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Travelling for health
The potential for medical tourism
A summary of the full report




                                    www.eiu.com
Travelling for health
    The potential for medical tourismx




    Overview: Travelling for health
    T   he medical tourism industry is changing. In the past, medical tourism occurred when wealthy people
        living in countries with poor healthcare services travelled to North America or Europe whenever they
    needed care. Now, however, many developing countries are building up world-class healthcare facilities
    at just the time when healthcare cost pressures in the developed world are rising rapidly. This is already
    encouraging a shift in the flow of traffic, as developed-world patients start to head for the developing
    world.
       The two main drivers of the global trade in healthcare services are low costs and medical expertise.
    As medical costs continue to rise in the US and Europe, the gap between them and developing markets
    will become more pronounced. In addition, as the “baby boomer” generation continues to move towards
    retirement in the West, healthcare systems will come under increasing strain. Cuts in healthcare services
    and longer patient waiting lists will drive more people to look overseas for faster, as well as cheaper,
    treatment.
       Other factors, too, are driving the growth in the medical tourism industry:
    l Developments in information technology. The Internet has enabled patients to research options
    beyond national borders, and has expanded international marketing opportunities. It has also broken
    down cultural barriers and helped to calm fears about the quality of foreign medical services.
    l Lower air fares. The advent of budget airlines and a drop in airline fares have made foreign travel—and
    therefore medical tourism—more affordable. This has also chipped away at prejudices about foreign
    countries and cultures. Around 25% of Americans now have passports, compared with just 10% two
    decades ago.
    l Trade liberalisation. Consumers have become increasingly familiar with the idea of buying goods
    internationally, a trend that is shifting into services. The General Agreement on Trade in Services, agreed
    by the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 1996, paved the way for trade in medical and other services. The
    EU has taken this one step further, with its 2011 Directive on cross-border medical services.
    l Increasing foreign investment. The relaxation of restrictions on foreign ownership in many emerging-
    market economies has channelled FDI into healthcare sectors. This has helped to finance the building and
    running of modern hospitals.
    l Internationalisation of the medical workforce. As healthcare systems have expanded, developed
    countries have recruited more immigrant healthcare workers. The number of International Medical
    Graduates (IMGs) in the US physician workforce has increased by over 160% since 1970. This has given
    medical staff valuable international experience, and has allowed Western patients to become familiar with
    dealing with foreign medical staff. As their home countries’ economies have improved, some healthcare
    workers have returned home, seizing the opportunities offered by medical tourism.
    l Internationalisation of medical training and accreditation. The vast majority of IMGs in the US
    trained in developing countries, a fact that originally led to concern over standards. This prompted some

1                                                                     © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
Travelling for health
                          The potential for medical tourismx




                             harmonisation of medical training, which, combined with the spread of English as an international
                             language, has made medical skills more portable.
                             l The rise of facilitator firms. Thousands of agencies now offer medical tourism services to
                             healthcare travellers, such as arranging accommodation and acting as a mediator with the
                             hospitals. Their presence has made the job of researching and comparing treatment costs much
                             easier for patients. These agencies also act as a channel for governments and hospitals to promote
                             medical services.
                             With this in mind, many developing countries are keen to establish themselves as medical tourism
                             hubs, often as part of a wider economic development strategy. The most immediate motivation is
                             the revenue they can earn, not only for medical services, but also from the tourism services needed
                             while a patient stays in the country. Governments also see medical tourism as a way to attract
                             investment into healthcare services and to encourage medical staff to stay in the country, with
                             potential long-term benefits for local residents too.
                                Proponents of medical tourism argue that host countries can reap considerable benefits if the
                             flow of foreign patients is managed effectively.
                             l Economic growth: Although medical tourism is vulnerable to political instability and recessions,
                             its growth creates jobs and generates revenue that should boost national GDP growth.
                             l Funds for public healthcare: If the sector meets its growth projections, it should be possible to
                             channel increased tax revenue directly into public healthcare systems.
                             l Maintaining quality facilities. In some cases, medical tourism is viewed as a tool for keeping
                             state-of-the-art services, expertise and technology in a country.
                             l Staff retention. In countries such as Trinidad and Tobago, India and the Philippines, the loss of
                             staff to developed countries has long been a drain on local healthcare systems. Medical tourism
                             brings the prospect of a “reverse brain drain” as pay and conditions improve.


