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'How to make money and thrive in an
environment where Free is the normal
               price
               Nicholas Lovell
                GAMESbrief

                Futurebook
             December 5th, 2011
Nicholas Lovell, GAMESbrief

             • Author, How to Publish a Game
             • Director, GAMESbrief
             • Clients include Atari, Channel 4,
               Channelflip, Firefly, IPC, nDreams,
               Rebellion and Square Enix
             • @nicholaslovell / @gamesbrief
Subscribe to the blog
WHAT IS PUBLISHING?
Mythbuster: Publishing is about content


  Books               10%                  90%




Newspapers            15%                  85%



  Games               $50m                 $200m


   • Publishers add value through DISTRIBUTION
Publishers add value used to add value
through distribution
Publishers add value used to add value
through distribution
Publishers add value used to add value
through distribution
The Internet has made distribution
               easy
Great news for content creators

• Content distributors, not so much
• Ballpark, I estimate 50% of people in content distribution
 will be out of work over the next decade

• BUT many more content creators will be able to make a
 living from producing and distributing their own content
Show me the money
The price/demand curve

                                    • In an era of physical
PRICE
                                      distribution, you need to set a
                                      single price
                                    • For games, around $40
        “It’s great
        value, I’d have
        paid much more”




                          “That’s too
                          expensive for me”

                                                         Demand
Now we let users set the price

              • Hypothesis: Allow users to choose how
PRICE
               much they spend on your product, and
               your revenues will go up

                        DDO revenues up 500%
                        DCUO revenues up 700%

                $
                3$    $
                 5$   5$ $
                                             $10 MMO
                  1
                  $      5 $3 $
                 $     $                   subscription
                  3        3 3
                 1     5
                                            Demand
WRONG!
Allowing users to choose how little to pay
is not the secret
                       • We all knew that 95% of users played for
PRICE                    free
                       • We now know that 80-90% of revenues
                         come from 0.5% of users

                               Spending $50 - $10,000 or more




                                                       Demand
        Paying: 5%                    Free: 95%
          80-90% of revenue from 0.5% of users
The Nine Inch Nails Example

        Ghosts I – IV Ultra Deluxe Edition: $300
PRICE

                      Ghosts I – IV Deluxe Edition: $75


                                    Ghosts I – IV physical: $10


                                              Ghosts I – IV digital: $5


                                                             Ghosts I: $0
                                                                  Demand
The conclusion
One-size-fits-all pricing is dead


PRICE   Revenue
        opportunity



                      Marketing opportunity




                                              Demand
Thank you
nicholas@gamesbrief.com

    Follow my blog
  www.gamesbrief.com

     Buy my books

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Futurebook: How to make money and thrive in an environment where Free is the normal price

  • 1. 'How to make money and thrive in an environment where Free is the normal price Nicholas Lovell GAMESbrief Futurebook December 5th, 2011
  • 2. Nicholas Lovell, GAMESbrief • Author, How to Publish a Game • Director, GAMESbrief • Clients include Atari, Channel 4, Channelflip, Firefly, IPC, nDreams, Rebellion and Square Enix • @nicholaslovell / @gamesbrief
  • 5. Mythbuster: Publishing is about content Books 10% 90% Newspapers 15% 85% Games $50m $200m • Publishers add value through DISTRIBUTION
  • 6. Publishers add value used to add value through distribution
  • 7. Publishers add value used to add value through distribution
  • 8. Publishers add value used to add value through distribution
  • 9. The Internet has made distribution easy
  • 10. Great news for content creators • Content distributors, not so much • Ballpark, I estimate 50% of people in content distribution will be out of work over the next decade • BUT many more content creators will be able to make a living from producing and distributing their own content
  • 11. Show me the money
  • 12. The price/demand curve • In an era of physical PRICE distribution, you need to set a single price • For games, around $40 “It’s great value, I’d have paid much more” “That’s too expensive for me” Demand
  • 13. Now we let users set the price • Hypothesis: Allow users to choose how PRICE much they spend on your product, and your revenues will go up  DDO revenues up 500%  DCUO revenues up 700% $ 3$ $ 5$ 5$ $ $10 MMO 1 $ 5 $3 $ $ $ subscription 3 3 3 1 5 Demand
  • 15. Allowing users to choose how little to pay is not the secret • We all knew that 95% of users played for PRICE free • We now know that 80-90% of revenues come from 0.5% of users  Spending $50 - $10,000 or more Demand Paying: 5% Free: 95% 80-90% of revenue from 0.5% of users
  • 16. The Nine Inch Nails Example Ghosts I – IV Ultra Deluxe Edition: $300 PRICE Ghosts I – IV Deluxe Edition: $75 Ghosts I – IV physical: $10 Ghosts I – IV digital: $5 Ghosts I: $0 Demand
  • 18. One-size-fits-all pricing is dead PRICE Revenue opportunity Marketing opportunity Demand
  • 19. Thank you nicholas@gamesbrief.com Follow my blog www.gamesbrief.com Buy my books