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ACTUAL: TWENTY NAMED
STORMS; 10 HURRICANES
ACTUAL STORMS
EXCEEDED THE FORECAST

  FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS
          WITH 4-8
    BECOMING HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS IN 2012

•   ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19
•   BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27
•   CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21
•   DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23
•   ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3
•   FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5
•   GORDON –Hurricane, August 16
NAMED STORMS FOR 2012

•   HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19
•   ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21
•   JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25
•   KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27
•   LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5
•   MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5
•   NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12
NAMED STORMS IN 2012

•   OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4
•   PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11
•   RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12
•   SANDY– Hurricane; October 22
•   TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24
•   VALERIE– Did not happen
•   WILLIAM – Did not happen
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO
              ---
 FIRST STORM OF 2012 SEASON
 FORMS OFF SOUTH CAROLINA
           COAST
        May 19-21, 2012
ALBERTO ARRIVED 2 WEEKS
BEFORE THE 2012 SEASON BEGAN

 Located about 140 miles east-southeast
  of Charleston, SC, Alberto had
  sustained winds of 100 kph (60 mph)
 As expected, Alberto turned northward
  and brought rain to the east coast for
  several days.
ALBERTO: MAY 19, 2012
ALBERTO: MAY 20, 2012
ALBERTO’S POSITION: MAY 20-21


 On Sunday, Alberto was 120 miles
  south of Cape Fear, NC with sustained
  winds of 83 kph (50 mph)
 On Monday, Alberto began to turn
  eastward, indicating that it will likely
  stay in the Atlantic Ocean and die there.
SURF BOARDING IN MIAMI THANKS
   TO ALBERTO: MAY 21, 2012
TROPICAL STORM BERYL
             ---
SECOND STORM OF 2012 SEASON
 FORMED OFF NORTH FLORIDA
           COAST
       May 27-28, 2012
BERYL: MAY 28, 2012
BERYL’S POSITION: MAY 28

 Early on Monday morning (12:10 AM),
  Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall near
  Jacksonville Beach, FL with near-
  hurricane winds of 115 kph (70 mph).
 A rain-maker, Beryl, dumped 10-20 cm
  (4-8 inches) of rain; a welcome relief for
  the drought-stricken region.
 Beryl weakened quickly
BERYL: A RAINMAKER

 Beryl became a rainmaker as it
  weakened and moved
  northward along the USA’s east
  coast, complicating the
  Memorial Day holiday traffic.
BERYL: PROJECTED PATH
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS
             ---
BECAME FIRST HURRICANE OF
       2012 SEASON
 NO THREAT TO LAND DURING
        SHORT LIFE
       June 21, 2012
HURRICANE CHRIS
• Chris had 120 kph (75 mph) winds and
  was located about 625 miles (1005 km)
  southeast of Cape Race, Newfound-
  land, Canada.
• It was moving to the northeast at 32
  kph (20 mph) with a minimum central
  pressure of 987 millibars.
CHRIS: FIRST HURRICANE OF
        2012 SEASON
CHRIS (NO THREAT TO LAND), AND
  THE PRE-DEBBY DEPRESSION
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY
            ---

 FOURTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON
FORMED IN GULF SOUTHWEST OF
             FLORIDA
 FIRST TIME IN HISTORY FOR FOUR
NAMED STORMS BEFORE JULY 1ST

         June 23, 2012
DEBBY: DIRECTION AND INTENSITY
     UNCERTAIN: JUNE 23
DEBBY: ANTICIPATORY
      ACTIONS; JUNE 24
• Debby expected to become a CAT I
  hurricane
• Storm warnings issued from Texas to
  Florida
• Oil rigs in gulf of Mexico begin to shut
  down production and plan evacuations
• Coastal States begin to implement
  emergency response plans
DEBBY: DIRECTION AND INTENSITY
   STILL UNCERTAIN: JUNE 24
On June 24th, Debby
 dumped up to 60 cm (24
inches) of rain on parts of
Florida and spawned some
    isolated tornadoes
The center of the storm continued to be
 essentially stationary, increasing the
  likelihood of being a big rainmaker
DEBBY CAN’T DECIDE: THE PRE-
FERRED MODEL 10 AM JUNE 24
DEBBY FINALLY DECIDES: IT’S
 EAST, NOT WEST; JUNE 25
FLORIDA’S GOVERNOR,
RICK SCOTT, DECLARES
STATE OF EMERGENCY

