China's Energy-Saving Programs Assessment and Recommendations
1. Assessment of China ’ s Energy-Saving and Emission-Reduction Accomplishments and Opportunities During the 11th Five Year Plan Findings and Recommendations Presentation for ChinaFAQs: The Network for Climate and Energy Information Meeting World Resources Institute, Washington , DC December 2, 2009 Mark D. Levine and Lynn Price China Energy Group Energy Analysis Department Environmental Energy Technologies Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
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3. Context: Historical Trends in Energy Intensity in China Source: National Bureau of Statistics, China Statistical Abstract , various years. Average Annual Decline of 5% per year Average Annual Increase of 2% per year
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5. Context: Recent Trends in Energy Intensity in China Source: National Bureau of Statistics, China Statistical Abstract , various years. 1980-2002: Average Annual Decline of 5% per year 2002-2005: Average Annual Increase of 2% per year 2005-2006: 1.79% decrease 2006-2007: 4.04% decrease 2007-2008: 4.59% decrease
6. Frozen Baseline Development and Energy Savings Assessment Energy use values are reported by NBS (NBS, 2007; NBS 2008). Energy intensity reduction values are from NDRC (NDRC, 2009a; NDRC, 2009b). GDP values were then derived using these two values. This method was chosen because the energy values and energy intensity reduction values were the most clearly reported values; GDP values have undergone a series of revisions and may continue to be revised.
7. 11th FYP Energy-Saving Targets and Savings to Date, 2006-2008, Based on Frozen 2005 Efficiency Baseline Note: Individual program savings do not add up to the Total Primary Energy Savings value because of overlap between the Ten Key Projects and the Buildings Energy Efficiency and Top-1000 Programs. See report for details regarding how the total primary energy savings was calculated.
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12. Findings: Energy-Saving Programs - Buildings Breakdown of Building Sector Primary Energy-Saving Target in the 11th FYP (Mtce) Source Cai, et al., 2009, Wu Y., 2009
13. F indings: Energy-Saving Programs - Buildings LBNL Estimated 20 05-2008 Building Sector Primary Energy-Saving from the Programs and Policies implemented in 11 FYP (Mtce)
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20. Findings: Energy-Saving Programs - Small Plant Closures Small Plants Closure and Phase-Out of Outdated Capacity Results To Date, 2006-2008 Source: State Council, 2007a; Feng Fei et al., n.d.; *NDRC, 2009a and 2009b. Note: n/a = not available