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Problem         Model                Solution              Welfare   Implications




                    The Incentives of
          Hedge Fund Fees and High-Water Marks

                               Paolo Guasoni
                        (Joint work with Jan Obłoj)

                    Boston University and Dublin City University


          Workshop on Foundations of Mathematical Finance
                        January 12th , 2010
Problem           Model             Solution          Welfare           Implications



                               Background

          Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?
          NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009
          “...the economics profession went astray because economists,
          as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking
          mathematics, for truth.”
          “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were
          seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.”
Problem           Model             Solution          Welfare              Implications



                               Background

          Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?
          NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009
          “...the economics profession went astray because economists,
          as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking
          mathematics, for truth.”
          “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were
          seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.”
          John Cochrane, How Did Krugman Get It So Wrong?
          “No, the problem is that we don’t have enough math.”
          “Frictions are just bloody hard with the mathematical tools we
          have now.”
Problem           Model             Solution          Welfare              Implications



                               Background

          Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?
          NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009
          “...the economics profession went astray because economists,
          as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking
          mathematics, for truth.”
          “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were
          seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.”
          John Cochrane, How Did Krugman Get It So Wrong?
          “No, the problem is that we don’t have enough math.”
          “Frictions are just bloody hard with the mathematical tools we
          have now.”
          Make Frictions Tractable.
Problem           Model             Solution          Welfare              Implications



                               Background

          Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?
          NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009
          “...the economics profession went astray because economists,
          as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking
          mathematics, for truth.”
          “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were
          seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.”
          John Cochrane, How Did Krugman Get It So Wrong?
          “No, the problem is that we don’t have enough math.”
          “Frictions are just bloody hard with the mathematical tools we
          have now.”
          Make Frictions Tractable.
          One Step at a Time.
Problem          Model         Solution      Welfare   Implications



                              Outline



          High-Water Marks:
          Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers.
Problem           Model          Solution    Welfare   Implications



                                Outline



          High-Water Marks:
          Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers.
          Model:
          Power Utility with Long Horizon.
Problem           Model          Solution       Welfare       Implications



                                Outline



          High-Water Marks:
          Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers.
          Model:
          Power Utility with Long Horizon.
          Solution:
          Effective Risk Aversion and Drawdown Constraints.
Problem           Model          Solution       Welfare          Implications



                                Outline



          High-Water Marks:
          Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers.
          Model:
          Power Utility with Long Horizon.
          Solution:
          Effective Risk Aversion and Drawdown Constraints.
          Fees and Welfare:
          Stackelberg Equilibrium between Investor and Manager
Problem          Model          Solution       Welfare      Implications



                         Two and Twenty


          Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
Problem           Model          Solution      Welfare      Implications



                          Two and Twenty


          Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
          Regular fees, like Mutual Funds.
Problem           Model          Solution      Welfare      Implications



                          Two and Twenty


          Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
          Regular fees, like Mutual Funds.
          Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees.
Problem           Model          Solution        Welfare         Implications



                          Two and Twenty


          Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
          Regular fees, like Mutual Funds.
          Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees.
          Regular fees:
          a fraction ϕ of assets under management. 2% typical.
Problem           Model           Solution          Welfare      Implications



                           Two and Twenty


          Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
          Regular fees, like Mutual Funds.
          Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees.
          Regular fees:
          a fraction ϕ of assets under management. 2% typical.
          Performance fees:
          a fraction α of trading profits. 20% typical.
Problem           Model           Solution          Welfare      Implications



                           Two and Twenty


          Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
          Regular fees, like Mutual Funds.
          Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees.
          Regular fees:
          a fraction ϕ of assets under management. 2% typical.
          Performance fees:
          a fraction α of trading profits. 20% typical.
          High-Water Marks:
          Performance fees paid after losses recovered.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare          Implications



                          High-Water Marks

             Time     Gross   Net    High-Water Mark        Fees
                0       100   100                100           0
                1       110   108                108           2
                2       100   100                108           2
                3       118   116                116           4

          Fund assets grow from 100 to 110.
          The manager is paid 2, leaving 108 to the fund.
Problem           Model          Solution           Welfare          Implications



                          High-Water Marks

             Time     Gross   Net    High-Water Mark          Fees
                0       100   100                100             0
                1       110   108                108             2
                2       100   100                108             2
                3       118   116                116             4

          Fund assets grow from 100 to 110.
          The manager is paid 2, leaving 108 to the fund.
          Fund drops from 108 to 100.
          No fees paid, nor past fees reimbursed.
Problem           Model          Solution           Welfare          Implications



                          High-Water Marks

             Time     Gross   Net    High-Water Mark          Fees
                0       100   100                100             0
                1       110   108                108             2
                2       100   100                108             2
                3       118   116                116             4

          Fund assets grow from 100 to 110.
          The manager is paid 2, leaving 108 to the fund.
          Fund drops from 108 to 100.
          No fees paid, nor past fees reimbursed.
          Fund recovers from 100 to 118.
          Fees paid only on increase from 108 to 118.
          Manager receives 2.
Problem     Model            Solution        Welfare        Implications



                    High-Water Marks


      2.5


      2.0


      1.5


      1.0


      0.5



              20        40              60             80   100
Problem          Model          Solution        Welfare     Implications



                           Risk Shifting?


          Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses.
          Does manager take more risk to increase profits?
Problem           Model            Solution          Welfare             Implications



                             Risk Shifting?


          Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses.
          Does manager take more risk to increase profits?
          Option Pricing Intuition:
          Manager has a call option on the fund value.
          Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better.
Problem           Model            Solution          Welfare             Implications



                             Risk Shifting?


          Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses.
          Does manager take more risk to increase profits?
          Option Pricing Intuition:
          Manager has a call option on the fund value.
          Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better.
          Static, Complete Market Fallacy:
          Manager has multiple call options.
Problem           Model            Solution          Welfare             Implications



                             Risk Shifting?


          Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses.
          Does manager take more risk to increase profits?
          Option Pricing Intuition:
          Manager has a call option on the fund value.
          Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better.
          Static, Complete Market Fallacy:
          Manager has multiple call options.
          High-Water Mark: future strikes depend on past actions.
Problem           Model            Solution          Welfare             Implications



                             Risk Shifting?


          Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses.
          Does manager take more risk to increase profits?
          Option Pricing Intuition:
          Manager has a call option on the fund value.
          Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better.
          Static, Complete Market Fallacy:
          Manager has multiple call options.
          High-Water Mark: future strikes depend on past actions.
          Option unhedgeable: cannot short (your!) hedge fund.
Problem           Model           Solution    Welfare   Implications



                               Questions




          Portfolio:
          Effect of fees and risk-aversion?
Problem           Model           Solution    Welfare   Implications



                               Questions




          Portfolio:
          Effect of fees and risk-aversion?
          Welfare:
          Effect on investors and managers?
Problem           Model           Solution            Welfare   Implications



                               Questions




          Portfolio:
          Effect of fees and risk-aversion?
          Welfare:
          Effect on investors and managers?
          High-Water Mark Contracts:
          consistent with any investor’s objective?
Problem           Model          Solution        Welfare             Implications



                               Answers


          Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003):
          Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees).
          Exogenous portfolio and fund flows.
Problem           Model          Solution        Welfare             Implications



                               Answers


          Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003):
          Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees).
          Exogenous portfolio and fund flows.
          High-Water Mark contract worth 10% to 20% of fund.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare           Implications



                                Answers


          Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003):
          Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees).
          Exogenous portfolio and fund flows.
          High-Water Mark contract worth 10% to 20% of fund.
          Panageas and Westerfield (2009):
          Exogenous risky and risk-free asset.
          Optimal portfolio for a risk-neutral manager.
          Fees cannot be invested in fund.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare           Implications



                                Answers


          Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003):
          Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees).
          Exogenous portfolio and fund flows.
          High-Water Mark contract worth 10% to 20% of fund.
          Panageas and Westerfield (2009):
          Exogenous risky and risk-free asset.
          Optimal portfolio for a risk-neutral manager.
          Fees cannot be invested in fund.
          Constant risky/risk-free ratio optimal.
          Merton proportion does not depend on fee size.
          Same solution for manager with Hindy-Huang utility.
Problem          Model          Solution        Welfare   Implications



                             This Paper
          Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon.
          Exogenous risky and risk-free asset.
          Fees cannot be invested in fund.
Problem           Model            Solution       Welfare   Implications



                                This Paper
          Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon.
          Exogenous risky and risk-free asset.
          Fees cannot be invested in fund.
          Optimal Portfolio:

