P2.3. Achieving food security in the face of climate change. Why we need a step change in our partnership models
1. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
ACHIEVING FOOD SECURITY IN THE FACE OF
CLIMATE CHANGE.
WHY WE NEED A STEP CHANGE
IN OUR PARTNERSHIP MODELS
Federica Rossi
2. Commission on Sustainable Agriculture and
PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
ClimateChange
Paul Red Smith
• “Business as usual in our globally interconnected food system will
not bring us food security and environmental sustainability”
• “The window of opportunity to avert a humanitarian,
environmental and climate crisis is rapidly closing”
• Provides 7 over-arching recommendations that span: production-
consumption continuum; agriculture-climate-environment divide,
etc.
• Commission brings home the need for a very different approach
to partnerships
Beddington et al. (2012) Science 335: 289-290 www.ccafs.cgiar.org/commission
3. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
Programme on Climate Change Agriculture and
Food Security CCAFS: the partnership!
The largest global coalition of scientists working
on developing-country agriculture and climate
change
4. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Forests, Trees and Agroforestry:
Paul Red Smith
Livelihoods, Landscapes and
Governance
Forest are cut, biodiversity is lost: a new research approach
in response to the challenge of improving management and
governance of our remaining forests, reducing conflicts over
disputed lands, increasing the well-being of women and
marginalized groups
5. The context
PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
6. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
Increase adaptive capacities
of agricultural systems.
Increase of food production
and access. Act on
environmental conservation
strategies. Agricultural
environmental footprint mus
shrink dramatically
Foley J et al., 2011. Solutions for a cultivated
planet. Nature, 478. 337-342
7. Range of competences:YEAR
PRESENTATION OF THE
Paul Red Smith
FARM MANAGEMENT
MITIGATION, LONG & SHORT TERM ADAPTATION, SUSTAINABILITY (RESEARCHERS,
STAKEHOLDERS, POLICY MAKERS)
+ DSS
GIS + Climate science &
Earth observation + models +
u* z
u ( z) =
k
ln
z0 m ICT
RA
RX
T0 TC
m RS
TS
θ(z,t)
v(x,y,t)
9. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
The needs:
Paul Red Smith
… a common
problem,
a walk together
in the same
direction ….
10. EXAMPLE OF PARTNERSHIP
PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
Applications of meteorology to agricultural cropping systems, forestry, fisheries,
and agricultural land use and livestock management
Development of agromet services of Members by transfer of knowledge and
methodology and by providing advices;
Methods, procedures, techniques for the provision of meteorological services to
agriculture;
Formulation of data requirements for agricultural purposes;
Introduction of effective methods for disseminating agromet information, advice
and warnings to agriculture by mass media;
Meteorological aspects of drought and desertification.
11. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
OPAG 3 - Climate Change/Variability and Natural Disasters in Agriculture
To summarize, analyze, report on the status of climate climate/variability studies,
mitigation and adaptation strategies, methodologies to reduce of natural disaster impacts,
and help improve the utility of long-term climate predictions in agriculture.
3.1 ICT
To summarize the status of cc/variability studies as they impact national and regional
agriculture, rangelands, forestry and fisheries.
To report on current capabilities in the analysis of cc/variability specifically as they relate to and
affect agriculture at the national and regional levels;
To review the results of cc/variability scenarios at the regional level and promote appropriate
adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts on the productivity.
To identify deficiencies in the operational applications of long-range predictions for agriculture,
and make recommendations for improving the technology for the benefit of agriculture at the
national and regional levels.
12. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
3.2 – ET Weather and Climate Extremes-Impacts-Preparedness Strategies in
Agriculture, Rangelands, Forestry, and Fisheries
-To determine the critical areas by climatic zones where agricultural production is vulnerable
to extremes in different regions; and to suggest continuous monitoring strategies for early
detection in vulnerable areas;
-To appraise and report on current capabilities in the analysis of climate risks and to
summarize the different strategies of coping with climate risks in agriculture
13. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
3.3 – ET Response of Agricultural Communities to Information on a Changing
Climate:
Adaptation at the Regional Level
- To review and assess the response of agricultural communities to information on a
changing climate in order to improve their capacity to cope with climate variability and
change;
- To summarize methodologies for the assessment of adaptation measures in order
to cope with climate change/variability and risk management in agriculture;
-To assess the current status of communication of climate alert information to the
agricultural communities in different Regions, and recommend ways and means of
improving dissemination
-To summarize strategies to cope with climate variability and change and assess their
impacts on sustainable agriculture;
- To review the strengths and weaknesses of existing provisions in the national
policies related to climate extremes impacting on agriculture
14. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
"enable better management of the risks of climate variability and change and adaptation to
climate change, through the development and incorporation of science-based climate
information and prediction into planning, policy and practice on the global, regional and
national scale".
Agro-Climate Decision Support System for food security
15. Agro-Climate Decision Support System for water
PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR Long
ter
and food security
Paul Red Smith strat
M
egies m
. anag Ri s
Applications for Prep eme k
a re d nt.
Decision-Making mit ness
&
Policy Making mea igation
sure
s. La
use nd
Farm management
Extension tools and educational
aids to provide a
& Training pathway of learning
for farmers
Farm Operational tools
Decisions (drought continues,
rainy season begins…).
Producing more with
less water.
16. EXAMPLE OF PARTNERSHIP
PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
Drives innovation in cc through partnerships (business, academia, public entities).
Addresses themes to respond to the challenge of cc, and identifies opportunities through
education, innovation and entrepreneurship:
Managing climate drivers - assessing and forecasting extreme climates to develop mitigation and
adaptive solutions
Water management - supply and demand of water to develop sustainable solutions
Low carbon cities - traffic and waste management and energy efficiency to transform urban
mobility and create less waste
Zero carbon production - focusing on bio-renewables, such as using waste as a resource to create
biomass and produce energy
17. a PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
n
t
f • Greater understanding on the partnerships needed,
from local to global levels, in order to tackle climate
r change adaptation and mitigation
o • Commitment by key actors to strengthened global
m partnership that appropriately incorporates local,
national and regional actors
t
18. PRESENTATION OF THE YEAR
Paul Red Smith
It is time for us…
•Shaping new regional Partnerships
•Regional Approaching towards Climate-Smart
Agriculture
•Addressing National Needs through AR4D Processes
•Discussion
•Research initiatives to integrate local communities into
AR4D
•Panel “Establishing the Global Alliance…”
Hinweis der Redaktion
Agriculture stands at the nexus of three of the greatest challenges facing humankind in the 21 st century. In 2012 the Commission ….. Delivered its final report. This Commission was made up of 13 international experts, and was chaired by Sir John Beddington the UK Chief Scientist. The Commission recommended urgent action on climate change and agriculture. It provided seven recommendations which are very over-arching, spanning the whole food system
The CGIAR has just gone through a reform process and one of the principles of the reform involves a new commitment to partnerships. One of the CRPs is that on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) CCAFS is not only a CGIAR program – it is actually a joint program between the CGIAR and Future Earth – Future Earth includes such organisations as the World Climate Research Program and DIVERSITAS. In the US alone the budget for global change research in the broad sense (ie not only CCAFS focussed) is about 2.5 billion. CCAFS will work with Future Earth to focus attention on cc and agric in smallholder systems.
Forests are cut, temperatures rise and biodiversity is lost. The poor become poorer and indigenous cultures disappear. With the rise in temperatures, fires increase, droughts lengthen, floods spread, and pests and diseases affecting livestock and plants adapt and multiply. What many are calling a “perfect storm” gathers strength and the impact rolls across the developing world from the forests to the farms to the atmosphere. The first and hardest hit are the poorest people who eke out a living on formerly forested lands, or farm dry cereals on degraded and rain-fed lands where the margins for error are slim to none. Next hit are the irrigated areas where floods and drought combine to silt or empty reservoirs; and farmers who plant highly targeted crop varieties struggle to adapt. The incomes and livelihoods of the world’s poorest people spiral downward.