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Coping With Hazards

A2 Geography
The varying approaches of individuals and
governments to coping with tectonic
hazards in countries at different stages of
development
What approaches exist?
• People cope with natural hazards in very
  different ways
• The chosen ways are often related to
  wealth and access to technology
• Humans do have a capacity to ignore or
  seriously underestimate risk, even when it
  seems obvious to others
• Often it may seem obvious that people
  should move out of harms way, but in
  reality this may be impossible.
Move to a
Modify Loss       safer
                location




                Modify
Modify the      human
 Event        Vulnerability
Strategies

               Modify the event         Modify human vulnerability
                                                                              Modify the loss
              (hazard mitigation)

              Coastal defences      •Warming and prediction systems         Loss modification
              and engineering       •Coastal zone management and            involves immediate
Tsunami                             landuse planning                        rescue efforts,
                                    •Provision of emergency kits            followed by relief
                                                                            efforts which focus
                                                                            on food, shelter,
              Not possible          •Ground shaking and liquefaction risk   water and sanitation.
                                    mapping                                 Insurance can help
Earthquakes                         •A seismic buildings                    recovery.
                                    •Earthquake education and drills        Long term
                                    •Prediction not possible                reconstruction is
                                                                            needed.
              Lava diversion        •Monitoring, prediction warning and
                                    evacuation systems
Volcanoes                           •Hazard mapping e.g. lahar risk
                                    •Education
                                    •Shelters
Modify Human
Modify Loss burden             Modify hazard event
                                                                       Vulnerability
                                                                                            Land
                                                                                                     Hazard Type
                                         Hazard Resistance       Community    Forecastin             and Example
Accept                     Environment                                                       Use
         Aid   Insurance                                         Preparedne     g and
 Loss                       al Control                                                     Plannin
                                                                     ss        Warning
                                         Design   Retrofitting                                g


                                                                                                      VOLCANO
                                                                                                        LEDC



                                                                                                     VOLCANO
                                                                                                      MEDC


                                                                                                     EARTHQUAK
                                                                                                          E
                                                                                                        LEDC


                                                                                                     EARTHQUAKE
                                                                                                        MEDC
Research
• You should already have some good and
  thorough case studies you may be
  expected to use in the exam
• The final part of each will be coping with
  the event.
• Mitigation and Adaptation
Mitigation
• Attempting to stop the effects of the
  hazard by trying to planning before hand
• Examples of this will be very few off the
  ground
• Explain why
Adaptation
• attempting to live with a hazard by altering
  lifestyles. This is a longer-term strategy. It
  assumes hazards will take place but there
  will be time to adapt before each and time
  to hopefully reduce the effects on pop’n
• Examples
• Land use zoning near the coast
• Lava channels
• Removal of debris and steepness of
  slopes
• Monitoring.
Hyogo framework for Action 2005

• Developed by the World Conference on Disaster
  Reduction held in Kobe
• Risk reduction to buildings and resilience to damage
• Remove underlying factors to vulnerability
• POVERTY
• Aim is to exploit the Kyoto mechanisms such as
  Special Climate Change Funds to allow developed
  countries to pay for greenhouse gas cutting projects
  in return for carbon credits
• This scheme applies at all scales
Tectonic hazards human impacts
• A surprising number of people live in areas of
  active tectonic processes
• Major tectonic hazards can strike with devastating
  force
• The 2005 Kashmir Earthquakes killed around
  85000, the 2008 Sichuan ‘quake over 65,000 and
  200,000+ died in the 2004 Asian Tsunami
• It is important to consider why people live, in such
  large numbers, in areas of great risk
Ignorance of the
                risks and / or
              underestimation
                    of risk




Choice e.g.
               Living in
   fertile     areas of            Inertia;
                                 always lived
farmland or
  tourism
               tectonic             there
                 risk?