                              1 µ
                          π=
                             γ ∗ σ2
                           ∗
                          γ =(1 − α)γ + α
                          γ =Manager’s Risk Aversion
                          α =Performance Fee (e.g. 20%)
Problem           Model            Solution       Welfare     Implications



                                This Paper
          Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon.
          Exogenous risky and risk-free asset.
          Fees cannot be invested in fund.
          Optimal Portfolio:

                              1 µ
                          π=
                             γ ∗ σ2
                           ∗
                          γ =(1 − α)γ + α
                          γ =Manager’s Risk Aversion
                          α =Performance Fee (e.g. 20%)

          Manager behaves as if owned fund, but were more myopic
          (γ ∗ weighted average of γ and 1).
Problem           Model            Solution       Welfare     Implications



                                This Paper
          Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon.
          Exogenous risky and risk-free asset.
          Fees cannot be invested in fund.
          Optimal Portfolio:

                              1 µ
                          π=
                             γ ∗ σ2
                           ∗
                          γ =(1 − α)γ + α
                          γ =Manager’s Risk Aversion
                          α =Performance Fee (e.g. 20%)

          Manager behaves as if owned fund, but were more myopic
          (γ ∗ weighted average of γ and 1).
          Performance fees α matter. Regular fees ϕ don’t.
Problem           Model           Solution          Welfare   Implications



                 Three Problems, One Solution


          Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees.
Problem            Model            Solution          Welfare    Implications



                  Three Problems, One Solution


          Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees.
            1   Manager maximizes utility of performance fees.
                Risk Aversion γ.
Problem             Model            Solution           Welfare       Implications



                   Three Problems, One Solution


          Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees.
            1   Manager maximizes utility of performance fees.
                Risk Aversion γ.
            2   Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees.
                Risk Aversion γ ∗ = (1 − α)γ + α.
Problem             Model            Solution           Welfare       Implications



                   Three Problems, One Solution


          Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees.
            1   Manager maximizes utility of performance fees.
                Risk Aversion γ.
            2   Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees.
                Risk Aversion γ ∗ = (1 − α)γ + α.
            3   Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees.
                Risk Aversion γ. Maximum Drawdown 1 − α.
Problem             Model            Solution            Welfare      Implications



                   Three Problems, One Solution


          Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees.
            1   Manager maximizes utility of performance fees.
                Risk Aversion γ.
            2   Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees.
                Risk Aversion γ ∗ = (1 − α)γ + α.
            3   Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees.
                Risk Aversion γ. Maximum Drawdown 1 − α.
          Same optimal portfolio:

                                                1 µ
                                       π=
                                                γ ∗ σ2
Problem                 Model           Solution           Welfare             Implications



                                Price Dynamics


      dSt
          = (r + µ)dt + σdWt                                             (Risky Asset)
       St
                                       dSt              α     ∗
          dXt = (r − ϕ)Xt dt + Xt πt    St   − rdt −   1−α dXt                  (Fund)
                                   α
          dFt = rFt dt + ϕXt dt +    dX ∗                                       (Fees)
                                  1−α t
          Xt∗ = max Xs                                               (High-Water Mark)
                0≤s≤t


              One safe and one risky asset.
Problem                 Model           Solution           Welfare             Implications



                                Price Dynamics


      dSt
          = (r + µ)dt + σdWt                                             (Risky Asset)
       St
                                       dSt              α     ∗
          dXt = (r − ϕ)Xt dt + Xt πt    St   − rdt −   1−α dXt                  (Fund)
                                   α
          dFt = rFt dt + ϕXt dt +    dX ∗                                       (Fees)
                                  1−α t
          Xt∗ = max Xs                                               (High-Water Mark)
                0≤s≤t


              One safe and one risky asset.
              Gain split into α for the manager and 1 − α for the fund.
Problem                 Model           Solution           Welfare             Implications



                                Price Dynamics


      dSt
          = (r + µ)dt + σdWt                                             (Risky Asset)
       St
                                       dSt              α     ∗
          dXt = (r − ϕ)Xt dt + Xt πt    St   − rdt −   1−α dXt                  (Fund)
                                   α
          dFt = rFt dt + ϕXt dt +    dX ∗                                       (Fees)
                                  1−α t
          Xt∗ = max Xs                                               (High-Water Mark)
                0≤s≤t


              One safe and one risky asset.
              Gain split into α for the manager and 1 − α for the fund.
              Performance fee is α/(1 − α) of fund increase.
Problem           Model                  Solution      Welfare   Implications



                          Dynamics Well Posed?

          Problem: fund value implicit.
          Find solution Xt for
                                        dSt             α
                          dXt = Xt πt       − ϕXt dt −    dX ∗
                                         St            1−α t
Problem           Model                  Solution      Welfare   Implications



                          Dynamics Well Posed?

          Problem: fund value implicit.
          Find solution Xt for
                                        dSt             α
                          dXt = Xt πt       − ϕXt dt −    dX ∗
                                         St            1−α t
          Yes. Pathwise construction.
Problem             Model                  Solution       Welfare           Implications



                            Dynamics Well Posed?

          Problem: fund value implicit.
          Find solution Xt for
                                          dSt             α
                            dXt = Xt πt       − ϕXt dt −    dX ∗
                                           St            1−α t
          Yes. Pathwise construction.
      Proposition
                                                      ∗
      The unique solution is Xt = eRt −αRt , where:
                            t                                  t
                                        σ2 2
               Rt =             µπs −     π − ϕ ds + σ             πs dWs
                        0               2 s                0

      is the cumulative log return.
Problem            Model           Solution          Welfare   Implications



                           Fund Value Explicit

      Lemma
      Let Y be a continuous process, and α > 0.
      Then Yt + 1−α Yt∗ = Rt if and only if Yt = Rt − αRt∗ .
                  α
Problem              Model            Solution               Welfare     Implications



                             Fund Value Explicit

      Lemma
      Let Y be a continuous process, and α > 0.
      Then Yt + 1−α Yt∗ = Rt if and only if Yt = Rt − αRt∗ .
                  α



      Proof.
      Follows from:

                               α                            α         1
          Rt∗ = sup Ys +           sup Yu        = Yt∗ +       Yt∗ =    Y∗
               s≤t           1 − α u≤s                     1−α       1−α t
Problem              Model            Solution               Welfare     Implications



                             Fund Value Explicit

      Lemma
      Let Y be a continuous process, and α > 0.
      Then Yt + 1−α Yt∗ = Rt if and only if Yt = Rt − αRt∗ .
                  α



      Proof.
      Follows from:

                               α                            α         1
          Rt∗ = sup Ys +           sup Yu        = Yt∗ +       Yt∗ =    Y∗
               s≤t           1 − α u≤s                     1−α       1−α t



            Apply Lemma to cumulative log return.
Problem          Model          Solution       Welfare          Implications



                           Long Horizon
          The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes
          expected power utility from fees at a long horizon.
Problem          Model          Solution         Welfare        Implications



                           Long Horizon
          The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes
          expected power utility from fees at a long horizon.
          Maximizes the long-run objective:
                                    1        p
                         max lim      log E[FT ] = λ
                          π   T →∞ pT
Problem          Model          Solution         Welfare        Implications



                           Long Horizon
          The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes
          expected power utility from fees at a long horizon.
          Maximizes the long-run objective:
                                    1        p
                         max lim      log E[FT ] = λ
                          π   T →∞ pT

          Dumas and Luciano (1991), Grossman and Vila (1992),
          Grossman and Zhou (1993). Risk-Sensitive Control:
          Bielecki and Pliska (1999) and many others.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare          Implications



                            Long Horizon
          The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes
          expected power utility from fees at a long horizon.
          Maximizes the long-run objective:
                                     1        p
                          max lim      log E[FT ] = λ
                           π   T →∞ pT

          Dumas and Luciano (1991), Grossman and Vila (1992),
          Grossman and Zhou (1993). Risk-Sensitive Control:
          Bielecki and Pliska (1999) and many others.
          Certainty Equivalent Rate:
          λ as risk-free rate above which the manager would prefer
          to retire and invest at such a rate, and below which would
          rather keep his job.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare          Implications



                            Long Horizon
          The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes
          expected power utility from fees at a long horizon.
          Maximizes the long-run objective:
                                     1        p
                          max lim      log E[FT ] = λ
                           π   T →∞ pT

          Dumas and Luciano (1991), Grossman and Vila (1992),
          Grossman and Zhou (1993). Risk-Sensitive Control:
          Bielecki and Pliska (1999) and many others.
          Certainty Equivalent Rate:
          λ as risk-free rate above which the manager would prefer
          to retire and invest at such a rate, and below which would
          rather keep his job.
                      2
                  1 µ
          λ = r + γ 2σ2 for Merton problem with risk-aversion
          γ = 1 − p.
Problem           Model           Solution            Welfare   Implications



