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Tourism Barometer
2013 Q2
Expectations of the
Greek Hospitality Sector
April 2013
Survey characteristics
• The Q2 Survey ran from 9 to 26 April 2013, among
hotels of all hotel categories (1 – 5*) all over Greece;
• The survey was anonymous and 158 hotels completed
the online questionnaire. The distribution was as follows:
– 47% are city hotels and 53% resort hotels;
– 28% are 5*, 30% 4*, 19% 3*, 19% 2* and 3% 1* hotels.
• The survey includes forecasts for 2013 Q2 as well as for
2013 as a whole.
• Survey results are published in the press and on
www.gbrconsulting.gr/barometer
Main Conclusions
• Hoteliers overall remain optimistic for 2013 with significant
improvements expected in occupancy while expectations on room
rates vary depending on the type (City or Resort) of hotel.
• City hoteliers expect slight improvements in occupancy comparing
2013 with last year, but are forecasting significant drops in room rates.
In that respect the Athenian hotel managers are the most pessimistic.
• Resort hoteliers remain very optimistic for 2013. They expect significant
improvements in occupancy and rising room rates. Hoteliers in Crete
are by far the most optimistic.
• Finally, 2* hoteliers are the most pessimistic, expecting falling
occupancy and room rates.
• Expectations are similar for the second quarter of 2013.
7%
18%
19%
19%
37%
• All the meters reflect the hoteliers’ projections for current Quarter with
respect to Occupancy (OCC) and the Average Room Rate (ARR) for:
– their Own Hotels, in the top half of each page
– the Market Overall, in the bottom of each page
How to read the Quarter meters
37% expects
stabilisation –
between -2% and +2%
18% expects an
increase -
between 2% and 5%
7% expects an
increase –
more than 5%
19% expects a
decrease –
more than 5%
The needle shows the
overall expectation /
feeling1
19% expects a
decrease –
between 2% and 5%
1 The position of the arrow is based on the weighted average of the projections for increases and decreases, where the
increases / decreases of more than 5% have a weight twice as high as the increases / decreases of between 2% and 5%
Survey results
Expectations for 2013 Q2
• All hotels
• City hotels
– Athens hotels
– Thessaloniki hotels
– Other city hotels
• Resort hotels
– Crete hotels
• Hotels per category
– 5 star hotels
– 4 star hotels
– 3 star hotels
– 2 star hotels
Expectations for 2013 Q2
39%
9%
7%
19%
27%
«MY HOTEL»
All hotels
For the second quarter
of this year hoteliers in
general are optimistic.
In comparison with the
same quarter last year
they expect increasing
occupancy rates and
stabilising room rates.
For the market in
general the barometers
are very similar as the
barometers for their
own hotels.
43%
13%
13%
18%
13%
7%
33%
7%
24%
28%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
11%
17%14%
14%
44%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
46%
9%
8%
20%
17%
«MY HOTEL»
City hotels
Hoteliers in the city
segment are
forecasting slight
increases in
occupancy, but also
slight decreases in
ARRs as far as their
own hotel units are
concerned.
For the market as a
whole a similar
forecast has been
given.
36%
14%
22%
22%
6%
11%
39%
8%
28%
15%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
6%
16%
20%
19%
39%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
41%
7%
10%
24%
17%
«MY HOTEL»
Athens hotels
The Athenian hoteliers
are very optimistic for
the second quarter in
terms of occupancy
levels compared top
the same quarter last
year. For both their
own hotels and for the
market in general they
expect significant
improvements.
However, they expect
significantly lower rates
compared to Q2 last
year, which applies for
both their own hotels
as well as for the
market in general.
28%
10%
38%
21%
3%
3%
35%
10%
38%
14%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
3%
17%
35%
17%
28%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
58%
17%
8%
17%
«MY HOTEL»
Thessaloniki
hotels
The city hoteliers of
Thessaloniki expect a
very similar second
quarter comparing Q2
of 2013 with 2012.
They are slightly more
pessimistic for their
own hotels with mild
decreases in both
occupancy and ARR
levels.
For the market in
general they expect
stabilisation.
58%
8%
17%17%
59%
17%
25%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
8%
25%
17%
50%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
46%
8%
4%
17%
25%
«MY HOTEL»
Other city hotels
City hotels outside
Athens and
Thessaloniki are
optimistic in terms of
occupancy
development. They
expect significant
improvements
compared to last year
for both their own
hotels as well as for
the market as a whole.
