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Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan



                                          TABLE OF CONTENT



                                       ITEMS                                              PAGE
ABSTRACT                                                                                    2
INTRODUCTION & SCOPE OF THE STUDY                                                          3-4
OBJECTIVES                                                                                  4
LITERATURE REVIEW:                                                                         4-7
     The History of Global Financial Crisis
                                                                                           8-12
       The Global Financial Crisis in Japan
       The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Japan‟s:
                                                                                          12-15
         (i). Financial Institutions
                                                                                          15-16
         (ii). Financial System and Financial Banking
         (iii). Exportation                                                               16-17

         (iv). Economy                                                                    17-19

         (v). Government Matters: Purchase of toxic assets and direct equity injections   19-20

       Reasons Why Japan Could Be Affected By The Global Financial Crisis                 20

       Reasons Why Japan‟s Financial System Less Exposed to the Market Turmoil            21
       Different View on The Crisis Impact On Japan                                       21
       How Japan Recovers                                                                 22
DISCUSSION AND FINDING                                                                    23-26
CONCLUSION                                                                                  27
REFERENCES                                                                                28-32




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Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan

                                                  ABSTRACT
Throughout this assignment, there will be parts that reveal on the current Global Financial Crisis that have
occurred and how the crisis has impacted on Japan‟s country‟s especially its International Financial
Institutions (IFI). Global Financial Crisis that has occur in 2008 have not only affected Japan but also
almost every countries in the world. In this assignment, there are several causes that lead the crisis to
strike Japan at the moment which are including the downfall of U.S sub-prime mortgage industry, housing
bubble bursting as well as the sharp rise in the equity risk premium. Due to the crisis, Japan has faced
implications on numbers of aspects namely are the international financial institutions, financial system and
banking, economy, exportation as well as on its government. On the other hand, reasons on why Japan
could be affected by the current crisis are consisting of the weak and unclear disclosure rules on banks,
matters related to the regulators adopted, problem of synch deregulation, heavy reliance on administrative
guidance in banking regulation and policy transparency. Even though Japan does affected by the Global
Financial Crisis, but nonetheless, Japan‟s financial system was less exposed to the market turmoil.
Moreover, although have been affected by the current crisis, Japan was able to recover from the great
effect.
          The objectives of the study in preparing this project topic consisting of three which are to
acknowledge on the current Global Financial Crisis that have occurred, to identify the implications of
current Global Financial Crisis upon Japan and to highlight the impact of current Global Financial Crisis
towards Japan‟s International Financial Institutions (IFI). At the end of completing this assignment, our
three main study‟s objectives have been achieved where we have reveal on the Global Financial Crisis
background, the impact on Japan as well as how the crisis has affect Japan‟s International Financial
Institutions. In order to complete this assignment, the methodologies that we have used to search for
information namely are articles, journals, website information as well as the conference knowledge.
          Hereby, we would like to recommend to those who will do any research or to find out the impact of
Global Financial Crisis upon Japan or any other countries regarding with the current crisis, first please get
to know the basic about the particular country and followed by the understanding of the crisis history. In
addition, the most important matter is regarding the understanding of whatever the information that we
through as it is pointless if we do a summary or citation on the author‟s ideas without knowing the real
meaning behind the ideas nor knowledge. On the other hand, in order to know whether the journals or any
articles are related to our project topic, key words of our topic can be used to check throughout the
information (Example: Global Financial Crisis).

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                              INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE OF THE STUDY
A Brief Introduction on Japan
Japan is a country of islands which extends along the eastern or Pacific coast of Asia. In total land area,
Japan is slightly smaller than California (Picture 1.0). About 73% of the country is mountainous (the highest
mountain is the world-famous Mt. Fuji at 12,388 feet), with a chain running through each of the main
islands. Japan's population, currently just fewer than 127 million, experienced a phenomenal growth rate for
much of the 20th century as a result of scientific, industrial, and sociological changes, but birth rates have
fallen steadily since the 1970s. But nonetheless, in 2005, Japan's population has declined for the first time
(2 years earlier than predicted) and stated with the population growth rate of -1.0% in 2010 (U.S
Department of State, 2012).
                                          Picture 1.0: Japan‟s Map




                                                                            Source: US Department of State


        However, the high sanitary and health standards in Japan have produced life expectancy that
exceeds the United States (U.S). Japan's industrialized, free-market economy is the third-largest in the
world where its economy is highly efficient and competitive in areas linked to international trade, but
unfortunately, Japan‟s productivity is far lower in several protected areas such as agriculture, distribution,
and services. Japan's reservoir of industrial leadership and technicians, well-educated and industrious work
force, high savings and investment rates, the intensive promotion of industrial development as well as the
foreign trade has lead Japan into a mature industrial economy. Japan has few natural resources which by
trading has helps Japan to earn the foreign exchange that needed in order to purchase the raw materials
for its economy (U.S Department of State, 2012).




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         Meanwhile, according to Grimes (2009), Japan‟s position in Asia and the world has shifted
considerably over the last decade with Japanese economy increasingly become oriented upon the East
Asia. Grimes (2009) added by stating that Japan‟s manufacturing is tie up with the East Asia‟s regional
production networks. This is the reason why Tokyo has sought by taking the leadership position in the
regional initiatives, including U.S, the one that exclude its security patron.
         In addition, Japan still has the most productive and advanced economy in Asia even though it has
been overtaken by China in terms of the sheer size (at least on a price-adjusted basis). Not only that,
Japan is well known for its manufacturing sector‟s quality and productivity which lead Japan increasingly
become a knowledge-based as well as the post-industrial economy. Moreover, parts of the manufacturing
sector of Japan is still remain highly competitive in the world markets, although the Japan‟s manufacturing
share of the total production is continue to decline in all the developed economies (Grimes, 2009).
         Japan‟s largest part of its employment and economic activity falls in the services, a residual
category which consisting of everything from the restaurant and entertainment to the legal services as well
as finance (Grimes, 2009),


                                        OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
(I). To acknowledge on the current Global Financial Crisis that have occurred
(ii). To identify the implications of current global financial crisis upon Japan
(iii). To highlight the impact of current Global Financial Crisis towards Japan‟s International Financial
Institutions (IFI)


                                             LITERATURE RIVIEW
The History of Global Financial Crisis
According to Ito (2009), he has stated three stages of the Global Financial Crisis that have strike the world.
The beginning of the Global Financial Crisis is on February 8, 2007. This crisis began when the HSBC
Holdings makes the announcement on its charge for bad debts would be more than $10.5 billion in 2006
has came into surprise where the amount was 20% more than the financial analysts‟ expectation. The
suspicion that subprime loan might be a big problem was disseminated in the financial market on the day of
the announcement (February 7, 2007). Meanwhile, the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis is on
August 9, 2007 when the subsidiaries of BNP Paribas announced the liquidation suspension of the asset
because the fair values of Asset-backed Securities‟ (ABS) assets having difficulty to get under the market

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pressure. While, the final stage of the crisis (September 15, 2008) is when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt.
Lehman Brother‟s failure was primarily due to the large losses they sustained on the US subprime on
mortgage markets but mortgage delinquencies rose after the US housing price bubble burst in 2006-2007.
In the second fiscal quarter 2008, Lehman reported losses of $2.8 billion and It was forced to sell off $6
billion in its assets (New York Times, 2009).
        Meanwhile, based on Malik, Ullah, Azam & Khan (2009), he stated that the cause of the current
crisis has started due to the downfall of US sub-prime mortgage industry, the intensity of this collapse was
significant; “Mark-to-market losses on mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations, and
related assets through March 2008 were approximate $945 billion.” He further stated that the crisis is “The
largest financial loss in history”, as compared to Japan‟s banking crisis in 1990 where Japan only loss
about $780 billion.
        Malik, et. al. (2009) statement has been supported by Kawai (2009) where he stated that the sub-
prime crisis is the worst that have occurred since the Great Depression in 1930s, where the crisis has
evolved and turn into a full-blown global financial as well as economic crisis. In addition, he added that the
crisis is totally different from any other financial crisis in its breadth, magnitude and its origin (after the
observation). Not only that, Kawai (2009) stated that the sub-prime crisis is global where it affected almost
all the countries in the world with a devastating impact. Kawai‟s statement has been supported by Okano
(2010) where Okano said that it has proven that the subprime problems direct impact on Financial
Institutions in Asian countries (including Japan) but is incomparably small if compared with the Western
countries.
        But nonetheless, when the US have problem with the subprime loan in the summer 2007, it only
has affected Japan financial slightly while the Japan‟s banking sector do not hardly affected directly.
Therefore it has resulted in; the willingness of Japanese to lend was limited because of the declining in the
stock price which has placed a strain on the balance sheet and capital adequacy ratio towards the
commercial banks in summer 2008.
        Meanwhile, due to Patric (1998), the first cause of the banking crisis resulted when deregulation
took place without the creation of an effective system of prudential regulation and supervision to replace the
postwar system of regulated interest rates, convoys, and constrained competition which provided safety to
the system. Banks had to adjust to the challenges as well as opportunities of an increasingly risky
environment, yet their capital bases were small. The low interest rate policy has generated an excessively



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weak yen. As the yen appreciated, the cumulative losses were huge, almost on the same order of
magnitude as the financial system‟s domestic bad loan losses.
        On the other hand, according to Ngowi (2009), the current global financial and economic crisis
(GFEC) started officially in United States of America (USA) in September 2008 or so. As a financial crisis, it
is generally manifested in the form of inadequate liquidity as a result of credit crunch in the financial
markets. As a result of the crisis, a recession is looming across the globe in form of a general, rapid and
high decline in economic activities of production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. This
form of economic turmoil was last experienced at global level during the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Again, Ngowi (2009) added that the crisis is increasingly resulting into inter alia, uncertain and hard social
and economic times for countries across the globe. Whereas the developed countries started to suffer from
the first round and direct effects of the crisis (developing countries are suffering more from the second and
indirect effects of the crisis). The possibility of third-round effect in the collapse of the financial sector is
foreseen the crisis will continue for a long time.
        While, based on McKibbin & Stoeckel (2009), they stated the three main reasons that lead to
Global Financial Crisis which consist of the housing bubble bursting (causing a reallocation of capital and a
loss of household wealth and drop in consumption), the sharp rise in the equity risk premium (the risk
premium of equities over bonds) (causing the cost of capital to rise, private investment to fall as well as the
demand for durable goods also collapse) and a rise of household risk.
        For the bursting of the housing bubble is all about the falling house prices has a major effect on
household wealth, spending and defaults on loans held by the financial institutions. From 2000-2006 the
housing price in some areas doubled to subsequently collapse with overall the US index of house price has
fallen by 6.2% in real terms from the 1st quarter 2008 to the same quarter in 2009. While the house price is
rising strongly, the credit was supplied liberally to meet the demands as perceptions of risk fell. The rising
wealth boosted confidence and spending and the housing bubble was a global phenomenon centered
mainly on the Anglo-Saxon world. The housing bubble was the result of a long period of low interest rates
by the US Federal Reserve. The bursting of the housing bubble is modeled as a surprise fall in the
expected flow of services from housing investment (larger in US, UK and Europe) but still significant
throughout the world (McKibbin & Stoeckel, 2009).
        Besides the bursting of housing bubble, the rising of equity risk premium also the main of factors
for Global Financial Crisis to occur (shown in Table 2.0). According to McKibbin & Stoeckel (2009), the
surprise up-swing in commodity prices from 2003 but most noticeable during 2006 and 2007 led to

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concerns about inflation leading to the sharp reversal in monetary policy in the US. This tightening in US
policy also implied to lead the monetary policy in economies that pegged to the US dollar. It was the
sharpness of this reversal as much as the fall in US houses prices and the failures of financial regulation
(for example, the mortgage underwriters Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) that led to the financial problems
for 2008 until 2009.


                                      Table 2.0: Equity Risk Premium




                                                                                  Source: Author’s calculator


        Last but not least is the rise in the household risk too was one of the main reasons of Global
Financial Crisis to occur (when the reappraisal of the risk by firms as a result of the crisis also applies to
households). As households view the future as being more risky, so they discount their future earnings and
that affects their savings and spending decisions. The increase in household risk in the US is assumed to
be 3% points in the permanent scenario and returning to zero by year in the temporary scenario as
mentioned earlier (McKibbin & Stoeckel, 2009).
        Above all, the Global Financial Crisis‟s epicenter is from the U.S, which is known as the largest and
central economy in the world. Moreover, U.S‟s dollar is taken as the most dominant global home key
currency as well as the world‟s most sophisticated and developed financial system. The ongoing Global
Financial Crisis was triggered by the eruption of the US subprime crisis in the summer of 2007 and the
subsequent liquidity and confidence crisis that has spread on a global scale and peaked in September and
October 2008 (Kawai, 2009).


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The Global Financial Crisis in Japan
According to Nanto (2009), during the 1990s and into the early years of the 21st century, Japan has
experienced a prolonged recessionary economic conditions triggered by the bursting of a bubble in its
equity and real estate markets and an ensuing banking crisis. Although the current Global Financial Crisis
is much more than Japan‟s “Great Recession” writ large, many have turned to Japan‟s experience to either
support or oppose various policies and to improve general understanding of the underlying forces of
financial crises. The global financial and economic crisis is unprecedented in many ways yet not so unique
that the experience of other countries is bereft of lessons to be learned.
        While, based on James, Parck, Jha, Jongwanich, Hagiwara & Sumulong (2008), Japan appeared
initially to have fared well in the face of the global financial turmoil. It benefited from its limited exposure to
toxic assets and a relatively healthy financial sector. Its strong current account position has provided Japan
with a cushion against the turbulence (Figure 1.0).


                                      Figure 1.0: Japan Current Account Balance




                                                                              Source: Ministry of Finance (2008)


         Growth of real GDP had been recovering from the prolonged recession in the 1990s at about 2%
per annum since 2004 (Figure 2.0). The deflation that has persisted since 1999 finally turned to inflation in
2006, which ended the quantitative easing monetary policy (Figure 3.0). As inflation has been far from
being a concern, policy rates have been cut following the rate cuts in the US from an already very low 0.5%
to 0.3% in October 2008 . Given the positive though moderate inflation rate, with the already low policy
rate, the real rate is slipping into a negative range in Japan. While its fiscal deficit persists, Japan‟s policy
options remain extremely limited (Figure 4.0).