    MONDAY, JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING IN CEDAR KEY,
      FLORIDA: JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING; JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING; JUNE 25
DEBBY: FLOODING IN
CLEARWATER, FL; JUNE 25
Tuesday, June 26
Debby, barely a tropical storm,
 finally made landfall Tuesday
afternoon near Steinhatchee in
  the Big Bend area, with a 60
   cm (2 foot) storm surge and
  sustained winds near 66 kph
            (40 mph).
INITIAL IMPACTS IN FLORIDA
• Four straight days of rain
• The storm left 29,000 people
  without power across the central
  and northern parts of the state.
• Mandatory evacuation ordered for
  14,000 to 20,000 people living
  between the Anclote and
  Pithlachascotee Rivers.
INITIAL IMPACTS IN FLORIDA
• The capital, Tallahassee, was
  cutoff from Jacksonville due to
  flooding of the Interstate Highway
• Debby was expected to bring
  another 10-20 cm (4 to 8 inches) of
  rain as it moved across Florida,
  possibly strengthening again after
  reaching the Atlantic Ocean
Wednesday, June 27
Debby is expected to cross
the state and head into the
  Atlantic on Wednesday
         afternoon.
JULY 14 NOTE:: Experts are
   now saying that 2012 is
turning out to be an EL NINO
 YEAR (i.e., a warmer Pacific
  and a cooler Atlantic than
    was the case in 2011)
A QUIET PERIOD
JULY 8 – AUGUST 2
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO
              ---
    FIFTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON
SPEEDING TOWARDS THE CARIBBEAN
  The storm is centered about 90 miles
 (145 kilometers) west of St. Lucia. And
   moving west near 21 mph (34 kph).

           August 3, 2012
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE
                ---
   SIXTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON
   FORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC
The storm, which was moving westward
 and 515 miles (830 km) west of the
southernmost Cape Verde Islands,
         died quickly

          August 5, 2012.
TS ERNESTO’S LOCATION
    AUGUST 3, 2012
TS ERNESTO’S PROJECTED
  PATH: AUGUST 4, 2012
TS ERNESTO BECAME HURRICANE
   NEAR HONDURAS: AUG 6
Ernesto was a weak hurricane
 when it made its first landfall
late Tuesday (Aug. 7) near the
cruise ship port of Mahahual in
           Yucatan,
Ernesto’s second landfall on
 Thursday (Aug 9) was as a
   “Rainmaker” near the
   Mexican oil port city of
      Coatzacoalcos


       Three people killed
WHAT HAPPENED AFTER
       LANDFALL?
• Heavy  rains continued into
 Friday night as Ernesto’s winds
 declined quickly to 40 mph (65
 kph). .
VERA CRUZ: FLOODING FROM ERNESTO
              AUG 10
TROPICAL STORM GORDON
             ---
SEVENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON
 FORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC
 The storm is moving westward at
             present.

       August 16, 2012.
TS GORDON: AUG 16
TROPICAL STORM GORDON
            ---
EIGHTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON
FORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC
The storm is moving westward at
            present.

      August 16, 2012.
TROPICAL STORM--HURRICANE
ISAAC
             ---
 NINETH STORM OF 2012 SEASON
  HEADING FOR CARIBBEAN AND
        POSSIBLY FLORIDA
The storm could affect the Republican
        National Convention

         August 21, 2012.
ISAAC: FROM TS ON AUG, 21
 TO HURRICANE ON AUG. 26
CAT I HURRICANE ISAAC, A
   HUGE RAINMAKER, WAS
DEVASTATING ALONG THE GULF
  COAST, AND ESPECIALLY IN
         LOUISIANA
     SEE SEPARATE FILE
TS JOYCE: AUG 25
TS KIRK: SEPT. 1
LESLIE: FROM A TS ON SEPT
3 TO HURRICANE ON SEPT 5
ISAAC COULD HAVE RETURNED AS
     TS NADINE, BUT DIDN’T
The 2012 season is lagging
     behind past seasons:
 By Sept. 5, 2005, we had three
major hurricanes (Dennis, Emily,
  and Katrina),and by Sept. 5,
    2011, we had one major
       hurricane (Katia).
 This year, we have had none.
2012’S CUMMULATIVE
        IMPACTS
         320 DEATHS
ECONOMIC LOSSES: ESTIMATED AT
        $68 BILLION +

