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EEI Conference




                                      C. John Wilder
                                  Chief Executive Officer

                                       November 7, 2006




Safe Harbor Statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties.
Discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's
current projections, forecasts, estimates and expectations is contained in the company's SEC filings.
Specifically, the company makes reference to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in its annual and quarterly
reports, particularly the risk factor relating to its new build program in Texas. In addition to the risks and
uncertainties set forth in the company's SEC filings, the forward-looking statements in this presentation could
be affected by actions of rating agencies, the ability of the company to attract and retain profitable
customers, changes in demand for electricity, the impact of weather, changes in wholesale electricity prices
or energy commodity prices, the company’s ability to hedge against changes in commodity prices and
market heat rates, the company’s ability to fund certain investments described herein, delays in approval of,
or failure to obtain, air and other environmental permits and the ability of the company to resolve the consent
decree issue regarding the new Sandow 5 unit, changes in competitive market rules, changes in
environmental laws or regulations, changes in electric generation and emissions control technologies,
changes in projected demand for electricity, the ability of the company and its contractors to attract and
retain skilled labor, at projected rates, for planning and building new generating units, changes in the cost
and availability of materials necessary for the planned new generation units, the ability of the company to
negotiate and finalize engineering, procurement and construction contracts for its reference plants in a timely
manner and at projected costs, the ability of the company to manage the significant construction program to
a timely conclusion with limited cost overruns, the ability of the company to implement the initiatives that are
part of its performance improvement program and growth strategy and the terms under which the company
executes those initiatives, and the decisions made and actions taken as a result of the company’s financial
and growth strategies, and with respect to the InfrastruX Energy joint venture, the amount of time the PUC
takes to review the transaction and the results of such review.




                                                                                                                   1
Today’s Agenda


                                  TXU Development/TXU Construction
   Business Unit
   Business Unit                  TXU Power
     Strategies
     Strategies                   TXU Wholesale
                                  TXU Energy
                                  TXU Electric Delivery

                                  America’s Power Challenge
    Generation
     Generation                   The Texas Solution
    Growth Plan
    Growth Plan                   A National Solution



                                  Short-term Financial Growth
      Financial
      Financial                   Financial Sensitivities
       Outlook
       Outlook                    Long-term Sources And Uses Of
                                  Cash

                                                                      2




TXU’s Long-Term Objectives…

 1. Drive 3-5% annual improvement in reliability, efficiency, and
  1. Drive 3-5% annual improvement in reliability, efficiency, and
     service
      service

 2. Meet Texas’ growing demand for power with 9 GW of new baseload
  2. Meet Texas’ growing demand for power with 9 GW of new baseload
     power generation
     power generation

 3. Maintain Texas residential market share by profitably gaining
  3. Maintain Texas residential market share by profitably gaining
     customers and providing innovative products and services
      customers and providing innovative products and services

 4. Leverage superior baseload operations, construction expertise,
  4. Leverage superior baseload operations, construction expertise,
     and structuring skills to build a 10 GW business in other
      and structuring skills to build a 10 GW business in other
     competitive US markets
      competitive US markets

 5. Continue to enhance business through building strong
  5. Continue to enhance business through building strong
     management and ensuring the financial risk profile is
      management and ensuring the financial risk profile is
     commensurate with the business risk profile
      commensurate with the business risk profile

                                                                      3
…Will Be Executed By Businesses That Compete Across The
Entire Value Chain
                                                                               Transmission
           Generation                      Wholesale           Retail               and
                                                                                Distribution
    Power            TXU Power         TXU Wholesale        TXU Energy          TXU Electric
 Development/                                                                     Delivery
 Construction
   Company
                    2nd largest                                               6th largest T&D
9 GW active                                Access to        Large scale
                                                                              company
development         deregulated            largest ERCOT    competitive
program             output                 generation       retailer
                                                                              Top quartile costs
                                           fleet
Up to 3 GW per      Low-cost lignite                        Loyal             and reliability
                    reserves                                customers
year phase 2                         Access to
                                                                              High growth region
development                          largest ERCOT
                    63 TWh of                               Strong brand
program                              retail position                          Efficient capital
                                                            recognition
                    baseload
                                                                              recovery
Advantaged          production in    Incumbent
                                                            Superior
construction        gas on the       regulatory                               No commodity
                                                            service
model               margin market    advocacy and                             exposure
                                     market design
Active customer     Industry-leading expertise                                No retail customers
solutions           performance
business            and reliability                                                                 4




TXU Power Development/Construction…
                                                 To become the
                                               leading originator
                                               and constructor of
 Mission
                                              baseload generation
                                               throughout the US




                                                                           Originate long-term
                  Develop steady              Construct baseload
                                                                           off-take agreements
                pipeline of baseload            generation 35%
                                                                              and equity sell
                opportunities to add           cheaper and faster
Objectives                                                                downs to ensure 30%
               3 GW of new capacity           and make 5% yearly
                                                                            of construction is
                      annually                   improvement
                                                                               sold forward
                 PJM Development               Proprietary Construction      Muni/Co-op Solutions
                 Program                       Whole System Approach
                                                                             Industrial Solutions
                 Incumbent Customer            Advantaged Relationships
                                                                             Equity Partnership
                 Solutions Strategy            With Top Contractors And
                                                                             Solutions
                                               Manufacturers
                 Industrial Partnerships
Strategies                                     Low-cost Country, Scaled
                 National Advocacy
                                               Sourcing Program
                 Initiative
                                               Learning Curve Codification
                                               Program                                              5
…Is Focused On Driving Advantages In Construction Costs
And Origination Channels
Leveraging scale to redefine costs…           …and construction time…
06E; $/KW                                     06; Months
      2,000
                                                      50              50
                  1,600
                                                                                     32
                                1,100




                                                    Recent       US average      TXU target
    Recent   US average TXU target
                                                  antecdotes
   anecdotes
…following other successful build programs… …and locking up forward Texas power sales
Kerr McGee Deepwater platform costs         Incremental Municipal and Cooperative load
96-04; Index=100                            05-15E; Percent
                                                            100% = 3.6 GW
                             30% learning
                             curve factor
   100
                                              Demand not
                                                                          Active
    75                                        targeted      27%    31% negotiations
    50
    25
     0
                                                               42%
       96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04
                                                         Targeted demand              6




TXU Power…
                                          To become the safest
                                          and most productive
  Mission                                 operator of baseload
                                          generation in the US




                                           Achieve top decile          Sustain year-over-
                 Achieve industry
                                             reliability and          year real productivity
                  leading safety
Objectives                                  operating cost            improvements of 5%
                   performance
                                              performance             across all operations

                 Safety-first Attitude    Reliability Centered             TXU Operating
                 Embedded In Culture      Maintenance Program              System Phase II

                 Comprehensive            Worldwide Supply Chain           Industrial
                 Training Program         Management                       Partnerships/ Global
                                                                           Best Practices
 Strategies      Safety Recognition And   Reliability Optimization
                 Incentive Programs       Initiative                       TXU Academy

                                          Power Optimization Center
                                                                                               7
                                          Integration
… Is Focused On Delivering Year-Over-Year Generation
Performance Improvement
                                                                       …combined with superior coal operations…
Industry-leading safety performance…
    Baseload plant lost time rate                                        Capacity factor vs non-fuel O&M
    05-06; Incidents/200k hrs                                            03-08E; Percent, $/KW-yr
                                                                          100
         0.07                                                                      08E
                                                                                          05
                                                                           90
                                                                                             03      Top decile
                                                                           80
                                                                           70
                                0.00                  0.00
                                                                           60
        EEI top                   05                YTD 06
                                                                                10      20     30       40       50
        decile 1
                                                                        …and a focus on continuous improvement
…a top-performing nuclear operation…
Capacity factor vs non-fuel O&M2                                        Industry annual productivity improvements
                                                                        83-03; Percent
03-08E; Percent, $/KW-yr
                        08E
 100                                                                                                                  7
        Top decile          05
  90                          03
  80                                                                        3
                                                                                       2        2
      70                                                                                                     1
      60
                                                                           Steel     Telecom Refining   US Gen- TXU Power
           60           70           80           90          100
1
                                                                                                        eration (05-08E) 8
  Average of EEI top decile fossil & nuclear lost time rate
2 Normalized for outages & non recurring expenses




TXU Wholesale…
                                                                    Deliver best in class
                                                                    energy management
                                                                     services to internal
    Mission
                                                                        and external
                                                                         customers




                                                                                                    Provide proprietary
                             Optimize value and                     Develop and expand
                                                                                                    commodity insights
                             manage risk across                      wholesale market
Objectives                                                                                          and perform market
                             TXU native assets                           presence
                                                                                                         advocacy

                                                                     National Commodities           Fundamentals And
                               Retail Risk Mitigation
                                                                     Expansion Program              Quantitative Analysis
                               Initiative
                                                                                                    Center
                                                                     Ex-Texas Growth
                               Commodity Hedging
                                                                     Initiative                     National Regulatory
                               Program
                                                                                                    Advocacy Program
Strategies                                                           Large Customer
                               Risk Management
                                                                     Solutions
                               Culture