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                          Figure 2.0: Real Japan GDP Growth




                                       Source: Economic and Social Research Institution (2008)



                                 Figure 3.0: Japan‟s inflation




                                                        Source: CEIC Data Company Ltd. (2008)




                           Figure 4.0: Japan‟s Interest Rate




                                                 Source From: CEIC Data Company Ltd. (2008)




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                                      Chart 1.0: The Lehman Brother‟s




                                                                       Source From: Federal Reserve Board


        In addition, the Federal Reserve has cut the interest rates between in year 2001 and 2004. The low
interest rates were due to fears of deflation and led to a boom in US housing, low interest rates were not
just the result of the Fed‟s actions. US bond yields were also low because of low world rates with Japanese
bond yields at a little over 1 per cent and short term interest rates at zero. There was also an international
aspect to low US interest rates with Japan and Europe only recovering very slowly from the 2000-2001
downturns an in turn placing pressure on the US to keep interest rates low. In Japan, there were fears of
re-emergent deflation (James, et. al. 2008).
        Meanwhile, based on McKibbin & Stoeckel (2009), durable manufacturing in Japan would be hit
harder by the risk reappraisal given the collapse of their durable exports (dominated by cars - as a result of
the combination of the global downturn and the appreciation of the Yen that resulted from the collapse in
commodity prices and improvement in their terms of trade). Moreover, the authors added that Japan had
their housing bubble a decade earlier than did the US, so over the last few years they never experienced a
property bubble as in America. So the shock of Global Financial Crisis to their economy from the bursting of
the housing bubble would be less than for the US.
        On the other hand, Nanto (2009) stated that among the major industrialized economies of the
world, Japan‟s lost decade of the 1990‟s also called Japan‟s Great Recession, when it encountered a
period of prolonged stagnation caused by the bursting of speculative bubbles and prolonged banking crisis,
is often cited as relevant for policymakers today. The drop in prices on Japan‟s equity markets combined
with a sharp decline in land prices generated losses of about ¥1,500 trillion ($14 trillion) or roughly three
times Japan‟s gross domestic product at the time. Like the current US financial crisis, Japan‟s began with


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stock market and real estate bubbles. During the latter half of the 1980s, Japan‟s monetary authorities
flooded the market with liquidity (money) in order to enable business to cope with the rising value of the
yen. The bursting of this economic bubble caused the value of collateral underlying many banks loans to
drop below the value of their loan principal. Also, commercial real estate ventures, especially office
buildings, became unprofitable as rents fell. Unlike the situation in the US under the current global
economic crisis, Japanese financial institutions tended not to bundle and repackage their loans as
collateralized debt obligations or rely as extensively on derivatives and credit default swaps (Nanto, 2009).
         Due to Hakone (2010), recalling the bubble in Japan in the latter half 1980s, this International
Financial Institutions crisis sparked by the 2007 subprime loan problem and the recent difficulties faced by
Greece and the euro. Regarding institutional changes constituting remote causes of the crisis of Japan,
financial deregulation facilitated corporate fund rising through bond issuance and banks had a turn to real
estate financing as a new business, that induced excessive lending an eventually to building up of the
bubble. If the issue was counterparty risk then a direct focus on the quality and transparency of the bank‟s
balance sheets would be appropriate, either by requiring more transparency, dealing directly with
increasing number of mortgage defaults as housing prices fell or looking for ways to bring more capital into
the banks and other financial institutions. The Global Financial Crisis began in the United States with a
burst housing bubble and questionable mortgage-backed assets is spreading throughout Europe„s banking
sector, frightening away investors and making governments eager to rescue institutions. Recession is now
inevitable for Western economies which increasing the danger to markets that supply the world„s
consumers with manufactured. East Asia has a lot share of wealthy export-based economies, but towering
above them all is Japan, the second-biggest economy in the world. Japan, with a gross domestic product
(GDP) of about $4.4 trillion, is particularly vulnerable to the Global Financial Crisis (Tan, et. al, 2009).
         However, Japan‟s start faced a financial crisis when the Bank in Japan affected by the failure of
Lehman Brothers. This is because the Hokkaido Takushoku were marked by the bank of Japan‟s as
“quantitative easing” monetary after interest rates reached the zero bounds, in a similar to the Federal
Reserve‟s balance sheet expansion in 2008 and 2009 (Glick & Spiegel, 2010). This idea was supported by
Kawai & Tagaki (2009) and Shirakawa (2009) whereby the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September
2008 further depressed the conditions of stock market and aggravated the strains on Japanese commercial
banks.
         Overall, Japan has been hardly hit by the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009. The severe
collapse of industrial production that followed was no doubt attributable to a confluence of factors, including

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the stock price declines that eroded the capital base of commercial banks and thus limited their willingness
to lend as well as the lagged impact of the sharp rise in oil and other commodity prices in the summer of
2008. Japan was particularly vulnerable because of the structural changes that had taken place over the
past decade in its trade and industrial structures. As a result of these structural changes, Japanese output
became much more responsive to output shocks in the advanced markets of the US and Western Europe.
(Kawai & Takagi, 2009).


The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Japan’s
(i). Financial Institutions
According to Kono (2009), Japanese financial institutions have collectively lost around 3.2 trillion yen (over
30 billion dollars). The Japan‟s financial system itself is still in a less severe condition compared to US and
Europe. In terms of losses incurred and exposures to securitized products, the direct impact of the global
financial market turmoil has been relatively small. Kono (2009) also stated that, the real economy has now
fallen into negative growth and share prices have declined, strongly affecting the balance sheets and
profitability of Japanese financial institutions. While, according to Malik, et. al. (2009), Japan‟s banking
crisis in 1990 about $780 billion, losses stemming from the Asian crisis of 1997-1998 approx $420 billion
and the $380 billion savings and loan crisis of US itself in 1986-1995.
        The Japanese financial institutions have been significantly affected by the current Global Financial
Crisis. The impact has spread over to the area of retail banking through deteriorating the business
performance of small and medium sized firms and sluggish sales of mutual funds. From this particular
research by Yamaguchi (2009), the implication of the Global Financial Crisis for financial institutions is low
profitability of financial institutions. While the Japanese financial institutions‟ profits recovered significantly
after the middle of the 2000s, it was mainly attributable to the reversals in loans-loss provisions.
        Meanwhile, based on Yamaguchi (2009), Japan‟s low profit is resulted from the low interest
income. Looking at the interest rate margins on loans (i.e., the interest rate on lending minus the interest
rate on deposits), which is one component of interest income, for the past 20 years, the margin has been
five to six percent on average for U.S. banks, while it has remained at slightly below two percent for
Japanese financial institutions. The main reason behind such low interest rate margins of Japanese
financial institutions is attributable to the fact that many financial institutions have basically been
consistently in the interest rate competition as they compete with each other in the relatively homogenous
commercial banking business with an aim to obtain a long-term stable transaction relationship.

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         Of course it is not the case that Japanese financial institutions themselves have not been doing
anything to cope with such low profitability. Signs of expansion in the investment banking business,
including M&A business, have also been continuing in Japan. Small business loans were once actively
promoted. However, since credit costs increased significantly, many banks have recently been forced to
downsize or withdraw from the small business loan operations. As for household asset management, the
expansion of over-the counter sales of mutual funds and insurance has been pursued. Moreover, at the
major banks, the efforts to bring consumer credit companies, credit card companies, and consumer finance
companies under the banks‟ umbrella were temporarily intensified. However, the profits from those affiliated
companies have been sluggish, partly due to the changes in the environment they are in. After all, the fruits
of pursuing new businesses have not been sufficient so far, and, at present, the new businesses have not
contributed in a significant way to improving the profitability of financial institutions (Yamaguchi, 2009).
         The second implication by Yamaguchi (2009), is Japanese financial institutions‟ profits are subject
to the fluctuations in credit costs and stock prices. In particular, as operating profits from the core business
have been remaining low, a significant increase in credit costs and losses on stocks might immediately
bring periodical income into the red. In fact, the sum of credit costs and losses on stocks related to stocks
reached a level more than that of operating profits from the core business. While the level of credit costs
fairly declined, reflecting the completion of the disposal of impaired assets, it started to rise again in fiscal
2008 due to the economic downturn. In addition, the outstanding balance of financial institution‟s strategic
cross-shareholding was reduced almost by half during the disposal process of impaired assets in the early
2000s for the major banks, and remains almost unchanged since then. That suggest that the practice of
cross-shareholding between financial institutions and firms remains and at the same time, the current
outstanding amount of shareholding is still a factor in including large swings in financial institution profits.
         While, according to Malik, et. al (2009), the banking industry has badly been hit due to mortgage
backed by subprime mortgages fallen in value. Because of the bad debts, financial institutions were
reluctant to lend money and thus firm especially construction industry output faced contractions in credit
lines.
         On the other hand, based on Grimes (2009), during 2008, the Japanese economy was still in the
condition of long but tepid recovery that began in 2002. The important part is related to the non-performing
loans of the financial sector in its consolidation, recapitalization as well as the large-scale disposal. The
result of the non-performing loans has resulted bank credit and the financial markets to unfreeze and
resumed their basic function in of capital allocation in the private sector. With parts of the problems

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remained, somehow, the largest and most sophisticated of the financial institutions were not really
profitable or competitive if compared with their foreign counterparts. Meanwhile, facing the difficulties with
incorporate the new business models as well as to apply information technology does delayed the Tokyo‟s
development as an international financial market center too. But, fortunately, at the same time, due to the
Japanese financial institutions conservatism, it has kept them from the heavily exposure of toxic assets (like
subprime collateralized mortgage obligations) (Grimes, 2009).
        In addition, even though there is much-improved health shown from the Japanese financial
institutions, but the growth was remained in a weak condition although it was at the recovery height.
Meanwhile, the government spending (the GDP‟s growth component) remained in a large figure, though it
was declining, when the Japanese government was struggling to reduce its deficit in order to cope with its
massive current debt and the future liabilities. Not only that, from the consumer spending prospective, it has
shown a very weak growth since the real wages has fall in every year despite the improvement of business
profitability. Thus, the major engines for Japanese economic growth (as it recovered from the lost decade)
were from the growth of its net exports as well as the business investment growth – which resulted to
Japan directly or indirectly dependent on its exports. That was the reason why the Japan‟s economic
growth was highly dependent on the growth of the country‟s major exports markets (especially in the U.S
and China) (Grimes, 2009).
        Japanese financial institutions faced the current Global Financial Crisis without being able to
change substantially the existing management characteristics. As a result, the first-round effects of the
crisis, namely the losses stemming from investments in U.S. securitized products and originate-to-
distribute-type operations in the U.S. and European financial markets, has remained relatively limited
(Kono, 2009).
        The second-round effects brought about by the current financial crisis, namely, the losses
stemming from the economic downturn and the fall in stock prices have by no means been limited. Net
income of Japanese financial institutions in fiscal 2008 made an about-turn to mark net losses of about two
trillion yen from net profits of about two trillion yen in fiscal 2007, due mainly to the increase in credit costs
and losses related to stocks. In that regard, the aforementioned characteristics of Japanese financial
institution management seem to have rather worked in an adverse way to the deterioration in business
performance. In other words, the current crisis has highlighted the basic challenges inherent in Japanese
financial institution management (Kono, 2009).



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        While Japanese financial institutions‟ profits recovered significantly after the middle of the 2000s, it
was mainly attributable to the reversals in loan-loss provisions, thanks to the progress in the disposal of
impaired assets and economic recovery. For example, the sum of net income of Japanese financial
institutions for the past 20 years is in the red. While the sum includes significant losses stemming from the
disposal of impaired assets after the burst of the bubble, the net income of Japanese financial institutions
remains quite low even if those losses are excluded (Kono, 2009)..
        According to the analysis of the lending market in Japan, many financial institutions tend to enter
the regions that have a large lending market, thereby intensifying competition.


(ii). Financial System and Financial Banking
According to Sato (2009), When the Global Financial Crisis occurred; Japan was not immune from the
crisis where shown from its financial system which was severely affected due to the financial markets high
volatility. Not only that, Sato (2009) added that the sharp declining of the shares prices held by the banks
were the reason for the Japan‟s financial system badly affected as well. On the other hand, the banks‟
profitability in increasing its credit costs (although on a limited scale) was impacted by the real economy
deterioration.
        But nonetheless, Japan‟s financial system was remained sound if compared to those in U.S and
Europe. The statement is true as the fact stated that Japan‟s financial banking sector losses that have
occurred resulted from the complex securitized products have been limited; as of 2009 (end-June) where
the cumulative realized losses only about 25 billion US dollars (since April 2007) while the valuation losses
are about 5 billion dollars. Even though the amount was in billion US dollars, but those figures were one
digit smaller compared with the American and European financial sectors. Sato (2009) stated that the
Japan‟s financial sector towards the exposure was not clear with significantly smaller toxic assets (this
implies that there will be a limited future additional losses from these assets).
        The Global Financial Crisis has brought home an important point: the United States is still a major
center of the financial world. Regional financial crises (such as the Asian financial crisis, Japan‟s banking
crisis, or the Latin American debt crisis) can occur without seriously infecting the rest of the global financial
system. But when the U.S. financial system stumbles, it may bring major parts of the rest of the world down
with it. The reason is that the United States is the main guarantor of the international financial system, the
provider of dollars widely used as currency reserves and as an international medium of exchange, and a
contributor to much of the financial capital that sloshes around the world seeking higher yields. The rest of

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the world may not appreciate it, but a financial crisis in the United States often takes on a global hue
(Nicholas, 1999).


(iii). Exportation
Due to Okano (2010), Japan is focusing on the emerging countries as in line with its export oriented
industries. On top of that, Japan‟s manufacturing sector has been affected and suffered from the
decreasing of the exportation aspect. The decreasing of export caused by the Global Financial Crisis has
been supported by Kawai (2009) where he stated that the ongoing crisis has given a deep impact upon
both the region of Asia-Pacific, especially on the exports.
        Meanwhile, in the beginning of 2008, there is a significantly decrease of Japan‟s exportation to all
regions which in turn lead to a huge reduction in the manufacturing production. Although the huge decrease
in exports to both U.S and Europe make Japan‟s economy suffered, nonetheless, the magnitude impact on
the financial markets were unimportant compared with the time where Japan was strike by the post-bubble
era (Okano, 2010). Thus, from the impact of decreasing in export, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has
expected that the region aggregate growth will face a fall to 3.3% in 2009 from the remarkable growth in
2007 (9.8%). In addition, the ADB has suggested one ways to help the region to rebalance its growth - is by
moving away from its high dependence on the exports to more advanced economies (Kawai, 2009).
        Stated from Kawai (2009), due to the global financial crisis, most countries in the region are having
double-digit declining in their exports (Shown in Article 1.0). He added by stated that the biggest fall (over
40% year-on-year in December and January) were Taipei and China while large decline can be seen in
Japan, Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and Hong Kong. Not only that, there is a slowing
domestic demand in several countries which including Japan, Korea as well as Singapore. On top of that,
Japan is facing with year-on-year declines due to the fastest deterioration in the private capital investment
(Kawai, 2009).
                       Article 1.0: Selected impacts of the crisis on selected countries




                                                          Source: Collected by the author from various media

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        On the other hand, Kwan (1999) stated that the resulting slowdown of the foreign direct investment
has the effect of depressing the Asian economics not only on the demand side but also on the supply side.
In addition to foreign investment, Japanese bank lending to Asia also tends to decrease when the yen is
weak because of the need to meet the Bank for International Installment (BIS) capital adequacy
requirement. A depreciation of the yen against dollar, by reducing Japanese export prices in dollar terms,
makes Japanese exports less expensive relative to those of the Asian countries.
        While, based on Tellis, Marble, & Tanner (2009) and Glick &Spiegel (2010) the weakness of the
U.S. economy has significantly reduced external demand for Japanese manufactured goods, the crisis has
wiped out many of those meager gains.
        Over 90% of Japanese exports consist of highly income-elastic industrial supplies, capital goods,
and consumer durables. Hence a collapse of the US and European markets exerted a severe negative
influence on Japanese exports. In Japan, both the export of consumer durables to the advanced markets
(accounting for less than 15% of total exports) and the export of industrial supplies and capital goods to
emerging Asia (constituting over 40% of total exports) were adversely and severely affected by the financial
crisis. In particular, the export of industrial supplies and capital goods declined along with the softening of
investment demand throughout the world. (Kawai & Takagi, 2009).