In terms of room rates
they expect to be at a
similar level as last
year coming quarter,
while for the market as
a whole slight
decreases are
expected.
35%
17%
9%
26%
13%
17%
33%
8%
17%
25%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
13%
9%
4%
26%
48%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
32%
9%
6%
18%
35%
«MY HOTEL»
Resort hotels
The resort hotel expect
a good start of the
season this year.
Especially occupancy
levels are expected to
improve much
compared to same
quarter in 2012.
But also the room rates
are expected to
improve albeit at a
slower pace than
occupancy.
Very few hoteliers are
very pessimistic in the
resort segment.
4%
28%
7%
21%
39%
49%
11%
6%
14%
20%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
16%
18%
9%
10%
48%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
35%
4%
22%
39%
«MY HOTEL»
Resort hotels
in Crete
The resort hotels of
Crete are once more
the most optimistic of
all hoteliers. About
61% expects
occupancy level
increases of more than
2% and more. while for
the market as a whole
this percentage is 70%.
Hoteliers also expect
strong improvements in
room rates for both
their own hotel units as
well as for the market
as a whole.
4%
26%
26%
44%
48%
9%
26%
17%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
13%
26%
13%
48%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 Q2
26%
3%
13%
28%
31%
«MY HOTEL»
5 star
hotels
Managers of the 5 star
hotel units are
optimistic for the
second quarter of 2013
compared to same
quarter last year.
They also expect to
outperform the market
especially in terms of
room rates, where they
have forecasted a
more stabilising trend
for this quarter.
31%
21%13%
31%
5%
21%
8%
5%
33%
33%
15%
28%
10%
13%
33%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 Q2
«MY HOTEL»
35%
3%
3%
20%
40%
4 star
hotels
The hoteliers in the 4
star segment expect
strong improvements in
occupancy levels for
both the market and
their own hotel units.
The room rates are
forecasted to be at a
similar level as Q2 last
year, although for the
market in general they
might improve slightly.
51%
13%
15% 10%
10%
28%
3%
3%
28%
40%
5%
21%
16%
10%
49%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 Q2
63%
4%
7%
15%
11%
«MY HOTEL»
3 star
hotels
Small improvements in
occupancy are
expected by the 3 star
hoteliers, while room
rates are forecasted to
stabilise this quarter.
They expect in terms of
room rates to
outperform the market.
Overall, the
barometers show a
stabilising trend for this
quarter without any
extremes.
52%
7%
15%
15%
11%
56%
7%
4%
22%
11% 7%
7%
22%
7%
56%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 Q2
42%
31%
4%
11%
12%
«MY HOTEL»
2 star
hotels
The 2 star hoteliers are
clearly pessimistic for
the coming quarter.
Around a third of them
expect drops of 5%
and more for their own
hotels for both the
occupancy and ARR.
For the market as a
whole the occupancy
level might be slightly
better than the forecast
of their own hotel, but
room rates are
expected to be worse..
Very few expect
significant
improvements.
39%
23%
12%
11%
15%
42%
4%
8%
16%
31%
35% 8%
8%
7%
42%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 Q2
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
Survey results
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
• All hotels
• City hotels
– Athens hotels
– Thessaloniki hotels
– Other city hotels
• Resort hotels
– Crete hotels
• Hotels per category
– 5 star hotels
– 4 star hotels
– 3 star hotels
– 2 star hotels
30%
23%
10%
8%
30%
«MY HOTEL»
All hotels
Overall hoteliers have
not changed their
opinion for 2013. Like
the forecast of the
barometer Q1 hoteliers
expect strong
improvements in
occupancy levels for
both their own hotels
as the market as
whole.
In terms of room rates
the forecast overall is
stabilising.
38%
14%
13%
16%
19%
6%
29%
11%
28%
27%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
13%
17%
11%
17%
42%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
17%
23%
17%
6%
36%
«MY HOTEL»
City hotels
The city hoteliers
remain mildly optimistic
for 2013 overall in
terms of occupancy.
On the other hand
hoteliers forecasts
decreases in room
rates for their own
hotels and significant
drops for the market in
general for 2013.
