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31, Voukourestiou
                                                                                     10673 Athens

                                                                                   T: 210 360 5002
                                                                                   F: 210 360 6935

                                                                             www.gbrconsulting.gr


                           The State of Athens Hotel Industry

                              Dr. Aris Ikkos, Managing Director
                        Konstantinos Pashalidis – Business Consultant

    GBR Consulting, www.gbrconsulting.gr, is a firm of Strategic and Financial consultants.


Athens is the vital commercial and financial centre of Greece, situated in Attica, on the
southern tip of the Greek mainland. It covers just less than 3% of the territory of the country,
but is home to some 40% of the country’s population or about 4.5 mn people. Athens, Attica’s
capital, has some 750,000 inhabitants but daily hosts about twice that many commuters.
Ninety seven percent of the land mass of Athens is covered, giving an intensive population
density of 6,700 per square meter.

For the last decade, major efforts have been made in order to improve
the quality of life of the people living in the greater Athens area. These
efforts concern not only immense infrastructure and environmental
projects but also actions to reassess the population’s perception and
importance of the city centre in combination with the seafront, a
coastline of over 40 km. Examples of the remarkable change in the
last 7 years include:

•   Athens’ extremely efficient public transport system consisting of metro, light railway, tram
    and buses
•   The award winning Athens International Airport “Eleftherios Venizelos”, consistently ranking
    as one of the world’s top airports in terms of service and efficiency, accessible by metro in
    ½ hour from the city centre
•   160 km of resurfaced roads
•   The unification of the entire historical city centre through pedestrian zones
•   Public transportation/ Monuments accessible to people with disabilities
•   Redesigned central squares and sidewalks
•   Large-scale development of unspoiled or underdeveloped areas in the city centre (Eleonas,
    Gazi-Cultural Quarter, Pireus Avenue-Cultural and Recreational Destrict)
•   Plans for two metropolitan parks (Ellinikon-Waterfront, Goudi-City Centre)
•   Plans to create more public space (parks) by putting high avenues in the city centre below
    earth (Alexandra’s Avenue)
It goes without saying that the Olympic Games were the primary motive for the
         aforementioned achievements yet the starting point of remarkable improvements mainly
         as far as the mentality and the realisation of the importance of Tourism in the Greek
         economy are concerned. Besides, the Athens Olympic Games 2004, being a success
         story, have contributed to the strengthening of the city brand name.

  ATHENS HOTEL INDUSTRY

  According to the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels there are 495 hotels (all accommodation types) in
  the prefecture of Attica (year 2006) with 28.694 rooms and 53.180 beds. In the table below
  the numbers per category are displayed for the years 2003 – 2006:


  Category
                           Hotels                                     Rooms                                    Beds
              2003    2004     2005     2006        2003        2004       2005     2006     2003     2004         2005      2006

    5*         19      24       26          28      4,859       5,825     5,967    6.328     9,130    10,985      11,269    11.913
    4*         55      60       64          64      6,565       6,596     6,906     6460     12,203   12,224      12,830    12.021
    3*         86      90       89          90      5,923       6,177     5,887     6005     10,986   11,449      10,867    11.107
    2*        225     230      231      223         8,379       8,467     8,445     7969     15,489   12,336      15,566    14.617
    1*        113      97       96          90      2,331       2,099     2,021     1878     4,488    4,026        3,831    3522
   Total      498      501     506      495         28,057     29,164     29,226    28,640   52,296   51,020      54,363    53,180


  The following table presents data of the City of Athens only, thus excluding the greater Athens
  area, such as Piraeus etc.

                       Hotels                                       Rooms                                      Beds
Category
             2003    2004 2005        2006       2003        2004       2005       2006      2003     2004         2005      2006

   5*         12     13       14       15        3,522       3,834      3,948      4,211     6,559    7,182       7,408     7,890

  4*          24     29       33       33        3,399       3,743      3,989      3,983     6,205    6,848       7,304     7,304

   3*         40     44       43       43        3,100       3,316      3,232      3,362     5,675    6,055       5,894     6,104

   2*        104     102     102      100        4,144       3,944      3,914      3,709     7,650    7,248       7,182     6,736

   1*         72     64       64       61        1,568       1,549      1,396      1,316     3,037    2,816       2,648     2,464

 Total       252     252     256      252        15,733      16,296     16,479     16,581    29,126   30,149      30,436    30,498



  Regarding Attiki as a whole still 64% of the total accommodations consist of 2* and below in
  2006.