(iv). Economy
According to Grimes (2009), the Global Financial Crisis has worsened the Japan‟s major challenges. Not
only that, the crisis has erupted Japan when it was in the midst of a long but tepid recovery from the
domestic economic stagnation (even longer period). Due to the weak U.S economy, the external demand
for Japanese manufactured goods has significantly reducing. On top of that, the Global Financial Crisis too
has wiped out many of those meager gains of Japan from the manufacturing goods (Grimes, 2009). In
addition, because of the crisis, it has demonstrated the limits not only upon the global financial architecture
but as well as the Japan‟s regional architecture which the country has been trying to establish.
        From both Japan‟s domestic and international point of view (which is the most important), Global
Financial Crisis has given a great impact upon the finance aspect (Grimes, 2009). In addition, the impact of
the current crisis has strike Japan after the collapse of its nation real estate and stock market bubble (in
early 1990s). But, nevertheless, the experience that Japan has faced in the early 1990s has helped
Japan‟s advantage in dealing with the current crisis, where banks as well as the financial institutions were
well-capitalized and not badly extended into the “toxic assets” when the crisis occur (Grimes, 2009). “Toxic

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assets” has been defined as an asset that becomes illiquid when its secondary market disappears
(http://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/toxic-assets.asp#axzz1rtVvoj8E). From the same source, the author
added that the toxic assets are often guaranteed to lose money which lead the assets cannot be sold.
        On top of that, the same experience from the previous 1990s crisis has shaped Japan government
policy‟s responses, which become exponentially more proactive within 1990s or early 2000s (Grimes,
2009). However, at the same moment, Tokyo‟s effort in dealing with the crisis has become significantly
complicated due to the Japan‟s won sustained period of the economic stagnation as well as the financial
challenge.
        According to the World Economic Outlook (IMF, 2009a) the forecast of economic contraction for
Japan in 2009 is -6.2% to surpass the projected constraction for the United Stated (US) it is 2.8%.
However, Japan surpassed by Singapore (-10.0%) and Taipei,China (-7.5%) in the severity of the real
impact of the Global FInancial Crisis (Kawai & Takagi, 2009).
        Moreover, the reluctance of Ministry of Finance (MOF) to move more rapidly in the 1990‟s to
impose a system of prudential regulation was probably because it did not understand fully the implications
of deregulation. After all, deregulation undermined the old convoy system, and made traditional MOF
modes of action now seem counterproductive. MOF persisted nonetheless in attempting to defend an
inefficient, uncompetitive, and outmoded system (Patric, 1998). In contrast to the negative implication for
Japan; the Global Financial Crisis may turn hurt the Japanese economics, putting downward pressure on
the Japanese yen. The crisis also occurred at a time when the Japanese economy is in deepest recession
since the end of the Second World War (Kwan, 1999).
        Nevertheless once U.S. and most of Europe declare into recession in early 2008 Japan economy
begin effected significantly. Japan harmfully affected by the negative term of trade shock in 2008 through a
sharp increase in energy and other commodity price. On the other hand faced the difficulties Japan‟s still
can maintain their positive growth in real GDP and private fixed investment. This happen because the
exports growth steady. Japanese faced are severe economic construction when the export falls in 12.5%
year by year. Parallel in the midst of the industrial production the construction harshly decline by 15.0%,
34.0% and 27.65 year by year in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first and second quarter of 2009,
respectively (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). While the value of the exports in billion yen. The value of the exports
for Japanese shown the value is decline thereafter whereby the export in January 2009 shown the exports
is ¥ 3,480 billion it less than 50% of the previous year ¥ 7,360 billion in September 2008 (Kawai & Takagi,
2009). With the spread of the US subprime mortgage crisis to the rest of the US financial system and other

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industrialized-country financial markets, a significant slowdown in economic growth has taken place in the
US, Europe, and Japan. The crisis has moved from the financial sector to the real economy (Malik, et. al.
2009).
         According to Malik, et. al. (2009) anxieties have strengthen over the Global Financial Crisis, which
began from the US subprime mortgage disaster with the help of the governments of major countries which
are coming up with measures such as provision of liquidity and bailout packages for distressed banks, the
fear that has gripped financial markets shows little signs of abating. Major stock exchanges are disorderly
while a series of indicators that determine investors‟ risk aversion are posting all-time highs. The recent
financial crisis has been rushed across the public-private boundary, which has hit the private firms and the
financial statements has forced the new heavy demands on the public sector's finances. The crisis has
surged across national borders within the developed world, and now there are some reasons which has
alarmed that the crisis will swamp other developing countries, affecting the significant economic progress of
recent years. (Lin, 2008). However, Severino (2008) have argued that the spillover effects of the US
subprime mortgage crisis on the Asian financial and real economic activity have been and will be relatively
limited, and that the growth prospects of Asian economies will remain robust.
         Moreover, Japanese stock prices reached a recent peak in the summer of 2007 and, with the
outbreak of the US subprime loan crisis, began a gradual but substantial decline through the fall of 2008.
The decline in stock prices placed a strain on the balance sheet and capital adequacy ratios of commercial
banks and, as a result, limited their willingness to lend by the summer of 2008. The Lehman Brothers shock
in September 2008 further depressed the stock market and aggravated the strains on Japanese
commercial banks. Bank of Japan data indicate that new loans for equipment funds declined by 9% (year-
on-year) in the third quarter of 2008, followed by a 10% decline in the fourth quarter. This, coupled with the
lagged impact of the negative terms of trade shock (arising from the sharp rise in oil and other commodity
prices until the summer of 2008), may to some extent explain the sluggishness of industrial activity in some
sectors starting from the summer of 2008. (Kawai & Takagi, 2009).


(v). Government Matters: Purchase of toxic assets and direct equity injections
Economists worry about the moral hazard implications of these actions by the government especially the
purchases of toxic assets or the direct equity injections. These actions signal a willingness of the
government to step in and provide liquidity and capital when large financial institutions find themselves in
trouble. In the 1990s, Japan could hope that demand from the rest of the world would help to mitigate its

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slump. Such hope is not available for the world as a whole. In fact, declines in export demand from the rest
of the world will likely be an important drag on GDP growth (Jones, 2008). The implication of this weak
balance sheet was a high risk financial crisis with mounting asymmetric information problems if
macroeconomic environmental turned difficult. That there was drying up the supply as well as a collapse in
the demands for loans (Nicholas, 1999).


Reasons Why Japan Could Be Affected By The Global Financial Crisis
According to Ulrike (1996), Japan is one of the countries that are most productive and advance economy in
Asia because it is the country that is famous with the quality and productivity of its manufacturing sector.
For the first Global FInancial Crisis that have occurred, Japan still can defeat it. But, unfortunelty, the crisis
continued in 2008 due to the decreasing of U.S. mortgage and resulted in the bottomed out of Japanese
bank‟s capital and profitability. There have are several reason Japan faced this problem primarily Japan‟s
delaying in recognizing the severity of the impact of massive nonperforming assets on the economy.
Whereby Japan‟s start recognize this problem few years after the burst of the bubble decline in real estate
price affect the financial institutions. Besides that, Japanese have are imperfection in accounting and
disclosure standards. This imperfection affects the lag in showing the incurred losses of financial
institutions on the accounting and disclosure front. More to the point, the delaying for recognizing the
declining in real estate and the imperfection in accounting and disclosure standard the authorities could not
resolve the problem in financial institution in a timely manner.
        This current Global Financial Crisis has highlighted the five areas of major structural problems and
policy weakness that have lead Japan be affected by the Global Financial Crisis. First of all are the weak
and unclear disclosure rules that have been allowed on the banks, large as well as small alike, to hide or
disguise losses and shady deals. Second is the regulators adopted a wait in see attitude in the hope that
the market would recover and bad loans would heal themselves. When the market did not recover by 1994,
it became clear that this had been a policy mistake. Third is, there was a problem of out of synch
deregulation. In 1979, MOF initiated interest rate deregulation very slowly and carefully, in an attempt not to
undermine the banking hierarchy. Next, related to this is the heavy reliance on administrative guidance in
banking regulation. In the period of rapid growth, when all interest rates were regulated, the financial
authorities had to rely on administrative guidance because the price mechanism did not work. The lastly is
a result of all of the above, there is little policy transparency, and solutions to problems tend to be collusive
based on the quid pro quo logic of administrative guidance (Ulrike, 1996).

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Reasons Why Japan’s Financial System Less Exposed to the Market Turmoil
Based on Sato (2009), he has listed three reasons on why the Japan‟s financial system was less exposed
to the market turmoil as well as less severely affected when the Global Financial Crisis occurs. First of all,
Japan‟s financial firms were not severely influenced because they were not strongly innovation-oriented.
While, the next reason is that the financial firms have given priority in improving their financial soundness
rather than to enhance the profitability (in the last several years) due to the historical coincidence. Japan‟s
financial firms were at its final stage in resolving their non-performing loan problems when the “originate-to-
distribute” business model became widespread. Meanwhile, the final reason is related with the improving of
risk management by the financial firms in the same period when the firms improve on their financial
soundness.
           Thus, the financial firms of Japan became more cautious than it was before in the matter of the
financial products investment with the uncertainty on their underlying assets or associated risks. Not only
that, the practices also contributed by the Basel II framework (early implementation) in Japan (Sato, 2009).


Different View on the Crisis Impact on Japan
According to Sato (2009), there are different views as to how the effects of the current financial stress in
Japan compare with the country‟s last crisis in the 1990s. Some argue that the magnitude of the last crisis
was larger, as many financial firms failed and the economy remained sluggish over an extended period.
However, others say that the current crisis is more severe as Japan‟s GDP and share prices have declined
sharply.
     Repercussion of the financial crisis of the late 1990s, Global FInancial Crisis start improved therefore
many country merge with market economies in Asia and other place to strengthen their economic and
financial fundamentals. These improved of Global FInancial Crisis bolstered by fiscal and foreign debt
positions, accumulated foreign exchange reserves, and reformed their banking sectors. When the second
Global FInancial Crisis happen in summer of 2007 Asian is are best place to avoid from the crisis. This is
because most financial institutions in Asia do not expose with troubled market. In addition, most financial
institution in the region were not heavily exposed to distressed market for structured credit products and
other asset-backed securities Glick & Spiegel, (2010).




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How Japan Recovers
The Global Financial Crisis in Japan recover by recover the cost that such a strategy entails the smaller
banks also had to extend loans with higher risk. All of this happened while the stock price and real estate
market "bubble" was well under way. MOF requested the large city banks to provide Hyogo with very low
interest rate loans. Nevertheless, after the Kobe earthquake of January 1995, the bank was too short of
funds to compete with the larger banks for reconstruction loans. Worse, the local governments withdrew a
major portion of their deposits to fund reconstruction projects. On August 31, Hyogo Bank was restructured
and it remained in business, but all operations were transferred to a new bank called Midori Bank on
January 26, 1996. No change occurred for the customers in daily banking matters, and a run on deposits
was averted (Ulrike, 1996).
        During Japan recover, the first was the mistaken belief in the early-mid 1990‟s that the economy
would rebound quickly from what was perceived to be little more than a cyclical downturn, and again the
mistaken belief in late 1996 that recovery was so firmly entrenched that the fiscal priority could immediately
return to budget deficit reduction. Second, as a consequence, MOF initially decided and the banks readily
agreed to simply wait out the bad loan problems until economic growth was restored. It was not until 1995
that banks seriously started disclosing and writing off bad loans. Third, the economy continued to grow only
very slowly, averaging about 1% annually since 1991 have more ordinary loans became doubtful, and more
doubtful loans became bad. Businesses could not generate cash flows for interest payments much less
loan repayments (Patric, 1998).
        The recovery in Japanese export since 1996 on the back of the yen‟s depreciation has contrasted
sharply with the slowdown in Asian export. On the positive side, a weaker yen reduces import prices in
Asian countries as they are heavily dependent on Japan as a source of capital and intermediate goods.
Finally, a depreciation of the yen reduces the burden of debt repayment for Asian countries (Kwan, 1999).
        The time to recovery in Japan Global Financial Crisis also related to trend in GDP. Contemporaries
realized that economic recovery needed not only policies to rise spending, which in large economy could be
provided by domestic demand. The banking crisis in Japanese policy for recovery has lacked key
components. The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis plainly entails a substantial increase in
aggregate demand, for which devaluation may be helpful and which macroeconomic policy must address
(Nicholas, 1999).




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                                            DISCUSSION AND FINDING
Japan is a well-known country where is located as one of the Asia countries. According to the U.S
Department of State (2012), Japan‟s is slightly smaller than California (as shown in the picture 1) where its
population currently stated fewer than 127 million. Even though Japan has experienced with the much
phenomenal growth rate in the 20th century, nonetheless, the country‟s birth rates have fallen steadily since
1970s and resulted in population growth rate of -1.0% in 2005. On the other hand, Japan is acknowledge
with its highly efficient and competitive economy within the international trade areas although it‟s
productivity is far lower in several protected areas. On top of that, Japan‟s has turn into a mature industrial
economy due to its country‟s reservoir of industrial leadership and technicians as well as numbers of other
aspects. Not only that, Japan do owned the natural resources which can be used to trade in order to earn
the foreign exchange (U.S Department of State, 2012). Meanwhile, due to another author, Japan has
shifted its position from Asia into the East Asia in the last decade resulted from its economy oriented
towards the East Asia (Grimes, 2009). He added by stating that Japan‟s is tie up with the East Asia‟s
regional production networks on their country‟s manufacturing (well known on its quality and productivity).
Overall, Japan is still the most productive and advanced economy in Asia even though its sheer size has
been taken by China. Grimes (2009) added that, Japan‟s manufacturing share remains highly competitive
within the world markets although there is total decline in its production among the developed economies.
        About the history of the Global Financial Crisis, there are different views and reasons stated by
numbers of authors. Based on Ito (2009), there are three stages of the crisis which are the beginning
(February 8, 2007) [Announcement from HSBC Holdings on the charge for bad debts which is more 20%
than expected], the second stage (August 9, 2007) [Announcement from BNP Paribas‟ subsidiaries on the
asset liquidation suspension] and the final stage (September 15, 2008) [Bankruptcy of the Lehman
Brothers‟]. On the other hand, according to Malik, et. al. (2009), the reason for the crisis to occur was is due
to the downfall of U.S subprime mortgage industry. This statement is supported by Kawai (2009) as he
agreed that the subprime crisis is the worst crisis that has happened since the Great Depression (1930s).
Not only that, due to another author, he stated that the subprime problems have a direct impact on Asian
countries financial institutions (Okano, 2010). While, based on Patric (1998), the banking crisis has resulted
when deregulation happened without any creation of the effective system upon prudential regulation and
supervision for the safety of the system. Meanwhile, Ngowi (2009) stated that the current Global Financial
and Economic Crisis (GFEC) have officially started in September 2008 in U.S of America (USA)
{inadequate liquidity from financial markets credit crunch]. On the other hand, another reasons stated for

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the Global Financial Crisis is the bursting of the housing bubble, equity risk premium‟s sharp rise as well as
the risk of the household risk due to the reappraisal of firms risk (Mckibbin & Stoeckel, 2009). Above all,
U.S is the epicenter of the crisis to occur as it is the largest and central economy of the world.
        During the Global Financial Crisis, Japan has already faced with a prolonged recessionary
economic conditions by the bubble bursting in 1990s (21 st century) and the crisis has known as the Japan‟s
lost decade (Japan‟s Great Recession 2) (Nanto, 2009). That is why when the housing bubble burst out,
Japan have less shock compared with U.S as Japan has faced it a decade earlier. During the 1990s crisis,
Japan experienced with both the prolonged stagnation as well as the banking crisis. Upon the Global
Financial Crisis, Japan durable manufacturing expected to be hit by the risk appraisal which will lead to the
collapsed of their durable exports (Mckibbin & Stoeckel, 2009). However, when the Lehman Brother‟s went
bankrupt, Japan‟s bank started to face with the financial crisis. Not only that, because of the Global
Financial Crisis, Japan has been hardly hit and resulted in their industrial production to collapse including
declining in their stock price (does Japan has limited their lending willingness).
        Due to the crisis, it has impacted Japan in several aspects such as the International Financial
Institutions (IFI), financial system and financial banking, exportation, economy as well as in Japan‟s
government matter. First of all, Japan‟s IFI has been said lost around 3.2 trillion yen (over 30 billion dollars)
but Japan is still in a less severe condition if compared to both U.S and Europe (Kono, 2009). The same
author added that the direct impact of the crisis on Japan is relatively small but still the real economy of
Japan has fallen into negative growth and its share prices have declined. Meanwhile, according to
Yamaguchi (2009), the crisis impact has spread over on Japan‟s retail banking and resulted in the business
performance to deteriorate and sluggish sales of the mutual funds. Not only that, the author too has said
Japan‟s financial institutions have been affected and only gain the low profitability. The profits of Japan‟s
financial institutions are subject to the fluctuations of the credit costs and stock prices (Yamaguchi, 2009).
While, based on Malik, et. al (2009), due to the subprime mortgage, the crisis has drives Japan‟s financial
institutions reluctant in lending their money afraid of the bad debts. This non-performing loan has been
supported by Grimes (2009) as he stated that the bank credits and financial markets in Japan have to
unfreeze and resumed their basic function (to allocate capital in the private sector). On top of that, Japan‟s
financial institutions have faced with the losses stemming from U.S investments, economic downturn as
well as the fall of the stock prices (Kono, 2009).




