1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT
6TH FEBRUARY 2013
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
2. HEADLINES
Record High Output Index
Sends Euro Above 1.35
Dollar Sanguine after
Second Biggest EUR/USD
Drop in 6 Months
Yen Pins Rebound Hopes
TRADING TIPS On Soft US Data, Europe
Jitters
SELL EURUSD
Sterling Tests 1.58 on
BELLOW 1.3455 tgs Return to Increasing
1.3441/1.3427 sl Services Activity
1.3469
THE TAKEAWAY: UK PMI for services rises to 51.5 in
January -> PMI supports hopes for economic growth in
BUY USDJPY ABOW Q1 -> Sterling tests 1.5800
93.04 tgt
The UK services industry returned to increased activity
93.18/93.32 SL 92.84
in January, according to Markit’s Purchasing Managers’
Index. The PMI for services was reported at 51.5,
beating expectations for 49.5 and higher than
BUY GBPUSD ABOVE
December’s 48.9 PMI. The UK services PMI dipped
1.5804 tgt below the neutral 50.0 result in December for the first
time in two years.
1.5818/1.5832 SL
1.5784
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
CNY Non-
Sun
01:00 manufacturing PMI Medium 56.2 56.1
Feb 3
(JAN)
AUD TD Securities
23:30 Medium 2.5% 2.4%
Inflation (YoY) (JAN)
AUD TD Securities
23:30 Low 0.3% 0.4%
Inflation (MoM) (JAN)
JPY Monetary Base
23:50 Low 10.9% 11.8%
(YoY) (JAN)
Mon GBP Halifax House
Low 1.6% -0.3%
Feb 4 Price (3MoY) (JAN)
GBP Halifax Plc House
Prices s.a. (MoM) Low 0% 1.3%
(JAN)
NZD ANZ Commodity
00:00 Low 0.3% 1.0%
Price (JAN)
GBP Lloyds Business
00:01 Low 15 20
Barometer (JAN)
AUD ANZ Job
00:30 Advertisements (MoM) Low -0.9% -2.80%
(JAN)
AUD Building
00:30 Approvals (MoM) Low -4.4% 1.0% 3.4%
(DEC)
AUD Building
00:30 Low 9.3% 14.9% 14.1%
Approvals (YoY) (DEC)
CHF UBS Real Estate
07:00 Low 1.11 1.02
Bubble Index (4Q)
EUR Euro-Zone Sentix
09:30 Investor Confidence Medium -3.9 -1.7 -7
(FEB)
GBP Purchasing
09:30 Manager Index Medium 48.7 49.2 48.7
Construction (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Producer Price Index High 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
(YoY) (DEC)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Producer Price Index Medium -0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
(MoM) (DEC)
EUR German
Chancellor Merkel and
14:45 Medium
Spanish PM Rajoy Hold
Press Conference
USD Factory Orders
15:00 Medium 2.3% 0.0%
(DEC)
NZD Average Hourly
21:45 Medium 0.4% 1.4%
Earnings (QoQ) (4Q)
NZD Labor Cost
21:45 Private Sector (QoQ) Low 0.5% 0.5%
(4Q)
NZD Private Wages ex
21:45 Low 0.5% 0.5%
Overtime (QoQ) (4Q)
9. AUD AiG Performance
22:30 Medium 43.2
of Service Index (JAN)
Tue GBP BRC Sales Like-
00:01 Low 0.3%
Feb 5 For-Like YoY (JAN)
AUD House Price Index
00:30 Medium 0.3% 0.3%
(QoQ) (4Q)
AUD House Price Index
00:30 Medium 0.9% 0.3%
(YoY) (4Q)
AUD Trade Balance
00:30 (Australian dollar) Medium -800M -2637M
(DEC)
CNY HSBC Services
01:45 Medium 51.7
PMI (JAN)
AUD Reserve Bank of
03:30 Australia Rate Decision High 3.00% 3.00%
(FEB 5)
CHF Trade Balance
07:00 Medium 2.00B 2.90B
(Swiss franc) (DEC)
CHF Exports (MoM)
07:00 Low 6.0%
(DEC)
CHF Imports (MoM)
07:00 Low 0.2%
(DEC)
EUR Italian Purchasing
08:45 Manager Index Medium 45.8 45.6
Services (JAN)
EUR French
08:50 Purchasing Manager Medium 43.6 43.6
Index Services (JAN F)
GBP Purchasing
09:30 Manager Index Medium 49.5 48.9
Services (JAN)
GBP Official Reserves
09:30 Low -$350M
(Changes) (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone Retail
10:00 High -1.4% -2.6%
Sales (YoY) (DEC)
EUR Euro-Zone Retail
10:00 Medium -0.5% 0.1%
Sales (MoM) (DEC)
USD ISM Non-
15:00 Manufacutring Medium 55.0 55.7
Composite (JAN)
USD IBD/TIPP
15:00 Economic Optimism Low 46.5 46.5
(FEB)
GBP New Car
Wed
Registrations (YoY) Low 3.7%
Feb 6
(JAN)
GBP BRC Shop Price
00:01 Low 1.5%
Index (YoY) (JAN)
AUD Retail Sales Ex
00:30 Medium 0.3% -0.1%
Inflation(QoQ) (4Q)
AUD Retail Sales s.a.
