Mark Harvey - Europe on the road to nowhere
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Presentation given at a Westminster Energy, Environment & Transport Biofuel seminar at the Royal Society on 22nd July 2010
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Mark Harvey - Europe on the road to nowhere
- 1. Europe on the road to nowhere Professor Mark Harvey Westminster Energy, Environment & Transport Forum Biofuels 21 st July 2010
Editor's Notes
- Based on a 3 year research project comparing the innovation trajectories in the three major biofuel producing regions, the USA, Brazil, and Europe. I could have added a question mark to the provocative title – but in current circumstances of government spending, I decided to remove it.
- The signals from climate change are too diffuse, too long term, and fall unevenly on those economies most capable of generating renewable transport energy. The signals from peak oil, especially increasing volatility of prices, have also been insufficient to overcome the lock-in to the a pervasive, global, and integrated technological platform of the petro-chemical industry. The evidence is that only political and strategic response that combine perspectives of climate change mitigation with those of energy security are currently driving forward innovation with anything approaching sufficient urgency.
- Much lower ambitions for renewable transport energy than the US. No substantial investment programme in 2G biodiesel, which requires much greater technological change in feedstocks, refinery, fuel and powertrains than 2G bioethanol. Hybrids will continue to depend on liquid transport fuels, HGVs and long distance travel, also likely to continue to depend on fossil fuels. Fleet legacies and ICEs suggest powerful lock in at the vehicle end, and energy distribution end. Tarrifs Lloyds 360 report. Sustainable Energy Security Committee for Climate Change Report, Building a low-carbon economy.