                               Systems/Process
                                                                                                                          9
                               Initiative
…Is Focused On Managing Key Risks To Support TXU’s
Growth Objectives
Ensuring competitive fuel sourcing…                                     …and optimizing asset value…
PRB coal cost
03-06E; $/MMBtu
                                                                           Generation              Wholesale          Retail

               1.43           1.39
                                               1.24         1.23

                                                                                      Selling excess power forward
                                                                                      Purchasing required shaped power
                                                                                      Dispatching power generation
                 03               04           05              06E
                                                                                      Executing hedging transactions
Millions         6.4          7.8              9.0             9.4
tons of coal

…while actively managing key risks…                                     …all leveraging proprietary market
                                                                        fundamental perspectives
TXU Corp Net Natural Gas Economic Position
07-10; Million MMBtu                                                              Emissions and Weather
                                                                            Natural Gas
                                                      ~95 to              Heat Rate
                                                       175
                                                                            150
                                                                            125
                                       ~30 to 90                            100
                                                                             75
                                                                             50
                       ~0 to 10
     ~(5) to 5
                                                                             25
                                                                             0
        07               08               09           10
                                                                                  0         20      40      60       80
                                                                                          Cumulative Capacity (GW)
                                                                                                                                10




TXU Energy…

                                                                     To become the
                                                                     national leader
                                                                      in competitive
 Mission
                                                                     retail electricity




                                                                                                                  Enter new
                                                         Continue
                            Achieve                                                    Achieve 40%
                                                                                                                  markets to
                                                        developing
                           industry-                                                  market share in
                                                                                                                  grow $50
                                                        innovative
Objectives                  leading                                                       ERCOT
                                                                                                                   million
                                                         customer
                           customer                                                     residential
                                                                                                                 business ex-
                                                       solutions and
                            service                                                    retail market
                                                                                                                    Texas
                                                         offerings
                        Worry-free Service               North Texas Three-             Customer Loyalty         Long-Term
                        Positioning                      year Price                     Programs                 Commercial
                                                         Protection                                              Contract Strategy
                        Differential Care, Multi-                                       Predictive Modeling
                        channel Strategies        Value-Added                                                    Enhanced
                                                  Offering Strategy                                              Hedging Program
                                                                                        Churn Minimization
                        Self-service
                                                                                        Products Strategies
Strategies              Technologies Initiative Proprietary                                                      Strategic
                                                  Technology                                                     Customer
                                                                                        Multi-Channel
                                                  Development                                                    Acquisition
                                                                                        Partnering Strategy
                                                  Initiative                                                     Initiative
                                                                                                                                11
…Is Focused On Creating An Industry-Leading Retail Model
Industry-leading customer satisfaction…          …with a set of innovative offerings…

   Average speed to answer                        Residential product offerings from AREP
   03-08E; seconds                                Oct 06; Number
      268
                                                      10

                                                                5          5
                                                                                    3
                                                                                               2
                      11           11
    Top decile

                                                      TXU      RRI        CPL     WTU         FC
        03                        08E
                      05
…combine to support Texas load growth…           …and provide for growth in new markets
                                                                                   Active competition
ERCOT residential load
                                                                                   Potential competition
06-10E; TWh

                                        33
              30
Out of
                 4                      11
territory
In
              26                        22
territory


              06                     10E
                                                                                                           12




TXU Electric Delivery…
                                              To become the most
                                                economical and
  Mission                                      reliable shipper of
                                              electricity in the US




                                               Ensure operating                Achieve congestion
                      Achieve top-decile
                                              performance goals                 reductions of 50%
                     reliability with SAIDI
                                              while maintaining                    through grid
 Objectives
                        of less than 60
                                               top-quartile cost                 management and
                       minutes per year
                                                 performance                        investment

                      Asset Rehabilitation     Infrastrux Energy                Grid Optimization
                      And Modernization        Services Strategic               Though Wide Area
                      Initiative               Partnership                      Visualization Program
                      Distributed Smart        Self-healing Network Via         Transmission Grid
                      Grid Technologies        Smart Switches                   Capacity Initiative
 Strategies
                      Broadband Over           Advanced Technology              Processor-based
                      Power Line Network       Development Initiative           Protection Systems


                                                                                                           13
… Is Focused On Cost-Efficient And Reliable Performance

Improving system reliability…                …and cost structure…

                                             O&M and SG&A per customer
Non-storm SAIDI
                                             03-08E; $/customer
03-08E; Minutes
                                                  186          184
                                                                             166
                    77
       74                         70

 Top decile




        03           05           08E              03          05            08E
… while focusing on technology…              …and capital investment
 Automated meter installations                Average annual capex investment
 05-10E; Cumulative (thousands)               81-11E; $ millions

                                                                             731
                                                                       600
                                  2,770
                                                              407
                                                        293
                    1,570                        283

        70
        05          08E           10E           81-90 91-95 96-00 01-04 06-11E     14




Today’s Agenda


                                          TXU Development/TXU Construction
    Business Unit
    Business Unit                         TXU Power
      Strategies
      Strategies                          TXU Wholesale
                                          TXU Energy
                                          TXU Electric Delivery

                                          America’s Power Challenge
      Generation
       Generation                         The Texas Solution
      Growth Plan
      Growth Plan                         A National Solution




                                          Short-term Financial Growth
        Financial
        Financial                         Financial Sensitivities
         Outlook
         Outlook                          Long-term Sources And Uses Of
                                          Cash

                                                                                   15
Key Challenges Facing United States Power Industry

                 Decreasing reliability caused by power demand growth and
     1           generation permitting and construction challenges



                 Increasing reliance on imported energy caused by a 300 GW
     2           buildout of gas capacity combined with decreasing US
                 reserves



                 Increasing electricity prices caused by high-priced natural
     3           gas and utilization of less efficient generation capacity



                 Sub-optimal environmental performance caused by
     4           continued use of aging, inefficient existing generation

                                                                                                   16




 1        Decreasing Reliability…
 Sustained US power demand growth...          …combined with complex policy issues…
 US electricity demand                        Breakeven power prices
 05-10E; TWh                                  06; $/MWh
                                     8%                            Not
                                                                          dispatchable
   4,200                                             180

   4,000
                                                              86
                                                                        73
                                                                                 60        50-53
   3,800

   3,600
                                                    Solar    Wind      Nuclear CCGT        Coal
                05    06 07E 08E 09E 10E
                                               …and projected low reserve margins
…have created a supply-demand imbalance…
                                               07E-11E; GW
Incremental demand and supply growth
06-15E; GW               Incremental
                141                                                              19
                             demand exceeds
                             supply 2.5x            15                  15
                                                             14                             Minimum
                                                                                      11
                                                                                            reserve
                                                                   9
                                  57                                         8
                                                                                            margin
                                              07E        5
                                              11E
               Demand           Supply
                                                    ERCOT    MRO         RFC     WECC
                                                                                                   17
                                              Source: NERC
Source: NERC
… With An Increasing Reliance On Natural Gas…
 2
A massive natural gas generation buildout… …has increased US demand for natural gas…
US generation development                  US natural gas demand
95 - 06; GW                                95-05; TCF
            296
                                                                        22                       22
                                                                         4                                       29%
                                                           Power                                  5              29%

                          13        9                      Other
                                            7                           18                        17
                                                     2                                                           7%
                                                                                                                 7%
      Nat Gas Renew Coal                  Hydro Other
                                                                        95                        05
Source: Energy Velocity

…causing a growing supply deficit…                        …and increasing reliance on foreign reserves…
US Natural gas supply and demand                          World natural gas reserves (100% = 6,338 TCF)
95-10E; TCF                                               05; Percent
                                                                                           Russia
                                                                    Other
 25
                                                                                        27
                                                Demand
 23
                                                                             41
 21
                                                 Supply
 19
                                                                                                 15
                                                                                                       Iran
 17                                                                                  3   14
        95        97      99   01    03   05 07E 09E                          U.S.                                  18
                                                                                         Qatar




 3          …Has Caused Increased Prices…
Higher natural gas costs…                                   …and growing demand across the US…
95-10E; $/MMBtu                                             Increase in year over year peak demand by
                                                            NERC region
 12                                                343%     06; Percent
                                                   343%
 10                                                             4.5
  8
                                                                        3.5
                                                                                   3.1
  6
                                                                                          2.5
  4                                                                                                   2.0
                                                                                                              1.7
  2
  0
        95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09
                                                               PJM ERCOT SPP CAISO ISO-NE NY-ISO

…is increasing heat rates…                                  …with the expectation of higher prices
ERCOT supply curve example                                  Impact on residential rates
06; $/MWh @ $8/MMBtu gas                                    06-07E; Percent increase
                           Peak demand
                                                                   72
                           06 10E
                                                                                  59
 150

                                                                                            33
 100
                                                                                                            19
   50

    0
        0              20       40         60       80
                                                                                            IL
                                                                   MD             DE                        PA
               Cumulative Capacity (GW)                                                                             19
4         …And Less Than Optimal Environmental Performance
Environmental performance has improved…              ...but construction cycles remain long based
                                                     on permitting uncertainty…
Electric demand vs. key emissions
                                                     06E; Months
80-05; Indexed to 1980 levels

