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Global Business Trends and the
Implications for the Meetings Industry
    IMEX Frankfurt
     May 26th 2011
       Rohit Talwar
    CEO - Fast Future
  rohit@fastfuture.com
  www.fastfuture.com
www.convention-2020.com
Convention 2020
•   Global strategic foresight study to help the meetings industry prepare for
    the decade ahead - Industry-wide sponsors
•   Multiple outputs Nov 2009 – December 2011
•   Current studies on future strategies for venues and destinations
Growth is not Guaranteed
Thinking is Back in Fashion
Transformational Change?
   It’s Only Just Begun
Demographic Destinies
 2 billion more people in 40 years –
Demographics is Driving Economics

         448    739 691                     5231
  344

                      1998             4157
         729      1030
   585




               2010          2050   Source : United Nations
Life Redefined –
        Lifespans are Increasing
Under 50’s have 90%
chance of living to 100.

Aubrey de Grey suggests
we could live to 500 or 1000

What are the health,
housing, consumption and
resource implications?

What kind of opportunities
will be created?
BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers
 and Emeriti: Origin Countries
35   33

30

25
          20
20

15              14


10                       8
                                 6
                                          5
 5                                                4
                                                          3    3
                                                                   2   2
                                                                           1   1   1   1   1
 0




               Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011
New Industry Models and Mindsets
Swoopo - The $17,739 iPad
Access vs. Ownership
Think Like the Customer
 e.g. Open Innovation
Learning Investments
TMT – Convergence and Immersion

Telephony                                     Connectivity
•   Voice                                     •   Cellular
•   Messaging                                 •   Up to 14 bands
•   SIM card                                  •   WLAN/BT
•   Phonebook                                 •   GPS
•   Ring Tones                                •   NFC
•   Security                                  •   FM



Data/                                         Multimedia
Enterprise                                    • Camera 8-16M
•   100Mbps                                   • Camcorder
•   Email                                     • 24M Color Display
•   IMS                                       • Memory (160GB)
•   Browsing                                  • Multiformat A/V
                                              • HD Video/TV out
•   VPN
                                              • Games
•   PIM
•   Ecommerce
                 Software                       (50-100M Tps)
                 •   Protocols                • DRM
•   Payments
                 •   Middleware
                 •   Applications
                 •   User Interface
                 •   Minimize fragmentation
What I Want – When I Want
New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
Internet of Things
Augmented Reality /
Interactive Data Eyeglasses
Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
Future Growth Industries
Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015




    Source: PR Log, December 2010
Rising Infrastructure Spending
• CIBC projects up to $35
  trillion in public works
  by 2030 (1)
• Annual spend:
   – North America
     $180Bn
   – Europe $205Bn
   – Asia $400Bn
   – Africa $10Bn
Airport Expansion by 2020
       China from ~150 to 244
       India from ~100 to 150
Opening Up Education
Transforming Healthcare
Green Transport Revolution
New Energy Solutions
Reinventing Retail
Nanomaterials - $100Bn
European Smart Grid - $200Bn+
Bio-pharma - $319Bn by 2020




Source: PwC, ABLE, 2010
Industrial Biotech - $659Bn by 2020




     Source: Economist, June 2010
3D Printing - $1Tn+?
Conclusions – Playing to Win

• Think Customer
• Focus on Growth Markets
• Be Visible
Next Steps – June – Dec 2011


• Venue Strategies
• Destination
  Strategies
• Technology
  Timeline
• Association Events
• Corporate Events
Next Steps – How Can You Get Involved?

• Future Reports – Give us Feedback
• Take part in Pulse Surveys
• Contribute Expert Papers
• Run / Host a Workshop / Survey
• Student Essay Competition
• Suggest Research Topics - tell us what you’d like to see
• Ask about the sponsorship benefits


rohit@fastfuture.com      www.convention-2020.com
Fast Future – Meetings Industry Services

• Briefings and workshops for executive
  management and boards of venues, CVB’s and
  associations
• Customised research on trends, technologies
  and new markets
• Development of strategies and business plans
• ‘Deep dives’ on key trends and technology
  developments
• Consultancy and workshop facilitation on
  innovation and new business models