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        Meanwhile from the Japan‟s financial system and financial banking aspect, it have severely
affected due to the highly volatility of financial markets (Sato, 2009). Not only that, Sato (2009) added that
the system was badly affected because of the sharp decline in the shares prices. Thus, the Japan‟s banks‟
profitability in increasing its credit costs was impacted by the deterioration of the real economy. But above
all, Japan‟s financial system was remained sound compared to U.S and Europe where the Japan‟s financial
banking sector losses have been limited.
        Next is the crisis implication on Japan‟s exportation. Based on Okano (2010), as Japan is focusing
on the export oriented industries, the country‟s manufacturing sector has been affected and suffered from
the decrease of exportation aspect. Okano (2010) added that Japan‟s manufacturing production has a huge
reduction due to the significantly decrease of Japan‟s exportation to all regions. This is supported by Kawai
(2009) where most countries having a double-digit declining in their exports with Japan shown a large
decline. In addition, there is a slowing domestic demand in Japan as well. Another authors supported
Kawai‟s statement where the external demand of Japan‟s manufactured goods has been reduced because
of the U.S economy weakness (Tellis, et. al, 2009). Meanwhile, according to Kawai & Takagi (2009), the
collapsed of U.S and European markets have gave a severe negative impact on Japan‟s exports.
        The Global Financial Crisis has strike Japan when the country was in the midst of a long but tepid
recovery from the domestic economic stagnation. Not only that, resulted from the crisis, it has limits on the
global financial architecture including the Japan‟s regional architecture when the country just trying to
establish. Nevertheless, Japan‟s experience of previous crisis has helped the country in dealing with the
current crisis where both bank and financial institutions were well-capitalized and not badly extended into
the “toxic assets” (Grimes, 2009). Japan‟s economy begin to be affected when U.S and most Europe
declare into recession (2008), but nonetheless, Japan still can maintain its positive growth in both real GDP
as well as the private fixed investment (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). Meanwhile, Malik, et. al. (2009) stated
Japan having a slowdown in its economic growth when U.S subprime mortgage crisis has been spread to
the U.S financial system and where the has moved from the financial sector to the real economy Moreover,
with the outbreak of U.S subprime loan crisis, Japanese stock prices has reached a recent peak in 2007
and fall in 2008.
        Last but not lest is the impact of the crisis upon Japan‟s government. Japan‟s government has
stepped in when the financial institutions were in trouble and provide liquidity and capital needs (chasing
away the purchase of toxic assets or the direct equity injections) (Nicholas, 1999).



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        There are several reasons on why Japan could be affected by the current crisis which consisting of
delaying in recognizing the severity of the nonperforming assets massive impact towards the economy, as
well as Japan‟s imperfection in its accounting and disclosure standards (Ulrike, 1996). Not only the two
reasons have been stated by the author, indeed, he has added on five areas of major structural problems
and policy weakness of Japan that lead the country to be affected. First is the weak and unclear disclosure
rules allowed on banks (to hide or distinguish losses and shady deals), the wait and see attitude that have
adopted by regulators (hoping the market would recover and bad loans would heal themselves), next is the
synch deregulation (the slow and carefully interest rate deregulation initiated by MOF), heavy reliance on
administrative guidance in banking regulation (as the price mechanism did not work) and lastly is the
Japan‟s little policy transparency (related with the problems solutions) (Ulrike, 1996).
        On the other hand, there too are reasons on why Japan‟s financial system is less exposed to the
market turmoil. Sato (2009) has listed three reasons which are Japan‟s financial firms were not strongly
innovation-oriented, the firms have given priority to improve their financial soundness rather than enhancing
the profitability as well as because of risk management improvement by the firms. Sato (2009) added by
stating that there are different views on how the current financial stress has impacted Japan if compared to
the country‟s last crisis (1990s).
        Lastly is the finding on how Japan has recovers from the current crisis. According to Ulrike (1996),
Japan has recovered on the cost of the strategy where the smaller banks too needed extending their loans
with a higher risk. Meanwhile, based on Patric (1998), during the recovery period, there are three
consequences that Japan needed to cope with. Firstly was the mistaken belief on the economy would
rebound quickly in early-mid 1990‟s as well as in 1996 where the second mistaken belief on the recovery
was so firmly entrenched that the fiscal priority could return to budget deficit reduction immediately.
Second, Japan‟s MOF has decided (with banks agreement) to simply wait out the bad loan problems until
the economic growth was restored. Thirdly is where Japan‟s economy continued to grow only very slow. On
top of that, due to another author (Kwan, 1999), Japanese recovery on the yen‟s depreciation has
contrasted sharply with Asian export slowdown (weaker yen reduce import prices as well as reducing the
burden of Japan‟s debt repayment to Asian countries). In addition, Nicholas (1999) stated that Japan‟s
recovery also related to the GDP‟s trend where aggregate demand entails a substantial increase
(devaluation may be helpful and which macroeconomic policy must address).




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                                              CONCLUSION
As a conclusion, the Global Financial Crisis that has occur in 2008 have not only affected Japan but also
almost every countries in the world. There are several causes that lead the crisis to strike at the moment
which are including the downfall of U.S sub-prime mortgage industry, housing bubble bursting as well as
the sharp rise in the equity risk premium. Due to the crisis, Japan has faced implications on numbers of
aspects namely are the international financial institutions, financial system and banking, economy,
exportation as well as on its government. Reasons why Japan could be affected by the current crisis are
the weak and unclear disclosure rules on banks, matters related to the regulators adopted, problem of
synch deregulation, heavy reliance on administrative guidance in banking regulation and policy
transparency. Even though Japan does affected by the Global Financial Crisis, but nonetheless, Japan‟s
financial system was less exposed to the market turmoil. Although have been affected by the crisis, Japan
was able to recover from the impact.
        Throughout this assignment, our group members have faced with some limitations which related to
the sources, timing and understanding of the information. Journals that we were looking for (that really
suitable and can help us to complete this assignment) are hardly to find as some of it were not containing
the information that we seek for. Not only that, we were having limitation in the timing aspect as we were
doing this assignment during the mid-semester break where the holiday mood is in the air and caused we
keep on delaying to complete our part. Last but not lest is our understanding on the journals that we have
gone through. We were having trouble to understand some of the authors ideas due to their complicated
statement structure as well as some high standard of English word.
        Hereby, we would like to recommend to those who will do any research or to find out the impact of
Global Financial Crisis upon Japan or any other countries regarding with the current crisis, first please get
to know the basic about the particular country and followed by the understanding of the crisis history. In
addition, the most important matter is regarding the understanding of whatever the information that we go
through as it is pointless if we do a summary or citation on the author‟s ideas without knowing the real
meaning behind the ideas nor knowledge. On the other hand, in order to know whether the journals or any
articles are related to our project topic, key words of our topic can be used to check throughout the
information (Example: Global Financial Crisis).




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                                              REFFERENCES


Aslund, A., Guriev, S., & Kuchins, A. C. (2010). “Russia After the Global Economic Crisis”. Peterson
         Institute for International Economics, pp. 288.


Banyte, J., & Rasyte. V. (2009). “Global Financial Crisis Reasons, Effects and Solution”. Globalization: Quo
        Vadis?, pp.20-30


“Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs”., at: http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/4142.htm, Accessed on 7th
        April, 2012, re-visited on 8th April, 2012, U.S Department of State Diplomacy in Action


Chossudovsky, M. (1998). “A Marshall Plan for Creditors and Speculators: The G7 “Solution” To The
         Global Financial Crisis”.


Fujii, M., & Kawai, M. (2010). “Lessons from Japan‟s Banking Crisis 1991–2005”. 222(23)


Gaddy, G. C., & Ickes, W. B. (2010). “Russia After The Global Financial Crisis”. Eurasian Geography and
         Economics, (3), pp. 281-311.


Glick, R., & Spiegel, M. M. (2010). “Asia and the Global FInancial Crisis:Conference Summary”. Federal
        Reserve Bank of San Francisco’s Economic Letter .


Gurvich, E., Lebedinskaya, E., Simachev, Y. & Yakovlev, A. (2010). “Managing the Crisis. A Comparative
         Assessment of Economic Governance in 14 Economies”. Russia Country Report


Hakone. (2010). “Response to the Global Financial Crisis and Future Policy Challenges”. Harvard Law
        School and the International House of Japan


Holroyd, C., & Momani, B. (2010). “Japan‟s rescue of the IMF”, pp.1-33.




Major Assignment                                                                                   Page 28
Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan

Ito, T. (2009). “The Impacts of Global Financial Crisis on Japanese Financial Market: Analysis of Interest
        Rate Swap Spreads”, pp.1-19.


James, W., D. Park, S. Jha, J. Jongwanich, A. Terada-Hagiwara, and L. Sumulong. 2008. The US Financial
        Crisis, Global Turmoil, and Developing Asia: Is the Era of High Growth at an End? ADB Economics
        Working Paper Series No.139.


Jones, C. I. (2008). “The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-20??”. AQ supplement to macroeconomics , pp.1-
        45.


Kawai, M., & Takagi, S. (2009). “Why was Japan hit so hard by the Global Financial Crisis?”. ADBI Working
        Paper Series , 153, pp.1-19.


Konno, Y. (2009). “Comparing Russia‟s financial Crises of 2008–2009 with 1998: From Balance Sheets of
        the CBR, Banking Sector, and Enterprises.”. American Association for the Advancement of Slavic
        Studies


Kono. M. (2009). “The Global Financial Crisis and Regulatory Response”. Challenges for the future of
        financial services liberalization, pp.7-30


Kwan, C. H. (1999). “The yen, the yuan, and the asian currency crisis-changing fortune between Japan and
        China”. Nomura research institute, pp.37-54


Lin, Y. (2008). “The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Developing Countries”. Retrieved on Feb 12, 2009,
        from crisistalk.worldbank.org/files/Oct_31_JustinLin_KDI_remarks.pdf


Malik, N. I., Ullah, S., Azam, K., & Khan, A. (2009). “The Impact of Recent Global Financial Crisis on the
        Financial Institution in the Developing Countries”. Global Perspectives International Review of
        Business Research Papers, 5, pp.85-95



Major Assignment                                                                                 Page 29
Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan

Mankoff, J. (2010). “The Russian Economic Crisis”. Council Special Report, (53), pp.4-9


“Ministry for Economic Development (Macroeconomic Forecast)”. Ministry of Finance Reports, Retrieved
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Mishkin, F. S. (2006). “The next great globalization. How disadvantaged nations can harness their financial
        systems to get rich”. Princeton: Princeton University Press


Nanto, D., K. (2009). “The Global Financial Crisis: Lessons from Japan‟s Lost Decade of the 1990s”.
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Ngowi, H., P. (2009). “The Current Global Financial and Economic Crisis and its Impact on Africa”. The
        World Economic Crisis: Challenges to the African Public Administration System


Nicholas. (1999). “Implication of financial crisis for East Asian trend growth”. London School of Economics,
        pp.110-131


Patric, H. (1998). “The causes of Japan's financial crisis”. Center of Japanese Economy and Business,
        pp.1-22.


Rutland, P. (2008). “The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Russia”. Russian Analytical Digest,pp..3-8


Russian Government‟s Anti-Crisis Programme (2009). Government Anti-Crisis Program. Retrieved from at:
        http://premier.gov.ru/eng/anticrisis/1.html on 8th March 2012


Sato, D. T. (2009). “Global FInancial Crisis – Japan‟s experience and policy response”. Asia Economic
        Policy Conference Organized by The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Santa Barbara, CA,
        United States




Major Assignment                                                                                   Page 30
Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan

“SESRIC Reports On the Global Financial Crisis. The Eurozone Debt Crisis: A Second Wave of the Global
        Crisis?”. (2011). Statistical Economic and Social Research and Training Centre for Islamic
        Countries (SESRIC), pp.10-15


Severino, R. C. (2008). “Global Financial Crisis Implications for ASEAN”. ASEAN Studies Centre, 49


Shirakawa, M. (2009). “Coping with Financial Crisis – Japan‟s Experiences and Current Global FInancial
        Crisis”. Bank of International Settlements


Stiglitz, J. (2008). “Let‟s throw away the rule book; Bretton Woods II must establish economic doctrines that
        work in emerging economies as well as in capitalism‟s heartland”. The Guardian, October 22,
        2008. The Daily News, Friday November 28th, 2008.


Stiglitz, J. (2008b). “A crisis of confidence”, The Guardian, October 22, 2008. The Daily News, Friday
        November 28th, 2008.


Sutela, P. (2010). “Russia‟s Response to the Global Financial Crisis”. Carnegie Endowment For
        International Peace, pp.3-5


Tang, H, L. Lin, L, H. Chen, H, H. Su. C, H. Hsiao S, T. ( 2009). “Does Japanese Government Increase Its
        Role in Financial Crisis?”, pp.1-18


Tellis, A. J., Marble, A., & Tanner, T. (2009). "Economic Meltdown and Geopolitical Stability". The National
        Bureau of Asian Research


Ulrike, S. (1996). “The 1995 financial crisis in Japan”. Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy,
        UC Berkeley, pp.1-38.


