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01/04/2011




Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of
   Public Sector Banks, Private Sector Banks &
                  Foreign Banks
                 A Project Report
                  Submitted By

               GAURAV S. GODWANI

In partial fulfillment for the award of the degree of

      BACHELOR IN COMMERCE (HONOURS)

             Under Dr. P. P. Ghosh of

     ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS)

           Under University of Calcutta

             ROLL NO: 3-01-08-0573
PREFACE

Granting of credit facilities for economic activities is the primary task of banking.
Apart from raising resources through fresh deposits, borrowings, etc. recycling of
funds received back from borrowers constitutes a major part of funding credit
dispensation activities. Non-recovery of installments as also interest on the loan
portfolio negates the effectiveness of this process of the credit cycle. Non-recovery
also affects the profitability of banks besides being required to maintain more
owned funds by way of capital and creation of reserves and provisions to act as
cushion for the loan losses. Avoidance of loan losses is one of the pre-occupations
of management of banks. While complete elimination of such losses is not possible,
bank managements aim to keep the losses at a low level. In fact, it is the level of
non-performing advances, which, to a great extent, differentiates between a good
and a bad bank. Mounting NPAs may also have more widespread repercussions. To
avoid shock waves affecting the system, the salvaging exercise is done by the
Government or by the industry on t he behest of Government/ central bank of the
country putting pressure on the exchequer.


In India, the NPAs, which are considered to be at higher levels than those in other
countries, have, of late, attracted the attention of public as also of international
financial institutions. This has gained further prominence in the wake of
transparency and disclosure measures initiated by the RBI during recent years.


This project aims at providing an o ov erall view on t he existence of NPAs, their
treatment, the ways at resolving this issue and also a f ew reports on the recent
developments in this field.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

First of all I would like to take this opportunity to thank my College for having
projects as a part of the B.Com Curriculum.


I wish to express my heartfelt gratitude to the following individuals who have played
a crucial role in the research for this project. Without their active cooperation the
preparation of this project could not have been completed within the specified time
limit.


The first person I would like to acknowledge is my guide Dr. P. P. Ghosh, of
St. Xavier’s College Kolkata, who supported me throughout this project with
utmost co-operation and patience. I am very much thankful to you sir, for sparing
your precious and valuable time for me and for helping me in doing this project. I am
also thankful to the Vice Principal and Dean of Commerce, who gave us an
opportunity to make this project in our final year.



Finally, to all my friends who helped me in making this project. I want to thank
them for all their help, support, interest and valuable hints.
TABLE OF CONTENTS

Sr.
                         TOPICS                             Pg.
No.                                                         No.
 1.   Introduction to NPA’s                                  1-27
         Meaning of NPA                                      1
         Asset Classification                                3
         Types of NPA                                        7
         Reasons for an Account becoming an NPA              8
         Impact of NPA                                       10
         Early Symptoms                                      11
         Preventive Measurement of NPA                       13
         Procedure      of      NPA   Identification   &
           Resolutions in India                               16
 2.   Objectives & Beneficiaries                             28

 3.   Research Methodology                                   29

 4.   Analysis                                              31-58

 5.   Hypothesis Testing                                    59-64

 6.   Overall Findings                                       65

 7.   Conclusion                                             66

 8.   Suggestion                                             67


 9.   Bibliography                                           68
INTRODUCTION TO NPA


MEANING OF NPA:
Non Performing Asset means an asset or account of borrower, which has been classified by a
bank or financial institution as sub-standard, doubtful or loss asset, in accordance with the
directions or guidelines relating to asset classification issued by RBI.
An amount due under any credit facility is treated as "past due" when it has not been paid
within 30 days from the due date. Due to the improvement in the payment and settlement
systems, recovery climate, up gradation of technology in the banking system, etc., it was
decided to dispense with 'past due' concept, with effect from March 31, 2001. Accordingly,
as from that date, a Non performing asset (NPA) shell be an advance where
     i.   Interest and /or installment of principal remain overdue for a period of more than 180
          days in respect of a Term Loan,
    ii.   The account remains 'out of order' for a period of more than 180 days, in respect of an
          overdraft/ cash Credit(OD/CC),
 iii.      The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 180 days in the case of bills
          purchased and discounted,
    iv.   Interest and/ or installment of principal remains overdue for two harvest seasons but
          for a period not exceeding two half years in the case of an advance granted for
          agricultural purpose, and
    v.    Any amount to be received remains overdue for a period of more than 180 days in
          respect of other accounts.
With a view to moving towards international best practices and to ensure greater
transparency, it has been decided to adopt the '90 days overdue' norm for identification of
NPAs, from the year ending March 31, 2004. Accordingly, with effect from March 31, 2004,
a non-performing asset (NPA) shell be a loan or an advance where;
     i.   Interest and /or installment of principal remain overdue for a period of more than 90
          days in respect of a Term Loan,
    ii.   The account remains 'out of order' for a period of more than 90 days, in respect of an
          overdraft/ cash Credit(OD/CC),
1

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                 Page 1
iii.   The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in the case of bills
        purchased and discounted,
 iv.    Interest and/ or installment of principal remains overdue for two harvest seasons but
        for a period not exceeding two half years in the case of an advance granted for
        agricultural purpose, and
  v.    Any amount to be received remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in
        respect of other accounts.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 2
ASSET CLASSIFICATION:
Assets are classified into fo llowing four catego ries:
 Standard Assets:

 Sub-standard Assets

 Doubtful Assets

 Loss Assets



    Standard Assets:
    Standard assets are the ones in which the bank is receiving interest as well as the
    principal amount of the loan regularly from the customer. Here it is also very important
    that in this case the arrears of interest and the principal amount of loan do not exceed 90
    days at the end of financial year. If asset fails to be in category of standard asset that is
    amount due more than 90 days then it is NPA and NPAs are further need to classify in
    sub categories.


    Provisio ning Norms:
     From the year ending 31.03.2000, the banks should make a general provision of a
        minimum of 0.40 percent on standard assets on global loan portfolio basis.
     The provisions on standard assets should not be reckoned for arriving at net NPAs.
     The provisions towards Standard Assets need not be netted from gross advances but
        shown separately as 'Contingent Provisions against Standard Assets' under 'Other
        Liabilities and Provisions - Others' in Schedule 5 of the balance sheet.


    Banks are required to classify non-performing assets further into the following three
    categories based on the period for which the asset has remained non-performing and the
    reasonability of the dues:
            1) Sub-standard Assets
            2) Doubtful Assets
            3) Loss Assets




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                 Page 3
Sub-standard Assets:
   With effect from 31 March 2005, a substandard asset would be one, which has remained
   NPA for a period less than or equal to 12 month. The following features are exhibited by
   substandard assets: the current net worth of the borrowers / guarantor or the current
   market value of the security charged is not enough to ensure recovery of the dues to the
   banks in full; and the asset has well-defined credit weaknesses that jeopardize the
   liquidation of the debt and are characterized by the distinct possibility that the banks will
   sustain some loss, if deficiencies are not corrected.


   Provisio ning Norms:
   A general provision of 10 percent on total outstanding should be made without making
   any allowance for DICGC/ECGC guarantee cover and securities available.


   Doubtful Assets:
   A loan classified as doubtful has all the weaknesses inherent in assets that were classified
   as sub-standard, with the added characteristic that the weaknesses make collection or
   liquidation in full, on the basis of currently known facts, conditions and values – highly
   questionable and improbable.
   With effect from March 31, 2005, an asset would be classified as doubtful if it remained
   in the sub-standard category for 12 months.


   Provisio ning Norms:
    100 percent of the extent to which the advance is not covered by the realisable value
      of the security to which the bank has a valid recourse and the realisable value is
      estimated on a realistic basis.
    In regard to the secured portion, provision may be made on the following basis, at the
      rates ranging from 20 percent to 50 percent of the secured portion depending upon the
      period for which the asset has remained doubtful:




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                               Page 4
Period for which the advance has been                    Provision
                        considered as doubtful                      requirement (%)

                             Up to one year                                 20


                           One to three years                               30

                         More than three years:                60% with effect from March
                    (1) Outstanding stock of NPAs as on                  31, 2005.
                                March 31, 2004.                75% effect from March 31,
                   (2) Advances classified as „doubtful‟                   2006.
                        more than three years on or after     100% with effect from March
                                  April 1, 2004.                         31, 2007.



            Additional provisioning consequent upon the change in the definition of doubtful
             assets effective from March 31, 2003 has to be made in phases as under:
        i.      As on31.03.2003, 50 percent of the additional provisioning requirement on the
                assets which became doubtful on account of new norm of 18 months for transition
                from sub-standard asset to doubtful category.
       ii.       As on 31.03.2002, balance of the provisions not made during the previous year, in
                addition to the provisions needed, as on 31.03.2002.
    Banks are permitted to phase the additional provisioning consequent upon the
             reduction in the transition period from substandard to doubtful asset from 18 to 12
             months over a four year period commencing from the year ending March 31, 2005,
             with a minimum of 20 % each year.


   Loss Assets:
             A loss asset is one which considered uncollectible and of such little value that its
             continuance as a bankable asset is not warranted- although there may be some salvage or
             recovery value. Also, these assets would have been identified as “Loss assets” by t he
             bank or internal or external auditors or the RBI inspection but the amount would not have
             been written-off wholly.

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                       Page 5
Provisio ning Norms:
   The entire asset should be written off. If the assets are permitted to remain in the books
   for any reason, 100 percent of the outstanding should be provided for.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                Page 6
TYPES OF NPA:
   1. Gross NPA
   2. Net NPA


   Gross NPA:
   Gross NPAs are the sum total of all loan assets that are classified as NPAs as per RBI
   guidelines as on Balance Sheet date. Gross NPA reflects the quality of the loans made
   by banks. It consists of all the nonstandard assets like as sub-standard, doubtful, and loss
   assets. It can be calculated with the help of following ratio:


   Gross NPAs Ratio =       Gross NPAs
                          Gross Advances


   Net NPA:
   Net NPAs are those type of NPAs in which the bank has deducted the provision
   regarding NPAs. Net NPA shows the actual burdenof banks.             Since in India, bank
   balance sheets contain a huge amount of NPAs and the process of recovery and write off
   of loans is very time consuming, the provisions the banks have to make against the NPAs
   according to the central bank guidelines, are quite significant. That is why the difference
   between gross and net NPA is quite high.
   It can be calculated by following:


   Net NPAs =     Gross NPAs – Provisions
                 Gross Advances - Provisions




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                              Page 7
REASONS FOR AN ACCOUNT BECOMING NPA:
   1. Internal factors
   2. External factors

   Internal factors:
   1) Funds borrowed for a particular purpose but not use for the said purpose.
   2) Project not completed in time.
   3) Poor recovery of receivables.
   4) Excess capacities created on non-economic costs.
   5) In-ability of the corporate to raise capital through the issue of equity or other debt
      instrument from capital markets.
   6) Business failures.
   7) Diversion of funds for expansionmodernizationsetting up new projects helping or
      promoting sister concerns.
   8) Willful defaults, siphoning of funds, fraud, disputes, management disputes, mis-
      appropriation etc.
   9) Deficiencies on the part of the banks viz. in credit appraisal, monitoring and follow-
      ups, delaying settlement of payments subsidiaries by government bodies etc.,

   External factors:
   1) Sluggish legal system –
            Long legal tangles
            Changes that had taken place in labour laws
            Lack of sincere effort.
   2) Scarcity of raw material, power and other resources.
   3) Industrial recession.
   4) Shortage of raw material, raw materialinput price escalation, power shortage,
      industrial recession, excess capacity, natural calamities like floods, accidents.
   5) Failures, nonpayment over dues in other countries, recession in other countries,
      externalization problems, adverse exchange rates etc.
   6) Government policies like excise duty changes, Import duty changes etc.,



ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                Page 8
The RBI has summarized the finer factors contributing to higher level of NPAs in the
   Indian banking sector as:


    Diversion of funds, which is for expansion, diversification, modernization,
      undertaking new projects and for helping associate concerns. This is also coupled
      with recessionary trends and failures to tap funds in capital and debt markets.


    Business failures (such as product, marketing etc.), which are due to inefficient
      management system, strained labour relations, inappropriate technology/ technical
      problems, product obsolescence etc.


    Recession, which is due to input/ power shortage, price variation, accidents, natural
      calamities etc. The externalization problems in other countries also lead to growth of
      NPAs in Indian banking sector.


    Time/ cost overrun during project implementation stage.


    Governmental policies such as changes in excise duties, pollution control orders etc.


    Willful defaults, which are because of siphoning-off funds, fraud/ misappropriation,
      promoters/ directors disputes etc.


    Deficiency on the part of banks, viz, delays in release of limits and payments/
      subsidies by the Government of India.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                              Page 9
IMPACT OF NPA:
   Profitability:
   NPA means booking of money in terms of bad asset, which occurred due to wrong choice
   of client. Because of the money getting blocked the prodigality of bank decreases not
   only by the amount of NPA but NPA lead to opportunity cost also as that much of profit
   invested in   some return earning project/asset. So NPA doesn‟t affect current profit but
   also future stream of profit, which may lead to loss of some long-term beneficial
   opportunity. Another impact of reduction in profitability is low ROI (return on
   investment), which adversely affect current earning of bank.


   Liquidity:
   Money is getting blocked, decreased profit lead to lack of enough cash at hand which
   lead to borrowing money for shortest period of time which lead to additional cost to the
   company. Difficulty in operating the functions of bank is another cause of NPA due to
   lack of money. Routine payments and dues.


   Involve ment of management:
   Time and efforts of management is another indirect cost which bank has to bear due to
   NPA. Time and efforts of management in handling and managing NPA would have
   diverted to some fruitful activities, which would have given good returns. Now day‟s
   banks have special employees to deal and handle NPAs, which is additional cost to the
   bank.


   Credit loss:
   Bank is facing problem of NPA then it adversely affect the value of bank in terms of
   market credit. It will lose its goodwill and brand image and credit which have negative
   impact to the people who are putting their money in the banks.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                           Page 10
EARLY SYMPTOMS:
By which one can recognize a performing asset turning in to non-
performing asset

Four categories of early symptoms:-

1) Financial:
   Non-payment of the very first installment in case of term loan.

   Bouncing of cheque due to insufficient balance in the accounts.

   Irregularity in installment.

   Irregularity of operations in the accounts.

   Unpaid overdue bills.

   Declining Current Ratio.

   Payment which does not cover the interest and principal amount of that installment.

   While monitoring the accounts it is found that partial amount is diverted to sister
    concern or parent company.


2) Operational and Physical:

   If information is received that the borrower has either initiated the process
    of winding up or are not doing the business.

   Overdue receivables.

   Stock statement not submitted on time.

   External non-controllable factor like natural calamities in the city where
    borrower conduct his business.

   Frequent changes in plan.

   Nonpayment of wages.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                Page 11
3) Attitudinal Changes:

   Use for personal comfort, stocks and shares by borrower.

   Avoidance of contact with bank.

   Problem between partners.



4) Others:

   Changes in Government policies.

   Death of borrower.

   Competition in the market.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                     Page 12
PREVENTIVE MEASUREMENT FOR NPA:
   Early Recognition of the Problem:
   Invariably, by the time banks start their efforts to get involved in a revival process, it‟s
   too late to retrieve the situation- both in terms of rehabilitation of the project and
   recovery of bank‟s dues. Identification of weakness in the very beginning that is : When
   the account starts showing first signs of weakness regardless of the fact that it may not
   have become NPA, is imperative. Assessment of the potential of revival may be done on
   the basis of a techno-economic viability study. Restructuring should be attempted where,
   after an objective assessment of the promoter‟s intention, banks are convinced of a
   turnaround within a scheduled timeframe. In respect of totally unviable units as decided
   by the bank, it is better to facilitate winding up/ selling of the unit earlier, so as to recover
   whatever is possible through legal means before the security position becomes worse.