                                                 38
Fast Future
•   Research, consulting, speaking, leadership
•   5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments,
    people, trends and forces shaping the future
•   Clients
     – Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI
     – Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel,
        Samsung, GSK, SAP, Orange, O2, E&Y, KPMG,
        Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING,
        Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank
     – Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria,
        Singapore, UK, US
     – Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London,
        San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban,
        Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen
     – Convention Centres – Melbourne,
        Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC
     – Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred,
     – Intercontinental
     – Congrex, Kenes
     – Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group
Future Convention Cities Initiative
•   Cities that want to be at the leading edge of delivering business events
•   Focus on maximising long term economic benefit of events
•   Research, sharing of expertise and best practices
•   Meet four time a year
•   Initiated and co-ordinated by Fast Future
Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation
             Objectives
• Identify change drivers and
  key success characteristics
  for the globally branded hotel
  sector over the next decade
• Examine the implications for:
  – Hotel strategy
  – Brand portfolio
  – Business models
  – Customer targeting
  – Innovation
Rohit Talwar
•   Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.
•   Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic
    innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on
    5 continents
•   Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008
•   Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10
    Global Future Thinkers
•   Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic
    consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications,
    technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism,
    environment, food and government sectors
•   Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De
    Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM,
    ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis,
    OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell,
    Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations
    and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai,
    Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
•   To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email
    rohit@fastfuture.com
Designing Your Future
      Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing
          Association and Nonprofit Leaders
• 50 key trends
• 100 emerging trends
• 10 major patterns of change
• Key challenges and choices for
  leaders
• Strategic decision making
  framework
• Scenarios for 2012
• Key futures tools and techniques
• Published August 2008
• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95
• Email invoice request to
  rohit@fastfuture.com
Our Services
                                    Bespoke research; Identification &
                                    Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers &
                                    Shocks
  Public Speaking, In-
  Company Briefings,                                 Accelerated Scenario
  Seminars and                                       Planning, Timelining &
  Workshops                                          Future Mapping

Personal Futuring for
Leaders and Leadership                               Expert Consultations &
Teams                                                Futures Think Tanks

                                                   Identification of
    Design & Facilitation of                       Opportunities for
    Innovation, Incubation                         Innovation and Strategic
    & Venturing
    Programmes                 Strategy Creation & Investment
                               Development of
                               Implementation
                               Roadmaps
Example Projects
•   Public and private client research e.g. :
     – Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events
     – Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events
     – One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry
     – Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies
     – The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020
     – Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia
     – Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030
     – Scenario Projects – Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030
     – Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration
     – Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society
         of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership
     – Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020
     – The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers
     – Winning in India and China
•   Strategic advice to industry players
•   Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams
•   Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events
•   Future thinking workshops and retreats
Example Clients

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Rohit talwar global business trends and the implications for the meetings industry imex 26 05 11