                                          Electric                                    120
200
                                          usage
150
                                                                             72
100                                                                45
                                                          24
                                          SO2
 50                                       NOX
  0
      80    85      90   95        00    05             CCGT        PC      IGCC    Nuclear
…causing the US to rely on an aging fleet…           …resulting in higher emissions
Age of US coal fleet                                 NOX emission rate
06; Percent                                          06; lb/MMBtu
              100% = 313 GW
                     >50yrs                                                             0.33
       41-50yrs                                      Increasing usage
                      8% <10yrs
                                                     with decreasing
               16%      1%   10-20yrs
                              9%                     reserve margins         0.13
                                                                   0.05
                                                         0.03
                 34%          32%
                                                        CCGT    New coal    Peaker    Old coal
                                    21-30yrs
      31-40yrs
                                                                             unit
                                                                                                 20




TXU Started By Meeting These Challenges In Texas


                 Ensuring reliability and reducing reliance of natural gas
                 through a plan to bring on 9 GW of new capacity by 2010,
      5          rebalancing the Texas supply stack and helping to maintain
                 adequate reserve margins through 2014



                 Lowering prices by leveraging a scale power generation
      6          program to displace high cost generation and share savings
                 with our customers



                 Improving the environment through the largest ever
      7          voluntary offset program and displacement of less efficient
                 generation capacity

                                                                                                 21
TXU’s Program Will Help Ensure Reliability And Reduce
 5        Reliance On Natural Gas In Texas…
 Historical and projected ERCOT                                            Generation capacity by fuel type
 reserve margins                                                           06-10E; Percent
 00-11E; Percent
 40
                                                                           100%= 1,070 GW      77 GW           90 GW
                                       Impact of TXU Power
                                        Generation Program
                   30
                               29
 30
                         26                                                                       35                42
                                                                           Other
              23                                                                   58
                                                                19
 20                                   17 16                          17
        16
                                               15
                                                    11 12
                                                                12
                                                                                                  65
                                                                     12
                                                        3
 10                                                                                                                 58
                                                                           Gas
                                                                                   42
                                                        9       7    5
  0
                                                                                   US        Texas 06E Texas 10E
        00               03             06E           09E
             2000 –– 2004
              2000 2004                2005 –– 2007
                                        2005 2007      2008 –– 2011+
                                                        2008 2011+                          Reduction in gas
                                                                                             Reduction in gas
      22 GW of natural gas fired           Rapid       Dangerously                            reliance and
       22 GW of natural gas fired           Rapid       Dangerously                            reliance and
          generation added;              demand        low supplies                       volatility by shifting
           generation added;               demand       low supplies                       volatility by shifting
          adequate supplies               growth      require 1.5 GW                      the stack away from
           adequate supplies               growth      require 1.5 GW                      the stack away from
                                        eliminates       per year                          gas towards solid
                                         eliminates       per year                          gas towards solid
                                         reserve                                                    fuel
                                           reserve                                                   fuel
                                                                                                                         22
 Source: ERCOT, 10/1/05 and 6/19/06




 6        …Allowing TXU To Deliver Lower Cost Power To Its
          Customers…
Breakeven power prices for TXU’s Power Generation Program                               Total annual ERCOT market
                                                                                        savings
06E; $/MWh
                                                                                        11E; $ billions
                                                            Forward power price
       76-79              17
                                                                                                         1.7
                                           5                4
                                                                          50-53




                                                                                                 Market savings
 Expectations Decreased Decreased                      Operational         TXU
 for subscale capital costs fuel costs                 advantages         target
 builder



                        Without scale, it would be virtually impossible for TXU
                        Without scale, it would be virtually impossible for TXU
                           to deliver needed cost savings to its customers
                            to deliver needed cost savings to its customers
                                                                                                                         23
7        …While Continuing To Improve The Texas Environment…

                           Estimated key emissions
                                                                                                           SO2     NOX               Hg
                              Thousands of tons
     2005 emissions (nine existing facilities)                                                            273.1    42.1       .0025
     Emissions after new development and
                                                                                                          218.5    33.7       .0020
     voluntary reductions
     Total TXU reductions                                                                                  54.6     8.4       .0005

     Reduction relative to 05 TXU emissions                                                               (20%)   (20%)       (20%)
     Additional reductions from displacement of 3rd
                                                                                                            0.0    12.1             0.0
     party units
     US ranking1 among 20 largest coal generators                                                           1st      1st            2nd

     TXU emissions rates1 relative to US average                                                          (63%)   (82%)       (30%)


       TXU has committed to the largest voluntary emissions reduction in U.S. history
        TXU has committed to the largest voluntary emissions reduction in U.S. history
       TXU’s plan will more than double its capacity in Texas while cutting key
        TXU’s plan will more than double its capacity in Texas while cutting key
       emissions by 20% and its emission rates by 70%
        emissions by 20% and its emission rates by 70%
1   TXU after new power generation development program and retrofits; relative to average US coal plant
                                                                                                                                          24




     7          …And Investing To Ensure The Plants Are Ready For
                Potential Future Regulations
    Building the most efficient plants in the country…                                    …and being designed for potential future
                                                                                          carbon capture
    Coal plant steam outlet temperatures for plants
    under construction
    06E; Degrees Fahrenheit
                                                                                          IEA1 requirements to be
                                              Meet EPRI
                                                                                          considered carbon                  TXU
        1,085         1,085                   advanced
                                                                                          capture ready                    status
                                              supercritical
                                              standard
                                                                                          Sufficient space in
                                                                                          critical access locations

                                                    1,050         1,050
                                     1,050                                                Options for CO2 storage

                                                                                          Design studies on
                                                                                          potential separation
                                                                                          methodologies
                                                                                          Pre-investments
       TXU    Plant                  Plant         Plant          Plant
                                                                                          including plant siting
    reference   A                      B             C              D
      plant

      TXU is commercializing the most efficient coal plants and continues to ensure the plants
       TXU is commercializing the most efficient coal plants and continues to ensure the plants
               will be able to be retrofitted with carbon capture technology in the future
                will be able to be retrofitted with carbon capture technology in the future
                                                                                                                                          25
1   International Energy Agency
TXU’s Texas Program Is Progressing Well, Despite Market
                                                   Low
Shifts In Cost And Regulatory Delay
                                                                                                     High

Category           Grade   Remarks

                             Reference plant draft permits issued - final permits expected 2Q07
Permitting                   Oak Grove delayed to January but no impact on critical path
                             Sandow consent decree pending resolution
                             Leveraged Kaizen events to design most economical advanced supercritical boiler
Plant design
                             that is carbon capture and sequestration ready
                             Open book process continuing on schedule
Construction
                             Some labor pressure, but plants coming in on schedule

Supply chain                 Uncovering opportunities for improvements to be used in next phase

                             Successfully executed significant hedging transactions to support ability to project
Hedging
                             finance
                             Active negotiations with over 1 GW of long-term demand
PPA’s
                             In discussions to sign up majority of long-term Texas demand
                             Obtained commitment for $11 billion non-recourse project financing
Financing
                             Continuing to evaluate optimal capital structure
                             LOI’s signed or in approval process for sale of 600 MW of Oak Grove and 50% of
Equity                       another facility
partnerships
                             Sell down process for equity participation in program underway
                             Gas weakened slightly
Market
environment                  Reserve margin expectations continue to tighten

Rail and fuel                Constructive negotiations with shippers based on size and dual rail access
                                                                                                                    26




TXU Is Now Focusing On Its National Plan


                Establishing profitable market entry strategies across
     8          markets to help customers meet their energy challenges




                Redefining the performance potential of new build baseload
     9          generation by taking advantage of the global supply
                learning curve to drive down prices and increase returns



                Advocating for tougher environmental standards and
   10           investing in technologies to redefine the environmental
                performance of new generation




                                                                                                                    27
8    Expanding The Portfolio Outside Of Texas…
Working to build a business in PJM…                    …originating up to 10 GW of new generation…
Completed                       Outstanding             Status                                                  Units      GW
  3 GW of sites                 Final fuel plan
                                                        Preliminary discussions                                        5     4
  identified/secured            Key stakeholder
  Preliminary transmission      agreements              Advanced discussions                                           4   3.5
  studies complete              completed by end
                                of 06
  Site engineering complete                             Letters of intent1                                             3   2.5
                                Geo-technical
  Preliminary air modeling
                                evaluation              Definitive agreements                                          0     0
  complete
  Permit levels identified
                                                        Total                                                       12      10
  and discussed with states
                                                        1   Letter of intent signed or in approval process.


