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Units: Counting
            Geometric Sequences
            Logs & Exponential
            Probability



                                  Birthday Girl! *^(@@)^*



                                                            1
Zoe wakes up. She sleepily steps out of bed. As part 
of her daily morning routin. She begins to put water 
in a pot to boil for her tea. Then she goes to brush her 
teeth. Brushing her teeth takes her two minutes.
If the starting temperature of the water is 15 0C and 
the temperature of the water increases by 10% every 
10 seconds, what is the temperature when she 
finishes brushing her teeth? How long will take the 
water to reach the boiling point (100 0C)?




                                                            2
1st term: 15 0C       starting temperature

2nd term: 16.5 0C      after 10 seconds, increased by 10%

3rd term: 18.15 0C       after 20 seconds, increased by 10% 
          . . .          of 16.5 0C


If the temperature is increased by 10%, the new temperature 
will be 110% of the original temperature.  The common ratio 
will be 1.10.




                                                               3
47.08 0C
What is the temperature when she finishes brushing 
her teeth? 




We know the 1st term is 15 and the common ratio is 
1.10. We are trying to find the temperature when she 
finishes brushing her teeth which is the 13th term. 
( 2 minutes = 120 seconds, 120sec / 10sec = 12 terms, 
plus the 1st term is 13 terms)




                                                           4
15, 16.5, 18.15 . . .

 The formula for this is :   tn = t1*r(n­1)

  t1 = 15                    t13 = 15*1.10(13­1)
  r = 1.10                        = 15*1.1012
                                  = 47.08


The termperature when she finishes brushing 
her teeth is about 47.08 0C.




                                                   5
approximately 3 minutes and 20 seconds
How long will take the water to reach the boiling 
point (100 0C)?
The formula for this is :     tn = t1*r(n­1)
                            100 = 15*1.10(n­1)
    tn = 100                100 = 1.10(n­1)
    t1 = 15                  15
    r = 1.10        log(1.10)100 = n­1
                             15                  change of base law:
                     log 100                           b   logcb 
                          15                       loga = 
                               = n­1                       logca 
                     log 1.10
                               ~
                       19.9047     n­1
                                ~
                                ~
                       20.9047     n
                                ~
                              n ~ 21
                                ~


                                                                       6
From this, we can conclude that the water will be boiling 
just before the 21st term which is 20*10sec = 200 sec
( the 1st term is not counted because it starts at 0 
seconds.)
Therefore water will be boiling just before 3 minutes and 
20 seconds.




                                                             7
While she is sipping on her tea, she starts thinking 
about her 18th birthday which is coming up soon. She is 
planning to go out for dinner on her birthday. She calls 
the restaurant and the waitress tells her that the table 
can only fit in 15 people. She decides to go with her 
parents and 12 of her friends. 




                                                            8
50388 ways

How many ways can she choose 12 people 
from her 20 closest friends.
(a) Amy doesn't want to go,
When Amy doesn't want to go, the number of 
people that can choose from is 19.
You have to choose 12 people from 19 people.

                     19!
           19C12 =  7! 12! = 50388

There are 50388 ways to choose 12 people 
from her 20 closest friends if Amy doesn't 
go.



                                                            9
43758 ways
How many ways can she choose 12 people 
from her 20 closest friends.
(b) Bill and Kat insist on going,
Bill and Kat insist on going, so you only 
have to choose 10 people from 18 friends.

                       18 !
             18C10 =         = 43758
                      8! 10!

There are 43758 ways to choose 10 other people to go.




                                                          10
19488 ways
How many ways can she choose 12 people 
from her 20 closest friends.     

(c) Amy doesn't go and Bill and Kat go.
If Amy doesn't want to go, that means can only 
choose from 19 people.
Bill and Kat want to go, that means you can only 
choose 10 out of 17. ( Amy and Bill and Kat are 
already taken 20 ­ 3 = 17 )
                     17!
         17C10 =           = 19448
                    7! 10!
There are 19448 ways to choose other 10 people 
if Amy doesn't want to go and Bill and Kat insist 
on going.



                                                          11
On the day of her birthday Zoe and her parents 
and 12 friends celebrate at the restaurant. She 
notices that there was another person there 
celebrating their birthday.

Then she wonders what are the chances that 
another person shares the same birthday as her. 
(a) What is the probability that another person in 
the restaurant has the same birthday as her.
(same birthday as Zoe)
(b) What is the probability that two people in the 
restaurant have the same birthday.
(any two people share the same birthday)
( There are 35 people in the restaurant.)



                                                      12
7
                                                    73
(a) What is the probability that another person   
in the restaurant has the same birthday as her.
(not counting leap years)
 The probability that another person has the same 
 birthday of 1/365 as Zoe, because there is only one 
 birthday in a year.
 This probability is the same for every person in the 
 restaurant since you are looking for one specific 
 birth date.
 There are 35 people in the restaurant, so ...
    1      1      1       . . .    1         35     7
   365 365 365                    365       365     73
                      7
The probability is 
                      73 .




