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CALPINE CORPORATION
PROVIDING CLEAN POWER FOR FUTURE GENERATIONS



              February 29, 2008
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

  The information contained in this presentation includes certain estimates, projections and other
  forward-looking information that reflect Calpine’s current views with respect to future events and
  financial performance. These estimates, projections and other forward-looking information are based
  on assumptions that Calpine believes, as of the date hereof, are reasonable. Inevitably, there will be
  differences between such estimates and actual results, and those differences may be material.
  There can be no assurance that any estimates, projections or forward-looking information will be
  realized.
  All such estimates, projections and forward-looking information speak only as of the date hereof.
  Calpine undertakes no duty to update or revise the information contained herein.
  You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the estimates, projections and other forward-looking
  information in this presentation as they are based on current expectations and general assumptions and
  are subject to various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in our Form 10-K
  for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 and in other documents that we file with the SEC, many of
  which are beyond our control, that may cause actual results to differ materially from the views, beliefs
  and estimates expressed herein. Calpine’s reports and other information filed with the SEC, including
  the risk factors identified in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, can
  be found on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov and on Calpine’s website at www.calpine.com..
  The information contained in the presentation that relates to Calpine's operations for periods after the
  year ended December 31, 2007 is taken from information that has previously been made public by
  Calpine. We have not updated this information since it was last made public; therefore this
  information should not be construed to provide, nor is it intended to provide, guidance for such
  periods. Calpine has not determined what, if any, guidance it will provide in the future.




                                                     2
REG G DISCLAIMER
Calpine uses the non-GAAP financial measure “Commodity Margin” to assess its financial performance on a
consolidated basis and by its reportable segments. Commodity Margin includes its electricity and steam revenues,
hedging and optimization activities, renewable energy credit revenue, transmission revenue and expenses, and fuel
and purchased energy expenses, but excludes mark-to-market activity and other service revenues. Calpine believes
that Commodity Margin is a useful tool for assessing the performance of its core operations and is a key operational
measure reviewed by its chief operating decision maker. Commodity Margin is not a measure calculated in accordance
with GAAP, and should be viewed as a supplement to and not a substitute for Calpine’s results of operations presented
in accordance with GAAP. Commodity Margin does not purport to represent net income (loss), the most comparable
GAAP measure, as an indicator of operating performance and is not necessarily comparable to similarly-titled
measures reported by other companies.
In addition, Calpine management utilizes another non-GAAP financial measure, Adjusted EBITDA, as a measure of its
liquidity and performance. Calpine defines Adjusted EBITDA as EBITDA as adjusted for certain items described in this
presentation and in the accompanying reconciliation. Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure calculated in accordance with
GAAP, and should be viewed as a supplement to and not a substitute for our results of operations presented in
accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA does not purport to represent cash flow from operations or net income (loss)
as defined by GAAP as an indicator of operating performance. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily
comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies.
Calpine believes Adjusted EBITDA is used by and useful to investors and other users of our financial statements in
analyzing our liquidity as it is the basis for material covenants under our DIP Facility, which was our primary source of
financing during our Chapter 11 cases, and under our Exit Facility, which is our primary source of funding. Calpine also
believes that EBITDA is widely used by investors to measure a company’s operating performance without regard to
items such as interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization, which can vary substantially from company to
company depending upon accounting methods and book value of assets, capital structure and the method by which
assets were acquired.




                                                               3
TABLE OF CONTENTS

  Calpine Overview
     Robert P. May, Chief Executive Officer

  Restructuring Overview
     Gregory L. Doody, General Counsel and Secretary

  Financial Overview
     Lisa J. Donahue, Chief Financial Officer

  Operations Overview
     Power Operations: Michael D. Rogers
     Commercial Operations: Todd W. Filsinger

  Conclusion
     Robert P. May, Chief Executive Officer




                                           4
CALPINE OVERVIEW




                   5
WHO ARE WE?

• Founded in 1984, Calpine is a major U.S. power company, currently operating nearly
    24,000 megawatts (MW) of clean, cost-effective, reliable and fuel-efficient electric
    generating capacity for customers and communities across four distinct regions in the U.S.
• Calpine is the nation’s largest natural gas, cogeneration, and renewable geothermal power
    provider




                                                                                North Region
                                                 West Region
                                                                                 10 Plants
                                                  43 Plants
                                                                                 2,822 MW
                                                  7,246 MW



                                                                                               Southeast Region
                                                                                                   12 Plants
                                                                                                  6,254 MW
                                                                       Texas Region
                                                                         12 Plants
                                           Total
                                                                        7,487 MW
                                         77 Plants
                                        23,809 MW



Note: Represents Calpine’s net ownership including peaking capacity.



                                                                                  6
CALPINE HAS CONSTRUCTED A MODERN FLEET
                                  50

                                  45
 Weighted average age of plants




                                  40

                                  35

                                  30

                                  25

                                  20

                                  15

                                  10

                                   5

                                   0
                                                CPN             DYN   NRG       RRI   MIR
                                       Source: SNL Financial.



• Most of Calpine’s peers were created by separating legacy electricity
                 generation assets from regulated utilities and acquisitions



                                                                            7
CALPINE IS ONE OF THE GREENEST LARGE IPPs AND HAS
SIGNIFICANT SCALE
        30,000



        25,000



        20,000
                                                                                    Other
                                                                                    Geothermal
        15,000                                                                      Gas
(MWs)




                                                                                    Coal
                                                                                    Nuclear
        10,000



         5,000



             –
                            NRG                         CPN   DYN       RRI   MIR
                 Source: Company filings and SNL Financial.



        • An investment in Calpine focuses on the growth potential in one of
          the nation’s most environmentally friendly asset portfolios

                                                                    8
CALPINE’S FLEET MINIMIZES MORE THAN JUST CARBON

                                                               Carbon Profile                  Calpine Gas Fleet Emissions Comparison
                            1.2


                                                                                                                                               Air Pollutant Emission
CO2(tons) / MWh Generated




                            1.0
                                                                                                                                         Rates Compared to Average
                                                                                            Air Pollutants                                 U.S. Fossil-Fired Facility
                            0.8

                                                                                            Nitrogen Oxide, NOx                                               95.2% Less
                                                                                              Acid rain, smog and fine particulate formation
                            0.6
                                                                                            Sulfur Dioxide, SO2                                               99.9% Less
                                                                                              Acid rain and fine particulate formation
                            0.4
                                                                                            Mercury, Hg                                                        100% Less
                                                                                             Neurotoxin
                            0.2
                                                                                            Carbon Dioxide, CO2                                               57.1% Less
                                                                                              Principal greenhouse gas-contributor to climate change
                            0.0
                                                                                            Source: Calpine Form 10-K.
                                         CPN               DYN      NRG     RRI   MIR
                                  Source: Credit Suisse research.



             •               Calpine is poised to benefit from pending legislation
             •               Calpine’s highly efficient, modern gas fleet consumes significantly less fuel to generate electricity
                             than older power generation facilities and emits much less air pollution compared to coal-fired or
                             conventional gas-fired facilities
             •               Calpine’s 725 MW geothermal fleet emits virtually no NOx, SO2, or CO2


                                                                                        9
MORE THAN JUST A COMMODITY PLAY


                  Capitalized to benefit all          Risk management strategy
                        stakeholders                        enhances value




  Streamlined management /                                              Future development
          operations                                                       opportunities




         Diminishing reserve                                     Increasing replacement
              margins                                                      costs

                                       Carbon legislation
                                         creates value



  Calpine is well positioned to benefit from several significant value drivers

                                                 10
CALPINE’S VISION STATEMENT




          To be recognized as the leading power
     company by providing clean, efficient and
  reliable energy products and related services to
  our customers and appropriate financial returns
                 to our stakeholders




                          11
RESTRUCTURING OVERVIEW




                         12
CALPINE RESTRUCTURING CREATED GREATER FOCUS
AND EFFICIENCY
                      • Divested or turned-over twelve plants or businesses
  Focus on Core
   Markets and        • Closed 19 non-core offices
     Assets           • Refocused development and construction activities

                      • Overall debt reduced by $7 billion and interest expense reduced by
                         ~$600 million/yr
                      • Annual EBITDA increased by ~$485 million and gross profit by $471
      Key
                         million between full year 2005 and 2007 (excluding impairments)
 Restructuring
                      • Reduction of ~$180 million/yr of overhead costs and 1,100
Accomplishments
                         employees
                      • Rejected 25 leases and 273 executory contracts

                      • Improved monitoring and reporting capabilities
   Streamlined
                      • Improved risk management organization
   Organization

Restructuring significantly improved financial results, simplified the capital structure
and streamlined the organization

                                            13
CALPINE’S IMPROVED POSITION

                    • Unified approach to corporate structure and business activities
                       with systemic method of decision making
  More Focused
                    • More accountability to set and meet budgets / forecasts
  Management
                    • More focused on cost side of profitability and maximizing value of
   Philosophy
                       existing power plant portfolio
                    • Streamlined business model with clearly defined core operations
                    • Manageable approach to risk and leverage
                    • Hedging strategy employed for both power and natural gas
More Conservative
Capital Structure
                    • No significant non-project debt maturities until 2014
 and Risk Profile
                    • ~$1.0 billion of liquidity at emergence
                    • Disciplined growth capabilities with focus on value creation
 More Disciplined
                    • Established market presence to identify new potential growth
   Growth and
                       opportunities
  Development
                    • Experienced development team able to capitalize on market insight
    Approach


