                                              retention in Year 2
Ecosystem Management Scheme Prices (continued)
   Service      Unit         Price per unit             Sources                 Assumptions

Watershed      linear   •$20 – pessimistic       •Approximate ILF          •1% of total LFt sold
               feet     •$25 – most likely       average –                 annually for 15-year
                        •$30 – optimistic        construction cost         ownership period
                                                 •Approximately 10%        •Act as mitigation
                                                 of ILF prices             bank
                                                                           •Demand provided
                                                                           through mitigation
                                                                           markets (CWA)

Biodiversity   acre     •$0.00 for all pricing   •Transactions are         •Act as conservation
                        scenarios                taking place but prices   bank
                                                 are highly variable       •Demand provided by
                                                 and project specific      conservation markets
                                                 •No local transactions    (ESA)
Valuate marketable services as available and
    projected :
       5

y=   Σ (a )(v )
             i    i
     i =1

Whereas,
y = economic benefits to landowner
i = landscape feature
a = units of marketable ecosystem services
v = value per unit of marketable ecosystem
    services
Comparison of Management Schemes by Pricing Scenario
               1600000.00

               1400000.00

               1200000.00

               1000000.00
Dollars (US)




                                                                         Ecosystem
                                                                         Services
                800000.00                                                Management

                600000.00                                                Traditional
                                                                         Management
                400000.00

                200000.00

                     0.00
                            Pessimistic    Most Likely     Optimistic
Traditional Management Scheme                                                     Ecosystem Management Scheme
                    - Combined Pessimistic Prices                                                     - Combined Pessimistic Prices

                                                                                           700,000
               600,000


                                                                                           600,000
               500,000

                                                                                           500,000
                                                                                                                                           Biodiversity
               400,000                                         Recreation




                                                                            Dollars (US)
                                                                                                                                           Watershed
Dollars (US)




                                                                                           400,000
                                                               Fiber                                                                       Services
               300,000                                                                                                                     Carbon
                                                                                           300,000
                                                                                                                                           Recreation

               200,000                                                                                                                     Fiber
                                                                                           200,000


               100,000                                                                     100,000



                    0                                                                           0
                         1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15                                         1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

                                        Year                                                                        Year
Traditional Management Scheme                                               Ecosystem Management Scheme
                  - Combined Most Likely Prices                                               - Combined Most Likely Values

               800,000                                                                     1,000,000

                                                                                            900,000
               700,000
                                                                                            800,000
               600,000
                                                                                            700,000
                                                                                                                                             Biodiversity
               500,000                                         Recreation
                                                                                            600,000




                                                                            Dollars (US)
Dollars (US)




                                                               Fiber                                                                         Watershed
               400,000                                                                      500,000                                          Services

                                                                                            400,000                                          Carbon
               300,000
                                                                                            300,000
                                                                                                                                             Recreation
               200,000
                                                                                            200,000
                                                                                                                                             Fiber
               100,000
                                                                                            100,000

                    0                                                                             0
                         1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15                                           1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
                                        Year                                                                          Year
Traditional Management Scheme                                                Ecosystem Management Scheme
                    - Combined Optimistic Prices                                                - Combined Optimistic Prices
               1,000,000                                                                     1,600,000

                900,000
                                                                                             1,400,000

                800,000
                                                                                             1,200,000
                700,000
                                                                 Recreation                                                                    Biodiversity
                                                                                             1,000,000
                600,000




                                                                              Dollars (US)
Dollars (US)




                                                                 Fiber                                                                         Watershed
                                                                                                                                               Services
                500,000                                                                       800,000                                          Carbon

                400,000                                                                                                                        Recreation
                                                                                              600,000
                                                                                                                                               Fiber
                300,000
                                                                                              400,000
                200,000