U.S Department of State Diplomacy in Action, “Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs” at:
        http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/4142.htm, Accessed on 7th April, 2012, re-visited on


Major Assignment                                                                                    Page 31
Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan

        8th April, 2012


Warwick, J. M. & Stoeckel, A. (2009). “The Global Financial Crisis: Causes and Consequences”. Working
        Papers in International Economics


Winkler, A. (1995). “Russia‟s Changing Financial System”. The Monetary Situation in Early Summer 1995.
        IPC Working Paper, (6), pp. 1- 17


Yamaguchi, H. (2009). “Challenges for Japanese Financial Institutions after the Financial Crisis”. Paper
        presented at the Retail Finance Strategy Conference (Tokyo, 2009). pp.4-5.




Major Assignment                                                                               Page 32

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Maria Sharapova - CI - Current Global Financial Crisis & Its implication on International Financail Institution : The case In Japan

  • 1. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan TABLE OF CONTENT ITEMS PAGE ABSTRACT 2 INTRODUCTION & SCOPE OF THE STUDY 3-4 OBJECTIVES 4 LITERATURE REVIEW: 4-7  The History of Global Financial Crisis 8-12  The Global Financial Crisis in Japan  The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Japan‟s: 12-15 (i). Financial Institutions 15-16 (ii). Financial System and Financial Banking (iii). Exportation 16-17 (iv). Economy 17-19 (v). Government Matters: Purchase of toxic assets and direct equity injections 19-20  Reasons Why Japan Could Be Affected By The Global Financial Crisis 20  Reasons Why Japan‟s Financial System Less Exposed to the Market Turmoil 21  Different View on The Crisis Impact On Japan 21  How Japan Recovers 22 DISCUSSION AND FINDING 23-26 CONCLUSION 27 REFERENCES 28-32 Major Assignment Page 1
  • 2. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan ABSTRACT Throughout this assignment, there will be parts that reveal on the current Global Financial Crisis that have occurred and how the crisis has impacted on Japan‟s country‟s especially its International Financial Institutions (IFI). Global Financial Crisis that has occur in 2008 have not only affected Japan but also almost every countries in the world. In this assignment, there are several causes that lead the crisis to strike Japan at the moment which are including the downfall of U.S sub-prime mortgage industry, housing bubble bursting as well as the sharp rise in the equity risk premium. Due to the crisis, Japan has faced implications on numbers of aspects namely are the international financial institutions, financial system and banking, economy, exportation as well as on its government. On the other hand, reasons on why Japan could be affected by the current crisis are consisting of the weak and unclear disclosure rules on banks, matters related to the regulators adopted, problem of synch deregulation, heavy reliance on administrative guidance in banking regulation and policy transparency. Even though Japan does affected by the Global Financial Crisis, but nonetheless, Japan‟s financial system was less exposed to the market turmoil. Moreover, although have been affected by the current crisis, Japan was able to recover from the great effect. The objectives of the study in preparing this project topic consisting of three which are to acknowledge on the current Global Financial Crisis that have occurred, to identify the implications of current Global Financial Crisis upon Japan and to highlight the impact of current Global Financial Crisis towards Japan‟s International Financial Institutions (IFI). At the end of completing this assignment, our three main study‟s objectives have been achieved where we have reveal on the Global Financial Crisis background, the impact on Japan as well as how the crisis has affect Japan‟s International Financial Institutions. In order to complete this assignment, the methodologies that we have used to search for information namely are articles, journals, website information as well as the conference knowledge. Hereby, we would like to recommend to those who will do any research or to find out the impact of Global Financial Crisis upon Japan or any other countries regarding with the current crisis, first please get to know the basic about the particular country and followed by the understanding of the crisis history. In addition, the most important matter is regarding the understanding of whatever the information that we through as it is pointless if we do a summary or citation on the author‟s ideas without knowing the real meaning behind the ideas nor knowledge. On the other hand, in order to know whether the journals or any articles are related to our project topic, key words of our topic can be used to check throughout the information (Example: Global Financial Crisis). Major Assignment Page 2
  • 3. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE OF THE STUDY A Brief Introduction on Japan Japan is a country of islands which extends along the eastern or Pacific coast of Asia. In total land area, Japan is slightly smaller than California (Picture 1.0). About 73% of the country is mountainous (the highest mountain is the world-famous Mt. Fuji at 12,388 feet), with a chain running through each of the main islands. Japan's population, currently just fewer than 127 million, experienced a phenomenal growth rate for much of the 20th century as a result of scientific, industrial, and sociological changes, but birth rates have fallen steadily since the 1970s. But nonetheless, in 2005, Japan's population has declined for the first time (2 years earlier than predicted) and stated with the population growth rate of -1.0% in 2010 (U.S Department of State, 2012). Picture 1.0: Japan‟s Map Source: US Department of State However, the high sanitary and health standards in Japan have produced life expectancy that exceeds the United States (U.S). Japan's industrialized, free-market economy is the third-largest in the world where its economy is highly efficient and competitive in areas linked to international trade, but unfortunately, Japan‟s productivity is far lower in several protected areas such as agriculture, distribution, and services. Japan's reservoir of industrial leadership and technicians, well-educated and industrious work force, high savings and investment rates, the intensive promotion of industrial development as well as the foreign trade has lead Japan into a mature industrial economy. Japan has few natural resources which by trading has helps Japan to earn the foreign exchange that needed in order to purchase the raw materials for its economy (U.S Department of State, 2012). Major Assignment Page 3
  • 4. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Meanwhile, according to Grimes (2009), Japan‟s position in Asia and the world has shifted considerably over the last decade with Japanese economy increasingly become oriented upon the East Asia. Grimes (2009) added by stating that Japan‟s manufacturing is tie up with the East Asia‟s regional production networks. This is the reason why Tokyo has sought by taking the leadership position in the regional initiatives, including U.S, the one that exclude its security patron. In addition, Japan still has the most productive and advanced economy in Asia even though it has been overtaken by China in terms of the sheer size (at least on a price-adjusted basis). Not only that, Japan is well known for its manufacturing sector‟s quality and productivity which lead Japan increasingly become a knowledge-based as well as the post-industrial economy. Moreover, parts of the manufacturing sector of Japan is still remain highly competitive in the world markets, although the Japan‟s manufacturing share of the total production is continue to decline in all the developed economies (Grimes, 2009). Japan‟s largest part of its employment and economic activity falls in the services, a residual category which consisting of everything from the restaurant and entertainment to the legal services as well as finance (Grimes, 2009), OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY (I). To acknowledge on the current Global Financial Crisis that have occurred (ii). To identify the implications of current global financial crisis upon Japan (iii). To highlight the impact of current Global Financial Crisis towards Japan‟s International Financial Institutions (IFI) LITERATURE RIVIEW The History of Global Financial Crisis According to Ito (2009), he has stated three stages of the Global Financial Crisis that have strike the world. The beginning of the Global Financial Crisis is on February 8, 2007. This crisis began when the HSBC Holdings makes the announcement on its charge for bad debts would be more than $10.5 billion in 2006 has came into surprise where the amount was 20% more than the financial analysts‟ expectation. The suspicion that subprime loan might be a big problem was disseminated in the financial market on the day of the announcement (February 7, 2007). Meanwhile, the next stage of the Global Financial Crisis is on August 9, 2007 when the subsidiaries of BNP Paribas announced the liquidation suspension of the asset because the fair values of Asset-backed Securities‟ (ABS) assets having difficulty to get under the market Major Assignment Page 4
  • 5. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan pressure. While, the final stage of the crisis (September 15, 2008) is when Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. Lehman Brother‟s failure was primarily due to the large losses they sustained on the US subprime on mortgage markets but mortgage delinquencies rose after the US housing price bubble burst in 2006-2007. In the second fiscal quarter 2008, Lehman reported losses of $2.8 billion and It was forced to sell off $6 billion in its assets (New York Times, 2009). Meanwhile, based on Malik, Ullah, Azam & Khan (2009), he stated that the cause of the current crisis has started due to the downfall of US sub-prime mortgage industry, the intensity of this collapse was significant; “Mark-to-market losses on mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt obligations, and related assets through March 2008 were approximate $945 billion.” He further stated that the crisis is “The largest financial loss in history”, as compared to Japan‟s banking crisis in 1990 where Japan only loss about $780 billion. Malik, et. al. (2009) statement has been supported by Kawai (2009) where he stated that the sub- prime crisis is the worst that have occurred since the Great Depression in 1930s, where the crisis has evolved and turn into a full-blown global financial as well as economic crisis. In addition, he added that the crisis is totally different from any other financial crisis in its breadth, magnitude and its origin (after the observation). Not only that, Kawai (2009) stated that the sub-prime crisis is global where it affected almost all the countries in the world with a devastating impact. Kawai‟s statement has been supported by Okano (2010) where Okano said that it has proven that the subprime problems direct impact on Financial Institutions in Asian countries (including Japan) but is incomparably small if compared with the Western countries. But nonetheless, when the US have problem with the subprime loan in the summer 2007, it only has affected Japan financial slightly while the Japan‟s banking sector do not hardly affected directly. Therefore it has resulted in; the willingness of Japanese to lend was limited because of the declining in the stock price which has placed a strain on the balance sheet and capital adequacy ratio towards the commercial banks in summer 2008. Meanwhile, due to Patric (1998), the first cause of the banking crisis resulted when deregulation took place without the creation of an effective system of prudential regulation and supervision to replace the postwar system of regulated interest rates, convoys, and constrained competition which provided safety to the system. Banks had to adjust to the challenges as well as opportunities of an increasingly risky environment, yet their capital bases were small. The low interest rate policy has generated an excessively Major Assignment Page 5
  • 6. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan weak yen. As the yen appreciated, the cumulative losses were huge, almost on the same order of magnitude as the financial system‟s domestic bad loan losses. On the other hand, according to Ngowi (2009), the current global financial and economic crisis (GFEC) started officially in United States of America (USA) in September 2008 or so. As a financial crisis, it is generally manifested in the form of inadequate liquidity as a result of credit crunch in the financial markets. As a result of the crisis, a recession is looming across the globe in form of a general, rapid and high decline in economic activities of production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. This form of economic turmoil was last experienced at global level during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Again, Ngowi (2009) added that the crisis is increasingly resulting into inter alia, uncertain and hard social and economic times for countries across the globe. Whereas the developed countries started to suffer from the first round and direct effects of the crisis (developing countries are suffering more from the second and indirect effects of the crisis). The possibility of third-round effect in the collapse of the financial sector is foreseen the crisis will continue for a long time. While, based on McKibbin & Stoeckel (2009), they stated the three main reasons that lead to Global Financial Crisis which consist of the housing bubble bursting (causing a reallocation of capital and a loss of household wealth and drop in consumption), the sharp rise in the equity risk premium (the risk premium of equities over bonds) (causing the cost of capital to rise, private investment to fall as well as the demand for durable goods also collapse) and a rise of household risk. For the bursting of the housing bubble is all about the falling house prices has a major effect on household wealth, spending and defaults on loans held by the financial institutions. From 2000-2006 the housing price in some areas doubled to subsequently collapse with overall the US index of house price has fallen by 6.2% in real terms from the 1st quarter 2008 to the same quarter in 2009. While the house price is rising strongly, the credit was supplied liberally to meet the demands as perceptions of risk fell. The rising wealth boosted confidence and spending and the housing bubble was a global phenomenon centered mainly on the Anglo-Saxon world. The housing bubble was the result of a long period of low interest rates by the US Federal Reserve. The bursting of the housing bubble is modeled as a surprise fall in the expected flow of services from housing investment (larger in US, UK and Europe) but still significant throughout the world (McKibbin & Stoeckel, 2009). Besides the bursting of housing bubble, the rising of equity risk premium also the main of factors for Global Financial Crisis to occur (shown in Table 2.0). According to McKibbin & Stoeckel (2009), the surprise up-swing in commodity prices from 2003 but most noticeable during 2006 and 2007 led to Major Assignment Page 6
  • 7. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan concerns about inflation leading to the sharp reversal in monetary policy in the US. This tightening in US policy also implied to lead the monetary policy in economies that pegged to the US dollar. It was the sharpness of this reversal as much as the fall in US houses prices and the failures of financial regulation (for example, the mortgage underwriters Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) that led to the financial problems for 2008 until 2009. Table 2.0: Equity Risk Premium Source: Author’s calculator Last but not least is the rise in the household risk too was one of the main reasons of Global Financial Crisis to occur (when the reappraisal of the risk by firms as a result of the crisis also applies to households). As households view the future as being more risky, so they discount their future earnings and that affects their savings and spending decisions. The increase in household risk in the US is assumed to be 3% points in the permanent scenario and returning to zero by year in the temporary scenario as mentioned earlier (McKibbin & Stoeckel, 2009). Above all, the Global Financial Crisis‟s epicenter is from the U.S, which is known as the largest and central economy in the world. Moreover, U.S‟s dollar is taken as the most dominant global home key currency as well as the world‟s most sophisticated and developed financial system. The ongoing Global Financial Crisis was triggered by the eruption of the US subprime crisis in the summer of 2007 and the subsequent liquidity and confidence crisis that has spread on a global scale and peaked in September and October 2008 (Kawai, 2009). Major Assignment Page 7
  • 8. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan The Global Financial Crisis in Japan According to Nanto (2009), during the 1990s and into the early years of the 21st century, Japan has experienced a prolonged recessionary economic conditions triggered by the bursting of a bubble in its equity and real estate markets and an ensuing banking crisis. Although the current Global Financial Crisis is much more than Japan‟s “Great Recession” writ large, many have turned to Japan‟s experience to either support or oppose various policies and to improve general understanding of the underlying forces of financial crises. The global financial and economic crisis is unprecedented in many ways yet not so unique that the experience of other countries is bereft of lessons to be learned. While, based on James, Parck, Jha, Jongwanich, Hagiwara & Sumulong (2008), Japan appeared initially to have fared well in the face of the global financial turmoil. It benefited from its limited exposure to toxic assets and a relatively healthy financial sector. Its strong current account position has provided Japan with a cushion against the turbulence (Figure 1.0). Figure 1.0: Japan Current Account Balance Source: Ministry of Finance (2008) Growth of real GDP had been recovering from the prolonged recession in the 1990s at about 2% per annum since 2004 (Figure 2.0). The deflation that has persisted since 1999 finally turned to inflation in 2006, which ended the quantitative easing monetary policy (Figure 3.0). As inflation has been far from being a concern, policy rates have been cut following the rate cuts in the US from an already very low 0.5% to 0.3% in October 2008 . Given the positive though moderate inflation rate, with the already low policy rate, the real rate is slipping into a negative range in Japan. While its fiscal deficit persists, Japan‟s policy options remain extremely limited (Figure 4.0). Major Assignment Page 8
  • 9. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Figure 2.0: Real Japan GDP Growth Source: Economic and Social Research Institution (2008) Figure 3.0: Japan‟s inflation Source: CEIC Data Company Ltd. (2008) Figure 4.0: Japan‟s Interest Rate Source From: CEIC Data Company Ltd. (2008) Major Assignment Page 9