                                           14
SHARE DISTRIBUTION


• As of February 26, 2008 there were approximately 420 million shares outstanding
• The Plan of Reorganization allows for the potential issuance of up to 500 million
  common shares
        - Approximately 64 million shares are reserved for disputed unsecured
          claims and general contingencies
        - An additional 15 million are reserved for issuance under
          Calpine’s Equity Incentive Programs
• The previous shareholders were issued 48.5 million warrants to purchase shares
  at an exercise price of $23.88 / share, which expire on August 25, 2008




                                         15
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW




                     16
2007 FINANCIAL REVIEW




                        17
2007 PRIMARY DRIVERS AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

                     •   Commodity Margin increased 10% from 2006 to 2007
Improved power
                     •   Average realized electricity price increased from $63.02 to $67.90 / MWh
    markets

                     •   Improved credit support and market access contributed to additional long-
                         term hedging and lower transaction costs
                     •   Capacity factor (excluding peakers) rose from 39.2% to 46.6% due to
Fleet Performance        increased demand in most of Calpine’s markets
                     •   Decreased forced outages and recordable industry rates
                     •   Improved starting reliability

                     •   SG&A expense decreased from $240 million in 2005 to $146 million in 2007
   Overhead              primarily due to the reduction in workforce, lower facility costs and lower
   Reductions            legal fees not related to our reorganization

                     •   Savings resulting from the rejection and renegotiation of leases / executory
 Asset / Contract        contracts and divestiture of non-core assets
                     •
    Enhanced             Improved origination of non-standard power sales to load serving entities
                     •   More REC and RA contribution
• Adjusted EBITDA increased to $1,412 million from $1,029 million in 2006

                                                  18
2007 FINANCIAL RESULTS
  ($ in millions)

                                                                                                  December 31,
                                                                                         2007          2006        2005
  Operating revenues                                                                     $7,970        $6,937     $10,302
        less: Fuel and purchased energy expenses                                         (5,683)       (4,752)     (8,318)
        less: Mark-to-market activity, net(1) and other service revenues                    (62)         (164)       (154)
  Consolidated Commodity Margin                                                           2,225         2,021       1,830
  Mark-to-market activity, net(1) and other service revenues                                 62           164         154
  Total other cost of revenue                                                            (1,392)       (1,445)     (3,929)
          Gross Profit                                                                    $895          $740      ($1,945)
  Sales, general and other administrative expense                                           146           175         240
  Other operating expenses                                                                   44           101       2,186
  Interest expense, net of interest income                                                1,955         1,175       1,313
  Other (income) expense, net                                                              (139)           18         (88)
          Net income before reorganization expense and taxes                            ($1,111)       ($729)     ($5,596)
  Reorganization items                                                                   (3,258)          972       5,026
          Net income before taxes                                                       $2,147        ($1,701)   ($10,622)
  Income taxes                                                                             (546)           64        (741)
          Net income, before discontinued operations                                    $2,693        ($1,765)    ($9,881)
  Discontinued operations, net of tax provision of $132 in 2005                              –             –         ($58)
          Net income (after discontinued operations)                                    $2,693        ($1,765)    ($9,939)
          Adjusted EBITDA                                                               $1,412        $1,029        $927
  (1)     Included in operating revenues and fuel and purchased energy expenses.


 •      Interest expense includes $849 million of post-petition and default interest


                                                                                   19
ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION
 ($ in millions)
                                                                                                                December 31,
                                                                                                      2007               2006                2005
  Net income, before discontinued operations                                                       $2,693             ($1,765)           ($9,881)

  Adjustments to reconcile GAAP Income to Adjusted EBITDA:
          Interest expense, net of interest income                                                    1,955              1,175               1,313
                                                            (1)
          Depreciation and amortization expense                                                         507                 522                 558
          Income tax provision (benefit)                                                               (546)                  64              (741)
          Impairment charges                                                                              46                118              4,530
          Reorganization items                                                                       (3,258)                972              5,026
          Major maintenance expense                                                                       98                  77                 70
          Operating lease expense                                                                         54                  66                105
          Loss (income) on various repurchases of debt                                                      –                 18                203
          (Gains) losses on derivatives                                                                    2               (213)                 52
          (Gains) losses on sales of assets and contract restructuring
          excluding reorganization items                                                                  (7)                 (6)                18
          Claim settlement income                                                                      (136)                    –                  –
          Other                                                                                            3                   1                 80

  Adjusted EBITDA                                                                                  $1,412              $1,029                $927

 (1)       Depreciation and amortization in the GAAP net income (loss) calculation on Calpine’s Consolidated Statements of Operations excludes
           amortization of other assets and amounts classified as SG&A.
 Note:     Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, and should be viewed as a supplement to and not a substitute for
           Calpine’s results of operations presented in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA does not purport to represent cash flow from operations
           or net income (loss) as defined by GAAP as an indicator of operating performance. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily
           comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies.




                                                                                       20
2007 ADJUSTED EBITDA GREW TO $1.4 BILLION
                   Commodity Margin ($ millions)
                              10.3% CAGR
$2,500
                                                   $2,225
                               $2,021
          $1,830
$2,000

$1,500

$1,000

 $500

    $0
           2005                 2006                2007
                    Adjusted EBITDA ($ millions)
 $1,600
                                   AGR             $1,412
                            23.4% C
 $1,400
 $1,200
                               $1,029
          $927
 $1,000
  $800
  $600
  $400
  $200
    $0
           2005                 2006                2007


                                        21
2007 REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS
 ($ in millions)

                                                                                           2007        2006
                                        2007        2006
                                                                                          Capacity    Capacity
                                      Commodity   Commodity   2007 Gross     2006 Gross
                                                                                          Factor(1)   Factor(1)
                                        Margin      Margin      Profit         Profit
 Region

 West                                  $1,196      $1,037        $664           $527       65.3%       58.7%



 Texas                                   $500        $477        $298           $297       52.1%       41.7%



 Southeast                               $268        $215         $49            ($58)     25.5%       20.9%



 North                                   $283        $313         $79            $79       33.6%       32.3%
 Other, Goodwill and
 Elimination                              ($22)       ($21)      ($195)         ($105)      NA          NA
 Total                                 $2,225      $2,021        $895           $740       46.6%       39.2%
 (1)     Excludes peaking capacity.




 •     Commodity Margin includes electricity and steam revenues, hedging and optimization
       activities, renewable energy credit revenue, transmission revenue and expenses, and fuel and
       purchased energy expenses, but excludes mark-to-market activity and other service revenues




                                                                        22
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS

• Calpine’s Plan of Reorganization assumes improved financial performance through 2012.
  Numerous factors are expected to contribute to improved performance, including:
    -   Forecasted diminishing reserve margins across the U.S.
         -   Significant impact on Calpine’s key markets, ERCOT and California
         -   Owners of CCGT and peaking plants will likely be the beneficiaries
         -   Development of regional capacity markets
    -   Environmental pressures are anticipated to increase with carbon legislation looming,
        particularly in California
         -   Calpine’s low-carbon dioxide emitting, cost-effective natural gas-fired
             generation portfolio is well positioned as this trend continues
         -   The Geysers’ value is expected be further enhanced as the renewable energy
             credit market develops




                                               23
2008 – 2012 ADJUSTED EBITDA PROJECTIONS
                    ($ in millions)

                    $3,000

                                                                                      CAGR
                    $2,500                                                      10.2%
Adjusted EBITDA




                    $2,000

                    $1,500

                    $1,000

                        $500

                               –
                                            2008                  2009                  2010                  2011                 2012
                                      Note: Projected Adjusted EBITDA is based on exit Lenders’ presentation on January 8, 2008.


•                 The growth in EBITDA is primarily due to:
                    -   The improvement in commodity margin in ERCOT, CA, and Southeast
                    -   Contribution from growth projects (Greenfield, Otay Mesa and Russell City)
                    -   Implementation of CO2 legislation
•                 Per the Lenders’ presentation on January 8, 2008 the Company had approximately 75% of gross margin hedged for 2008




                                                                                                24
MAJOR MAINTENANCE AND CAPITAL
 EXPENDITURES

      •    Capital expenditures include primarily operating and maintenance capital expenditures and certain
           construction and investment capital expenditures(1)
      •    Operating and maintenance capital expenditures for the operating fleet
               -     Includes capital spending for reinvestment in The Geysers
      •    Construction capital expenditures
               -     Capital required for the construction of Otay Mesa and Greenfield funded by proceeds from
                     construction financings and equity contributions from Calpine and/or its project partners



               ($ in millions)

                                                                                                2007
                Total Operating CapEx and Major Maintenance                                      $267
                Construction CapEx                                                                201
                Total CapEx and Major Maintenance                                                 468
                 Less: Financing Related to Construction Projects                                (156)
                Net Funded CapEx and Major Maintenance                                           $312



(1)       Includes major maintenance costs but does not include ordinary maintenance expense.



                                                                                          25
SIGNIFICANT NOL VALUE CREATED DURING BANKRUPTCY

 •   Calpine (Including CCFC) has $5.1 billion of U.S. NOLs which will have annual IRC
     Section 382 limitations on usage as follows:
       -   $4.33 billion over 13 years ($333 million/year)
       -   $750 million over five years ($150 million/year)
       -   Any amount not utilized in any year from these limitations can be carried
           forward to succeeding years.
 •   In addition to these NOLs the company has significant deferred tax assets related to
     the bankruptcy that will generate tax deductions not limited under IRC Section 382
 •   In addition there are approximately $650 million of NOLs associated with Canada




                                                  26
CAPITAL STRUCTURE OVERVIEW




                      27
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND LIQUIDITY
    ($ in millions)

    New capital structure                                                              December 31, 2007            At exit
    DIP Facility                                                                                        $3,970            –
    Second priority debt                                                                                 3,672            –
    CCFC financing                                                                                       1,080        1,079
    Project debt                                                                                         2,934        3,067
    Drawn Revolver                                                                                             –        150
    First lien debt                                                                                            –      5,980
    Bridge loan                                                                                                –        300
    Total debt                                                                                        $11,656       $10,576


    Total cash assets                                                                                   $2,496         $839
       Less restricted and reserved                                                                           581       463
    Cash and cash equivalents                                                                           $1,915         $376
                (1)
    Net debt          / adjusted EBITDA                                                                      6.9x      5.8x
    Revolver and LC availability (total revolver capacity $1,000)                                             765       625
    Total liquidity                                                                                     $2,680       $1,001
 (1)          Net debt excludes drawn revolver, bridge loan and restricted cash; PoR 2008E adjusted EBITDA
              used for At exit ratio.