    Business implications

    l For governments: Medical tourism presents an opportunity       could be undercut by lower-cost healthcare providers abroad.
    to earn tax revenue, and to develop local medical expertise.     Patient trust will be crucial, however, making international
    If managed well, these benefits can trickle down to the          accreditation important for these lower-cost suppliers.
    wider population, helping to bring healthcare systems up to      l For health insurers: Offering the option of treatment
    international standards.                                         abroad could be one way to reduce claims costs and thereby
    l For healthcare providers: Medical tourism presents an          premiums. Ensuring a suitable standard of care will be crucial,
    opportunity to increase the flow of patients and to earn         however, to avoid both follow-up costs and reputational risk.
    additional revenue. But medical tourism may also present a       Insured patients may also be deterred by any sign of coercion
    risk, particularly for providers in developed countries, which   when it comes to choosing where to seek treatment.



2                                                                                           © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
Travelling for health
    The potential for medical tourismx




       l Raising medical standards. By pursuing international accreditation, hospitals targeting foreign
       patients raise their own standards, and could provide a blueprint for state hospitals to follow suit.
       l Spreading medical expertise. E-health and telemedicine technologies could be used to defuse
       new medical expertise across the country, especially if formal links are established between private
       and public hospitals.
       The difficulty for developing countries is ensuring that these benefits are not limited to the wealthy
       few. Measures—both national and international—are therefore needed to prevent resources and
       skills being diverted away from hospitals used by poorer locals towards those catering to wealthy
       private patients. These ethical questions are particularly pertinent when it comes to organ
       transplants. The long waiting lists for body parts in many developed countries, and the amount that
       desperate patients are prepared to pay for a transplant, raise the danger that poorer local people
       will be coerced into illegal organ donations.
          Legislators and policymakers in developed countries will also need to consider what impact an
       outflow of patients will have on their own healthcare facilities, both public and private, as well
       as on the patients themselves. Competition with cheaper facilities abroad could undermine some
       healthcare providers. Meanwhile, international co-operation will be needed to ensure standards
       and co-ordinate treatment between providers across the globe. Without it, continuity in care, from
       diagnoses, treatment and recovery all the way through to aftercare, could be lost.
          Even if measures are introduced to minimise these risks, not every country will succeed in
       becoming a medical tourism hub. How suitable countries are to develop this industry and how
       much they will benefit from doing so depend on their regional and national economies, their
       healthcare systems and skills, as well as their security and political risks. To reflect this, we have
       developed a medical tourism index, based on healthcare expertise, business environment and
       healthcare costs, to assess the potential for inbound medical tourism in the world’s 60 biggest
       economies.




                                                                     © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
Travelling for health
    The potential for medical tourismx




       Medical tourism index: Where to look
       I  n planning their treatment, individual patients, payers, and their advisers will gather specific
          information on the costs, risks, logistics and expertise involved in securing a particular
       treatment in a particular group of countries. The best destination is likely to depend on the
       patient’s home country and treatment needs, as well as less tangible cultural factors.
          Among the factors that could affect each patient’s choice of location are:
       l expertise of the doctors or surgeons involved, and the quality of aftercare;
       l ease of travel, including the possibility of combining treatment with a holiday;
       l familiarity with the country, the language and the healthcare system;
       l risks for the patient, which range from quality concerns in the healthcare system to general
       risks, such as terrorism;
       l cost, both for the treatment and for the stay.
       We used these factors to draw up three separate rankings of countries that could attract medical
       tourists.
           The first ranking used indicators such as availability of doctors and private healthcare spending
       to rank countries according to the strength of their medical systems (with a weighting towards
       private healthcare spending). Most of the countries in this list were developed ones, but it also
       included countries such as Russia, which, owing largely to Soviet-era investment, still has a high
       doctor/patient ratio, as well as a large number of hospital beds. The country does, however,
       arguably lack the specialists needed to develop a successful medical tourism industry.
           Our second ranking combined several indicators for proximity, such as tourism and regional
       wealth levels, with our own country scores for risk and business environment, in order to find out
       which countries had the right conditions to develop a medical tourism industry. Again, this ranking
       method favoured developed countries, with the highest-ranked developing countries being those
       in Central Europe, headed by Poland at position 19. Not all of these countries will necessarily be
       aiming to develop a medical tourism industry, but their business environment would allow them to
       do so.
           Lastly, we ranked countries according to the cost of healthcare procedures such as x-rays, using
       data from our Worldwide Cost of Living Survey. With the top ranking going to the lowest costs, this
       list included many developing countries, some with good healthcare systems, some with bad ones.
       Not all these countries will have the world-class medical expertise to attract international patients.
       Sri Lanka and Algeria, for example, were among the cheapest countries, but came bottom of our
       rankings for healthcare systems.
           To generate a final ranking, therefore, we combined all three lists, giving equal weighting
       to each factor. Given that the first two rankings favoured developed countries, while the last
       favoured developing ones, combining the two produced an interesting mix of countries. In general,