   Identifying Borrowers with Genuine Intent:
   Identifying borrowers with genuine intent from those who are non- serious with no
   commitment or stake in revival is a challenge confronting bankers. Here the role of
   frontline officials at the branch level is paramount as they are the ones who have
   intelligent inputs with regard to promoters‟ sincerity, and capability to achieve
   turnaround. Based on this objective assessment, banks should decide as quickly as
   possible whether it would be worthwhile to commit additional finance.
   In this regard banks may consider having “Special Investigation” of all financial
   transaction or business transaction, books of account in order to ascertain real factors that
   contributed to sickness of the borrower. Banks may have penal of technical experts with
   proven expertise and track record of preparing techno-economic study of the project of
   the borrowers.
   Borrowers having genuine problems due to temporary mismatch in fund flow or sudden
   requirement of additional fund may be entertained at branch level, and for this purpose a
   special limit to such type of cases should be decided. This will obviate the need to route
   the additional funding through the controlling offices in deserving cases, and help avert
   many accounts slipping into NPA category.


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                   Page 13
Timeliness and Adequacy of response:
   Longer the delay in response, grater the injury to the account and the asset. Time is a
   crucial element in any restructuring or rehabilitation activity. The response decided on
   the basis of techno-economic study and promoter‟s commitment, has to be adequate in
   terms of extend of additional funding and relaxations etc. under the restructuring
   exercise. The package of assistance may be flexible and bank may look at the exit option.


   Focus on Cash Flows :
   While financing, at the time of restructuring the banks may not be guided by the
   conventional fund flow analysis only, which could yield a potentially misleading picture.
   Appraisal for fresh credit requirements may be done by analyzing funds flow in
   conjunction with the Cash Flow rather than only on the basis of Funds Flow.


   Management Effectiveness:
   The general perception among borrower is that it is lack of finance that leads to sickness
   and NPAs. But this may not be the case all the time. Management effectiveness in
   tackling adverse business conditions is a very important aspect that affects a borrowing
   unit‟s fortunes. A bank may commit additional finance to an aling unit only after basic
   viability of the enterprise also in the context of quality of management is examined and
   confirmed. Where the default is due to deeper malady, viability study or investigative
   audit should be done – it will be useful to have consultant appointed as early as possible
   to examine this aspect. A proper techno- economic viability study must thus become the
   basis on which any future action can be considered.


   Multiple Financing:
    During the exercise for assessment of viability and restructuring, a Pragmatic and
      unified approach by all the lending banks/ FIs as also sharing of all relevant
      information on the borrower would go a long way toward overall success of
      rehabilitation exercise, given the probability of success/failure.


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 14
 In some default cases, where the unit is still working, the bank should make sure that
      it captures the cash flows (there is a tendency on part of the borrowers to switch
      bankers once they default, for fear of getting their cash flows forfeited), and ensure
      that such cash flows are used for working capital purposes. Toward this end, there
      should be regular flow of information among consortium members. A bank, which is
      not part of the consortium, may not be allowed to offer credit facilities to such
      defaulting clients. Current account facilities may also be denied at non-consortium
      banks to such clients and violation may attract penal action. The Credit Information
      Bureau of India Ltd.(CIBIL) may be very useful for meaningful information
      exchange on defaulting borrowers once the setup becomes fully operational.


    In a forum of lenders, the priority of each lender will be different. While one set of
      lenders may be willing to wait for a longer time to recover its dues, another lender
      may have a much shorter timeframe in mind. So it is possible that the letter categories
      of lenders may be willing to exit, even a t a cost – by a discounted settlement of the
      exposure. Therefore, any plan for restructuring/rehabilitation may take this aspect into
      account.


    Corporate Debt Restructuring mechanism has been institutionalized in 2001 t o
      provide a timely and transparent system for restructuring of the corporate debt of Rs.
      20 crore and above with the banks and FIs on a voluntary basis and outside the legal
      framework. Under this system, banks may greatly benefit in terms of restructuring of
      large standard accounts (potential NPAs) and viable sub-standard accounts with
      consortium/multiple banking arrangements.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 15
PROCEDURES FOR NPA IDENTIFICATION AND
RESOLUTION IN INDIA:
1. Internal Checks and Control
   Since high level of NPAs dampens the performance of the banks identification of
   potential problem accounts and their close monitoring assumes importance. Though most
   banks have Early Warning Systems (EWS) for identification of potential NPAs, the
   actual processes followed, however, differ from bank to bank. The EWS enable a bank to
   identify the borrower accounts which show signs of credit deterioration and initiate
   remedial action. Many banks have evolved and adopted an elaborate EWS, which allows
   them to identify potential distress signals and plan their options beforehand, accordingly.
   The early warning signals, indicative of potential problems in the accounts, viz. persistent
   irregularity in accounts, delays in servicing of interest, frequent devolvement of L/Cs,
   units' financial problems, market related problems, etc. are captured by the system. In
   addition, some of these banks are reviewing their exposure to borrower accounts every
   quarter based on published data which also serves as an important additional warning
   system. These early warning signals used by banks are generally independent of risk
   rating systems and asset classification norms prescribed by RBI.
   The major components/processes of a EWS followed by banks in India as brought out by
   a study conducted by Reserve Bank of India at the instance of the Board of Financial
   Supervision are as follows:
       Designating Relationship Manager/ Credit Officer for monitoring account/s
       Preparation of `know your client' profile
       Credit rating system
       Identification of watch-list/special mention category accounts
       Monitoring of early warning signals


   Relationship Manager/Credit Officer
   The Relationship Manager/Credit Officer is an official who is expected to have complete
   knowledge of borrower, his business, his future plans, etc. The Relationship Manager has
   to keep in constant touch with the borrower and report all developments impacting the


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 16
borrowable account. As a part of this contact he is also expected to conduct scrutiny and
   activity inspections. In the credit monitoring process, the responsibility of monitoring a
   corporate account is vested with Relationship Manager/Credit Officer.


   Know your client' profile (KYC)
   Most banks in India have a system of preparing `know your client' (KYC) profile/credit
   report. As a part of `KYC' system, visits are made on clients and their places of
   business/units. The frequency of such visits depends on the nature and needs of
   relationship.


   Credit Rating System
   The credit rating system is essentially one point indicator of an individual credit exposure
   and is used to identify measure and monitor the credit risk of individual proposal. At the
   whole bank level, credit rating system enables tracking the health of banks entire credit
   portfolio. Most banks in India have put in place the system of internal credit rating. While
   most of the banks have developed their own models, a few banks have adopted credit
   rating models designed by rating agencies. Credit rating models take into account various
   types of risks viz. financial, industry and management, etc. associated with a borrowable
   unit. The exercise is generally done at the time of sanction of new borrowable account
   and at the time of review renewal of existing credit facilities.


   Watch-list/Special Mention Category
   The grading of the bank's risk assets is an important internal control tool. It serves the
   need of the Management to identify and monitor potential risks of a loan asset. The
   purpose of identification of potential NPAs is to ensure that appropriate preventive /
   corrective steps could be initiated by the bank to protect against the loan asset becoming
   non-performing. Most of the banks have a system to put certain borrowable accounts
   under watch list or special mention category if performing advances operating under
   adverse business or economic conditions are exhibiting certain distress signals. These
   accounts generally exhibit weaknesses which are correctable but warrant banks' closer
   attention. The categorization of such accounts in watch list or special mention category


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 17
provides early warning signals enabling Relationship Manager or Credit Officer to
   anticipate credit deterioration and take necessary preventive steps to avoid their slippage
   into non performing advances. Early Warning Signals It is important in any early warning
   system, to be sensitive to signals of credit deterioration. A host of early warning signals
   are used by different banks for identification of potential NPAs. Most banks in India have
   laid down a series of operational, financial, transactional indicators that could serve to
   identify emerging problems in credit exposures at an early stage. Further, it is revealed
   that the indicators which may trigger early warning system depend not only on default in
   payment of installment and interest but also other factors such as deterioration in
   operating and financial performance of the borrower, weakening industry characteristics,
   regulatory changes, general economic conditions, etc. Early warning signals can be
   classified into five broad categories viz.
      a) Financial
      b) Operational
      c) Banking
      d) Management and
      e) External factors.


   Financial related warning signals generally emanate from the borrowers' balance sheet,
   income expenditure statement, statement of cash flows, statement of receivables etc.
   Following common warning signals are captured by some of the banks having relatively
   developed EWS.


   Financial warning signals
       Persistent irregularity in the account
       Default in repayment obligation
       Devolvement of LC/invocation of guarantees
       Deterioration in liquidity/working capital position
       Substantial increase in long term debts in relation to equity
       Declining sales
       Operating losses/net losses


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 18
 Rising sales and falling profits
       Disproportionate increase in overheads relative to sales
       Rising level of bad debt losses Operational warning signals
       Low activity level in plant
       Disorderly diversification/frequent changes in plan
       Nonpayment of wages/power bills
       Loss of critical customer/s
       Frequent labor problems
       Evidence of aged inventory/large level of inventory
     Management related warning signals
       Lack of co-operation from key personnel
       Change in management, ownership, or key personnel
       Desire to take undue risks
       Family disputes
       Poor financial controls
       Fudging of financial statements
       Diversion of funds
   Banking related signals
       Declining bank balances/declining operations in the account
       Opening of account with other bank
       Return of outward bills/dishonored cheques
       Sales transactions not routed through the account
       Frequent requests for loan
       Frequent delays in submitting stock statements, financial data, etc.
     Signals relating to external factors
       Economic recession
       Emergence of new competition
       Emergence of new technology
       Changes in government / regulatory policies
       Natural calamities



ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                     Page 19
2. Management/Resolution of NPAs
   A reduction in the total gross and net NPAs in the Indian financial system indicates a
   significant improvement in management of NPAs. This is also on account of various
   resolution mechanisms introduced in the recent past which include the SRFAESI Act,
   one time settlement schemes, setting up of the CDR mechanism, strengthening of DRTs.
   From the data available of Public Sector Banks as on March 31, 2003, there were 1,522
   numbers of NPAs as on March 31, 2003 which had gross value greater than Rs. 50
   million in all the public sector banks in India. The total gross value of these NPAs
   amounted to Rs. 215 billion. The total number of resolution approaches (including cases
   where action is to be initiated) is greater than the number of NPAs, indicating some
   double counting. As can be seen, suit filed and BIFR are the two most common
   approaches to resolution of NPAs in public sector banks. Rehabilitation has been
   considered/ adopted in only about 13% of the cases. Settlement has been considered only
   in 9% of the cases. It is likely to have been adopted in even fewer cases. Data available
   on resolution strategies adopted by public sector banks suggest that Compromise
   settlement schemes with borrowers are found to be more effective than legal measures.
   Many banks have come out with their own restructuring schemes for settlement of NPA
   accounts. State Bank of India, HDFC Limited, M/s. Dun and Bradstreet Information
   Services (India) Pvt. Ltd. and M/s. Trans Union to serve as a mechanism for exchange of
   information between banks and FIs for curbing the growth of NPAs incorporated credit
   Information Bureau (India) Limited (CIBIL) in January 2001. Pending the enactment of
   CIB Regulation Bill, the RBI constituted a working group to examine the role of CIBs.
   As per the recommendations of the working group, Banks and FIs are now required to
   submit the list of suit-filed cases of Rs. 10 million and above and suit filed cases of
   willful defaulters of Rs. 2.5 million and above to RBI as well as CIBIL. CIBIL will share
   this information with commercial banks and FIs so as to help them minimize adverse
   selection at appraisal stage. The CIBIL is in the process of getting operationalised.



3. Willful Defaulters
   RBI has issued revised guidelines in respect of detection of willful default and diversion

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                 Page 20
and siphoning of funds. As per these guidelines a willful default occurs when a borrower
   defaults in meeting its obligations to the lender when it has capacity to honor the
   obligations or whenfunds have been utilized for purposes other than those for which
   finance was granted. The list of willful defaulters is required to be submitted to SEBI and
   RBI to prevent their access to capital markets. Sharing of information of this nature helps
   banks in their due diligence     exercise and helps in avoiding financing unscrupulous
   elements. RBI has advised lenders to initiate legal measures including criminal actions,
   wherever required, and undertake a proactive approach in change in management, where
   appropriate.


4. Legal and Regulatory Regime
   Debt Recovery Tribunals
   DRTs were set up under the Recovery of Debts due to Banks and Financial Institutions
   Act, 1993. Under the Act, two types of Tribunals were set up i.e. Debt Recovery Tribunal
   (DRT) and Debt Recovery Appellate Tribunal (DRAT). The DRTs are vested with
   competence to entertain cases referred to them, by the banks and FIs for recovery of debts
   due to the same. The order passed by a DRT is appealable to the Appellate Tribunal but
   no appeal shall be entertained by the DRAT unless the applicant deposits 75% of the
   amount due from him as determined by it. However, the Affiliate Tribunal may, for
   reasons to be received in writing, waive or reduce the amount of such deposit. Advances
   of Rs. 1 million and above can be settled through DRT process. An important power
   conferred on the Tribunal is that of making an interim order (whether by way of
   injunction or stay) against the defendant to debar him from transferring, alienating or
   otherwise dealing with or disposing of any property and the assets belonging to him
   within prior permission of the Tribunal. This order can be passed even while the claim is
   pending. DRTs are criticized in respect of recovery made considering the size of NPAs in
   the Country. In general, it is observed that the defendants approach the High Country
   challenging the verdict of the Appellate Tribunal which leads to further delays in
   recovery. Validity of the Act is often challenged in the court which hinders the progress

   of the DRTs. Lastly, many needs to be done for making the DRTs stronger in terms of
   infrastructure.

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 21
Lokadalats
   The institution of Lokadalat constituted under the Legal Services Authorities Act, 1987
   helps in resolving disputes between the parties by conciliation, mediation, compromise or
   amicable settlement. It is known for effecting mediation and counseling between the
   parties and to reduce burden on the court, especially for small loans. Cases involving suit
   claims up to Rs. l million can be brought before the Lokadalat and every award of the
   Lokadalat shall be deemed to be a decree of a Civil Court and no appeal can lie to any
   court against the award made by the Lokadalat. Several people of particular localities
   various social organizations are approaching Lokadalats which are generally presided
   over by two or three senior persons including retired senior civil servants, defense
   personnel and judicial officers. They take up cases which are suitable for settlement of
   debt for certain consideration. Parties are heard and they explain their legal position.
   They are advised to reach to some settlement due to social pressure of senior bureaucrats
   or judicial officers or social workers. If the compromise is arrived at, the parties to the
   litigation sign a statement in presence of Lokadalats which is expected to be filed in court
   to obtain a consent decree. Normally, if such settlement contains a clause that if the
   compromise is not adhered to by the parties, the suits pending in the court will proceed in
   accordance with the law and parties will have a right to get the decree from the court. In
   general, it is observed that banks do not get the full advantage of the Lokadalats. It is
   difficult to collect the concerned borrowers willing to go in for compromise on the day
   when the Lokadalat meets. In any case, we should continue our efforts to seek the help of
   the Lokadalat.


   Enactment of SRFAESI Act
   The "The Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of
   Security Interest Act" (SRFAESI) provides the formal legal basis and regulatory
   framework for setting up Asset Reconstruction Companies (ARCs) in India. In addition
   to asset reconstruction and ARCs, the Act deals with the following largely aspects,

       Securitization and Securitization Companies
       Enforcement of Security Interest

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                               Page 22
 Creation of a central registry in which all securitization and asset reconstruction
          transactions as well as any creation of security interests has to be filed.
   The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the designated regulatory authority for ARCS has
   issued Directions, Guidance Notes, Application Form and Guidelines to Banks in April
   2003 for regulating functioning of the proposed ARCS and these Directions/ Guidance
   Notes cover various aspects relating to registration, operations and funding of ARCS and
   resolution of NPAs by ARCS. The RBI has also issued guidelines to banks and financial
   institutions on issues relating to transfer of assets to ARCS, consideration for the same
   and valuation of instruments issued by the ARCS. Additionally, the Central Government
   has issued the security enforcement rules ("Enforcement Rules"), which lays down the
   procedure to be followed by a secured creditor while enforcing its security interest
   pursuant to the Act. The Act permits the secured creditors (if 75% of the secured
   creditors agree) to enforce their security interest in relation to the underlying security
   without reference to the Court after giving a 60 day notice to the defaulting borrower
   upon classification of the corresponding financial assistance as a non-performing asset.
   The Act permits the secured creditors to take any of the following measures:
       Take over possession of the secured assets of the borrower including right to
          transfer by way of lease, assignment or sale;
       Take over the management of the secured assets including the right to transfer by
          way of lease, assignment or sale;
       Appoint any person as a manager of the secured asset (such person could be the
          ARC if they do not accept any pecuniary liability); and
       Recover receivables of the borrower in respect of any secured asset which has
          been transferred. After taking over possession of the secured assets, the secured
          creditors are required to obtain valuation of the assets. These secured assets may
          be sold by using any of the following routes to obtain maximum value.
       By obtaining quotations from persons dealing in such assets or otherwise
          interested in buying the assets;
       By inviting tenders from the public;
       By holding public auctions; or
       By private treaty.