•      Calpine has ~$1.0 billion of liquidity to support its operations
•      The amount of restricted cash as of 12/31/2007 is $581 million



                                                                                          28
OVERVIEW OF EXIT FACILITIES

                                             Amount                                                                               Cash Flow
           Facilities                                                     Rate                        Maturity   Amortization
                                            (in $ mm)                                                                              Sweep

                                                   $1,000             L + 287.5                 March 29, 2014      None
       Existing First
       Lien Revolver

                                                                                                                                50% at Lender’s
                                                   $3,887             L + 287.5                 March 29, 2014   1% per annum
       Existing First
                                                                                                                                  discretion(1)
      Lien Term Loan

                                                                                                                                50% at Lender’s
      Additional First                             $2,093             L + 287.5                 March 29, 2014   1% per annum
                                                                                                                                  discretion(1)
      Lien Term Loan

                                                                                                 366 days from
      First Lien Asset                                $300            L + 287.5                                     None
                                                                                                  closing date
        Sale Bridge

                                                  $7,280
      Total Facilities

      •    Calpine’s Exit Credit Facility provides significant, long-dated debt at attractive rates
      •    $148 million of the Asset Sale Bridge Loan has been repaid from the Hillabee proceeds, the balance will
           be paid off with a portion of the proceeds from the sale of Fremont
(1)       Cash flow sweep can potentially be reduced to 25% if consolidated leverage ratio less than 5.0.




                                                                                                 29
DEBT MATURITY SCHEDULE


                 $6,000
                                                                                                                             $5,606


                 $5,000



                 $4,000
    $ Millions




                          $152 mm outstanding           $85 mm of PCFIII Notes
                 $3,000
                          Bridge balance to be          to be repaid from cash
                            repaid from asset             collateral account
                              sales proceeds
                 $2,000
                                                                                   $1,687


                 $1,000
                                             $385                                                                                       $280
                           $300
                                                                 $85
                    $0
                           2008             2009                2010               2011               2012            2013   2014     Thereafter

                                                                            CCFC            Project debt     First Lien
Assumptions:
•    Maturity Balances assumes no cash sweeps
•    All other debt maturities are paid off from operating cashflows at the Project Level
•    Metcalf assumed to be refinanced in 2008




                                                                                              30
FIRST LIEN COLLATERAL PROGRAM

• Exit Facility provides first lien collateral for power, gas and interest rate hedging
   transactions

     -   Power, gas, and other commodity hedging is limited to Right Way Risk (RWR)
         transactions

     -   Reduces reliance on cash collateral decreasing liquidity risk

     -   Reduced cost of collateral

     -   Exit Facility allows more flexibility as to the types of natural gas transactions to be
         included in the program

• Currently 5 counterparties under the program with 3 additional counterparties expected
   to sign on by April 2008

• As of 12/31/2007, over $170 million reduction in cash collateral on commodity hedging
   transactions




                                                 31
OPERATIONS OVERVIEW




                      32
OPERATIONS OVERVIEW
- POWER OPERATIONS




                      33
ASSET PORTFOLIO

•   Calpine owns nearly 24,000 MW of operating capacity, concentrated in the West
    and Texas                                                                                  Colorado
                                                                                               906 MW
      -                                                                                                    California
          Within the West, the majority of the capacity is located in California                           5,204 MW
                                                                                       Oregon
                                                                                       616 MW

                                                                                     Arizona
                                                                                     520 MW




                                                                                                             ISONE
                                                                                                            537 MW
                                          North Region
                                           10 Plants
               West Region
                                           2,822 MW                                    MRO
                43 Plants                                                                                       NYISO
                                                                                    1,387 MW                   352 MW
                7,246 MW


                                                                                                            RFC
                                                                                                          546 MW
                                                                                                 FRCC
                                                    Southeast Region
                                                                                                865 MW
                                                        12 Plants
                                                       6,254 MW
                                    Texas Region                                       SPP
                                      12 Plants                                     1,134 MW
                   Total             7,487 MW
                 77 Plants
                                                                                                               SERC
                23,809 MW
                                                                                                             4,255 MW




                                                            34
Calpine Overview

TECHNOLOGY MIX

• The majority of Calpine’s capacity is gas-fired
• Combined cycle plants represent 51% of Calpine’s capacity, cogeneration technology
      represents 33%, and 725 MW of capacity is geothermal

                                                    Total Capacity(1)                       Baseload
                                   Baseload
                                                                                          (Geothermal)
                                 (Geothermal)
                                                                                               3%
                                    725 MW                                      Peaking
                       Peaking
                                                                                  13%
                      3,000 MW




                                                Intermediate                                                   Intermediate
                                                  12,119 MW                                                         51%

         Intermediate                                                Intermediate
        (Cogeneration)                                              (Cogeneration)
           7,965 MW                                                       33%




(1)    As of 12/31/2007.



                                                               35
Calpine Overview

   TECHNOLOGY MIX BY REGION

   • Most of Calpine’s West region capacity consists of intermediate gas-fired combined
         cycles
   • In Texas, the majority of Calpine’s assets operate as cogeneration facilities, which sell
         steam to industrial and commercial customers for use in heating and other applications



                    West                                     Texas                                    North                                    Southeast
                               Baseload
                 Peaking                                                                                                               Peaking
                                                                                                              Intermediate
                                             Intermediate                                                                                               Intermediate
                             (Geothermal)
                 983 MW                                                                                                                963 MW
                                                                                                                1,600 MW                                  2,762 MW
                                            (Cogeneration)
                               725 MW
                                               4,260 MW
 Intermediate                                                                        Peaking
(Cogeneration)                                                                      1,054 MW
   1,008 MW




                                                                                                                              Intermediate
                                                                     Intermediate
                                                                                      Intermediate                           (Cogeneration)
                                                                      3,227 MW
                             Intermediate
                                                                                     (Cogeneration)                             2,529 MW
                               4,530 MW
                                                                                         168 MW




   Note: As of 12/31/2007.



                                                                                36
FLEET CHARACTERISTICS

 • Calpine’s assets are reliable and fuel-efficient
            -    Higher availability and lower outages than national average
            -    Operate at lower heat rates

 • Calpine’s fleet efficiency permits the Company to economically dispatch
       its assets when it is uneconomic for other similar assets to operate

                Net Capacity Factor                                    Equiv. Forced Outage Rate                                           Net Heat Rate

  % 50                                        50             % 40                                                                 9,000
                                              48
      45
      40                                                                                                                          8,500
                                                                  30
      35




                                                                                                                        BTU/kwh
      30                                                                                                                          8,000
                                                                                                                                                                      7,896
                                              27
      25                                                          20
      20                                                                                                                                                              7,444
                                                                                                                                  7,500
                                                                                                       13
      15                                                                                                                                                              7,332
                                                                  10
                                                                                                        9
      10                                                                                                                          7,000
                                                                                                        8
       5
        0                                                          0                                                              6,500
                National Average +/- 1 St Dev                              National Average +/- 1 St Dev                                  National Average +/- 1 St Dev
                             1                                                         1                                                               1
                Calpine Average - 2005                                     Calpine Average - 2005                                         Calpine Average - 2005
                National Average - 2005                                    National Average - 2005                                        National Average - 2005
                Calpine Average - 2007                                     Calpine Average - 2007
                                                                                                                                          Calpine Average - 2007
Sources: Calpine combined cycle data (excludes cogens): NERC Generating Availability Data System (GADS). National combined cycle data: NCF and EFOR plant data from
         NERC; NHR plant data from Energy Velocity and PA Consulting Group



                                                                                           37
(1)
                                                                                                  SO2 (tons) / yr




                                                                                   -
                                                                                       200,000
                                                                                                 400,000
                                                                                                           600,000
                                                                                                                     800,000
                                                                                                                               1,000,000
                                                                                                                                           1,200,000
                                                                      Southern

                                                                           AEP




     Source: 2006 CEMS data from Energy Velocity
                                                                          Duke




               Dynegy adjusted for LS Power acquisitions
                                                                          TVA

                                                                      Progress

                                                                             TXU

                                                                             PPL

                                                                       Ameren

                                                                     Allegheny

                                                                        Reliant

                                                                   FirstEnergy




38
                                                                   DTE Energy

                                                            Edison International

                                                                      Dominion

                                                                          NRG

                                                           Berkshire Hathaway

                                                                      E.ON AG
                                                                                                                                                       SO2 EMISSIONS OF TOP 25 GENERATORS




                                                                          Xcel

                                                                  Constellation

                                                                         PSEG

                                                                          FPL

                                                                             (1)
                                                                    Dynegy

                                                                       Entergy

                                                                        Exelon

                                                                       Calpine
(1)
                                                                                               NOx (tons ) / yr




                                                                                                100,000
                                                                                                          150,000
                                                                                                                    200,000
                                                                                                                              250,000
                                                                                                                                        300,000
                                                                                                                                                  350,000