                                                                      © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
Travelling for health
    The potential for medical tourismx




       developed countries dominate, but a significant number of developing countries offer the right
       combination of low costs and medical expertise to make it onto our list.
          Heading the list is France, which only has a small medical tourism industry at present, but clearly
       has the specialist care and the business environment to expand—with the proviso that costs may
       be a deterrent. Much the same holds for the third-placed US and sixth-placed Germany. In second-
       placed Mexico, however, it is likely to be the business environment that will hold back the medical
       tourism industry. Poland and Bulgaria also scored highly, the latter mainly because of its ultra-low
       healthcare costs.
          Other developing countries, such as India, with ambitions in the medical tourism sector, have
       several barriers to overcome, as our index makes clear. But the country’s 15th place, only one step
       behind China, suggests that it has huge potential. Moreover, India has one advantage that we could
       not reflect in our rankings: the fact that many of its doctors speak English. By contrast, China’s
       relatively high ranking may be misleading, because its high number of doctors conceals some poor
       training.




        Medical tourism ranking: Potential by country
         Overall ranking    Country            Healthcare system         Environment                   Low costs
         1                  France                            8                     1                         5
         2                  Mexico                           19                    2                           
                           US                               2=                                             8=
                           Taiwan                           2                    26                          1
         5                  Poland                           28                    19                          21
         6                  Germany                          2=                     2                         5
         7                  Bulgaria                        1=                                               2
         8                  Sweden                           9                     6                          2
         9                  Belgium                          12                    1                         8
         10                 South Korea                      9=                    27                         0
         11                 Greece                           11                    28                        1=
         12                 Netherlands                     29=                     5                          7
         1                 Canada                           22                    11                         0
         1                 China                            15                    1                         28
         15                 India                           20=                                               8
         16                 Singapore                                            12                         6
         17                 Hungary                         29=                    25                         29
         18                 Australia                        1                    15                          7
         19                 Austria                          18                    10                         52
        20                Ukraine                            16                    6                          12
        Source: Economist Intelligence Unit.

5                                                                     © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
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8                                                      © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
While every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy
of this information, The Economist Intelligence Unit
Ltd. cannot accept any responsibility or liability for
reliance by any person on this report or any of the
information, opinions or conclusions set out in this
report.




Cover image - © minifilm/Shutterstock
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EIU Healthcare Tourism Summary Report October 2011