The presented
forecasts are at a
similar level as the
forecasts of the
barometer Q1 for 2013.
9%
36%
13%
28%
14%
34%
16%
20% 20%
9%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
6%
16%
16%
23%
39%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
20%
21%
21%
3%
35%
«MY HOTEL»
Athens hotels
After a disappointed
first quarter the
Athenian hoteliers
have become more
pessimistic for 2013 in
terms of room rates.
With respect to
occupancy they have
become slightly more
optimistic comparing
the forecasts for 2013
of the last quarter with
this survey.
The barometers of their
own hotels are very
similar to the
barometers of the
market as a whole.
31%
14%
34%
14%
7%
7%
31%
14%
35%
14%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
3%
14%
21%
28%
35%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
42%
17%
8%
33%
«MY HOTEL»
Thessaloniki
hotels
The city hoteliers of
Thessaloniki are
expecting similar
results this year
compared to 2012.
For both their own
hotels as well as for
the market as a whole
the barometers for
2013 show stabilising
levels of both
occupancy and room
rates.
8%
50%
8%
33%
42%
8%
17% 33%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
33%
17%
8%
42%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
35%
4%
17%
22%
21%
«MY HOTEL»
Other city hotels
The city hoteliers
outside Athens and
Thessaloniki have
become more
optimistic for 2013
compared to our
measurements in the
first quarter for this
year.
Occupancy is expected
to improve while room
rates are forecasted to
stabilise for their own
hotels. For the market
in general mild
decreases are
expected in room rates
for 2013.
35%
22%
4%
22%
17%
13%
35%
13%
17%
22%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
13%
9%
9%
26%
44%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
25%
9%
3%
22%
42%
«MY HOTEL»
Resort hotels
The resort hotels
remain very optimistic
for this year. Strong
increases are expected
in occupancy as well
as ARR concerning
their own hotel units.
For the market in
general similar level of
optimism has been
measured for
occupancy, while room
rates are expected to
increase slightly.
3%
22%
9%
28%
39%
41%
13%
6%
13%
28%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
19%
17%
7%
12%
45%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
23%
27%
50%
«MY HOTEL»
Resort hotels
in Crete
Like the Barometer
Survey of Q1, the
resort hoteliers in Crete
remain the most
optimistic of all
hoteliers. Significant
improvements are
expected at all fronts.
18%
36%
46%
41%
5%
18%
36%
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
27%
23%
5%
46%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
23%
3%
16%
26%
33%
«MY HOTEL»
5 star
hotels
The 5 star hotel
managers expect a
better year than last
year.
The occupancy levels
will increase strongly.
With respect to ARR
hoteliers have
forecasted significant
increases for their own
hotel units while for the
market in general the
increases in ARR will
be at a lower level.
26%
8%
10%
31%
26%
23%
10%
5%
31%
31%
18%
26%
18%
5%
33%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
29%
5%
24%
42%
«MY HOTEL»
4 star
hotels
Like their colleagues of
the 5 star hotels, the 4
star segment expects
increasing occupancy
levels this year
compared to last year,
while room rates are
expected to stabilise.
45%
13%
13%
11%
18%
26%
10%
5%
29%
40%
13%
13%
8%
13%
53%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
44%
7%
7%
23%
18%
«MY HOTEL»
3 star
hotels
For their own hotel
units 41% expects
increases of 2% or
more in occupancy
comparing the forecast
of 2013 with the results
of last year. For the
market as a whole this
percentage is 40%.
In terms of room rates
hoteliers expect
stabilising rates this
year. For the market in
general the room rates
might drop slightly.
48%
7%
19% 11%
15%
44%
7%
7%
29%
11% 4%
15%
11%
19%
52%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
31%
23%
12%
19%
15%
«MY HOTEL»
2 star
hotels
The 2 star hotels have
become more
pessimistic for 2013,
compared to our
barometer Q1.
Occupancy is now
expected to stabilise
this year, while room
rates are forecasted to
drop for both their own
hotels as well as the
market as whole.