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                              Page 23
Lenders have seized collateral in some cases and while it has not yet been possible to
   recover value from most such seizures due to certain legal hurdles, lenders are now
   clearly in a much better bargaining position vis-a-vis defaulting borrowers than they were
   before the enactment of SRFAESI Act. When the legal hurdles are removed, the
   bargaining power of lenders is likely to improve further and one would expect to see a
   large number of NPAs being resolved in quick time, either through security enforcement
   or through settlements. Under the SRFAESI Act ARCS can be set up under the
   Companies Act, 1956. The Act designates any person holding not less than 10% of the
   paid-up equity capital of the ARC as a sponsor and prohibits any sponsor from holding a
   controlling interest in, being the holding company of or being in control of the ARC. The
   SRFAESI and SRFAESI Rules/ Guidelines require ARCS to have a minimum net-owned
   fund of not less than Rs. 20,000,000. Further, the Directions require that an ARC should
   maintain, on an ongoing basis, a minimum capital adequacy ratio of 15% of its risk
   weighted assets. ARCS have been granted a maximum realization time frame of five
   years from the date of acquisition of the assets. The Act stipulates several measures that
   can be undertaken by ARCs for asset reconstruction. These include:
       Enforcement of security interest;
       Taking over or changing the management of the business of the borrower;
       The sale or lease of the business of the borrower;
       Settlement of the borrowers' dues; and
       Restructuring or rescheduling of debt.
   ARCS are also permitted to act as a manager of collateral assets taken over by t he lenders
   under security enforcement rights available to them or as a recovery agent for any bank
   or financial institution and to receive a fee for the discharge of these functions. They can
   also be appointed to act as a receiver, if appointed by any Court or DRT.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 24
Source: http://www.rbi.org.in


  Institution of CDR Mechanism
   The RBI has instituted the Corporate Debt Restructuring (CDR) mechanism for
   resolution of NPAs of viable entities facing financial difficulties. The CDR mechanism
   instituted in India is broadly along the lines of similar systems in the UK, Thailand,
   Korea and Malaysia. The objective of the CDR mechanism has been to ensure timely and
   transparent restructuring of corporate debt outside the purview of the Board for Industrial
   and Financial Reconstruction (BIFR), DRTs or other legal proceedings. The framework is
   intended to preserve viable corporate affected by certain internal/external factors and
   minimize losses to creditors/other stakeholders through an orderly and coordinated
   restructuring programme. RBI has issued revised guidelines in February 2003 with
   respect to the CDR mechanism. Corporate borrowers with borrowings from the banking
   system of Rs. 20crores and above under multiple banking arrangement are eligible under
   the CDR mechanism. Accounts falling under standard, sub-standard or doubtful
   categories can be considered for restructuring. CDR is a nonstatutory mechanism based
   on debtor-creditor agreement and inter-creditor agreement. Restructuring helps in
   aligning repayment obligations for bankers with the cash flow projections as reassessed at
   the time of restructuring. Therefore it is critical to prepare a restructuring plan on the
   lines of the expected business plan along with projected cash flows.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 25
The CDR process is being stabilized. Certain revisions are envisaged with respect to the
   eligibility criteria (amount of borrowings) and time frame for restructuring. Foreign
   banks are not members of the CDR forum, and it is expected that they would be signing
   the agreements shortly. However they attend meetings. The first ARC to be operational in
   India- Asset Reconstruction Company of India (ARGIL) is a member of the CDR forum.
   Lenders in India prefer to resort to CDR mechanism to avoid unnecessary delays in
   multiple lender arrangements and to increase transparency in the process. While in the
   RBI guidelines it has been recommended to involve independent consultants, banks are
   so far resorting to their internal teams for recommending restructuring programs.


   Compromise Settlement Schemes
   1) One Time Settlement Schemes
      NPAs in all sectors, which have become doubtful or loss as on 31st March 2000. The
      scheme also covers NPAs classified as sub-standard as on 31st March 2000, which
      have subsequently become doubtful or loss. All cases on which the banks have
      initiated action under the SRFAESI Act and also cases pending before
      Courts/DRTs/BIFR,      subject   to   consent   decree     being   obtained   from   the
      Courts/DRTs/BIFR are covered. However cases of willful default, fraud and
      malfeasance are not covered. As per the OTS scheme, for NPAs up to Rs. 10crores,
      the minimum amount that should be recovered should be 100% of the outstanding
      balance in the account.


   2) Negotiated Settlement Schemes
      The RBI/Government has been encouraging banks to design and implement policies
      for negotiated settlements, particularly for old and unresolved NPAs. The broad
      framework for such settlements was put in place in July 1995. Specific guidelines
      were issued in May 1999to public sector banks for one-time settlements of NPAs of
      small scale sector. This scheme was valid until September 2000 and enabled banks to
      recover Rs 6.7 billion from various accounts. Revised guidelines were issued in July
      2000 for recovery of NPAs of Rs. 50 millionand less. These guidelines were effective
      until June 2001 and helped banks recover Rs. 26 billion.


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 26
Increased Powers to NCLTs and the Proposed Repeal of BIFR
   In India, companies whose net worth has been wiped out on account of accumulated
   losses come under the purview of the Sick Industrial Companies Act (SICA) and need to
   be referred to BIFR. Once a company is referred to the BIFR (and even if an enquiry is
   pending as to whether it should be admitted to BIFR), it is afforded protection against
   recovery proceedings from its creditors. BIFR is widely regarded as a stumbling block in
   recovering value for NPAs. Promoters systematically take refuge in SICA - often there is
   a scramble to file a reference in BIFR so as to obtain protection from debt recovery
   proceedings. The recent amendments to the Companies Act vest powers for revival and
   rehabilitation of companies with the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), in place
   of BIFR, with modifications to address weaknesses experienced under the SICA
   provisions. The NCLT would prepare a scheme for reconstruction of any sick company
   and there is no bar on the lending institution of legal proceedings against such company
   whilst the scheme is being prepared by the NCLT. Therefore, proceedings initiated by
   any creditor seeking to recover monies from a sick company would not be suspended by
   a reference to the NCLT and, therefore, the above provision of the Act may not have
   much relevance any longer and probably does not extend to the tribunal for this reason.
   However, there is a possibility of conflict between the activities that may be undertaken
   by the ARC, e.g. change in management, and the role of the NCLT in restructuring sick
   companies. The Bill to repeal SICA is currently pending in Parliament and the process of
   staffing of NCLTs has been initiated




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                          Page 27
OBJECTIVES

 I.     Problem statement/Objective of the research
         To study of the concept of Non Performing Asset in Indian perspective.
         To study NPA standard of RBI
         To study the Reasons for & Impact of NPAs
         To evaluate the efficiency in managing Non Performing Asset of different types of banks
            (Public, Private & Foreign banks) using NPA ratios & comparing NPA with profits.
         To check the proportion of NPA of different types of banks in different categories.

 II. Beneficiaries of the study
      The outcomes analyzed from this study would be beneficial to various sections such as:

          Banks: This study would definitely benefit the banks in a way that directs them as
           to which sector should be given priority for lending money.

          Further Researchers: The major beneficiaries from the project would be the
           researchers themselves as this study would enhance their knowledge about the
           topic. They get an insight of the present scenario of this industry as this is the
           emerging industry in the financial sector of the economy.

          Student: To get the understanding of NPA concept as a whole.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                              Page 28
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  I.   Research Design
       The research design that will be use is Descriptive Research.
         Involves gathering data that describe events and then organizes, tabulates, depicts,
           and describes the data.
         Uses description as a tool to organize data into patterns that emerge during analysis.
         Often uses visual aids such as graphs and charts to aid the reader.
         Using of hypothesis testing.

        Test of Correlation:
            a) H0: There is no significant correlation between profits & NPAs of Public Sector
                Banks for last 9 years
                H1: There is correlation between profits & NPAs of Public Sector Banks for last 9
                years

            b) H0: There is no significant correlation between profits & NPAs of Private Sector
                Banks for last 9 years
                H1: There is correlation between profits & NPAs of Private Sector Banks for last
                9 years

            c) H0: There is no significant correlation between profits & NPAs of Foreign Banks
                for last 9 years
                H1: There is correlation between profits & NPAs of Foreign Banks for last 9 years

 II.   Data Collection Sources
        Secondary Data
        Secondary data refers to the data which has already been generated and is available for
        use. The data about NPAs & its composition, classification of loan assets, profits (net &
        gross) & advances of different banks is taken from Reserve Bank of India website and
        indiastat.com.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 29
III.   Scope of the study
         To understand the concept of NPA in Indian Banking industry.
         To understand the causes & effects of NPA
         To analyze the past trends of NPA of Public, Private & Foreign banks in different
           sector.


IV.    Expected contribution of the study
        The analysis made as a part of this study may contribute in a way analysis of strength
        and weakness of the banking sector as whole with regard to Non Performing Asset of
        banks. Various banks from different categories together may make efforts to overcome
        limitations for lending money to different sectors like agricultural, SSI, Priority sector,
        non-priority sector, public sector & others.



 V.    Limitation
        There are some data which are available for just 3 years while the same data for
        its counterparts were available for 9 years. So exact comparison was not possible.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 30
ANALYSIS

OVERALL ANALYSIS:
Scheduled Commercial banks (SCBs) in India remained robust against the backdrop of
global financial crisis. It is noteworthy that contrary to the trend in some advanced countries,
the leverage ratio (Tier I capital to total assets ratio) in India has remained high reflecting the
strength of the Indian banking system. However, the Indian banking sector was not
completely insulated from the effects of the slowdown of the India economy.


The consolidated balance sheets of SCBs, expanded by 21.2 per cent as at end-March 2010
as compared with 25.0 per cent in the previous year. While the balance sheet of public sector
banks maintained their growth momentum, the private sector banks and foreign banks
registered a deceleration in growth rate.


During 2009-10, the growth rate of banks‟ lending to industries, personal loans and services
sector witnessed a deceleration, while growth rate of banks‟ lending to agriculture and allied
activities increased substantially. Overall, the incremental Credit–Deposit (C-D) ratio
declined sharply reflecting the slowdown in credit growth, as corporates deferred their
investments against the backdrop of widespread uncertainty.


It is noteworthy that contrary to the trend in some advanced countries, the leverage ratio in
India has remained high reflecting the strength of the Indian banking system. For instance, as
observed by the World Bank , the leverage ratio of banks in the UK witnessed a decline
throughout 1990s, which was accentuated after 2000 to reach a level of about 3 per cent by
2009 from around 5 per cent in the 1990s. On the other hand, the leverage ratio for Indian
banks has risen from about 4.1 per cent in March 2002 to reach a level of 6.3 per cent by
March 2010.


The balance sheets of public sector banks maintained their growth momentum, the private
sector banks and foreign banks registered a deceleration in growth rate. Furthermore, the old


ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                 Page 31
private sector banks, which had been registering a significantly lower growth rate than their
   newer counterparts in the recent past, managed a better performance this year.

 NET NPAs OF BANKS: 2001-02 to 2009-10




     Graph: 1                                             Source: http://www.rbi.org.in



   Interpretation:
       From the above it is observed that net NPA of public sector banks has a declining
          trend up to year 2006-07 and after that it has a rising trend till 2009-10. The same
          trend has been observed in both Private and Foreign Sector Banks. The declining
          trend from 2004 to 2007 of NPA was due to the implementation of Securitization Act
          (2002).




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                           Page 32
 But the increase in NPA was increasing in absolute term, as NPA as per percent of
      advance shows a declining trend in Public Sector Banks while that of in Private and
      Foreign Sector Banks shows an upward trend that is increase in NPA as per percent
      of advance after 2007.
    The increase in NPA as per percent of advance of Private and Foreign Sector Banks is
      because of they have a major proportion of lending in non- priority sectors includes
      Medium and large scale industries which was highly affected by global financial
      crisis.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                         Page 33
SOUNDNESS INDICATORS:
   1. Capital Quality
   2. Asset Quality


   Capital Quality:
   A sound and efficient banking system is end product for maintaining financial stability.
   Therefore, considerable emphasis has been placed on strengthening the capital requirements
   in recent years. The Capital to Risk-weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) of SCBs, a
   measure of the capacity of the banking system to absorb unexpected losses, improved
   further to 13.2 per cent at end-March 2010 from 13.0 per cent at end-March
   2009. The asset quality of banks in India has been improving over the past few years as
   reflected in the declining NPA to advances ratio. It is especially noteworthy that
   notwithstanding the pressures of a slowdown in the economy and an atmosphere of
   uncertainty, the net NPA to net advances ratio increased only marginally to 1.1 per cent
   as at end March 2010 from 1.0 per cent as at end March 2009. Significantly, gross NPA
   to gross advances ratio remained constant at 2.3 per cent. Thus, in terms of the two
   crucial soundness indicators, viz., capital and asset quality, the Indian banking sector has
   exhibited resilience amidst testing times.




            Graph: 2                                Source: http://www.rbi.org.in



ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                              Page 34
Asset Quality:


                         Movements in Non-performing Assets – Bank Group-wise


                                                                        Old           New
                             Public                        State       Private       Private
                             Sector       Nationalized     Bank        Sector        Sector        Foreign
                             Banks           Banks         Group       Banks         Banks          Banks


Gross NPAs
As at end-March 2009           40089            23410       15303          2557          9901           2872
Addition during the
year                           31338            17822       12879          2094         10520           8430
Recovered during the
year                           26271            15863        9829          1579          6510           2954
Written off during the
year                                  0               0            0             0             0        1514
As at end-March 2010           45156            25368       18352          3072         13911           6833
Net NPAs
As at end-March 2009           17726             8245        8398           740          4640           1247
As at end-March 2010           21033             9339       10745          1165          6253           2973
Gross NPAs/Gross
Advances Ratio
End-March 2009                    2.2                2.1      2.6             2.3            2.4             1.8
End-March 2010                        2              1.8      2.5             2.3            2.8              4
Net NPAs/Net
Advances Ratio
End-March 2009                    0.8                0.7      1.4             0.7            1.1             0.9
End-March 2010                    0.7                0.7      1.5             0.9            1.3             1.7
                                                                         Source: http://www.rbi.org.in


       ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                  Page 35
Interpretation:
    The trend of improvement in the asset quality of banks continued during the year.
      Indian banks recovered a higher amount of NPAs during 2009-10 than that during the
      previous year. Though the total amount recovered and written-off at Rs.38,828 in
      2009-10 was higher than Rs.28,283 crore in 2008-09, it was lower than fresh addition of
      NPAs (Rs.52,382 crore) during the year. As a result, the gross NPAs of SCBs increased
      across all the bank groups.     In this context, it may be noted that in the present
      context of financial turmoil, some slippage in NPAs could be expected.
    Nevertheless, it may be noted that this slippage was moderate as compared to the
      problems faced by banks all over the world. The hardening of interest rates might
      have made the repayment of loans difficult for some borrowers, resulting in some
      increase in NPAs in this sector. It may be noted that the increase in gross NPAs was
      more noticeable in respect of new private sector and foreign banks, which have been
      more active in the real estate and housing loans segments.
    Gross NPAs (in absolute terms) increased for all the banks. The gross NPAs to gross
      advances of foreign banks increased significantly during the year, while that of
      private sector banks increased marginally. The NPAs ratio of all other bank groups
      declined. While net NPAs to net advances ratio of all the banks increased over the
      previous year except that of nationalized banks.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                          Page 36
FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION OF BANKS ACCORDING TO
LEVEL OF NPAs:


                   Frequency Distribution of Banks according to level of NPAs

   100%
    90%
    80%
    70%
    60%
    50%                                                                                                       > 10%
    40%                                                                                                       5% to 10%
    30%                                                                                                       2% to 5%
    20%                                                                                                       < 2%
    10%
     0%
                Pvt.SB

                         FB




                                             FB



                                                        Pvt.SB

                                                                 FB



                                                                            Pvt.SB

                                                                                     FB



                                                                                                Pvt.SB

                                                                                                         FB
                                    Pvt.SB




                                                                                          PSB
          PSB




                              PSB




                                                  PSB




                                                                      PSB




            2005-06             2006-07             2007-08             2008-09             2009-10

      Graph: 3                                                                  Source: http://www.rbi.org.in




Interpretation:
 In the year 2005-06, the Public sector banks (PSBs) had around 60% of their NPA profile
   in the < 2% category which increased 75% in 2006-07, 90% in 2007-08 - 2008-09 &
   100% in 2009-10. PSBs 30% NPA profile in the year 2005-06 belongs to 2% to 5%
   category which reduced over the years and has been totally eliminated in 2009-10. PSBs
   did not have any of its banks in > 10% category.