  • 1. TM Travelling for health The potential for medical tourism A summary of the full report www.eiu.com
  • 2. Travelling for health The potential for medical tourismx Overview: Travelling for health T he medical tourism industry is changing. In the past, medical tourism occurred when wealthy people living in countries with poor healthcare services travelled to North America or Europe whenever they needed care. Now, however, many developing countries are building up world-class healthcare facilities at just the time when healthcare cost pressures in the developed world are rising rapidly. This is already encouraging a shift in the flow of traffic, as developed-world patients start to head for the developing world. The two main drivers of the global trade in healthcare services are low costs and medical expertise. As medical costs continue to rise in the US and Europe, the gap between them and developing markets will become more pronounced. In addition, as the “baby boomer” generation continues to move towards retirement in the West, healthcare systems will come under increasing strain. Cuts in healthcare services and longer patient waiting lists will drive more people to look overseas for faster, as well as cheaper, treatment. Other factors, too, are driving the growth in the medical tourism industry: l Developments in information technology. The Internet has enabled patients to research options beyond national borders, and has expanded international marketing opportunities. It has also broken down cultural barriers and helped to calm fears about the quality of foreign medical services. l Lower air fares. The advent of budget airlines and a drop in airline fares have made foreign travel—and therefore medical tourism—more affordable. This has also chipped away at prejudices about foreign countries and cultures. Around 25% of Americans now have passports, compared with just 10% two decades ago. l Trade liberalisation. Consumers have become increasingly familiar with the idea of buying goods internationally, a trend that is shifting into services. The General Agreement on Trade in Services, agreed by the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 1996, paved the way for trade in medical and other services. The EU has taken this one step further, with its 2011 Directive on cross-border medical services. l Increasing foreign investment. The relaxation of restrictions on foreign ownership in many emerging- market economies has channelled FDI into healthcare sectors. This has helped to finance the building and running of modern hospitals. l Internationalisation of the medical workforce. As healthcare systems have expanded, developed countries have recruited more immigrant healthcare workers. The number of International Medical Graduates (IMGs) in the US physician workforce has increased by over 160% since 1970. This has given medical staff valuable international experience, and has allowed Western patients to become familiar with dealing with foreign medical staff. As their home countries’ economies have improved, some healthcare workers have returned home, seizing the opportunities offered by medical tourism. l Internationalisation of medical training and accreditation. The vast majority of IMGs in the US trained in developing countries, a fact that originally led to concern over standards. This prompted some 1 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
  • 3. Travelling for health The potential for medical tourismx harmonisation of medical training, which, combined with the spread of English as an international language, has made medical skills more portable. l The rise of facilitator firms. Thousands of agencies now offer medical tourism services to healthcare travellers, such as arranging accommodation and acting as a mediator with the hospitals. Their presence has made the job of researching and comparing treatment costs much easier for patients. These agencies also act as a channel for governments and hospitals to promote medical services. With this in mind, many developing countries are keen to establish themselves as medical tourism hubs, often as part of a wider economic development strategy. The most immediate motivation is the revenue they can earn, not only for medical services, but also from the tourism services needed while a patient stays in the country. Governments also see medical tourism as a way to attract investment into healthcare services and to encourage medical staff to stay in the country, with potential long-term benefits for local residents too. Proponents of medical tourism argue that host countries can reap considerable benefits if the flow of foreign patients is managed effectively. l Economic growth: Although medical tourism is vulnerable to political instability and recessions, its growth creates jobs and generates revenue that should boost national GDP growth. l Funds for public healthcare: If the sector meets its growth projections, it should be possible to channel increased tax revenue directly into public healthcare systems. l Maintaining quality facilities. In some cases, medical tourism is viewed as a tool for keeping state-of-the-art services, expertise and technology in a country. l Staff retention. In countries such as Trinidad and Tobago, India and the Philippines, the loss of staff to developed countries has long been a drain on local healthcare systems. Medical tourism brings the prospect of a “reverse brain drain” as pay and conditions improve. Business implications l For governments: Medical tourism presents an opportunity could be undercut by lower-cost healthcare providers abroad. to earn tax revenue, and to develop local medical expertise. Patient trust will be crucial, however, making international If managed well, these benefits can trickle down to the accreditation important for these lower-cost suppliers. wider population, helping to bring healthcare systems up to l For health insurers: Offering the option of treatment international standards. abroad could be one way to reduce claims costs and thereby l For healthcare providers: Medical tourism presents an premiums. Ensuring a suitable standard of care will be crucial, opportunity to increase the flow of patients and to earn however, to avoid both follow-up costs and reputational risk. additional revenue. But medical tourism may also present a Insured patients may also be deterred by any sign of coercion risk, particularly for providers in developed countries, which when it comes to choosing where to seek treatment. 2 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