                               Solving It
          Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                               Solving It
          Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation.
          Cumulative fees are a fraction of the increase in the fund:
                                    α
                            Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                  ∗
                                  1−α t
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                                Solving It
          Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation.
          Cumulative fees are a fraction of the increase in the fund:
                                    α
                            Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                  ∗
                                  1−α t
          Thus, the manager’s objective is equivalent to:
                                      1         ∗
                           max lim      log E[(XT )p ]
                            π   T →∞ pT
Problem           Model              Solution          Welfare           Implications



                                 Solving It
          Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation.
          Cumulative fees are a fraction of the increase in the fund:
                                    α
                            Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                  ∗
                                  1−α t
          Thus, the manager’s objective is equivalent to:
                                       1         ∗
                            max lim      log E[(XT )p ]
                             π   T →∞ pT

          Finite-horizon value function:
                              1
          V (x, z, t) = sup E[XT p |Xt = x, Xt∗ = z]
                                     ∗
                            π p
                                              1
          dV (Xt , Xt∗ , t) = Vt dt + Vx dXt + Vxx d X   t   + Vz dXt∗
                                              2
                                                                         2
          = Vt dt + Vz −     α
                            1−α Vx     dXt∗ + Vx Xt (πt µ − ϕ)dt + Vxx σ πt2 Xt2
                                                                       2
Problem          Model           Solution        Welfare          Implications



                         Dynamic Programming
          Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation:
                                            2
             Vt + supπ xVx (πµ − ϕ) + Vxx σ π 2 x 2 )
                                           2              x <z
             
             
                       α
                Vz = 1−α Vx                                x =z
             
             V = z p /p
                                                          x =0
             
             
                V = z p /p                                 t =T
             
Problem            Model             Solution           Welfare          Implications



                           Dynamic Programming
          Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation:
                                            2
             Vt + supπ xVx (πµ − ϕ) + Vxx σ π 2 x 2 )
                                           2                     x <z
             
             
                       α
                Vz = 1−α Vx                                       x =z
             
             V = z p /p
                                                                 x =0
             
             
                V = z p /p                                        t =T
             

          Maximize in π, and use homogeneity
          V (x, z, t) = z p /pV (x/z, 1, t) = z p /pu(x/z, 1, t).
                                           2
                      ut − ϕxux − µ22 ux = 0          x ∈ (0, 1)
                      
                      
                                     2σ uxx
                        ux (1, t) = p(1 − α)u(1, t) t ∈ (0, T )
                      
                      u(x, T ) = 1
                      
                                                      x ∈ (0, 1)
                      
                      u(0, t) = 1                     t ∈ (0, T )
Problem           Model          Solution           Welfare     Implications



                          Long-Run Heuristics

          Long-run limit.
          Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x),
          forgetting the terminal condition:
                                            2   2
                                      µ wx
                     −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1
                     wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1)
Problem           Model          Solution           Welfare      Implications



                          Long-Run Heuristics

          Long-run limit.
          Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x),
          forgetting the terminal condition:
                                            2   2
                                      µ wx
                     −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1
                     wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1)

          This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown.
Problem           Model          Solution           Welfare          Implications



                          Long-Run Heuristics

          Long-run limit.
          Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x),
          forgetting the terminal condition:
                                            2   2
                                      µ wx
                     −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1
                     wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1)

          This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown.
          Any β with a solution w is an upper bound on the rate λ.
Problem           Model          Solution           Welfare          Implications



                          Long-Run Heuristics

          Long-run limit.
          Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x),
          forgetting the terminal condition:
                                            2   2
                                      µ wx
                     −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1
                     wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1)

          This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown.
          Any β with a solution w is an upper bound on the rate λ.
          Candidate long-run value function:
          the solution w with the lowest β.
Problem           Model               Solution              Welfare    Implications



                          Long-Run Heuristics

          Long-run limit.
          Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x),
          forgetting the terminal condition:
                                                 2   2
                                      µ wx
                     −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1
                     wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1)

          This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown.
          Any β with a solution w is an upper bound on the rate λ.
          Candidate long-run value function:
          the solution w with the lowest β.
                                          1−α    µ2
          w(x) = x p(1−α) , for β =    (1−α)γ+α 2σ 2     − ϕ(1 − α).
Problem               Model                Solution           Welfare                   Implications



                                      Verification

      Theorem
                    µ2          1 1
      If ϕ − r <   2σ 2
                          min   γ∗ , γ∗
                                      2   , then for any portfolio π:

                1                                          1 µ2
          lim     log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α)
                          π
                                                                    + r − ϕ ,r
          T →∞ pT                                          γ ∗ 2σ 2

                                                           α          1 µ2
      Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ +               1−α r   <   γ∗ 2σ 2 ,   the
                                         µ
      unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
                                 ˆ
Problem               Model                Solution           Welfare                   Implications



                                      Verification

      Theorem
                    µ2          1 1
      If ϕ − r <   2σ 2
                          min   γ∗ , γ∗
                                      2   , then for any portfolio π:

                1                                          1 µ2
          lim     log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α)
                          π
                                                                    + r − ϕ ,r
          T →∞ pT                                          γ ∗ 2σ 2

                                                           α          1 µ2
      Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ +               1−α r   <   γ∗ 2σ 2 ,   the
                                         µ
      unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
                                 ˆ

             Martingale argument. No HJB equation needed.
Problem               Model                Solution           Welfare                   Implications



                                      Verification

      Theorem
                    µ2          1 1
      If ϕ − r <   2σ 2
                          min   γ∗ , γ∗
                                      2   , then for any portfolio π:

                1                                          1 µ2
          lim     log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α)
                          π
                                                                    + r − ϕ ,r
          T →∞ pT                                          γ ∗ 2σ 2

                                                           α          1 µ2
      Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ +               1−α r   <   γ∗ 2σ 2 ,   the
                                         µ
      unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
                                 ˆ

             Martingale argument. No HJB equation needed.
             Show upper bound for any portfolio π (delicate).
Problem               Model                Solution           Welfare                   Implications



                                      Verification

      Theorem
                    µ2          1 1
      If ϕ − r <   2σ 2
                          min   γ∗ , γ∗
                                      2   , then for any portfolio π:

                1                                          1 µ2
          lim     log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α)
                          π
                                                                    + r − ϕ ,r
          T →∞ pT                                          γ ∗ 2σ 2

                                                           α          1 µ2
      Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ +               1−α r   <   γ∗ 2σ 2 ,   the
                                         µ
      unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
                                 ˆ

             Martingale argument. No HJB equation needed.
             Show upper bound for any portfolio π (delicate).
             Check equality for guessed solution (easy).
Problem          Model          Solution   Welfare   Implications



                         Upper Bound (1)
          Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
Problem          Model            Solution              Welfare   Implications



                           Upper Bound (1)
          Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
          For any portfolio π:
                                  T σ2 2          T         ˜
                         RT = −   0 2 πt dt   +   0   σπt d Wt
Problem          Model            Solution              Welfare   Implications



                           Upper Bound (1)
          Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
          For any portfolio π:
                                  T σ2 2          T         ˜
                         RT = −   0 2 πt dt   +   0   σπt d Wt
          ˜
          Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion
Problem          Model            Solution              Welfare                       Implications



                           Upper Bound (1)
          Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
          For any portfolio π:
                                  T σ2 2          T         ˜
                         RT = −   0 2 πt dt   +   0   σπt d Wt
          ˜
          Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion
          Explicit representation:
                                     ∗                      ∗     µ   ˜       µ2
                                                                      WT −        T
            E [(XT )p ] = E[ep(1−α)RT ] = EQ ep(1−α)RT e σ
                 π                                                           2σ 2
Problem              Model            Solution                Welfare                       Implications



                               Upper Bound (1)
          Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
          For any portfolio π:
                                      T σ2 2          T         ˜
                             RT = −   0 2 πt dt   +   0   σπt d Wt
          ˜
          Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion
          Explicit representation:
                                         ∗                        ∗     µ   ˜       µ2
                                                                            WT −        T
             E [(XT )p ] = E[ep(1−α)RT ] = EQ ep(1−α)RT e σ
                  π                                                                2σ 2



          For δ > 1, Hölder’s inequality:
                                                                                                       δ−1
                                                          1                    µ ˜   2                  δ
                 ∗       µ ˜   2
                          W − µ2T                    ∗    δ
                                                                         δ
                                                                        δ−1
                                                                                W − µ2T
                                                                               σ T
          p(1−α)RT       σ T                 δp(1−α)RT                             2σ
  EQ e               e       2σ     ≤ EQ e                    EQ e
Problem              Model            Solution                Welfare                           Implications