                                                                                      50,000


                                                                                  0
                                                                           AEP

                                                                      Southern




     Source: 2006 CEMS data from Energy Velocity
                                                                           TVA




               Dynegy adjusted for LS Power acquisitions
                                                                          Duke

                                                           Berkshire Hathaway

                                                                           Xcel

                                                                      Dominion

                                                                      Progress

                                                            Edison International

                                                                   FirstEnergy

                                                                     Allegheny

                                                                       Ameren




39
                                                                           DTE

                                                                           NRG

                                                                      E.ON AG

                                                                           TXU

                                                                           PPL

                                                                        Reliant

                                                                           FPL
                                                                                                                                                            NOx EMISSIONS OF TOP 25 GENERATORS




                                                                       Entergy

                                                                  Constellation

                                                                         PSEG

                                                                        Exelon

                                                                    Dynegy (1)

                                                                        Calpine
CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS OF TOP 25 GENERATORS

                            200,000,000

                            180,000,000

                            160,000,000

                            140,000,000

                            120,000,000
          CO2 (tons) / yr




                            100,000,000

                             80,000,000

                             60,000,000

                             40,000,000

                             20,000,000

                                    -

                                                                                                                                               Edison International




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Calpine




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Constellation
                                                                                                                                    Dominion




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Reliant
                                                                                                                                                                                          DTE
                                                                 Duke




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Entergy
                                                                                                      Xcel




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Exelon
                                                                                                                                                                                    FPL
                                                                                                                   TXU




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 PPL
                                                                                                                                                                      FirstEnergy




                                                                                                                                                                                                Allegheny
                                                                        Ameren




                                                                                                             NRG
                                                Southern
                                          AEP




                                                                                                                                                                                                            E.ON AG
                                                           TVA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       PSEG
                                                                                                                         Progress
                                                                                 Berkshire Hathaway




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Dynegy (1)
(1)       Dynegy adjusted for LS Power acquisitions
Source: 2006 CEMS data from Energy Velocity




                                                                                                                                                    40
MAJOR MAINTENANCE


• One of Calpine’s biggest non-labor cost is major maintenance expense
       -     Expected 2008 major maintenance expense is $174 million(1)

       -     Most operators rely on OEMs to perform this service

• Calpine self-performs major maintenance with an in-house Turbine Maintenance Group
      (TMG)

       -     Material financial benefit to self performing major maintenance

       -     TMG is viewed as one of the industry’s experts on gas turbines




(1)    Based on Exit Facility Lenders’ presentation on January 8, 2008




                                                                         41
CONTINUING FLEET INITIATIVES

• Calpine focuses on continuous operational improvement for its assets, including:
    -   Performance Optimization Program (“POP”) focused on enhancing the total efficiency of Calpine’s plants
        through implementation of best practices gathered from across the fleet

    -   Calpine Engine Optimization (“CEO”) designed to reduce heat rates and increase power output of gas turbines
        through implementation of optimized parts and components

    -   Other engineering initiatives designed to optimize operations and processes related to management of the
        power assets

• Calpine is able to leverage lessons learned across the fleet for maximum optimization




                                                          42
OPERATIONS OVERVIEW
- DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES




                       43
DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

• Development is refocused on creating value from acquiring, developing and
   disposing of assets based on a rigorous risk framework



                                                                                                               Mitigate
                                                                                                                Price
               Northwest                                                            NE ISO
                                                                                                                 Risk
                                                    MISO
                                                                            NYISO
                                           MRO

                   WECC


                                                                                                                                                        Pro forma Cash
                                                                           PJM
                                   CO-WY




                                                                                                                                                          Flows and
                                                              TVA         VACAR
                                              SPP
  California               AZ-NM-SNV



                                                                                                                                                            Returns
                                                    Entergy
                                                               Southern
                                           ERCOT
                                                                                    FRCC
                                                                                               Mitigated                  Address Capital
                                                                                              Construction                  Investment
                                                                                                  Risk                         Limits
               Evaluate Opportunities                                                                   Risk Mitigation                            Meet Calpine Hurdle Rates
 • Focus efforts on markets where Calpine has                                                                                               • Identify alternative ways to create value
                                                                                             • Articulate Calpine’s risk tolerance and
   a competitive advantage                                                                                                                      • Partner or Outsource
                                                                                               project specific financial objectives
     • Expansion opportunities                                                                                                                  • Contract
                                                                                             • Refine and calibrate risk tolerance and
     • Portfolio enhancement                                                                                                                    • Promote projects that provide portfolio
                                                                                               financial analysis tools
 • Continue to engage in evaluating projects                                                                                                      diversification
                                                                                             • Execute mitigation strategies within risk
     • Market knowledge                                                                                                                     • Create new opportunities
                                                                                               tolerance and financial objectives
     • Find unrealized value




                                                                                                               44
DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH INITIATIVES

•   Calpine’s development program includes executing long-term power purchase agreements
•   Calpine has three projects where contractual agreements with counterparties have been completed,
    totaling 2,198 MW (1,487 MW net):


    Greenfield Energy Centre           Otay Mesa Energy Center            Russell City Energy Center

•                                  •                                  •
    50% owned 1,005 MW gas-            100% owned 596 MW                   65% Calpine owned 597 MW
    fired facility under               combined-cycle plant under          combined-cycle plant to be
    construction in Ontario,           construction in southern            located in Hayward,
    Canada                             San Diego County                    California (San Francisco
•                                  •                                       area)
    Output contracted under            Output contracted under
                                                                      •
    long-term PPA with Ontario         long-term PPA with SDG&E            Output contracted under
                                   •
    Power Authority                                                        long-term PPA with PG&E
                                       $377 million non-recourse
•                                                                     •
    Completed $650 million             financing arranged by ING           Buyback opportunity for
    project financing                  Capital and BayernLB                35% minority interest
•                                  •                                  •
    Expected on line date: 2008        Expected on line date: 2009         Expected on line date:
                                                                           2010 / 2011


Any other growth projects would be incremental to Calpine’s PoR projections


                                                  45
OPERATIONS OVERVIEW
- MARKET OUTLOOK




                      46
MARKET OUTLOOK - SUMMARY

• Many U.S. regional electricity markets continue to recover:
    - Reserve margins arein recent yearsmany markets, and annual average market heat rates have
                           tightening in
      generally increased
• Several industry trends are expected to benefit Calpine:
    - Supply and Demand –inCalpine’s plants in California andmarkets
                                                               Texas benefit from lower levels of excess
      capacity than found many other regional electricity
    - markets Fuel Mix and Prices – Natural gas prices set power prices in most hours in Calpine’s core
      Regional

    - dioxide emissions, are expected to benefit Calpine regulations, including regulation of carbon
      Environmental Regulations – Tightening environmental

    - Rising Construction Costs –of Calpine’scosts to construct new generation facilities has positive
                                  Increasing
      implications for the value              existing assets
    - Market Regulations – Market developments such as trends toward separate capacity markets as
      well as nodal pricing are expected to benefit Calpine




                                                    47
MANY MARKETS ARE NOT AS OVERBUILT AS
THEY ONCE WERE …
                                            2001                                                                                                                 2005
                                                                                 New England                                                                                                          New England



                  Northwest1                                                                                                           Northwest1

                                                      MISO                                                                                                                MISO
                                                                           New York                                                                                                             New York
                                            MRO                                                                                                                   MRO

                                                                           PJM
California1                                                                                                                                                                                     PJM
                                                                                                                     California1
                                  CO- WY                                                                                                                 CO-WY

                                              SPP                                                                                                                   SPP
                                                               TVA                                                                                                                  TVA
                                                                       VACAR                                                                                                                VACAR
                       AZ-NM-SV                                                                                                               AZ-NM-SV
                                                     Entergy                                                                                                              Entergy
                                                                Southern                                                                                                             Southern
                                           ERCOT                                                                                                                 ERCOT
                                                                                      FRCC                                                                                                                 FRCC



                                                                                                          Today
                                                                                                                                                         New England



                                                                     Northwest1
   Degree of Market
      Overbuild                                                                                                   MISO                         New York
  Market Significantly
  Significant Surplus                                                                                   MRO
       Overbuilt
                                                                                                                                            PJM
                                               California1
                                                                                               CO-WY

                                                                                                          SPP
                                                                                                                               TVA         VACAR
                                                                                 AZ-NM-SV
                                                                                                                  Entergy
                                                                                                                                   Southern
    Capacity Deficit
                                                                                                       ERCOT
                                                                                                                                                            FRCC
(1)           The supply and demand balance in the Northwest and California are
              dependent on hydro conditions.
Source: PA Consulting Group.



                                                                                                           48
… AS ILLUSTRATED BY DECLINING RESERVE
 MARGINS IN MUCH OF THE U.S.
                                                                                          Reserve Margins1                                                                  30%


                                                                                           2005 and 2008                                                                            20%
                                                          32%

                                                 26%
                                                                                                                                                                             New
                                                                                                                                                                            England
                                                                                                                    25%

                                                                                                                                                       24%
                                                    NW                                                                                         23%
                                                                                                                          17%
                                                                                                                                                                            2005    2008

                                                                                                                                                                     25%
                                                                                                                      MISO                                                   23%

                                                                                                                                                 PJM
                                                 2005     2008


                                                                                                                                                                      New
                                                                                                                   2005   2008
                             17%
                                                                                                                                                                      York
                      16%
                                                                                                                                               2005    2008
                                                                                                                             38%
                                                                                                     33%                                              27%
                                                                                                                                    27%
                                                                                                             27%
                                                                                                                                                              21%    2005    2008
                         CA
                                                   25%
                                                                                                                                 TVA
                                                                                                                                                      VACAR
                                                                                                       SPP
                                                            18%

                      2005    2008
                                                                                                                             2005
                                                        AZNM                                                                        2008
                                                                                                     2005   2008
                                                                                                                                                      2005    2008
                                                                                                                                 37%
                                                                                    30%
                                                                                                 2
                                                                                                            67%                         25%
                                                   2005     2008
                                                                                          16%                      49%

                                                                                                                                    SOU
                                                                                    ERCOT
    Reserve margin measures the amount of                                                                      ENT
    surplus capacity in a market and is defined as:
    (Capacity – Demand)/(Demand)                                                   2005   2008                                   2005   2008
                                                                                                            2005   2008


(1)     Represents PA’s forecast for the year which is a weather normalized forecast.
Source: PA Consulting Group.