  …exploring the potential for long term                    …and designing a model for new coal to
  energy intensive industrial demand…                       economically replace existing coal
  Potential incremental demand
  20E; GW
                                                                                                                 Designing a
                35                                                                                                model for
                                                                                                                 new coal to
                                                                                                                 compete in
                                                       7X24
                           14                                                                                    coal on the
                                                       prices
                                       7
                                                                                                                   margin
                                                            High
                                                                                                                  markets
           Oil shale Tar sands Aluminum
                                                                                                                                 28
                                                                 Low




  9     …Redefining Performance To Deliver Lower Cost Power
        And Open Up New Market Opportunities…
Sourcing in Low Cost Countries (LCC)…                  …implying a $300/KW advantage in the US…
Coal plant component costs                             Normalized LCC construction cost
06; $/KW                                               06E; $/KW
           40%            26%   335 42%
           40%            26%       42%
                                                                                                                 850
                                             Sourced                                                  230
                                             in US                                    80
                                     195                           540
      98             77 57
           58                                Sourced
                                             in LCC
                                                                                Incremental US                   US
      Boilers        Turbines   Balance of                    LCC coal
                                                                                env. capital labor            normalized
                                  plant                         plant
…that could help TXU deliver lower costs…              …potentially creating a new market opportunity
Power prices                                                Breakeven conditions to displace generation
06; $/MWh                                                   06; $/KW of capital cost
                                                             2,200                Displace existing gas
      59
                     50                                      1,800
                                40
                                             32
                                                             1,400                                                Today
                                                                                Displace old coal
                                                             1,000
                                                                                               TXU vision
                                                                600
 US average TXU today TXU future           Average
                                                                      7.5          8.0        8.5     9.0                  9.5
                        target               LCC                                                                                 29
                                                                               Plant heat rate (MMBtu/MWh)
10 …AdvocatingImprove Performance…
                For Tougher Environmental Standards And
   Investing To
TXU is redefining environmental standards for                       …and CO2 emissions over the long term…
regulated emissions...                                               CO2 emissions rate
                                                                     20E; Tons/ MWh
                                                                                      0.96        0.54
    For every incremental 11ton of emissions of                             0.80
     For every incremental ton of emissions of
    SO2, ,NOX, ,and Hg from new generation,
     SO NO and Hg from new generation,                                                                       0.42
         2       X
    existing emissions in Texas must be
     existing emissions in Texas must be
    reduced by at least 1.2 tons
     reduced by at least 1.2 tons
                                                                          Peaking     Coal Reduction Long-term
                                                                            gas      today   levers   vision -
                                                                          (11 HR)                      CCGT
…while working to commercialize             …and starting an environmental ventures
technologies across the entire value chain… fund to spur investment in this area
                     Generation                     Demand
                                                                          TXU
             Combustion              Flue gas       Customer
  Fuel                    Efficiency
             Gasification            removal        initiatives                        $200
                                                                          Bank
                                                                                                         Advisory
                                                                                      million
                                                                                                          Board
                                                                                       fund
                                                                     Equipment
• Coal    • Waste to     • R&D        • Solid CO2   • Time of
  cleaning energy          partnership capture        use retail
                                                                      supplier
                                                      products
          • Oxy-                      • Chilled
            firing                      NH3         • CO2 free        Venture
                                                      products
                                      • MEA
                                                                      capital
                                                    • Efficiency
                                      • Storage
                                                                                                                     30
                                                      solutions
                                        study




TXU Is Positioning Itself To Be A Leader Over The                                                             Low

Long Term…                                                                                                    High



      Key capability                          TXU           Description


                                                            Internal group of professionals with global
      Development expertise
                                                            experience in multiple technology developments

                                                            Internal group with development and nodal
      Transmission expertise
                                                            modeling capabilities across multiple regions
      Valuation and risk                                    Proven track record of value creation, capital
      management                                            allocation, and risk management

                                                            Proprietary Whole System Approach to
      Construction expertise
                                                            construction
      Global supply chain                                   Successfully implemented global sourcing effort to
      management                                            reduce construction cost and time
      Baseload operational and                              Track record of best in class performance and
      fuel handling expertise                               experience in fuel handling and blending

                                                            Developing national capabilities to augment strong
      National advocacy
                                                            Texas skill base
      National regulatory                                   Developing national capabilities to augment strong
      expertise                                             Texas skill base
                                                                                                                     31
…And Has Line Of Sight Around 17 GW Of New Generation
Development
 There is potentially an enormous   …and TXU has line of sight around 17 GW of
 opportunity to add new generation… development
 06-20E; GW                         06-20E; GW

                        283


                                                                          16-23
Incremental                                                    5-10
                        160
growth


                                                    2-4
                                         9
Advanced
coal replacing
                         78
existing coal
Advanced coal
replacing                45
existing gas
                  Total US growth      ERCOT     Merchant    Customer     Total
                 opportunity (06-20)               PJM       business
        TXU is in substantive negotiations to develop 8 GW outside of ERCOT
        TXU is in substantive negotiations to develop 8 GW outside of ERCOT
                                                                                  32




Today’s Agenda


                                       TXU Development/TXU Construction
      Business Unit
      Business Unit                    TXU Power
        Strategies
        Strategies                     TXU Wholesale
                                       TXU Energy
                                       TXU Electric Delivery

                                       America’s Power Challenge
       Generation
        Generation                     The Texas Solution
       Growth Plan
       Growth Plan                     A National Solution



                                       Short-term Financial Growth
         Financial                     Financial Sensitivities
         Financial
          Outlook                      Long-term Sources And Uses Of
          Outlook
                                       Cash

                                                                                  33
Commodity and Capital Allocation Impacts Have Reshaped
The Earnings Power
                                         Earning Power Impact                                                                       07                      11
                                         May 06 business plan                                                                    5.75 9.75-10.001
                                         Lower wholesale power prices reduce
                                         gross margins for TXU Power and
    Commodities
    Commodities                          reduce TXU Energy’s gross margin
                                         when they are passed on to customers;
                                         PRB increases                                                                        ~(.20)               ~(1.20)

                                         Increased growth investment, reduced
         Capital
          Capital
                                         OCF, and higher share prices reduce the
        Allocation
        Allocation
                                         # of share repurchased
                                                                                                                              ~(.15)                  ~(.50)

                                         Sell-down reduces risk and improves
        Sell-downs
        Sell-downs                       capital returns but reduces EPS
                                                                                                                                      0               ~(.45)

                                         Current business plan2                                                         5.25-5.55              7.55-7.85
               TXU’s new build strategy enables a 5-year growth trajectory of 8-10%
                TXU’s new build strategy enables a 5-year growth trajectory of 8-10%
1       2010 indicative earnings as of May 2006
2       Indicative pro forma for 2007 and 2011 reflects current targets for the 11 new generation units currently planned in Texas. 2007E operational earnings
        estimate excludes fees, expenses, and interest associated with debt that is part of the expected TXU Power Development nonrecourse financing
        package.
                                                                                                                                                                 34




Through 2011 TXU Is Generating Significant Free Cash Flow
And Planning Very Significant Investments

         Sources of cash1                                                                 Uses of cash1
         07E-11E (indicative); $ billions                                                 07E-11E (indicative); $ billions

                                                19-22                                                  19-22
    New plant equity
                                               1.0-2.0
    sell-down
                                               1.5-2.0
                                                                                                                               Cash for investment/
                                                                                                      8.5-9.5
    Electric                                                                                                                   distribution
    Delivery debt
                                                                                                                               De-levering
                                                                                                      1.5-2.0
                                             16.5-18.0
        OCF                                                                                                                    Dividends
                                                                                                      3.5-4.0


                                                                                                                               Core portfolio capex
                                                                                                      5.5-6.5


                                                                                                     07E-11E
                                             07E-11E

        TXU is investing in its core business while returning aasignificant amount of capital to
         TXU is investing in its core business while returning significant amount of capital to
          shareholders. Over 06-11, > $1 bn is earmarked for additional growth investments
           shareholders. Over 06-11, > $1 bn is earmarked for additional growth investments
    1   Excludes capital expenditures and operating cash flows for the 11 new ERCOT development units expected to be reimbursed from TXU
        Power Development Company’s non-recourse financing.
                                                                                                                                                                 35
TXU’s Risk Strategy Will Lock-In Substantial Value For The
New Build Projects…
New build program NPV distribution
06; Number of trials
                         1                          2                           3                              4
              Merchant coal plant        Impact: Hedges/PPA’s          Impact: Sell downs          Impact: Continued
                                                                                                   build and performance

                  P(NPV<0)= 13%               P(NPV<0)= 7%                 P(NPV<0)= 3%                P(NPV<0)= 1.5%




                                                                                            1000 -1000         0        1000
              -1000      0      1000                          1000 -1000        0
                                         -1000       0

                                           Hedge volumes for debt Sell down up to 49% equity         Continue to construct
                                         financing and sell forward at prices at or above hold      capacity and ride down
                                         volumes above hold case               case                     learning curve

New GW                            1.0                            1.0                         0.5                        1.0

PV/I                              1.6                            1.6                         2.4                        4.2

Gas exp.              Base exposure                30% reduction              65% reduction               30% reduction

Carbon exp.           Base exposure                 0% reduction              49% reduction                0% reduction

Earnings (GW)            $0.20-$0.25                     $0.19-$0.24                $0.15-$0.20                $0.35-$0.45
                                                                                                                        36




…While Helping To Build The Option To Capture Upside

                                                                              Developing the option to
  Value of new build strategy to TXU                                          build allows TXU to capture
  06                                                                          significant upside in high
                                                                              commodity environments
                                    A merchant model is
 The combination of hedges,
                                    completely levered to gas
 and sell downs reduces gas
                                                                                                               Option to
                                    prices with the potential to
 exposure and helps to
                                    destroy value at low gas
 ensure value capture even in                                                                                  build
                                    prices
 downside cases                                                                                                comes in
                                                                                                               the
                                                                                                               money




       3.0               4.0                 5.0                 6.0                  7.0                8.0

                                        Levelized natural gas price
                                                $/MMBtu