  The category to which we turn our focus is the 5* segment. Indeed, since 2003, nine (three of
  which in Athens City Centre) new hotels have opened their doors to the public demonstrating
  the dynamism of the market. The 4* category also grew in the same period from 55 to 64
  hotels, the 3* from 86 to 90, while 23 hotels in the 1* category and 2 hotels in the 2*
  category closed down. In other words, significant supply has been added, namely 583 rooms



  The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                                                       2/9
particularly in the 5* and 4* categories (1* and 2* hotels have been reduced while upscale
hotels have increased).

Furthermore, it is worth noting that the city of Piraeus, Greece’s biggest port, has shown a
very stable hotel supply in the period of 2003 – 2006. However, the City of Piraeus has only
one 5* hotel, none in the 4* category, but 8 hotels in the 3* category, 23 in the 2* category
and 7 in the 1* category.

PERFORMANCE OF ATHENS HOTELS

According to data monitored by GBR Consulting on behalf of the Athens – Attica Hotel
Association, the performance of the Athens hotel industry in the lastly recorded period is as
follows:

Graph 1:         Athens Hotel Performance in Figures
                                Arr         RevPar          Occ

  140                                                                             70
                                                                                  69
  120
                                                                                  68
  100                                                                             67
                                                                                  66
   80                                                                             65
   60                                                                             64
                                                                                  63
   40                                                                             62
                                                                                  61
   20
                                                                                  60
    0                                                                             59
             2003              2004                  2005             2006

In graph below one can clearly observe the displayed seasonality in the form of RevPAR for the
years 2003 – 2007 (YTD).

Graph 2:         Development of RevPAR in the years 2003 – 2007 (YTD)

  300

  250
                                                                                       2003
  200
                                                                                       2004
  150                                                                                  2005
                                                                                       2006
  100
                                                                                       2007
   50

    0
     Jan   Feb     Mar   Apr   May    Jun     Jul     Aug     Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec



From the above data one could conclude that, with the exception of the Olympic month of
August 2004, it is business as usual in the Athens Hotel industry. However a closer look at the
figures reveals the steady increase in absolute figure of the RevPAR since the year 2005, which
also came about, despite the aforementioned capacity increase particularly in the 4* and 5*


The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                                 3/9
segments. It is remarkable that in May 2007 there is a major shift in the curve confirming the
optimism in the sector. This year seems to be most promising year of all times for the Athens
sector, not only in terms of RevPAR but also in Tourist Arrivals and, eventually, Occupancy.

For most hoteliers, performance improvement is translated into an improvement of the quality
of infrastructure and services provided, not an increase of capacity. No large scale new entries
are projected for the near future. However, a turn towards small boutique hotels has become
obvious the recent years. Besides, it is not a coincidencethat the majority of these hotels
prefer old, abandoned buildings in the city center, precisely in downgraded areas yet with
great potential (Ochre and Brown Hotel, Baby Grand Hotel, Art Hotel, Fresh Hotel).




THE EUROPEAN BENCHMARK

From benchmarking the performance of Athens (categories 3*, 4* and 5*) with a number of
key city destinations, namely Vienna, London, Paris, Berlin, Munchen, Rome, Amsterdam,
Barcelona, Madrid and Istanbul, it is clearly demonstrated that the change in the RevPAR in
the Athens Hotel Industry has faced great fluctuations which is mainly due to the pre- and the
post- Olympic era. Indeed, it can be seen that in 2004 the change surpassed all European
cities reaching 48% whereas the drop in the year 2005 practically reversed all benefits from
previous years, showing a strong recovery in 2006 and the first months of 2007. Therefore,
examining the trend throughout the last 4 years it can be stated that it maintains a rather
stable increase of 4% to 5%, compared to other historic cities such as Rome and Istanbul
which have shown increase in the past but are facing constant decrease during the last 4 years
under examination.

Graph 3:       Percentage change in RevPAR from 2004 –2007 (YTD)




The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                           4/9
55


       50


       45


       40


       35


       30


       25


       20


       15


       10
   %




        5


        0


        -5


       -10


       -15


       -20


       -25


       -30


       -35



THE CASE OF THE 5* HOTELS

The upscale category in the Athens Hotel Industry has experienced a unique development.
Throughout the years 2003 – 2006 nine 5* hotels have opened their doors: Athens Imperial,
King George, Plaza Resort, Holiday Inn Attika Avenue, Life Gallery, Cape Sounion and Athina
Grand Hotel. In Graph 4 below one can observe the substantial increase of Athens RevPAR as
far as the upscale market is concerned, compared to last year’s results. It becomes obvious
this year is quite promising not only to last year but to what has Athens ever experienced
before. Yet the complete picture is still to be seen in 6 months from now.