00:30 Medium 0.3% -0.1%
(MoM) (DEC)
10. JPY BOJ Board
01:30 Low
Member Sato Speech
EUR German Factory
11:00 Orders n.s.a. (YoY) Medium -1.2% -1.0%
(DEC)
EUR German Factory
11:00 Orders s.a. (MoM) Low 0.7% -1.8%
(DEC)
USD MBA Mortgage
12:00 Low -8.1%
Applications (FEB 1)
CAD Ivey Purchasing
15:00 Managers Index SA Medium 53.8 52.8
(JAN)
USD DOE Cushing OK
15:30 Crude Inventory (FEB Low 284K
1)
USD DOE U.S. Crude
15:30 Low 5947K
Oil Inventories (FEB 1)
USD DOE U.S.
15:30 Distillate Inventory Low -2315K
(FEB 1)
USD DOE U.S.
15:30 Gasoline Inventories Low -956K
(FEB 1)
NZD Employment
21:45 Medium -0.4%
Change (QoQ) (4Q)
NZD Employment
21:45 Medium 0.0%
Change (YoY) (4Q)
NZD Unemployment
21:45 Medium 7.3%
Rate (4Q)
NZD Participation Rate
21:45 Low 68.4%
(QoQ) (4Q)
AUD AiG Performance
22:30 of Construction Index Medium 38.8
(JAN)
JPY Machine Orders
23:50 Medium -0.9% 3.9%
(MoM) (DEC)
JPY Machine Orders
23:50 Medium -4.0% 0.3%
(YoY) (DEC)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low -¥228.8B
(FEB 1)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥248.6B
(FEB 1)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low ¥663.1B
(FEB 1)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥254.1B
(FEB 1)
JPY Official Reserve
23:50 Low $1268.1B
Assets (JAN)
EUR German
Thu
Wholesale Price Index Low 0.0%
Feb 7
(MoM) (JAN)
11. EUR German
Wholesale Price Index Low 3.2%
(YoY) (JAN)
AUD Employment
00:30 High 6.0K -5.5K
Change (JAN)
AUD Unemployment
00:30 High 5.5% 5.4%
Rate (JAN)
AUD Full Time
00:30 Employment Change Medium -13.8K
(JAN)
AUD NAB Business
00:30 Medium -2
Confidence (4Q)
AUD Part Time
00:30 Employment Change Medium 8.3K
(JAN)
AUD Participation Rate
00:30 Low 65.1% 65.1%
(JAN)
JPY Leading Index
05:00 Medium 93.6 92.1
(DEC P)
JPY Coincident Index
05:00 Low 92.6 90.2
(DEC P)
AUD Foreign Reserves
05:30 (Australian dollar) Low A$47.3B
(JAN)
CHF SECO Consumer
06:45 Medium -12 -17
Confidence (JAN)
EUR French Trade
07:45 Low -4200M -4334M
Balance (euros) (DEC)
CHF Foreign Currency
08:00 Low 428.5B 427.2B
Reserves (JAN)
GBP Industrial
09:30 Production (YoY) Medium -2.2% -2.4%
(DEC)
GBP Manufacturing
09:30 Production (YoY) Medium -2.6% -2.1%
(DEC)
GBP Visible Trade
09:30 Balance (Pounds) Medium -£9000 -£9164
(DEC)
GBP Industrial
09:30 Production (MoM) Low 0.7% 0.3%
(DEC)
GBP Manufacturing
09:30 Production (MoM) Low 0.6% -0.3%
(DEC)
GBP Total Trade
09:30 Balance (Pounds) Low -£3300 -£3466
(DEC)
GBP Trade Balance
09:30 Non EU (Pounds) Low -£4300 -£4519
(DEC)
EUR European
Commission Releases
10:00 Medium
Economic Growth
Forecasts (Table)
12. EUR German Industrial
11:00 Production n.s.a. and Medium -0.5% -2.9%
w.d.a. (YoY) (DEC)
EUR German Industrial
11:00 Production s.a. (MoM) Low 0.2% 0.2%
(DEC)
GBP BOE Asset
12:00 High 375B 375B
Purchase Target (FEB)
GBP Bank of England
12:00 High 0.5% 0.50%
Rate Decision (FEB 7)
EUR European Central
12:45 Bank Rate Decision High 0.75% 0.75%
(FEB 7)
EUR ECB Deposit
12:45 Low 0.0% 0.00%
Facility Rate (FEB 7)
CAD New Housing
13:30 Price Index (YoY) Medium 2.2%
(DEC)
USD Initial Jobless
13:30 Medium 360K 368K
Claims (FEB 3)
CAD Building Permits
13:30 Low -17.9%
(MoM) (DEC)
CAD New Housing
13:30 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.1% 0.1%
(DEC)
USD Continuing Claims
13:30 Low 3187K 3197K
(JAN 27)
USD Non-Farm
13:30 Low -1.0% 2.9%
Productivity (4Q P)
USD Unit Labor Costs
13:30 Low 3.0% -1.9%
(4Q P)
GBP NIESR Gross
15:00 Domestic Product Medium -0.3%
Estimate (JAN)
USD EIA Natural Gas
15:30 Storage Change (FEB Low -194
1)
USD Consumer Credit