                                                         13
81.4%
(b) What is the probability that two people in the restaurant 
have the same birthday. (not counting leap years)
The probability for 2 people to not have the same birthday is 
364/365.
The probability for the 3rd person to not have the same birthday 
as the first 2 people is 363/365.
So the probability for none of the 3 people to have the same 
birthday is :
             (364/365)*(363/365) = (364 * 363)/(365^2)

The probability for the 4th person to not have the same birthday is 
362/365.
So the probability for none of the 4 people to have the same 
birthday is :
    (364/365)*(363/365)*(362/365) = (364*363*362)/(365^3)




                                                                       14
So the general formula for the probability that n people will 
not share the same birthday is :
         (364/365)*(363/365)* . . . * ((366 ­ n)/365)
       = (364*363* . . . * (366 ­ n)) / (365^n)

Since there is 35 people in the restaurant, the probability is :
         (364*363* . . . *(366 ­ 35)) / (365^35)
      = 0.1856

Therefore the probability 2 people will have the same birthday 
is:
P(two people share birthday) = 1 ­ P(no two people share birthday).
                    1 ­ 0.1856 = 81.4%



                                                                      15
# of favorable     (365P35)  total # of ways for 35 people 
                   outcomes                     to have different birthdays  
           P =                                  ( ie. no paired birthdays)
                  the total # of 
                  possible outcomes
                                      365^35     total # of ways for 35 
2nd way:
                                                 people to have birthday
           (365P35)
            36535                     (365P35) the probability for 35 people to 
               365!                   365^35 not have the same birthday
     =
       (365 ­ 35)! 365^35
     =  0.1856
      P(two people share birthday) = 1 ­ P(no two people share birthday).
                               1 ­ 0.1856 = 81.4%



                                                                                   16
From the gifts she received for her birthday. Zoe finds 
that she has gotten $500 in gift money. She wants to 
deposit this money into the bank where it accumulates 
interest at a certain rate.
There are three different plans for accumulating 
interest.
a) plan A at the rate of 3.96% annually
b) plan B at the rate of 3.75% monthly
c) plan C at the rate of 3.74% continuously
Which plan is the best for her if she doesn't plan to 
spend any of the money for three years.




                                                           17
r t*n
                     A = P ( 1 +  n )
A    the final amount
   P    principle / original amount
     r     the rate of which it will accumulate
         n     number of times per year
            t     amount of time that has been accumulating




                                                              18
$ 557.42
a) plan A at rate of 3.96% annually
A      unknown (the final amount)
     P    $ 500
        r    3.96% = 0.0396
           n 1                                 r t*n
                                  A = P ( 1 +  n )
               t  3 years
                                                         3 *1
                                  A = 500 ( 1 +  0.0369 )
                                                   1
                                      = 500 (1.0369) 3
                                      = 557.42




                                                                19
$ 559.44
b) plan B at the rate of 3.75% monthly
A      unknown (the final amount)
     P   $ 500
       r    3.75% = 0.0375                     r t*n
          n 12                    A = P ( 1 +  n )
              t  3 years
                                  A = 500 (1 +  0.0375 3*12
                                                       )
                                                  12
                                                     36
                                     = 500 (1.003125)

                                     = 559.44




                                                              20
$ 559.37
c) plan C at the rate of 3.74% continuously

                   Continuously :      A = Pe rt
A      unknown (the final amount)
     P   $ 500                                     (0.0374*3)
       r    3.74% = 0.0374             A = 500 e 
          t    3 years
                                                    0.1122
                                          = 500 e

                                          = 559.37




                                                                21
a) plan A at the rate of 3.96% annually
    $557.42
b) plan B at the rate of 3.75% monthly
    $559.44
c) plan C at the rate of 3.74% continuously
    $559.37


  The best plan for Zoe is plan B with the 
  rate of 3.75% monthly.




                                              22
After deciding how she is going to deal with her money, 
she finds that it's already late. She is happy with her day 
and glad she is 18 now. Being tired, she gets ready for bed 
and has a nice long sleep filled with sweet dreams.



      The End . . .




                                                               23
Reflection
Why did you choose the concepts you did to create your problem set?
I never really understood probability that well so I decided to use that concept as part 
of my problem set. I was looking forward to explore more on this unit to gain a better 
understanding of probability. Hopefully I know more about these concepts more than 
before.


How do these problems provide an overview of your best mathematical 
understanding of what you have learned so far?
Solving these problems have given me more confidence in approaching problems of 
these types. I have always had difficulty correctly answering these questions, but now 
I feel that I can do them better.


Did you learn anything from this assignment? Was it educationally valuable to 
you?
Yes, I believe that by doing this assignment I am able to think more thoroughly about 
a problem than before. I think that I will think more logically when dealing with 
problems and be able to fully understand and answer them correctly.




                                                                                            24

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