                                                                                              200,000
                100,000

                      0                                                                             0
                           1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15                                           1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
                                          Year                                                                          Year
   Problems
       Market approach may not be best for
        insuring long-term ecosystem health
       Highly variable costs and pricing
       Negative impacts from perpetual deed
        restrictions
        • Future selling price
        • Restricting future management options
 Positives
  • Additional revenues and making acres productive that
      may not have been otherwise
  •   Additional management actions could be incorporated
      into current practices
  •   Provide opportunity for management of other desirable
      species without market values
  •   Could provide for significant gains if applied to a larger
      portfolio
  •   Promote awareness and education of human impacts
      and dependence on ecosystem health
   Ecosystem markets are emerging but immature
   Ecosystem services management and marketing
    may offer additional revenues to landowners now
    and in the future
   Greater recognition of ecosystem service values
    could influence management policies
   Humans and ecosystem health are dependent
    upon the services originating on private lands
   Improved ecosystem management could result in
    improved human and ecosystem health
D. Stuart Hale Copyright © 2012 All rights reserved.

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Ecosystem Services Case Study

  • 2. Ecosystem services are “the benefits people obtain from ecosystems” (MEA 2005). Examples include: Fiber Recreation Air Quality Carbon Sequestration Water Quality Biodiversity  The term “ecosystem services” was first introduced in the report, Study of Critical Environmental Problems in 1970.
  • 3. Human relationships with ecosystems: • Plato (c.400 BC) First noted human impacts on the environment • George Marsh Man and Nature, in 1864, argued that natural resources are finite • Progressive Era conservationists Pinchot and Leopold - Humans are part of ecosystems and must act as proper stewards to ensure their health • Current Academy Daily’s Nature’s Services (1997); Constanza et al. (1997); Salzman and others-  Increasing awareness of humans’ dependence on nature and accounting for the services provided
  • 4. The UN Millennium Ecosystem Assessment was initiated in 2001 as a global assessment of ecosystem health and human impacts comprised of 1,360 experts worldwide. General Categories of Ecosystem Services : • Provisioning Services: food, water, fuel, fiber, and other goods • Regulating Services: climate, water quality, disease regulation, pollination • Supporting Services: soil genesis, nutrient cycling • Cultural Services: educational, aesthetic, heritage, recreation
  • 5. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment found: • Human actions are depleting the Earth’s natural capital straining the planet’s ecosystems ability to sustain future generations. • It is possible to reverse the ecosystem degradation over the next 50 years but will require substantial changes in policy and practice, not currently underway.  Major gaps in knowledge were found at the local and national levels on the status of ecosystems and their economic values. “…at the local scale there is typically insufficient information on the full economic costs and benefits of alternate uses of ecosystems to fully inform decisions.” (MEA 2001)
  • 6. Demands and stresses on ecosystems are changing due to:  Increasing scarcity • Population growth • Suburban encroachment • Land-use conversion • Forest fragmentation • Habitat degradation • Pests and pathogens • Invasive species  Market conditions- social values  Product preferences  Available information  Bio-accumulation
  • 7. Source: Southern Forests for the Future
  • 8. Ecosystem services : • Non-exclusive • Externalities • Dependent on private landowners  This rise of TIMOs and REITs places approximately 12-14% of private forestlands with organizations in the business of managing natural capital.