   The combination of locking in value today through hedging, PPA’s and sell
    The combination of locking in value today through hedging, PPA’s and sell
 downs and building the option to add capacity creates a robust business model
  downs and building the option to add capacity creates a robust business model
                                                                                                                         37
Expansion Opportunities Give TXU The Ability To Grow
Under Different Scenarios…
                    GW added
   Scenario           by 2015 Description
                                     Backwardated gas prices, severe greenhouse
                                     gas regulations, slow technology
   Texas only               ~9
                                     improvements, and/or regulatory barriers limit
                                     the potential for coal outside of Texas
                                     The backwardated gas curve, combined with
                                     slow technology advances provides a limited
   Advanced                          window over the next 10 years for coal to be
   coal on gas             ~20       the winning new build technology
   opportunity
                                     New coal is not advantaged enough to fully
                                     displace existing coal
                                     Improvements in new coal technology, costs,
                                     efficiency, and environmental performance
   Advanced
                                     allow it to displace existing, inefficient, high
   coal on
                           ~30       emission generation
   old coal
   opportunity                       The 280 GW opportunity for new development
                                     becomes economically available

                                                                                               38




… And The Ability To Grow EBITDA In A Backwardated
Commodity Environment
Potential EBITDA                                                                   7-14%
                                                                                   7-14%
11E-15E; $ billions                                                                CAGR
                                                                                   CAGR


                                                                                    11.2
                                                                        2.5
                                                         2.5

                  1.0                        6.2
     ~6.7
                               0.5




      TXU        Backwar-  Core business TXU 2015E     Advanced      Advanced       2015E
     2011E        dated     performance   in Texas    coal on gas   coal on coal   potential
  (including    commodity improvements      only      opportunity   opportunity
    ERCOT      environment                scenario
  new build)

    Successful execution of the build strategy could provide a solid long-term
     Successful execution of the build strategy could provide a solid long-term
 EBITDA growth strategy overcoming the backwardated commodity environment
  EBITDA growth strategy overcoming the backwardated commodity environment
                                                                                               39
TXU: Competitively Positioned To Meet America’s Energy
Challenges
 1. Competitively advantaged businesses across the value chain positioned for long-
  1. Competitively advantaged businesses across the value chain positioned for long-
     term success
      term success
    –– Structurally advantaged low cost position difficult to replicate
         Structurally advantaged low cost position difficult to replicate
    –– Industrial skill set focused on top decile operations
         Industrial skill set focused on top decile operations
    –– Scale to drive waste out of the value chain
         Scale to drive waste out of the value chain

 2. Business model to profitably meet America’s energy challenges
  2. Business model to profitably meet America’s energy challenges
    –– Advantaged build model to help improve reliability, lower prices and improve the
        Advantaged build model to help improve reliability, lower prices and improve the
       environment
        environment
    –– Focus on driving new build construction costs to worldwide low cost levels
        Focus on driving new build construction costs to worldwide low cost levels
    –– Advocacy for tougher environmental standards to help remove inefficient existing
        Advocacy for tougher environmental standards to help remove inefficient existing
       generation from service
        generation from service
    –– Investment in the next generation of technology to improve the environment
        Investment in the next generation of technology to improve the environment

 3. Balanced focus on rigorous capital allocation and organic growth that will overcome
  3. Balanced focus on rigorous capital allocation and organic growth that will overcome
     the backwardated commodity environment
      the backwardated commodity environment
    –– Reduced 07E earnings based on aafunctioning competitive market and value
          Reduced 07E earnings based on functioning competitive market and value
         being returned to the customer
          being returned to the customer
    –– 5-year earnings growth of ~8% to 10% based on the Texas new build program
          5-year earnings growth of ~8% to 10% based on the Texas new build program
    –– Continued long term EBITDA growth based on success of Ex-ERCOT strategy
          Continued long term EBITDA growth based on success of Ex-ERCOT strategy
                                                                                       40




                    Appendix –
              Regulation G Definitions
Financial Definitions

   Measure                                                        Definition

   Capex                     Capital expenditures.

   EBITDA (non-GAAP)         Income from continuing operations before interest income, interest expense and
                             related charges, and income tax plus depreciation and amortization and special
                             items. EBITDA is a measure used by TXU to assess performance.

   Operating Cash Flow       Cash provided by operating activities.
   (GAAP)

   Operational Earnings per Operational Earnings Per Share (a non-GAAP measure) is defined as per share
   Share (non-GAAP)         (diluted) income from continuing operations, excluding special items. Beginning in
                            the fourth quarter of 2006, TXU also plans to exclude all effects of unrealized cash
                            flow hedging ineffectiveness and market-to-market gains or/and losses on positions
                            in its long- term hedging program from operational earnings because management
                            believes such presentation will more appropriately reflect the ongoing earnings of
                            the business. The effect is that only realized gains and losses on positions in the
                            long-term hedging program are reflected in operational earnings. TXU forecasts
                            earnings on such operational earnings basis and is unable to reconcile forecasted
                            operational earnings to a GAAP financial measure because forecasts of special
                            items and material non-recurring items or ineffectiveness or market-to-market gains
                            or losses on its long term hedging program are not practical.          TXU relies on
                            operational earnings for evaluation of performance and believes that analysis of the
                            business by external users is enhanced by visibility to both reported GAAP earnings
                            and operational earnings.




                                                                                                                   42

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energy future holindings txu_110906