  • 1. Global Business Trends and the Implications for the Meetings Industry IMEX Frankfurt May 26th 2011 Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future rohit@fastfuture.com www.fastfuture.com www.convention-2020.com
  • 2. Convention 2020 • Global strategic foresight study to help the meetings industry prepare for the decade ahead - Industry-wide sponsors • Multiple outputs Nov 2009 – December 2011 • Current studies on future strategies for venues and destinations
  • 3. Growth is not Guaranteed
  • 4. Thinking is Back in Fashion
  • 5. Transformational Change? It’s Only Just Begun
  • 6. Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years – Demographics is Driving Economics 448 739 691 5231 344 1998 4157 729 1030 585 2010 2050 Source : United Nations
  • 7. Life Redefined – Lifespans are Increasing Under 50’s have 90% chance of living to 100. Aubrey de Grey suggests we could live to 500 or 1000 What are the health, housing, consumption and resource implications? What kind of opportunities will be created?
  • 8. BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers and Emeriti: Origin Countries 35 33 30 25 20 20 15 14 10 8 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011
  • 9.
  • 10. New Industry Models and Mindsets
  • 11. Swoopo - The $17,739 iPad
  • 13. Think Like the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
  • 15. TMT – Convergence and Immersion Telephony Connectivity • Voice • Cellular • Messaging • Up to 14 bands • SIM card • WLAN/BT • Phonebook • GPS • Ring Tones • NFC • Security • FM Data/ Multimedia Enterprise • Camera 8-16M • 100Mbps • Camcorder • Email • 24M Color Display • IMS • Memory (160GB) • Browsing • Multiformat A/V • HD Video/TV out • VPN • Games • PIM • Ecommerce Software (50-100M Tps) • Protocols • DRM • Payments • Middleware • Applications • User Interface • Minimize fragmentation
  • 16. What I Want – When I Want
  • 17. New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
  • 20. Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
  • 22. Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015 Source: PR Log, December 2010
  • 23. Rising Infrastructure Spending • CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1) • Annual spend: – North America $180Bn – Europe $205Bn – Asia $400Bn – Africa $10Bn
  • 24. Airport Expansion by 2020 China from ~150 to 244 India from ~100 to 150
  • 31. European Smart Grid - $200Bn+
  • 32. Bio-pharma - $319Bn by 2020 Source: PwC, ABLE, 2010
  • 33. Industrial Biotech - $659Bn by 2020 Source: Economist, June 2010
  • 34. 3D Printing - $1Tn+?
  • 35. Conclusions – Playing to Win • Think Customer • Focus on Growth Markets • Be Visible
  • 36. Next Steps – June – Dec 2011 • Venue Strategies • Destination Strategies • Technology Timeline • Association Events • Corporate Events
  • 37. Next Steps – How Can You Get Involved? • Future Reports – Give us Feedback • Take part in Pulse Surveys • Contribute Expert Papers • Run / Host a Workshop / Survey • Student Essay Competition • Suggest Research Topics - tell us what you’d like to see • Ask about the sponsorship benefits rohit@fastfuture.com www.convention-2020.com
  • 38. Fast Future – Meetings Industry Services • Briefings and workshops for executive management and boards of venues, CVB’s and associations • Customised research on trends, technologies and new markets • Development of strategies and business plans • ‘Deep dives’ on key trends and technology developments • Consultancy and workshop facilitation on innovation and new business models 38
  • 39. Fast Future • Research, consulting, speaking, leadership • 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments, people, trends and forces shaping the future • Clients – Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI – Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel, Samsung, GSK, SAP, Orange, O2, E&Y, KPMG, Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING, Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank – Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria, Singapore, UK, US – Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London, San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban, Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen – Convention Centres – Melbourne, Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC – Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred, – Intercontinental – Congrex, Kenes – Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group
  • 40. Future Convention Cities Initiative • Cities that want to be at the leading edge of delivering business events • Focus on maximising long term economic benefit of events • Research, sharing of expertise and best practices • Meet four time a year • Initiated and co-ordinated by Fast Future
  • 41. Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation Objectives • Identify change drivers and key success characteristics for the globally branded hotel sector over the next decade • Examine the implications for: – Hotel strategy – Brand portfolio – Business models – Customer targeting – Innovation
  • 42. Rohit Talwar • Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research. • Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on 5 continents • Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008 • Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10 Global Future Thinkers • Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications, technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism, environment, food and government sectors • Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM, ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis, OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell, Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore. • To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email rohit@fastfuture.com
  • 43. Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing Association and Nonprofit Leaders • 50 key trends • 100 emerging trends • 10 major patterns of change • Key challenges and choices for leaders • Strategic decision making framework • Scenarios for 2012 • Key futures tools and techniques • Published August 2008 • Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95 • Email invoice request to rohit@fastfuture.com
  • 44. Our Services Bespoke research; Identification & Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers & Shocks Public Speaking, In- Company Briefings, Accelerated Scenario Seminars and Planning, Timelining & Workshops Future Mapping Personal Futuring for Leaders and Leadership Expert Consultations & Teams Futures Think Tanks Identification of Design & Facilitation of Opportunities for Innovation, Incubation Innovation and Strategic & Venturing Programmes Strategy Creation & Investment Development of Implementation Roadmaps
  • 45. Example Projects • Public and private client research e.g. : – Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events – Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events – One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry – Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies – The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020 – Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia – Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030 – Scenario Projects – Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030 – Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration – Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership – Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020 – The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers – Winning in India and China • Strategic advice to industry players • Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams • Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events • Future thinking workshops and retreats