Consumption Patterns of Livestock Products in Ethiopia

Consumption Patterns of Livestock Products in Ethiopia: Elasticity Estimates Using HICE (2004/05) Survey Data Kibrom Tafere Ibrahim Worku IFPRI ESSP-II Ethiopian Economic Association Conference July 21, 2011 Addis Ababa ETHIOPIAN DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Outline of Presentation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Introduction: Why Demand Elasticities?

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Consumption Patterns Beef Mutton & goat meat Chicken Other meat (camel, pork, crocodile...) Fish & fish products Dairy products Egg Honey National 40.9 8.3 7.3 0.5 0.4 39.5 2.6 0.8 Urban 55.8 11.7 9.3 0.5 0.3 17.4 4.7 0.7 Rural 37.9 7.6 6.9 0.5 0.5 44.1 2.2 0.9 Exp. Quintiles Q1 43.0 7.4 7.8 0.5 0.5 38.5 2.0 0.7 Q2 39.9 7.5 7.1 0.5 0.4 42.1 2.0 0.8 Q3 41.0 7.2 7.4 0.5 0.4 41.0 2.2 0.7 Q4 40.5 8.8 7.4 0.4 0.5 39.2 2.7 0.9 Q5 40.4 10.3 6.8 0.4 0.4 37.1 4.0 1.0

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Consumption Patterns (cont’d)

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Consumption Patterns (cont’d) Beef Mutton & goat meat Chicken Other meat (camel, pork, crocodile...) Fish & fish products Dairy products Egg Honey Total Meat National 3.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 16.7 0.2 0.1 4.6 Urban 6.8 3.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.5 0.5 0.1 9.9 Rural 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 18.4 0.1 0.1 3.5 Exp. Quintiles Q1 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 Q2 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 15.2 0.1 0.1 3.1 Q3 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 16.9 0.1 0.1 3.9 Q4 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 19.9 0.2 0.1 5.0 Q5 5.3 2.7 1.3 0.1 0.1 20.6 0.5 0.1 8.0

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Consumption Patterns (cont’d) Beef Mutton & goat meat Chicken Other meat (camel, pork, crocodile...) Fish & fish products Dairy products Egg Honey Total National 17.5 8.8 3.6 0.5 0.4 34.6 1.1 0.7 67.3 Urban 39.2 19.3 8.6 0.7 0.3 23.1 3.5 1.2 95.8 Rural 13.1 6.7 2.6 0.5 0.4 36.9 0.6 0.7 61.4 Exp. Quintiles Q1 9.0 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 18.9 0.3 0.3 34.7 Q2 11.4 6.0 2.2 0.5 0.6 32.3 0.4 0.7 53.9 Q3 14.8 7.2 2.9 0.5 0.1 31.7 0.6 0.5 58.3 Q4 19.2 9.3 3.8 0.5 0.7 41.4 1.0 0.7 76.7 Q5 31.3 16.6 7.1 0.6 0.4 46.1 3.0 1.4 106.6

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Consumption Patterns (cont’d)

[object Object],[object Object],Methodology - Model

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Methodology - Issues

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Methodology – Data; Specification

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Results Total Urban Rural Beef 0.939*** 0.896*** 0.985*** [0.0178] [0.0198] [0.0423] Mutton & Goat meat 0.671*** 0.304*** 0.917*** [0.1268] [0.1138] [0.1361] Other meat & animal products 0.538*** 0.519*** 1.045*** [0.0455] [0.0551] [0.0757] Dairy products 0.420*** 0.389*** 0.479*** [0.0148] [0.0136] [0.0061]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Results (cont’d)

[object Object],[object Object],Results (cont’d) Beef Mutton & Goat meat Other meat & animal products Dairy products Beef Total -0.733*** 0.391*** 0.083*** 0.259*** [0.0233] [0.0193] [0.0073] [0.0105] Urban -0.665*** 0.382*** 0.136*** 0.147*** [0.0235] [0.0176] [0.0071] [0.0087] Rural -0.793*** 0.378*** 0.031 0.386*** [0.0786] [0.0577] [0.0266] [0.0331] Mutton & Goat meat Total 1.554*** -1.465*** 0.069 -0.158* [0.1003] [0.1144] [0.0426] [0.0846] Urban 1.889*** -1.882*** 0.184*** -0.192*** [0.1103] [0.1144] [0.0378] [0.0613] Rural 2.822*** -2.008*** -0.292 -0.523** [0.6603] [0.4221] [0.2907] [0.2565] Other meat & animal products Total 0.403*** 0.395*** -0.996*** 0.194*** [0.0285] [0.0337] [0.0229] [0.0336] Urban 0.71*** 0.181*** -0.988*** 0.071** [0.0476] [0.0386] [0.0228] [0.0289] Rural -0.056 0.289 -1.039*** 0.806*** [0.233] [0.1926] [0.0698] [0.0989] Dairy products Total 0.405*** -0.249*** 0.28*** -0.669*** [0.0244] [0.0344] [0.0152] [0.0344] Urban 0.06 0.062 0.304*** -0.523** [0.098] [0.0868] [0.0289] [0.2613] Rural 0.134 -0.009 0.247*** -0.151** [0.1256] [0.0618] [0.0577] [0.0746]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Results (cont’d)

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Conclusion

Consumption Patterns of Livestock Products in Ethiopia

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Consumption Patterns of Livestock Products in Ethiopia