 Private sector banks (Pvt.SBs) was having the worst situation in 2005-06 where 50% of
   its bank was in 2% to 5% category. While this ratio is declining over the years 2008-09
   this is compensated by the rise in number of banks in < 2%. 5 Pvt. SB‟s banks were in

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                                    Page 37
5% to10% category in 2005-06 which was totally eliminated in 2008-09. But due to poor
   financial condition in 2009-10, there is increase in number of banks in higher NPA
   category.


 Foreign banks (FB) were comparatively in good position compare to privat e sector banks
   in the initial years. 70% of its NPA profile belongs to < 2% category. The number of
   banks increased in < 2% category. So among all three sectors, public sector banks
   managed to reduce NPAs over the years.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                        Page 38
COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF BANK SECTOR WISE:


                               COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF PUBLIC SECTOR
                                      BANKS - 2002 TO 2010
                                   30000

                                   25000
             Amount in Rs. Crore




                                   20000

                                   15000

                                   10000

                                   5000

                                       0
                                           2002    2003    2004    2005    2006    2007    2008    2009    2010
       Priority Sector                     24156   25150   24939   23841   21926   22374   22954   25287   24318
       Non-priority Sector 27307                   28405   26781   25698   23249   18664   15158   14163   19251
       Public Sector                       1711    903     1087    610     444      341    490     299     474

Graph: 4.1                                                                       Source: http://www.indiastat.com/


Interpretation:
    From the above chart it is observed that public sector category is the least contributor
      towards the NPA of public sector bank. In the initial years from 2002 to 2006, Non-
      priority sector contributes more towards NPA than priority sector. But in later years
      from 2007 it‟s other way round, where priority sector contributes more than Non-
      priority sector.


    Priority sector consist of advance given to agriculture, SSI, & other priority sector
      advances. Non priority sector consist of large industries, medium industries & other
      non priority sectors.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                                  Page 39
 In case of priority sector, it started falling from 2004 up to 2006 over previous year.
      But in the later years i.e. from 2007 there is rise NPA because of defaults on the loan
      given to the farmers. It was highest in 2009. In order to reduce that, waiver package
      was announced in union budget of 2009. It may also be noted that the increase in NPAs
      was more noticeable in priority sector, which have been more active in the real estate and
      housing loans segments.


    NPA in non priority sector is reducing constantly from 2003 to 2009 i.e. by
      50%.Though the advance given to non-priority sector was higher than priority sector, NPAs
      of non-priority sector is comparatively.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                              Page 40
COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF PRIVATE SECTOR
                             BANKS - 2002 TO 2010

                                 14000

                                 12000
           Amount in Rs. Crore



                                 10000

                                  8000

                                  6000

                                  4000

                                  2000

                                     0
                                         2002   2003   2004   2005   2006    2007   2008   2009   2010
     Priority Sector                     1835   2546   2445   2482   2188    2284   2884   3419   3640
     Non-Priority Sector                 4452   9090   9327   7796   6569    5541   6353   9558   13172
     Public Sector                       123     31     95     75     42       4     3      0      75

Graph: 4.2                                                                  Source: http://www.indiastat.com/


Interpretation:
    From the above graph it is observed that public sector contributes very negligible
      towards the overall NPA of foreign banks. The major reason for this is that on an
      average only 3.5% of total advance is made towards public sector category.


    Priority sector category on an average constitutes almost 34% of the total advances
      made by the private sector banks. While average NPA of priority sector constitutes of
      25% of total NPA. In later years from 2008 to 2010 there is increase in NPA of
      priority sector. In these years more advances was given to agriculture & housing
      sector.


    In the year 2007-08, the real estate market was on boom, which encouraged people to
      take more loans. But after the subprime crisis there was sudden fall in real estate
      market & people became default to pay the loan.

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                              Page 41
 In case of non-priority sector, the average advances made are 60.5% of total advance
      made by private sector banks. But the average NPA of non-priority sector is almost
      74% which is highest amongst the entire category. We can see the declining trend in
      NPA of non-priority sector from 2004 to 2007. This as a result of securitization Act,
      2002.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                          Page 42
COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF
                                         FORIEGN BANKS - 2008 TO 2010
       Amount in Rs. Crore

                                    7000
                                    6000
                                    5000
                                    4000
                                    3000
                                    2000
                                    1000
                                          0
                                                2008        2009                2010
                       Priority Sector          331         402                 649
                       Non-Priority Sector      2,120      2712.0               6506
                       Public Sector             0           0                   0

Graph: 4.3                                                       Source: http://www.indiastat.com//
Interpretation:
    It is observed from the chart there is no NPA in public sector category in all the three
      years because there was no advance made to public sector category.


    Non-priority sector contributes highest towards the NPA of foreign banks because
      non-priority sector constitute approximately 65% of the total advances made by
      foreign banks. So NPA will also be more in non-priority sector.


    NPA is low in priority sector because very few advances are made in priority sector
      & that too are made to SSI.


    The advances are made to medium & large scale industries in non-priority sector. As
      foreign banks are having global presence they are more affected by the global
      meltdown & financial crisis of 2008. So its effect is seen by sudden rise in NPA in
      2009.

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                Page 43
COMPARISON OF NET NPA OF OLD AND NEW PRIVATE
SECTOR BANKS: 2001-02 to 2009-10




Graph: 5                                          Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in




Interpretation:
    From the above chart it is clearly observed that net NPA of old private sector banks
      has a declining trend over the years on the contrary new private sector banks has an
      upward trend.


    Old private sector banks which is passing from lower growth rate in recent past, starts
      performing better than their new counterparts. Old private sector banks are more
      efficient than that of new private sector banks in managing NPA.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                          Page 44
NET NPAs AS PERCENTAGE OF ADVANCES OF BANKS:


                                               Net NPAs/Net Advances
                                     2.5


                                      2
   NPA as % of Advance




                                    1.5


                                      1


                                    0.5


                                      0
                                            2005-06      2006-07       2007-08         2008-09   2009-10
                           Public Sector      2.1          1.3           1.1             0.8        0.7
                           Private Sector     1.9           1             1              1.2        1.5
                           Foriegn Sector     0.9          0.8            1              0.9        1.7

 Graph: 6                                                              Source: http://www.indiastat.com/


Interpretation:
    From the above it is clearly observed that only public sector banks have succeeded in
                         reducing net NPA against net advances made over the period of time. It is constantly
                         reducing each year, whereas in case of private sector bank it has reduced in 2006-07
                         then it got stable and started rising from 2008-09 onwards.


    In case of foreign banks it is fluctuating over the years. Public sector banks have been
                         able to reduce this ratio by 66.7% from 2006 to 2010. Public sector banks as a result
                         of stringent checks & control able to manage low ratio compare to other banks. Also
                         the ratio increased by 89% for foreign banks where the foreign banks were badly
                         affected by the global meltdown. Even for private sector bank the ratio increased
                         by 25% in 2010 due to financial crises & also for public sector bank the
                         reduction in 2010 was the lowest i.e. 12.5%

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                                Page 45
CLASSIFICATION OF LOAN ASSET OF BANKS:


                    Classification of Loan Asset of Public Sector
                                        Banks
                     Standard Asset   Sub-Standard Asset          Doubtful Asset   Loss Asset



              0.9             0.7         0.5              0.3              0.2          0.2
                                                           1.5              1.1          1.0
                                           2.3                              1.0          0.9
                              3.4                          1.0
              4.3                         1.1
                              1.2

              2.6
                                                           97.2             97.7        97.9
                                          96.1
                              94.6
           92.2



         2005               2006        2007           2008               2009        2010

 Graph: 7.1                                                       Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in


  Interpretation:
      The above frequency distribution chart states that standard asset is increasing every
        year & on the contrary all the other types of asset i.e. Sub-standard, Doubtful & Loss
        Asset are decreasing every asset. This proves that public sector banks have succeeded
        in reducing NPA over the years.


      Public sector banks have taken various measures to reduce NPA also convert Sub-
        Standard, Doubtful & loss asset into the above category Standard, Sub-Standard &
        Doubtful asset. The rise in sub standard ratio has major proportion indicates that there
        is a high scope of up gradation or improvement in NPA recovery in initial stage
        because it will be very easy to recover the loan as minimum duration of default.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                      Page 46
Classification of Loan Asset of Private Sector
                                    Banks
                    Standard Asset   Sub-Standard Asset          Doubtful Asset   Loss Asset


             0.5            0.4          0.3               0.2              0.3          0.3
                                                           1.0              0.9          1.0
                                         1.5
                            2.5                            1.1
                                         0.8                                1.5
             3.6                                                                         2.0
                            1.0

             1.8
                                        97.4              97.6             97.3
                                                                                         96.8
                            96.1
             94.2



         2005             2006         2007               2008             2009         2010

Graph: 7.2                                                       Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in

  Interpretation:
     The above chart clearly states that the rise in the standard assets over the years
        compensates the fall in the other three types of assets. But in the year 2010, the
        percentage of Sub-Standard asset is highest among all the year. In 2010 percentage of
        standard asset has reduced by 0.5% which is compensated by increase in Sub-
        Standard & doubtful assets. This increase is due to interest & principle amount unpaid
        due to financial crisis in 2009. The percentage of doubtful asset has reduced to a
        great extent amongst all. So the private sector banks have managed to reduce the
        doubtful asset.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                      Page 47
Classification of Loan Asset of Foriegn Banks
                Standard Asset   Sub-Standard Asset          Doubtful Asset    Loss Asset



                                     0.5              0.4               0.2           0.2
                        0.8                           0.5               0.5           0.6
         1.5                         0.7
                        1.3                           1.1               1.2
                                     1.0
         1.8            0.9                                                            3.5


         1.6

                                    97.9              98.1              98.1
                       97.0
                                                                                      95.7
        95.2




         2005           2006         2007             2008              2009          2010


Graph: 7.3                                                  Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in


Interpretation:
    The proportion of Standard Asset is increasing from 2005 and started getting stable in
      2008 & 2009. But it has fallen in 2010. The proportion of other three types of assets
      is falling over the years, but in 2010 there is great increase in the proportion of Sub-
      Standard asset which is as a result of decrease in proportion of Standard asset. This
      increase in Sub-Standard asset is because of interest & principle amount unpaid, due
      to poor global conditions, for the loan provided in a 2009. The interest & principle
      amount remained unpaid for period of more than 180 days but less than 1 year.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                   Page 48
COMPARISON OF NET PROFIT AND NET NPA OF BANKS:


                                      Comparison of Net Profit And Net NPA -
                                               Public Sector Banks
                           40000

                          35000

                          30000
  Amount in Rs. Crore




                          25000

                          20000

                          15000

                          10000

                            5000

                               0
                                      2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
                         Net NPA       27977   27958   24877   19335   16904   14566   15145   17726   21033
                         Net Profit     4317    8301   12295   16546   15784   16539   20152   26592   34394

Graph: 8.1                                                                  Source: http://www.indiastat.com/


Interpretation:
          It is observed from the above graph there exist no particular relationship between net
                        profit & net NPA of public sector banks. There is constant increase in net profit from
                        2001-02 to 2004-05 & from 2006-07 to 2009-10. The average of percentage increase
                        in net profit YOY basis comes to 32.3%


          On the contrary public sector banks have managed to reduce net NPA constantly from
                        2002-03 to 2006-07. Although the percentage of reduction over the previous year is
                        low compared to percentage of rise in profit over previous year. The average of
                        percentage decrease in net NPA YOY basis comes to 2.5%




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                             Page 49
Comparison of Net Profit And Net NPA -
                                              Private Sector Banks
                           12000

                          10000
  Amount in Rs. Crore




                            8000

                            6000

                            4000

                            2000

                                0
                                      2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
                         Net NPA       3700    6676    3963    4128     4212     3171   4028    5380    7418
                         Net Profit    1142    1779    2958    3481     3533     4975   6465    9522    10868

Graph: 8.2                                                                     Source: http://www.indiastat.com/
Interpretation:
      It is clearly observed from the line graph that there is continuous rise in net profit of
                        private sector banks over the years. The average of percentage increase in net profits
                        of private sector banks comes to approximately 34%.


      On the contrary there is no continuous rise/fall in net NPA. But overall there is rise in
                        net NPA from 2001-02 to 2009-10. The average of percentage rise in net NPA comes
                        to almost 15%.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                             Page 50
Comparison of Net Profit And Net NPA -
                                                 Foreign Banks
                           9000
                           8000
                           7000
  Amount in Rs. Crore




                           6000
                           5000
                           4000
                           3000
                           2000
                           1000
                               0
                                     2001-02   2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
                        Net NPA       785       920     903     933     639       808    927     1247    2973
                        Net Profit    945      1492     1824    2243    3098     4109    5343    7544    8459

Graph: 8.3                                                                     Source: http://www.indiastat.com/


  Interpretation:
                  The above line graph shows net profit of foreign banks is increasing throughout the
                        period from 2001-02 to 2009-10. The average of percentage increase in net profit
                        YOY basis comes to 32%. Whereas in case of net profit there is no continuous
                        upward or downward movement.


                  But overall there is rise in net NPA of foreign banks. The average of percentage
                        increase in net NPA YOY basis comes to approximately 25%. So this shows there is
                        positive relationship between net NPA & net profit of foreign banks.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                                              Page 51
NPA TO ADVANCE RATIO OF BANK:



                   Comparison of NPA with Advances-
                         Public Sector Banks
  6
             5.5
  5


  4
                                                                        Gross NPAs/Gross
                         3.6
                                                                        Advances
  3
                                     2.7                                Net NPAs/Net
             2.1                                 2.2                    Advances
  2                                                          2

                         1.3
  1                                  1.1
                                                 0.8         0.7

  0
       2005-06     2006-07      2007-08     2008-09     2009-10


Graph: 9.1                                       Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in/


Interpretation:
    The percentage in reduction of gross NPA to gross advances ratio is decreasing year
      on year i.e. it has reduced by 34.5% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Similarly it has
      reduced by 25%, 18.5% & 9% respectively from 2006-07 to 2007-08, from
      2007-08 to 2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009-10.


    While in case of net NPA to net advances ratio, the percentage change is varying. It
      has reduced by 38% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Similarly it has reduced by 15.38%,
      27.27% & 12.5% respectively from 2006-07 to 2007-08, from 2007-08 to 2008-09
      & 2008-09 to 2009-10.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                        Page 52
 The above calculated figure states that the provisions made for NPA & other items
      like interest due but not recovered, part payment received and kept in suspense
      account, etc which is deducted from Gross NPA is changing over the years. It is not
      decreasing in same proportion as gross NPA.


    The difference in gross NPA/ gross advances & net NPA/net advances is highest in
      2006-07 [67%] & lowest in 2007-08 [59%]. In other years it near to 63%. This gap
      is highest in 2007 because in 2007 advances have increased tremendously over 2006.
      Due to which NPA also increased & so provisions also increased.