27%
27%
8%
23%
15%
39%
31%
12%
11%
8%
35%
12%
35% 12%
8%
6CC ARR
6CC ARR
Decrease
2 – 5%
Stability
-2% - +2%
Increase
>5%
Decrease
>5%
Increase
2 – 5%
% of respondents that expected
«MARKET IN GENERAL»
Expectations for 2013 as a whole
4, Sekeri Street
106 74 Athens
Phone: +30 210 3605002
Fax: +30 210 3606935
Web: www.gbrconsulting.gr
Email: gbr@gbrconsulting.gr
Tourism Barometer
2013 Q2
Expectations
Greek Hospitality Sector

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GBR tourism barometer 2013 Q2

  • 1. Tourism Barometer 2013 Q2 Expectations of the Greek Hospitality Sector April 2013
  • 2. Survey characteristics • The Q2 Survey ran from 9 to 26 April 2013, among hotels of all hotel categories (1 – 5*) all over Greece; • The survey was anonymous and 158 hotels completed the online questionnaire. The distribution was as follows: – 47% are city hotels and 53% resort hotels; – 28% are 5*, 30% 4*, 19% 3*, 19% 2* and 3% 1* hotels. • The survey includes forecasts for 2013 Q2 as well as for 2013 as a whole. • Survey results are published in the press and on www.gbrconsulting.gr/barometer
  • 3. Main Conclusions • Hoteliers overall remain optimistic for 2013 with significant improvements expected in occupancy while expectations on room rates vary depending on the type (City or Resort) of hotel. • City hoteliers expect slight improvements in occupancy comparing 2013 with last year, but are forecasting significant drops in room rates. In that respect the Athenian hotel managers are the most pessimistic. • Resort hoteliers remain very optimistic for 2013. They expect significant improvements in occupancy and rising room rates. Hoteliers in Crete are by far the most optimistic. • Finally, 2* hoteliers are the most pessimistic, expecting falling occupancy and room rates. • Expectations are similar for the second quarter of 2013.
  • 4. 7% 18% 19% 19% 37% • All the meters reflect the hoteliers’ projections for current Quarter with respect to Occupancy (OCC) and the Average Room Rate (ARR) for: – their Own Hotels, in the top half of each page – the Market Overall, in the bottom of each page How to read the Quarter meters 37% expects stabilisation – between -2% and +2% 18% expects an increase - between 2% and 5% 7% expects an increase – more than 5% 19% expects a decrease – more than 5% The needle shows the overall expectation / feeling1 19% expects a decrease – between 2% and 5% 1 The position of the arrow is based on the weighted average of the projections for increases and decreases, where the increases / decreases of more than 5% have a weight twice as high as the increases / decreases of between 2% and 5%
  • 5. Survey results Expectations for 2013 Q2 • All hotels • City hotels – Athens hotels – Thessaloniki hotels – Other city hotels • Resort hotels – Crete hotels • Hotels per category – 5 star hotels – 4 star hotels – 3 star hotels – 2 star hotels
  • 7. 39% 9% 7% 19% 27% «MY HOTEL» All hotels For the second quarter of this year hoteliers in general are optimistic. In comparison with the same quarter last year they expect increasing occupancy rates and stabilising room rates. For the market in general the barometers are very similar as the barometers for their own hotels. 43% 13% 13% 18% 13% 7% 33% 7% 24% 28% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 11% 17%14% 14% 44% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 8. 46% 9% 8% 20% 17% «MY HOTEL» City hotels Hoteliers in the city segment are forecasting slight increases in occupancy, but also slight decreases in ARRs as far as their own hotel units are concerned. For the market as a whole a similar forecast has been given. 36% 14% 22% 22% 6% 11% 39% 8% 28% 15% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 6% 16% 20% 19% 39% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 9. 41% 7% 10% 24% 17% «MY HOTEL» Athens hotels The Athenian hoteliers are very optimistic for the second quarter in terms of occupancy levels compared top the same quarter last year. For both their own hotels and for the market in general they expect significant improvements. However, they expect significantly lower rates compared to Q2 last year, which applies for both their own hotels as well as for the market in general. 28% 10% 38% 21% 3% 3% 35% 10% 38% 14% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 3% 17% 35% 17% 28% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 10. 58% 17% 8% 17% «MY HOTEL» Thessaloniki hotels The city hoteliers of Thessaloniki expect a very similar second quarter comparing Q2 of 2013 with 2012. They are slightly more pessimistic for their own hotels with mild decreases in both occupancy and ARR levels. For the market in general they expect stabilisation. 