                                                                                             49
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM GENERALLY PROJECTED TO
  OCCUR IN THE 2008-2012 TIMEFRAME
                                        32%


                                                                                                                                                              20%

                                         NW2                                                                                                                           16%
                                                                                                                                   23%

                                                                                  20%
                                               8%                                                                                        17%
                                                                                                                                                               New
                                                                                         15%
                                                                                                                                                              England
                                                               14%    14%
                                                                                                                                      New
                                                                                                       17%
                                                                                                               15%
                                                                                                                                      York4
                                        2008   2018
                                                                                       MRO                                                                    2008     2011

                                                                COWY3
                          17%
                                                                                                           MISO
                                 15%
                                                                                                                                                                     24%
                                                                                 2008    2016                                    2008    2010
                                                                                                                                                                             22%

                                                                                27%
                             CA2                                                                                         27%
                                                                                                       2008    2011
                                                               2008   2011
                                                                                                                                                                       PJM
                                                      18%                               14%                                      15%
                                                                                                                                                 21%
                                                             14%
                          2008   2011
                                                                                   SPP                                       TVA
       Reserve                                                                                                                                                      2008     2011
                                                                                                                                                       15%
                                                                                                    49%
      Margin (%)
                                                      AZNM                                          Entergy                                       VACAR
                                                                                2008    2013
                                                                                                                        2008     2018
      2008 Reserve
                                                                                                            15%
                                                                                                                       25%
                                                                                16%
      Target Reserve1                                 2008   2011
                                                                                                                                                2008   2012
                                                                                        13%

                                                                                                                               15%
                                                                                                    2008    2018
(1)       The years listed under target reserve margin correspond to the year                                                                    29%

                                                                                ERCOT
          the market is projected to reach equilibrium.
                                                                                                                      Southern
(2)       Hydro capacity is de-rated in California and the rest of
                                                                                                                                                        19%
          the WECC by 25% and 20%, respectively.
(3)       The Colorado/Wyoming region is currently at its target but the
          reserve margin is expected to increase in 2009 and not reach its
                                                                                                                                                   FRCC
                                                                                                                      2008     2012
                                                                                2008    2011
          target again until 2011.
(4)       Reserve margins represent all of NY and the 2010 date represents
          when NY Incity first needs capacity.
Source:   PA Consulting Group.                                                                                                                  2008   2011




                                                                                               50
REGIONAL FUEL MIX VARIES ACROSS THE U.S.,
TYPICALLY INCLUDING BOTH GAS AND COAL …



                                                                                                     New England

                              NW                                                          New York

                                                         MRO
                                                                           MISO


                                                                                             PJM

                                                 COWY
                      CA                                   SPP

            Fuel Type
                                    AZNM
                                                                                    TVA
                                                                     ENT                   VACAR
                                                                              SOU
                         Coal
      Oil
                         Nuclear
      Gas
                                                        ERCOT
                         Hydro/Other Renewable
      Dual Fuel


                                                                                           FRCC
Source: PA Consulting Group




                                                                51
… HOWEVER, THE FUEL ON THE MARGIN
 DRIVES MARKET ELECTRICITY PRICES
                                  Fuel on the Margin                                                                      Sample Day of Market Dispatch
                                                                                                                                 (SERC example)
                                                  MISO

                                                               New York                                                                          Oil
             Northwest
                                                                                        New




                                                                                                      Capacity (GW)
                                      MRO                                              England                                                   Gas

                                                                                   PJM
                              CO-WY                                                                                                              Coal
                                       SPP
                                                         TVA     VACAR
                       AZ-NM-NV                                                                                                                Nuclear
                                              Entergy
California
                                                        Southern                                                                                Hydro
                                      ERCOT
                                                                                                                      2     4    6   8   10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
                                                                                                                                         Hour of Day
                                                          FRCC
                                                                                             Sample Day of Market Dispatch
                                                                                                   (ERCOT example)
          Gas on margin >90% of time                                                                                      Oil
          Gas on the margin >65% of time
                                                                   Capacity (GW)



                                                                                                                          Gas
          Predominately coal with gas & oil
          Predominately gas with coal & oil
          Predominately coal with gas; oil >10%
                                                                                                                          Coal

                                                                                                                      Nuclear

                                                                                   2     4    6   8   10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
                                                                                                          Hour of Day
Source: PA Consulting Group




                                                                                       52
IN CALPINE’S CORE MARKETS OF CALIFORNIA AND TEXAS,
    GAS PRICES PREDOMINANTLY DRIVE POWER PRICES
                                             Fuel on the Margin

                                                     MISO

                                                                                                  The more gas is on the margin in a market, the more impact
                                                                 New York
             Northwest
                                                                             New
                                                                                                     higher or lower gas prices will have on power prices.
                                    MRO                                     England

                                                                            PJM
                            CO-WY      SPP
                                                                                                         Impact on Peak Power Prices of $2 Higher Gas         New England
                                                           TVA    VACAR
                     AZ-NM-NV
                                                 Entergy
California
                                                           Southern
                                    ERCOT

                                                                                             Northwest
                                                             FRCC
                                                                                                                                  MISO                  New York
                                                                                                                          MRO
             Gas on margin >90% of time
                                                                                                                                                        PJM
             Gas on the margin >65% of time                                                                      CO- Y
                                                                                                                   W
             Predominately coal with gas & oil
                                                                                                                            SPP
             Predominately gas with coal & oil                                                                                              TVA     VACAR
             Predominately coal with gas; oil >10%                                                     AZ- -SV
                                                                                                         -NM
                                                                                                                                  Entergy
                                                                                                                                             Southern
                                                                                                                         ERCOT
                                                                                  20-25% increase                                                                  FRCC
                                                                                  15-20% increase
                                                                                  10-15% increase
                                                                                      0-10% increase

   Source: PA Consulting Group




                                                                                                 53
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision
Calpine's Clean Power Vision

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Calpine's Clean Power Vision