  • 10. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Chart 1.0: The Lehman Brother‟s Source From: Federal Reserve Board In addition, the Federal Reserve has cut the interest rates between in year 2001 and 2004. The low interest rates were due to fears of deflation and led to a boom in US housing, low interest rates were not just the result of the Fed‟s actions. US bond yields were also low because of low world rates with Japanese bond yields at a little over 1 per cent and short term interest rates at zero. There was also an international aspect to low US interest rates with Japan and Europe only recovering very slowly from the 2000-2001 downturns an in turn placing pressure on the US to keep interest rates low. In Japan, there were fears of re-emergent deflation (James, et. al. 2008). Meanwhile, based on McKibbin & Stoeckel (2009), durable manufacturing in Japan would be hit harder by the risk reappraisal given the collapse of their durable exports (dominated by cars - as a result of the combination of the global downturn and the appreciation of the Yen that resulted from the collapse in commodity prices and improvement in their terms of trade). Moreover, the authors added that Japan had their housing bubble a decade earlier than did the US, so over the last few years they never experienced a property bubble as in America. So the shock of Global Financial Crisis to their economy from the bursting of the housing bubble would be less than for the US. On the other hand, Nanto (2009) stated that among the major industrialized economies of the world, Japan‟s lost decade of the 1990‟s also called Japan‟s Great Recession, when it encountered a period of prolonged stagnation caused by the bursting of speculative bubbles and prolonged banking crisis, is often cited as relevant for policymakers today. The drop in prices on Japan‟s equity markets combined with a sharp decline in land prices generated losses of about ¥1,500 trillion ($14 trillion) or roughly three times Japan‟s gross domestic product at the time. Like the current US financial crisis, Japan‟s began with Major Assignment Page 10
  • 11. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan stock market and real estate bubbles. During the latter half of the 1980s, Japan‟s monetary authorities flooded the market with liquidity (money) in order to enable business to cope with the rising value of the yen. The bursting of this economic bubble caused the value of collateral underlying many banks loans to drop below the value of their loan principal. Also, commercial real estate ventures, especially office buildings, became unprofitable as rents fell. Unlike the situation in the US under the current global economic crisis, Japanese financial institutions tended not to bundle and repackage their loans as collateralized debt obligations or rely as extensively on derivatives and credit default swaps (Nanto, 2009). Due to Hakone (2010), recalling the bubble in Japan in the latter half 1980s, this International Financial Institutions crisis sparked by the 2007 subprime loan problem and the recent difficulties faced by Greece and the euro. Regarding institutional changes constituting remote causes of the crisis of Japan, financial deregulation facilitated corporate fund rising through bond issuance and banks had a turn to real estate financing as a new business, that induced excessive lending an eventually to building up of the bubble. If the issue was counterparty risk then a direct focus on the quality and transparency of the bank‟s balance sheets would be appropriate, either by requiring more transparency, dealing directly with increasing number of mortgage defaults as housing prices fell or looking for ways to bring more capital into the banks and other financial institutions. The Global Financial Crisis began in the United States with a burst housing bubble and questionable mortgage-backed assets is spreading throughout Europe„s banking sector, frightening away investors and making governments eager to rescue institutions. Recession is now inevitable for Western economies which increasing the danger to markets that supply the world„s consumers with manufactured. East Asia has a lot share of wealthy export-based economies, but towering above them all is Japan, the second-biggest economy in the world. Japan, with a gross domestic product (GDP) of about $4.4 trillion, is particularly vulnerable to the Global Financial Crisis (Tan, et. al, 2009). However, Japan‟s start faced a financial crisis when the Bank in Japan affected by the failure of Lehman Brothers. This is because the Hokkaido Takushoku were marked by the bank of Japan‟s as “quantitative easing” monetary after interest rates reached the zero bounds, in a similar to the Federal Reserve‟s balance sheet expansion in 2008 and 2009 (Glick & Spiegel, 2010). This idea was supported by Kawai & Tagaki (2009) and Shirakawa (2009) whereby the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 further depressed the conditions of stock market and aggravated the strains on Japanese commercial banks. Overall, Japan has been hardly hit by the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009. The severe collapse of industrial production that followed was no doubt attributable to a confluence of factors, including Major Assignment Page 11
  • 12. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan the stock price declines that eroded the capital base of commercial banks and thus limited their willingness to lend as well as the lagged impact of the sharp rise in oil and other commodity prices in the summer of 2008. Japan was particularly vulnerable because of the structural changes that had taken place over the past decade in its trade and industrial structures. As a result of these structural changes, Japanese output became much more responsive to output shocks in the advanced markets of the US and Western Europe. (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Japan’s (i). Financial Institutions According to Kono (2009), Japanese financial institutions have collectively lost around 3.2 trillion yen (over 30 billion dollars). The Japan‟s financial system itself is still in a less severe condition compared to US and Europe. In terms of losses incurred and exposures to securitized products, the direct impact of the global financial market turmoil has been relatively small. Kono (2009) also stated that, the real economy has now fallen into negative growth and share prices have declined, strongly affecting the balance sheets and profitability of Japanese financial institutions. While, according to Malik, et. al. (2009), Japan‟s banking crisis in 1990 about $780 billion, losses stemming from the Asian crisis of 1997-1998 approx $420 billion and the $380 billion savings and loan crisis of US itself in 1986-1995. The Japanese financial institutions have been significantly affected by the current Global Financial Crisis. The impact has spread over to the area of retail banking through deteriorating the business performance of small and medium sized firms and sluggish sales of mutual funds. From this particular research by Yamaguchi (2009), the implication of the Global Financial Crisis for financial institutions is low profitability of financial institutions. While the Japanese financial institutions‟ profits recovered significantly after the middle of the 2000s, it was mainly attributable to the reversals in loans-loss provisions. Meanwhile, based on Yamaguchi (2009), Japan‟s low profit is resulted from the low interest income. Looking at the interest rate margins on loans (i.e., the interest rate on lending minus the interest rate on deposits), which is one component of interest income, for the past 20 years, the margin has been five to six percent on average for U.S. banks, while it has remained at slightly below two percent for Japanese financial institutions. The main reason behind such low interest rate margins of Japanese financial institutions is attributable to the fact that many financial institutions have basically been consistently in the interest rate competition as they compete with each other in the relatively homogenous commercial banking business with an aim to obtain a long-term stable transaction relationship. Major Assignment Page 12
  • 13. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Of course it is not the case that Japanese financial institutions themselves have not been doing anything to cope with such low profitability. Signs of expansion in the investment banking business, including M&A business, have also been continuing in Japan. Small business loans were once actively promoted. However, since credit costs increased significantly, many banks have recently been forced to downsize or withdraw from the small business loan operations. As for household asset management, the expansion of over-the counter sales of mutual funds and insurance has been pursued. Moreover, at the major banks, the efforts to bring consumer credit companies, credit card companies, and consumer finance companies under the banks‟ umbrella were temporarily intensified. However, the profits from those affiliated companies have been sluggish, partly due to the changes in the environment they are in. After all, the fruits of pursuing new businesses have not been sufficient so far, and, at present, the new businesses have not contributed in a significant way to improving the profitability of financial institutions (Yamaguchi, 2009). The second implication by Yamaguchi (2009), is Japanese financial institutions‟ profits are subject to the fluctuations in credit costs and stock prices. In particular, as operating profits from the core business have been remaining low, a significant increase in credit costs and losses on stocks might immediately bring periodical income into the red. In fact, the sum of credit costs and losses on stocks related to stocks reached a level more than that of operating profits from the core business. While the level of credit costs fairly declined, reflecting the completion of the disposal of impaired assets, it started to rise again in fiscal 2008 due to the economic downturn. In addition, the outstanding balance of financial institution‟s strategic cross-shareholding was reduced almost by half during the disposal process of impaired assets in the early 2000s for the major banks, and remains almost unchanged since then. That suggest that the practice of cross-shareholding between financial institutions and firms remains and at the same time, the current outstanding amount of shareholding is still a factor in including large swings in financial institution profits. While, according to Malik, et. al (2009), the banking industry has badly been hit due to mortgage backed by subprime mortgages fallen in value. Because of the bad debts, financial institutions were reluctant to lend money and thus firm especially construction industry output faced contractions in credit lines. On the other hand, based on Grimes (2009), during 2008, the Japanese economy was still in the condition of long but tepid recovery that began in 2002. The important part is related to the non-performing loans of the financial sector in its consolidation, recapitalization as well as the large-scale disposal. The result of the non-performing loans has resulted bank credit and the financial markets to unfreeze and resumed their basic function in of capital allocation in the private sector. With parts of the problems Major Assignment Page 13
  • 14. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan remained, somehow, the largest and most sophisticated of the financial institutions were not really profitable or competitive if compared with their foreign counterparts. Meanwhile, facing the difficulties with incorporate the new business models as well as to apply information technology does delayed the Tokyo‟s development as an international financial market center too. But, fortunately, at the same time, due to the Japanese financial institutions conservatism, it has kept them from the heavily exposure of toxic assets (like subprime collateralized mortgage obligations) (Grimes, 2009). In addition, even though there is much-improved health shown from the Japanese financial institutions, but the growth was remained in a weak condition although it was at the recovery height. Meanwhile, the government spending (the GDP‟s growth component) remained in a large figure, though it was declining, when the Japanese government was struggling to reduce its deficit in order to cope with its massive current debt and the future liabilities. Not only that, from the consumer spending prospective, it has shown a very weak growth since the real wages has fall in every year despite the improvement of business profitability. Thus, the major engines for Japanese economic growth (as it recovered from the lost decade) were from the growth of its net exports as well as the business investment growth – which resulted to Japan directly or indirectly dependent on its exports. That was the reason why the Japan‟s economic growth was highly dependent on the growth of the country‟s major exports markets (especially in the U.S and China) (Grimes, 2009). Japanese financial institutions faced the current Global Financial Crisis without being able to change substantially the existing management characteristics. As a result, the first-round effects of the crisis, namely the losses stemming from investments in U.S. securitized products and originate-to- distribute-type operations in the U.S. and European financial markets, has remained relatively limited (Kono, 2009). The second-round effects brought about by the current financial crisis, namely, the losses stemming from the economic downturn and the fall in stock prices have by no means been limited. Net income of Japanese financial institutions in fiscal 2008 made an about-turn to mark net losses of about two trillion yen from net profits of about two trillion yen in fiscal 2007, due mainly to the increase in credit costs and losses related to stocks. In that regard, the aforementioned characteristics of Japanese financial institution management seem to have rather worked in an adverse way to the deterioration in business performance. In other words, the current crisis has highlighted the basic challenges inherent in Japanese financial institution management (Kono, 2009). Major Assignment Page 14
  • 15. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan While Japanese financial institutions‟ profits recovered significantly after the middle of the 2000s, it was mainly attributable to the reversals in loan-loss provisions, thanks to the progress in the disposal of impaired assets and economic recovery. For example, the sum of net income of Japanese financial institutions for the past 20 years is in the red. While the sum includes significant losses stemming from the disposal of impaired assets after the burst of the bubble, the net income of Japanese financial institutions remains quite low even if those losses are excluded (Kono, 2009).. According to the analysis of the lending market in Japan, many financial institutions tend to enter the regions that have a large lending market, thereby intensifying competition. (ii). Financial System and Financial Banking According to Sato (2009), When the Global Financial Crisis occurred; Japan was not immune from the crisis where shown from its financial system which was severely affected due to the financial markets high volatility. Not only that, Sato (2009) added that the sharp declining of the shares prices held by the banks were the reason for the Japan‟s financial system badly affected as well. On the other hand, the banks‟ profitability in increasing its credit costs (although on a limited scale) was impacted by the real economy deterioration. But nonetheless, Japan‟s financial system was remained sound if compared to those in U.S and Europe. The statement is true as the fact stated that Japan‟s financial banking sector losses that have occurred resulted from the complex securitized products have been limited; as of 2009 (end-June) where the cumulative realized losses only about 25 billion US dollars (since April 2007) while the valuation losses are about 5 billion dollars. Even though the amount was in billion US dollars, but those figures were one digit smaller compared with the American and European financial sectors. Sato (2009) stated that the Japan‟s financial sector towards the exposure was not clear with significantly smaller toxic assets (this implies that there will be a limited future additional losses from these assets). The Global Financial Crisis has brought home an important point: the United States is still a major center of the financial world. Regional financial crises (such as the Asian financial crisis, Japan‟s banking crisis, or the Latin American debt crisis) can occur without seriously infecting the rest of the global financial system. But when the U.S. financial system stumbles, it may bring major parts of the rest of the world down with it. The reason is that the United States is the main guarantor of the international financial system, the provider of dollars widely used as currency reserves and as an international medium of exchange, and a contributor to much of the financial capital that sloshes around the world seeking higher yields. The rest of Major Assignment Page 15
  • 16. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan the world may not appreciate it, but a financial crisis in the United States often takes on a global hue (Nicholas, 1999). (iii). Exportation Due to Okano (2010), Japan is focusing on the emerging countries as in line with its export oriented industries. On top of that, Japan‟s manufacturing sector has been affected and suffered from the decreasing of the exportation aspect. The decreasing of export caused by the Global Financial Crisis has been supported by Kawai (2009) where he stated that the ongoing crisis has given a deep impact upon both the region of Asia-Pacific, especially on the exports. Meanwhile, in the beginning of 2008, there is a significantly decrease of Japan‟s exportation to all regions which in turn lead to a huge reduction in the manufacturing production. Although the huge decrease in exports to both U.S and Europe make Japan‟s economy suffered, nonetheless, the magnitude impact on the financial markets were unimportant compared with the time where Japan was strike by the post-bubble era (Okano, 2010). Thus, from the impact of decreasing in export, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has expected that the region aggregate growth will face a fall to 3.3% in 2009 from the remarkable growth in 2007 (9.8%). In addition, the ADB has suggested one ways to help the region to rebalance its growth - is by moving away from its high dependence on the exports to more advanced economies (Kawai, 2009). Stated from Kawai (2009), due to the global financial crisis, most countries in the region are having double-digit declining in their exports (Shown in Article 1.0). He added by stated that the biggest fall (over 40% year-on-year in December and January) were Taipei and China while large decline can be seen in Japan, Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and Hong Kong. Not only that, there is a slowing domestic demand in several countries which including Japan, Korea as well as Singapore. On top of that, Japan is facing with year-on-year declines due to the fastest deterioration in the private capital investment (Kawai, 2009). Article 1.0: Selected impacts of the crisis on selected countries Source: Collected by the author from various media Major Assignment Page 16