  • 1. EEI Conference C. John Wilder Chief Executive Officer November 7, 2006 Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's current projections, forecasts, estimates and expectations is contained in the company's SEC filings. Specifically, the company makes reference to the section entitled “Risk Factors” in its annual and quarterly reports, particularly the risk factor relating to its new build program in Texas. In addition to the risks and uncertainties set forth in the company's SEC filings, the forward-looking statements in this presentation could be affected by actions of rating agencies, the ability of the company to attract and retain profitable customers, changes in demand for electricity, the impact of weather, changes in wholesale electricity prices or energy commodity prices, the company’s ability to hedge against changes in commodity prices and market heat rates, the company’s ability to fund certain investments described herein, delays in approval of, or failure to obtain, air and other environmental permits and the ability of the company to resolve the consent decree issue regarding the new Sandow 5 unit, changes in competitive market rules, changes in environmental laws or regulations, changes in electric generation and emissions control technologies, changes in projected demand for electricity, the ability of the company and its contractors to attract and retain skilled labor, at projected rates, for planning and building new generating units, changes in the cost and availability of materials necessary for the planned new generation units, the ability of the company to negotiate and finalize engineering, procurement and construction contracts for its reference plants in a timely manner and at projected costs, the ability of the company to manage the significant construction program to a timely conclusion with limited cost overruns, the ability of the company to implement the initiatives that are part of its performance improvement program and growth strategy and the terms under which the company executes those initiatives, and the decisions made and actions taken as a result of the company’s financial and growth strategies, and with respect to the InfrastruX Energy joint venture, the amount of time the PUC takes to review the transaction and the results of such review. 1
  • 2. Today’s Agenda TXU Development/TXU Construction Business Unit Business Unit TXU Power Strategies Strategies TXU Wholesale TXU Energy TXU Electric Delivery America’s Power Challenge Generation Generation The Texas Solution Growth Plan Growth Plan A National Solution Short-term Financial Growth Financial Financial Financial Sensitivities Outlook Outlook Long-term Sources And Uses Of Cash 2 TXU’s Long-Term Objectives… 1. Drive 3-5% annual improvement in reliability, efficiency, and 1. Drive 3-5% annual improvement in reliability, efficiency, and service service 2. Meet Texas’ growing demand for power with 9 GW of new baseload 2. Meet Texas’ growing demand for power with 9 GW of new baseload power generation power generation 3. Maintain Texas residential market share by profitably gaining 3. Maintain Texas residential market share by profitably gaining customers and providing innovative products and services customers and providing innovative products and services 4. Leverage superior baseload operations, construction expertise, 4. Leverage superior baseload operations, construction expertise, and structuring skills to build a 10 GW business in other and structuring skills to build a 10 GW business in other competitive US markets competitive US markets 5. Continue to enhance business through building strong 5. Continue to enhance business through building strong management and ensuring the financial risk profile is management and ensuring the financial risk profile is commensurate with the business risk profile commensurate with the business risk profile 3
  • 3. …Will Be Executed By Businesses That Compete Across The Entire Value Chain Transmission Generation Wholesale Retail and Distribution Power TXU Power TXU Wholesale TXU Energy TXU Electric Development/ Delivery Construction Company 2nd largest 6th largest T&D 9 GW active Access to Large scale company development deregulated largest ERCOT competitive program output generation retailer Top quartile costs fleet Up to 3 GW per Low-cost lignite Loyal and reliability reserves customers year phase 2 Access to High growth region development largest ERCOT 63 TWh of Strong brand program retail position Efficient capital recognition baseload recovery Advantaged production in Incumbent Superior construction gas on the regulatory No commodity service model margin market advocacy and exposure market design Active customer Industry-leading expertise No retail customers solutions performance business and reliability 4 TXU Power Development/Construction… To become the leading originator and constructor of Mission baseload generation throughout the US Originate long-term Develop steady Construct baseload off-take agreements pipeline of baseload generation 35% and equity sell opportunities to add cheaper and faster Objectives downs to ensure 30% 3 GW of new capacity and make 5% yearly of construction is annually improvement sold forward PJM Development Proprietary Construction Muni/Co-op Solutions Program Whole System Approach Industrial Solutions Incumbent Customer Advantaged Relationships Equity Partnership Solutions Strategy With Top Contractors And Solutions Manufacturers Industrial Partnerships Strategies Low-cost Country, Scaled National Advocacy Sourcing Program Initiative Learning Curve Codification Program 5
  • 4. …Is Focused On Driving Advantages In Construction Costs And Origination Channels Leveraging scale to redefine costs… …and construction time… 06E; $/KW 06; Months 2,000 50 50 1,600 32 1,100 Recent US average TXU target Recent US average TXU target antecdotes anecdotes …following other successful build programs… …and locking up forward Texas power sales Kerr McGee Deepwater platform costs Incremental Municipal and Cooperative load 96-04; Index=100 05-15E; Percent 100% = 3.6 GW 30% learning curve factor 100 Demand not Active 75 targeted 27% 31% negotiations 50 25 0 42% 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 Targeted demand 6 TXU Power… To become the safest and most productive Mission operator of baseload generation in the US Achieve top decile Sustain year-over- Achieve industry reliability and year real productivity leading safety Objectives operating cost improvements of 5% performance performance across all operations Safety-first Attitude Reliability Centered TXU Operating Embedded In Culture Maintenance Program System Phase II Comprehensive Worldwide Supply Chain Industrial Training Program Management Partnerships/ Global Best Practices Strategies Safety Recognition And Reliability Optimization Incentive Programs Initiative TXU Academy Power Optimization Center 7 Integration
  • 5. … Is Focused On Delivering Year-Over-Year Generation Performance Improvement …combined with superior coal operations… Industry-leading safety performance… Baseload plant lost time rate Capacity factor vs non-fuel O&M 05-06; Incidents/200k hrs 03-08E; Percent, $/KW-yr 100 0.07 08E 05 90 03 Top decile 80 70 0.00 0.00 60 EEI top 05 YTD 06 10 20 30 40 50 decile 1 …and a focus on continuous improvement …a top-performing nuclear operation… Capacity factor vs non-fuel O&M2 Industry annual productivity improvements 83-03; Percent 03-08E; Percent, $/KW-yr 08E 100 7 Top decile 05 90 03 80 3 2 2 70 1 60 Steel Telecom Refining US Gen- TXU Power 60 70 80 90 100 1 eration (05-08E) 8 Average of EEI top decile fossil & nuclear lost time rate 2 Normalized for outages & non recurring expenses TXU Wholesale… Deliver best in class energy management services to internal Mission and external customers Provide proprietary Optimize value and Develop and expand commodity insights manage risk across wholesale market Objectives and perform market TXU native assets presence advocacy National Commodities Fundamentals And Retail Risk Mitigation Expansion Program Quantitative Analysis Initiative Center Ex-Texas Growth Commodity Hedging Initiative National Regulatory Program Advocacy Program Strategies Large Customer Risk Management Solutions Culture Systems/Process 9 Initiative
  • 6. …Is Focused On Managing Key Risks To Support TXU’s Growth Objectives Ensuring competitive fuel sourcing… …and optimizing asset value… PRB coal cost 03-06E; $/MMBtu Generation Wholesale Retail 1.43 1.39 1.24 1.23 Selling excess power forward Purchasing required shaped power Dispatching power generation 03 04 05 06E Executing hedging transactions Millions 6.4 7.8 9.0 9.4 tons of coal …while actively managing key risks… …all leveraging proprietary market fundamental perspectives TXU Corp Net Natural Gas Economic Position 07-10; Million MMBtu Emissions and Weather Natural Gas ~95 to Heat Rate 175 150 125 ~30 to 90 100 75 50 ~0 to 10 ~(5) to 5 25 0 07 08 09 10 0 20 40 60 80 Cumulative Capacity (GW) 10 TXU Energy… To become the national leader in competitive Mission retail electricity Enter new Continue Achieve Achieve 40% markets to developing industry- market share in grow $50 innovative Objectives leading ERCOT million customer customer residential business ex- solutions and service retail market Texas offerings Worry-free Service North Texas Three- Customer Loyalty Long-Term Positioning year Price Programs Commercial Protection Contract Strategy Differential Care, Multi- Predictive Modeling channel Strategies Value-Added Enhanced Offering Strategy Hedging Program Churn Minimization Self-service Products Strategies Strategies Technologies Initiative Proprietary Strategic Technology Customer Multi-Channel Development Acquisition Partnering Strategy Initiative Initiative 11
  • 7. …Is Focused On Creating An Industry-Leading Retail Model Industry-leading customer satisfaction… …with a set of innovative offerings… Average speed to answer Residential product offerings from AREP 03-08E; seconds Oct 06; Number 268 10 5 5 3 2 11 11 Top decile TXU RRI CPL WTU FC 03 08E 05 …combine to support Texas load growth… …and provide for growth in new markets Active competition ERCOT residential load Potential competition 06-10E; TWh 33 30 Out of 4 11 territory In 26 22 territory 06 10E 12 TXU Electric Delivery… To become the most economical and Mission reliable shipper of electricity in the US Ensure operating Achieve congestion Achieve top-decile performance goals reductions of 50% reliability with SAIDI while maintaining through grid Objectives of less than 60 top-quartile cost management and minutes per year performance investment Asset Rehabilitation Infrastrux Energy Grid Optimization And Modernization Services Strategic Though Wide Area Initiative Partnership Visualization Program Distributed Smart Self-healing Network Via Transmission Grid Grid Technologies Smart Switches Capacity Initiative Strategies Broadband Over Advanced Technology Processor-based Power Line Network Development Initiative Protection Systems 13
  • 8. … Is Focused On Cost-Efficient And Reliable Performance Improving system reliability… …and cost structure… O&M and SG&A per customer Non-storm SAIDI 03-08E; $/customer 03-08E; Minutes 186 184 166 77 74 70 Top decile 03 05 08E 03 05 08E … while focusing on technology… …and capital investment Automated meter installations Average annual capex investment 05-10E; Cumulative (thousands) 81-11E; $ millions 731 600 2,770 407 293 1,570 283 70 05 08E 10E 81-90 91-95 96-00 01-04 06-11E 14 Today’s Agenda TXU Development/TXU Construction Business Unit Business Unit TXU Power Strategies Strategies TXU Wholesale TXU Energy TXU Electric Delivery America’s Power Challenge Generation Generation The Texas Solution Growth Plan Growth Plan A National Solution Short-term Financial Growth Financial Financial Financial Sensitivities Outlook Outlook Long-term Sources And Uses Of Cash 15