                               Upper Bound (1)
          Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
          For any portfolio π:
                                      T σ2 2          T         ˜
                             RT = −   0 2 πt dt   +   0   σπt d Wt
          ˜
          Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion
          Explicit representation:
                                         ∗                        ∗     µ   ˜       µ2
                                                                            WT −        T
             E [(XT )p ] = E[ep(1−α)RT ] = EQ ep(1−α)RT e σ
                  π                                                                2σ 2



          For δ > 1, Hölder’s inequality:
                                                                                                           δ−1
                                                          1                    µ ˜   2                      δ
                 ∗       µ ˜   2
                          W − µ2T                    ∗    δ
                                                                         δ
                                                                        δ−1
                                                                                W − µ2T
                                                                               σ T
          p(1−α)RT       σ T                 δp(1−α)RT                             2σ
  EQ e               e       2σ     ≤ EQ e                    EQ e

                                                                               1     µ2
                                                                                            T
          Second term exponential normal moment. Just e δ−1 2σ2 .
Problem         Model             Solution   Welfare   Implications



                           Upper Bound (2)
                                  ∗
                          δp(1−α)RT
          Estimate EQ e               .
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                           Upper Bound (2)
                                  ∗
                          δp(1−α)RT
          Estimate EQ e               .
          Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale.
          Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞.
Problem           Model           Solution        Welfare           Implications



                           Upper Bound (2)
                                  ∗
                          δp(1−α)RT
          Estimate EQ e               .
          Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale.
          Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞.
          Fact:
          inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1].
                                            ∗
Problem           Model           Solution        Welfare           Implications



                           Upper Bound (2)
                                  ∗
                          δp(1−α)RT
          Estimate EQ e               .
          Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale.
          Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞.
          Fact:
          inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1].
                                            ∗

          Thus, for δp(1 − α) < 1:
                           ∗                 ∗            1
             EQ eδp(1−α)RT ≤ EQ eδp(1−α)R∞ =
                                                    1 − δp(1 − α)
Problem           Model                 Solution           Welfare           Implications



                                 Upper Bound (2)
                                        ∗
                                δp(1−α)RT
          Estimate EQ e                     .
          Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale.
          Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞.
          Fact:
          inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1].
                                            ∗

          Thus, for δp(1 − α) < 1:
                                 ∗                     ∗           1
             EQ eδp(1−α)RT ≤ EQ eδp(1−α)R∞ =
                                                             1 − δp(1 − α)
                                               1
          In summary, for 1 < δ <           p(1−α) :

                           1                   1      µ2
                          limlog E (FT )p ≤
                                     π
                     T →∞ pT                p(δ − 1) 2σ 2
Problem           Model                 Solution           Welfare           Implications



                                 Upper Bound (2)
                                        ∗
                                δp(1−α)RT
          Estimate EQ e                     .
          Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale.
          Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞.
          Fact:
          inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1].
                                            ∗

          Thus, for δp(1 − α) < 1:
                                 ∗                     ∗           1
             EQ eδp(1−α)RT ≤ EQ eδp(1−α)R∞ =
                                                             1 − δp(1 − α)
                                               1
          In summary, for 1 < δ <           p(1−α) :

                           1                   1      µ2
                          limlog E (FT )p ≤
                                     π
                     T →∞ pT                p(δ − 1) 2σ 2
                                          1
          Thesis follows as δ →        p(1−α) .
Problem          Model           Solution        Welfare          Implications



              High-Water Marks and Drawdowns
          Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the
          same account Ct = Xt + Ft .
                                               dSt
                            dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt
                                                St
Problem          Model           Solution        Welfare          Implications



              High-Water Marks and Drawdowns
          Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the
          same account Ct = Xt + Ft .
                                               dSt
                            dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt
                                                St
          Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ :
                                     α
                            Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                 ∗
                                   1−α t
Problem               Model                   Solution           Welfare      Implications



                 High-Water Marks and Drawdowns
             Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the
             same account Ct = Xt + Ft .
                                                  dSt
                               dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt
                                                   St
             Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ :
                                        α
                               Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                    ∗
                                      1−α t
             Account increase dCt∗ as fund increase plus fees increase:
                          t                          t
                                                          α             1
          Ct∗ −C0 =
                ∗                ∗
                              (dXs +dFs ) =                        ∗
                                                             + 1 dXs =    (X ∗ −X0 )
                      0                          0       1−α           1−α t
Problem               Model                   Solution           Welfare      Implications



                 High-Water Marks and Drawdowns
             Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the
             same account Ct = Xt + Ft .
                                                  dSt
                               dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt
                                                   St
             Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ :
                                        α
                               Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                    ∗
                                      1−α t
             Account increase dCt∗ as fund increase plus fees increase:
                          t                          t
                                                          α             1
          Ct∗ −C0 =
                ∗                ∗
                              (dXs +dFs ) =                        ∗
                                                             + 1 dXs =    (X ∗ −X0 )
                      0                          0       1−α           1−α t
             Obvious bound Ct ≥ Ft yields:
                                        Ct ≥ α(Ct∗ − X0 )
Problem               Model                   Solution           Welfare      Implications



                 High-Water Marks and Drawdowns
             Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the
             same account Ct = Xt + Ft .
                                                  dSt
                               dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt
                                                   St
             Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ :
                                        α
                               Ft =        (X ∗ − X0 )
                                                    ∗
                                      1−α t
             Account increase dCt∗ as fund increase plus fees increase:
                          t                          t
                                                          α             1
          Ct∗ −C0 =
                ∗                ∗
                              (dXs +dFs ) =                        ∗
                                                             + 1 dXs =    (X ∗ −X0 )
                      0                          0       1−α           1−α t
             Obvious bound Ct ≥ Ft yields:
                                        Ct ≥ α(Ct∗ − X0 )
             X0 negligible as t ↑ ∞. Approximate drawdown constraint.
                                               Ct ≥ αCt∗
Problem           Model           Solution        Welfare            Implications



                     Certainty equivalent rates


          Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions
Problem           Model           Solution        Welfare            Implications



                     Certainty equivalent rates


          Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions
          Manager:
                          1 − α µ2
                                    − (1 − α)(ϕ − r )
                            γ∗ 2σ 2
Problem           Model           Solution               Welfare           Implications



                      Certainty equivalent rates


          Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions
          Manager:
                          1 − α µ2
                                    − (1 − α)(ϕ − r )
                            γ∗ 2σ 2
          Investor:
              1 − α µ2                       γI − γM
                          1 − (1 − α)                  − (1 − α)(ϕ − r )
                γ∗ 2σ 2                         γ∗
Problem           Model           Solution               Welfare           Implications



                      Certainty equivalent rates


          Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions
          Manager:
                          1 − α µ2
                                    − (1 − α)(ϕ − r )
                            γ∗ 2σ 2
          Investor:
              1 − α µ2                       γI − γM
                          1 − (1 − α)                  − (1 − α)(ϕ − r )
                γ∗ 2σ 2                         γ∗

          Dependence on fees?
Problem          Model          Solution        Welfare      Implications



                              Manager

          Performance fees affect the manager in two ways.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare        Implications



                               Manager

          Performance fees affect the manager in two ways.
          Income effect.
          Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate.
          Positive impact.
Problem           Model          Solution          Welfare       Implications



                               Manager

          Performance fees affect the manager in two ways.
          Income effect.
          Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate.
          Positive impact.
          Drag effect.
          Reduce fund growth, hence future fees.
          Negative impact.
Problem           Model          Solution          Welfare            Implications



                               Manager

          Performance fees affect the manager in two ways.
          Income effect.
          Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate.
          Positive impact.
          Drag effect.
          Reduce fund growth, hence future fees.
          Negative impact.
          Because horizon is long, and no participation is allowed,
          second effect prevails.
Problem           Model          Solution          Welfare            Implications



                               Manager

          Performance fees affect the manager in two ways.
          Income effect.
          Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate.
          Positive impact.
          Drag effect.
          Reduce fund growth, hence future fees.
          Negative impact.
          Because horizon is long, and no participation is allowed,
          second effect prevails.
          Manager’s certainty equivalent rate decreases with α.
          Manager prefers 10% in rapidly growing fund, than 20% in
          slowly growing fund.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare     Implications



                                Investor


          Performance fees affect the investor in two ways.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare     Implications



                                Investor


          Performance fees affect the investor in two ways.
          Cost effect.
          Reduce fund growth.
          Negative impact.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare     Implications



                                Investor


          Performance fees affect the investor in two ways.
          Cost effect.
          Reduce fund growth.
          Negative impact.
          Agency effect.
          Shrink manager’s risk aversion towards one.
          Ambiguous impact.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare       Implications



