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U.S. Retail Photo Print Output  2009-2014,[object Object],cover,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],1,[object Object]
What’s Dragging this Down?,[object Object],2,[object Object],Consumer Adaptation,[object Object],Institutional Failure,[object Object],[object Object]
From Email & Photo Sites to Social Media (esp. Facebook & Picasa Web Albums)
From DSC to Cameraphones and Smartphones.
From Still Images to Short-From Video (the “Flip Factor”)DSC’s that provide complexities and no solutions.,[object Object],Unnecessarily “bloated” image files.,[object Object],Retailer retreat (capital, labor, space, advertising),[object Object],No one driving awareness and demand for the category,[object Object],Far too many unnecessary friction points for consumers to navigate from capture to retail output services.,[object Object],Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 2,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
Situation Analysis,[object Object],Conventionalprint volume (film + digital) and revenue continues to fall and that fall has accelerated in 2010.,[object Object],Conventional digital print volume and revenue began to decline in 2009 and the decline will continue.,[object Object],Walmart Stores, which enjoyed share leadership for numerous years, has slipped from the top position, with promotional drug chains Walgreens and CVS gaining share.,[object Object],Personalized printed output continues to be the on-demand print category growth opportunity for retailers.,[object Object],Kiosk prints as a % of total prints will grow as retailers increasingly turn to lower-cost, lower-touch print solutions while consumers opt for instant gratification.,[object Object],3,[object Object],Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 3,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
Situation Analysis - 2,[object Object],Transformation from “wet” chemical minilabs to “dry”  ink, dye-sub, laser and xerographic replacement print platforms has begun (e.g. Walmart has completed more than ½ of their installed base to Fuji and Epson Inkjet and Xerox .  Meijer and Duane Reade have Hewlett-Packard ink and laser platforms. CVS and Target are rapidly updating with Kodak Apex dry solutions).,[object Object],Seasonal demand spikes are a significant and increasing challenge for retailers as demand shifts from everyday conventional print demand to personalized products, with primary demand concentrated from mid-November through late-December.,[object Object],Focus required to identify and develop new output products with everyday demand.,[object Object],4,[object Object],Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 4,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
5,[object Object],Total On-Site Photo Print Output ,[object Object],2009-2014(4x6 Equivalent Units - B),[object Object],The growth of personalized printed output is not yet on a trend to compensate fully for the loss of conventional print consumption.,[object Object],Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 5,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
6,[object Object],Total On-Site Photo Print Revenue ($B) ,[object Object],2009-2014,[object Object],[object Object]
By 2014 revenues from personalized printed products are likely to represent more than 50% of category print revenues. Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 6,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
7,[object Object],Retail Digital Prints(Conventional 4x6 Equivalent Prints - B),[object Object],[object Object]
Minilab prints, under current trends, will decline by >40% over next 5 years while Instant prints hold steady.Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 7,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
8,[object Object],Retail Digital Prints(Conventional 4x6 Equivalent Prints - B),[object Object],Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 8,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
9,[object Object],Total Retail Prints(Conventional + Personalized Prints 4x6 Equivalent Prints - B),[object Object],[object Object]
This projection does not consider likely growth driven by inevitable new products and enabling technologyRetail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 9,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
10,[object Object],Instant Prints vs. Minilab Prints(Conventional 4x6 Equiv. Prints - B),[object Object],[object Object]
There are, simultaneously, forces at work that limit the investment interest in minilabs (especially labor costs, operational complexities, and declining revenues).
Other trigger events which could radically alter share of prints would include print from Facebook.Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 10,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
Seasonality of Print Revenue2014,[object Object],11,[object Object],[object Object]
As the share of output from personalized printed output grows this trend threatens to shift even more volume to a narrow holiday window.
The popularity of photo merchandise, which is currently dominated by holiday gift giving increases the challenges of equipping and staffing this changing category.Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 11,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
12,[object Object],Personalized Photo PrintsShare of Revenue - 2009,[object Object],Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010,[object Object],PAGE 12,[object Object],Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting - 2010,[object Object]
Wet vs. Dry PrintsB - Conventional Prints,[object Object],13,[object Object],[object Object]

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F22 U S Retail On Site Printed 1.11

  • 1.
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  • 3. From Email & Photo Sites to Social Media (esp. Facebook & Picasa Web Albums)
  • 4. From DSC to Cameraphones and Smartphones.
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  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. There are, simultaneously, forces at work that limit the investment interest in minilabs (especially labor costs, operational complexities, and declining revenues).
  • 18.
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  • 20. As the share of output from personalized printed output grows this trend threatens to shift even more volume to a narrow holiday window.
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  • 22.
  • 23.
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