  • 9. Increasing demand for benefits of ecosystem services have generated ecosystem markets. • Public policy and regulatory shifts • Potential economic benefits to landowners and communities • Dynamic land-use and ownership patterns – TIMOs and REITs
  • 10.  Emerging ecosystem services markets are driven primarily by:  Consumer demand • Voluntary markets • Eco-labeling  Government regulation • Mitigation markets  Clean Water Act  Safe Water Drinking Act  Endangered Species Act
  • 11. New York City watershed protection in 1990s • $6-8 billion facility improvements versus 1.5 billion upstream conservation  Denver Water • Split bill of $33 million with USFS to manage watersheds in response to a current $40 million clean-up of one reservoir  Wal-Mart - “Acres for America” • In US, protecting 1 acres of land for every 1 acres disturbed through 2015 • Approximately 687,000 acres so far Grey versus green
  • 12. Existing primary markets: • Forest products • Recreation • Carbon sequestration • Watershed services • Biodiversity
  • 13.
  • 14. Source: Ecosystem Marketplace, Bloomberg New Energy Finance
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Source: Virginia Tech Urban Forest Assessment 2011
  • 18. Compensatory mitigation  “No Net Loss”  Options: • Permittee-responsible • In-Lieu Fee • Mitigation banks
  • 19.  These prices represent credit prices and not payments to landowners. Credit prices consists of many variables including construction costs, administrative costs, land acquisition costs, and others.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Thunderstruck Conservation Bank  Approximately 600 acre but part of a larger 2000 acre management area • Cheat Mountain Salamander • Northern Flying squirrel • High potential of Indiana and Virginia big-eared bats
  • 24. Markets are emerging • Potential benefits to landowners • May offer opportunities to generate income off otherwise non- productive areas • Diversify natural capital portfolio to mitigate market fluctuations Could ecosystem services marketing fit into current management without substantial opportunity costs?
  • 25. Determine validity of ecosystem services management as part of a comprehensive resource management strategy and compare to traditional management • Provide a demonstrative example of an ecosystem services management scheme and actual land-base as a case study • Estimate direct market present value of ecosystem services • Use open-source information as available
  • 26. •Proposed Project Area is approximately 3,976 acres •Dumps Creek watershed in southwest Virginia •Mixed mesophytic forest eco- region of predominately upland hardwoods with some cove hardwood forest types •Current and past land uses included timber, coal, and natural gas extraction, human habitation, and agriculture
  • 27. Identify traditional and ecosystem services markets Examples: • Local fiber markets • Local recreational hunt leasing • Ecosystem Marketplace • The Bay Bank • Mitigation banks/ ILF programs • “Over the Counter” (OTC)  Find comparable prices from reported transactions or estimates
  • 28. Traditional management scheme: 1. Fiber 2. Recreation leases Ecosystem management scheme: 1. Fiber 2. Recreation leases 3. Watershed services 4. Carbon sequestration 5. Biodiversity
  • 29. Traditional Management Scheme Service Area (ac) Fiber 2,873 410 3,283 (80% BA (50% BA harvest) harvest) Recreation 3,883 NA* Non-timber 693 693 TOTALS: 3,976 *The area of recreation is considered co-use, in that it provides multiple services, and therefore will only be counted once in total area.
  • 30. Traditional Management Scheme Service Prices Service Units Price per unit Sources Assumptions Fiber MBF •$100 – pessimistic •Local prices •3000 BF/ac •$125 – most likely •Timber Mart- •Harvest 80% for •$150 – optimistic South suitable areas 2nd Quarter •Harvest 50% for 2010 SMZ buffers •Annual harvest rate of total area/15-year ownership period Recreation acre •$2.00 – pessimistic •Local prices •All areas suitable are •$2.07 – most likely •VA DOF leased annually •$3.00 – optimistic based on current conditions
  • 31. Landscape features with potential to offer marketable ecosystem services: 1. Areas suitable for fiber harvests 2. Culturally significant sites 3. Retention areas of recent timber harvest 4. Areas unlikely for timber harvest 5. Perennial streams 6. Critical habitats 7. Non-forest areas 8. Wetlands 9. High Conservation Value Forests 10. Critical viewsheds 11. Areas with public safety concerns