  • 9. Key Challenges Facing United States Power Industry Decreasing reliability caused by power demand growth and 1 generation permitting and construction challenges Increasing reliance on imported energy caused by a 300 GW 2 buildout of gas capacity combined with decreasing US reserves Increasing electricity prices caused by high-priced natural 3 gas and utilization of less efficient generation capacity Sub-optimal environmental performance caused by 4 continued use of aging, inefficient existing generation 16 1 Decreasing Reliability… Sustained US power demand growth... …combined with complex policy issues… US electricity demand Breakeven power prices 05-10E; TWh 06; $/MWh 8% Not dispatchable 4,200 180 4,000 86 73 60 50-53 3,800 3,600 Solar Wind Nuclear CCGT Coal 05 06 07E 08E 09E 10E …and projected low reserve margins …have created a supply-demand imbalance… 07E-11E; GW Incremental demand and supply growth 06-15E; GW Incremental 141 19 demand exceeds supply 2.5x 15 15 14 Minimum 11 reserve 9 57 8 margin 07E 5 11E Demand Supply ERCOT MRO RFC WECC 17 Source: NERC Source: NERC
  • 10. … With An Increasing Reliance On Natural Gas… 2 A massive natural gas generation buildout… …has increased US demand for natural gas… US generation development US natural gas demand 95 - 06; GW 95-05; TCF 296 22 22 4 29% Power 5 29% 13 9 Other 7 18 17 2 7% 7% Nat Gas Renew Coal Hydro Other 95 05 Source: Energy Velocity …causing a growing supply deficit… …and increasing reliance on foreign reserves… US Natural gas supply and demand World natural gas reserves (100% = 6,338 TCF) 95-10E; TCF 05; Percent Russia Other 25 27 Demand 23 41 21 Supply 19 15 Iran 17 3 14 95 97 99 01 03 05 07E 09E U.S. 18 Qatar 3 …Has Caused Increased Prices… Higher natural gas costs… …and growing demand across the US… 95-10E; $/MMBtu Increase in year over year peak demand by NERC region 12 343% 06; Percent 343% 10 4.5 8 3.5 3.1 6 2.5 4 2.0 1.7 2 0 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 PJM ERCOT SPP CAISO ISO-NE NY-ISO …is increasing heat rates… …with the expectation of higher prices ERCOT supply curve example Impact on residential rates 06; $/MWh @ $8/MMBtu gas 06-07E; Percent increase Peak demand 72 06 10E 59 150 33 100 19 50 0 0 20 40 60 80 IL MD DE PA Cumulative Capacity (GW) 19
  • 11. 4 …And Less Than Optimal Environmental Performance Environmental performance has improved… ...but construction cycles remain long based on permitting uncertainty… Electric demand vs. key emissions 06E; Months 80-05; Indexed to 1980 levels Electric 120 200 usage 150 72 100 45 24 SO2 50 NOX 0 80 85 90 95 00 05 CCGT PC IGCC Nuclear …causing the US to rely on an aging fleet… …resulting in higher emissions Age of US coal fleet NOX emission rate 06; Percent 06; lb/MMBtu 100% = 313 GW >50yrs 0.33 41-50yrs Increasing usage 8% <10yrs with decreasing 16% 1% 10-20yrs 9% reserve margins 0.13 0.05 0.03 34% 32% CCGT New coal Peaker Old coal 21-30yrs 31-40yrs unit 20 TXU Started By Meeting These Challenges In Texas Ensuring reliability and reducing reliance of natural gas through a plan to bring on 9 GW of new capacity by 2010, 5 rebalancing the Texas supply stack and helping to maintain adequate reserve margins through 2014 Lowering prices by leveraging a scale power generation 6 program to displace high cost generation and share savings with our customers Improving the environment through the largest ever 7 voluntary offset program and displacement of less efficient generation capacity 21
  • 12. TXU’s Program Will Help Ensure Reliability And Reduce 5 Reliance On Natural Gas In Texas… Historical and projected ERCOT Generation capacity by fuel type reserve margins 06-10E; Percent 00-11E; Percent 40 100%= 1,070 GW 77 GW 90 GW Impact of TXU Power Generation Program 30 29 30 26 35 42 Other 23 58 19 20 17 16 17 16 15 11 12 12 65 12 3 10 58 Gas 42 9 7 5 0 US Texas 06E Texas 10E 00 03 06E 09E 2000 –– 2004 2000 2004 2005 –– 2007 2005 2007 2008 –– 2011+ 2008 2011+ Reduction in gas Reduction in gas 22 GW of natural gas fired Rapid Dangerously reliance and 22 GW of natural gas fired Rapid Dangerously reliance and generation added; demand low supplies volatility by shifting generation added; demand low supplies volatility by shifting adequate supplies growth require 1.5 GW the stack away from adequate supplies growth require 1.5 GW the stack away from eliminates per year gas towards solid eliminates per year gas towards solid reserve fuel reserve fuel 22 Source: ERCOT, 10/1/05 and 6/19/06 6 …Allowing TXU To Deliver Lower Cost Power To Its Customers… Breakeven power prices for TXU’s Power Generation Program Total annual ERCOT market savings 06E; $/MWh 11E; $ billions Forward power price 76-79 17 1.7 5 4 50-53 Market savings Expectations Decreased Decreased Operational TXU for subscale capital costs fuel costs advantages target builder Without scale, it would be virtually impossible for TXU Without scale, it would be virtually impossible for TXU to deliver needed cost savings to its customers to deliver needed cost savings to its customers 23
  • 13. 7 …While Continuing To Improve The Texas Environment… Estimated key emissions SO2 NOX Hg Thousands of tons 2005 emissions (nine existing facilities) 273.1 42.1 .0025 Emissions after new development and 218.5 33.7 .0020 voluntary reductions Total TXU reductions 54.6 8.4 .0005 Reduction relative to 05 TXU emissions (20%) (20%) (20%) Additional reductions from displacement of 3rd 0.0 12.1 0.0 party units US ranking1 among 20 largest coal generators 1st 1st 2nd TXU emissions rates1 relative to US average (63%) (82%) (30%) TXU has committed to the largest voluntary emissions reduction in U.S. history TXU has committed to the largest voluntary emissions reduction in U.S. history TXU’s plan will more than double its capacity in Texas while cutting key TXU’s plan will more than double its capacity in Texas while cutting key emissions by 20% and its emission rates by 70% emissions by 20% and its emission rates by 70% 1 TXU after new power generation development program and retrofits; relative to average US coal plant 24 7 …And Investing To Ensure The Plants Are Ready For Potential Future Regulations Building the most efficient plants in the country… …and being designed for potential future carbon capture Coal plant steam outlet temperatures for plants under construction 06E; Degrees Fahrenheit IEA1 requirements to be Meet EPRI considered carbon TXU 1,085 1,085 advanced capture ready status supercritical standard Sufficient space in critical access locations 1,050 1,050 1,050 Options for CO2 storage Design studies on potential separation methodologies Pre-investments TXU Plant Plant Plant Plant including plant siting reference A B C D plant TXU is commercializing the most efficient coal plants and continues to ensure the plants TXU is commercializing the most efficient coal plants and continues to ensure the plants will be able to be retrofitted with carbon capture technology in the future will be able to be retrofitted with carbon capture technology in the future 25 1 International Energy Agency
  • 14. TXU’s Texas Program Is Progressing Well, Despite Market Low Shifts In Cost And Regulatory Delay High Category Grade Remarks Reference plant draft permits issued - final permits expected 2Q07 Permitting Oak Grove delayed to January but no impact on critical path Sandow consent decree pending resolution Leveraged Kaizen events to design most economical advanced supercritical boiler Plant design that is carbon capture and sequestration ready Open book process continuing on schedule Construction Some labor pressure, but plants coming in on schedule Supply chain Uncovering opportunities for improvements to be used in next phase Successfully executed significant hedging transactions to support ability to project Hedging finance Active negotiations with over 1 GW of long-term demand PPA’s In discussions to sign up majority of long-term Texas demand Obtained commitment for $11 billion non-recourse project financing Financing Continuing to evaluate optimal capital structure LOI’s signed or in approval process for sale of 600 MW of Oak Grove and 50% of Equity another facility partnerships Sell down process for equity participation in program underway Gas weakened slightly Market environment Reserve margin expectations continue to tighten Rail and fuel Constructive negotiations with shippers based on size and dual rail access 26 TXU Is Now Focusing On Its National Plan Establishing profitable market entry strategies across 8 markets to help customers meet their energy challenges Redefining the performance potential of new build baseload 9 generation by taking advantage of the global supply learning curve to drive down prices and increase returns Advocating for tougher environmental standards and 10 investing in technologies to redefine the environmental performance of new generation 27
  • 15. 8 Expanding The Portfolio Outside Of Texas… Working to build a business in PJM… …originating up to 10 GW of new generation… Completed Outstanding Status Units GW 3 GW of sites Final fuel plan Preliminary discussions 5 4 identified/secured Key stakeholder Preliminary transmission agreements Advanced discussions 4 3.5 studies complete completed by end of 06 Site engineering complete Letters of intent1 3 2.5 Geo-technical Preliminary air modeling evaluation Definitive agreements 0 0 complete Permit levels identified Total 12 10 and discussed with states 1 Letter of intent signed or in approval process. …exploring the potential for long term …and designing a model for new coal to energy intensive industrial demand… economically replace existing coal Potential incremental demand 20E; GW Designing a 35 model for new coal to compete in 7X24 14 coal on the prices 7 margin High markets Oil shale Tar sands Aluminum 28 Low 9 …Redefining Performance To Deliver Lower Cost Power And Open Up New Market Opportunities… Sourcing in Low Cost Countries (LCC)… …implying a $300/KW advantage in the US… Coal plant component costs Normalized LCC construction cost 06; $/KW 06E; $/KW 40% 26% 335 42% 40% 26% 42% 850 Sourced 230 in US 80 195 540 98 77 57 58 Sourced in LCC Incremental US US Boilers Turbines Balance of LCC coal env. capital labor normalized plant plant …that could help TXU deliver lower costs… …potentially creating a new market opportunity Power prices Breakeven conditions to displace generation 06; $/MWh 06; $/KW of capital cost 2,200 Displace existing gas 59 50 1,800 40 32 1,400 Today Displace old coal 1,000 TXU vision 600 US average TXU today TXU future Average 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 target LCC 29 Plant heat rate (MMBtu/MWh)