  • 17. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan On the other hand, Kwan (1999) stated that the resulting slowdown of the foreign direct investment has the effect of depressing the Asian economics not only on the demand side but also on the supply side. In addition to foreign investment, Japanese bank lending to Asia also tends to decrease when the yen is weak because of the need to meet the Bank for International Installment (BIS) capital adequacy requirement. A depreciation of the yen against dollar, by reducing Japanese export prices in dollar terms, makes Japanese exports less expensive relative to those of the Asian countries. While, based on Tellis, Marble, & Tanner (2009) and Glick &Spiegel (2010) the weakness of the U.S. economy has significantly reduced external demand for Japanese manufactured goods, the crisis has wiped out many of those meager gains. Over 90% of Japanese exports consist of highly income-elastic industrial supplies, capital goods, and consumer durables. Hence a collapse of the US and European markets exerted a severe negative influence on Japanese exports. In Japan, both the export of consumer durables to the advanced markets (accounting for less than 15% of total exports) and the export of industrial supplies and capital goods to emerging Asia (constituting over 40% of total exports) were adversely and severely affected by the financial crisis. In particular, the export of industrial supplies and capital goods declined along with the softening of investment demand throughout the world. (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). (iv). Economy According to Grimes (2009), the Global Financial Crisis has worsened the Japan‟s major challenges. Not only that, the crisis has erupted Japan when it was in the midst of a long but tepid recovery from the domestic economic stagnation (even longer period). Due to the weak U.S economy, the external demand for Japanese manufactured goods has significantly reducing. On top of that, the Global Financial Crisis too has wiped out many of those meager gains of Japan from the manufacturing goods (Grimes, 2009). In addition, because of the crisis, it has demonstrated the limits not only upon the global financial architecture but as well as the Japan‟s regional architecture which the country has been trying to establish. From both Japan‟s domestic and international point of view (which is the most important), Global Financial Crisis has given a great impact upon the finance aspect (Grimes, 2009). In addition, the impact of the current crisis has strike Japan after the collapse of its nation real estate and stock market bubble (in early 1990s). But, nevertheless, the experience that Japan has faced in the early 1990s has helped Japan‟s advantage in dealing with the current crisis, where banks as well as the financial institutions were well-capitalized and not badly extended into the “toxic assets” when the crisis occur (Grimes, 2009). “Toxic Major Assignment Page 17
  • 18. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan assets” has been defined as an asset that becomes illiquid when its secondary market disappears (http://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/toxic-assets.asp#axzz1rtVvoj8E). From the same source, the author added that the toxic assets are often guaranteed to lose money which lead the assets cannot be sold. On top of that, the same experience from the previous 1990s crisis has shaped Japan government policy‟s responses, which become exponentially more proactive within 1990s or early 2000s (Grimes, 2009). However, at the same moment, Tokyo‟s effort in dealing with the crisis has become significantly complicated due to the Japan‟s won sustained period of the economic stagnation as well as the financial challenge. According to the World Economic Outlook (IMF, 2009a) the forecast of economic contraction for Japan in 2009 is -6.2% to surpass the projected constraction for the United Stated (US) it is 2.8%. However, Japan surpassed by Singapore (-10.0%) and Taipei,China (-7.5%) in the severity of the real impact of the Global FInancial Crisis (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). Moreover, the reluctance of Ministry of Finance (MOF) to move more rapidly in the 1990‟s to impose a system of prudential regulation was probably because it did not understand fully the implications of deregulation. After all, deregulation undermined the old convoy system, and made traditional MOF modes of action now seem counterproductive. MOF persisted nonetheless in attempting to defend an inefficient, uncompetitive, and outmoded system (Patric, 1998). In contrast to the negative implication for Japan; the Global Financial Crisis may turn hurt the Japanese economics, putting downward pressure on the Japanese yen. The crisis also occurred at a time when the Japanese economy is in deepest recession since the end of the Second World War (Kwan, 1999). Nevertheless once U.S. and most of Europe declare into recession in early 2008 Japan economy begin effected significantly. Japan harmfully affected by the negative term of trade shock in 2008 through a sharp increase in energy and other commodity price. On the other hand faced the difficulties Japan‟s still can maintain their positive growth in real GDP and private fixed investment. This happen because the exports growth steady. Japanese faced are severe economic construction when the export falls in 12.5% year by year. Parallel in the midst of the industrial production the construction harshly decline by 15.0%, 34.0% and 27.65 year by year in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first and second quarter of 2009, respectively (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). While the value of the exports in billion yen. The value of the exports for Japanese shown the value is decline thereafter whereby the export in January 2009 shown the exports is ¥ 3,480 billion it less than 50% of the previous year ¥ 7,360 billion in September 2008 (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). With the spread of the US subprime mortgage crisis to the rest of the US financial system and other Major Assignment Page 18
  • 19. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan industrialized-country financial markets, a significant slowdown in economic growth has taken place in the US, Europe, and Japan. The crisis has moved from the financial sector to the real economy (Malik, et. al. 2009). According to Malik, et. al. (2009) anxieties have strengthen over the Global Financial Crisis, which began from the US subprime mortgage disaster with the help of the governments of major countries which are coming up with measures such as provision of liquidity and bailout packages for distressed banks, the fear that has gripped financial markets shows little signs of abating. Major stock exchanges are disorderly while a series of indicators that determine investors‟ risk aversion are posting all-time highs. The recent financial crisis has been rushed across the public-private boundary, which has hit the private firms and the financial statements has forced the new heavy demands on the public sector's finances. The crisis has surged across national borders within the developed world, and now there are some reasons which has alarmed that the crisis will swamp other developing countries, affecting the significant economic progress of recent years. (Lin, 2008). However, Severino (2008) have argued that the spillover effects of the US subprime mortgage crisis on the Asian financial and real economic activity have been and will be relatively limited, and that the growth prospects of Asian economies will remain robust. Moreover, Japanese stock prices reached a recent peak in the summer of 2007 and, with the outbreak of the US subprime loan crisis, began a gradual but substantial decline through the fall of 2008. The decline in stock prices placed a strain on the balance sheet and capital adequacy ratios of commercial banks and, as a result, limited their willingness to lend by the summer of 2008. The Lehman Brothers shock in September 2008 further depressed the stock market and aggravated the strains on Japanese commercial banks. Bank of Japan data indicate that new loans for equipment funds declined by 9% (year- on-year) in the third quarter of 2008, followed by a 10% decline in the fourth quarter. This, coupled with the lagged impact of the negative terms of trade shock (arising from the sharp rise in oil and other commodity prices until the summer of 2008), may to some extent explain the sluggishness of industrial activity in some sectors starting from the summer of 2008. (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). (v). Government Matters: Purchase of toxic assets and direct equity injections Economists worry about the moral hazard implications of these actions by the government especially the purchases of toxic assets or the direct equity injections. These actions signal a willingness of the government to step in and provide liquidity and capital when large financial institutions find themselves in trouble. In the 1990s, Japan could hope that demand from the rest of the world would help to mitigate its Major Assignment Page 19
  • 20. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan slump. Such hope is not available for the world as a whole. In fact, declines in export demand from the rest of the world will likely be an important drag on GDP growth (Jones, 2008). The implication of this weak balance sheet was a high risk financial crisis with mounting asymmetric information problems if macroeconomic environmental turned difficult. That there was drying up the supply as well as a collapse in the demands for loans (Nicholas, 1999). Reasons Why Japan Could Be Affected By The Global Financial Crisis According to Ulrike (1996), Japan is one of the countries that are most productive and advance economy in Asia because it is the country that is famous with the quality and productivity of its manufacturing sector. For the first Global FInancial Crisis that have occurred, Japan still can defeat it. But, unfortunelty, the crisis continued in 2008 due to the decreasing of U.S. mortgage and resulted in the bottomed out of Japanese bank‟s capital and profitability. There have are several reason Japan faced this problem primarily Japan‟s delaying in recognizing the severity of the impact of massive nonperforming assets on the economy. Whereby Japan‟s start recognize this problem few years after the burst of the bubble decline in real estate price affect the financial institutions. Besides that, Japanese have are imperfection in accounting and disclosure standards. This imperfection affects the lag in showing the incurred losses of financial institutions on the accounting and disclosure front. More to the point, the delaying for recognizing the declining in real estate and the imperfection in accounting and disclosure standard the authorities could not resolve the problem in financial institution in a timely manner. This current Global Financial Crisis has highlighted the five areas of major structural problems and policy weakness that have lead Japan be affected by the Global Financial Crisis. First of all are the weak and unclear disclosure rules that have been allowed on the banks, large as well as small alike, to hide or disguise losses and shady deals. Second is the regulators adopted a wait in see attitude in the hope that the market would recover and bad loans would heal themselves. When the market did not recover by 1994, it became clear that this had been a policy mistake. Third is, there was a problem of out of synch deregulation. In 1979, MOF initiated interest rate deregulation very slowly and carefully, in an attempt not to undermine the banking hierarchy. Next, related to this is the heavy reliance on administrative guidance in banking regulation. In the period of rapid growth, when all interest rates were regulated, the financial authorities had to rely on administrative guidance because the price mechanism did not work. The lastly is a result of all of the above, there is little policy transparency, and solutions to problems tend to be collusive based on the quid pro quo logic of administrative guidance (Ulrike, 1996). Major Assignment Page 20
  • 21. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Reasons Why Japan’s Financial System Less Exposed to the Market Turmoil Based on Sato (2009), he has listed three reasons on why the Japan‟s financial system was less exposed to the market turmoil as well as less severely affected when the Global Financial Crisis occurs. First of all, Japan‟s financial firms were not severely influenced because they were not strongly innovation-oriented. While, the next reason is that the financial firms have given priority in improving their financial soundness rather than to enhance the profitability (in the last several years) due to the historical coincidence. Japan‟s financial firms were at its final stage in resolving their non-performing loan problems when the “originate-to- distribute” business model became widespread. Meanwhile, the final reason is related with the improving of risk management by the financial firms in the same period when the firms improve on their financial soundness. Thus, the financial firms of Japan became more cautious than it was before in the matter of the financial products investment with the uncertainty on their underlying assets or associated risks. Not only that, the practices also contributed by the Basel II framework (early implementation) in Japan (Sato, 2009). Different View on the Crisis Impact on Japan According to Sato (2009), there are different views as to how the effects of the current financial stress in Japan compare with the country‟s last crisis in the 1990s. Some argue that the magnitude of the last crisis was larger, as many financial firms failed and the economy remained sluggish over an extended period. However, others say that the current crisis is more severe as Japan‟s GDP and share prices have declined sharply. Repercussion of the financial crisis of the late 1990s, Global FInancial Crisis start improved therefore many country merge with market economies in Asia and other place to strengthen their economic and financial fundamentals. These improved of Global FInancial Crisis bolstered by fiscal and foreign debt positions, accumulated foreign exchange reserves, and reformed their banking sectors. When the second Global FInancial Crisis happen in summer of 2007 Asian is are best place to avoid from the crisis. This is because most financial institutions in Asia do not expose with troubled market. In addition, most financial institution in the region were not heavily exposed to distressed market for structured credit products and other asset-backed securities Glick & Spiegel, (2010). Major Assignment Page 21
  • 22. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan How Japan Recovers The Global Financial Crisis in Japan recover by recover the cost that such a strategy entails the smaller banks also had to extend loans with higher risk. All of this happened while the stock price and real estate market "bubble" was well under way. MOF requested the large city banks to provide Hyogo with very low interest rate loans. Nevertheless, after the Kobe earthquake of January 1995, the bank was too short of funds to compete with the larger banks for reconstruction loans. Worse, the local governments withdrew a major portion of their deposits to fund reconstruction projects. On August 31, Hyogo Bank was restructured and it remained in business, but all operations were transferred to a new bank called Midori Bank on January 26, 1996. No change occurred for the customers in daily banking matters, and a run on deposits was averted (Ulrike, 1996). During Japan recover, the first was the mistaken belief in the early-mid 1990‟s that the economy would rebound quickly from what was perceived to be little more than a cyclical downturn, and again the mistaken belief in late 1996 that recovery was so firmly entrenched that the fiscal priority could immediately return to budget deficit reduction. Second, as a consequence, MOF initially decided and the banks readily agreed to simply wait out the bad loan problems until economic growth was restored. It was not until 1995 that banks seriously started disclosing and writing off bad loans. Third, the economy continued to grow only very slowly, averaging about 1% annually since 1991 have more ordinary loans became doubtful, and more doubtful loans became bad. Businesses could not generate cash flows for interest payments much less loan repayments (Patric, 1998). The recovery in Japanese export since 1996 on the back of the yen‟s depreciation has contrasted sharply with the slowdown in Asian export. On the positive side, a weaker yen reduces import prices in Asian countries as they are heavily dependent on Japan as a source of capital and intermediate goods. Finally, a depreciation of the yen reduces the burden of debt repayment for Asian countries (Kwan, 1999). The time to recovery in Japan Global Financial Crisis also related to trend in GDP. Contemporaries realized that economic recovery needed not only policies to rise spending, which in large economy could be provided by domestic demand. The banking crisis in Japanese policy for recovery has lacked key components. The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis plainly entails a substantial increase in aggregate demand, for which devaluation may be helpful and which macroeconomic policy must address (Nicholas, 1999). Major Assignment Page 22
  • 23. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan DISCUSSION AND FINDING Japan is a well-known country where is located as one of the Asia countries. According to the U.S Department of State (2012), Japan‟s is slightly smaller than California (as shown in the picture 1) where its population currently stated fewer than 127 million. Even though Japan has experienced with the much phenomenal growth rate in the 20th century, nonetheless, the country‟s birth rates have fallen steadily since 1970s and resulted in population growth rate of -1.0% in 2005. On the other hand, Japan is acknowledge with its highly efficient and competitive economy within the international trade areas although it‟s productivity is far lower in several protected areas. On top of that, Japan‟s has turn into a mature industrial economy due to its country‟s reservoir of industrial leadership and technicians as well as numbers of other aspects. Not only that, Japan do owned the natural resources which can be used to trade in order to earn the foreign exchange (U.S Department of State, 2012). Meanwhile, due to another author, Japan has shifted its position from Asia into the East Asia in the last decade resulted from its economy oriented towards the East Asia (Grimes, 2009). He added by stating that Japan‟s is tie up with the East Asia‟s regional production networks on their country‟s manufacturing (well known on its quality and productivity). Overall, Japan is still the most productive and advanced economy in Asia even though its sheer size has been taken by China. Grimes (2009) added that, Japan‟s manufacturing share remains highly competitive within the world markets although there is total decline in its production among the developed economies. About the history of the Global Financial Crisis, there are different views and reasons stated by numbers of authors. Based on Ito (2009), there are three stages of the crisis which are the beginning (February 8, 2007) [Announcement from HSBC Holdings on the charge for bad debts which is more 20% than expected], the second stage (August 9, 2007) [Announcement from BNP Paribas‟ subsidiaries on the asset liquidation suspension] and the final stage (September 15, 2008) [Bankruptcy of the Lehman Brothers‟]. On the other hand, according to Malik, et. al. (2009), the reason for the crisis to occur was is due to the downfall of U.S subprime mortgage industry. This statement is supported by Kawai (2009) as he agreed that the subprime crisis is the worst crisis that has happened since the Great Depression (1930s). Not only that, due to another author, he stated that the subprime problems have a direct impact on Asian countries financial institutions (Okano, 2010). While, based on Patric (1998), the banking crisis has resulted when deregulation happened without any creation of the effective system upon prudential regulation and supervision for the safety of the system. Meanwhile, Ngowi (2009) stated that the current Global Financial and Economic Crisis (GFEC) have officially started in September 2008 in U.S of America (USA) {inadequate liquidity from financial markets credit crunch]. On the other hand, another reasons stated for Major Assignment Page 23