Graph 4: Athens 5* segment

                                                RevPar (Euro)
                      160

                      140

                      120

                      100

                       80

                       60

                       40
                              j   f   m    a    m   j   j   a     s    o   n   d
                                                2007            2006




The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                       5/9
OUTLOOK

The successful staging of the Olympic Games has vastly improved the country’s attractiveness
as a destination in general, yet the impact in terms of arrivals and overnights in the City of
Athens, as a destination and not as a transit city, is slowly emerging. Athens has much to
offer. With its ‘redesigned’ city, its unique archaeological sites, beautiful islands within 1 hour’s
reach, its clean beaches (EU ‘Blue Flag’ carriers), extensive shopping (the first large-scale
shopping mall opened just 2 years ago and two more are opening their doors this year),
vibrant night life and much more, the city has everything to become a top city break
destination. The city organized in June the City Break Expo 2007 demonstrating its persistence
in gaining valuable knowledge for improvement. However, there are still a lot to be done as far
as a proper Marketing strategy is concerned in order to attract the ever increasing number of
city breakers.


LOW COST CARRIERS

Low cost airlines are incorporating Athens in their expansion strategy even though Athens
International Airport ranks amongst the most expensive in terms of taxes within Europe.
Despite the fact that the Airport counts 20 low cost carriers (37 to all Greek airports)
connecting Athens with mainly Continental Europe, and a very restricted number of cities in
the Middle East and Northern Africa, such as Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco, airlines are now
showing interest in connecting the city of Athens with major European cities. It is not
surprising that EasyJet launched a new flight connection with Paris just in the year 2006.
Furthermore, new routes were added at Athens airport to the USA and a direct flight to Beijing
will start in autumn 2007. This will boost incoming tourists from USA as well as from China, an
immense and promising market.

NEW ATHENS METROPOLITAN CONVENTION CENTRE

An issue of great concern has been the way of taking advantage of the infrastructure, such
stadiums and training halls, built for the Olympic Games in 2004. Indeed, many of them have
retained their initial use boosting cultural and sports activity on a regional as well as
International level, whereas others have undergone immense changes in order to enhance
local economy meeting most of times the market needs. A great example is the NBC which
served for the broadcasting of the Olympic Games which is now being transformed into a
large-scale shopping mall. Another bright example of the macro-economic shift in the Athens
Tourism industry is the New Athens Metropoitan Convention Centre. The Olympic Tae Kwon Do
indoor stadium at Palio Faliro is being turned into the Athens Metropolitan Convention Centre
through a public / private partnership (PPP) scheme.


GBR Consulting in cooperation with the
architect of the stadium, Thymio Papayannis
and Associates, conducted the feasibility
study of the scheme: The Conference
Centre will have a total indoor available
area of 28,000 m2 on three levels hosting a
variety of events in the main auditorium of
3000 pax, two smaller auditoria of 450 pax,
other rooms of 2100 pax and an exhibition
space of 110,500 ft2. It is estimated that
the centre can host 85 events in its first
year (including 4 major international
conferences) attracting about 70,000 attendants and reach more than 200 events with
160,000 attendants in year 5.

The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                                6/9
The government’s private partner for the convention centre is in the process of selecting an
international tender and will undertake the provision of all necessary maintenance work and
management functions for 25 years. Reconstruction and maintenance over this period is
estimated at 56 million euros.

TRANSFORMATION OF THE CITY CENTRE AND THE WATER FRONT

As aforementioned, the post Olympic era has                                             revealed
the huge opportunities that unspoiled pieces of                                      land could
offer as far the image of the city and the quality of                                living   of
the Athenians are concerned.

Indeed, the greater region of Faliron, the region                                    where the
Convention Centre is also being developed, will                                      host  the
new Opera house and the new National Library.

Both buildings will cover more than 30.000 m2 of 200.000 m2 of the total area, whereas the
rest of the space with become a park. It has to be mentioned that this new development is
next to the Faliron Marina and just 4.5 km from the city centre. Furthermore, the
Administration of Attica prefecture in cooperation with the Ministry of Tourism and the Ministry
of Public Infrastructure and Development are putting forward a plan of unifying the entire
coast line, creating a pedestrian zone with bicycle lanes of 42 km. This zone will connect Pireus
port with all Athens suburbs on the coast, the Metropolitan Convention Centre, the National
Library, the Opera Theatre, several marinas, the Ellinikon Metropolitan Park (a park which is
planned to be developed in a total area of 5.3 million m2 where the old Athens airport used to
be), and all that with the Athens Unified Archaeological Sites Pedestrian Zone.


ATHENS HOTEL FACE LIFT

The shift in the Athens Hotel Industry becomes obvious by the several
transactions and renovation projects which were kick-started by the
Olympic Games. The total renovation budget of Athens Hotels
exceeded Euro 1 bn.