  • 1. CALPINE CORPORATION PROVIDING CLEAN POWER FOR FUTURE GENERATIONS February 29, 2008
  • 2. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS The information contained in this presentation includes certain estimates, projections and other forward-looking information that reflect Calpine’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These estimates, projections and other forward-looking information are based on assumptions that Calpine believes, as of the date hereof, are reasonable. Inevitably, there will be differences between such estimates and actual results, and those differences may be material. There can be no assurance that any estimates, projections or forward-looking information will be realized. All such estimates, projections and forward-looking information speak only as of the date hereof. Calpine undertakes no duty to update or revise the information contained herein. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the estimates, projections and other forward-looking information in this presentation as they are based on current expectations and general assumptions and are subject to various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in our Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 and in other documents that we file with the SEC, many of which are beyond our control, that may cause actual results to differ materially from the views, beliefs and estimates expressed herein. Calpine’s reports and other information filed with the SEC, including the risk factors identified in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, can be found on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov and on Calpine’s website at www.calpine.com.. The information contained in the presentation that relates to Calpine's operations for periods after the year ended December 31, 2007 is taken from information that has previously been made public by Calpine. We have not updated this information since it was last made public; therefore this information should not be construed to provide, nor is it intended to provide, guidance for such periods. Calpine has not determined what, if any, guidance it will provide in the future. 2
  • 3. REG G DISCLAIMER Calpine uses the non-GAAP financial measure “Commodity Margin” to assess its financial performance on a consolidated basis and by its reportable segments. Commodity Margin includes its electricity and steam revenues, hedging and optimization activities, renewable energy credit revenue, transmission revenue and expenses, and fuel and purchased energy expenses, but excludes mark-to-market activity and other service revenues. Calpine believes that Commodity Margin is a useful tool for assessing the performance of its core operations and is a key operational measure reviewed by its chief operating decision maker. Commodity Margin is not a measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, and should be viewed as a supplement to and not a substitute for Calpine’s results of operations presented in accordance with GAAP. Commodity Margin does not purport to represent net income (loss), the most comparable GAAP measure, as an indicator of operating performance and is not necessarily comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies. In addition, Calpine management utilizes another non-GAAP financial measure, Adjusted EBITDA, as a measure of its liquidity and performance. Calpine defines Adjusted EBITDA as EBITDA as adjusted for certain items described in this presentation and in the accompanying reconciliation. Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, and should be viewed as a supplement to and not a substitute for our results of operations presented in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA does not purport to represent cash flow from operations or net income (loss) as defined by GAAP as an indicator of operating performance. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies. Calpine believes Adjusted EBITDA is used by and useful to investors and other users of our financial statements in analyzing our liquidity as it is the basis for material covenants under our DIP Facility, which was our primary source of financing during our Chapter 11 cases, and under our Exit Facility, which is our primary source of funding. Calpine also believes that EBITDA is widely used by investors to measure a company’s operating performance without regard to items such as interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization, which can vary substantially from company to company depending upon accounting methods and book value of assets, capital structure and the method by which assets were acquired. 3
  • 4. TABLE OF CONTENTS Calpine Overview Robert P. May, Chief Executive Officer Restructuring Overview Gregory L. Doody, General Counsel and Secretary Financial Overview Lisa J. Donahue, Chief Financial Officer Operations Overview Power Operations: Michael D. Rogers Commercial Operations: Todd W. Filsinger Conclusion Robert P. May, Chief Executive Officer 4
  • 6. WHO ARE WE? • Founded in 1984, Calpine is a major U.S. power company, currently operating nearly 24,000 megawatts (MW) of clean, cost-effective, reliable and fuel-efficient electric generating capacity for customers and communities across four distinct regions in the U.S. • Calpine is the nation’s largest natural gas, cogeneration, and renewable geothermal power provider North Region West Region 10 Plants 43 Plants 2,822 MW 7,246 MW Southeast Region 12 Plants 6,254 MW Texas Region 12 Plants Total 7,487 MW 77 Plants 23,809 MW Note: Represents Calpine’s net ownership including peaking capacity. 6
  • 7. CALPINE HAS CONSTRUCTED A MODERN FLEET 50 45 Weighted average age of plants 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 CPN DYN NRG RRI MIR Source: SNL Financial. • Most of Calpine’s peers were created by separating legacy electricity generation assets from regulated utilities and acquisitions 7
  • 8. CALPINE IS ONE OF THE GREENEST LARGE IPPs AND HAS SIGNIFICANT SCALE 30,000 25,000 20,000 Other Geothermal 15,000 Gas (MWs) Coal Nuclear 10,000 5,000 – NRG CPN DYN RRI MIR Source: Company filings and SNL Financial. • An investment in Calpine focuses on the growth potential in one of the nation’s most environmentally friendly asset portfolios 8
  • 9. CALPINE’S FLEET MINIMIZES MORE THAN JUST CARBON Carbon Profile Calpine Gas Fleet Emissions Comparison 1.2 Air Pollutant Emission CO2(tons) / MWh Generated 1.0 Rates Compared to Average Air Pollutants U.S. Fossil-Fired Facility 0.8 Nitrogen Oxide, NOx 95.2% Less Acid rain, smog and fine particulate formation 0.6 Sulfur Dioxide, SO2 99.9% Less Acid rain and fine particulate formation 0.4 Mercury, Hg 100% Less Neurotoxin 0.2 Carbon Dioxide, CO2 57.1% Less Principal greenhouse gas-contributor to climate change 0.0 Source: Calpine Form 10-K. CPN DYN NRG RRI MIR Source: Credit Suisse research. • Calpine is poised to benefit from pending legislation • Calpine’s highly efficient, modern gas fleet consumes significantly less fuel to generate electricity than older power generation facilities and emits much less air pollution compared to coal-fired or conventional gas-fired facilities • Calpine’s 725 MW geothermal fleet emits virtually no NOx, SO2, or CO2 9
  • 10. MORE THAN JUST A COMMODITY PLAY Capitalized to benefit all Risk management strategy stakeholders enhances value Streamlined management / Future development operations opportunities Diminishing reserve Increasing replacement margins costs Carbon legislation creates value Calpine is well positioned to benefit from several significant value drivers 10
  • 11. CALPINE’S VISION STATEMENT To be recognized as the leading power company by providing clean, efficient and reliable energy products and related services to our customers and appropriate financial returns to our stakeholders 11
  • 13. CALPINE RESTRUCTURING CREATED GREATER FOCUS AND EFFICIENCY • Divested or turned-over twelve plants or businesses Focus on Core Markets and • Closed 19 non-core offices Assets • Refocused development and construction activities • Overall debt reduced by $7 billion and interest expense reduced by ~$600 million/yr • Annual EBITDA increased by ~$485 million and gross profit by $471 Key million between full year 2005 and 2007 (excluding impairments) Restructuring • Reduction of ~$180 million/yr of overhead costs and 1,100 Accomplishments employees • Rejected 25 leases and 273 executory contracts • Improved monitoring and reporting capabilities Streamlined • Improved risk management organization Organization Restructuring significantly improved financial results, simplified the capital structure and streamlined the organization 13
  • 14. CALPINE’S IMPROVED POSITION • Unified approach to corporate structure and business activities with systemic method of decision making More Focused • More accountability to set and meet budgets / forecasts Management • More focused on cost side of profitability and maximizing value of Philosophy existing power plant portfolio • Streamlined business model with clearly defined core operations • Manageable approach to risk and leverage • Hedging strategy employed for both power and natural gas More Conservative Capital Structure • No significant non-project debt maturities until 2014 and Risk Profile • ~$1.0 billion of liquidity at emergence • Disciplined growth capabilities with focus on value creation More Disciplined • Established market presence to identify new potential growth Growth and opportunities Development • Experienced development team able to capitalize on market insight Approach 14
  • 15. SHARE DISTRIBUTION • As of February 26, 2008 there were approximately 420 million shares outstanding • The Plan of Reorganization allows for the potential issuance of up to 500 million common shares - Approximately 64 million shares are reserved for disputed unsecured claims and general contingencies - An additional 15 million are reserved for issuance under Calpine’s Equity Incentive Programs • The previous shareholders were issued 48.5 million warrants to purchase shares at an exercise price of $23.88 / share, which expire on August 25, 2008 15
  • 18. 2007 PRIMARY DRIVERS AND FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS • Commodity Margin increased 10% from 2006 to 2007 Improved power • Average realized electricity price increased from $63.02 to $67.90 / MWh markets • Improved credit support and market access contributed to additional long- term hedging and lower transaction costs • Capacity factor (excluding peakers) rose from 39.2% to 46.6% due to Fleet Performance increased demand in most of Calpine’s markets • Decreased forced outages and recordable industry rates • Improved starting reliability • SG&A expense decreased from $240 million in 2005 to $146 million in 2007 Overhead primarily due to the reduction in workforce, lower facility costs and lower Reductions legal fees not related to our reorganization • Savings resulting from the rejection and renegotiation of leases / executory Asset / Contract contracts and divestiture of non-core assets • Enhanced Improved origination of non-standard power sales to load serving entities • More REC and RA contribution • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $1,412 million from $1,029 million in 2006 18
