Daily i-forex-report by epic research 1 february 2013
1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT
1ST FEBRUARY 2013
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
2. HEADLINES
Forex News: Record Low
German Unemployment
Fails to Spark a Euro Rally
Forex Analysis: Sideways
Trade Likely Before Friday
NFP, ISM Data
TRADING TIPS Forex Analysis: US Dollar
Selling Pauses As S&P 500
BUY EURUSD ABOVE Warns Of Weakness
1.3584 tgs Forex News: Record Low
1.3599/1.3614 sl German Unemployment
Fails to Spark a Euro Rally
1.3570
German unemployment in January fell by the most in
twelve months, and the unemployment rate fell back
BUY USDJPY BELOW
to the lowest point since Germany joined the Euro.
91.40 tgt 16,000 German workers found employment in January,
which was better than expectations for unemployment
91.56/91.71 SL 91.20
to rise by 8 thousand and even better than December’s
revised 2 thousand person drop in unemployment. The
unemployment rate fell to 6.8%, better than
SELL GBPUSD BELOW
expectations for the rate to remain at 6.9%.
1.5780 tgt
1.5760/1.5740 SL
1.5800
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
Sun CNY Industrial Profits
Jan 27
01:30 Medium 5.3% 3.0%
YTD (YoY) (DEC)
NZD Performance
21:30 Low 51.5 54.2
Services Index (DEC)
JPY Corporate Service
23:50 Low -0.4% -0.5% -0.5%
Price (YoY) (DEC)
Mon CNY Leading Index
Jan 28
Medium 100.21
(DEC)
GBP Hometrack
00:01 Housing Survey (MoM) Low 0.0% -0.1%
(JAN)
GBP Hometrack
00:01 Housing Survey (YoY) Low -0.3% -0.3%
(JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone M3
09:00 Low 3.7% 3.8% 3.4%
s.a. (3M) (DEC)
EUR Euro-Zone M3
09:00 Low 3.3% 3.9% 3.8%
s.a. (YoY) (DEC)
USD Durable Goods
13:30 High 2.0% 0.8%
Orders (DEC)
USD Durables Ex
13:30 Medium 0.8% 1.6%
Transportation (DEC)
USD Cap Goods
13:30 Orders Nondef Ex Air Low -1.0% 2.6%
(DEC)
USD Cap Goods Ship
13:30 Low 0.5% 2.0%
Nondef Ex Air (DEC)
USD Pending Home
15:00 Low 0.1% 1.7%
Sales (MoM) (DEC)
USD Pending Home
15:00 Medium 12.5% 8.9%
Sales (YoY) (DEC)
USD Dallas Fed
15:30 Manufacturing Activity Low 3.0 6.8
(JAN)
NZD Trade Balance
21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium -105M -700M
(DEC)
NZD Balance (YTD)
21:45 (New Zealand dollars) Medium -1870B -1457B
(DEC)
NZD Exports (New
21:45 Low 3.98B 3.81B
Zealand dollars) (DEC)
NZD Imports (New
21:45 Low 4.13B 4.51B
Zealand dollars) (DEC)
AUD Conference Board
23:00 Medium 0.2%
Leading Index (NOV)
Tue AUD NAB Business
00:30 Low -5
Jan 29 Conditions (DEC)
AUD NAB Business
00:30 Medium -9
Confidence (DEC)
9. JPY Small Business
05:00 Medium 43.8
Confidence (JAN)
EUR German Import
07:00 Price Index (MoM) Low -0.1% 0.0%
(DEC)
EUR German GfK
07:00 Consumer Confidence Medium 5.7 5.6
Survey (FEB)
EUR German Import
07:00 Price Index (YoY) Low 0.9% 1.1%
(DEC)
USD S&P/CS 20 City
14:00 Low 0.7% 0.7%
(MoM) s.a. (NOV)
USD S&P/Case-Shiller
14:00 Composite-20 (YoY) Low 5.6% 4.3%
(NOV)
USD S&P/Case-Shiller
14:00 Home Price Index Low 146.08
(NOV)
USD Consumer
15:00 High 64 65.1
Confidence (JAN)
NZD Building Permits
21:45 Low 6.0% -5.4%
(MoM) (DEC)
JPY Retail Trade s.a.
23:50 Low 0.4% 0.0%
(MoM) (DEC)
JPY Retail Trade (YoY)
23:50 Medium 0.3% 1.3%
(DEC)
JPY Large Retailers'
23:50 Medium -1.0% 0.9%
Sales (DEC)
AUD DEWR Internet
Wed
00:00 Skilled Vacancies Low -3.5%
Jan 30
(MoM) (DEC)
CHF UBS Consumption
07:00 Medium 1.23
Indicator (DEC)
CHF KOF Swiss
08:00 Medium 1.2 1.28
Leading Indicator (JAN)
GBP Net Consumer
09:30 Medium 0.2B 0.1B
Credit (DEC)
GBP Net Lending Sec.