  • 16. 10 …AdvocatingImprove Performance… For Tougher Environmental Standards And Investing To TXU is redefining environmental standards for …and CO2 emissions over the long term… regulated emissions... CO2 emissions rate 20E; Tons/ MWh 0.96 0.54 For every incremental 11ton of emissions of 0.80 For every incremental ton of emissions of SO2, ,NOX, ,and Hg from new generation, SO NO and Hg from new generation, 0.42 2 X existing emissions in Texas must be existing emissions in Texas must be reduced by at least 1.2 tons reduced by at least 1.2 tons Peaking Coal Reduction Long-term gas today levers vision - (11 HR) CCGT …while working to commercialize …and starting an environmental ventures technologies across the entire value chain… fund to spur investment in this area Generation Demand TXU Combustion Flue gas Customer Fuel Efficiency Gasification removal initiatives $200 Bank Advisory million Board fund Equipment • Coal • Waste to • R&D • Solid CO2 • Time of cleaning energy partnership capture use retail supplier products • Oxy- • Chilled firing NH3 • CO2 free Venture products • MEA capital • Efficiency • Storage 30 solutions study TXU Is Positioning Itself To Be A Leader Over The Low Long Term… High Key capability TXU Description Internal group of professionals with global Development expertise experience in multiple technology developments Internal group with development and nodal Transmission expertise modeling capabilities across multiple regions Valuation and risk Proven track record of value creation, capital management allocation, and risk management Proprietary Whole System Approach to Construction expertise construction Global supply chain Successfully implemented global sourcing effort to management reduce construction cost and time Baseload operational and Track record of best in class performance and fuel handling expertise experience in fuel handling and blending Developing national capabilities to augment strong National advocacy Texas skill base National regulatory Developing national capabilities to augment strong expertise Texas skill base 31
  • 17. …And Has Line Of Sight Around 17 GW Of New Generation Development There is potentially an enormous …and TXU has line of sight around 17 GW of opportunity to add new generation… development 06-20E; GW 06-20E; GW 283 16-23 Incremental 5-10 160 growth 2-4 9 Advanced coal replacing 78 existing coal Advanced coal replacing 45 existing gas Total US growth ERCOT Merchant Customer Total opportunity (06-20) PJM business TXU is in substantive negotiations to develop 8 GW outside of ERCOT TXU is in substantive negotiations to develop 8 GW outside of ERCOT 32 Today’s Agenda TXU Development/TXU Construction Business Unit Business Unit TXU Power Strategies Strategies TXU Wholesale TXU Energy TXU Electric Delivery America’s Power Challenge Generation Generation The Texas Solution Growth Plan Growth Plan A National Solution Short-term Financial Growth Financial Financial Sensitivities Financial Outlook Long-term Sources And Uses Of Outlook Cash 33
  • 18. Commodity and Capital Allocation Impacts Have Reshaped The Earnings Power Earning Power Impact 07 11 May 06 business plan 5.75 9.75-10.001 Lower wholesale power prices reduce gross margins for TXU Power and Commodities Commodities reduce TXU Energy’s gross margin when they are passed on to customers; PRB increases ~(.20) ~(1.20) Increased growth investment, reduced Capital Capital OCF, and higher share prices reduce the Allocation Allocation # of share repurchased ~(.15) ~(.50) Sell-down reduces risk and improves Sell-downs Sell-downs capital returns but reduces EPS 0 ~(.45) Current business plan2 5.25-5.55 7.55-7.85 TXU’s new build strategy enables a 5-year growth trajectory of 8-10% TXU’s new build strategy enables a 5-year growth trajectory of 8-10% 1 2010 indicative earnings as of May 2006 2 Indicative pro forma for 2007 and 2011 reflects current targets for the 11 new generation units currently planned in Texas. 2007E operational earnings estimate excludes fees, expenses, and interest associated with debt that is part of the expected TXU Power Development nonrecourse financing package. 34 Through 2011 TXU Is Generating Significant Free Cash Flow And Planning Very Significant Investments Sources of cash1 Uses of cash1 07E-11E (indicative); $ billions 07E-11E (indicative); $ billions 19-22 19-22 New plant equity 1.0-2.0 sell-down 1.5-2.0 Cash for investment/ 8.5-9.5 Electric distribution Delivery debt De-levering 1.5-2.0 16.5-18.0 OCF Dividends 3.5-4.0 Core portfolio capex 5.5-6.5 07E-11E 07E-11E TXU is investing in its core business while returning aasignificant amount of capital to TXU is investing in its core business while returning significant amount of capital to shareholders. Over 06-11, > $1 bn is earmarked for additional growth investments shareholders. Over 06-11, > $1 bn is earmarked for additional growth investments 1 Excludes capital expenditures and operating cash flows for the 11 new ERCOT development units expected to be reimbursed from TXU Power Development Company’s non-recourse financing. 35
  • 19. TXU’s Risk Strategy Will Lock-In Substantial Value For The New Build Projects… New build program NPV distribution 06; Number of trials 1 2 3 4 Merchant coal plant Impact: Hedges/PPA’s Impact: Sell downs Impact: Continued build and performance P(NPV<0)= 13% P(NPV<0)= 7% P(NPV<0)= 3% P(NPV<0)= 1.5% 1000 -1000 0 1000 -1000 0 1000 1000 -1000 0 -1000 0 Hedge volumes for debt Sell down up to 49% equity Continue to construct financing and sell forward at prices at or above hold capacity and ride down volumes above hold case case learning curve New GW 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 PV/I 1.6 1.6 2.4 4.2 Gas exp. Base exposure 30% reduction 65% reduction 30% reduction Carbon exp. Base exposure 0% reduction 49% reduction 0% reduction Earnings (GW) $0.20-$0.25 $0.19-$0.24 $0.15-$0.20 $0.35-$0.45 36 …While Helping To Build The Option To Capture Upside Developing the option to Value of new build strategy to TXU build allows TXU to capture 06 significant upside in high commodity environments A merchant model is The combination of hedges, completely levered to gas and sell downs reduces gas Option to prices with the potential to exposure and helps to destroy value at low gas ensure value capture even in build prices downside cases comes in the money 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 Levelized natural gas price $/MMBtu The combination of locking in value today through hedging, PPA’s and sell The combination of locking in value today through hedging, PPA’s and sell downs and building the option to add capacity creates a robust business model downs and building the option to add capacity creates a robust business model 37
  • 20. Expansion Opportunities Give TXU The Ability To Grow Under Different Scenarios… GW added Scenario by 2015 Description Backwardated gas prices, severe greenhouse gas regulations, slow technology Texas only ~9 improvements, and/or regulatory barriers limit the potential for coal outside of Texas The backwardated gas curve, combined with slow technology advances provides a limited Advanced window over the next 10 years for coal to be coal on gas ~20 the winning new build technology opportunity New coal is not advantaged enough to fully displace existing coal Improvements in new coal technology, costs, efficiency, and environmental performance Advanced allow it to displace existing, inefficient, high coal on ~30 emission generation old coal opportunity The 280 GW opportunity for new development becomes economically available 38 … And The Ability To Grow EBITDA In A Backwardated Commodity Environment Potential EBITDA 7-14% 7-14% 11E-15E; $ billions CAGR CAGR 11.2 2.5 2.5 1.0 6.2 ~6.7 0.5 TXU Backwar- Core business TXU 2015E Advanced Advanced 2015E 2011E dated performance in Texas coal on gas coal on coal potential (including commodity improvements only opportunity opportunity ERCOT environment scenario new build) Successful execution of the build strategy could provide a solid long-term Successful execution of the build strategy could provide a solid long-term EBITDA growth strategy overcoming the backwardated commodity environment EBITDA growth strategy overcoming the backwardated commodity environment 39
  • 21. TXU: Competitively Positioned To Meet America’s Energy Challenges 1. Competitively advantaged businesses across the value chain positioned for long- 1. Competitively advantaged businesses across the value chain positioned for long- term success term success –– Structurally advantaged low cost position difficult to replicate Structurally advantaged low cost position difficult to replicate –– Industrial skill set focused on top decile operations Industrial skill set focused on top decile operations –– Scale to drive waste out of the value chain Scale to drive waste out of the value chain 2. Business model to profitably meet America’s energy challenges 2. Business model to profitably meet America’s energy challenges –– Advantaged build model to help improve reliability, lower prices and improve the Advantaged build model to help improve reliability, lower prices and improve the environment environment –– Focus on driving new build construction costs to worldwide low cost levels Focus on driving new build construction costs to worldwide low cost levels –– Advocacy for tougher environmental standards to help remove inefficient existing Advocacy for tougher environmental standards to help remove inefficient existing generation from service generation from service –– Investment in the next generation of technology to improve the environment Investment in the next generation of technology to improve the environment 3. Balanced focus on rigorous capital allocation and organic growth that will overcome 3. Balanced focus on rigorous capital allocation and organic growth that will overcome the backwardated commodity environment the backwardated commodity environment –– Reduced 07E earnings based on aafunctioning competitive market and value Reduced 07E earnings based on functioning competitive market and value being returned to the customer being returned to the customer –– 5-year earnings growth of ~8% to 10% based on the Texas new build program 5-year earnings growth of ~8% to 10% based on the Texas new build program –– Continued long term EBITDA growth based on success of Ex-ERCOT strategy Continued long term EBITDA growth based on success of Ex-ERCOT strategy 40 Appendix – Regulation G Definitions
  • 22. Financial Definitions Measure Definition Capex Capital expenditures. EBITDA (non-GAAP) Income from continuing operations before interest income, interest expense and related charges, and income tax plus depreciation and amortization and special items. EBITDA is a measure used by TXU to assess performance. Operating Cash Flow Cash provided by operating activities. (GAAP) Operational Earnings per Operational Earnings Per Share (a non-GAAP measure) is defined as per share Share (non-GAAP) (diluted) income from continuing operations, excluding special items. Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2006, TXU also plans to exclude all effects of unrealized cash flow hedging ineffectiveness and market-to-market gains or/and losses on positions in its long- term hedging program from operational earnings because management believes such presentation will more appropriately reflect the ongoing earnings of the business. The effect is that only realized gains and losses on positions in the long-term hedging program are reflected in operational earnings. TXU forecasts earnings on such operational earnings basis and is unable to reconcile forecasted operational earnings to a GAAP financial measure because forecasts of special items and material non-recurring items or ineffectiveness or market-to-market gains or losses on its long term hedging program are not practical. TXU relies on operational earnings for evaluation of performance and believes that analysis of the business by external users is enhanced by visibility to both reported GAAP earnings and operational earnings. 42