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Matt Griffin: How Did We Get Here?
- 1. How Did We Get Here? Matt Griffin Pine Street Group
- 2. Via6
- 3. Via6
- 4. Via6
- 5. Mix of Inputs • Personal experiences • Assessment of the world 5-6 years ago
- 6. Bike Trip Around the World 1986-87
- 10. Seaboard 2001
- 11. Seaboard 2001
- 12. Manhattan 2006
- 13. NYC – Place to Hang Out
- 14. Community – Making Friends
- 15. 5-6 Years Ago • U.S running deficits – two wars • Americans spending more than we make • House appreciation taken as a given
- 16. World • • • • • Migration to cities Jobs from intellectual capital World is flat Traffic Energy costs
- 17. Financial Crisis • Spend more than we make • Pile up of debt
- 19. Financial Crisis • Spend more than we make • Pile up of debt Mortgage availability • Spend less than we make • Lower cost/standard of living • Use less resources
- 20. US Household Debt as % of Disposable Income
- 21. Environmental • • • • • • Green Global warming Energy efficiency Density Traffic Tolls, carbon tax, MVET, gas tax
- 22. Work Force • • • • Intellectual capital Creative class Shortage of talent High tech talent is younger and more mobile
- 24. Work Force • • • • Intellectual capital Creative class Shortage of talent High tech talent is younger and more mobile Younger, college educated is more urban
- 25. Urban Centers Draw More Young-Educated Adults In 2000, young adults with a four-year degree were about 61% more likely to live in close-in urban neighborhoods than their less-educated counterparts. In 2011, they are about 94% more likely. USA Today
- 26. Seattle • Green • Traffic (+ 520 & 99) • Mass transit
- 27. Commute Seattle
- 28. Seattle • Green • Traffic (+ 520 & 99) • Mass transit Advance degrees
- 29. Education U.S. Bachelor’s degree or higher Seattle 28% 56% (persons age 25+, 2007-2011) U.S. Census Bureau
- 30. Seattle • Green • Traffic (+ 520 & 99) • Mass transit • Advanced degrees Higher Ed • Shrinking families, more singles
- 31. U.S. Seattle People Living Alone 27% 41% Age 18-64 (2011) 63% 74% U.S. Census Bureau
- 33. Seattle • Green • Traffic (+ 520 & 99) • Mass transit • Advanced • degrees • Shrinking families, more singles Pets
- 35. One Sea Change
- 36. What’s this mean for urban living? • 25-40 • older
- 38. What’s this mean? • • • • Own less Live in less space Walkability Avoid that stinking, polluting, expensive bummer • Rent vs. buy
- 39. Economist 10/18/13 issue, US Driving
- 40. AAA ‘Your Driving Costs’ 2012 Cost to own and operate a vehicle in the U.S. Based on Driving 15,000 miles annually Sedan Average SUV Minivan 4WD Cost Per Mile 59.6 cents 75.7 cents 63.4 cents Cost Per Year $8,946 $11,360 $9,504
- 42. Result • • • • • • • Walkability Borrow it or rent it If not in my own place, nearby City streets and hood as living room Social – maybe greater Trade – parking for Wi-Fi and cell Internet pipes – cable, cat X, etc.
- 43. Social • • • • • Golf course for a café and pub Third place Ways to build community Cul-de-sac and kids Dog wash or nursery
- 44. Older • Is it much different? • Flexibility • Think younger
- 45. Via6
- 46. Via6
- 47. Via6
- 48. Via6
- 49. Via6
- 50. Via6
- 52. What could screw it up? • • • • • • City doing stupid stuff with zoning Cutting Metro funding Not caring for infrastructure K-12 Higher Ed Etc.