58% 8% 17%17% 59% 17% 25% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 8% 25% 17% 50% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 11. 46% 8% 4% 17% 25% «MY HOTEL» Other city hotels City hotels outside Athens and Thessaloniki are optimistic in terms of occupancy development. They expect significant improvements compared to last year for both their own hotels as well as for the market as a whole. In terms of room rates they expect to be at a similar level as last year coming quarter, while for the market as a whole slight decreases are expected. 35% 17% 9% 26% 13% 17% 33% 8% 17% 25% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 13% 9% 4% 26% 48% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 12. 32% 9% 6% 18% 35% «MY HOTEL» Resort hotels The resort hotel expect a good start of the season this year. Especially occupancy levels are expected to improve much compared to same quarter in 2012. But also the room rates are expected to improve albeit at a slower pace than occupancy. Very few hoteliers are very pessimistic in the resort segment. 4% 28% 7% 21% 39% 49% 11% 6% 14% 20% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 16% 18% 9% 10% 48% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 13. 35% 4% 22% 39% «MY HOTEL» Resort hotels in Crete The resort hotels of Crete are once more the most optimistic of all hoteliers. About 61% expects occupancy level increases of more than 2% and more. while for the market as a whole this percentage is 70%. Hoteliers also expect strong improvements in room rates for both their own hotel units as well as for the market as a whole. 4% 26% 26% 44% 48% 9% 26% 17% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 13% 26% 13% 48% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 14. 26% 3% 13% 28% 31% «MY HOTEL» 5 star hotels Managers of the 5 star hotel units are optimistic for the second quarter of 2013 compared to same quarter last year. They also expect to outperform the market especially in terms of room rates, where they have forecasted a more stabilising trend for this quarter. 31% 21%13% 31% 5% 21% 8% 5% 33% 33% 15% 28% 10% 13% 33% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 15. «MY HOTEL» 35% 3% 3% 20% 40% 4 star hotels The hoteliers in the 4 star segment expect strong improvements in occupancy levels for both the market and their own hotel units. The room rates are forecasted to be at a similar level as Q2 last year, although for the market in general they might improve slightly. 51% 13% 15% 10% 10% 28% 3% 3% 28% 40% 5% 21% 16% 10% 49% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 16. 63% 4% 7% 15% 11% «MY HOTEL» 3 star hotels Small improvements in occupancy are expected by the 3 star hoteliers, while room rates are forecasted to stabilise this quarter. They expect in terms of room rates to outperform the market. Overall, the barometers show a stabilising trend for this quarter without any extremes. 52% 7% 15% 15% 11% 56% 7% 4% 22% 11% 7% 7% 22% 7% 56% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 17. 42% 31% 4% 11% 12% «MY HOTEL» 2 star hotels The 2 star hoteliers are clearly pessimistic for the coming quarter. Around a third of them expect drops of 5% and more for their own hotels for both the occupancy and ARR. For the market as a whole the occupancy level might be slightly better than the forecast of their own hotel, but room rates are expected to be worse.. Very few expect significant improvements. 39% 23% 12% 11% 15% 42% 4% 8% 16% 31% 35% 8% 8% 7% 42% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 Q2
  • 18. Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 19. Survey results Expectations for 2013 as a whole • All hotels • City hotels – Athens hotels – Thessaloniki hotels – Other city hotels • Resort hotels – Crete hotels • Hotels per category – 5 star hotels – 4 star hotels – 3 star hotels – 2 star hotels