Besides the renovation in almost all the upscale hotels, such as
Grande Bretagne, Hilton , Marriott, King George II, the most striking
case is that of Astir Palace Hotel Complex Resort (3 hotels, over 500
rooms). In July 2006 Starwood Hotels & Resorts took over the
management of the resort and the initial estimate for the entire
renovation and construction works amounts to approximately 45
million euros.


GREECE IN FIGURES

Greece has benefited from the hosting of the Olympic Games in Athens in 2004. This becomes
obvious from the several optimistic forecasts published by International Organisations
including the WTTC, the WTO etc. Indeed, facts speak louder than words, demonstrating the
turn in the Greek market in terms of Tourist Arrivals but most important in terms of Tourism
receipts generating in 2005 US$13.7 bn from US$9.7 bn in the year 2002. Besides, Greece
ranks 15th worldwide in 2006 as far as revenue per tourist is concerned, with Euro 1,073 per
tourist. The latter shows clearly the fact that Greece is not anymore considered a low-budget
tourism destination but a modern country with a unique tourism product and high quality of
infrastructure and services provided.

The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                            7/9
TOTAL DEMAND

Travel & Tourism is expected to post Euro 33.7 bn (US$ 41.9 bn) of economic activity (total
demand), growing to Euro 62.4 bn (US$ 74.8 bn) by 2016. Travel & Tourism is expected to
grow by 6.7% in 2006 and 3.8% per annum in real terms between 2007 and 2016.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – TRAVEL & TOURISM INDUSTRY

The T&T industry is expected to contribute 6.5% to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2006
(Euro 12.3 bn or US$ 15.3 bn), rising in nominal terms to Euro 21.7 bn or US$ 26.1 bn (6.5%
of total) by 2016.

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – TRAVEL & TOURISM ECONOMY

The T&T economy contribution (percent of total) should rise from 15.1% (Euro 28.6 bn or US$
35.6 bn) to 15.6% (Euro 52.4 bn or US$ 62.9 bn) in this same period.

EMPLOYMENT
In 2006, the T&T Economy employment is estimated at 699,000 jobs or 15.9% of total
employment, which is 1 in every 6.3 jobs. By 2016, this should total 809,000 jobs, 17.3% of
total employment or 1 in every 5.8 jobs. The 295,000 T&T Industry jobs account for 6.7% of
total employment in 2006 and are forecast to total 322,000 jobs or 6.9% of the total by 2016.

EXPORTS

In Greece, exports make up a very important share of Travel & Tourism's contribution to GDP.
Of total Greece exports, Travel & Tourism is expected to generate 36.8% (Euro 12.8 bn or
US$ 15.9 bn) in 2006, increasing to Euro 23.6 bn, or US$ 28.3 bn (32.8% of
total), in 2016.

CAPITAL INVESTMENT

Greece Travel & Tourism Capital Investment is estimated at Euro 5.7 bn, US$ 7.0 bn or 12.6%
of total investment in year 2006. By 2016, this should reach Euro 12.1 bn, US$ 14.5 bn or
13.3% of total.

INTERNATIONAL ARRIVALS/RECEIPTS

                      International
                                                International Tourism Receipts
                         Arrivals
     2002              14,179,999                        9.7 bn US$
     2003              13,969,393                        10.7 bn US$
     2004              13,312,629                        12.9 bn US$
     2005              14.276.465                        13.7 bn US$




The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                         8/9
INTERNATIONAL VISITOR ARRIVALS BY RESIDENCE

                           2005                     2004                      2003                      2002
                        Visitors   % of    Rank   Visitors   % of    Rank   Visitors   % of    Rank   Visitors   % of
Country          Rank
                        (x1000)    total          (x1000)    total          (x1000)    total          (x1000)    total

UK                1     2,718      19%      1     2,870      22%      1     3,008      22%      1     2,858      20%
Germany           2     2,241      16%      2     2,189      16%      2     2,267      16%      2     2,511      18%
Albania           3     1,478      10%      3     1.194      9%       3     1,119      8%       3     1,256      9%
Italy             4     1,128      8%       4      898       7%       4       866      6%       4       805      6%
France            5      676       5%       5      621       5%       5       715      5%       5       736      5%
Netherlands       6      666       5%       6      612       5%       6       636      5%       6       721      5%
Austria           8      464       3%       7      440       3%       8       444      3%       8       462      3%
Bulgaria          7      599       4%       8      440       3%       7       460      3%       7       470      3%
FYROM             -        -         -      9      411       3%       9       443      3%      10       310      2%
Belgium/Lux       9      401       3%      10      375       3%      10       385      3%       9       358      3%
Other                   3,900      27%            2,274      17%            2,730      20%            3,693      26%
Total                   14,276     100%           13,313     100%           13,969     100%           14,180     100%




