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Beyond Rio+20: Water Security as a Catalyst for Climate-Resilient Development by M. Jarraud
1. Beyond Rio+20: Water Security as a Catalyst for
Climate-Resilient Development
A GLOBAL FRAMEWORK
FOR CLIMATE SERVICES
by M. Jarraud
WMO Secretary-General
Presented at the
Global Water Partnership's
Annual Consulting Partners
Meeting
(Stockholm, 26 August 2012)
5. Climate change introduces additional
complexity and uncertainty
The past is no longer a trustworthy indicator of the future
New paradigms required to support decision-making
6. Key anticipated
impacts on water
Altered precipitation regimes at different
latitudes
Regional variations in flooding and
drought
Water stored in glaciers and snow cover
projected to decline
Induced changes in soil moisture &
vapotranspiration
Mounting salinity intrusion through sea-
level rise Peru's Quelccaya ice cap
(National Geographic
Society )
7. Billions of USD per decade Geological
495
500
450 Hydrometeorological
400 345
350
300
Economic losses 250
200 160
related to disasters 150
88
103
are increasing 100
50 4 11 14
24
47
0
56-65 66-75 76-85 86-95 96-05
decade
Millions of casualties per decade Geological
But we are 3
2.66
Hydrometeorological
saving lives 2.5
2 1.73
1.5
Source: EM-DAT: The
OFDA/CRED 1 0.65 0.67
International Disaster
0.39
Database 0.5 0.22 0.25 0.22
0.17
0.05
0 7
56-65 66-75 76-85 86-95 96-05
decade
9. Climate information
for decision-making
Identifying the potential users
Agriculture and food security
Disaster risk reduction
Energy production, transport and usage
Finance and insurance
Health
Water quality and water
resources management
Trade and commerce
Transport
Tourism
Urban development/management
Recreation and sports
...and many more... 9
18. Examples of initial
GFCS elements
31st Greater Horn of Africa Climate
Outlook Forum; Djibouti, May 2012
Capacity Development to
extend GFCS benefits to the IGAD Pilot RCC: Greater Horn of
developing world Africa consensus-driven climate
18
outlook; July - September 2011
20. Possible initial implementation
activities & projects
Establish Framework leadership & management
Define national mandates in climate services provision
Strengthen capabilities in disaster risk reduction
Improve communication between climate, agriculture
and food security communities
Enhance partnerships between climate services and
water resources management
Develop national working groups in climate and health
Improve decision-making on climate-related risks
Strengthen climate information regional infrastructure
Advance in data recovery and digitizing
Launch pilot projects
21. Summing-up
3 closely-related issues:
Adaptation to climate
variability and change
Disaster risk reduction
Sustainable development &
societal benefits
Requirements:
Reinforcing developing
countries' adaptive
capabilities
Multidisciplinary partnerships
across all sectors
Capacity building to be seen
as an investment, not an
expenditure
A key opportunity:
A Global Framework for
Climate Services