                                Investor


          Performance fees affect the investor in two ways.
          Cost effect.
          Reduce fund growth.
          Negative impact.
          Agency effect.
          Shrink manager’s risk aversion towards one.
          Ambiguous impact.
          Do observed levels of performance fees serve investors?
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare        Implications



                                Investor


          Performance fees affect the investor in two ways.
          Cost effect.
          Reduce fund growth.
          Negative impact.
          Agency effect.
          Shrink manager’s risk aversion towards one.
          Ambiguous impact.
          Do observed levels of performance fees serve investors?
          If investors could choose performance fees themselves, at
          which levels would they set them?
Problem                 Model          Solution                 Welfare         Implications



                                 Equilibrium Fees
      2.0                                     2.0




      1.5                                     1.5




      1.0                                     1.0




      0.5                                     0.5




      0.0                                     0.0
            0.0   0.5      1.0   1.5    2.0         0.0   0.5       1.0   1.5   2.0


      Pairs of risk aversions for the manager (x) and the investor (y)
      such that investors’s optimal α∗ is within 0 and 1, and certainty
      equivalent rate greater than r . ϕ = r = 2% (left panel) and
      ϕ = r = 3% (right panel). Optimal fees 20% on solid line.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                          Agency Effect Limited




          Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the
          investor and for the manager.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                          Agency Effect Limited




          Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the
          investor and for the manager.
          Investor Risk aversion must be lower than 2.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                          Agency Effect Limited




          Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the
          investor and for the manager.
          Investor Risk aversion must be lower than 2.
          Manager’s risk aversion must be lower than 1.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare          Implications



                          Agency Effect Limited




          Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the
          investor and for the manager.
          Investor Risk aversion must be lower than 2.
          Manager’s risk aversion must be lower than 1.
          Otherwise no equilibrium exists.
Problem           Model              Solution          Welfare                Implications



                Parameter Restrictions ϕ = 1%


              ϕ=1%, r = 1%
                                          α
              µ/σ          10%     15%       20%     25%      30%
              0.25          3.0     2.9       2.9     2.8      2.7
              0.5          12.4    12.3      12.3    12.2     12.1
              1.0          49.9    49.8      49.8    49.7     49.6
              1.5         112.4   112.3     112.3   112.2    112.1

                                                  α         1 µ2
      Maximum risk-aversion γ for which ϕ + 1−α r <         γ∗ 2σ 2 ,   and
                                             µ
      hence the optimal portfolio is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
Problem           Model           Solution                 Welfare                Implications



                Parameter Restrictions ϕ = 2%


                 ϕ=2%, r = 1%
                                        α
                 µ/σ      10%    15%         20%    25%       30%
                 0.25      1.5    1.5         1.5    1.5       1.4
                 0.5       6.5    6.6         6.7    6.8       6.9
                 1.0      26.2   26.9        27.5   28.2      29.0
                 1.5      59.1   60.6        62.3   64.0      65.7

                                                  α             1 µ2
      Maximum risk-aversion γ for which ϕ + 1−α r <             γ∗ 2σ 2 ,   and
                                             µ
      hence the optimal portfolio is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
Problem           Model          Solution        Welfare        Implications



                          Testable Implications



      The model predicts that:
          Funds with higher fees should have higher leverage,
          (for γ > 1, and viceversa for γ < 1).
Problem           Model          Solution        Welfare          Implications



                          Testable Implications



      The model predicts that:
          Funds with higher fees should have higher leverage,
          (for γ > 1, and viceversa for γ < 1).
          Funds with higher fees should have smaller drawdowns.
Problem           Model           Solution         Welfare        Implications



                          Testable Implications



      The model predicts that:
          Funds with higher fees should have higher leverage,
          (for γ > 1, and viceversa for γ < 1).
          Funds with higher fees should have smaller drawdowns.
          Leverage may differ across funds, but
          for a given fund it should remain constant over time.
Problem          Model           Solution        Welfare    Implications



                             Conclusion




      Performance fees with High-Water Marks:
          Make managers more myopic.
          Higher fees: manager’s preferences matter less.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare    Implications



                             Conclusion




      Performance fees with High-Water Marks:
          Make managers more myopic.
          Higher fees: manager’s preferences matter less.
          Akin to Drawdown constraints, for long horizons.
Problem           Model          Solution         Welfare    Implications



                             Conclusion




      Performance fees with High-Water Marks:
          Make managers more myopic.
          Higher fees: manager’s preferences matter less.
          Akin to Drawdown constraints, for long horizons.
          Manager’s nonparticipation important assumption.

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The Incentives of Hedge Fund Fees and High-Water Marks

