Artur Runge-Metzger, Director for climate strategy and international negotiations, DG CLIMA - first presentation

Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050 Budapest, 23 March 2011 Artur Runge-Metzger Direcotr, DG Climate Action European Commission

Limiting climate change – a global challenge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

GHG emissions: Where is the EU now? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Climate change threatening future economic growth 2005 : US$ 228 billion

What the EU is doing already: 2020 targets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

A competitive low carbon roadmap until 2050

2050 Roadmap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

The impact of climate action on the global temperature increase by 2100 Global emissions pathway in the next 40 years will determine likely warming by the end of the century

Global climate action reduces emissions in all parts of the world ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Global climate action leads to converging emissions per capita

Global climate action reduces fossil fuel prices

Forestry and agriculture need to be part of the solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

A cost-efficient pathway towards 2050 Efficient pathway: -25% in 2020 -40% in 2030 -60% in 2040 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Energy efficiency will be key ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Roadmap 2050: Investing in innovation, saving energy, air quality &health ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Roadmap 2050: Creating jobs in the EU

Global low-carbon race ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],EU’s policy challenges (1)

EU’s policy challenges (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

For further information: http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/brief/eu/index_en.htm

Roadmap Milestones ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GHG reductions compared to 1990 2005 2030 2050 Power (CO 2 ) -7% -54 to -68% -93 to -99% Industry (CO 2 ) -20% -34 to -40% -83 to -87% Transport (incl. CO2 aviation, excl. maritime) +30% +20 to -9% -54 to -67% Residential and services (CO 2 ) -12% -37 to -53% -88 to-91% Agriculture (non-CO 2 ) -20% -36 to -37% -42 to -49% Other non-CO 2 emissions -30% -72 to -73% -70 to -78%

Energy security: current risks (IEA) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Energy savings contribute to climate action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],17% 24% 21% 13% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Industry Transport Households Tertiary Savings potential 2020 Energy consumption 2020

Where the EU is not on track: Energy efficiency Additional efforts are needed to achieve the 20% energy efficiency improvement. Current policies will achieve only 10% savings * Gross inland consumption minus non-energy uses - 20% by 2020 objective - 368 Mtoe Most recent projection - 166 Mtoe Business as usual 2007 projection Primary energy consumption*, Mtoe 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 2005 2010 2015 2020 1676 Mtoe 1842 Mtoe 1474 Mtoe Projections from 2007 Projections from 2009 20% energy saving objective

Artur Runge-Metzger, Director for climate strategy and international negotiations, DG CLIMA - first presentation

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Artur Runge-Metzger, Director for climate strategy and international negotiations, DG CLIMA - first presentation

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