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Thoughts on Social Media
          delivered to Thoughtworks




Friday, 28 August 2009
Today’s discussion

               Who is Josh
               2 topics of interest at the moment
                         Why is Twitter popular?
                         Up and coming technologies and networks
               Some discussion and Q&A




Friday, 28 August 2009
Who am I?
               Josh Guest
               Marketer, business development, entrepreneur
               Passionate about emerging technology
               Keen interest in understanding social media




Friday, 28 August 2009
Part One
          How did Twitter, become so popular?


Friday, 28 August 2009
My experience, A new
          concept

                 2004, idea to publish a magazine
                 For high school students, preparing for formals
                 The challenge: how to generate hype, buzz, talk,
                 interest
                 In a product that won’t exist for another 12 months




Friday, 28 August 2009
Solution v1
                 Develop a website, make it look young, fun, hip, cool
                 Add personal accounts, profiles, discussion
                 boards, photo sharing
                 Include competitions and free stuff
                 Tell students about it and set a target of 15k visitors
                 over 3 months




Friday, 28 August 2009
6750




                                                                    4500




                                                                     2250




                               March
                                          April                       0
                                                             May

 Data sourced informal.com.au - 2004-05   Expectation   Real life
Friday, 28 August 2009
And then something
          happened
               marginal traffic and no use of the website features


               4 students - 2 schools used the discussion forum to
               post their formal ideas.
               Visits originated from one school, then a ripple effect to
               5 then 48



Friday, 28 August 2009
20000


                          What happened at this point?
                      Why did it grow when nothing changed?
      15000




       10000




           5000

                                                                              Nov Dec
                                                                          Oct
                                                                    Sep
                                                              Aug
                                                        Jul
                  0                            Jun
                                      May
                                Apr
                          Mar
                                            Real life
Friday, 28 August 2009
And on a much larger scale,
          Twitter
           Since 2006, stable growth
           Q4 2008 - it all changed!
           President Obama, John Cleese, Will Farrell, K.Rudd
           Everyone either using, finding relevance, enhancing
           How does tool bubble along for 2 years, then explode?!




Friday, 28 August 2009
20000




  What happened here?
                                                                                           15000

                                                                                            10000

                                                                                             5000
                                                                                                                         Nov
   20                                                                                            0         May   Jul Sep
                                                                                                     Mar




15.5




   11




 6.5




                                                                                                   2/09        3/09         4/09
    2                                             11/08           12/08            1/09
                         09/08   10/08
                08/08
                                                Visits
                                 http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/chris-dannen/techwatch/magnificent-silly-short-lived-twitter-explosion-2009
Friday, 28 August 2009
A tipping point?
          momentum for change becomes unstoppable

Friday, 28 August 2009
What is a tipping point...


               A theory in sociology where a moment of critical mass
               causes unexplainable growth
               There are many theories around what triggers them




Friday, 28 August 2009
Gladwell’s tipping point




                          Fastcompany.com-M.Gladwell
Friday, 28 August 2009
Tipping Facebook
                                                                                                                          3.4
                                                    Anyone can join                                                     Years to
             Expands to include high                                                                                      tip
                school networkDeveloper platform




  http://www.chubbybrain.com/blog/2009/03/41-years-for-facebook-to-reach-a-tipping-point-what-about-wikipedia-yelp-youtube-online-2-sided-networks-and-getting-exponential-growth/




Friday, 28 August 2009
Tipping Youtube                                                                                                   3rd party
                                                                                                                          development
                                                                              Revenue share
                                                                            Google active
                                                                                with
                                                                           purchase
                                                                                members




    http://www.chubbybrain.com/blog/2009/03/41-years-for-facebook-to-reach-a-tipping-point-what-about-wikipedia-yelp-youtube-online-2-sided-networks-and-getting-exponential-growth/

Friday, 28 August 2009
Identi.ca is left behind
         Why did Twitter tip, and Identi.ca not? - they are the same!