              Nowhere else to
               go / lack of
                alternatives
Impacts - Remember
• Every hazard event is different, and therefore the specific
  impacts of disaster vary
• When researching case studies, it is important to be able to
  identify specific impacts and be able to explain these
• Some impacts are tangible and can be given a financial
  value. Others are intangible, such as the destruction of a
  temple or artwork.
• Many losses are direct and immediate such as property
  damage, but others are indirect – these come later and are
  harder to quantify, such as stress and psychological damage.
• Impacts are often considered as human (death, injury,
  illness), economic (property loss, loss of income, cost of
  relief effort) and physical (changes to landscape and
  topography).
Developed versus developing
                                    world
Death           Event             Location        Date
 Toll
5,115     Mount Kelut eruption     Indonesia      1991 • It is often said that disaster
23,000      Nevado del Ruiz
                eruption
                                   Colombia       1985   impacts in the developed world
25,000
           Spitak Earthquake       Armenia        1988
                                                         are largely economic, whereas in
30,000      Bam earthquake            Iran        2003

35,000        Manjil Rudbar           Iran        1990
                                                         the developing world they are
36,000
               earthquake
            Krakatoa eruption      Indonesia      1883
                                                         human.
                tsunami
66,000     Ancash earthquake         Peru         1970 • You should carefully consider if
69,197    Sichuan earthquake         China        2008
                                                         this generalisation is true.
86,000    Kashmir earthquake       Pakistan       2005

100,000         Tsunami          Messina, Italy   1908 • The 1995 Kobe earthquake in
105,000        Great Kanto
               earthquake
                                    Japan         1923   Japan and 1991 eruption of Mt
230,000
          Indian Ocean tsunami   Indian Ocean     2004
                                                         Pinatubo in the Philippines are
245,000   Tangshan earthquake        China        1976
                                                         useful examples to consider
Impacts over time – Parks Model
• Different hazard events have different impacts, shown
  by the speed of the drop in quality of life, the duration of
  the decline, and the speed and nature of recovery.
• The differences in the 3 lines might be related to type of
  hazard, degree of preparedness, speed of the relief
  effort and the nature of recovery and rebuilding.
The hazard management cycle
• Successful hazard
  management involves a cycle
  (see diagram) which focuses
  on the 3 types of modification
  from the previous slide.
• A focus on modifying loss only,
  will not improve survival
  chances when the next hazard
  strikes
• Long before a natural hazard
  event, there needs to be a
  focus on mitigation and
  prevention (if possible) as well
  as human preparedness.
Integrated Response to Risk
   Management


        Sustainable
        Communities        Triple Dividends




                   Climate
 Disaster
                 Proofing and
Management
                  Adaptation
Remember
• This report is aimed at several types of
  disasters and you only need to concern
  yourself with the tectonic hazards
• There is much generalisation but what is
  important is what people and governments
  are thinking!
Finally
•   KEY PLAYERS in Hazard response
•   Who are they?
•   What can they do
•   What difference does wealth play in
    disaster management?
The effectiveness of different
approaches and methods of coping
and the way in which approaches have
changed over time, and possible future
coping strategies
Answer
• Much can be found on the internet
• What is important is what you find is
  relevant and upto date as well as any
  future methods
• Remember future methods will pose a cost
  benefit issue for a lot of countries. Have
  you done this with your case studies?
• Can you apply these to your case studies?