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POWERPOINT Summary PART I of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm season

  • 2. ACTUAL STORMS EXCEEDED THE FORECAST FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS WITH 4-8 BECOMING HURRICANES
  • 3. NAMED STORMS IN 2012 • ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19 • BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27 • CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21 • DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23 • ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3 • FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5 • GORDON –Hurricane, August 16
  • 4. NAMED STORMS FOR 2012 • HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19 • ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21 • JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25 • KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27 • LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5 • MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5 • NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12
  • 5. NAMED STORMS IN 2012 • OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4 • PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11 • RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12 • SANDY– Hurricane; October 22 • TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24 • VALERIE– Did not happen • WILLIAM – Did not happen
  • 6. TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO --- FIRST STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMS OFF SOUTH CAROLINA COAST May 19-21, 2012
  • 7. ALBERTO ARRIVED 2 WEEKS BEFORE THE 2012 SEASON BEGAN  Located about 140 miles east-southeast of Charleston, SC, Alberto had sustained winds of 100 kph (60 mph)  As expected, Alberto turned northward and brought rain to the east coast for several days.
  • 10. ALBERTO’S POSITION: MAY 20-21  On Sunday, Alberto was 120 miles south of Cape Fear, NC with sustained winds of 83 kph (50 mph)  On Monday, Alberto began to turn eastward, indicating that it will likely stay in the Atlantic Ocean and die there.
  • 11. SURF BOARDING IN MIAMI THANKS TO ALBERTO: MAY 21, 2012
  • 12. TROPICAL STORM BERYL --- SECOND STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED OFF NORTH FLORIDA COAST May 27-28, 2012
  • 14. BERYL’S POSITION: MAY 28  Early on Monday morning (12:10 AM), Tropical Storm Beryl made landfall near Jacksonville Beach, FL with near- hurricane winds of 115 kph (70 mph).  A rain-maker, Beryl, dumped 10-20 cm (4-8 inches) of rain; a welcome relief for the drought-stricken region.  Beryl weakened quickly
  • 15. BERYL: A RAINMAKER  Beryl became a rainmaker as it weakened and moved northward along the USA’s east coast, complicating the Memorial Day holiday traffic.
  • 17. TROPICAL STORM CHRIS --- BECAME FIRST HURRICANE OF 2012 SEASON NO THREAT TO LAND DURING SHORT LIFE June 21, 2012
  • 18. HURRICANE CHRIS • Chris had 120 kph (75 mph) winds and was located about 625 miles (1005 km) southeast of Cape Race, Newfound- land, Canada. • It was moving to the northeast at 32 kph (20 mph) with a minimum central pressure of 987 millibars.
  • 19. CHRIS: FIRST HURRICANE OF 2012 SEASON
  • 20. CHRIS (NO THREAT TO LAND), AND THE PRE-DEBBY DEPRESSION
  • 21. TROPICAL STORM DEBBY --- FOURTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN GULF SOUTHWEST OF FLORIDA FIRST TIME IN HISTORY FOR FOUR NAMED STORMS BEFORE JULY 1ST June 23, 2012
  • 22. DEBBY: DIRECTION AND INTENSITY UNCERTAIN: JUNE 23
  • 23. DEBBY: ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS; JUNE 24 • Debby expected to become a CAT I hurricane • Storm warnings issued from Texas to Florida • Oil rigs in gulf of Mexico begin to shut down production and plan evacuations • Coastal States begin to implement emergency response plans
  • 24. DEBBY: DIRECTION AND INTENSITY STILL UNCERTAIN: JUNE 24