20:00 Medium $14.500B $16.045B
(DEC)
JPY Trade Balance -
23:50 BOP Basis (Yen) Medium -¥560.3B -¥847.5B
(DEC)
JPY Adjusted Current
23:50 Account Total (Yen) Low ¥235.8B ¥225.9B
(DEC)
JPY Bank Lending
23:50 Low 1.4%
Banks ex-Trust (JAN)
JPY Bank Lending incl
23:50 Low 1.2%
Trusts (YoY) (JAN)
JPY Current Account
23:50 Low -154.3% -276.4%
Balance (YoY) (DEC)
JPY Current Account
23:50 Low -¥141.1B -¥222.4B
Total (Yen) (DEC)
13. JPY Housing Loans
23:50 Low 3.0%
(YoY) (4Q)
Fri CNY Exports (YoY)
Medium 17.1% 14.1%
Feb 8 (JAN)
CNY Imports (YoY)
Medium 23.5% 6.0%
(JAN)
CNY Trade Balance Medium $24.20B $31.62B
(USD) (JAN)
JPY Bankruptcies
04:30 Medium -13.8%
(YoY) (JAN)
JPY Eco Watchers
05:00 Medium 48 45.8
Survey: Current (JAN)
JPY Eco Watchers
05:00 Medium 51
Survey: Outlook (JAN)
CNY Consumer Price
05:30 High 2.1% 2.5%
Index (YoY) (JAN)
CNY Producer Price
05:30 Medium -1.6% -1.9%
Index (YoY) (JAN)
CHF Unemployment
06:45 Medium 3.4% 3.3%
Rate (JAN)
CHF Unemployment
06:45 Medium 3.1% 3.0%
Rate s.a. (JAN)
EUR German Trade
07:00 Medium 15.0B 17.0B
Balance (euros) (DEC)
EUR German Current
07:00 Low 17.0B 15.3B
Account (euros) (DEC)
EUR German Exports
07:00 Low 1.4% -3.4%
s.a. (MoM) (DEC)
EUR German Imports
07:00 Low 1.6% -3.7%
s.a. (MoM) (DEC)
EUR Bank of France
07:30 Business Sentiment Medium 95
(JAN)
EUR French Central
07:45 Government Balance Low -103.4B
(euros) (DEC)
CHF Retail Sales
08:15 Medium 2.9%
(Real) (YoY) (DEC)
EUR Italian Industrial
09:00 Production n.s.a. (YoY) Low -7.6%
(DEC)
EUR Italian Industrial
09:00 Production s.a. (MoM) Low 0.2% -1.0%
(DEC)
EUR Italian Industrial
09:00 Production w.d.a. (YoY) Low -7.6%
(DEC)
CAD Housing Starts
13:15 Medium 195.0K 198.0K
(JAN)
CAD Net Change in
13:30 High 4.0K 39.8K
Employment (JAN)
14. CAD Unemployment
13:30 High 7.2% 7.1%
Rate (JAN)
CAD Full Time
13:30 Employment Change Medium 41.2
(JAN)
CAD Part Time
13:30 Employment Change Medium -1.4
(JAN)
CAD Participation Rate
13:30 Medium 66.8
(JAN)
USD Trade Balance
13:30 Medium -$46.0B -$48.7B
(DEC)
CAD International
Merchandise Trade
13:30 Low -1.50B -1.96B
(Canadian dollar)
(DEC)
USD Wholesale
15:00 Low 0.4% 0.6%
Inventories (DEC)
www.epicresearch.co + 91 9752199966
15. Disclaimer
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable,
but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose
the product/s that suits them the most.
Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein
is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable.
This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility
The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report
does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors
independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a
financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information
given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information
herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to
epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is
browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as
a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any
surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer.
All Rights Reserved.
Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.
We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss
incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above
epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients
(Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or
Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then
Serious Legal Actions can be taken.