          WEB SITE RECOMMENDATIONS



          GBR Consulting: www.gbrconsulting.gr/tourism
          Attica Hotel Association: http://www.all-athens-hotels.com/
          The City of Athens: www.cityofathens.gr
          Athens Tourism Bureau: http://www.athenstourism.gr/
          Chamber of Hotels: www.grhotels.gr
          SETE (Association of Greek Tourist Enterprises): www.sete.gr
          Travel Daily News (greek): www.traveldailynews.gr
          Travel Daily News (international): www.traveldailynews.com




          The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007                                                    9/9

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2007: the state of the Athens hotel industry

  • 1. 31, Voukourestiou 10673 Athens T: 210 360 5002 F: 210 360 6935 www.gbrconsulting.gr The State of Athens Hotel Industry Dr. Aris Ikkos, Managing Director Konstantinos Pashalidis – Business Consultant GBR Consulting, www.gbrconsulting.gr, is a firm of Strategic and Financial consultants. Athens is the vital commercial and financial centre of Greece, situated in Attica, on the southern tip of the Greek mainland. It covers just less than 3% of the territory of the country, but is home to some 40% of the country’s population or about 4.5 mn people. Athens, Attica’s capital, has some 750,000 inhabitants but daily hosts about twice that many commuters. Ninety seven percent of the land mass of Athens is covered, giving an intensive population density of 6,700 per square meter. For the last decade, major efforts have been made in order to improve the quality of life of the people living in the greater Athens area. These efforts concern not only immense infrastructure and environmental projects but also actions to reassess the population’s perception and importance of the city centre in combination with the seafront, a coastline of over 40 km. Examples of the remarkable change in the last 7 years include: • Athens’ extremely efficient public transport system consisting of metro, light railway, tram and buses • The award winning Athens International Airport “Eleftherios Venizelos”, consistently ranking as one of the world’s top airports in terms of service and efficiency, accessible by metro in ½ hour from the city centre • 160 km of resurfaced roads • The unification of the entire historical city centre through pedestrian zones • Public transportation/ Monuments accessible to people with disabilities • Redesigned central squares and sidewalks • Large-scale development of unspoiled or underdeveloped areas in the city centre (Eleonas, Gazi-Cultural Quarter, Pireus Avenue-Cultural and Recreational Destrict) • Plans for two metropolitan parks (Ellinikon-Waterfront, Goudi-City Centre) • Plans to create more public space (parks) by putting high avenues in the city centre below earth (Alexandra’s Avenue)
  • 2. It goes without saying that the Olympic Games were the primary motive for the aforementioned achievements yet the starting point of remarkable improvements mainly as far as the mentality and the realisation of the importance of Tourism in the Greek economy are concerned. Besides, the Athens Olympic Games 2004, being a success story, have contributed to the strengthening of the city brand name. ATHENS HOTEL INDUSTRY According to the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels there are 495 hotels (all accommodation types) in the prefecture of Attica (year 2006) with 28.694 rooms and 53.180 beds. In the table below the numbers per category are displayed for the years 2003 – 2006: Category Hotels Rooms Beds 2003 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 2005 2006 5* 19 24 26 28 4,859 5,825 5,967 6.328 9,130 10,985 11,269 11.913 4* 55 60 64 64 6,565 6,596 6,906 6460 12,203 12,224 12,830 12.021 3* 86 90 89 90 5,923 6,177 5,887 6005 10,986 11,449 10,867 11.107 2* 225 230 231 223 8,379 8,467 8,445 7969 15,489 12,336 15,566 14.617 1* 113 97 96 90 2,331 2,099 2,021 1878 4,488 4,026 3,831 3522 Total 498 501 506 495 28,057 29,164 29,226 28,640 52,296 51,020 54,363 53,180 The following table presents data of the City of Athens only, thus excluding the greater Athens area, such as Piraeus etc. Hotels Rooms Beds Category 2003 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 2005 2006 5* 12 13 14 15 3,522 3,834 3,948 4,211 6,559 7,182 7,408 7,890 4* 24 29 33 33 3,399 3,743 3,989 3,983 6,205 6,848 7,304 7,304 3* 40 44 43 43 3,100 3,316 3,232 3,362 5,675 6,055 5,894 6,104 2* 104 102 102 100 4,144 3,944 3,914 3,709 7,650 7,248 7,182 6,736 1* 72 64 64 61 1,568 1,549 1,396 1,316 3,037 2,816 2,648 2,464 Total 252 252 256 252 15,733 16,296 16,479 16,581 29,126 30,149 30,436 30,498 Regarding Attiki as a whole still 64% of the total accommodations consist of 2* and below in 2006. The category to which we turn our focus is the 5* segment. Indeed, since 2003, nine (three of which in Athens City Centre) new hotels have opened their doors to the public demonstrating the dynamism of the market. The 4* category also grew in the same period from 55 to 64 hotels, the 3* from 86 to 90, while 23 hotels in the 1* category and 2 hotels in the 2* category closed down. In other words, significant supply has been added, namely 583 rooms The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 2/9