  • 24. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan the Global Financial Crisis is the bursting of the housing bubble, equity risk premium‟s sharp rise as well as the risk of the household risk due to the reappraisal of firms risk (Mckibbin & Stoeckel, 2009). Above all, U.S is the epicenter of the crisis to occur as it is the largest and central economy of the world. During the Global Financial Crisis, Japan has already faced with a prolonged recessionary economic conditions by the bubble bursting in 1990s (21 st century) and the crisis has known as the Japan‟s lost decade (Japan‟s Great Recession 2) (Nanto, 2009). That is why when the housing bubble burst out, Japan have less shock compared with U.S as Japan has faced it a decade earlier. During the 1990s crisis, Japan experienced with both the prolonged stagnation as well as the banking crisis. Upon the Global Financial Crisis, Japan durable manufacturing expected to be hit by the risk appraisal which will lead to the collapsed of their durable exports (Mckibbin & Stoeckel, 2009). However, when the Lehman Brother‟s went bankrupt, Japan‟s bank started to face with the financial crisis. Not only that, because of the Global Financial Crisis, Japan has been hardly hit and resulted in their industrial production to collapse including declining in their stock price (does Japan has limited their lending willingness). Due to the crisis, it has impacted Japan in several aspects such as the International Financial Institutions (IFI), financial system and financial banking, exportation, economy as well as in Japan‟s government matter. First of all, Japan‟s IFI has been said lost around 3.2 trillion yen (over 30 billion dollars) but Japan is still in a less severe condition if compared to both U.S and Europe (Kono, 2009). The same author added that the direct impact of the crisis on Japan is relatively small but still the real economy of Japan has fallen into negative growth and its share prices have declined. Meanwhile, according to Yamaguchi (2009), the crisis impact has spread over on Japan‟s retail banking and resulted in the business performance to deteriorate and sluggish sales of the mutual funds. Not only that, the author too has said Japan‟s financial institutions have been affected and only gain the low profitability. The profits of Japan‟s financial institutions are subject to the fluctuations of the credit costs and stock prices (Yamaguchi, 2009). While, based on Malik, et. al (2009), due to the subprime mortgage, the crisis has drives Japan‟s financial institutions reluctant in lending their money afraid of the bad debts. This non-performing loan has been supported by Grimes (2009) as he stated that the bank credits and financial markets in Japan have to unfreeze and resumed their basic function (to allocate capital in the private sector). On top of that, Japan‟s financial institutions have faced with the losses stemming from U.S investments, economic downturn as well as the fall of the stock prices (Kono, 2009). Major Assignment Page 24
  • 25. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Meanwhile from the Japan‟s financial system and financial banking aspect, it have severely affected due to the highly volatility of financial markets (Sato, 2009). Not only that, Sato (2009) added that the system was badly affected because of the sharp decline in the shares prices. Thus, the Japan‟s banks‟ profitability in increasing its credit costs was impacted by the deterioration of the real economy. But above all, Japan‟s financial system was remained sound compared to U.S and Europe where the Japan‟s financial banking sector losses have been limited. Next is the crisis implication on Japan‟s exportation. Based on Okano (2010), as Japan is focusing on the export oriented industries, the country‟s manufacturing sector has been affected and suffered from the decrease of exportation aspect. Okano (2010) added that Japan‟s manufacturing production has a huge reduction due to the significantly decrease of Japan‟s exportation to all regions. This is supported by Kawai (2009) where most countries having a double-digit declining in their exports with Japan shown a large decline. In addition, there is a slowing domestic demand in Japan as well. Another authors supported Kawai‟s statement where the external demand of Japan‟s manufactured goods has been reduced because of the U.S economy weakness (Tellis, et. al, 2009). Meanwhile, according to Kawai & Takagi (2009), the collapsed of U.S and European markets have gave a severe negative impact on Japan‟s exports. The Global Financial Crisis has strike Japan when the country was in the midst of a long but tepid recovery from the domestic economic stagnation. Not only that, resulted from the crisis, it has limits on the global financial architecture including the Japan‟s regional architecture when the country just trying to establish. Nevertheless, Japan‟s experience of previous crisis has helped the country in dealing with the current crisis where both bank and financial institutions were well-capitalized and not badly extended into the “toxic assets” (Grimes, 2009). Japan‟s economy begin to be affected when U.S and most Europe declare into recession (2008), but nonetheless, Japan still can maintain its positive growth in both real GDP as well as the private fixed investment (Kawai & Takagi, 2009). Meanwhile, Malik, et. al. (2009) stated Japan having a slowdown in its economic growth when U.S subprime mortgage crisis has been spread to the U.S financial system and where the has moved from the financial sector to the real economy Moreover, with the outbreak of U.S subprime loan crisis, Japanese stock prices has reached a recent peak in 2007 and fall in 2008. Last but not lest is the impact of the crisis upon Japan‟s government. Japan‟s government has stepped in when the financial institutions were in trouble and provide liquidity and capital needs (chasing away the purchase of toxic assets or the direct equity injections) (Nicholas, 1999). Major Assignment Page 25
  • 26. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan There are several reasons on why Japan could be affected by the current crisis which consisting of delaying in recognizing the severity of the nonperforming assets massive impact towards the economy, as well as Japan‟s imperfection in its accounting and disclosure standards (Ulrike, 1996). Not only the two reasons have been stated by the author, indeed, he has added on five areas of major structural problems and policy weakness of Japan that lead the country to be affected. First is the weak and unclear disclosure rules allowed on banks (to hide or distinguish losses and shady deals), the wait and see attitude that have adopted by regulators (hoping the market would recover and bad loans would heal themselves), next is the synch deregulation (the slow and carefully interest rate deregulation initiated by MOF), heavy reliance on administrative guidance in banking regulation (as the price mechanism did not work) and lastly is the Japan‟s little policy transparency (related with the problems solutions) (Ulrike, 1996). On the other hand, there too are reasons on why Japan‟s financial system is less exposed to the market turmoil. Sato (2009) has listed three reasons which are Japan‟s financial firms were not strongly innovation-oriented, the firms have given priority to improve their financial soundness rather than enhancing the profitability as well as because of risk management improvement by the firms. Sato (2009) added by stating that there are different views on how the current financial stress has impacted Japan if compared to the country‟s last crisis (1990s). Lastly is the finding on how Japan has recovers from the current crisis. According to Ulrike (1996), Japan has recovered on the cost of the strategy where the smaller banks too needed extending their loans with a higher risk. Meanwhile, based on Patric (1998), during the recovery period, there are three consequences that Japan needed to cope with. Firstly was the mistaken belief on the economy would rebound quickly in early-mid 1990‟s as well as in 1996 where the second mistaken belief on the recovery was so firmly entrenched that the fiscal priority could return to budget deficit reduction immediately. Second, Japan‟s MOF has decided (with banks agreement) to simply wait out the bad loan problems until the economic growth was restored. Thirdly is where Japan‟s economy continued to grow only very slow. On top of that, due to another author (Kwan, 1999), Japanese recovery on the yen‟s depreciation has contrasted sharply with Asian export slowdown (weaker yen reduce import prices as well as reducing the burden of Japan‟s debt repayment to Asian countries). In addition, Nicholas (1999) stated that Japan‟s recovery also related to the GDP‟s trend where aggregate demand entails a substantial increase (devaluation may be helpful and which macroeconomic policy must address). Major Assignment Page 26
  • 27. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan CONCLUSION As a conclusion, the Global Financial Crisis that has occur in 2008 have not only affected Japan but also almost every countries in the world. There are several causes that lead the crisis to strike at the moment which are including the downfall of U.S sub-prime mortgage industry, housing bubble bursting as well as the sharp rise in the equity risk premium. Due to the crisis, Japan has faced implications on numbers of aspects namely are the international financial institutions, financial system and banking, economy, exportation as well as on its government. Reasons why Japan could be affected by the current crisis are the weak and unclear disclosure rules on banks, matters related to the regulators adopted, problem of synch deregulation, heavy reliance on administrative guidance in banking regulation and policy transparency. Even though Japan does affected by the Global Financial Crisis, but nonetheless, Japan‟s financial system was less exposed to the market turmoil. Although have been affected by the crisis, Japan was able to recover from the impact. Throughout this assignment, our group members have faced with some limitations which related to the sources, timing and understanding of the information. Journals that we were looking for (that really suitable and can help us to complete this assignment) are hardly to find as some of it were not containing the information that we seek for. Not only that, we were having limitation in the timing aspect as we were doing this assignment during the mid-semester break where the holiday mood is in the air and caused we keep on delaying to complete our part. Last but not lest is our understanding on the journals that we have gone through. We were having trouble to understand some of the authors ideas due to their complicated statement structure as well as some high standard of English word. Hereby, we would like to recommend to those who will do any research or to find out the impact of Global Financial Crisis upon Japan or any other countries regarding with the current crisis, first please get to know the basic about the particular country and followed by the understanding of the crisis history. In addition, the most important matter is regarding the understanding of whatever the information that we go through as it is pointless if we do a summary or citation on the author‟s ideas without knowing the real meaning behind the ideas nor knowledge. On the other hand, in order to know whether the journals or any articles are related to our project topic, key words of our topic can be used to check throughout the information (Example: Global Financial Crisis). Major Assignment Page 27
  • 28. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan REFFERENCES Aslund, A., Guriev, S., & Kuchins, A. C. (2010). “Russia After the Global Economic Crisis”. Peterson Institute for International Economics, pp. 288. Banyte, J., & Rasyte. V. (2009). “Global Financial Crisis Reasons, Effects and Solution”. Globalization: Quo Vadis?, pp.20-30 “Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs”., at: http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/4142.htm, Accessed on 7th April, 2012, re-visited on 8th April, 2012, U.S Department of State Diplomacy in Action Chossudovsky, M. (1998). “A Marshall Plan for Creditors and Speculators: The G7 “Solution” To The Global Financial Crisis”. Fujii, M., & Kawai, M. (2010). “Lessons from Japan‟s Banking Crisis 1991–2005”. 222(23) Gaddy, G. C., & Ickes, W. B. (2010). “Russia After The Global Financial Crisis”. Eurasian Geography and Economics, (3), pp. 281-311. Glick, R., & Spiegel, M. M. (2010). “Asia and the Global FInancial Crisis:Conference Summary”. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco’s Economic Letter . Gurvich, E., Lebedinskaya, E., Simachev, Y. & Yakovlev, A. (2010). “Managing the Crisis. A Comparative Assessment of Economic Governance in 14 Economies”. Russia Country Report Hakone. (2010). “Response to the Global Financial Crisis and Future Policy Challenges”. Harvard Law School and the International House of Japan Holroyd, C., & Momani, B. (2010). “Japan‟s rescue of the IMF”, pp.1-33. Major Assignment Page 28
  • 29. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Ito, T. (2009). “The Impacts of Global Financial Crisis on Japanese Financial Market: Analysis of Interest Rate Swap Spreads”, pp.1-19. James, W., D. Park, S. Jha, J. Jongwanich, A. Terada-Hagiwara, and L. Sumulong. 2008. The US Financial Crisis, Global Turmoil, and Developing Asia: Is the Era of High Growth at an End? ADB Economics Working Paper Series No.139. Jones, C. I. (2008). “The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-20??”. AQ supplement to macroeconomics , pp.1- 45. Kawai, M., & Takagi, S. (2009). “Why was Japan hit so hard by the Global Financial Crisis?”. ADBI Working Paper Series , 153, pp.1-19. Konno, Y. (2009). “Comparing Russia‟s financial Crises of 2008–2009 with 1998: From Balance Sheets of the CBR, Banking Sector, and Enterprises.”. American Association for the Advancement of Slavic Studies Kono. M. (2009). “The Global Financial Crisis and Regulatory Response”. Challenges for the future of financial services liberalization, pp.7-30 Kwan, C. H. (1999). “The yen, the yuan, and the asian currency crisis-changing fortune between Japan and China”. Nomura research institute, pp.37-54 Lin, Y. (2008). “The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Developing Countries”. Retrieved on Feb 12, 2009, from crisistalk.worldbank.org/files/Oct_31_JustinLin_KDI_remarks.pdf Malik, N. I., Ullah, S., Azam, K., & Khan, A. (2009). “The Impact of Recent Global Financial Crisis on the Financial Institution in the Developing Countries”. Global Perspectives International Review of Business Research Papers, 5, pp.85-95 Major Assignment Page 29
  • 30. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan Mankoff, J. (2010). “The Russian Economic Crisis”. Council Special Report, (53), pp.4-9 “Ministry for Economic Development (Macroeconomic Forecast)”. Ministry of Finance Reports, Retrieved from http://www1.minfin.ru/en/nationalwealthfund/ on 8th March 2012 Mishkin, F. S. (2006). “The next great globalization. How disadvantaged nations can harness their financial systems to get rich”. Princeton: Princeton University Press Nanto, D., K. (2009). “The Global Financial Crisis: Lessons from Japan‟s Lost Decade of the 1990s”. Congressional Research Service. Ngowi, H., P. (2009). “The Current Global Financial and Economic Crisis and its Impact on Africa”. The World Economic Crisis: Challenges to the African Public Administration System Nicholas. (1999). “Implication of financial crisis for East Asian trend growth”. London School of Economics, pp.110-131 Patric, H. (1998). “The causes of Japan's financial crisis”. Center of Japanese Economy and Business, pp.1-22. Rutland, P. (2008). “The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Russia”. Russian Analytical Digest,pp..3-8 Russian Government‟s Anti-Crisis Programme (2009). Government Anti-Crisis Program. Retrieved from at: http://premier.gov.ru/eng/anticrisis/1.html on 8th March 2012 Sato, D. T. (2009). “Global FInancial Crisis – Japan‟s experience and policy response”. Asia Economic Policy Conference Organized by The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Santa Barbara, CA, United States Major Assignment Page 30
  • 31. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan “SESRIC Reports On the Global Financial Crisis. The Eurozone Debt Crisis: A Second Wave of the Global Crisis?”. (2011). Statistical Economic and Social Research and Training Centre for Islamic Countries (SESRIC), pp.10-15 Severino, R. C. (2008). “Global Financial Crisis Implications for ASEAN”. ASEAN Studies Centre, 49 Shirakawa, M. (2009). “Coping with Financial Crisis – Japan‟s Experiences and Current Global FInancial Crisis”. Bank of International Settlements Stiglitz, J. (2008). “Let‟s throw away the rule book; Bretton Woods II must establish economic doctrines that work in emerging economies as well as in capitalism‟s heartland”. The Guardian, October 22, 2008. The Daily News, Friday November 28th, 2008. Stiglitz, J. (2008b). “A crisis of confidence”, The Guardian, October 22, 2008. The Daily News, Friday November 28th, 2008. Sutela, P. (2010). “Russia‟s Response to the Global Financial Crisis”. Carnegie Endowment For International Peace, pp.3-5 Tang, H, L. Lin, L, H. Chen, H, H. Su. C, H. Hsiao S, T. ( 2009). “Does Japanese Government Increase Its Role in Financial Crisis?”, pp.1-18 Tellis, A. J., Marble, A., & Tanner, T. (2009). "Economic Meltdown and Geopolitical Stability". The National Bureau of Asian Research Ulrike, S. (1996). “The 1995 financial crisis in Japan”. Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy, UC Berkeley, pp.1-38. U.S Department of State Diplomacy in Action, “Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs” at: http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/4142.htm, Accessed on 7th April, 2012, re-visited on Major Assignment Page 31
  • 32. Current Global Financial Crisis & Implications on IFI: Japan 8th April, 2012 Warwick, J. M. & Stoeckel, A. (2009). “The Global Financial Crisis: Causes and Consequences”. Working Papers in International Economics Winkler, A. (1995). “Russia‟s Changing Financial System”. The Monetary Situation in Early Summer 1995. IPC Working Paper, (6), pp. 1- 17 Yamaguchi, H. (2009). “Challenges for Japanese Financial Institutions after the Financial Crisis”. Paper presented at the Retail Finance Strategy Conference (Tokyo, 2009). pp.4-5. Major Assignment Page 32