  • 19. 2007 FINANCIAL RESULTS ($ in millions) December 31, 2007 2006 2005 Operating revenues $7,970 $6,937 $10,302 less: Fuel and purchased energy expenses (5,683) (4,752) (8,318) less: Mark-to-market activity, net(1) and other service revenues (62) (164) (154) Consolidated Commodity Margin 2,225 2,021 1,830 Mark-to-market activity, net(1) and other service revenues 62 164 154 Total other cost of revenue (1,392) (1,445) (3,929) Gross Profit $895 $740 ($1,945) Sales, general and other administrative expense 146 175 240 Other operating expenses 44 101 2,186 Interest expense, net of interest income 1,955 1,175 1,313 Other (income) expense, net (139) 18 (88) Net income before reorganization expense and taxes ($1,111) ($729) ($5,596) Reorganization items (3,258) 972 5,026 Net income before taxes $2,147 ($1,701) ($10,622) Income taxes (546) 64 (741) Net income, before discontinued operations $2,693 ($1,765) ($9,881) Discontinued operations, net of tax provision of $132 in 2005 – – ($58) Net income (after discontinued operations) $2,693 ($1,765) ($9,939) Adjusted EBITDA $1,412 $1,029 $927 (1) Included in operating revenues and fuel and purchased energy expenses. • Interest expense includes $849 million of post-petition and default interest 19
  • 20. ADJUSTED EBITDA RECONCILIATION ($ in millions) December 31, 2007 2006 2005 Net income, before discontinued operations $2,693 ($1,765) ($9,881) Adjustments to reconcile GAAP Income to Adjusted EBITDA: Interest expense, net of interest income 1,955 1,175 1,313 (1) Depreciation and amortization expense 507 522 558 Income tax provision (benefit) (546) 64 (741) Impairment charges 46 118 4,530 Reorganization items (3,258) 972 5,026 Major maintenance expense 98 77 70 Operating lease expense 54 66 105 Loss (income) on various repurchases of debt – 18 203 (Gains) losses on derivatives 2 (213) 52 (Gains) losses on sales of assets and contract restructuring excluding reorganization items (7) (6) 18 Claim settlement income (136) – – Other 3 1 80 Adjusted EBITDA $1,412 $1,029 $927 (1) Depreciation and amortization in the GAAP net income (loss) calculation on Calpine’s Consolidated Statements of Operations excludes amortization of other assets and amounts classified as SG&A. Note: Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, and should be viewed as a supplement to and not a substitute for Calpine’s results of operations presented in accordance with GAAP. Adjusted EBITDA does not purport to represent cash flow from operations or net income (loss) as defined by GAAP as an indicator of operating performance. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA is not necessarily comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies. 20
  • 21. 2007 ADJUSTED EBITDA GREW TO $1.4 BILLION Commodity Margin ($ millions) 10.3% CAGR $2,500 $2,225 $2,021 $1,830 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 2005 2006 2007 Adjusted EBITDA ($ millions) $1,600 AGR $1,412 23.4% C $1,400 $1,200 $1,029 $927 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 2005 2006 2007 21
  • 22. 2007 REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS ($ in millions) 2007 2006 2007 2006 Capacity Capacity Commodity Commodity 2007 Gross 2006 Gross Factor(1) Factor(1) Margin Margin Profit Profit Region West $1,196 $1,037 $664 $527 65.3% 58.7% Texas $500 $477 $298 $297 52.1% 41.7% Southeast $268 $215 $49 ($58) 25.5% 20.9% North $283 $313 $79 $79 33.6% 32.3% Other, Goodwill and Elimination ($22) ($21) ($195) ($105) NA NA Total $2,225 $2,021 $895 $740 46.6% 39.2% (1) Excludes peaking capacity. • Commodity Margin includes electricity and steam revenues, hedging and optimization activities, renewable energy credit revenue, transmission revenue and expenses, and fuel and purchased energy expenses, but excludes mark-to-market activity and other service revenues 22
  • 23. FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE DRIVERS • Calpine’s Plan of Reorganization assumes improved financial performance through 2012. Numerous factors are expected to contribute to improved performance, including: - Forecasted diminishing reserve margins across the U.S. - Significant impact on Calpine’s key markets, ERCOT and California - Owners of CCGT and peaking plants will likely be the beneficiaries - Development of regional capacity markets - Environmental pressures are anticipated to increase with carbon legislation looming, particularly in California - Calpine’s low-carbon dioxide emitting, cost-effective natural gas-fired generation portfolio is well positioned as this trend continues - The Geysers’ value is expected be further enhanced as the renewable energy credit market develops 23
  • 24. 2008 – 2012 ADJUSTED EBITDA PROJECTIONS ($ in millions) $3,000 CAGR $2,500 10.2% Adjusted EBITDA $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 – 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Note: Projected Adjusted EBITDA is based on exit Lenders’ presentation on January 8, 2008. • The growth in EBITDA is primarily due to: - The improvement in commodity margin in ERCOT, CA, and Southeast - Contribution from growth projects (Greenfield, Otay Mesa and Russell City) - Implementation of CO2 legislation • Per the Lenders’ presentation on January 8, 2008 the Company had approximately 75% of gross margin hedged for 2008 24
  • 25. MAJOR MAINTENANCE AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURES • Capital expenditures include primarily operating and maintenance capital expenditures and certain construction and investment capital expenditures(1) • Operating and maintenance capital expenditures for the operating fleet - Includes capital spending for reinvestment in The Geysers • Construction capital expenditures - Capital required for the construction of Otay Mesa and Greenfield funded by proceeds from construction financings and equity contributions from Calpine and/or its project partners ($ in millions) 2007 Total Operating CapEx and Major Maintenance $267 Construction CapEx 201 Total CapEx and Major Maintenance 468 Less: Financing Related to Construction Projects (156) Net Funded CapEx and Major Maintenance $312 (1) Includes major maintenance costs but does not include ordinary maintenance expense. 25
  • 26. SIGNIFICANT NOL VALUE CREATED DURING BANKRUPTCY • Calpine (Including CCFC) has $5.1 billion of U.S. NOLs which will have annual IRC Section 382 limitations on usage as follows: - $4.33 billion over 13 years ($333 million/year) - $750 million over five years ($150 million/year) - Any amount not utilized in any year from these limitations can be carried forward to succeeding years. • In addition to these NOLs the company has significant deferred tax assets related to the bankruptcy that will generate tax deductions not limited under IRC Section 382 • In addition there are approximately $650 million of NOLs associated with Canada 26
  • 28. CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND LIQUIDITY ($ in millions) New capital structure December 31, 2007 At exit DIP Facility $3,970 – Second priority debt 3,672 – CCFC financing 1,080 1,079 Project debt 2,934 3,067 Drawn Revolver – 150 First lien debt – 5,980 Bridge loan – 300 Total debt $11,656 $10,576 Total cash assets $2,496 $839 Less restricted and reserved 581 463 Cash and cash equivalents $1,915 $376 (1) Net debt / adjusted EBITDA 6.9x 5.8x Revolver and LC availability (total revolver capacity $1,000) 765 625 Total liquidity $2,680 $1,001 (1) Net debt excludes drawn revolver, bridge loan and restricted cash; PoR 2008E adjusted EBITDA used for At exit ratio. • Calpine has ~$1.0 billion of liquidity to support its operations • The amount of restricted cash as of 12/31/2007 is $581 million 28
  • 29. OVERVIEW OF EXIT FACILITIES Amount Cash Flow Facilities Rate Maturity Amortization (in $ mm) Sweep $1,000 L + 287.5 March 29, 2014 None Existing First Lien Revolver 50% at Lender’s $3,887 L + 287.5 March 29, 2014 1% per annum Existing First discretion(1) Lien Term Loan 50% at Lender’s Additional First $2,093 L + 287.5 March 29, 2014 1% per annum discretion(1) Lien Term Loan 366 days from First Lien Asset $300 L + 287.5 None closing date Sale Bridge $7,280 Total Facilities • Calpine’s Exit Credit Facility provides significant, long-dated debt at attractive rates • $148 million of the Asset Sale Bridge Loan has been repaid from the Hillabee proceeds, the balance will be paid off with a portion of the proceeds from the sale of Fremont (1) Cash flow sweep can potentially be reduced to 25% if consolidated leverage ratio less than 5.0. 29
  • 30. DEBT MATURITY SCHEDULE $6,000 $5,606 $5,000 $4,000 $ Millions $152 mm outstanding $85 mm of PCFIII Notes $3,000 Bridge balance to be to be repaid from cash repaid from asset collateral account sales proceeds $2,000 $1,687 $1,000 $385 $280 $300 $85 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Thereafter CCFC Project debt First Lien Assumptions: • Maturity Balances assumes no cash sweeps • All other debt maturities are paid off from operating cashflows at the Project Level • Metcalf assumed to be refinanced in 2008 30
  • 31. FIRST LIEN COLLATERAL PROGRAM • Exit Facility provides first lien collateral for power, gas and interest rate hedging transactions - Power, gas, and other commodity hedging is limited to Right Way Risk (RWR) transactions - Reduces reliance on cash collateral decreasing liquidity risk - Reduced cost of collateral - Exit Facility allows more flexibility as to the types of natural gas transactions to be included in the program • Currently 5 counterparties under the program with 3 additional counterparties expected to sign on by April 2008 • As of 12/31/2007, over $170 million reduction in cash collateral on commodity hedging transactions 31
  • 34. ASSET PORTFOLIO • Calpine owns nearly 24,000 MW of operating capacity, concentrated in the West and Texas Colorado 906 MW - California Within the West, the majority of the capacity is located in California 5,204 MW Oregon 616 MW Arizona 520 MW ISONE 537 MW North Region 10 Plants West Region 2,822 MW MRO 43 Plants NYISO 1,387 MW 352 MW 7,246 MW RFC 546 MW FRCC Southeast Region 865 MW 12 Plants 6,254 MW Texas Region SPP 12 Plants 1,134 MW Total 7,487 MW 77 Plants SERC 23,809 MW 4,255 MW 34
  • 35. Calpine Overview TECHNOLOGY MIX • The majority of Calpine’s capacity is gas-fired • Combined cycle plants represent 51% of Calpine’s capacity, cogeneration technology represents 33%, and 725 MW of capacity is geothermal Total Capacity(1) Baseload Baseload (Geothermal) (Geothermal) 3% 725 MW Peaking Peaking 13% 3,000 MW Intermediate Intermediate 12,119 MW 51% Intermediate Intermediate (Cogeneration) (Cogeneration) 7,965 MW 33% (1) As of 12/31/2007. 35