09:30 Medium 0.6B -0.2B
on Dwellings (DEC)
GBP Mortgage
09:30 Medium 54.5K 54.0K
Approvals (DEC)
GBP M4 Money Supply
09:30 Low -0.2%
(MoM) (DEC)
GBP M4 Money Supply
09:30 Low -2.8%
(YoY) (DEC)
GBP M4 Ex IOFCs 3M
09:30 Low 4.3%
Annualised (DEC)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Economic Confidence Low 88.2 87
(JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Low -1 -1.12
Business Climate
10. Indicator (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Industrial Confidence Low -13.5 -14.4
(JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Consumer Confidence Medium -23.9 -23.9
(JAN F)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Services Confidence Low -9 -9.8
(JAN)
USD MBA Mortgage
12:00 Low 7.0%
Applications (JAN 25)
USD ADP Employment
13:15 Medium 163K 215K
Change (JAN)
USD Gross Domestic
13:30 Product (Annualized) High 1.2% 3.1%
(4Q A)
USD Gross Domestic
13:30 Product Price Index High 1.5% 2.7%
(4Q A)
USD Core Personal
Consumption
13:30 Medium 1.0% 1.1%
Expenditure (QoQ) (4Q
A)
USD Personal
13:30 Medium 1.8% 1.6%
Consumption (4Q A)
USD DOE U.S. Crude
15:30 Oil Inventories (JAN Low 2813K
25)
USD DOE Cushing OK
15:30 Crude Inventory (JAN Low -471K
25)
USD DOE U.S.
15:30 Gasoline Inventories Low -1738K
(JAN 25)
USD DOE U.S.
15:30 Distillate Inventory Low 508K
(JAN 25)
USD Federal Open
19:15 Market Committee Rate High 0.25%
Decision (JAN 30)
NZD Reserve Bank of
20:00 New Zealand Rate High 2.50% 2.50%
Decision (JAN 31)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low -¥35.2B
(JAN 25)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥235.3B
(JAN 25)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low ¥485.7B
(JAN 25)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥196.2B
(JAN 25)
JPY Loans & Discounts
23:50 Low 0.4%
Corp (YoY) (DEC)
11. JPY Industrial
23:50 Production (MoM) Low 4.1% -1.4%
(DEC P)
JPY Industrial
23:50 Production (YoY) (DEC Medium -5.6% -5.5%
P)
Thu AUD HIA New Home
00:00 Medium 4.7%
Jan 31 Sales (MoM) (DEC)
JPY Bank of Japan
Deputy Governor Medium
Yamaguchi Speaks
GBP GfK Consumer
00:01 Confidence Survey Medium -28 -29
(JAN)
AUD Private Sector
00:30 Low 0.2% 0.0%
Credit (MoM) (DEC)
AUD Private Sector
00:30 Medium 3.4% 3.5%
Credit (YoY) (DEC)
AUD Export Price Index
00:30 Low -1.5% -6.4%
(QoQ) (4Q)
AUD Import Price Index
00:30 Low 0.4% -2.4%
(QoQ) (4Q)
JPY Labor Cash
01:30 Medium -1.1%
Earnings (YoY) (DEC)
NZD Money Supply M3
02:00 Low 5.0%
(YoY) (DEC)
JPY Vehicle Production
04:00 Low -8.4%
(YoY) (DEC)
JPY Housing Starts
05:00 Medium 13.5% 10.3%
(YoY) (DEC)
JPY Annualized
05:00 Medium 0.895M 0.907M
Housing Starts (DEC)
JPY Construction
05:00 Low -2.1%
Orders (YoY) (DEC)
GBP Nationwide House
07:00 Prices s.a. (MoM) Low 0.2% -0.1%
(JAN)
GBP Nationwide House
07:00 Prices n.s.a. (YoY) Medium -0.5% -1.0%
(JAN)
EUR German Retail
07:00 Low -0.1% 1.2%
Sales (MoM) (DEC)
EUR German Retail
07:00 Medium -1.3% -0.9%
Sales (YoY) (DEC)
EUR German
08:55 Unemployment Change High 8K 3K
(JAN)
EUR German
08:55 Unemployment Rate Medium 6.9% 6.9%
s.a. (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 2.2%
Estimate (YoY) (JAN)
12. USD Challenger Job
12:30 Low -22.1%
Cuts (YoY) (JAN)
EUR German
13:00 Consumer Price Index Medium -0.5% 0.9%
(MoM) (JAN P)
EUR German
13:00 Consumer Price Index High 2.0% 2.1%
(YoY) (JAN P)
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
13:00 Medium -0.5% 0.9%
EU Harmonised (MoM)
(JAN P)
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
13:00 High 2.0% 2.0%
EU Harmonised (YoY)
(JAN P)
CAD Gross Domestic
13:30 Medium 0.2% 0.1%
Product (MoM) (NOV)
CAD Gross Domestic
13:30 High 1.1%
Product (YoY) (NOV)
USD Employment Cost
13:30 Low 0.5% 0.4%
Index (4Q)
USD Personal Income
13:30 Medium 0.8% 0.6%
(DEC)
USD Personal
13:30 Medium 0.3% 0.4%
Spending (DEC)
USD Personal
Consumption
13:30 Low 0.0% -0.2%
Expenditure Deflator
(MoM) (DEC)
USD Personal
Consumption
13:30 Low 1.4% 1.4%
Expenditure Deflator
(YoY) (DEC)
USD Personal
Consumption
13:30 Low 0.1% 0.0%
Expenditure Core
(MoM) (DEC)
USD Personal
Consumption
13:30 Low 1.5% 1.5%
Expenditure Core
(YoY) (DEC)
USD Initial Jobless
13:30 Medium 355K 330K
Claims (JAN 27)
USD Continuing Claims
13:30 Low 3157K
(JAN 20)
CAD Industrial Product
13:30 Low 0.0% -0.3%
Price (MoM) (DEC)
CAD Raw Materials
13:30 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.8% -1.9%
(DEC)
USD NAPM-Milwaukee
14:00 Low
(JAN)
USD Chicago
14:45 Purchasing Manager Low 51 51.6
(JAN)
13. USD EIA Natural Gas
15:30 Storage Change (JAN Low -172
25)
NZD Net Migration s.a.