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coping with hazards

  • 2. The varying approaches of individuals and governments to coping with tectonic hazards in countries at different stages of development
  • 3. What approaches exist? • People cope with natural hazards in very different ways • The chosen ways are often related to wealth and access to technology • Humans do have a capacity to ignore or seriously underestimate risk, even when it seems obvious to others • Often it may seem obvious that people should move out of harms way, but in reality this may be impossible.
  • 4. Move to a Modify Loss safer location Modify Modify the human Event Vulnerability
  • 5.
  • 6. Strategies Modify the event Modify human vulnerability Modify the loss (hazard mitigation) Coastal defences •Warming and prediction systems Loss modification and engineering •Coastal zone management and involves immediate Tsunami landuse planning rescue efforts, •Provision of emergency kits followed by relief efforts which focus on food, shelter, Not possible •Ground shaking and liquefaction risk water and sanitation. mapping Insurance can help Earthquakes •A seismic buildings recovery. •Earthquake education and drills Long term •Prediction not possible reconstruction is needed. Lava diversion •Monitoring, prediction warning and evacuation systems Volcanoes •Hazard mapping e.g. lahar risk •Education •Shelters
  • 7. Modify Human Modify Loss burden Modify hazard event Vulnerability Land Hazard Type Hazard Resistance Community Forecastin and Example Accept Environment Use Aid Insurance Preparedne g and Loss al Control Plannin ss Warning Design Retrofitting g VOLCANO LEDC VOLCANO MEDC EARTHQUAK E LEDC EARTHQUAKE MEDC
  • 8. Research • You should already have some good and thorough case studies you may be expected to use in the exam • The final part of each will be coping with the event. • Mitigation and Adaptation
  • 9. Mitigation • Attempting to stop the effects of the hazard by trying to planning before hand • Examples of this will be very few off the ground • Explain why
  • 10. Adaptation • attempting to live with a hazard by altering lifestyles. This is a longer-term strategy. It assumes hazards will take place but there will be time to adapt before each and time to hopefully reduce the effects on pop’n • Examples • Land use zoning near the coast • Lava channels • Removal of debris and steepness of slopes • Monitoring.
  • 11. Hyogo framework for Action 2005 • Developed by the World Conference on Disaster Reduction held in Kobe • Risk reduction to buildings and resilience to damage • Remove underlying factors to vulnerability • POVERTY • Aim is to exploit the Kyoto mechanisms such as Special Climate Change Funds to allow developed countries to pay for greenhouse gas cutting projects in return for carbon credits • This scheme applies at all scales
  • 12. Tectonic hazards human impacts • A surprising number of people live in areas of active tectonic processes • Major tectonic hazards can strike with devastating force • The 2005 Kashmir Earthquakes killed around 85000, the 2008 Sichuan ‘quake over 65,000 and 200,000+ died in the 2004 Asian Tsunami • It is important to consider why people live, in such large numbers, in areas of great risk
  • 13. Ignorance of the risks and / or underestimation of risk Choice e.g. Living in fertile areas of Inertia; always lived farmland or tourism tectonic there risk? Nowhere else to go / lack of alternatives
  • 14. Impacts - Remember • Every hazard event is different, and therefore the specific impacts of disaster vary • When researching case studies, it is important to be able to identify specific impacts and be able to explain these • Some impacts are tangible and can be given a financial value. Others are intangible, such as the destruction of a temple or artwork. • Many losses are direct and immediate such as property damage, but others are indirect – these come later and are harder to quantify, such as stress and psychological damage. • Impacts are often considered as human (death, injury, illness), economic (property loss, loss of income, cost of relief effort) and physical (changes to landscape and topography).
  • 15. Developed versus developing world Death Event Location Date Toll 5,115 Mount Kelut eruption Indonesia 1991 • It is often said that disaster 23,000 Nevado del Ruiz eruption Colombia 1985 impacts in the developed world 25,000 Spitak Earthquake Armenia 1988 are largely economic, whereas in 30,000 Bam earthquake Iran 2003 35,000 Manjil Rudbar Iran 1990 the developing world they are 36,000 earthquake Krakatoa eruption Indonesia 1883 human. tsunami 66,000 Ancash earthquake Peru 1970 • You should carefully consider if 69,197 Sichuan earthquake China 2008 this generalisation is true. 86,000 Kashmir earthquake Pakistan 2005 100,000 Tsunami Messina, Italy 1908 • The 1995 Kobe earthquake in 105,000 Great Kanto earthquake Japan 1923 Japan and 1991 eruption of Mt 230,000 Indian Ocean tsunami Indian Ocean 2004 Pinatubo in the Philippines are 245,000 Tangshan earthquake China 1976 useful examples to consider
  • 16. Impacts over time – Parks Model • Different hazard events have different impacts, shown by the speed of the drop in quality of life, the duration of the decline, and the speed and nature of recovery. • The differences in the 3 lines might be related to type of hazard, degree of preparedness, speed of the relief effort and the nature of recovery and rebuilding.
  • 17. The hazard management cycle • Successful hazard management involves a cycle (see diagram) which focuses on the 3 types of modification from the previous slide. • A focus on modifying loss only, will not improve survival chances when the next hazard strikes • Long before a natural hazard event, there needs to be a focus on mitigation and prevention (if possible) as well as human preparedness.
  • 18.
  • 19. Integrated Response to Risk Management Sustainable Communities Triple Dividends Climate Disaster Proofing and Management Adaptation
  • 20. Remember • This report is aimed at several types of disasters and you only need to concern yourself with the tectonic hazards • There is much generalisation but what is important is what people and governments are thinking!
  • 21. Finally • KEY PLAYERS in Hazard response • Who are they? • What can they do • What difference does wealth play in disaster management?
  • 22. The effectiveness of different approaches and methods of coping and the way in which approaches have changed over time, and possible future coping strategies
  • 23. Answer • Much can be found on the internet • What is important is what you find is relevant and upto date as well as any future methods • Remember future methods will pose a cost benefit issue for a lot of countries. Have you done this with your case studies? • Can you apply these to your case studies?