  • 3. particularly in the 5* and 4* categories (1* and 2* hotels have been reduced while upscale hotels have increased). Furthermore, it is worth noting that the city of Piraeus, Greece’s biggest port, has shown a very stable hotel supply in the period of 2003 – 2006. However, the City of Piraeus has only one 5* hotel, none in the 4* category, but 8 hotels in the 3* category, 23 in the 2* category and 7 in the 1* category. PERFORMANCE OF ATHENS HOTELS According to data monitored by GBR Consulting on behalf of the Athens – Attica Hotel Association, the performance of the Athens hotel industry in the lastly recorded period is as follows: Graph 1: Athens Hotel Performance in Figures Arr RevPar Occ 140 70 69 120 68 100 67 66 80 65 60 64 63 40 62 61 20 60 0 59 2003 2004 2005 2006 In graph below one can clearly observe the displayed seasonality in the form of RevPAR for the years 2003 – 2007 (YTD). Graph 2: Development of RevPAR in the years 2003 – 2007 (YTD) 300 250 2003 200 2004 150 2005 2006 100 2007 50 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec From the above data one could conclude that, with the exception of the Olympic month of August 2004, it is business as usual in the Athens Hotel industry. However a closer look at the figures reveals the steady increase in absolute figure of the RevPAR since the year 2005, which also came about, despite the aforementioned capacity increase particularly in the 4* and 5* The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 3/9
  • 4. segments. It is remarkable that in May 2007 there is a major shift in the curve confirming the optimism in the sector. This year seems to be most promising year of all times for the Athens sector, not only in terms of RevPAR but also in Tourist Arrivals and, eventually, Occupancy. For most hoteliers, performance improvement is translated into an improvement of the quality of infrastructure and services provided, not an increase of capacity. No large scale new entries are projected for the near future. However, a turn towards small boutique hotels has become obvious the recent years. Besides, it is not a coincidencethat the majority of these hotels prefer old, abandoned buildings in the city center, precisely in downgraded areas yet with great potential (Ochre and Brown Hotel, Baby Grand Hotel, Art Hotel, Fresh Hotel). THE EUROPEAN BENCHMARK From benchmarking the performance of Athens (categories 3*, 4* and 5*) with a number of key city destinations, namely Vienna, London, Paris, Berlin, Munchen, Rome, Amsterdam, Barcelona, Madrid and Istanbul, it is clearly demonstrated that the change in the RevPAR in the Athens Hotel Industry has faced great fluctuations which is mainly due to the pre- and the post- Olympic era. Indeed, it can be seen that in 2004 the change surpassed all European cities reaching 48% whereas the drop in the year 2005 practically reversed all benefits from previous years, showing a strong recovery in 2006 and the first months of 2007. Therefore, examining the trend throughout the last 4 years it can be stated that it maintains a rather stable increase of 4% to 5%, compared to other historic cities such as Rome and Istanbul which have shown increase in the past but are facing constant decrease during the last 4 years under examination. Graph 3: Percentage change in RevPAR from 2004 –2007 (YTD) The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 4/9
  • 5. 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 % 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 THE CASE OF THE 5* HOTELS The upscale category in the Athens Hotel Industry has experienced a unique development. Throughout the years 2003 – 2006 nine 5* hotels have opened their doors: Athens Imperial, King George, Plaza Resort, Holiday Inn Attika Avenue, Life Gallery, Cape Sounion and Athina Grand Hotel. In Graph 4 below one can observe the substantial increase of Athens RevPAR as far as the upscale market is concerned, compared to last year’s results. It becomes obvious this year is quite promising not only to last year but to what has Athens ever experienced before. Yet the complete picture is still to be seen in 6 months from now. Graph 4: Athens 5* segment RevPar (Euro) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 j f m a m j j a s o n d 2007 2006 The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 5/9