21:45 Low 590
(DEC)
AUD AiG Performance
22:30 of Manufacturing Index Medium 44.3
(JAN)
AUD RPData-Rismark
23:00 Low -0.30%
House PX Actual (JAN)
JPY Jobless Rate
23:30 Medium 4.10% 4.1%
(DEC)
JPY Job-To-Applicant
23:30 Low 0.8 0.8
Ratio (DEC)
JPY Household
23:30 Medium -0.2% 0.2%
Spending (YoY) (DEC)
Fri JPY Official Reserve
Low $1268.1B
Feb 1 Assets (JAN)
AUD Producer Price
00:30 Medium 0.3% 0.6%
Index (QoQ) (4Q)
AUD Producer Price
00:30 Medium 1.2% 1.1%
Index (YoY) (4Q)
CNY Manufacturing
01:00 Medium 51 50.6
PMI (JAN)
CNY HSBC
01:45 Manufacturing PMI Medium 52 51.5
(JAN)
JPY Vehicle Sales
05:00 Low -3.4%
(YoY) (JAN)
AUD RBA Commodity
05:30 Low 89.2
Price Index (JAN)
AUD RBA Commodity
05:30 Low -8.0%
Index SDR (YoY) (JAN)
CHF SVME-Purchasing
08:30 Medium 50.4 49.5
Managers Index (JAN)
EUR Italian Purchasing
08:45 Manager Index Low 47.6 46.7
Manufacturing (JAN)
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
08:50 Low 42.9 42.9
Index Manufacturing
(JAN F)
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
08:55 Medium 48.8 48.8
Index Manufacturing
(JAN F)
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
09:00 Medium 47.5 47.5
Index Manufacturing
(JAN F)
EUR Italian
09:00 Unemployment Rate Low 11.3% 11.1%
s.a. (DEC P)
GBP Purchasing
09:30 Medium 51 51.4
Manager Index
14. Manufacturing (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Unemployment Rate Medium 11.9% 11.8%
(DEC)
USD Change in Non-
13:30 High 155K 155K
farm Payrolls (JAN)
USD Change in Private
13:30 Medium 162K 168K
Payrolls (JAN)
USD Change in
13:30 Manufacturing Payrolls Low 10K 25K
(JAN)
USD Unemployment
13:30 High 7.8% 7.8%
Rate (JAN)
USD Average Hourly
13:30 Earning (MoM) All Medium 0.2% 0.3%
Employees (JAN)
USD Average Hourly
13:30 Earning (YoY) All Medium 2.1% 2.1%
Employees (JAN)
USD Average Weekly
13:30 Hours All Employees Low 34.5 34.5
(JAN)
USD Change in
13:30 Household Medium 28
Employment (JAN)
USD Underemployment
13:30 Medium 14.4%
Rate (U6) (JAN)
USD Markit US PMI
13:58 Low
Final (JAN)
USD U. of Michigan
14:55 Medium 71.3 71.3
Confidence (JAN F)
USD Construction
15:00 Medium 0.5% -0.3%
Spending (MoM) (DEC)
USD ISM
15:00 High 50.5 50.7
Manufacturing (JAN)
USD ISM Prices Paid
15:00 Medium 56 55.5
(JAN)
USD Domestic Vehicle
22:00 Low 12.00M 11.97M
Sales (JAN)
USD Total Vehicle
22:00 Low 15.20M 15.30M
Sales (JAN)
www.epicresearch.co + 91 9752199966
15. Disclaimer
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable,
but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose
the product/s that suits them the most.
Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein
is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable.
This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility
The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report
does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors
independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a
financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information
given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information
herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to
epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is
browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as
a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any
surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer.
All Rights Reserved.
Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.
We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss
incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above
epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients
(Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or
Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then
Serious Legal Actions can be taken.
