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‘ Dizziness  from Success’? Has the ‘Russian Security’ Leadership Been a ‘Victim’ of Its Battlefield Success Due its Overwhelming Force and Ability to Disrupt Insurgent Military/Political Networks in the Caucasian Conflicts? ‘ Illicit Networks Workshop 6-7 December 2010 Ethan S. Burger, Senior Lecturer Centre for Transnational Crime Prevention University of Wollongong – Faculty of Law ethansb@uow.edu.au
Declaratory & Action Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Momentum & Tipping Points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Yes, I know I am the Last Presenter !  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Yes, I know I am the Last Presenter !
Law No. 35-FZ “On Countering Terrorism,” March 2006. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Russian Military Doctrine ,[object Object],[object Object]
Jason Lyall’s Findings American Political Science Review (Feb 2010) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dynamic Network Analysis Theory ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Certain Critical Concepts (1 of 2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Critical Concepts (2 of 2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Illustrations of Network Analysis Note that each figure has 50 nodes.
Sample Networking Data
Too Much [Meaningless] Data?
What are the Russians Doing? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Various Underlying Themes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What Should be the Key Question? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Policy Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Dizziness from Success -- Russia\'s Policy in the Northern Caucasus

  • 1. ‘ Dizziness from Success’? Has the ‘Russian Security’ Leadership Been a ‘Victim’ of Its Battlefield Success Due its Overwhelming Force and Ability to Disrupt Insurgent Military/Political Networks in the Caucasian Conflicts? ‘ Illicit Networks Workshop 6-7 December 2010 Ethan S. Burger, Senior Lecturer Centre for Transnational Crime Prevention University of Wollongong – Faculty of Law ethansb@uow.edu.au
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Yes, I know I am the Last Presenter !
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Illustrations of Network Analysis Note that each figure has 50 nodes.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.