  • 6. OUTLOOK The successful staging of the Olympic Games has vastly improved the country’s attractiveness as a destination in general, yet the impact in terms of arrivals and overnights in the City of Athens, as a destination and not as a transit city, is slowly emerging. Athens has much to offer. With its ‘redesigned’ city, its unique archaeological sites, beautiful islands within 1 hour’s reach, its clean beaches (EU ‘Blue Flag’ carriers), extensive shopping (the first large-scale shopping mall opened just 2 years ago and two more are opening their doors this year), vibrant night life and much more, the city has everything to become a top city break destination. The city organized in June the City Break Expo 2007 demonstrating its persistence in gaining valuable knowledge for improvement. However, there are still a lot to be done as far as a proper Marketing strategy is concerned in order to attract the ever increasing number of city breakers. LOW COST CARRIERS Low cost airlines are incorporating Athens in their expansion strategy even though Athens International Airport ranks amongst the most expensive in terms of taxes within Europe. Despite the fact that the Airport counts 20 low cost carriers (37 to all Greek airports) connecting Athens with mainly Continental Europe, and a very restricted number of cities in the Middle East and Northern Africa, such as Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco, airlines are now showing interest in connecting the city of Athens with major European cities. It is not surprising that EasyJet launched a new flight connection with Paris just in the year 2006. Furthermore, new routes were added at Athens airport to the USA and a direct flight to Beijing will start in autumn 2007. This will boost incoming tourists from USA as well as from China, an immense and promising market. NEW ATHENS METROPOLITAN CONVENTION CENTRE An issue of great concern has been the way of taking advantage of the infrastructure, such stadiums and training halls, built for the Olympic Games in 2004. Indeed, many of them have retained their initial use boosting cultural and sports activity on a regional as well as International level, whereas others have undergone immense changes in order to enhance local economy meeting most of times the market needs. A great example is the NBC which served for the broadcasting of the Olympic Games which is now being transformed into a large-scale shopping mall. Another bright example of the macro-economic shift in the Athens Tourism industry is the New Athens Metropoitan Convention Centre. The Olympic Tae Kwon Do indoor stadium at Palio Faliro is being turned into the Athens Metropolitan Convention Centre through a public / private partnership (PPP) scheme. GBR Consulting in cooperation with the architect of the stadium, Thymio Papayannis and Associates, conducted the feasibility study of the scheme: The Conference Centre will have a total indoor available area of 28,000 m2 on three levels hosting a variety of events in the main auditorium of 3000 pax, two smaller auditoria of 450 pax, other rooms of 2100 pax and an exhibition space of 110,500 ft2. It is estimated that the centre can host 85 events in its first year (including 4 major international conferences) attracting about 70,000 attendants and reach more than 200 events with 160,000 attendants in year 5. The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 6/9
  • 7. The government’s private partner for the convention centre is in the process of selecting an international tender and will undertake the provision of all necessary maintenance work and management functions for 25 years. Reconstruction and maintenance over this period is estimated at 56 million euros. TRANSFORMATION OF THE CITY CENTRE AND THE WATER FRONT As aforementioned, the post Olympic era has revealed the huge opportunities that unspoiled pieces of land could offer as far the image of the city and the quality of living of the Athenians are concerned. Indeed, the greater region of Faliron, the region where the Convention Centre is also being developed, will host the new Opera house and the new National Library. Both buildings will cover more than 30.000 m2 of 200.000 m2 of the total area, whereas the rest of the space with become a park. It has to be mentioned that this new development is next to the Faliron Marina and just 4.5 km from the city centre. Furthermore, the Administration of Attica prefecture in cooperation with the Ministry of Tourism and the Ministry of Public Infrastructure and Development are putting forward a plan of unifying the entire coast line, creating a pedestrian zone with bicycle lanes of 42 km. This zone will connect Pireus port with all Athens suburbs on the coast, the Metropolitan Convention Centre, the National Library, the Opera Theatre, several marinas, the Ellinikon Metropolitan Park (a park which is planned