    The line graph clearly states that the ratio of gross NPA to gross advances & net NPA
      to net advances is decreasing over the years. In all the public sector bank has
      succeeded to reduce the non performing assets against the advances made over the
      years.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                         Page 53
Comparison of NPA with Advances-
                                Private Sector Banks
     4
                    3.8
   3.5

     3
                                                                 2.9
   2.5                          2.5                   2.5
                                           2.2
     2
                    1.9                                                     Gross NPAs/Gross
                                                                            Advances
   1.5                                                           1.5
                                                      1.2
    1                           1          1                                Net NPAs/Net
                                                                            Advances
   0.5

    0
               2005-06     2006-07    2007-08    2008-09    2009-10


Graph: 9.2                                             Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in


Interpretation:
    The percentage change in of gross NPA to gross advances ratio is decreasing initially
         & thereafter started rising from 2007-08. It has reduced by 34.2% from 2005-06 to
         2006-07. Similarly it has reduced by 12% from 2006-07 to 2007-08 & thereafter
         increased by 18.5% & 9% respectively from 2007-08 to 2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009-
         10.


    While in case of net NPA to net advances ratio, the percentage change is var ying
         drastically. It has reduced by 47% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. It is unchanged from
         2006-07 to 2007-08. It has increased by 20% & 25% respectively from 2007-08 to
         2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009-10.


    The percentage change in gross NPA to gross advances ratio & net NPA to net
         advances ratio over the years states that private sector banks makes more provisions
         in gross NPA & gross advances.

ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 54
 The difference in gross NPA/ gross advances & net NPA/net advances is highest in
      2006-07 [60%] & lowest in 2009-10 [48%]. In other years it near to 54%. In 2007
      there is highest increase in advances over previous year amongst all the year.
      This resulted increase in NPA which in turn increased the provisions and
      unrecognized interest income.


    Private sector banks have not succeeded to reduce NPA as against the advances made
      over the years as both the ratios are increasing in later years.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                       Page 55
Comparison of NPA with Advances-
                                Foreign Banks
   4.5

    4                                                            4

   3.5

     3
                 2.8
   2.5
                                                                            Gross NPAs/Gross
     2                       2                                              Advances
                                        1.8         1.8          1.7
   1.5                                                                      Net NPAs/Net
                                                                            Advances
     1           0.9                    1           0.9
                             0.8
   0.5

    0
            2005-06     2006-07    2007-08     2008-09     2009-10


Graph: 9.3                                           Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in


Interpretation:
    The gross NPA to gross advances ratio is decreasing till 2007-08.It is unchanged in
         2008-09 & then increased in 2009-10. It has reduced by 28.5% & 10% respectively
         from 2005-06 to 2006-07 & from 2006-07 to 2007-08. It has increased tremendously
         by 122% from 2008-09 to 2009-10.


    While in case of net NPA to net advances ratio, there is great volatility. It has reduced
         by 11% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Thereafter it increased by 25% in 2007-08. Again
         it reduced by 10% in 2009 and finally increased by 89% in 2009-10.


    The steep rise in gross NPA & net NPA 2009-10 is due to poor global conditions.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                             Page 56
 The difference in gross NPA/ gross advances & net NPA/net advances is highest in
      2005-06 & lowest in 2007-08. In 2005-06 provisions & unrecognized interest income
      was highest compare to other years while it was lowest in 2007-08.


    The line graph clearly states that the ratio of gross NPA to gross advances & net NPA
      to net advances is decreasing over the years. In all the public sector bank has
      succeeded to reduce the non performing assets against the advances made over the
      years.


    Thus in foreign banks gross NPA to gross advances ratio & net NPA to net advances
      ratio are not having parallel movement throughout the period. The change in net NPA
      to net advances is quite higher than gross NPA to gross advances.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                         Page 57
Graph: 9.4                                              Source: http://www.rbi.org.in


Interpretation:
     From the above chart it is clearly observed that old private sector banks are constantly
       improving in terms of net NPA to net advances ratio which is represented by
       declining trend from 2001-02 to 2009-10. While on the other hand for new private
       sector banks net NPA to net advances ratio is fluctuating over the years.




ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA                                            Page 58
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks
Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector  & Foreign Banks

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Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector, Private Sector & Foreign Banks

