Slides regarding Onshore Wind at the Eversheds event: Attracting and Maintaining Institutional Investment in Renewable Energy - 2nd July 2012

1. Onshore wind
Bronwyn Sutton
Senior Renewable Energy
Consultant
2 July 2012

2. SgurrEnergy today
• Leading engineering consultancy
• Formed in 2002
• Joined Wood Group in 2010
• Global network of offices
• 100+ experienced personnel
• People and technology focused
• Company wide triple BSI accreditation & UKAS
ISO/IEC accreditation for wind farm power curve
analysis

3. What do we do?
Products
SgurrEnergy personnel hold unparalleled knowledge to ensure successful
renewable energy project delivery
Wind Offshore Wind Wave & Tidal Solar Bio-energy Hydro

4. Our network of local offices

5. Global track record
We have consulted on over 65,000 MW of renewable energy in over 40
countries covering both project development and due diligence
Europe Asia Africa
• Belgium • China • Angola
• Bulgaria • India • Kenya
• Estonia • Israel • South Africa
• France • Korea Oceania
• Germany • Mongolia
• Greece
• Australia
• Pakistan
• New Zealand
• Ireland • Philippines
• Italy • Sri Lanka
• Malta • Turkey
• Netherlands • United Arab Emirates
• Norway • Vietnam
• Poland
• Portugal
North America
• Russia • Canada
• Romania • Mexico
• Slovakia • USA
• Spain South America
• Sweden • Brazil
• UK • Chile
• Ukraine • Galapagos Islands (Ecuador)

6. 2010
How bad was it really?

7. 2010

8. 2010
• Variation in wind speed across
the UK in 2010
• Showing % deviation from the
long term (20 year) average
• West worse affected than the
East.
• 1% deviation in wind ≈ 2%
deviation in power.

9. Interannual Variation
125%
• Variation expected
year to year
Annual Wind Speed Normalised to 15 year Long-term Wind Speed
120%
• Short term 115%
measurements need 110%
to be corrected to
105%
long term forecasts
100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
UK 15 year average Scotland England Wales

10. Interannual variation
• Reference data sources – representative and
consistent
• Correction methods
• Minimising uncertainty

11. SgurrEnergy Performance
• Recent (2011) comparison of 37 organisations – all
doing the same energy yield prediction on the same
data
• SgurrEnergy is number 27 here
P90 values

12. New Entrants

13. New Entrants
8
WTG product range (MW) 7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
WTG Manufacturer

14. Bankability - organisation
• Track record
• Reputation
• Who will go the distance?

15. Bankability – wind turbines
• Track record
• Certification
• Product evolution
• Quality assurance
• Contractual backup
Photograph courtesy of www.siemens.com

17. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium

18. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium

19. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
• 11 x 7.5MW
• 126m rotor
• 135m hub
• 198m tip
• 2009

20. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
• 11 x 7.5MW
• 126m rotor
• 135m hub
• 198m tip
• 2009

21. Enercon E126, Estinnes, Belgium
Just 2 hours drive from Calais!

22. Any questions?
Email: bronwyn.sutton@sgurrenergy.com
Tel: 0141 227 1700
225 Bath Street, Glasgow,G2 4GZ
sgurrenergy.com

23. Development Process
Risk and Pitfalls – how to avoid them
Richard Mardon

24. Who Are We?
• Founded in 2010
• Backed by ESB Novusmodus, PE fund of
ESB (Ireland)
• Development partnership with Savills
• Four consents already ~ 16 MW (8 WTGs)
• Personally, 25yrs experience in power/
infrastructure, 12yrs in wind. Past MD of
Your Energy ~ 200MW consented/built

25. State of Play of UK Onshore Wind
• 4,900 MW operational (325 projects)
• 1,500 MW in construction (52)
• 4,300 MW consented / not built (262)
• 7,400 MW in planning (328)
• 2020 targets ~ 10-13GW (DECC Roadmap)
Ø Ops + Constr. = 6.4 GW
Ø Ops + Constr. + 50% Cons. = 8.6 GW
Ø Ops + Constr. + 50% Cons. + 25% Plan. = 10.4 GW

26. UK onshore wind farm development
Some Common Mantras…
• There are some things you can control and a lot
of things you cannot
• There is no such thing as a perfect project
• Time / speed is of the essence
• Without local support (Parish / Ward Cllr.) you
have an uphill struggle
• Wind speed is critical! (7m/s+)

27. A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology!

28. Major No-Go Areas – Parks / Airports
6

29. A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology!

30. Geographical Information Systems
GIS Mapping
• Wind Speed
• Land Designations
• Proximity Buffers

31. A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology

32. Nearly there – willing landowner?
10

33. A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology

34. Detailed Micro-siting / Design
12

35. Preliminary Layout
13

36. A to Z of wind farm development
Aviation Jockeys (Horses) Residences
Bats Keen Landowner Safety
Cultural Heritage Landscape Telecoms
Designations MOD Underground
Ecology Noise Viability
Fauna Ornithology Wind
Grid Politics X-Roads
Hydrology Quangos Yuppies
Infrasound Zoology

37. Then 12 months of studies….
15

38. Before you face the chamber…
….25% success rate
16

39. You tick all the boxes – what next?
• With a recommendation for approval
then planning appeal >75% success
• Local consultation vital – Parish / Ward
• Projects < 5MW ~ 80% success rate
• Local “benefits” – jobs, community
benefit (£5k/MW) and direct power sales
• Brownfield / developed land sites
17

40. Thanks – any questions?
richardmardon@airvolutionenergy.com