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Tom Kimbis - GW Solar Symposium 2012
1.
© 2012 SEIA ©
2012 SEIA The Dynamic and Growing U.S. Solar Market Thomas P. Kimbis Vice President Solar Energy Industries Association
2.
© 2012 SEIA About
SEIA • Founded in 1974 • U.S. National Trade Association for Solar Energy • 1,000+ member companies from around the world • Members from across 50 states • Largest companies in the world as well as small installers • Our Mission: Build a strong solar industry to power America • Our Goal: 10 gigawatts (GW) of annual installed solar capacity in the U.S. by 2015
3.
© 2012 SEIA Solar
in America: Strong and Getting Stronger • 100,000 American workers in solar – double the number in 2009 – at 5,600 companies across the country • One of the fastest growing sectors of the U.S. economy – with 109% growth in PV installations in 2011. • More than 4,460 MW of installed solar electric capacity
4.
© 2012 SEIA Industry
Overview • The value of solar installations grew to $8.4 billion in 2011 • Solar employment more than doubled from 2009 to 2011, topping 100,000 American workers SEIA/GTM Research U.S. Solar Market Insight: Year In Review - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 U.S. Solar Workforce SEIA Estimate The Solar Foundation $- $1.0 $2.0 $3.0 $4.0 $5.0 $6.0 $7.0 $8.0 $9.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Billions ($) Value of PV Installations SEIA Estimate SEIA/GTM Research
5.
© 2012 SEIA U.S.
Solar Business Locations in 2011
6.
© 2012 SEIA What
the Future Holds– Looking Ahead • In 2012, we’ll see near-term challenges for the industry, especially for manufacturers • Since the beginning of 2010, 52 new U.S. solar manufacturing facilities have begun operations across America • By 2014, the U.S. is projected to become one of the world’s largest solar markets, alongside China and possibly Japan
7.
© 2012 SEIA Solar
Market Insight: Year in Review 2011 • Detailed data on markets in top 23 states available in full report. • Free executive summary provides national aggregate data on installations, pricing, manufacturing and demand forecasts. • Full report for sale includes detailed market segment and state data.
8.
© 2012 SEIA U.S.
Solar Industry Continues Strong Growth • PV demand grew 109% in 2011 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Installed Capacity (MWdc) U.S. PV Installations Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: SEIA/GTM Research Solar Market Insight, "2011 Year In Review"
9.
© 2012 SEIA PV
System Prices Falling Dramatically $- $2.00 $4.00 $6.00 $8.00 $10.00 $12.00 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 $/W Average Installed Price of PV LBNL "Tracking the Sun IV" SEIA/GTM Research Source: SEIA/GTM Research Solar Market Insight, "2011 Year In Review"
10.
© 2012 SEIA U.S.
to Lead in CSP • California, Arizona and Nevada are leading states • The current CSP pipeline contains over 5,000 MW of projects with signed PPAs - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 Megawatts (Mwac) CSP & CPV Forecast Installations Forecast Source: SEIA/GTM Research Solar Market Insight, "2011 Year In Review"
11.
© 2012 SEIA U.S.
PV Demand Forecast to Grow 53% in 2012 to Over 2.8 GW 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E Megawatts (DC) U.S. PV Installations Forecast Annual Installations Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Projected Installations Source: SEIA/GTM Research Solar Market Insight, "2011 Year In Review"
12.
© 2012 SEIA Status
of Market Diversity California 29% New Jersey 17% Next Five States 34% Rest of U.S. 20% 2011 PV Installations by Major Market State 2011 Annual Installations 2011 Ranking California 542.2 1 New Jersey 313.3 2 Arizona 273.2 3 New Mexico 115.8 4 Colorado 90.8 5 Pennsylvania 87.9 6 New York 59.9 7 North Carolina 54.8 8 Texas 47.1 9 Nevada 43.6 10
13.
© 2012 SEIA SEIA’s
10 GW Goal Within Reach • SEIA’s goal of 10 GW annually by 2015 is achievable, but additional policies are needed, including: – Policies to support financing of solar projects, such as the Section 1603 Treasury Program – Long-term power purchase authority for federal agencies – Development of alternative financing mechanisms – Removal of local barriers to solar deployment
14.
© 2012 SEIA PV
Manufacturing Across the U.S.
15.
© 2012 SEIA Growing
Importance of U.S. Solar Market 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E U.S. Share of Global PV Installations Annual Installations (MWdc) U.S. PV Installations and Global Market Share U.S. PV Installations U.S. Global Market Share Source: SEIA/GTM Research Solar Market Insight, "2011 Year In Review"
16.
© 2012 SEIA International
PV Forecast - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E Installed Capacity (MWdc) Annual Installed PV Capacity Projections Germany Italy China U.S. Source: SEIA/GTM Research
17.
© 2012 SEIA SEIA
Membership • SEIA is working to build a strong solar industry across America • SEIA members receive the following benefits: – Registration and exhibiting discounts at SEIA conferences and tradeshows – Free registration for member webinars each month – Exclusive access to the SEIA solar tax manual – A free, optional listing in the SEIA member directory – Discounts on industry reports – Job postings – Members-only access to the Small Business Resource Center, a set of tools to help small businesses grow • To join, visit: http://www.seia.org/cs/join_seia. • For more information, email membership@seia.org.
18.
© 2012 SEIA Thank
You Thomas P. Kimbis tkimbis@seia.org
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