  • 1. 01/04/2011 Comparative Analysis of Non Performing Assets of Public Sector Banks, Private Sector Banks & Foreign Banks A Project Report Submitted By GAURAV S. GODWANI In partial fulfillment for the award of the degree of BACHELOR IN COMMERCE (HONOURS) Under Dr. P. P. Ghosh of ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS) Under University of Calcutta ROLL NO: 3-01-08-0573
  • 2.
  • 3. PREFACE Granting of credit facilities for economic activities is the primary task of banking. Apart from raising resources through fresh deposits, borrowings, etc. recycling of funds received back from borrowers constitutes a major part of funding credit dispensation activities. Non-recovery of installments as also interest on the loan portfolio negates the effectiveness of this process of the credit cycle. Non-recovery also affects the profitability of banks besides being required to maintain more owned funds by way of capital and creation of reserves and provisions to act as cushion for the loan losses. Avoidance of loan losses is one of the pre-occupations of management of banks. While complete elimination of such losses is not possible, bank managements aim to keep the losses at a low level. In fact, it is the level of non-performing advances, which, to a great extent, differentiates between a good and a bad bank. Mounting NPAs may also have more widespread repercussions. To avoid shock waves affecting the system, the salvaging exercise is done by the Government or by the industry on t he behest of Government/ central bank of the country putting pressure on the exchequer. In India, the NPAs, which are considered to be at higher levels than those in other countries, have, of late, attracted the attention of public as also of international financial institutions. This has gained further prominence in the wake of transparency and disclosure measures initiated by the RBI during recent years. This project aims at providing an o ov erall view on t he existence of NPAs, their treatment, the ways at resolving this issue and also a f ew reports on the recent developments in this field.
  • 4. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT First of all I would like to take this opportunity to thank my College for having projects as a part of the B.Com Curriculum. I wish to express my heartfelt gratitude to the following individuals who have played a crucial role in the research for this project. Without their active cooperation the preparation of this project could not have been completed within the specified time limit. The first person I would like to acknowledge is my guide Dr. P. P. Ghosh, of St. Xavier’s College Kolkata, who supported me throughout this project with utmost co-operation and patience. I am very much thankful to you sir, for sparing your precious and valuable time for me and for helping me in doing this project. I am also thankful to the Vice Principal and Dean of Commerce, who gave us an opportunity to make this project in our final year. Finally, to all my friends who helped me in making this project. I want to thank them for all their help, support, interest and valuable hints.
  • 5. TABLE OF CONTENTS Sr. TOPICS Pg. No. No. 1. Introduction to NPA’s 1-27  Meaning of NPA 1  Asset Classification 3  Types of NPA 7  Reasons for an Account becoming an NPA 8  Impact of NPA 10  Early Symptoms 11  Preventive Measurement of NPA 13  Procedure of NPA Identification & Resolutions in India 16 2. Objectives & Beneficiaries 28 3. Research Methodology 29 4. Analysis 31-58 5. Hypothesis Testing 59-64 6. Overall Findings 65 7. Conclusion 66 8. Suggestion 67 9. Bibliography 68
  • 6. INTRODUCTION TO NPA MEANING OF NPA: Non Performing Asset means an asset or account of borrower, which has been classified by a bank or financial institution as sub-standard, doubtful or loss asset, in accordance with the directions or guidelines relating to asset classification issued by RBI. An amount due under any credit facility is treated as "past due" when it has not been paid within 30 days from the due date. Due to the improvement in the payment and settlement systems, recovery climate, up gradation of technology in the banking system, etc., it was decided to dispense with 'past due' concept, with effect from March 31, 2001. Accordingly, as from that date, a Non performing asset (NPA) shell be an advance where i. Interest and /or installment of principal remain overdue for a period of more than 180 days in respect of a Term Loan, ii. The account remains 'out of order' for a period of more than 180 days, in respect of an overdraft/ cash Credit(OD/CC), iii. The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 180 days in the case of bills purchased and discounted, iv. Interest and/ or installment of principal remains overdue for two harvest seasons but for a period not exceeding two half years in the case of an advance granted for agricultural purpose, and v. Any amount to be received remains overdue for a period of more than 180 days in respect of other accounts. With a view to moving towards international best practices and to ensure greater transparency, it has been decided to adopt the '90 days overdue' norm for identification of NPAs, from the year ending March 31, 2004. Accordingly, with effect from March 31, 2004, a non-performing asset (NPA) shell be a loan or an advance where; i. Interest and /or installment of principal remain overdue for a period of more than 90 days in respect of a Term Loan, ii. The account remains 'out of order' for a period of more than 90 days, in respect of an overdraft/ cash Credit(OD/CC), 1 ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 1
  • 7. iii. The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in the case of bills purchased and discounted, iv. Interest and/ or installment of principal remains overdue for two harvest seasons but for a period not exceeding two half years in the case of an advance granted for agricultural purpose, and v. Any amount to be received remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in respect of other accounts. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 2
  • 8. ASSET CLASSIFICATION: Assets are classified into fo llowing four catego ries:  Standard Assets:   Sub-standard Assets   Doubtful Assets   Loss Assets  Standard Assets: Standard assets are the ones in which the bank is receiving interest as well as the principal amount of the loan regularly from the customer. Here it is also very important that in this case the arrears of interest and the principal amount of loan do not exceed 90 days at the end of financial year. If asset fails to be in category of standard asset that is amount due more than 90 days then it is NPA and NPAs are further need to classify in sub categories. Provisio ning Norms:  From the year ending 31.03.2000, the banks should make a general provision of a minimum of 0.40 percent on standard assets on global loan portfolio basis.  The provisions on standard assets should not be reckoned for arriving at net NPAs.  The provisions towards Standard Assets need not be netted from gross advances but shown separately as 'Contingent Provisions against Standard Assets' under 'Other Liabilities and Provisions - Others' in Schedule 5 of the balance sheet. Banks are required to classify non-performing assets further into the following three categories based on the period for which the asset has remained non-performing and the reasonability of the dues: 1) Sub-standard Assets 2) Doubtful Assets 3) Loss Assets ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 3
  • 9. Sub-standard Assets: With effect from 31 March 2005, a substandard asset would be one, which has remained NPA for a period less than or equal to 12 month. The following features are exhibited by substandard assets: the current net worth of the borrowers / guarantor or the current market value of the security charged is not enough to ensure recovery of the dues to the banks in full; and the asset has well-defined credit weaknesses that jeopardize the liquidation of the debt and are characterized by the distinct possibility that the banks will sustain some loss, if deficiencies are not corrected. Provisio ning Norms: A general provision of 10 percent on total outstanding should be made without making any allowance for DICGC/ECGC guarantee cover and securities available. Doubtful Assets: A loan classified as doubtful has all the weaknesses inherent in assets that were classified as sub-standard, with the added characteristic that the weaknesses make collection or liquidation in full, on the basis of currently known facts, conditions and values – highly questionable and improbable. With effect from March 31, 2005, an asset would be classified as doubtful if it remained in the sub-standard category for 12 months. Provisio ning Norms:  100 percent of the extent to which the advance is not covered by the realisable value of the security to which the bank has a valid recourse and the realisable value is estimated on a realistic basis.  In regard to the secured portion, provision may be made on the following basis, at the rates ranging from 20 percent to 50 percent of the secured portion depending upon the period for which the asset has remained doubtful: ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 4
  • 10. Period for which the advance has been Provision considered as doubtful requirement (%) Up to one year 20 One to three years 30 More than three years: 60% with effect from March (1) Outstanding stock of NPAs as on 31, 2005. March 31, 2004. 75% effect from March 31, (2) Advances classified as „doubtful‟ 2006. more than three years on or after 100% with effect from March April 1, 2004. 31, 2007.  Additional provisioning consequent upon the change in the definition of doubtful assets effective from March 31, 2003 has to be made in phases as under: i. As on31.03.2003, 50 percent of the additional provisioning requirement on the assets which became doubtful on account of new norm of 18 months for transition from sub-standard asset to doubtful category. ii. As on 31.03.2002, balance of the provisions not made during the previous year, in addition to the provisions needed, as on 31.03.2002.  Banks are permitted to phase the additional provisioning consequent upon the reduction in the transition period from substandard to doubtful asset from 18 to 12 months over a four year period commencing from the year ending March 31, 2005, with a minimum of 20 % each year. Loss Assets: A loss asset is one which considered uncollectible and of such little value that its continuance as a bankable asset is not warranted- although there may be some salvage or recovery value. Also, these assets would have been identified as “Loss assets” by t he bank or internal or external auditors or the RBI inspection but the amount would not have been written-off wholly. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 5
  • 11. Provisio ning Norms: The entire asset should be written off. If the assets are permitted to remain in the books for any reason, 100 percent of the outstanding should be provided for. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 6
  • 12. TYPES OF NPA: 1. Gross NPA 2. Net NPA Gross NPA: Gross NPAs are the sum total of all loan assets that are classified as NPAs as per RBI guidelines as on Balance Sheet date. Gross NPA reflects the quality of the loans made by banks. It consists of all the nonstandard assets like as sub-standard, doubtful, and loss assets. It can be calculated with the help of following ratio: Gross NPAs Ratio = Gross NPAs Gross Advances Net NPA: Net NPAs are those type of NPAs in which the bank has deducted the provision regarding NPAs. Net NPA shows the actual burdenof banks. Since in India, bank balance sheets contain a huge amount of NPAs and the process of recovery and write off of loans is very time consuming, the provisions the banks have to make against the NPAs according to the central bank guidelines, are quite significant. That is why the difference between gross and net NPA is quite high. It can be calculated by following: Net NPAs = Gross NPAs – Provisions Gross Advances - Provisions ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 7
  • 13. REASONS FOR AN ACCOUNT BECOMING NPA: 1. Internal factors 2. External factors Internal factors: 1) Funds borrowed for a particular purpose but not use for the said purpose. 2) Project not completed in time. 3) Poor recovery of receivables. 4) Excess capacities created on non-economic costs. 5) In-ability of the corporate to raise capital through the issue of equity or other debt instrument from capital markets. 6) Business failures. 7) Diversion of funds for expansionmodernizationsetting up new projects helping or promoting sister concerns. 8) Willful defaults, siphoning of funds, fraud, disputes, management disputes, mis- appropriation etc. 9) Deficiencies on the part of the banks viz. in credit appraisal, monitoring and follow- ups, delaying settlement of payments subsidiaries by government bodies etc., External factors: 1) Sluggish legal system –  Long legal tangles  Changes that had taken place in labour laws  Lack of sincere effort. 2) Scarcity of raw material, power and other resources. 3) Industrial recession. 4) Shortage of raw material, raw materialinput price escalation, power shortage, industrial recession, excess capacity, natural calamities like floods, accidents. 5) Failures, nonpayment over dues in other countries, recession in other countries, externalization problems, adverse exchange rates etc. 6) Government policies like excise duty changes, Import duty changes etc., ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 8
  • 14. The RBI has summarized the finer factors contributing to higher level of NPAs in the Indian banking sector as:  Diversion of funds, which is for expansion, diversification, modernization, undertaking new projects and for helping associate concerns. This is also coupled with recessionary trends and failures to tap funds in capital and debt markets.  Business failures (such as product, marketing etc.), which are due to inefficient management system, strained labour relations, inappropriate technology/ technical problems, product obsolescence etc.  Recession, which is due to input/ power shortage, price variation, accidents, natural calamities etc. The externalization problems in other countries also lead to growth of NPAs in Indian banking sector.  Time/ cost overrun during project implementation stage.  Governmental policies such as changes in excise duties, pollution control orders etc.  Willful defaults, which are because of siphoning-off funds, fraud/ misappropriation, promoters/ directors disputes etc.  Deficiency on the part of banks, viz, delays in release of limits and payments/ subsidies by the Government of India. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 9
  • 15. IMPACT OF NPA: Profitability: NPA means booking of money in terms of bad asset, which occurred due to wrong choice of client. Because of the money getting blocked the prodigality of bank decreases not only by the amount of NPA but NPA lead to opportunity cost also as that much of profit invested in some return earning project/asset. So NPA doesn‟t affect current profit but also future stream of profit, which may lead to loss of some long-term beneficial opportunity. Another impact of reduction in profitability is low ROI (return on investment), which adversely affect current earning of bank. Liquidity: Money is getting blocked, decreased profit lead to lack of enough cash at hand which lead to borrowing money for shortest period of time which lead to additional cost to the company. Difficulty in operating the functions of bank is another cause of NPA due to lack of money. Routine payments and dues. Involve ment of management: Time and efforts of management is another indirect cost which bank has to bear due to NPA. Time and efforts of management in handling and managing NPA would have diverted to some fruitful activities, which would have given good returns. Now day‟s banks have special employees to deal and handle NPAs, which is additional cost to the bank. Credit loss: Bank is facing problem of NPA then it adversely affect the value of bank in terms of market credit. It will lose its goodwill and brand image and credit which have negative impact to the people who are putting their money in the banks. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 10
  • 16. EARLY SYMPTOMS: By which one can recognize a performing asset turning in to non- performing asset Four categories of early symptoms:- 1) Financial:  Non-payment of the very first installment in case of term loan.  Bouncing of cheque due to insufficient balance in the accounts.  Irregularity in installment.  Irregularity of operations in the accounts.  Unpaid overdue bills.  Declining Current Ratio.  Payment which does not cover the interest and principal amount of that installment.  While monitoring the accounts it is found that partial amount is diverted to sister concern or parent company. 2) Operational and Physical:  If information is received that the borrower has either initiated the process of winding up or are not doing the business.  Overdue receivables.  Stock statement not submitted on time.  External non-controllable factor like natural calamities in the city where borrower conduct his business.  Frequent changes in plan.  Nonpayment of wages. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 11
  • 17. 3) Attitudinal Changes:  Use for personal comfort, stocks and shares by borrower.  Avoidance of contact with bank.  Problem between partners. 4) Others:  Changes in Government policies.  Death of borrower.  Competition in the market. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 12
  • 18. PREVENTIVE MEASUREMENT FOR NPA: Early Recognition of the Problem: Invariably, by the time banks start their efforts to get involved in a revival process, it‟s too late to retrieve the situation- both in terms of rehabilitation of the project and recovery of bank‟s dues. Identification of weakness in the very beginning that is : When the account starts showing first signs of weakness regardless of the fact that it may not have become NPA, is imperative. Assessment of the potential of revival may be done on the basis of a techno-economic viability study. Restructuring should be attempted where, after an objective assessment of the promoter‟s intention, banks are convinced of a turnaround within a scheduled timeframe. In respect of totally unviable units as decided by the bank, it is better to facilitate winding up/ selling of the unit earlier, so as to recover whatever is possible through legal means before the security position becomes worse. Identifying Borrowers with Genuine Intent: Identifying borrowers with genuine intent from those who are non- serious with no commitment or stake in revival is a challenge confronting bankers. Here the role of frontline officials at the branch level is paramount as they are the ones who have intelligent inputs with regard to promoters‟ sincerity, and capability to achieve turnaround. Based on this objective assessment, banks should decide as quickly as possible whether it would be worthwhile to commit additional finance. In this regard banks may consider having “Special Investigation” of all financial transaction or business transaction, books of account in order to ascertain real factors that contributed to sickness of the borrower. Banks may have penal of technical experts with proven expertise and track record of preparing techno-economic study of the project of the borrowers. Borrowers having genuine problems due to temporary mismatch in fund flow or sudden requirement of additional fund may be entertained at branch level, and for this purpose a special limit to such type of cases should be decided. This will obviate the need to route the additional funding through the controlling offices in deserving cases, and help avert many accounts slipping into NPA category. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 13
  • 19. Timeliness and Adequacy of response: Longer the delay in response, grater the injury to the account and the asset. Time is a crucial element in any restructuring or rehabilitation activity. The response decided on the basis of techno-economic study and promoter‟s commitment, has to be adequate in terms of extend of additional funding and relaxations etc. under the restructuring exercise. The package of assistance may be flexible and bank may look at the exit option. Focus on Cash Flows : While financing, at the time of restructuring the banks may not be guided by the conventional fund flow analysis only, which could yield a potentially misleading picture. Appraisal for fresh credit requirements may be done by analyzing funds flow in conjunction with the Cash Flow rather than only on the basis of Funds Flow. Management Effectiveness: The general perception among borrower is that it is lack of finance that leads to sickness and NPAs. But this may not be the case all the time. Management effectiveness in tackling adverse business conditions is a very important aspect that affects a borrowing unit‟s fortunes. A bank may commit additional finance to an aling unit only after basic viability of the enterprise also in the context of quality of management is examined and confirmed. Where the default is due to deeper malady, viability study or investigative audit should be done – it will be useful to have consultant appointed as early as possible to examine this aspect. A proper techno- economic viability study must thus become the basis on which any future action can be considered. Multiple Financing:  During the exercise for assessment of viability and restructuring, a Pragmatic and unified approach by all the lending banks/ FIs as also sharing of all relevant information on the borrower would go a long way toward overall success of rehabilitation exercise, given the probability of success/failure. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 14
  • 20.  In some default cases, where the unit is still working, the bank should make sure that it captures the cash flows (there is a tendency on part of the borrowers to switch bankers once they default, for fear of getting their cash flows forfeited), and ensure that such cash flows are used for working capital purposes. Toward this end, there should be regular flow of information among consortium members. A bank, which is not part of the consortium, may not be allowed to offer credit facilities to such defaulting clients. Current account facilities may also be denied at non-consortium banks to such clients and violation may attract penal action. The Credit Information Bureau of India Ltd.(CIBIL) may be very useful for meaningful information exchange on defaulting borrowers once the setup becomes fully operational.  In a forum of lenders, the priority of each lender will be different. While one set of lenders may be willing to wait for a longer time to recover its dues, another lender may have a much shorter timeframe in mind. So it is possible that the letter categories of lenders may be willing to exit, even a t a cost – by a discounted settlement of the exposure. Therefore, any plan for restructuring/rehabilitation may take this aspect into account.  Corporate Debt Restructuring mechanism has been institutionalized in 2001 t o provide a timely and transparent system for restructuring of the corporate debt of Rs. 20 crore and above with the banks and FIs on a voluntary basis and outside the legal framework. Under this system, banks may greatly benefit in terms of restructuring of large standard accounts (potential NPAs) and viable sub-standard accounts with consortium/multiple banking arrangements. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 15
  • 21. PROCEDURES FOR NPA IDENTIFICATION AND RESOLUTION IN INDIA: 1. Internal Checks and Control Since high level of NPAs dampens the performance of the banks identification of potential problem accounts and their close monitoring assumes importance. Though most banks have Early Warning Systems (EWS) for identification of potential NPAs, the actual processes followed, however, differ from bank to bank. The EWS enable a bank to identify the borrower accounts which show signs of credit deterioration and initiate remedial action. Many banks have evolved and adopted an elaborate EWS, which allows them to identify potential distress signals and plan their options beforehand, accordingly. The early warning signals, indicative of potential problems in the accounts, viz. persistent irregularity in accounts, delays in servicing of interest, frequent devolvement of L/Cs, units' financial problems, market related problems, etc. are captured by the system. In addition, some of these banks are reviewing their exposure to borrower accounts every quarter based on published data which also serves as an important additional warning system. These early warning signals used by banks are generally independent of risk rating systems and asset classification norms prescribed by RBI. The major components/processes of a EWS followed by banks in India as brought out by a study conducted by Reserve Bank of India at the instance of the Board of Financial Supervision are as follows:  Designating Relationship Manager/ Credit Officer for monitoring account/s  Preparation of `know your client' profile  Credit rating system  Identification of watch-list/special mention category accounts  Monitoring of early warning signals Relationship Manager/Credit Officer The Relationship Manager/Credit Officer is an official who is expected to have complete knowledge of borrower, his business, his future plans, etc. The Relationship Manager has to keep in constant touch with the borrower and report all developments impacting the ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 16