  • 20. 30% 23% 10% 8% 30% «MY HOTEL» All hotels Overall hoteliers have not changed their opinion for 2013. Like the forecast of the barometer Q1 hoteliers expect strong improvements in occupancy levels for both their own hotels as the market as whole. In terms of room rates the forecast overall is stabilising. 38% 14% 13% 16% 19% 6% 29% 11% 28% 27% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 13% 17% 11% 17% 42% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 21. 17% 23% 17% 6% 36% «MY HOTEL» City hotels The city hoteliers remain mildly optimistic for 2013 overall in terms of occupancy. On the other hand hoteliers forecasts decreases in room rates for their own hotels and significant drops for the market in general for 2013. The presented forecasts are at a similar level as the forecasts of the barometer Q1 for 2013. 9% 36% 13% 28% 14% 34% 16% 20% 20% 9% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 6% 16% 16% 23% 39% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 22. 20% 21% 21% 3% 35% «MY HOTEL» Athens hotels After a disappointed first quarter the Athenian hoteliers have become more pessimistic for 2013 in terms of room rates. With respect to occupancy they have become slightly more optimistic comparing the forecasts for 2013 of the last quarter with this survey. The barometers of their own hotels are very similar to the barometers of the market as a whole. 31% 14% 34% 14% 7% 7% 31% 14% 35% 14% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 3% 14% 21% 28% 35% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 23. 42% 17% 8% 33% «MY HOTEL» Thessaloniki hotels The city hoteliers of Thessaloniki are expecting similar results this year compared to 2012. For both their own hotels as well as for the market as a whole the barometers for 2013 show stabilising levels of both occupancy and room rates. 8% 50% 8% 33% 42% 8% 17% 33% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 33% 17% 8% 42% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 24. 35% 4% 17% 22% 21% «MY HOTEL» Other city hotels The city hoteliers outside Athens and Thessaloniki have become more optimistic for 2013 compared to our measurements in the first quarter for this year. Occupancy is expected to improve while room rates are forecasted to stabilise for their own hotels. For the market in general mild decreases are expected in room rates for 2013. 35% 22% 4% 22% 17% 13% 35% 13% 17% 22% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 13% 9% 9% 26% 44% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 25. 25% 9% 3% 22% 42% «MY HOTEL» Resort hotels The resort hotels remain very optimistic for this year. Strong increases are expected in occupancy as well as ARR concerning their own hotel units. For the market in general similar level of optimism has been measured for occupancy, while room rates are expected to increase slightly. 3% 22% 9% 28% 39% 41% 13% 6% 13% 28% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 19% 17% 7% 12% 45% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 26. 23% 27% 50% «MY HOTEL» Resort hotels in Crete Like the Barometer Survey of Q1, the resort hoteliers in Crete remain the most optimistic of all hoteliers. Significant improvements are expected at all fronts. 18% 36% 46% 41% 5% 18% 36% «MARKET IN GENERAL» 27% 23% 5% 46% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 27. 23% 3% 16% 26% 33% «MY HOTEL» 5 star hotels The 5 star hotel managers expect a better year than last year. The occupancy levels will increase strongly. With respect to ARR hoteliers have forecasted significant increases for their own hotel units while for the market in general the increases in ARR will be at a lower level. 26% 8% 10% 31% 26% 23% 10% 5% 31% 31% 18% 26% 18% 5% 33% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 28. 29% 5% 24% 42% «MY HOTEL» 4 star hotels Like their colleagues of the 5 star hotels, the 4 star segment expects increasing occupancy levels this year compared to last year, while room rates are expected to stabilise. 45% 13% 13% 11% 18% 26% 10% 5% 29% 40% 13% 13% 8% 13% 53% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 29. 44% 7% 7% 23% 18% «MY HOTEL» 3 star hotels For their own hotel units 41% expects increases of 2% or more in occupancy comparing the forecast of 2013 with the results of last year. For the market as a whole this percentage is 40%. In terms of room rates hoteliers expect stabilising rates this year. For the market in general the room rates might drop slightly. 48% 7% 19% 11% 15% 44% 7% 7% 29% 11% 4% 15% 11% 19% 52% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 30. 31% 23% 12% 19% 15% «MY HOTEL» 2 star hotels The 2 star hotels have become more pessimistic for 2013, compared to our barometer Q1. Occupancy is now expected to stabilise this year, while room rates are forecasted to drop for both their own hotels as well as the market as whole. 27% 27% 8% 23% 15% 39% 31% 12% 11% 8% 35% 12% 35% 12% 8% 6CC ARR 6CC ARR Decrease 2 – 5% Stability -2% - +2% Increase >5% Decrease >5% Increase 2 – 5% % of respondents that expected «MARKET IN GENERAL» Expectations for 2013 as a whole
  • 31. 4, Sekeri Street 106 74 Athens Phone: +30 210 3605002 Fax: +30 210 3606935 Web: www.gbrconsulting.gr Email: gbr@gbrconsulting.gr Tourism Barometer 2013 Q2 Expectations Greek Hospitality Sector