Friday, 28 August 2009
Part Two - Jolicloud
          Technologies I’m hoping will tip!


Friday, 28 August 2009
Jolicloud - July 2009
               An internet operating system for Netbooks
               Mission to accelerate ultra-low-cost, cloud based
               computing to the world




Friday, 28 August 2009
Part Two - Google Wave or Shareflow
          Is there a tipping point scenario?


Friday, 28 August 2009
Communication revolution?




                         F low   Wa
                                    ve



Friday, 28 August 2009
Questions and Discussion




Friday, 28 August 2009

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When social media tips

  • 1. Thoughts on Social Media delivered to Thoughtworks Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 2. Today’s discussion Who is Josh 2 topics of interest at the moment Why is Twitter popular? Up and coming technologies and networks Some discussion and Q&A Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 3. Who am I? Josh Guest Marketer, business development, entrepreneur Passionate about emerging technology Keen interest in understanding social media Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 4. Part One How did Twitter, become so popular? Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 5. My experience, A new concept 2004, idea to publish a magazine For high school students, preparing for formals The challenge: how to generate hype, buzz, talk, interest In a product that won’t exist for another 12 months Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 6. Solution v1 Develop a website, make it look young, fun, hip, cool Add personal accounts, profiles, discussion boards, photo sharing Include competitions and free stuff Tell students about it and set a target of 15k visitors over 3 months Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 7. 6750 4500 2250 March April 0 May Data sourced informal.com.au - 2004-05 Expectation Real life Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 8. And then something happened marginal traffic and no use of the website features 4 students - 2 schools used the discussion forum to post their formal ideas. Visits originated from one school, then a ripple effect to 5 then 48 Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 9. 20000 What happened at this point? Why did it grow when nothing changed? 15000 10000 5000 Nov Dec Oct Sep Aug Jul 0 Jun May Apr Mar Real life Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 10. And on a much larger scale, Twitter Since 2006, stable growth Q4 2008 - it all changed! President Obama, John Cleese, Will Farrell, K.Rudd Everyone either using, finding relevance, enhancing How does tool bubble along for 2 years, then explode?! Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 11. 20000 What happened here? 15000 10000 5000 Nov 20 0 May Jul Sep Mar 15.5 11 6.5 2/09 3/09 4/09 2 11/08 12/08 1/09 09/08 10/08 08/08 Visits http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/chris-dannen/techwatch/magnificent-silly-short-lived-twitter-explosion-2009 Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 12. A tipping point? momentum for change becomes unstoppable Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 13. What is a tipping point... A theory in sociology where a moment of critical mass causes unexplainable growth There are many theories around what triggers them Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 14. Gladwell’s tipping point Fastcompany.com-M.Gladwell Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 15. Tipping Facebook 3.4 Anyone can join Years to Expands to include high tip school networkDeveloper platform http://www.chubbybrain.com/blog/2009/03/41-years-for-facebook-to-reach-a-tipping-point-what-about-wikipedia-yelp-youtube-online-2-sided-networks-and-getting-exponential-growth/ Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 16. Tipping Youtube 3rd party development Revenue share Google active with purchase members http://www.chubbybrain.com/blog/2009/03/41-years-for-facebook-to-reach-a-tipping-point-what-about-wikipedia-yelp-youtube-online-2-sided-networks-and-getting-exponential-growth/ Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 17. Identi.ca is left behind Why did Twitter tip, and Identi.ca not? - they are the same! Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 18. Part Two - Jolicloud Technologies I’m hoping will tip! Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 19. Jolicloud - July 2009 An internet operating system for Netbooks Mission to accelerate ultra-low-cost, cloud based computing to the world Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 20. Part Two - Google Wave or Shareflow Is there a tipping point scenario? Friday, 28 August 2009
  • 21. Communication revolution? F low Wa ve Friday, 28 August 2009