  • 36. Calpine Overview TECHNOLOGY MIX BY REGION • Most of Calpine’s West region capacity consists of intermediate gas-fired combined cycles • In Texas, the majority of Calpine’s assets operate as cogeneration facilities, which sell steam to industrial and commercial customers for use in heating and other applications West Texas North Southeast Baseload Peaking Peaking Intermediate Intermediate Intermediate (Geothermal) 983 MW 963 MW 1,600 MW 2,762 MW (Cogeneration) 725 MW 4,260 MW Intermediate Peaking (Cogeneration) 1,054 MW 1,008 MW Intermediate Intermediate Intermediate (Cogeneration) 3,227 MW Intermediate (Cogeneration) 2,529 MW 4,530 MW 168 MW Note: As of 12/31/2007. 36
  • 37. FLEET CHARACTERISTICS • Calpine’s assets are reliable and fuel-efficient - Higher availability and lower outages than national average - Operate at lower heat rates • Calpine’s fleet efficiency permits the Company to economically dispatch its assets when it is uneconomic for other similar assets to operate Net Capacity Factor Equiv. Forced Outage Rate Net Heat Rate % 50 50 % 40 9,000 48 45 40 8,500 30 35 BTU/kwh 30 8,000 7,896 27 25 20 20 7,444 7,500 13 15 7,332 10 9 10 7,000 8 5 0 0 6,500 National Average +/- 1 St Dev National Average +/- 1 St Dev National Average +/- 1 St Dev 1 1 1 Calpine Average - 2005 Calpine Average - 2005 Calpine Average - 2005 National Average - 2005 National Average - 2005 National Average - 2005 Calpine Average - 2007 Calpine Average - 2007 Calpine Average - 2007 Sources: Calpine combined cycle data (excludes cogens): NERC Generating Availability Data System (GADS). National combined cycle data: NCF and EFOR plant data from NERC; NHR plant data from Energy Velocity and PA Consulting Group 37
  • 38. (1) SO2 (tons) / yr - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 Southern AEP Source: 2006 CEMS data from Energy Velocity Duke Dynegy adjusted for LS Power acquisitions TVA Progress TXU PPL Ameren Allegheny Reliant FirstEnergy 38 DTE Energy Edison International Dominion NRG Berkshire Hathaway E.ON AG SO2 EMISSIONS OF TOP 25 GENERATORS Xcel Constellation PSEG FPL (1) Dynegy Entergy Exelon Calpine
  • 39. (1) NOx (tons ) / yr 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 50,000 0 AEP Southern Source: 2006 CEMS data from Energy Velocity TVA Dynegy adjusted for LS Power acquisitions Duke Berkshire Hathaway Xcel Dominion Progress Edison International FirstEnergy Allegheny Ameren 39 DTE NRG E.ON AG TXU PPL Reliant FPL NOx EMISSIONS OF TOP 25 GENERATORS Entergy Constellation PSEG Exelon Dynegy (1) Calpine
  • 40. CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS OF TOP 25 GENERATORS 200,000,000 180,000,000 160,000,000 140,000,000 120,000,000 CO2 (tons) / yr 100,000,000 80,000,000 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 - Edison International Calpine Constellation Dominion Reliant DTE Duke Entergy Xcel Exelon FPL TXU PPL FirstEnergy Allegheny Ameren NRG Southern AEP E.ON AG TVA PSEG Progress Berkshire Hathaway Dynegy (1) (1) Dynegy adjusted for LS Power acquisitions Source: 2006 CEMS data from Energy Velocity 40
  • 41. MAJOR MAINTENANCE • One of Calpine’s biggest non-labor cost is major maintenance expense - Expected 2008 major maintenance expense is $174 million(1) - Most operators rely on OEMs to perform this service • Calpine self-performs major maintenance with an in-house Turbine Maintenance Group (TMG) - Material financial benefit to self performing major maintenance - TMG is viewed as one of the industry’s experts on gas turbines (1) Based on Exit Facility Lenders’ presentation on January 8, 2008 41
  • 42. CONTINUING FLEET INITIATIVES • Calpine focuses on continuous operational improvement for its assets, including: - Performance Optimization Program (“POP”) focused on enhancing the total efficiency of Calpine’s plants through implementation of best practices gathered from across the fleet - Calpine Engine Optimization (“CEO”) designed to reduce heat rates and increase power output of gas turbines through implementation of optimized parts and components - Other engineering initiatives designed to optimize operations and processes related to management of the power assets • Calpine is able to leverage lessons learned across the fleet for maximum optimization 42
  • 44. DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES • Development is refocused on creating value from acquiring, developing and disposing of assets based on a rigorous risk framework Mitigate Price Northwest NE ISO Risk MISO NYISO MRO WECC Pro forma Cash PJM CO-WY Flows and TVA VACAR SPP California AZ-NM-SNV Returns Entergy Southern ERCOT FRCC Mitigated Address Capital Construction Investment Risk Limits Evaluate Opportunities Risk Mitigation Meet Calpine Hurdle Rates • Focus efforts on markets where Calpine has • Identify alternative ways to create value • Articulate Calpine’s risk tolerance and a competitive advantage • Partner or Outsource project specific financial objectives • Expansion opportunities • Contract • Refine and calibrate risk tolerance and • Portfolio enhancement • Promote projects that provide portfolio financial analysis tools • Continue to engage in evaluating projects diversification • Execute mitigation strategies within risk • Market knowledge • Create new opportunities tolerance and financial objectives • Find unrealized value 44
  • 45. DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH INITIATIVES • Calpine’s development program includes executing long-term power purchase agreements • Calpine has three projects where contractual agreements with counterparties have been completed, totaling 2,198 MW (1,487 MW net): Greenfield Energy Centre Otay Mesa Energy Center Russell City Energy Center • • • 50% owned 1,005 MW gas- 100% owned 596 MW 65% Calpine owned 597 MW fired facility under combined-cycle plant under combined-cycle plant to be construction in Ontario, construction in southern located in Hayward, Canada San Diego County California (San Francisco • • area) Output contracted under Output contracted under • long-term PPA with Ontario long-term PPA with SDG&E Output contracted under • Power Authority long-term PPA with PG&E $377 million non-recourse • • Completed $650 million financing arranged by ING Buyback opportunity for project financing Capital and BayernLB 35% minority interest • • • Expected on line date: 2008 Expected on line date: 2009 Expected on line date: 2010 / 2011 Any other growth projects would be incremental to Calpine’s PoR projections 45
  • 47. MARKET OUTLOOK - SUMMARY • Many U.S. regional electricity markets continue to recover: - Reserve margins arein recent yearsmany markets, and annual average market heat rates have tightening in generally increased • Several industry trends are expected to benefit Calpine: - Supply and Demand –inCalpine’s plants in California andmarkets Texas benefit from lower levels of excess capacity than found many other regional electricity - markets Fuel Mix and Prices – Natural gas prices set power prices in most hours in Calpine’s core Regional - dioxide emissions, are expected to benefit Calpine regulations, including regulation of carbon Environmental Regulations – Tightening environmental - Rising Construction Costs –of Calpine’scosts to construct new generation facilities has positive Increasing implications for the value existing assets - Market Regulations – Market developments such as trends toward separate capacity markets as well as nodal pricing are expected to benefit Calpine 47
  • 48. MANY MARKETS ARE NOT AS OVERBUILT AS THEY ONCE WERE … 2001 2005 New England New England Northwest1 Northwest1 MISO MISO New York New York MRO MRO PJM California1 PJM California1 CO- WY CO-WY SPP SPP TVA TVA VACAR VACAR AZ-NM-SV AZ-NM-SV Entergy Entergy Southern Southern ERCOT ERCOT FRCC FRCC Today New England Northwest1 Degree of Market Overbuild MISO New York Market Significantly Significant Surplus MRO Overbuilt PJM California1 CO-WY SPP TVA VACAR AZ-NM-SV Entergy Southern Capacity Deficit ERCOT FRCC (1) The supply and demand balance in the Northwest and California are dependent on hydro conditions. Source: PA Consulting Group. 48
  • 49. … AS ILLUSTRATED BY DECLINING RESERVE MARGINS IN MUCH OF THE U.S. Reserve Margins1 30% 2005 and 2008 20% 32% 26% New England 25% 24% NW 23% 17% 2005 2008 25% MISO 23% PJM 2005 2008 New 2005 2008 17% York 16% 2005 2008 38% 33% 27% 27% 27% 21% 2005 2008 CA 25% TVA VACAR SPP 18% 2005 2008 2005 AZNM 2008 2005 2008 2005 2008 37% 30% 2 67% 25% 2005 2008 16% 49% SOU ERCOT Reserve margin measures the amount of ENT surplus capacity in a market and is defined as: (Capacity – Demand)/(Demand) 2005 2008 2005 2008 2005 2008 (1) Represents PA’s forecast for the year which is a weather normalized forecast. Source: PA Consulting Group. 49
  • 50. MARKET EQUILIBRIUM GENERALLY PROJECTED TO OCCUR IN THE 2008-2012 TIMEFRAME 32% 20% NW2 16% 23% 20% 8% 17% New 15% England 14% 14% New 17% 15% York4 2008 2018 MRO 2008 2011 COWY3 17% MISO 15% 24% 2008 2016 2008 2010 22% 27% CA2 27% 2008 2011 2008 2011 PJM 18% 14% 15% 21% 14% 2008 2011 SPP TVA Reserve 2008 2011 15% 49% Margin (%) AZNM Entergy VACAR 2008 2013 2008 2018 2008 Reserve 15% 25% 16% Target Reserve1 2008 2011 2008 2012 13% 15% 2008 2018 (1) The years listed under target reserve margin correspond to the year 29% ERCOT the market is projected to reach equilibrium. Southern (2) Hydro capacity is de-rated in California and the rest of 19% the WECC by 25% and 20%, respectively. (3) The Colorado/Wyoming region is currently at its target but the reserve margin is expected to increase in 2009 and not reach its FRCC 2008 2012 2008 2011 target again until 2011. (4) Reserve margins represent all of NY and the 2010 date represents when NY Incity first needs capacity. Source: PA Consulting Group. 2008 2011 50
  • 51. REGIONAL FUEL MIX VARIES ACROSS THE U.S., TYPICALLY INCLUDING BOTH GAS AND COAL … New England NW New York MRO MISO PJM COWY CA SPP Fuel Type AZNM TVA ENT VACAR SOU Coal Oil Nuclear Gas ERCOT Hydro/Other Renewable Dual Fuel FRCC Source: PA Consulting Group 51
  • 52. … HOWEVER, THE FUEL ON THE MARGIN DRIVES MARKET ELECTRICITY PRICES Fuel on the Margin Sample Day of Market Dispatch (SERC example) MISO New York Oil Northwest New Capacity (GW) MRO England Gas PJM CO-WY Coal SPP TVA VACAR AZ-NM-NV Nuclear Entergy California Southern Hydro ERCOT 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Hour of Day FRCC Sample Day of Market Dispatch (ERCOT example) Gas on margin >90% of time Oil Gas on the margin >65% of time Capacity (GW) Gas Predominately coal with gas & oil Predominately gas with coal & oil Predominately coal with gas; oil >10% Coal Nuclear 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Hour of Day Source: PA Consulting Group 52
  • 53. IN CALPINE’S CORE MARKETS OF CALIFORNIA AND TEXAS, GAS PRICES PREDOMINANTLY DRIVE POWER PRICES Fuel on the Margin MISO The more gas is on the margin in a market, the more impact New York Northwest New higher or lower gas prices will have on power prices. MRO England PJM CO-WY SPP Impact on Peak Power Prices of $2 Higher Gas New England TVA VACAR AZ-NM-NV Entergy California Southern ERCOT Northwest FRCC MISO New York MRO Gas on margin >90% of time PJM Gas on the margin >65% of time CO- Y W Predominately coal with gas & oil SPP Predominately gas with coal & oil TVA VACAR Predominately coal with gas; oil >10% AZ- -SV -NM Entergy Southern ERCOT 20-25% increase FRCC 15-20% increase 10-15% increase 0-10% increase Source: PA Consulting Group 53