  • 32. Ecosystem Services Management Scheme Service Area (ac) Linear feet Fiber 2,264 NA (80% BA harvest) Recreation 3,883* NA Carbon 685 NA Watershed 397 94,212 Services (No harvest SMZ Buffers) Biodiversity 630 NA (Non-timber) TOTALS: 3,976 *The area of recreation is considered co-use, in that it provides multiple services, and therefore will only be counted once in total area.
  • 33. Ecosystem Management Scheme Service Prices Service Unit Price per unit Sources Assumptions Fiber MBF •$100 – pessimistic •Local prices •3000 BF/ac •$125 – most likely •Timber Mart- •Harvest 80% for suitable •$150 – optimistic South areas 2nd Quarter 2010 •Harvest 50% for SMZ buffers •Annual harvest rate of total area/15-year ownership period Recreation acre •$2.00 – pessimistic •Local prices All areas suitable are •$2.07 – most likely •VA DOF leased annually based on •$3.00 – optimistic current conditions Carbon ton •$0.10 – pessimistic •Ecosystem •127 tons/ac •$1.00 – most likely Marketplace •Annual enrollment rate of •$4.00 - optimistic •Appalachian total area/15-year Carbon ownership period Partnership •Additional area from fiber retention in Year 2
  • 34. Ecosystem Management Scheme Prices (continued) Service Unit Price per unit Sources Assumptions Watershed linear •$20 – pessimistic •Approximate ILF •1% of total LFt sold feet •$25 – most likely average – annually for 15-year •$30 – optimistic construction cost ownership period •Approximately 10% •Act as mitigation of ILF prices bank •Demand provided through mitigation markets (CWA) Biodiversity acre •$0.00 for all pricing •Transactions are •Act as conservation scenarios taking place but prices bank are highly variable •Demand provided by and project specific conservation markets •No local transactions (ESA)
  • 35. Valuate marketable services as available and projected : 5 y= Σ (a )(v ) i i i =1 Whereas, y = economic benefits to landowner i = landscape feature a = units of marketable ecosystem services v = value per unit of marketable ecosystem services
  • 36. Comparison of Management Schemes by Pricing Scenario 1600000.00 1400000.00 1200000.00 1000000.00 Dollars (US) Ecosystem Services 800000.00 Management 600000.00 Traditional Management 400000.00 200000.00 0.00 Pessimistic Most Likely Optimistic
  • 37. Traditional Management Scheme Ecosystem Management Scheme - Combined Pessimistic Prices - Combined Pessimistic Prices 700,000 600,000 600,000 500,000 500,000 Biodiversity 400,000 Recreation Dollars (US) Watershed Dollars (US) 400,000 Fiber Services 300,000 Carbon 300,000 Recreation 200,000 Fiber 200,000 100,000 100,000 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Year Year
  • 38. Traditional Management Scheme Ecosystem Management Scheme - Combined Most Likely Prices - Combined Most Likely Values 800,000 1,000,000 900,000 700,000 800,000 600,000 700,000 Biodiversity 500,000 Recreation 600,000 Dollars (US) Dollars (US) Fiber Watershed 400,000 500,000 Services 400,000 Carbon 300,000 300,000 Recreation 200,000 200,000 Fiber 100,000 100,000 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Year Year
  • 39. Traditional Management Scheme Ecosystem Management Scheme - Combined Optimistic Prices - Combined Optimistic Prices 1,000,000 1,600,000 900,000 1,400,000 800,000 1,200,000 700,000 Recreation Biodiversity 1,000,000 600,000 Dollars (US) Dollars (US) Fiber Watershed Services 500,000 800,000 Carbon 400,000 Recreation 600,000 Fiber 300,000 400,000 200,000 200,000 100,000 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Year Year
  • 40. Problems  Market approach may not be best for insuring long-term ecosystem health  Highly variable costs and pricing  Negative impacts from perpetual deed restrictions • Future selling price • Restricting future management options
  • 41.  Positives • Additional revenues and making acres productive that may not have been otherwise • Additional management actions could be incorporated into current practices • Provide opportunity for management of other desirable species without market values • Could provide for significant gains if applied to a larger portfolio • Promote awareness and education of human impacts and dependence on ecosystem health
  • 42. Ecosystem markets are emerging but immature  Ecosystem services management and marketing may offer additional revenues to landowners now and in the future  Greater recognition of ecosystem service values could influence management policies  Humans and ecosystem health are dependent upon the services originating on private lands  Improved ecosystem management could result in improved human and ecosystem health
  • 43. D. Stuart Hale Copyright © 2012 All rights reserved.