  • 22. borrowable account. As a part of this contact he is also expected to conduct scrutiny and activity inspections. In the credit monitoring process, the responsibility of monitoring a corporate account is vested with Relationship Manager/Credit Officer. Know your client' profile (KYC) Most banks in India have a system of preparing `know your client' (KYC) profile/credit report. As a part of `KYC' system, visits are made on clients and their places of business/units. The frequency of such visits depends on the nature and needs of relationship. Credit Rating System The credit rating system is essentially one point indicator of an individual credit exposure and is used to identify measure and monitor the credit risk of individual proposal. At the whole bank level, credit rating system enables tracking the health of banks entire credit portfolio. Most banks in India have put in place the system of internal credit rating. While most of the banks have developed their own models, a few banks have adopted credit rating models designed by rating agencies. Credit rating models take into account various types of risks viz. financial, industry and management, etc. associated with a borrowable unit. The exercise is generally done at the time of sanction of new borrowable account and at the time of review renewal of existing credit facilities. Watch-list/Special Mention Category The grading of the bank's risk assets is an important internal control tool. It serves the need of the Management to identify and monitor potential risks of a loan asset. The purpose of identification of potential NPAs is to ensure that appropriate preventive / corrective steps could be initiated by the bank to protect against the loan asset becoming non-performing. Most of the banks have a system to put certain borrowable accounts under watch list or special mention category if performing advances operating under adverse business or economic conditions are exhibiting certain distress signals. These accounts generally exhibit weaknesses which are correctable but warrant banks' closer attention. The categorization of such accounts in watch list or special mention category ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 17
  • 23. provides early warning signals enabling Relationship Manager or Credit Officer to anticipate credit deterioration and take necessary preventive steps to avoid their slippage into non performing advances. Early Warning Signals It is important in any early warning system, to be sensitive to signals of credit deterioration. A host of early warning signals are used by different banks for identification of potential NPAs. Most banks in India have laid down a series of operational, financial, transactional indicators that could serve to identify emerging problems in credit exposures at an early stage. Further, it is revealed that the indicators which may trigger early warning system depend not only on default in payment of installment and interest but also other factors such as deterioration in operating and financial performance of the borrower, weakening industry characteristics, regulatory changes, general economic conditions, etc. Early warning signals can be classified into five broad categories viz. a) Financial b) Operational c) Banking d) Management and e) External factors. Financial related warning signals generally emanate from the borrowers' balance sheet, income expenditure statement, statement of cash flows, statement of receivables etc. Following common warning signals are captured by some of the banks having relatively developed EWS. Financial warning signals  Persistent irregularity in the account  Default in repayment obligation  Devolvement of LC/invocation of guarantees  Deterioration in liquidity/working capital position  Substantial increase in long term debts in relation to equity  Declining sales  Operating losses/net losses ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 18
  • 24.  Rising sales and falling profits  Disproportionate increase in overheads relative to sales  Rising level of bad debt losses Operational warning signals  Low activity level in plant  Disorderly diversification/frequent changes in plan  Nonpayment of wages/power bills  Loss of critical customer/s  Frequent labor problems  Evidence of aged inventory/large level of inventory Management related warning signals  Lack of co-operation from key personnel  Change in management, ownership, or key personnel  Desire to take undue risks  Family disputes  Poor financial controls  Fudging of financial statements  Diversion of funds Banking related signals  Declining bank balances/declining operations in the account  Opening of account with other bank  Return of outward bills/dishonored cheques  Sales transactions not routed through the account  Frequent requests for loan  Frequent delays in submitting stock statements, financial data, etc. Signals relating to external factors  Economic recession  Emergence of new competition  Emergence of new technology  Changes in government / regulatory policies  Natural calamities ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 19
  • 25. 2. Management/Resolution of NPAs A reduction in the total gross and net NPAs in the Indian financial system indicates a significant improvement in management of NPAs. This is also on account of various resolution mechanisms introduced in the recent past which include the SRFAESI Act, one time settlement schemes, setting up of the CDR mechanism, strengthening of DRTs. From the data available of Public Sector Banks as on March 31, 2003, there were 1,522 numbers of NPAs as on March 31, 2003 which had gross value greater than Rs. 50 million in all the public sector banks in India. The total gross value of these NPAs amounted to Rs. 215 billion. The total number of resolution approaches (including cases where action is to be initiated) is greater than the number of NPAs, indicating some double counting. As can be seen, suit filed and BIFR are the two most common approaches to resolution of NPAs in public sector banks. Rehabilitation has been considered/ adopted in only about 13% of the cases. Settlement has been considered only in 9% of the cases. It is likely to have been adopted in even fewer cases. Data available on resolution strategies adopted by public sector banks suggest that Compromise settlement schemes with borrowers are found to be more effective than legal measures. Many banks have come out with their own restructuring schemes for settlement of NPA accounts. State Bank of India, HDFC Limited, M/s. Dun and Bradstreet Information Services (India) Pvt. Ltd. and M/s. Trans Union to serve as a mechanism for exchange of information between banks and FIs for curbing the growth of NPAs incorporated credit Information Bureau (India) Limited (CIBIL) in January 2001. Pending the enactment of CIB Regulation Bill, the RBI constituted a working group to examine the role of CIBs. As per the recommendations of the working group, Banks and FIs are now required to submit the list of suit-filed cases of Rs. 10 million and above and suit filed cases of willful defaulters of Rs. 2.5 million and above to RBI as well as CIBIL. CIBIL will share this information with commercial banks and FIs so as to help them minimize adverse selection at appraisal stage. The CIBIL is in the process of getting operationalised. 3. Willful Defaulters RBI has issued revised guidelines in respect of detection of willful default and diversion ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 20
  • 26. and siphoning of funds. As per these guidelines a willful default occurs when a borrower defaults in meeting its obligations to the lender when it has capacity to honor the obligations or whenfunds have been utilized for purposes other than those for which finance was granted. The list of willful defaulters is required to be submitted to SEBI and RBI to prevent their access to capital markets. Sharing of information of this nature helps banks in their due diligence exercise and helps in avoiding financing unscrupulous elements. RBI has advised lenders to initiate legal measures including criminal actions, wherever required, and undertake a proactive approach in change in management, where appropriate. 4. Legal and Regulatory Regime Debt Recovery Tribunals DRTs were set up under the Recovery of Debts due to Banks and Financial Institutions Act, 1993. Under the Act, two types of Tribunals were set up i.e. Debt Recovery Tribunal (DRT) and Debt Recovery Appellate Tribunal (DRAT). The DRTs are vested with competence to entertain cases referred to them, by the banks and FIs for recovery of debts due to the same. The order passed by a DRT is appealable to the Appellate Tribunal but no appeal shall be entertained by the DRAT unless the applicant deposits 75% of the amount due from him as determined by it. However, the Affiliate Tribunal may, for reasons to be received in writing, waive or reduce the amount of such deposit. Advances of Rs. 1 million and above can be settled through DRT process. An important power conferred on the Tribunal is that of making an interim order (whether by way of injunction or stay) against the defendant to debar him from transferring, alienating or otherwise dealing with or disposing of any property and the assets belonging to him within prior permission of the Tribunal. This order can be passed even while the claim is pending. DRTs are criticized in respect of recovery made considering the size of NPAs in the Country. In general, it is observed that the defendants approach the High Country challenging the verdict of the Appellate Tribunal which leads to further delays in recovery. Validity of the Act is often challenged in the court which hinders the progress of the DRTs. Lastly, many needs to be done for making the DRTs stronger in terms of infrastructure. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 21
  • 27. Lokadalats The institution of Lokadalat constituted under the Legal Services Authorities Act, 1987 helps in resolving disputes between the parties by conciliation, mediation, compromise or amicable settlement. It is known for effecting mediation and counseling between the parties and to reduce burden on the court, especially for small loans. Cases involving suit claims up to Rs. l million can be brought before the Lokadalat and every award of the Lokadalat shall be deemed to be a decree of a Civil Court and no appeal can lie to any court against the award made by the Lokadalat. Several people of particular localities various social organizations are approaching Lokadalats which are generally presided over by two or three senior persons including retired senior civil servants, defense personnel and judicial officers. They take up cases which are suitable for settlement of debt for certain consideration. Parties are heard and they explain their legal position. They are advised to reach to some settlement due to social pressure of senior bureaucrats or judicial officers or social workers. If the compromise is arrived at, the parties to the litigation sign a statement in presence of Lokadalats which is expected to be filed in court to obtain a consent decree. Normally, if such settlement contains a clause that if the compromise is not adhered to by the parties, the suits pending in the court will proceed in accordance with the law and parties will have a right to get the decree from the court. In general, it is observed that banks do not get the full advantage of the Lokadalats. It is difficult to collect the concerned borrowers willing to go in for compromise on the day when the Lokadalat meets. In any case, we should continue our efforts to seek the help of the Lokadalat. Enactment of SRFAESI Act The "The Securitization and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest Act" (SRFAESI) provides the formal legal basis and regulatory framework for setting up Asset Reconstruction Companies (ARCs) in India. In addition to asset reconstruction and ARCs, the Act deals with the following largely aspects,  Securitization and Securitization Companies  Enforcement of Security Interest ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 22
  • 28.  Creation of a central registry in which all securitization and asset reconstruction transactions as well as any creation of security interests has to be filed. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the designated regulatory authority for ARCS has issued Directions, Guidance Notes, Application Form and Guidelines to Banks in April 2003 for regulating functioning of the proposed ARCS and these Directions/ Guidance Notes cover various aspects relating to registration, operations and funding of ARCS and resolution of NPAs by ARCS. The RBI has also issued guidelines to banks and financial institutions on issues relating to transfer of assets to ARCS, consideration for the same and valuation of instruments issued by the ARCS. Additionally, the Central Government has issued the security enforcement rules ("Enforcement Rules"), which lays down the procedure to be followed by a secured creditor while enforcing its security interest pursuant to the Act. The Act permits the secured creditors (if 75% of the secured creditors agree) to enforce their security interest in relation to the underlying security without reference to the Court after giving a 60 day notice to the defaulting borrower upon classification of the corresponding financial assistance as a non-performing asset. The Act permits the secured creditors to take any of the following measures:  Take over possession of the secured assets of the borrower including right to transfer by way of lease, assignment or sale;  Take over the management of the secured assets including the right to transfer by way of lease, assignment or sale;  Appoint any person as a manager of the secured asset (such person could be the ARC if they do not accept any pecuniary liability); and  Recover receivables of the borrower in respect of any secured asset which has been transferred. After taking over possession of the secured assets, the secured creditors are required to obtain valuation of the assets. These secured assets may be sold by using any of the following routes to obtain maximum value.  By obtaining quotations from persons dealing in such assets or otherwise interested in buying the assets;  By inviting tenders from the public;  By holding public auctions; or  By private treaty. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 23
  • 29. Lenders have seized collateral in some cases and while it has not yet been possible to recover value from most such seizures due to certain legal hurdles, lenders are now clearly in a much better bargaining position vis-a-vis defaulting borrowers than they were before the enactment of SRFAESI Act. When the legal hurdles are removed, the bargaining power of lenders is likely to improve further and one would expect to see a large number of NPAs being resolved in quick time, either through security enforcement or through settlements. Under the SRFAESI Act ARCS can be set up under the Companies Act, 1956. The Act designates any person holding not less than 10% of the paid-up equity capital of the ARC as a sponsor and prohibits any sponsor from holding a controlling interest in, being the holding company of or being in control of the ARC. The SRFAESI and SRFAESI Rules/ Guidelines require ARCS to have a minimum net-owned fund of not less than Rs. 20,000,000. Further, the Directions require that an ARC should maintain, on an ongoing basis, a minimum capital adequacy ratio of 15% of its risk weighted assets. ARCS have been granted a maximum realization time frame of five years from the date of acquisition of the assets. The Act stipulates several measures that can be undertaken by ARCs for asset reconstruction. These include:  Enforcement of security interest;  Taking over or changing the management of the business of the borrower;  The sale or lease of the business of the borrower;  Settlement of the borrowers' dues; and  Restructuring or rescheduling of debt. ARCS are also permitted to act as a manager of collateral assets taken over by t he lenders under security enforcement rights available to them or as a recovery agent for any bank or financial institution and to receive a fee for the discharge of these functions. They can also be appointed to act as a receiver, if appointed by any Court or DRT. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 24
  • 30. Source: http://www.rbi.org.in Institution of CDR Mechanism The RBI has instituted the Corporate Debt Restructuring (CDR) mechanism for resolution of NPAs of viable entities facing financial difficulties. The CDR mechanism instituted in India is broadly along the lines of similar systems in the UK, Thailand, Korea and Malaysia. The objective of the CDR mechanism has been to ensure timely and transparent restructuring of corporate debt outside the purview of the Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction (BIFR), DRTs or other legal proceedings. The framework is intended to preserve viable corporate affected by certain internal/external factors and minimize losses to creditors/other stakeholders through an orderly and coordinated restructuring programme. RBI has issued revised guidelines in February 2003 with respect to the CDR mechanism. Corporate borrowers with borrowings from the banking system of Rs. 20crores and above under multiple banking arrangement are eligible under the CDR mechanism. Accounts falling under standard, sub-standard or doubtful categories can be considered for restructuring. CDR is a nonstatutory mechanism based on debtor-creditor agreement and inter-creditor agreement. Restructuring helps in aligning repayment obligations for bankers with the cash flow projections as reassessed at the time of restructuring. Therefore it is critical to prepare a restructuring plan on the lines of the expected business plan along with projected cash flows. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 25
  • 31. The CDR process is being stabilized. Certain revisions are envisaged with respect to the eligibility criteria (amount of borrowings) and time frame for restructuring. Foreign banks are not members of the CDR forum, and it is expected that they would be signing the agreements shortly. However they attend meetings. The first ARC to be operational in India- Asset Reconstruction Company of India (ARGIL) is a member of the CDR forum. Lenders in India prefer to resort to CDR mechanism to avoid unnecessary delays in multiple lender arrangements and to increase transparency in the process. While in the RBI guidelines it has been recommended to involve independent consultants, banks are so far resorting to their internal teams for recommending restructuring programs. Compromise Settlement Schemes 1) One Time Settlement Schemes NPAs in all sectors, which have become doubtful or loss as on 31st March 2000. The scheme also covers NPAs classified as sub-standard as on 31st March 2000, which have subsequently become doubtful or loss. All cases on which the banks have initiated action under the SRFAESI Act and also cases pending before Courts/DRTs/BIFR, subject to consent decree being obtained from the Courts/DRTs/BIFR are covered. However cases of willful default, fraud and malfeasance are not covered. As per the OTS scheme, for NPAs up to Rs. 10crores, the minimum amount that should be recovered should be 100% of the outstanding balance in the account. 2) Negotiated Settlement Schemes The RBI/Government has been encouraging banks to design and implement policies for negotiated settlements, particularly for old and unresolved NPAs. The broad framework for such settlements was put in place in July 1995. Specific guidelines were issued in May 1999to public sector banks for one-time settlements of NPAs of small scale sector. This scheme was valid until September 2000 and enabled banks to recover Rs 6.7 billion from various accounts. Revised guidelines were issued in July 2000 for recovery of NPAs of Rs. 50 millionand less. These guidelines were effective until June 2001 and helped banks recover Rs. 26 billion. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 26
  • 32. Increased Powers to NCLTs and the Proposed Repeal of BIFR In India, companies whose net worth has been wiped out on account of accumulated losses come under the purview of the Sick Industrial Companies Act (SICA) and need to be referred to BIFR. Once a company is referred to the BIFR (and even if an enquiry is pending as to whether it should be admitted to BIFR), it is afforded protection against recovery proceedings from its creditors. BIFR is widely regarded as a stumbling block in recovering value for NPAs. Promoters systematically take refuge in SICA - often there is a scramble to file a reference in BIFR so as to obtain protection from debt recovery proceedings. The recent amendments to the Companies Act vest powers for revival and rehabilitation of companies with the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), in place of BIFR, with modifications to address weaknesses experienced under the SICA provisions. The NCLT would prepare a scheme for reconstruction of any sick company and there is no bar on the lending institution of legal proceedings against such company whilst the scheme is being prepared by the NCLT. Therefore, proceedings initiated by any creditor seeking to recover monies from a sick company would not be suspended by a reference to the NCLT and, therefore, the above provision of the Act may not have much relevance any longer and probably does not extend to the tribunal for this reason. However, there is a possibility of conflict between the activities that may be undertaken by the ARC, e.g. change in management, and the role of the NCLT in restructuring sick companies. The Bill to repeal SICA is currently pending in Parliament and the process of staffing of NCLTs has been initiated ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 27
  • 33. OBJECTIVES I. Problem statement/Objective of the research  To study of the concept of Non Performing Asset in Indian perspective.  To study NPA standard of RBI  To study the Reasons for & Impact of NPAs  To evaluate the efficiency in managing Non Performing Asset of different types of banks (Public, Private & Foreign banks) using NPA ratios & comparing NPA with profits.  To check the proportion of NPA of different types of banks in different categories. II. Beneficiaries of the study The outcomes analyzed from this study would be beneficial to various sections such as:  Banks: This study would definitely benefit the banks in a way that directs them as to which sector should be given priority for lending money.  Further Researchers: The major beneficiaries from the project would be the researchers themselves as this study would enhance their knowledge about the topic. They get an insight of the present scenario of this industry as this is the emerging industry in the financial sector of the economy.  Student: To get the understanding of NPA concept as a whole. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 28
  • 34. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY I. Research Design The research design that will be use is Descriptive Research.  Involves gathering data that describe events and then organizes, tabulates, depicts, and describes the data.  Uses description as a tool to organize data into patterns that emerge during analysis.  Often uses visual aids such as graphs and charts to aid the reader.  Using of hypothesis testing. Test of Correlation: a) H0: There is no significant correlation between profits & NPAs of Public Sector Banks for last 9 years H1: There is correlation between profits & NPAs of Public Sector Banks for last 9 years b) H0: There is no significant correlation between profits & NPAs of Private Sector Banks for last 9 years H1: There is correlation between profits & NPAs of Private Sector Banks for last 9 years c) H0: There is no significant correlation between profits & NPAs of Foreign Banks for last 9 years H1: There is correlation between profits & NPAs of Foreign Banks for last 9 years II. Data Collection Sources Secondary Data Secondary data refers to the data which has already been generated and is available for use. The data about NPAs & its composition, classification of loan assets, profits (net & gross) & advances of different banks is taken from Reserve Bank of India website and indiastat.com. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 29
  • 35. III. Scope of the study  To understand the concept of NPA in Indian Banking industry.  To understand the causes & effects of NPA  To analyze the past trends of NPA of Public, Private & Foreign banks in different sector. IV. Expected contribution of the study The analysis made as a part of this study may contribute in a way analysis of strength and weakness of the banking sector as whole with regard to Non Performing Asset of banks. Various banks from different categories together may make efforts to overcome limitations for lending money to different sectors like agricultural, SSI, Priority sector, non-priority sector, public sector & others. V. Limitation There are some data which are available for just 3 years while the same data for its counterparts were available for 9 years. So exact comparison was not possible. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 30
