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Climate Change and the Himalayan Highlanders




          A Toad’s Eye View of the Problem and Responses


                                                   Dipak Gyawali
                            Nepal Water Conservation Foundation,
                               GPO Box 3971, Kathmandu, Nepal
                                  e-mail: dipakgyawali@ntc.net.np
18th August 2008 Embankment Breach

        Embankments in Nepal
                               Breach Point
 Western Embankment
                                                    Chatara            Eastern
   in Nepal 17 km
                                                                    Embankment
    Barrage                                                        in Nepal 31 km



Kosi River                                                             Laukahi
  Canal

Embankments
  in Bihar                                                              East West
                                                                         Highway

                                                                        Nepal-India
                               Bihar                                      border


                                                                    Kosi flowing
                                                                    after breach



                                       Ganga




                                               Schematic conceptualization Ajaya Dixit
East West Highway in Nepal            Road in Bihar




              Railway Embankment   Skewed Bridge in Bihar
Performance of Kosi Project
Irrigation

         Designed 325,000 ha (West) and 347,000 ha (East).
         Maximum achievements so far are:

                   7.79 % in 2006/2007 and
                   29.93 % in 1983/1984
Flood Mitigation

         Designed to protect 214,000 ha.
         4,15,000 ha is under permanent water-logging

Hydropower

         Much lower than the design capacity 20 MW
Sediment yield

Designed              700m3/km2/year
After 1993 floods     38095 m3/km2
1994                  83333 m3/km2
Average (1981-1994)   12000 m3/km2/year
Mass Wasting Bed Load, Palung 1993
Temperature Change




Nepal
India
Rainfall
Watershed function


                                     Green water            August spring
                    July spring                   Peak
                                                  monsoon           Foothill
                                                                    spring
             Foothill                   Monsoon   buffer
                             Early
             spring                                                            Blue
                                         Dry period                            water
                                         water level
Blue water
Managing monsoon
     runoff by
Drainage and ponds
The results

  Active gully 1989   Stable gully 1991
Core message

Ponds helped reduce the peak of the monsoon
hydrograph and save water for winter in the system.
The following were the visible benefits




 –   Landslide stabilization
 –   Gully stabilization
 –   Green water preservation
 –   Increased maize production by 50%
Plural Definition of the Climate Problem
Population - too many people is the
                                           Bureaucracies/State
problem: Solution is to manage it
through regulation.


Neruvian                                       Population


                                                 Climate
                                                 Change

  Market                         Pricing                    Profligacy          Social Movements/Greens

 Pricing is the problem: solution is
 to remove control remove control                                               Profligacy is the problem:
 and subsidies.                                                                 solution is to reign in our
                                                                                greed.
                                                                                 Gandhian
 Regan/ Thatcheran


                                                                         Adapted from Rayner and Malone (1998)
Outrageous Conclusions from Uncomfortable Knowledge

• Water or climate change – they are all wicked problems with
  nested layers of more trouble that won’t go away soon
• They can be dealt with only by uncomfortable knowledge
  generated from a “toad’s eye view”, i.e. adaptation based more on
  household risk perception than on higher level policy prescriptions
• Clumsy solutions from not just neat procedural hierarchism, but
  also informal market individualism and civic egalitarianism.
• It requires rethinking sustainability as understood by informal
  households defining their sutainability over generations.

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Cliamte Change and the Himalayan HIghlanders, by Dipak Gyawali

  • 1. Climate Change and the Himalayan Highlanders A Toad’s Eye View of the Problem and Responses Dipak Gyawali Nepal Water Conservation Foundation, GPO Box 3971, Kathmandu, Nepal e-mail: dipakgyawali@ntc.net.np
  • 2. 18th August 2008 Embankment Breach Embankments in Nepal Breach Point Western Embankment Chatara Eastern in Nepal 17 km Embankment Barrage in Nepal 31 km Kosi River Laukahi Canal Embankments in Bihar East West Highway Nepal-India Bihar border Kosi flowing after breach Ganga Schematic conceptualization Ajaya Dixit
  • 3. East West Highway in Nepal Road in Bihar Railway Embankment Skewed Bridge in Bihar
  • 4. Performance of Kosi Project Irrigation Designed 325,000 ha (West) and 347,000 ha (East). Maximum achievements so far are: 7.79 % in 2006/2007 and 29.93 % in 1983/1984 Flood Mitigation Designed to protect 214,000 ha. 4,15,000 ha is under permanent water-logging Hydropower Much lower than the design capacity 20 MW
  • 5. Sediment yield Designed 700m3/km2/year After 1993 floods 38095 m3/km2 1994 83333 m3/km2 Average (1981-1994) 12000 m3/km2/year
  • 6. Mass Wasting Bed Load, Palung 1993
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  • 8.
  • 11. Watershed function Green water August spring July spring Peak monsoon Foothill spring Foothill Monsoon buffer Early spring Blue Dry period water water level Blue water
  • 12. Managing monsoon runoff by Drainage and ponds
  • 13. The results Active gully 1989 Stable gully 1991
  • 14. Core message Ponds helped reduce the peak of the monsoon hydrograph and save water for winter in the system. The following were the visible benefits – Landslide stabilization – Gully stabilization – Green water preservation – Increased maize production by 50%
  • 15. Plural Definition of the Climate Problem Population - too many people is the Bureaucracies/State problem: Solution is to manage it through regulation. Neruvian Population Climate Change Market Pricing Profligacy Social Movements/Greens Pricing is the problem: solution is to remove control remove control Profligacy is the problem: and subsidies. solution is to reign in our greed. Gandhian Regan/ Thatcheran Adapted from Rayner and Malone (1998)
  • 16. Outrageous Conclusions from Uncomfortable Knowledge • Water or climate change – they are all wicked problems with nested layers of more trouble that won’t go away soon • They can be dealt with only by uncomfortable knowledge generated from a “toad’s eye view”, i.e. adaptation based more on household risk perception than on higher level policy prescriptions • Clumsy solutions from not just neat procedural hierarchism, but also informal market individualism and civic egalitarianism. • It requires rethinking sustainability as understood by informal households defining their sutainability over generations.