  • 1. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications The Incentives of Hedge Fund Fees and High-Water Marks Paolo Guasoni (Joint work with Jan Obłoj) Boston University and Dublin City University Workshop on Foundations of Mathematical Finance January 12th , 2010
  • 2. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Background Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong? NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009 “...the economics profession went astray because economists, as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking mathematics, for truth.” “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.”
  • 3. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Background Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong? NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009 “...the economics profession went astray because economists, as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking mathematics, for truth.” “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.” John Cochrane, How Did Krugman Get It So Wrong? “No, the problem is that we don’t have enough math.” “Frictions are just bloody hard with the mathematical tools we have now.”
  • 4. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Background Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong? NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009 “...the economics profession went astray because economists, as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking mathematics, for truth.” “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.” John Cochrane, How Did Krugman Get It So Wrong? “No, the problem is that we don’t have enough math.” “Frictions are just bloody hard with the mathematical tools we have now.” Make Frictions Tractable.
  • 5. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Background Paul Krugman, How Did Economists Get It So Wrong? NY Times Magazine, September 2, 2009 “...the economics profession went astray because economists, as a group, mistook beauty, clad in impressive-looking mathematics, for truth.” “Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were seduced by the vision of a perfect, frictionless market system.” John Cochrane, How Did Krugman Get It So Wrong? “No, the problem is that we don’t have enough math.” “Frictions are just bloody hard with the mathematical tools we have now.” Make Frictions Tractable. One Step at a Time.
  • 6. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Outline High-Water Marks: Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers.
  • 7. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Outline High-Water Marks: Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers. Model: Power Utility with Long Horizon.
  • 8. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Outline High-Water Marks: Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers. Model: Power Utility with Long Horizon. Solution: Effective Risk Aversion and Drawdown Constraints.
  • 9. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Outline High-Water Marks: Performance Fees for Hedge Funds Managers. Model: Power Utility with Long Horizon. Solution: Effective Risk Aversion and Drawdown Constraints. Fees and Welfare: Stackelberg Equilibrium between Investor and Manager
  • 10. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Two and Twenty Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees.
  • 11. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Two and Twenty Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees. Regular fees, like Mutual Funds.
  • 12. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Two and Twenty Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees. Regular fees, like Mutual Funds. Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees.
  • 13. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Two and Twenty Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees. Regular fees, like Mutual Funds. Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees. Regular fees: a fraction ϕ of assets under management. 2% typical.
  • 14. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Two and Twenty Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees. Regular fees, like Mutual Funds. Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees. Regular fees: a fraction ϕ of assets under management. 2% typical. Performance fees: a fraction α of trading profits. 20% typical.
  • 15. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Two and Twenty Hedge Funds Managers receive two types of fees. Regular fees, like Mutual Funds. Unlike Mutual Funds, Performance Fees. Regular fees: a fraction ϕ of assets under management. 2% typical. Performance fees: a fraction α of trading profits. 20% typical. High-Water Marks: Performance fees paid after losses recovered.
  • 16. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks Time Gross Net High-Water Mark Fees 0 100 100 100 0 1 110 108 108 2 2 100 100 108 2 3 118 116 116 4 Fund assets grow from 100 to 110. The manager is paid 2, leaving 108 to the fund.
  • 17. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks Time Gross Net High-Water Mark Fees 0 100 100 100 0 1 110 108 108 2 2 100 100 108 2 3 118 116 116 4 Fund assets grow from 100 to 110. The manager is paid 2, leaving 108 to the fund. Fund drops from 108 to 100. No fees paid, nor past fees reimbursed.
  • 18. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks Time Gross Net High-Water Mark Fees 0 100 100 100 0 1 110 108 108 2 2 100 100 108 2 3 118 116 116 4 Fund assets grow from 100 to 110. The manager is paid 2, leaving 108 to the fund. Fund drops from 108 to 100. No fees paid, nor past fees reimbursed. Fund recovers from 100 to 118. Fees paid only on increase from 108 to 118. Manager receives 2.
  • 19. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 20 40 60 80 100
  • 20. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Risk Shifting? Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses. Does manager take more risk to increase profits?
  • 21. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Risk Shifting? Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses. Does manager take more risk to increase profits? Option Pricing Intuition: Manager has a call option on the fund value. Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better.
  • 22. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Risk Shifting? Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses. Does manager take more risk to increase profits? Option Pricing Intuition: Manager has a call option on the fund value. Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better. Static, Complete Market Fallacy: Manager has multiple call options.
  • 23. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Risk Shifting? Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses. Does manager take more risk to increase profits? Option Pricing Intuition: Manager has a call option on the fund value. Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better. Static, Complete Market Fallacy: Manager has multiple call options. High-Water Mark: future strikes depend on past actions.
  • 24. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Risk Shifting? Manager shares investors’ profits, not losses. Does manager take more risk to increase profits? Option Pricing Intuition: Manager has a call option on the fund value. Option value increases with volatility. More risk is better. Static, Complete Market Fallacy: Manager has multiple call options. High-Water Mark: future strikes depend on past actions. Option unhedgeable: cannot short (your!) hedge fund.
  • 25. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Questions Portfolio: Effect of fees and risk-aversion?
  • 26. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Questions Portfolio: Effect of fees and risk-aversion? Welfare: Effect on investors and managers?
  • 27. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Questions Portfolio: Effect of fees and risk-aversion? Welfare: Effect on investors and managers? High-Water Mark Contracts: consistent with any investor’s objective?
  • 28. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Answers Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003): Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees). Exogenous portfolio and fund flows.
  • 29. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Answers Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003): Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees). Exogenous portfolio and fund flows. High-Water Mark contract worth 10% to 20% of fund.
  • 30. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Answers Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003): Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees). Exogenous portfolio and fund flows. High-Water Mark contract worth 10% to 20% of fund. Panageas and Westerfield (2009): Exogenous risky and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio for a risk-neutral manager. Fees cannot be invested in fund.
  • 31. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Answers Goetzmann, Ingersoll and Ross (2003): Risk-neutral value of management contract (future fees). Exogenous portfolio and fund flows. High-Water Mark contract worth 10% to 20% of fund. Panageas and Westerfield (2009): Exogenous risky and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio for a risk-neutral manager. Fees cannot be invested in fund. Constant risky/risk-free ratio optimal. Merton proportion does not depend on fee size. Same solution for manager with Hindy-Huang utility.
  • 32. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications This Paper Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon. Exogenous risky and risk-free asset. Fees cannot be invested in fund.
  • 33. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications This Paper Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon. Exogenous risky and risk-free asset. Fees cannot be invested in fund. Optimal Portfolio: 1 µ π= γ ∗ σ2 ∗ γ =(1 − α)γ + α γ =Manager’s Risk Aversion α =Performance Fee (e.g. 20%)
  • 34. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications This Paper Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon. Exogenous risky and risk-free asset. Fees cannot be invested in fund. Optimal Portfolio: 1 µ π= γ ∗ σ2 ∗ γ =(1 − α)γ + α γ =Manager’s Risk Aversion α =Performance Fee (e.g. 20%) Manager behaves as if owned fund, but were more myopic (γ ∗ weighted average of γ and 1).
  • 35. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications This Paper Manager with Power Utility and Long Horizon. Exogenous risky and risk-free asset. Fees cannot be invested in fund. Optimal Portfolio: 1 µ π= γ ∗ σ2 ∗ γ =(1 − α)γ + α γ =Manager’s Risk Aversion α =Performance Fee (e.g. 20%) Manager behaves as if owned fund, but were more myopic (γ ∗ weighted average of γ and 1). Performance fees α matter. Regular fees ϕ don’t.
  • 36. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Three Problems, One Solution Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees.
  • 37. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Three Problems, One Solution Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees. 1 Manager maximizes utility of performance fees. Risk Aversion γ.
  • 38. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Three Problems, One Solution Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees. 1 Manager maximizes utility of performance fees. Risk Aversion γ. 2 Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees. Risk Aversion γ ∗ = (1 − α)γ + α.
  • 39. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Three Problems, One Solution Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees. 1 Manager maximizes utility of performance fees. Risk Aversion γ. 2 Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees. Risk Aversion γ ∗ = (1 − α)γ + α. 3 Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees. Risk Aversion γ. Maximum Drawdown 1 − α.