  • 36. ANALYSIS OVERALL ANALYSIS: Scheduled Commercial banks (SCBs) in India remained robust against the backdrop of global financial crisis. It is noteworthy that contrary to the trend in some advanced countries, the leverage ratio (Tier I capital to total assets ratio) in India has remained high reflecting the strength of the Indian banking system. However, the Indian banking sector was not completely insulated from the effects of the slowdown of the India economy. The consolidated balance sheets of SCBs, expanded by 21.2 per cent as at end-March 2010 as compared with 25.0 per cent in the previous year. While the balance sheet of public sector banks maintained their growth momentum, the private sector banks and foreign banks registered a deceleration in growth rate. During 2009-10, the growth rate of banks‟ lending to industries, personal loans and services sector witnessed a deceleration, while growth rate of banks‟ lending to agriculture and allied activities increased substantially. Overall, the incremental Credit–Deposit (C-D) ratio declined sharply reflecting the slowdown in credit growth, as corporates deferred their investments against the backdrop of widespread uncertainty. It is noteworthy that contrary to the trend in some advanced countries, the leverage ratio in India has remained high reflecting the strength of the Indian banking system. For instance, as observed by the World Bank , the leverage ratio of banks in the UK witnessed a decline throughout 1990s, which was accentuated after 2000 to reach a level of about 3 per cent by 2009 from around 5 per cent in the 1990s. On the other hand, the leverage ratio for Indian banks has risen from about 4.1 per cent in March 2002 to reach a level of 6.3 per cent by March 2010. The balance sheets of public sector banks maintained their growth momentum, the private sector banks and foreign banks registered a deceleration in growth rate. Furthermore, the old ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 31
  • 37. private sector banks, which had been registering a significantly lower growth rate than their newer counterparts in the recent past, managed a better performance this year.  NET NPAs OF BANKS: 2001-02 to 2009-10 Graph: 1 Source: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  From the above it is observed that net NPA of public sector banks has a declining trend up to year 2006-07 and after that it has a rising trend till 2009-10. The same trend has been observed in both Private and Foreign Sector Banks. The declining trend from 2004 to 2007 of NPA was due to the implementation of Securitization Act (2002). ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 32
  • 38.  But the increase in NPA was increasing in absolute term, as NPA as per percent of advance shows a declining trend in Public Sector Banks while that of in Private and Foreign Sector Banks shows an upward trend that is increase in NPA as per percent of advance after 2007.  The increase in NPA as per percent of advance of Private and Foreign Sector Banks is because of they have a major proportion of lending in non- priority sectors includes Medium and large scale industries which was highly affected by global financial crisis. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 33
  • 39. SOUNDNESS INDICATORS: 1. Capital Quality 2. Asset Quality Capital Quality: A sound and efficient banking system is end product for maintaining financial stability. Therefore, considerable emphasis has been placed on strengthening the capital requirements in recent years. The Capital to Risk-weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) of SCBs, a measure of the capacity of the banking system to absorb unexpected losses, improved further to 13.2 per cent at end-March 2010 from 13.0 per cent at end-March 2009. The asset quality of banks in India has been improving over the past few years as reflected in the declining NPA to advances ratio. It is especially noteworthy that notwithstanding the pressures of a slowdown in the economy and an atmosphere of uncertainty, the net NPA to net advances ratio increased only marginally to 1.1 per cent as at end March 2010 from 1.0 per cent as at end March 2009. Significantly, gross NPA to gross advances ratio remained constant at 2.3 per cent. Thus, in terms of the two crucial soundness indicators, viz., capital and asset quality, the Indian banking sector has exhibited resilience amidst testing times. Graph: 2 Source: http://www.rbi.org.in ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 34
  • 40. Asset Quality: Movements in Non-performing Assets – Bank Group-wise Old New Public State Private Private Sector Nationalized Bank Sector Sector Foreign Banks Banks Group Banks Banks Banks Gross NPAs As at end-March 2009 40089 23410 15303 2557 9901 2872 Addition during the year 31338 17822 12879 2094 10520 8430 Recovered during the year 26271 15863 9829 1579 6510 2954 Written off during the year 0 0 0 0 0 1514 As at end-March 2010 45156 25368 18352 3072 13911 6833 Net NPAs As at end-March 2009 17726 8245 8398 740 4640 1247 As at end-March 2010 21033 9339 10745 1165 6253 2973 Gross NPAs/Gross Advances Ratio End-March 2009 2.2 2.1 2.6 2.3 2.4 1.8 End-March 2010 2 1.8 2.5 2.3 2.8 4 Net NPAs/Net Advances Ratio End-March 2009 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.7 1.1 0.9 End-March 2010 0.7 0.7 1.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 Source: http://www.rbi.org.in ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 35
  • 41. Interpretation:  The trend of improvement in the asset quality of banks continued during the year. Indian banks recovered a higher amount of NPAs during 2009-10 than that during the previous year. Though the total amount recovered and written-off at Rs.38,828 in 2009-10 was higher than Rs.28,283 crore in 2008-09, it was lower than fresh addition of NPAs (Rs.52,382 crore) during the year. As a result, the gross NPAs of SCBs increased across all the bank groups. In this context, it may be noted that in the present context of financial turmoil, some slippage in NPAs could be expected.  Nevertheless, it may be noted that this slippage was moderate as compared to the problems faced by banks all over the world. The hardening of interest rates might have made the repayment of loans difficult for some borrowers, resulting in some increase in NPAs in this sector. It may be noted that the increase in gross NPAs was more noticeable in respect of new private sector and foreign banks, which have been more active in the real estate and housing loans segments.  Gross NPAs (in absolute terms) increased for all the banks. The gross NPAs to gross advances of foreign banks increased significantly during the year, while that of private sector banks increased marginally. The NPAs ratio of all other bank groups declined. While net NPAs to net advances ratio of all the banks increased over the previous year except that of nationalized banks. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 36
  • 42. FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION OF BANKS ACCORDING TO LEVEL OF NPAs: Frequency Distribution of Banks according to level of NPAs 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% > 10% 40% 5% to 10% 30% 2% to 5% 20% < 2% 10% 0% Pvt.SB FB FB Pvt.SB FB Pvt.SB FB Pvt.SB FB Pvt.SB PSB PSB PSB PSB PSB 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Graph: 3 Source: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  In the year 2005-06, the Public sector banks (PSBs) had around 60% of their NPA profile in the < 2% category which increased 75% in 2006-07, 90% in 2007-08 - 2008-09 & 100% in 2009-10. PSBs 30% NPA profile in the year 2005-06 belongs to 2% to 5% category which reduced over the years and has been totally eliminated in 2009-10. PSBs did not have any of its banks in > 10% category.  Private sector banks (Pvt.SBs) was having the worst situation in 2005-06 where 50% of its bank was in 2% to 5% category. While this ratio is declining over the years 2008-09 this is compensated by the rise in number of banks in < 2%. 5 Pvt. SB‟s banks were in ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 37
  • 43. 5% to10% category in 2005-06 which was totally eliminated in 2008-09. But due to poor financial condition in 2009-10, there is increase in number of banks in higher NPA category.  Foreign banks (FB) were comparatively in good position compare to privat e sector banks in the initial years. 70% of its NPA profile belongs to < 2% category. The number of banks increased in < 2% category. So among all three sectors, public sector banks managed to reduce NPAs over the years. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 38
  • 44. COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF BANK SECTOR WISE: COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS - 2002 TO 2010 30000 25000 Amount in Rs. Crore 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Priority Sector 24156 25150 24939 23841 21926 22374 22954 25287 24318 Non-priority Sector 27307 28405 26781 25698 23249 18664 15158 14163 19251 Public Sector 1711 903 1087 610 444 341 490 299 474 Graph: 4.1 Source: http://www.indiastat.com/ Interpretation:  From the above chart it is observed that public sector category is the least contributor towards the NPA of public sector bank. In the initial years from 2002 to 2006, Non- priority sector contributes more towards NPA than priority sector. But in later years from 2007 it‟s other way round, where priority sector contributes more than Non- priority sector.  Priority sector consist of advance given to agriculture, SSI, & other priority sector advances. Non priority sector consist of large industries, medium industries & other non priority sectors. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 39
  • 45.  In case of priority sector, it started falling from 2004 up to 2006 over previous year. But in the later years i.e. from 2007 there is rise NPA because of defaults on the loan given to the farmers. It was highest in 2009. In order to reduce that, waiver package was announced in union budget of 2009. It may also be noted that the increase in NPAs was more noticeable in priority sector, which have been more active in the real estate and housing loans segments.  NPA in non priority sector is reducing constantly from 2003 to 2009 i.e. by 50%.Though the advance given to non-priority sector was higher than priority sector, NPAs of non-priority sector is comparatively. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 40
  • 46. COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS - 2002 TO 2010 14000 12000 Amount in Rs. Crore 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Priority Sector 1835 2546 2445 2482 2188 2284 2884 3419 3640 Non-Priority Sector 4452 9090 9327 7796 6569 5541 6353 9558 13172 Public Sector 123 31 95 75 42 4 3 0 75 Graph: 4.2 Source: http://www.indiastat.com/ Interpretation:  From the above graph it is observed that public sector contributes very negligible towards the overall NPA of foreign banks. The major reason for this is that on an average only 3.5% of total advance is made towards public sector category.  Priority sector category on an average constitutes almost 34% of the total advances made by the private sector banks. While average NPA of priority sector constitutes of 25% of total NPA. In later years from 2008 to 2010 there is increase in NPA of priority sector. In these years more advances was given to agriculture & housing sector.  In the year 2007-08, the real estate market was on boom, which encouraged people to take more loans. But after the subprime crisis there was sudden fall in real estate market & people became default to pay the loan. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 41
  • 47.  In case of non-priority sector, the average advances made are 60.5% of total advance made by private sector banks. But the average NPA of non-priority sector is almost 74% which is highest amongst the entire category. We can see the declining trend in NPA of non-priority sector from 2004 to 2007. This as a result of securitization Act, 2002. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 42
  • 48. COMPOSITION OF NPAs OF FORIEGN BANKS - 2008 TO 2010 Amount in Rs. Crore 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2008 2009 2010 Priority Sector 331 402 649 Non-Priority Sector 2,120 2712.0 6506 Public Sector 0 0 0 Graph: 4.3 Source: http://www.indiastat.com// Interpretation:  It is observed from the chart there is no NPA in public sector category in all the three years because there was no advance made to public sector category.  Non-priority sector contributes highest towards the NPA of foreign banks because non-priority sector constitute approximately 65% of the total advances made by foreign banks. So NPA will also be more in non-priority sector.  NPA is low in priority sector because very few advances are made in priority sector & that too are made to SSI.  The advances are made to medium & large scale industries in non-priority sector. As foreign banks are having global presence they are more affected by the global meltdown & financial crisis of 2008. So its effect is seen by sudden rise in NPA in 2009. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 43
  • 49. COMPARISON OF NET NPA OF OLD AND NEW PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS: 2001-02 to 2009-10 Graph: 5 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  From the above chart it is clearly observed that net NPA of old private sector banks has a declining trend over the years on the contrary new private sector banks has an upward trend.  Old private sector banks which is passing from lower growth rate in recent past, starts performing better than their new counterparts. Old private sector banks are more efficient than that of new private sector banks in managing NPA. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 44
  • 50. NET NPAs AS PERCENTAGE OF ADVANCES OF BANKS: Net NPAs/Net Advances 2.5 2 NPA as % of Advance 1.5 1 0.5 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Public Sector 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.7 Private Sector 1.9 1 1 1.2 1.5 Foriegn Sector 0.9 0.8 1 0.9 1.7 Graph: 6 Source: http://www.indiastat.com/ Interpretation:  From the above it is clearly observed that only public sector banks have succeeded in reducing net NPA against net advances made over the period of time. It is constantly reducing each year, whereas in case of private sector bank it has reduced in 2006-07 then it got stable and started rising from 2008-09 onwards.  In case of foreign banks it is fluctuating over the years. Public sector banks have been able to reduce this ratio by 66.7% from 2006 to 2010. Public sector banks as a result of stringent checks & control able to manage low ratio compare to other banks. Also the ratio increased by 89% for foreign banks where the foreign banks were badly affected by the global meltdown. Even for private sector bank the ratio increased by 25% in 2010 due to financial crises & also for public sector bank the reduction in 2010 was the lowest i.e. 12.5% ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 45
  • 51. CLASSIFICATION OF LOAN ASSET OF BANKS: Classification of Loan Asset of Public Sector Banks Standard Asset Sub-Standard Asset Doubtful Asset Loss Asset 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.1 1.0 2.3 1.0 0.9 3.4 1.0 4.3 1.1 1.2 2.6 97.2 97.7 97.9 96.1 94.6 92.2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Graph: 7.1 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  The above frequency distribution chart states that standard asset is increasing every year & on the contrary all the other types of asset i.e. Sub-standard, Doubtful & Loss Asset are decreasing every asset. This proves that public sector banks have succeeded in reducing NPA over the years.  Public sector banks have taken various measures to reduce NPA also convert Sub- Standard, Doubtful & loss asset into the above category Standard, Sub-Standard & Doubtful asset. The rise in sub standard ratio has major proportion indicates that there is a high scope of up gradation or improvement in NPA recovery in initial stage because it will be very easy to recover the loan as minimum duration of default. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 46
  • 52. Classification of Loan Asset of Private Sector Banks Standard Asset Sub-Standard Asset Doubtful Asset Loss Asset 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.5 2.5 1.1 0.8 1.5 3.6 2.0 1.0 1.8 97.4 97.6 97.3 96.8 96.1 94.2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Graph: 7.2 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  The above chart clearly states that the rise in the standard assets over the years compensates the fall in the other three types of assets. But in the year 2010, the percentage of Sub-Standard asset is highest among all the year. In 2010 percentage of standard asset has reduced by 0.5% which is compensated by increase in Sub- Standard & doubtful assets. This increase is due to interest & principle amount unpaid due to financial crisis in 2009. The percentage of doubtful asset has reduced to a great extent amongst all. So the private sector banks have managed to reduce the doubtful asset. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 47
  • 53. Classification of Loan Asset of Foriegn Banks Standard Asset Sub-Standard Asset Doubtful Asset Loss Asset 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.5 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.8 0.9 3.5 1.6 97.9 98.1 98.1 97.0 95.7 95.2 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Graph: 7.3 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  The proportion of Standard Asset is increasing from 2005 and started getting stable in 2008 & 2009. But it has fallen in 2010. The proportion of other three types of assets is falling over the years, but in 2010 there is great increase in the proportion of Sub- Standard asset which is as a result of decrease in proportion of Standard asset. This increase in Sub-Standard asset is because of interest & principle amount unpaid, due to poor global conditions, for the loan provided in a 2009. The interest & principle amount remained unpaid for period of more than 180 days but less than 1 year. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 48
  • 54. COMPARISON OF NET PROFIT AND NET NPA OF BANKS: Comparison of Net Profit And Net NPA - Public Sector Banks 40000 35000 30000 Amount in Rs. Crore 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Net NPA 27977 27958 24877 19335 16904 14566 15145 17726 21033 Net Profit 4317 8301 12295 16546 15784 16539 20152 26592 34394 Graph: 8.1 Source: http://www.indiastat.com/ Interpretation:  It is observed from the above graph there exist no particular relationship between net profit & net NPA of public sector banks. There is constant increase in net profit from 2001-02 to 2004-05 & from 2006-07 to 2009-10. The average of percentage increase in net profit YOY basis comes to 32.3%  On the contrary public sector banks have managed to reduce net NPA constantly from 2002-03 to 2006-07. Although the percentage of reduction over the previous year is low compared to percentage of rise in profit over previous year. The average of percentage decrease in net NPA YOY basis comes to 2.5% ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 49
  • 55. Comparison of Net Profit And Net NPA - Private Sector Banks 12000 10000 Amount in Rs. Crore 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Net NPA 3700 6676 3963 4128 4212 3171 4028 5380 7418 Net Profit 1142 1779 2958 3481 3533 4975 6465 9522 10868 Graph: 8.2 Source: http://www.indiastat.com/ Interpretation:  It is clearly observed from the line graph that there is continuous rise in net profit of private sector banks over the years. The average of percentage increase in net profits of private sector banks comes to approximately 34%.  On the contrary there is no continuous rise/fall in net NPA. But overall there is rise in net NPA from 2001-02 to 2009-10. The average of percentage rise in net NPA comes to almost 15%. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 50
  • 56. Comparison of Net Profit And Net NPA - Foreign Banks 9000 8000 7000 Amount in Rs. Crore 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Net NPA 785 920 903 933 639 808 927 1247 2973 Net Profit 945 1492 1824 2243 3098 4109 5343 7544 8459 Graph: 8.3 Source: http://www.indiastat.com/ Interpretation:  The above line graph shows net profit of foreign banks is increasing throughout the period from 2001-02 to 2009-10. The average of percentage increase in net profit YOY basis comes to 32%. Whereas in case of net profit there is no continuous upward or downward movement.  But overall there is rise in net NPA of foreign banks. The average of percentage increase in net NPA YOY basis comes to approximately 25%. So this shows there is positive relationship between net NPA & net profit of foreign banks. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 51
  • 57. NPA TO ADVANCE RATIO OF BANK: Comparison of NPA with Advances- Public Sector Banks 6 5.5 5 4 Gross NPAs/Gross 3.6 Advances 3 2.7 Net NPAs/Net 2.1 2.2 Advances 2 2 1.3 1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Graph: 9.1 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in/ Interpretation:  The percentage in reduction of gross NPA to gross advances ratio is decreasing year on year i.e. it has reduced by 34.5% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Similarly it has reduced by 25%, 18.5% & 9% respectively from 2006-07 to 2007-08, from 2007-08 to 2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009-10.  While in case of net NPA to net advances ratio, the percentage change is varying. It has reduced by 38% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Similarly it has reduced by 15.38%, 27.27% & 12.5% respectively from 2006-07 to 2007-08, from 2007-08 to 2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009-10. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 52
  • 58.  The above calculated figure states that the provisions made for NPA & other items like interest due but not recovered, part payment received and kept in suspense account, etc which is deducted from Gross NPA is changing over the years. It is not decreasing in same proportion as gross NPA.  The difference in gross NPA/ gross advances & net NPA/net advances is highest in 2006-07 [67%] & lowest in 2007-08 [59%]. In other years it near to 63%. This gap is highest in 2007 because in 2007 advances have increased tremendously over 2006. Due to which NPA also increased & so provisions also increased.  The line graph clearly states that the ratio of gross NPA to gross advances & net NPA to net advances is decreasing over the years. In all the public sector bank has succeeded to reduce the non performing assets against the advances made over the years. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 53
  • 59. Comparison of NPA with Advances- Private Sector Banks 4 3.8 3.5 3 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 2 1.9 Gross NPAs/Gross Advances 1.5 1.5 1.2 1 1 1 Net NPAs/Net Advances 0.5 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Graph: 9.2 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  The percentage change in of gross NPA to gross advances ratio is decreasing initially & thereafter started rising from 2007-08. It has reduced by 34.2% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Similarly it has reduced by 12% from 2006-07 to 2007-08 & thereafter increased by 18.5% & 9% respectively from 2007-08 to 2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009- 10.  While in case of net NPA to net advances ratio, the percentage change is var ying drastically. It has reduced by 47% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. It is unchanged from 2006-07 to 2007-08. It has increased by 20% & 25% respectively from 2007-08 to 2008-09 & 2008-09 to 2009-10.  The percentage change in gross NPA to gross advances ratio & net NPA to net advances ratio over the years states that private sector banks makes more provisions in gross NPA & gross advances. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 54
  • 60.  The difference in gross NPA/ gross advances & net NPA/net advances is highest in 2006-07 [60%] & lowest in 2009-10 [48%]. In other years it near to 54%. In 2007 there is highest increase in advances over previous year amongst all the year. This resulted increase in NPA which in turn increased the provisions and unrecognized interest income.  Private sector banks have not succeeded to reduce NPA as against the advances made over the years as both the ratios are increasing in later years. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 55
  • 61. Comparison of NPA with Advances- Foreign Banks 4.5 4 4 3.5 3 2.8 2.5 Gross NPAs/Gross 2 2 Advances 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 Net NPAs/Net Advances 1 0.9 1 0.9 0.8 0.5 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Graph: 9.3 Compiled from: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  The gross NPA to gross advances ratio is decreasing till 2007-08.It is unchanged in 2008-09 & then increased in 2009-10. It has reduced by 28.5% & 10% respectively from 2005-06 to 2006-07 & from 2006-07 to 2007-08. It has increased tremendously by 122% from 2008-09 to 2009-10.  While in case of net NPA to net advances ratio, there is great volatility. It has reduced by 11% from 2005-06 to 2006-07. Thereafter it increased by 25% in 2007-08. Again it reduced by 10% in 2009 and finally increased by 89% in 2009-10.  The steep rise in gross NPA & net NPA 2009-10 is due to poor global conditions. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 56
  • 62.  The difference in gross NPA/ gross advances & net NPA/net advances is highest in 2005-06 & lowest in 2007-08. In 2005-06 provisions & unrecognized interest income was highest compare to other years while it was lowest in 2007-08.  The line graph clearly states that the ratio of gross NPA to gross advances & net NPA to net advances is decreasing over the years. In all the public sector bank has succeeded to reduce the non performing assets against the advances made over the years.  Thus in foreign banks gross NPA to gross advances ratio & net NPA to net advances ratio are not having parallel movement throughout the period. The change in net NPA to net advances is quite higher than gross NPA to gross advances. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 57
  • 63. Graph: 9.4 Source: http://www.rbi.org.in Interpretation:  From the above chart it is clearly observed that old private sector banks are constantly improving in terms of net NPA to net advances ratio which is represented by declining trend from 2001-02 to 2009-10. While on the other hand for new private sector banks net NPA to net advances ratio is fluctuating over the years. ST. XAVIER’S COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), KOLKATA Page 58