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Agile estimation and planning Elad Sofer  - Agile coach. blog -  http:// blog.thescrumster.com   LinkedIn -  http://www.linkedin.com/in/eladsofer
 
Reduce risk Reduce uncertainty  Better decision making Establishing trust  campaigns (marketing)
How to estimate this task ?
Persistence of time
How long will it take to… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
34.4
Estimate tasks in relative size  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Story points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Estimation techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Planning poker ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why planning poker works ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Specification length ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],173 hours 117 hours
Irrelevant information ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],39 hours 20 hours
Extra requirements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],4 hours 4 hours ,[object Object],[object Object],8 hours
Given anchor ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],555 hours 456 hours ,[object Object],[object Object],99 hours
Why planning poker works ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Much Work Remains to be Done before we can announce Our Total Failure to Make any progress
Why traditional planning fails ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What makes planning agile ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ It’s better to be roughly right than precisely wrong.” [John Maynard Keynes [
Continuous planning Daily Iteration Release Product Portfolio Strategy
First, We need a backlog As a user I want to perform stock operations. As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft.  As a manager I want balance report As a user I want to see last transactions. As a user I want to see my balance As a user I want to log in securely.  … Risk Estimate Value Story
Add value 30 As a user I want to perform stock operations. 80 As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft.  60 As a manager I want balance report 70 As a user I want to see last transactions. 100 As a user I want to see my balance 10 As a user I want to log in securely.  … Risk Estimate Value Story
Estimate & asses risk HIGH BIG 30 As a user I want to perform stock operations. Low 13 80 As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft.  Medium BIG 60 As a manager I want balance report Medium 20 70 As a user I want to see last transactions. Low 8 100 As a user I want to see my balance Low 5 10 As a user I want to log in securely.  … Risk Estimate Value Story
Prioritization guidelines
Now it is prioritized – We are ready Low 8 100 As a user I want to see my balance Low 5 10 As a user I want to log in securely.  Medium BIG 60 As a manager I want balance report Low 13 80 As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft.  HIGH BIG 30 As a user I want to perform stock operations. Medium 20 70 As a user I want to see last transactions. … Risk Estimate Value Story
Sprinting… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tracking progress (day 1) To Do In work Done
Tracking progress (day 3) To Do In work Done
Tracking progress (day 6) To Do In work Done
Tracking progress (End) To Do In work Done
When the Sprint has finished: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Velocity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to calculate time ? D V T
Burn down charts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
So what will it be ? vs + +
 
For more information: ,[object Object],And visit my blog

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Agile Estimation Planning Reduce Risks Better Decisions</title

  • 1. Agile estimation and planning Elad Sofer - Agile coach. blog - http:// blog.thescrumster.com LinkedIn - http://www.linkedin.com/in/eladsofer
  • 2.  
  • 3. Reduce risk Reduce uncertainty Better decision making Establishing trust campaigns (marketing)
  • 4. How to estimate this task ?
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  • 19. Much Work Remains to be Done before we can announce Our Total Failure to Make any progress
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  • 22. “ It’s better to be roughly right than precisely wrong.” [John Maynard Keynes [
  • 23. Continuous planning Daily Iteration Release Product Portfolio Strategy
  • 24. First, We need a backlog As a user I want to perform stock operations. As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft. As a manager I want balance report As a user I want to see last transactions. As a user I want to see my balance As a user I want to log in securely. … Risk Estimate Value Story
  • 25. Add value 30 As a user I want to perform stock operations. 80 As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft. 60 As a manager I want balance report 70 As a user I want to see last transactions. 100 As a user I want to see my balance 10 As a user I want to log in securely. … Risk Estimate Value Story
  • 26. Estimate & asses risk HIGH BIG 30 As a user I want to perform stock operations. Low 13 80 As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft. Medium BIG 60 As a manager I want balance report Medium 20 70 As a user I want to see last transactions. Low 8 100 As a user I want to see my balance Low 5 10 As a user I want to log in securely. … Risk Estimate Value Story
  • 28. Now it is prioritized – We are ready Low 8 100 As a user I want to see my balance Low 5 10 As a user I want to log in securely. Medium BIG 60 As a manager I want balance report Low 13 80 As a manager I want a report of customer with overdraft. HIGH BIG 30 As a user I want to perform stock operations. Medium 20 70 As a user I want to see last transactions. … Risk Estimate Value Story
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  • 30. Tracking progress (day 1) To Do In work Done
  • 31. Tracking progress (day 3) To Do In work Done
  • 32. Tracking progress (day 6) To Do In work Done
  • 33. Tracking progress (End) To Do In work Done
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  • 36. How to calculate time ? D V T
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  • 38. So what will it be ? vs + +
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