  • 40. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Three Problems, One Solution Power utility, long horizon. No regular fees. 1 Manager maximizes utility of performance fees. Risk Aversion γ. 2 Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees. Risk Aversion γ ∗ = (1 − α)γ + α. 3 Investor maximizes utility of wealth. Pays no fees. Risk Aversion γ. Maximum Drawdown 1 − α. Same optimal portfolio: 1 µ π= γ ∗ σ2
  • 41. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Price Dynamics dSt = (r + µ)dt + σdWt (Risky Asset) St dSt α ∗ dXt = (r − ϕ)Xt dt + Xt πt St − rdt − 1−α dXt (Fund) α dFt = rFt dt + ϕXt dt + dX ∗ (Fees) 1−α t Xt∗ = max Xs (High-Water Mark) 0≤s≤t One safe and one risky asset.
  • 42. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Price Dynamics dSt = (r + µ)dt + σdWt (Risky Asset) St dSt α ∗ dXt = (r − ϕ)Xt dt + Xt πt St − rdt − 1−α dXt (Fund) α dFt = rFt dt + ϕXt dt + dX ∗ (Fees) 1−α t Xt∗ = max Xs (High-Water Mark) 0≤s≤t One safe and one risky asset. Gain split into α for the manager and 1 − α for the fund.
  • 43. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Price Dynamics dSt = (r + µ)dt + σdWt (Risky Asset) St dSt α ∗ dXt = (r − ϕ)Xt dt + Xt πt St − rdt − 1−α dXt (Fund) α dFt = rFt dt + ϕXt dt + dX ∗ (Fees) 1−α t Xt∗ = max Xs (High-Water Mark) 0≤s≤t One safe and one risky asset. Gain split into α for the manager and 1 − α for the fund. Performance fee is α/(1 − α) of fund increase.
  • 44. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Dynamics Well Posed? Problem: fund value implicit. Find solution Xt for dSt α dXt = Xt πt − ϕXt dt − dX ∗ St 1−α t
  • 45. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Dynamics Well Posed? Problem: fund value implicit. Find solution Xt for dSt α dXt = Xt πt − ϕXt dt − dX ∗ St 1−α t Yes. Pathwise construction.
  • 46. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Dynamics Well Posed? Problem: fund value implicit. Find solution Xt for dSt α dXt = Xt πt − ϕXt dt − dX ∗ St 1−α t Yes. Pathwise construction. Proposition ∗ The unique solution is Xt = eRt −αRt , where: t t σ2 2 Rt = µπs − π − ϕ ds + σ πs dWs 0 2 s 0 is the cumulative log return.
  • 47. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Fund Value Explicit Lemma Let Y be a continuous process, and α > 0. Then Yt + 1−α Yt∗ = Rt if and only if Yt = Rt − αRt∗ . α
  • 48. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Fund Value Explicit Lemma Let Y be a continuous process, and α > 0. Then Yt + 1−α Yt∗ = Rt if and only if Yt = Rt − αRt∗ . α Proof. Follows from: α α 1 Rt∗ = sup Ys + sup Yu = Yt∗ + Yt∗ = Y∗ s≤t 1 − α u≤s 1−α 1−α t
  • 49. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Fund Value Explicit Lemma Let Y be a continuous process, and α > 0. Then Yt + 1−α Yt∗ = Rt if and only if Yt = Rt − αRt∗ . α Proof. Follows from: α α 1 Rt∗ = sup Ys + sup Yu = Yt∗ + Yt∗ = Y∗ s≤t 1 − α u≤s 1−α 1−α t Apply Lemma to cumulative log return.
  • 50. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long Horizon The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes expected power utility from fees at a long horizon.
  • 51. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long Horizon The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes expected power utility from fees at a long horizon. Maximizes the long-run objective: 1 p max lim log E[FT ] = λ π T →∞ pT
  • 52. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long Horizon The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes expected power utility from fees at a long horizon. Maximizes the long-run objective: 1 p max lim log E[FT ] = λ π T →∞ pT Dumas and Luciano (1991), Grossman and Vila (1992), Grossman and Zhou (1993). Risk-Sensitive Control: Bielecki and Pliska (1999) and many others.
  • 53. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long Horizon The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes expected power utility from fees at a long horizon. Maximizes the long-run objective: 1 p max lim log E[FT ] = λ π T →∞ pT Dumas and Luciano (1991), Grossman and Vila (1992), Grossman and Zhou (1993). Risk-Sensitive Control: Bielecki and Pliska (1999) and many others. Certainty Equivalent Rate: λ as risk-free rate above which the manager would prefer to retire and invest at such a rate, and below which would rather keep his job.
  • 54. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long Horizon The manager chooses the portfolio π which maximizes expected power utility from fees at a long horizon. Maximizes the long-run objective: 1 p max lim log E[FT ] = λ π T →∞ pT Dumas and Luciano (1991), Grossman and Vila (1992), Grossman and Zhou (1993). Risk-Sensitive Control: Bielecki and Pliska (1999) and many others. Certainty Equivalent Rate: λ as risk-free rate above which the manager would prefer to retire and invest at such a rate, and below which would rather keep his job. 2 1 µ λ = r + γ 2σ2 for Merton problem with risk-aversion γ = 1 − p.
  • 55. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Solving It Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation.
  • 56. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Solving It Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation. Cumulative fees are a fraction of the increase in the fund: α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t
  • 57. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Solving It Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation. Cumulative fees are a fraction of the increase in the fund: α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t Thus, the manager’s objective is equivalent to: 1 ∗ max lim log E[(XT )p ] π T →∞ pT
  • 58. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Solving It Set r = 0 and ϕ = 0 to simplify notation. Cumulative fees are a fraction of the increase in the fund: α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t Thus, the manager’s objective is equivalent to: 1 ∗ max lim log E[(XT )p ] π T →∞ pT Finite-horizon value function: 1 V (x, z, t) = sup E[XT p |Xt = x, Xt∗ = z] ∗ π p 1 dV (Xt , Xt∗ , t) = Vt dt + Vx dXt + Vxx d X t + Vz dXt∗ 2 2 = Vt dt + Vz − α 1−α Vx dXt∗ + Vx Xt (πt µ − ϕ)dt + Vxx σ πt2 Xt2 2
  • 59. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Dynamic Programming Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation:  2 Vt + supπ xVx (πµ − ϕ) + Vxx σ π 2 x 2 )  2 x <z   α Vz = 1−α Vx x =z  V = z p /p  x =0   V = z p /p t =T 
  • 60. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Dynamic Programming Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation:  2 Vt + supπ xVx (πµ − ϕ) + Vxx σ π 2 x 2 )  2 x <z   α Vz = 1−α Vx x =z  V = z p /p  x =0   V = z p /p t =T  Maximize in π, and use homogeneity V (x, z, t) = z p /pV (x/z, 1, t) = z p /pu(x/z, 1, t).  2 ut − ϕxux − µ22 ux = 0 x ∈ (0, 1)    2σ uxx ux (1, t) = p(1 − α)u(1, t) t ∈ (0, T )  u(x, T ) = 1   x ∈ (0, 1)  u(0, t) = 1 t ∈ (0, T )
  • 61. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long-Run Heuristics Long-run limit. Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x), forgetting the terminal condition: 2 2 µ wx −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1 wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1)
  • 62. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long-Run Heuristics Long-run limit. Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x), forgetting the terminal condition: 2 2 µ wx −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1 wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1) This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown.
  • 63. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long-Run Heuristics Long-run limit. Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x), forgetting the terminal condition: 2 2 µ wx −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1 wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1) This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown. Any β with a solution w is an upper bound on the rate λ.
  • 64. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long-Run Heuristics Long-run limit. Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x), forgetting the terminal condition: 2 2 µ wx −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1 wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1) This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown. Any β with a solution w is an upper bound on the rate λ. Candidate long-run value function: the solution w with the lowest β.
  • 65. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Long-Run Heuristics Long-run limit. Guess a solution of the form u(t, x) = ce−pβt w(x), forgetting the terminal condition: 2 2 µ wx −pβw − ϕxwx − 2σ2 wxx = 0 for x < 1 wx (1) = p(1 − α)w(1) This equation is time-homogeneous, but β is unknown. Any β with a solution w is an upper bound on the rate λ. Candidate long-run value function: the solution w with the lowest β. 1−α µ2 w(x) = x p(1−α) , for β = (1−α)γ+α 2σ 2 − ϕ(1 − α).
  • 66. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Verification Theorem µ2 1 1 If ϕ − r < 2σ 2 min γ∗ , γ∗ 2 , then for any portfolio π: 1 1 µ2 lim log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α) π + r − ϕ ,r T →∞ pT γ ∗ 2σ 2 α 1 µ2 Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ + 1−α r < γ∗ 2σ 2 , the µ unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 . ˆ
  • 67. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Verification Theorem µ2 1 1 If ϕ − r < 2σ 2 min γ∗ , γ∗ 2 , then for any portfolio π: 1 1 µ2 lim log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α) π + r − ϕ ,r T →∞ pT γ ∗ 2σ 2 α 1 µ2 Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ + 1−α r < γ∗ 2σ 2 , the µ unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 . ˆ Martingale argument. No HJB equation needed.
  • 68. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Verification Theorem µ2 1 1 If ϕ − r < 2σ 2 min γ∗ , γ∗ 2 , then for any portfolio π: 1 1 µ2 lim log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α) π + r − ϕ ,r T →∞ pT γ ∗ 2σ 2 α 1 µ2 Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ + 1−α r < γ∗ 2σ 2 , the µ unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 . ˆ Martingale argument. No HJB equation needed. Show upper bound for any portfolio π (delicate).
  • 69. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Verification Theorem µ2 1 1 If ϕ − r < 2σ 2 min γ∗ , γ∗ 2 , then for any portfolio π: 1 1 µ2 lim log E (FT )p ≤ max (1 − α) π + r − ϕ ,r T →∞ pT γ ∗ 2σ 2 α 1 µ2 Under the nondegeneracy condition ϕ + 1−α r < γ∗ 2σ 2 , the µ unique optimal solution is π = γ1∗ σ2 . ˆ Martingale argument. No HJB equation needed. Show upper bound for any portfolio π (delicate). Check equality for guessed solution (easy).
  • 70. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (1) Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric).
  • 71. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (1) Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric). For any portfolio π: T σ2 2 T ˜ RT = − 0 2 πt dt + 0 σπt d Wt
  • 72. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (1) Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric). For any portfolio π: T σ2 2 T ˜ RT = − 0 2 πt dt + 0 σπt d Wt ˜ Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion
  • 73. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (1) Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric). For any portfolio π: T σ2 2 T ˜ RT = − 0 2 πt dt + 0 σπt d Wt ˜ Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion Explicit representation: ∗ ∗ µ ˜ µ2 WT − T E [(XT )p ] = E[ep(1−α)RT ] = EQ ep(1−α)RT e σ π 2σ 2