  • 4. Travelling for health The potential for medical tourismx l Raising medical standards. By pursuing international accreditation, hospitals targeting foreign patients raise their own standards, and could provide a blueprint for state hospitals to follow suit. l Spreading medical expertise. E-health and telemedicine technologies could be used to defuse new medical expertise across the country, especially if formal links are established between private and public hospitals. The difficulty for developing countries is ensuring that these benefits are not limited to the wealthy few. Measures—both national and international—are therefore needed to prevent resources and skills being diverted away from hospitals used by poorer locals towards those catering to wealthy private patients. These ethical questions are particularly pertinent when it comes to organ transplants. The long waiting lists for body parts in many developed countries, and the amount that desperate patients are prepared to pay for a transplant, raise the danger that poorer local people will be coerced into illegal organ donations. Legislators and policymakers in developed countries will also need to consider what impact an outflow of patients will have on their own healthcare facilities, both public and private, as well as on the patients themselves. Competition with cheaper facilities abroad could undermine some healthcare providers. Meanwhile, international co-operation will be needed to ensure standards and co-ordinate treatment between providers across the globe. Without it, continuity in care, from diagnoses, treatment and recovery all the way through to aftercare, could be lost. Even if measures are introduced to minimise these risks, not every country will succeed in becoming a medical tourism hub. How suitable countries are to develop this industry and how much they will benefit from doing so depend on their regional and national economies, their healthcare systems and skills, as well as their security and political risks. To reflect this, we have developed a medical tourism index, based on healthcare expertise, business environment and healthcare costs, to assess the potential for inbound medical tourism in the world’s 60 biggest economies. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
  • 5. Travelling for health The potential for medical tourismx Medical tourism index: Where to look I n planning their treatment, individual patients, payers, and their advisers will gather specific information on the costs, risks, logistics and expertise involved in securing a particular treatment in a particular group of countries. The best destination is likely to depend on the patient’s home country and treatment needs, as well as less tangible cultural factors. Among the factors that could affect each patient’s choice of location are: l expertise of the doctors or surgeons involved, and the quality of aftercare; l ease of travel, including the possibility of combining treatment with a holiday; l familiarity with the country, the language and the healthcare system; l risks for the patient, which range from quality concerns in the healthcare system to general risks, such as terrorism; l cost, both for the treatment and for the stay. We used these factors to draw up three separate rankings of countries that could attract medical tourists. The first ranking used indicators such as availability of doctors and private healthcare spending to rank countries according to the strength of their medical systems (with a weighting towards private healthcare spending). Most of the countries in this list were developed ones, but it also included countries such as Russia, which, owing largely to Soviet-era investment, still has a high doctor/patient ratio, as well as a large number of hospital beds. The country does, however, arguably lack the specialists needed to develop a successful medical tourism industry. Our second ranking combined several indicators for proximity, such as tourism and regional wealth levels, with our own country scores for risk and business environment, in order to find out which countries had the right conditions to develop a medical tourism industry. Again, this ranking method favoured developed countries, with the highest-ranked developing countries being those in Central Europe, headed by Poland at position 19. Not all of these countries will necessarily be aiming to develop a medical tourism industry, but their business environment would allow them to do so. Lastly, we ranked countries according to the cost of healthcare procedures such as x-rays, using data from our Worldwide Cost of Living Survey. With the top ranking going to the lowest costs, this list included many developing countries, some with good healthcare systems, some with bad ones. Not all these countries will have the world-class medical expertise to attract international patients. Sri Lanka and Algeria, for example, were among the cheapest countries, but came bottom of our rankings for healthcare systems. To generate a final ranking, therefore, we combined all three lists, giving equal weighting to each factor. Given that the first two rankings favoured developed countries, while the last favoured developing ones, combining the two produced an interesting mix of countries. In general, © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
  • 6. Travelling for health The potential for medical tourismx developed countries dominate, but a significant number of developing countries offer the right combination of low costs and medical expertise to make it onto our list. Heading the list is France, which only has a small medical tourism industry at present, but clearly has the specialist care and the business environment to expand—with the proviso that costs may be a deterrent. Much the same holds for the third-placed US and sixth-placed Germany. In second- placed Mexico, however, it is likely to be the business environment that will hold back the medical tourism industry. Poland and Bulgaria also scored highly, the latter mainly because of its ultra-low healthcare costs. Other developing countries, such as India, with ambitions in the medical tourism sector, have several barriers to overcome, as our index makes clear. But the country’s 15th place, only one step behind China, suggests that it has huge potential. Moreover, India has one advantage that we could not reflect in our rankings: the fact that many of its doctors speak English. By contrast, China’s relatively high ranking may be misleading, because its high number of doctors conceals some poor training. Medical tourism ranking: Potential by country Overall ranking Country Healthcare system Environment Low costs 1 France 8 1 5 2 Mexico 19 2 US 2= 8= Taiwan 2 26 1 5 Poland 28 19 21 6 Germany 2= 2 5 7 Bulgaria 1= 2 8 Sweden 9 6 2 9 Belgium 12 1 8 10 South Korea 9= 27 0 11 Greece 11 28 1= 12 Netherlands 29= 5 7 1 Canada 22 11 0 1 China 15 1 28 15 India 20= 8 16 Singapore 12 6 17 Hungary 29= 25 29 18 Australia 1 15 7 19 Austria 18 10 52 20 Ukraine 16 6 12 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit. 5 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
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