  • 25. On June 24th, Debby dumped up to 60 cm (24 inches) of rain on parts of Florida and spawned some isolated tornadoes The center of the storm continued to be essentially stationary, increasing the likelihood of being a big rainmaker
  • 26. DEBBY CAN’T DECIDE: THE PRE- FERRED MODEL 10 AM JUNE 24
  • 27. DEBBY FINALLY DECIDES: IT’S EAST, NOT WEST; JUNE 25
  • 28. FLORIDA’S GOVERNOR, RICK SCOTT, DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY MONDAY, JUNE 25
  • 29. DEBBY: FLOODING IN CEDAR KEY, FLORIDA: JUNE 25
  • 33. Tuesday, June 26 Debby, barely a tropical storm, finally made landfall Tuesday afternoon near Steinhatchee in the Big Bend area, with a 60 cm (2 foot) storm surge and sustained winds near 66 kph (40 mph).
  • 34. INITIAL IMPACTS IN FLORIDA • Four straight days of rain • The storm left 29,000 people without power across the central and northern parts of the state. • Mandatory evacuation ordered for 14,000 to 20,000 people living between the Anclote and Pithlachascotee Rivers.
  • 35. INITIAL IMPACTS IN FLORIDA • The capital, Tallahassee, was cutoff from Jacksonville due to flooding of the Interstate Highway • Debby was expected to bring another 10-20 cm (4 to 8 inches) of rain as it moved across Florida, possibly strengthening again after reaching the Atlantic Ocean
  • 36. Wednesday, June 27 Debby is expected to cross the state and head into the Atlantic on Wednesday afternoon.
  • 37. JULY 14 NOTE:: Experts are now saying that 2012 is turning out to be an EL NINO YEAR (i.e., a warmer Pacific and a cooler Atlantic than was the case in 2011)
  • 38. A QUIET PERIOD JULY 8 – AUGUST 2
  • 39. TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO --- FIFTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON SPEEDING TOWARDS THE CARIBBEAN The storm is centered about 90 miles (145 kilometers) west of St. Lucia. And moving west near 21 mph (34 kph). August 3, 2012
  • 40. TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE --- SIXTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC The storm, which was moving westward and 515 miles (830 km) west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands, died quickly August 5, 2012.
  • 41. TS ERNESTO’S LOCATION AUGUST 3, 2012
  • 42. TS ERNESTO’S PROJECTED PATH: AUGUST 4, 2012
  • 43. TS ERNESTO BECAME HURRICANE NEAR HONDURAS: AUG 6
  • 44. Ernesto was a weak hurricane when it made its first landfall late Tuesday (Aug. 7) near the cruise ship port of Mahahual in Yucatan,
  • 45. Ernesto’s second landfall on Thursday (Aug 9) was as a “Rainmaker” near the Mexican oil port city of Coatzacoalcos Three people killed
  • 46. WHAT HAPPENED AFTER LANDFALL? • Heavy rains continued into Friday night as Ernesto’s winds declined quickly to 40 mph (65 kph). .
  • 47. VERA CRUZ: FLOODING FROM ERNESTO AUG 10
  • 48. TROPICAL STORM GORDON --- SEVENTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC The storm is moving westward at present. August 16, 2012.
  • 50. TROPICAL STORM GORDON --- EIGHTH STORM OF 2012 SEASON FORMED IN EASTERN ATLANTIC The storm is moving westward at present. August 16, 2012.
  • 51. TROPICAL STORM--HURRICANE ISAAC --- NINETH STORM OF 2012 SEASON HEADING FOR CARIBBEAN AND POSSIBLY FLORIDA The storm could affect the Republican National Convention August 21, 2012.
  • 52. ISAAC: FROM TS ON AUG, 21 TO HURRICANE ON AUG. 26
  • 53. CAT I HURRICANE ISAAC, A HUGE RAINMAKER, WAS DEVASTATING ALONG THE GULF COAST, AND ESPECIALLY IN LOUISIANA SEE SEPARATE FILE
  • 56. LESLIE: FROM A TS ON SEPT 3 TO HURRICANE ON SEPT 5
  • 57. ISAAC COULD HAVE RETURNED AS TS NADINE, BUT DIDN’T
  • 58. The 2012 season is lagging behind past seasons: By Sept. 5, 2005, we had three major hurricanes (Dennis, Emily, and Katrina),and by Sept. 5, 2011, we had one major hurricane (Katia). This year, we have had none.
  • 59. 2012’S CUMMULATIVE IMPACTS 320 DEATHS ECONOMIC LOSSES: ESTIMATED AT $68 BILLION +