  • 74. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (1) Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric). For any portfolio π: T σ2 2 T ˜ RT = − 0 2 πt dt + 0 σπt d Wt ˜ Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion Explicit representation: ∗ ∗ µ ˜ µ2 WT − T E [(XT )p ] = E[ep(1−α)RT ] = EQ ep(1−α)RT e σ π 2σ 2 For δ > 1, Hölder’s inequality: δ−1 1 µ ˜ 2 δ ∗ µ ˜ 2 W − µ2T ∗ δ δ δ−1 W − µ2T σ T p(1−α)RT σ T δp(1−α)RT 2σ EQ e e 2σ ≤ EQ e EQ e
  • 75. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (1) Take p > 0 (p < 0 symmetric). For any portfolio π: T σ2 2 T ˜ RT = − 0 2 πt dt + 0 σπt d Wt ˜ Wt = Wt + µ/σt risk-neutral Brownian Motion Explicit representation: ∗ ∗ µ ˜ µ2 WT − T E [(XT )p ] = E[ep(1−α)RT ] = EQ ep(1−α)RT e σ π 2σ 2 For δ > 1, Hölder’s inequality: δ−1 1 µ ˜ 2 δ ∗ µ ˜ 2 W − µ2T ∗ δ δ δ−1 W − µ2T σ T p(1−α)RT σ T δp(1−α)RT 2σ EQ e e 2σ ≤ EQ e EQ e 1 µ2 T Second term exponential normal moment. Just e δ−1 2σ2 .
  • 76. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (2) ∗ δp(1−α)RT Estimate EQ e .
  • 77. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (2) ∗ δp(1−α)RT Estimate EQ e . Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale. Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞.
  • 78. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (2) ∗ δp(1−α)RT Estimate EQ e . Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale. Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞. Fact: inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1]. ∗
  • 79. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (2) ∗ δp(1−α)RT Estimate EQ e . Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale. Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞. Fact: inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1]. ∗ Thus, for δp(1 − α) < 1: ∗ ∗ 1 EQ eδp(1−α)RT ≤ EQ eδp(1−α)R∞ = 1 − δp(1 − α)
  • 80. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (2) ∗ δp(1−α)RT Estimate EQ e . Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale. Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞. Fact: inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1]. ∗ Thus, for δp(1 − α) < 1: ∗ ∗ 1 EQ eδp(1−α)RT ≤ EQ eδp(1−α)R∞ = 1 − δp(1 − α) 1 In summary, for 1 < δ < p(1−α) : 1 1 µ2 limlog E (FT )p ≤ π T →∞ pT p(δ − 1) 2σ 2
  • 81. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Upper Bound (2) ∗ δp(1−α)RT Estimate EQ e . Mt = eRt strictly positive continuous local martingale. Converges to zero as t ↑ ∞. Fact: inverse of lifetime supremum (M∞ )−1 uniform on [0, 1]. ∗ Thus, for δp(1 − α) < 1: ∗ ∗ 1 EQ eδp(1−α)RT ≤ EQ eδp(1−α)R∞ = 1 − δp(1 − α) 1 In summary, for 1 < δ < p(1−α) : 1 1 µ2 limlog E (FT )p ≤ π T →∞ pT p(δ − 1) 2σ 2 1 Thesis follows as δ → p(1−α) .
  • 82. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks and Drawdowns Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the same account Ct = Xt + Ft . dSt dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt St
  • 83. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks and Drawdowns Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the same account Ct = Xt + Ft . dSt dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt St Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ : α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t
  • 84. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks and Drawdowns Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the same account Ct = Xt + Ft . dSt dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt St Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ : α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t Account increase dCt∗ as fund increase plus fees increase: t t α 1 Ct∗ −C0 = ∗ ∗ (dXs +dFs ) = ∗ + 1 dXs = (X ∗ −X0 ) 0 0 1−α 1−α t
  • 85. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks and Drawdowns Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the same account Ct = Xt + Ft . dSt dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt St Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ : α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t Account increase dCt∗ as fund increase plus fees increase: t t α 1 Ct∗ −C0 = ∗ ∗ (dXs +dFs ) = ∗ + 1 dXs = (X ∗ −X0 ) 0 0 1−α 1−α t Obvious bound Ct ≥ Ft yields: Ct ≥ α(Ct∗ − X0 )
  • 86. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications High-Water Marks and Drawdowns Imagine fund’s assets Xt and manager’s fees Ft in the same account Ct = Xt + Ft . dSt dCt = (Ct − Ft )πt St Fees Ft proportional to high-water mark Xt∗ : α Ft = (X ∗ − X0 ) ∗ 1−α t Account increase dCt∗ as fund increase plus fees increase: t t α 1 Ct∗ −C0 = ∗ ∗ (dXs +dFs ) = ∗ + 1 dXs = (X ∗ −X0 ) 0 0 1−α 1−α t Obvious bound Ct ≥ Ft yields: Ct ≥ α(Ct∗ − X0 ) X0 negligible as t ↑ ∞. Approximate drawdown constraint. Ct ≥ αCt∗
  • 87. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Certainty equivalent rates Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions
  • 88. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Certainty equivalent rates Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions Manager: 1 − α µ2 − (1 − α)(ϕ − r ) γ∗ 2σ 2
  • 89. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Certainty equivalent rates Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions Manager: 1 − α µ2 − (1 − α)(ϕ − r ) γ∗ 2σ 2 Investor: 1 − α µ2 γI − γM 1 − (1 − α) − (1 − α)(ϕ − r ) γ∗ 2σ 2 γ∗
  • 90. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Certainty equivalent rates Certainty equivalent rates under parametric restrictions Manager: 1 − α µ2 − (1 − α)(ϕ − r ) γ∗ 2σ 2 Investor: 1 − α µ2 γI − γM 1 − (1 − α) − (1 − α)(ϕ − r ) γ∗ 2σ 2 γ∗ Dependence on fees?
  • 91. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Manager Performance fees affect the manager in two ways.
  • 92. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Manager Performance fees affect the manager in two ways. Income effect. Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate. Positive impact.
  • 93. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Manager Performance fees affect the manager in two ways. Income effect. Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate. Positive impact. Drag effect. Reduce fund growth, hence future fees. Negative impact.
  • 94. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Manager Performance fees affect the manager in two ways. Income effect. Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate. Positive impact. Drag effect. Reduce fund growth, hence future fees. Negative impact. Because horizon is long, and no participation is allowed, second effect prevails.
  • 95. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Manager Performance fees affect the manager in two ways. Income effect. Accrued to manager’s account, but only at safe rate. Positive impact. Drag effect. Reduce fund growth, hence future fees. Negative impact. Because horizon is long, and no participation is allowed, second effect prevails. Manager’s certainty equivalent rate decreases with α. Manager prefers 10% in rapidly growing fund, than 20% in slowly growing fund.
  • 96. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Investor Performance fees affect the investor in two ways.
  • 97. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Investor Performance fees affect the investor in two ways. Cost effect. Reduce fund growth. Negative impact.
  • 98. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Investor Performance fees affect the investor in two ways. Cost effect. Reduce fund growth. Negative impact. Agency effect. Shrink manager’s risk aversion towards one. Ambiguous impact.
  • 99. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Investor Performance fees affect the investor in two ways. Cost effect. Reduce fund growth. Negative impact. Agency effect. Shrink manager’s risk aversion towards one. Ambiguous impact. Do observed levels of performance fees serve investors?
  • 100. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Investor Performance fees affect the investor in two ways. Cost effect. Reduce fund growth. Negative impact. Agency effect. Shrink manager’s risk aversion towards one. Ambiguous impact. Do observed levels of performance fees serve investors? If investors could choose performance fees themselves, at which levels would they set them?
  • 101. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Equilibrium Fees 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Pairs of risk aversions for the manager (x) and the investor (y) such that investors’s optimal α∗ is within 0 and 1, and certainty equivalent rate greater than r . ϕ = r = 2% (left panel) and ϕ = r = 3% (right panel). Optimal fees 20% on solid line.
  • 102. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Agency Effect Limited Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the investor and for the manager.
  • 103. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Agency Effect Limited Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the investor and for the manager. Investor Risk aversion must be lower than 2.
  • 104. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Agency Effect Limited Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the investor and for the manager. Investor Risk aversion must be lower than 2. Manager’s risk aversion must be lower than 1.
  • 105. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Agency Effect Limited Equilibrium fees require very low risk aversion both for the investor and for the manager. Investor Risk aversion must be lower than 2. Manager’s risk aversion must be lower than 1. Otherwise no equilibrium exists.
  • 106. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Parameter Restrictions ϕ = 1% ϕ=1%, r = 1% α µ/σ 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0.25 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 0.5 12.4 12.3 12.3 12.2 12.1 1.0 49.9 49.8 49.8 49.7 49.6 1.5 112.4 112.3 112.3 112.2 112.1 α 1 µ2 Maximum risk-aversion γ for which ϕ + 1−α r < γ∗ 2σ 2 , and µ hence the optimal portfolio is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
  • 107. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Parameter Restrictions ϕ = 2% ϕ=2%, r = 1% α µ/σ 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0.25 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 0.5 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 1.0 26.2 26.9 27.5 28.2 29.0 1.5 59.1 60.6 62.3 64.0 65.7 α 1 µ2 Maximum risk-aversion γ for which ϕ + 1−α r < γ∗ 2σ 2 , and µ hence the optimal portfolio is π = γ1∗ σ2 .
  • 108. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Testable Implications The model predicts that: Funds with higher fees should have higher leverage, (for γ > 1, and viceversa for γ < 1).
  • 109. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Testable Implications The model predicts that: Funds with higher fees should have higher leverage, (for γ > 1, and viceversa for γ < 1). Funds with higher fees should have smaller drawdowns.
  • 110. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Testable Implications The model predicts that: Funds with higher fees should have higher leverage, (for γ > 1, and viceversa for γ < 1). Funds with higher fees should have smaller drawdowns. Leverage may differ across funds, but for a given fund it should remain constant over time.
  • 111. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Conclusion Performance fees with High-Water Marks: Make managers more myopic. Higher fees: manager’s preferences matter less.
  • 112. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Conclusion Performance fees with High-Water Marks: Make managers more myopic. Higher fees: manager’s preferences matter less. Akin to Drawdown constraints, for long horizons.
  • 113. Problem Model Solution Welfare Implications Conclusion Performance fees with High-Water Marks: Make managers more myopic. Higher fees: manager’s preferences matter less. Akin to Drawdown constraints, for long horizons. Manager’s nonparticipation important assumption.