to be developed in a total area of 5.3 million m2 where the old Athens airport used to be), and all that with the Athens Unified Archaeological Sites Pedestrian Zone. ATHENS HOTEL FACE LIFT The shift in the Athens Hotel Industry becomes obvious by the several transactions and renovation projects which were kick-started by the Olympic Games. The total renovation budget of Athens Hotels exceeded Euro 1 bn. Besides the renovation in almost all the upscale hotels, such as Grande Bretagne, Hilton , Marriott, King George II, the most striking case is that of Astir Palace Hotel Complex Resort (3 hotels, over 500 rooms). In July 2006 Starwood Hotels & Resorts took over the management of the resort and the initial estimate for the entire renovation and construction works amounts to approximately 45 million euros. GREECE IN FIGURES Greece has benefited from the hosting of the Olympic Games in Athens in 2004. This becomes obvious from the several optimistic forecasts published by International Organisations including the WTTC, the WTO etc. Indeed, facts speak louder than words, demonstrating the turn in the Greek market in terms of Tourist Arrivals but most important in terms of Tourism receipts generating in 2005 US$13.7 bn from US$9.7 bn in the year 2002. Besides, Greece ranks 15th worldwide in 2006 as far as revenue per tourist is concerned, with Euro 1,073 per tourist. The latter shows clearly the fact that Greece is not anymore considered a low-budget tourism destination but a modern country with a unique tourism product and high quality of infrastructure and services provided. The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 7/9
  • 8. TOTAL DEMAND Travel & Tourism is expected to post Euro 33.7 bn (US$ 41.9 bn) of economic activity (total demand), growing to Euro 62.4 bn (US$ 74.8 bn) by 2016. Travel & Tourism is expected to grow by 6.7% in 2006 and 3.8% per annum in real terms between 2007 and 2016. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – TRAVEL & TOURISM INDUSTRY The T&T industry is expected to contribute 6.5% to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2006 (Euro 12.3 bn or US$ 15.3 bn), rising in nominal terms to Euro 21.7 bn or US$ 26.1 bn (6.5% of total) by 2016. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – TRAVEL & TOURISM ECONOMY The T&T economy contribution (percent of total) should rise from 15.1% (Euro 28.6 bn or US$ 35.6 bn) to 15.6% (Euro 52.4 bn or US$ 62.9 bn) in this same period. EMPLOYMENT In 2006, the T&T Economy employment is estimated at 699,000 jobs or 15.9% of total employment, which is 1 in every 6.3 jobs. By 2016, this should total 809,000 jobs, 17.3% of total employment or 1 in every 5.8 jobs. The 295,000 T&T Industry jobs account for 6.7% of total employment in 2006 and are forecast to total 322,000 jobs or 6.9% of the total by 2016. EXPORTS In Greece, exports make up a very important share of Travel & Tourism's contribution to GDP. Of total Greece exports, Travel & Tourism is expected to generate 36.8% (Euro 12.8 bn or US$ 15.9 bn) in 2006, increasing to Euro 23.6 bn, or US$ 28.3 bn (32.8% of total), in 2016. CAPITAL INVESTMENT Greece Travel & Tourism Capital Investment is estimated at Euro 5.7 bn, US$ 7.0 bn or 12.6% of total investment in year 2006. By 2016, this should reach Euro 12.1 bn, US$ 14.5 bn or 13.3% of total. INTERNATIONAL ARRIVALS/RECEIPTS International International Tourism Receipts Arrivals 2002 14,179,999 9.7 bn US$ 2003 13,969,393 10.7 bn US$ 2004 13,312,629 12.9 bn US$ 2005 14.276.465 13.7 bn US$ The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 8/9
  • 9. INTERNATIONAL VISITOR ARRIVALS BY RESIDENCE 2005 2004 2003 2002 Visitors % of Rank Visitors % of Rank Visitors % of Rank Visitors % of Country Rank (x1000) total (x1000) total (x1000) total (x1000) total UK 1 2,718 19% 1 2,870 22% 1 3,008 22% 1 2,858 20% Germany 2 2,241 16% 2 2,189 16% 2 2,267 16% 2 2,511 18% Albania 3 1,478 10% 3 1.194 9% 3 1,119 8% 3 1,256 9% Italy 4 1,128 8% 4 898 7% 4 866 6% 4 805 6% France 5 676 5% 5 621 5% 5 715 5% 5 736 5% Netherlands 6 666 5% 6 612 5% 6 636 5% 6 721 5% Austria 8 464 3% 7 440 3% 8 444 3% 8 462 3% Bulgaria 7 599 4% 8 440 3% 7 460 3% 7 470 3% FYROM - - - 9 411 3% 9 443 3% 10 310 2% Belgium/Lux 9 401 3% 10 375 3% 10 385 3% 9 358 3% Other 3,900 27% 2,274 17% 2,730 20% 3,693 26% Total 14,276 100% 13,313 100% 13,969 100% 14,180 100% WEB SITE RECOMMENDATIONS GBR Consulting: www.gbrconsulting.gr/tourism Attica Hotel Association: http://www.all-athens-hotels.com/ The City of Athens: www.cityofathens.gr Athens Tourism Bureau: http://www.athenstourism.gr/ Chamber of Hotels: www.grhotels.gr SETE (Association of Greek Tourist Enterprises): www.sete.gr Travel Daily News (greek): www.traveldailynews.gr Travel Daily News (international): www.traveldailynews.com The State of Athens Hotel Industry – May 2007 9/9